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Industry briefing
Just how loyal are todays mobile customers? The WDS Mobile Loyalty Audit cuts through industry churn data, talking to over 1000 US customers to understand how they really feel about their mobile operator. Whats creating loyalty, and whats breaking it in todays hyper-competitive market?
Introduction
While industry churn data offers a useful benchmark and indicator of customer retention, the numbers typically offer very little analysis into the reasons for customer defection; in particular whats driving it and how can it be mitigated. To better understand these important factors, and provide a unique glimpse into the attitude of todays mobile consumer, the WDS Loyalty Audit 2013 has interviewed 1000 US customers. The audit aims to help mobile industry professionals better understand the drivers for loyalty and segment their customers accordingly. Uniquely, the WDS Loyalty Audit 2013 is the first to stress-test mobile customers loyalty. Many traditional Customer Satisfaction and Net Promoter Score techniques make assumptions based on a customers current (and historical) experience. What they dont do is investigate the possible implications of a customer experience failure between the time of the audit and the time for contract renewal. A customer may say hell repurchase, but just how resistant is he to a competitive offer and will he forgive his mobile operator if theres a network outage? By doing this, the WDS Loyalty Audit delivers a more comprehensive distinction between Functional Loyalty (the customers likelihood to continue using a product or service) and what WDS defines as Ardent Loyalty, the type of loyalty that insulates a customer from competitive threats and increases forgiveness when service dips below expectations. After all, a customers decision to continue using a product or service may, for example, be dictated by external factors (perhaps a switching penalty or poor network coverage from alternate providers), rather than an informed and conscious decision. In other cases, behavior that a mobile operators CRM (customer relationship management) system regards as loyalty is actually little more than inertia. This type of Functional Loyalty is easily broken, particularly when barriers to switching are removed or the customer is presented with an offer so attractive that it breaks the inertia that has anchored them to a service provider for so long. Mobile operators that will succeed in battling a wider, and more competitive, ecosystem will be those that understand the importance of Ardent Loyalty.
WDS, A Xerox Company is the trading name of Wireless Data Services Ltd registered in England and Wales with company number 01714719. Registered address - Wireless Data Services Limited, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London EC4V 4AN. VAT number GB 911330278. While every care has been taken to ensure that the information in this document is correct, WDS cannot accept (and hereby disclaims) any responsibility for loss or damage caused by errors or omissions. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced without the prior permission of WDS. Copyright: WDS, A Xerox Company 2013.
www.wds.co
Only 13% of US customers are truly loyal to their mobile operator; loyal enough to resist competitive price promotions and loyal enough to forgive their operator when things go wrong. Perhaps that surprises you?
Loyalty
36%
at risk of switching
A customer is x more likely to be a switch-risk if they dont feel valued or trust their operator A customer is x more likely to be a switch-risk if they dont feel they get value for money A customer is x more likely to be a switch-risk if they contact customer support
25-34 50%
WDS, A Xerox Company, is a leading provider of Customer Experience Management solutions to the wireless industry. Our goal is to help wireless brands deliver a more consistent, dierentiated and pro table customer experience. By getting the customer experience right, and helping end-users get the most from their wireless world, WDS achieves the continued savings and improvements that naturally lower the support burden, improve loyalty and improve end-user pro tability. To download this and other industry whitepapers, or to register for updates, news and knowledge articles, please visit wds.co/enlightened or email marketing@wds.co
42%
38% Medium, 20% Low
39%
33% Passive, 28% Detractors
19% of highly satis ed customers are thinking about switching 10% would consider switching for a 10% saving 71%
have not had a support issue in the last 6 months.
-34
+11
17%
of Promoters are at risk of switching
11%
of Promoters would consider switching for a 10% saving
47%
spend more than $80 p/month A customer with low satisfaction is x3.4 more likely to be a switch-risk than a highly satis ed customer
30%
of Promoters arent in uenced by recommendations when buying
64%
agree that their mobile operator meets all of their needs.
@wdscompany
32%
22%
would switch if prices increased by 10%
5%
would leave as a result of a network outage
WDS, A Xerox Company is the trading name of Wireless Data Services Ltd registered in England and Wales with company number 01714719. Registered address - Wireless Data Services Limited, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London EC4V 4AN. VAT number GB 911330278. WDS cannot accept (and hereby disclaims) any responsibility for loss or damage caused by errors or omissions. All rights reserved WDS, A Xerox Company 2013
www.wds.co
Whos at risk?
NPS at risk/safe (US) NPS at risk/safe (UK)
Checked
Tenure
Medium Satisfaction 42% 38% 64% 19% Low Satisfaction 18% High Satisfaction At risk -34 +35 Safe
What factors are influencing the switch-risk of US customers and can anything be done to prevent them from leaving? Many mobile operators build their predictive churn modeling around Satisfaction and Net Promoter Score (NPS) audits; is Medium this enough or is there more at play? Satisfaction
The US national average NPS figure is +11. Those who present themselves as a switch risk deliver an NPS of -34. (See Fig 1.5)
66% Low Satisfaction US Average (+11)
Satisfaction
High Low Satisfaction 0 1 2 Extremely Poor 3 4 5 6 Medium 7 8 High 9 10 Excellent
Even though the switch-risk reduces with tenure, the composition of the US market means that over a third (35%) of those customers at risk of switching right now have over UK Average (+5) six years of tenure. (See Fig 1.8)
Tenure (US) At risk 4-5 years -34 6+ years 35% +30 Safe
To identify a satisfaction rating, respondents were asked to Satisfaction score their mobile operators current performance. Scores ranged from 0 (Extremely Poor) to 10 (Excellent). This scale is divided between Low Satisfaction (0-6), Medium Satisfaction (7-8) and High Satisfaction (9-10). (See Fig 1.1)
Te
Fig.1.5: Net Promoter Scores for customers at risk of switching and those regarded as safe (against US average of 11). Source WDS, 2013.
18% 17%
Of those customers currently at risk of switching in the US, 40% have Medium Satisfaction and a further 37% report Low Likelihood to churn within 12 months (US) Satisfaction. Surprisingly 23% of those at risk of switching are highly satisfied (High Satisfaction) with their mobile operator. (See Fig 1.2). WDS describes this group of customers as Mercenaries. MeRCeNaRies Satisfaction is by no means a guarantee of retention. In fact, in the US 19% of all highly satisfied customers are considered to be a switch-risk. Many of these customers are what WDS describes as Mercenaries; these are High Satisfaction customers who will happily switch if a better opportunity is presented to them. Mercenaries chase low prices or buy to pursue a trend. It takes effort to keep this segment satisfied but they show little, to no, loyalty in return. When asked if they would leave their current mobile operator for a 10% savings, 30% of Mercenaries said yes, almost double the national average of 15%.
40% Medium 23% High
Fig.1.2: Satisfaction rating of customers currently at risk of switching. Source WDS 2013.
Of those customers at risk of switching in the coming 12 months, the majority (53%) are Detractors. Passives account for a further 28%.
37% Low
US AVG +11 Safe +35 Like satisfaction, a positive score doesnt always correlate 34% to retention; 19% of customers currently Low At Risk -35 at risk of switching 49%
17% NPS Average (US) High
Passives 28% 19% Promoters
2-3 years
Checke
<1 year 1-2 2-3 4-5 6+ Detractors
60% 53% 40% 28%
Somew hat Likely Unsurprisingly, customers intent to switch rises in likely NPS Switch Risk two-year contract the months prior to the average 351 276 75 renewal period. A customer 32 with less than two years 11 43 <1 year of tenure is1-2 x1.3 more likely 47 to be a switch-risk than 16 63 a Passives customer with years or more 47 of tenure. 14 (See Fig 61 1.9) 2-3 636%
19%
Promoters
6+
Promoters
49% 53 Passives
97
A customer with Low Satisfaction is x3.4 more likely to be a switch-risk than a Highly Satisfied customer.
A customer with Medium Satisfaction is x2 more likely to be a switch-risk than a Highly Satisfied customer. However, even a Highly Satisfied customer is at risk. 19% are a switch-risk.
Checked
High Satisfaction Medium Satisfaction 19% Low Satisfaction
53% Detractors Safe (81%) High Satisfaction Medium Satisfaction Low Satisfaction 18% Fig.1.6: NPS typology Safe (72%) of customers currently at risk of switching.
Source WDS, 2013.
52% 15%
38%
Safe (62%)
42%
Safe (58%)
20%
63%
Safe (37%)
66%
Even NPS Promoters are at risk. 17% will become a switch-risk. (See Fig 1.7)
Safe (34%)
Fig.1.3: Percentage of customers considered to be a switch-risk (by satisfaction). Source WDS 2013.
NPS Detractors are x3.4 more likely to be a NPS Switch Risk switch-risk than an NPS Promoter.
17%
Promoters
Safe (72%)
2-3 years 4-5 Safe years(72%) 6+ years 53 10 97 24
NPS
Safe (83%)
Passives
Passives
30%
38% 32
11
Safe (62%) 47 47
16
Detractors
28%
39%
Promoters
Net Promoter Score (NPS) remains an important metric within the mobile industry. The methodology involves asking respondents a single question, How likely are you to recommend the service / product to a friend, relative Passives 29% Detractors or colleague? and rates the response from37% 0 (not at all likely) to 10 (extremely likely). A segments score (which can range from -10034% to +100) offers an Promoters indication of current satisfaction levels based on the level of advocacy that exists. The score is calculated by subtracting the percentage of Detractors (scoring 0-6) from the percentage of Promoters (scoring 9-10).
Passives
Detractors
30%
66% Safe (34%)
Safe (70%)
Detractors
Passives
34% 34%
Detractors
66%
Safe (34%)
Detractors
0-12 months
1-2 years
65%
53% 53%
38%
14
2-3 years
Safe (35%)
40% 40%
38%
Safe (62%)
6+ years
28%
Switch Ris
4-5 years
65% 38%
Switch Ris
Passives
33%
Fig.1.7: Percentage of customers considered to be a switch-risk (by NPS typology). Source WDS, 2013.
Low NPS 45% High NPS Medium NPS 22% 15% 27% 67%
High NPS
Low NPS 43% High NPS Medium NPS 22% 15% 33% 65%
15% 3%
16%
30%
18%
38%
1%
3%
3%
5%
16%
30%
67%
18%
38%
65%
www.wds.co
Age
Checked
Free phone Available Device Range Network Coverage 19% 30% 40% 45% Service Reliability 45-59 Customer Care 35-44 Data Speed Payment Methods 25-34 16-24 Trust
Service Performance
58% 26% 16%
In general, a customers likelihood to switch decreases Likely to churn by age (US) with age. For those aged over 60, just 19% are at risk of switching - compared to nearly half (45%) of 25-34 year olds. (See Fig 1.10)
60+ 45-59 35-44 25-34 16-24
Respondents were asked to rate the performance of several Likely to churn byFig age1.13) (UK) key elements of service. (See
57% 53% 52% 50% 33% 43% 43% 42% 40% 36% 36% 33% 32% 28% 29% 30% 28% 26% 42% 34% 15% 18% 18% 22% 31% 23%
Instead, it seems operators are failing to create a feeling of value and reward among many of their customers. Free phone 58% the study 26% 16% When asked if they felt valued, found 38% of those at risk are not satisfied with their current mobile operator. Likewise, 52% feel that their operators rewards and loyalty program is not adequate. (See Fig 1.13)
53% 34% 13% 52% 27% 21%
Reliability If a customer doesnt feel valued Service 46% 35% or trust 19% their
Value For Money High Voice Quality Trust Data Speed Customer Care 44% 39% 17%
mobile operator they are x2.5 more likely to be 45% 30% 25% a switch-risk.
40% 37% 36% 35% 41% 35% 25% 22% 29%
Fig.1.10: Customers intent to switch reduces with age. Source WDS, 2013.
Spend
Checked
38%
34% 49% 24% 32% 37% 29% 29% 37% 35% 20% 28% 49% 27% 35% 38% 31% 34% 52% Low
Innovation
US Of those at risk of switching, 28% are high spenders, spending over $120 per month. Although this reflects the Count of Likelihood Likelihood to to change change composition of the market with 25% of all respondents falling within this monthly spend bracket, it does highlight a Age Not likely somewhat likely likely At Risk by spend (US) costly threat to US operators. (See Fig 1.11) 16-24 62% 25% 13% 25-34 $40-59 35-44 45-60 $60-79 18% 60+ 15%
23% $80-119
Makes Me Feel Valued Recommended by Family & Friends Oers Something Dierent Loyalty Rewards
36% 41% 23% Payment Methods Recommended by 31% 34% 35% Family &this Friends Within study, customers considered at risk of switching 29% 41% 30% Innovation
29% the coming 38% 12 months. 33% WDS Oers Something Dierent Likely to switch within
country
UK
31%
considers those that answered Somewhat Likely as 26% 31% 43% Loyalty Rewards
Makes Me Feel Valued
28%
the swing-voters. These whose 26% are customers 34% 40% potential to switch can be reversed with the right activity, or even High activity. Medium Low accelerated by the wrong As such, the study looked to discover some of the factors that would push them further to defecting (price was not included in the possible responses). One of the greatest temptations for the swing-voters is a better Loyalty Program. The data has already shown us that 52% felt that their operators rewards and loyalty program was not adequate and now we see that 43% of swing voters could be tempted away for the promise of a better program. 57% of swing-voters would be pushed further to defecting
Fig.1.13: Satisfaction with key service elements among customers currently at Age Not likely somewhatlikely likely Tenure (UK) risk of switching. Source WDS, 2013.
Checked
Unsatis ed At Risk by spend (UK) 35%
Somew hat likely
9% 7% 6% 3%
16-24 51% 39% 10% 25-34 35% 14% 10-14 51% Is iT JUsT aBOUT PRiCe? 35-44 32% is 10% For any customer, feeling they get58% value for money 45-60 67%debunks 26% vital. However, the notion 7% 23% Audit 15-19the WDS Loyalty <10 driver for 14%single most that pricing alone influential 60+is the 80% 15% 5% 14%
switching. While 35% of those at risk of switching in the 6% >40 coming 12 months dont feel that they get value for money 26% 17% from their current mobile operator, 36% are actually Highly 20-29 30-39 Satisfied and feel they get [Excellent or Very Good] value for Performance VFM (US) money. (See Fig 1.14)
Performance VFM (UK) network coverage and 54% for a better data by better Criteria rated by satisfaction (US) plan. The promise of better customer service would also be Unsatis ed enough to pull 31% of swing-voters. (See Fig 1.15) 25% Better Network Coverage 45% Better Data Plan Satis ed Better Data Speed 30% Rewards/Loyalty Program Cheaper Device Better Customer Service Device Availability Better Brand 8% Other 7% 19% 35% 31% 43% 43% 57% 54% Better Network Coverage Rewards/Loyalty Program Cheaper Device Better Data Plan Better Customer Service Better Data Speed Device Availability Better Brand Other 8% 3% 18% 38% 36% 32% 32% 50% 48% Criteria rated by satisfaction (UK)
Fig.1.11: Monthly spend of those currently at risk of switching. Source WDS, 2013.
A customers monthly spend has little influence on their likelihood Somew to switch (see Fig 1.12). hat Likely At Risk
<10 >$120 10-14 15-19 $80-119 20-29 $60-79 30-39 >40 $40-59
$20-39 <$20 16%
likely
13 35 51 42 61 74
4 7 11 11 19 23
At Risk <10 49 4 14% 47% >40 10-14 67 21 29% 23% 15-19 41 14 14% Passive 48% 30-39 20-29 76 23 26% 56% 20-29 Fig. 1.14: Are those at risk of switching satisfied get value for money? 30-39 45 21 that they 17% 36% say>40 they are. Source WDS,14 2013. 7 5% 15-19 36%
10-14 GeTTiNg The BasiCs RighT 37%
36%
Satis ed
Passive
Fig.1.12: Percentage of customers regarded as a switch-risk, by monthly spend. Source WDS, 2013.
<10 21% In general, even switchers are satisfied with basic network US Service Reliability and Customer hygiene factors such as VFM Care. 43% of those at risk are Highly Satisfied with the Sased Passive Unsased quality of Customer Care and half (50%) are Highly Satisfied At Risk 36% 28% 36% with Service Reliability. (See Fig 1.13)
UK VFM At Risk
Fig.1.15: Which factors would push swing-voters to switch? Source WDS, 2013.
Less than 10
10-14
15-19
20-29
30-39
40+
Less than 10
10-14
15-19
20-29
30-39
40+
SL L Risk
13 4 16%
35 7 37%
51 11 37%
42 11 37%
61 19 36%
74 23 39%
SL L Risk
49 4 21%
67 21 37%
41 14 36%
76 23 56%
45 21 48%
14 7 47%
www.wds.co
Safe
Satisfaction
Over half (52%) of customers who state they are Unlikely to switch in the coming 12 months are Highly Satisfied. A further 36% reported medium satisfaction. 12% of those Unlikely to switch are actually Poorly Satisfied with their current mobile operator. WDS calls these customers Captives.
A Highly Satisfied
CaPTives
In the same way that positive satisfaction scores are by no means a guarantee of retention (see At Risk section), a negative satisfaction score doesnt always present the customer as an immediate switch risk. Captives are either inert or, more likely, prevented from switching because of a lack of competition or a high cost to switching. While captives may not present themselves as an immediate switch risk, once the barriers to switching are removed theyll leave.
Checked
Detractors
if they are highly satisfied with Customer Care, or x2.3 more likely if they trust their mobile operator.
Service Performance
Respondents were asked to rate the performance of key service elements. Those Unlikely to switch overwhelmingly feel they get great value for money. 60% are Highly Satisfied; only 11% are Poorly Satisfied. (See Fig 2.4)
Reliable Service Network Coverage High Voice Quality Available Device Range 79% 77% 73% 71% 68% 68% 67% 60% 57% 56% 54% 51% 48% 48% 33% High 4% 34% Medium 17% 4 18% 5 23% 4 25% 24% 25% 26% 29% 32% 26% 37% 35% 40% 37% 4 8 7 7 11 11 18% 9% 14% 12% 15% 33% Low
NPS
The US national average NPS figure is +11. Those Unlikely to switch in the coming 12 months deliver an NPS of +35. (See section Whos at Risk? Fig 1.5) The majority of customers Unlikely to switch are Promoters (50%). However like satisfaction there are Captive customers who, despite their retention beyond 12 months, declare themselves as NPS Detractors. (See Fig 2.1)
Detractors 15% 50% 35% Passives
Fig.2.1: NPS classification of customers Unlikely to switch (safe). $40-59 $20-39 Source WDS, 2013.
Data Speed
16%
Customer Care Trust Promoters Value For Money 46% Payment Methods Free Phone Innovation
Spend
$60-79
Makes Me Feel Valued Recommended by Friends & Family Oers Something <10 Dierent 32% Loyalty Program
The majority of customers that are Unlikely to switch (45%) spend over $80. (See Fig 2.2)
$40-59
$20-39 <$20
$60-79
15-19
<10 >40 Fig.2.4: 16% 11%Satisfaction with key service elements among customers Unlikely to switch (safe). Source WDS, 2013. 32% 12% 10-14 25% 30-39 4% 20-29 >40 Of those 16% Unlikely 11% to switch in the coming 12 months: 12% 68% are Highly30-39 Satisfied with the performance of 15-19
Mobile operators that will succeed in battling a wider, and 40% Loyalty Program more competitive, ecosystem will be those that understand High the importance of Ardent Loyalty. Ardent Loyalty is the reason why consumers forgive brands and continue to do business with an organisation even if it becomes financially or functionally inconvenient to do so; it insulates a customer; building a higher degree of resistance to competitive price-based offers and tolerance to customer experience failures when service dips below expectations. To achieve this level of loyalty, satisfaction alone is no longer enough. Indeed, creating a base of satisfied customers is today little more than a cost of doing business. The problem with many traditional loyalty measurement techniques (such as CSAT and NPS) is that they only measure a customers intent. The customers sentiment at that time is based on their current (and historical) experience and doesnt factor any disruptions that may occur between the time of the audit and the time of contract renewal. The next section will look at how easily a customers likelihood to be retained can be broken.
22% $80-119
23% >$120
Of those that spend under $20 per month 84% state that they are Unlikely to switch. A customers monthly spend has little influence on their retention (See Fig. 2.3). Only those spending less than $20 show an increase in retention potential.
67% are Highly Satisfied with the level of Trust that had developed between themselves and their operator.
52%
61% 64%
44%
53%
Fig.2.3: Percentage of customers Unlikely to switch (safe), by monthly spend. $20-39 63% Source WDS, 2013.
A customer is x3.6 more likely to be retained 64% 52% beyond 12 months if they are Highly Satisfied 63% with Customer Care, or x2.3 more likely if they 44% trust their mobile 79% operator, (over someone with 64% Low Satisfaction).
63% 79%
53%
<$20
84%
<10
10
11
www.wds.co
Tolerance
Understanding Tolerance
Average 46% 38% 16% Average 48%
US National Average Customer Experience Failure 36% 16% Network Outage 10% Price Increase 28% 12% First Call Resolution Failure Billing Mistake
Medium Tol. 53% 24% 35% 49% 43% 54% 49% 17% 37%
Low Tol. 40% 73% 62% 46% 53% 31% 28% 79% 21%
little to improve the situation; in both categories 17% would want to switch. Across most other problem types, the percentage of customers regarding the issue as a driver for switching is low (typically under 10% and as low as 1% for NPS Promoters faced with a Network Outage or Device Recall). However, a Privacy Breach is universally abhorred. Even with a High Satisfaction, 29% of customers would look to change mobile operator, this is 28% for High NPS rating.
% Respondents who rate the problem severe enough to switch Network Outage
The WDS Loyalty Audit adds a unique component to the evaluation of customer loyalty; stress-tests. These are designed to test customers sentiment and understand a) the level of resistance a customer has to a competitive price-based offer and b) how forgiving he is when service dips below the expected level of quality. Together, these stress-tests help to understand the level of tolerance that a customer exhibits. The greater the tolerance, the greater the level of Ardent Loyalty that has been created within the customer. Essentially, stress-testing offers a unique way of understanding whether a customers sentiment (regarding his retention) will translate into real-world action. Tolerance is graded as follows: High Tolerance: Competitive offers and/or customer experience failures have a minimal impact on the customers sentiment. Medium Tolerance: If compounded by other issues, competitive offers and/or customer experience failures may negatively affect the customers sentiment. Low Tolerance: Theres a high probability that competitive offers and/or customer experience failures will negatively impact the customers sentiment.
High Satisfaction
60%
30%
10%
High Satisfaction
60%
High NPS
60%
29%
11%
Product Recall
High Medium Low Medium Low Desired Phone Unavailable
Fig.2.5: Does High Satisfaction or being an NPS Promoter improve price resistance? Only marginal improvements over the national average are observed. Source WDS, 2013.
A 20% saving proves even more compelling. 59% of those Unlikely to churn showed a high level of tolerance to a 10% saving. This decreases to 38% when a 20% saving is available. Likewise (while still showing a greater degree of resistance than the national average) only 40% of High Satisfaction customers and 42% of NPS Promoters, show a high level of tolerance for this saving.
High Satisfaction Customer Experience Failure Network Outage 10% Price Increase First Call Resolution Failure Billing Mistake Support hold time too long High Tol. 10% 3% 4% 7% 5% 20% 25% 3% 50% Medium Tol. 54% 27% 37% 52% 44% 53% 48% 16% 32% Low Tol. 36% 70% 59% 41% 51% 27% 27% 81% 18%
10% Price Increase First Call Resolution Failure Billing Mistake Support hold time too long Product Recall Desired Phone Unavailable Privacy Breach Friends and Family Switched
Product Recall Desired Phone Unavailable Privacy Breach Friends and Family Switched
THE IMPACT OF CUSTOMER SUPPORT ON SATISFACTION AND SWITCHING Despite mobile operators best efforts to improve customer service through their care channels, the WDS Loyalty Audit shows a clear correlation between the number of support interactions and the likelihood to switch. Of those Unlikely to leave, only 31% had interacted with a support channel over the last six months. This is less than the national average (36%). By comparison, 48% of those regarded as a switch-risk had interacted with a support channel at least once. (See Fig 2.6)
Price Resistance
Customers who stated that they were Unlikely to switch in the coming 12 months were asked if theyd change their mind if offered a 10% price saving from a competitor. 59% exhibited high tolerance. 8% showed low tolerances levels and (regardless of their initial sentiment) could be expected to switch if presented with such an offer. A further 33% showed a medium level of tolerance. This puts a third at risk of switching if compounded by other customer experience failures. On its own, a customers stated retention, and even his current level of satisfaction, is not enough to build immunity to such price-based offers. (See Fig 2.5) 10% of Highly Satisfied customers have a low resistance to price-based offers and would likely switch for a 10% saving. 11% of NPS Promoters have a low resistance to pricebased offers and would likely switch for a 10% saving.
NPS Promoter Customer Experience Failure Network Outage 10% Price Increase First Call Resolution Failure Billing Mistake Support hold time too long Product Recall Desired Phone Unavailable Privacy Breach Friends and Family Switched
Medium Tol. 55% 27% 40% 56% 49% 57% 48% 16% 31%
Low Tol. 35% 68% 56% 36% 47% 24% 26% 80% 15%
Safe
69%
19%
9% 3
Safe
IT WOULD MAKE ME WANT TO SWITCH In addition to a low tolerance classification, respondents were also given the chance to state whether a failure would be severe enough for them to switch without further consideration. Again, a price increase is not tolerated. Just over a fifth (22%) of US customers rate a 10% Price Increase from their current mobile operator as damaging enough for them to want to switch provider. High Satisfaction and NPS does
Switch Risk
52%
21%
12%
15%
Switch Risk
None
Once
Twice
3+
Fig.2.6: Number of support interactions (in last six months). Customers at risk of switching vs those unlikely to switch (safe). Source WDS, 2013.
High
71%
17%
10%2
High
Medium
61%
24%
10% 5
Medium
12
Low 53% 18% 12% 17%
13
Low
www.wds.co
None
Once
Twice
3+
Early practitioners of the satisfaction and quality movement postulated that if a product or service met customers functional specifications and fulfilled their requirements, it was enough to ensure that the customer would continue to use and/or repurchase the product or service. Today we know that this simply isnt sufficient and that meeting functional expectations has become little more than a cost of doing business. Indeed, the WDS Loyalty Audit calls into question the loyalty of almost a fifth of all Highly Satisfied customers; their satisfaction simply does not translate into a contract renewal. Likewise, a sub-set of those with Low Satisfaction remain Unlikely to switch. These two simple examples demonstrate how basing loyalty and retention decisions solely on the output of CSAT and NPS scores has become entirely insufficient in todays mobile ecosystem. Thats why greater segmentation is necessary; in particular segmentation that understands the motivations and historical context of a customer. None of this is to say that Satisfaction or NPS arent valid loyalty measures. Indeed they remain useful markers. However, their effectiveness is reduced when we want to measure something more than the customers sentiment. Posing realworld challenges to customer sentiment, in the form of a stress-test, is a vital component in truly understanding the current state of loyalty as is stands within an operators business and against existing competitive threats and operational challenges. For example, in our original measurements, it was observed that 19% of High Satisfaction customers were considered a switch-risk. Offer the potential of a 10% price saving from a competitor and only 34% could categorically declare that they wouldnt switch. While this is above the national average (23%), High satisfaction alone is clearly not enough to insulate a customer from the competition. Introduce a 20% price saving from a competitor and only 15% would definitely not switch.
% of respondents who agree improvements in the following would contribute to a switching decision Better Network Coverage
3+ 8% 5
If a customer has to contact Customer Support a six month period, they Safe more than once in 69% 19% 9% 3 are x1.9 more likely to be a switch risk than someone who has contacted support once (or less).
52% 21% 12% 15%
20%
7% 5
Switch Risk
19%
18%
14%
Satisfaction scores follow a similar trend. 47% of Low None Once Twice 3+ Satisfaction respondents had engaged with a support channel at least once on the last six months. The figure Safe 69% 19% 9% 3 drops [marginally] to 29% of those rated High Satisfaction. (See Fig 2.7)
Switch High Risk
However, inertia still plays a role in retention. 27% agree that switching is too inconvenient, 14% agree that all None Once mobile operators are the same, and 37% dont want to risk losing coverage by switching to a different network.
Safe 68%
Twice 20%
3+ 7% 5
Rewards and Incentive Programs appear less effective with only 12% agreeing that they feel adequately rewarded for remaining loyal.
Switch High Risk 49% 63% 19% 18% 23% 14% 8% 5
52%
71%
21%
Medium
None
61% Once
24% Twice
10% 5 3+
Respondents that agree with statements for Percentage not switching. Medium 62% 19% None Twice My current mobile operator meets all my service Once 53% expectations Im confident I get the best value for money 38% Low 55% 13% 15% I know my provider offers coverage where I need 37% it, I dont want to risk switching None Once Twice I trust my mobile operator more than its 27% High 63% 23% competitors Switching is too inconvenient Safe 57% All the mobile operators are the same, I don't see Medium 62% the benefit to change I feel adequately rewarded for remaining loyal Low 55% At Risk 36%
None
12% 3+ 7
Avg
Low
53%
18%
12%
17%
17%
None
Once
Twice
3+
High 71% (in last six months), by 17% 10%2 Fig.2.7: Number of support interactions satisfaction rating. Source WDS, 2013. Safe Medium 68% 61% 24% 25% 7% 10% 5
Better Rewards/Loyalty Program The phone I want is cheaper Better Data Plan Better Customer Service/Care Better Data Speed
Of course the frequency of interaction is compounded by its quality. When asked to rate the performance of their Low interaction(s) 53% 12% 17% support those at risk of 18% switching are highly At Risk 43% 31% critical of their mobile operator. 31%26% rank the performance of their contact as Low. (See Fig 2.8) 3+ Nonecenter interaction Once Twice
High Safe 68% Medium 25%
Low 7%
High Medium Customer Care performance as Safe High are Unlikely to57% switch in the coming 12 months.
Twice
Those displaying a high tolerance to competitive price offers display much wider loyalty benefits to the mobile operator. When respondents were questioned about other factors (beyond price) that a competitor could use to tempt them away, those with high (price) tolerance remained notably passive towards any promised benefit. This is either the result of the customers expectations already being met across all of these factors or, more likely, that the risk of a switch, and breaking a trusted relationship, far outweighs the benefits. This is seen in the table below; which shows the percentage of respondents that agreed an improvement in key areas of service would be considered as a reason for switching. Those with high (price) tolerance were far less likely to agree with the statements and, notably, outperformed Highly Satisfied customers and NPS Promoters. (See table)
At Risk
43%
26%
31%
At Risk
36%
35%
29%
High
Medium
Low
High
Medium
Low
Fig.2.8: Performance of customer care interaction, rated by those at risk of switching and those unlikely to switch. Source WDS, 2013.
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WDS LOYalTY FRaMewORK Such is the important of such stress-tests, that they are used in the WDS Loyalty Framework to segment customers. A variation of the traditional Apostle Model, the WDS Loyalty Framework uses a stress-test multiplier (based on the response to questioning) to determine the validity of their retention sentiment. This model segments mobile customers into one of four principal segments. (See fig 3.1)
The 13%
While Loyalists represent an above-average, and acceptable level of loyalty, they may still present themselves as a switch risk. The WDS Loyalty Framework therefore sub-classifies the Loyalty segment to identify the most loyal crop of customers. These are called Enthusiasts. Enthusiasts display the characteristics that WDS defines as being necessary to willingly resist a competitive offer or service failure; they have Ardent Loyalty. 21% of Loyalists can be sub-classified as Enthusiasts; (this is 13% of the total US subscriber base).
Mercenaries Loyalists
Satisfaction
Loyalists: Customers that show high satisfaction and a high inclination to continue in a relationship with their mobile operator. They are more tolerant of customer experience failures and resistant to competitive price offers than the national average. Mercenaries: High satisfaction but will happily switch if a better opportunity is presented to them. This segment chases low prices or buys to pursue a trend. It takes effort to keep this segment satisfied but they show little, to no, loyalty in return. Defectors: Customers who are dissatisfied and show little inclination to continue in a relationship with their mobile operator. They are less tolerant of customer experience failures and less resistant to competitive price offers than the national average.
% High Satis.
Defectors Captives
% NPS Promo.
% with low tolerance to a competitive 10% saving 15% 0% 7% 30% 11% 38%
US Average Enthusiasts
Likelihood to repurchase
Fig.3.1: WDS Loyalty Framework. Customer typologies. Source WDS, 2013.
Captives: High chance of continuing in a relationship with their mobile operator but with little satisfaction. Captives may be prevented from switching because of a lack of competition or a high cost to switching.
* Ardent Loyalty score (price resistance and problem tolerance) on a scale from 2 (best) to 31 (worst). This score is used to determine the likelihood of repurchase and is part of the WDS Loyalty Framework.
When applied to the data within this study, WDSs Loyalty Framework segments the US market as follows: (See fig 3.2) US lOYalTY COMPOsiTiON
US 61% of the US market. Loyalists comprise
ChURN aNd lOYalTY segMeNT 100% of Defectors are at risk of switching in the coming 12 months. Only 7% of Loyalists are at risk. Captives, by their very nature are typically unable to switch provider and despite their low levels of satisfaction only 10% present a switch-risk. Mercenaries represent the swing voters. While 100% represent a switch-risk, 85% of these deliver a Somewhat Likely response to switching, suggesting the opportunity to reverse their sentiment. By comparison, of the 100% of Defectors at risk, only 61% deliver a Somewhat Likely verdict. WDS LOYalTY FRaMewORK COMPaRisON The WDS Loyalty Framework delivers a more granular level of segmentation. In particular it allows the most loyal subset of a customer base to be identified. Once this group (Loyalists and Enthusiasts) have been identified, their value must be secured. While many criteria, including High Satisfaction and having more than six years of tenure, can have a positive impact on customer retention, none match the retention rate and Ardent Loyalty delivered by true Loyalists and Enthusiasts. (See Fig 3.3)
Enthusiasts Loyalists 100% 93% 81% 83% 72%
19% Merc.
60% Loyalists
Mercenaries represent the next largest group with 17% of US customers. Captives are the smallest segment, with 9% of the market. Defectors comprise 12% of the market.
9% Capt.
61% Loyalists
12% Def.
9% Capt.
Checked
16 WDS, A Xerox Company
6+ years
Fig.3.3: Percentage that will be retained beyond 12 months. Source WDS, 2013.
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Summary
Many mobile operators will have their own methodologies and frameworks for measuring and managing loyalty. The purpose of this paper is to supplement these existing frameworks and highlight the importance of improved segmentation (as above) beyond many of the traditional approaches. In particular, the data makes clear that no single satisfaction measure is enough to fully understand the loyalty profile of a customer. For example, directing retention budget to a homogenous group of Low Satisfaction customers does not differentiate between Captives and Defectors, two segments with very different requirements. CRM systems must reflect such complexity. Profiling customers simply by their satisfaction, NPS or repurchase scores risks alienating a significant percentage of the subscriber base whose loyalty is potentially being misinterpreted.
1. 2.
Customer Support is a key influencer in customer retention and satisfaction. If a customer has to contact a support channel more than once in a six month period hell be twice as likely to become a switch-risk. Even those at risk of switching are satisfied with basic network hygiene factors, and even pricing. 36% of those at risk of switching were satisfied they got value for money, 50% were highly satisfied with service reliability and 53% were highly satisfied with network coverage. Building a sense of value and trust is vital in securing customers loyalty. If a customer doesnt trust his mobile operator they are x2.5 more likely to become a switch-risk. 38% of those at risk of switching said that they didnt feel valued and 52% said that their operators rewards / loyalty program was not satisfactory. Satisfaction remains an important metric. A Highly Satisfied customer is x2.2 more likely to be retained beyond 12 months than someone rated as Low Satisfaction. But dont take the basics for granted. 19% of Highly Satisfied customers are a switch-risk. Likewise, a quarter of customers with six or more years of tenure. Stress-test customer sentiment. Offer the potential of a 10% price saving from a competitor and only 34% of Highly Satisfied customers could categorically declare that they wouldnt switch. While this is above the national average (23%), High satisfaction alone is clearly not enough to insulate a customer from the NPS High competition. Introduce a 20% price saving from a competitor and only 15% would definitely not switch. Promoter
6+ Years Tenure
3.
The importance of creating and maintaining a loyal base of customers has never been greater. Given increasing parity across data speed, quality and price its becoming harder for mobile operators to differentiate on core network assets alone. Instead, differentiation must come through the customer experience; the operator can then build value-based relationships outside of price. When questioned about the advantage of using their existing mobile operator over a competitor, only (30%) of US customers saw any tangible and real benefit. 34% were passive to any advantage and the majority (36%) actually stated that there was low/none advantage to support their choice of mobile operator. This alone shows the fragility of todays mobile operator relationships where, following a legacy of NPS High price cutting and device subsidies, US consumers associate Promoter Satisfaction 6+ operator value with price.
Competitive Advantage
4.
5.
Satisfaction
Competitive Advantage
Where high levels of satisfaction and Ardent Loyalty existed, feelings of competitive advantage increased. 60% of High Satisfaction customers (and 65% of NPS Promoters) saw strong competitive advantage in using their existing mobile operator. These results simply werent matched by tenure where, even after six years, 33% saw little/none advantage. Instead, in a saturated market, with network and pricing parity across much of the industry, feelings of competitive advantage are today delivered through the service and customer experience. (See fig 3.4)
60%
65%
Average
62% 57% 27% Loyalty Audit 2013, including mobile operator comparisons, is available to WDS 25% Further data and insight from the WDS
customers.
35% 40% High
28% 12%
28% 7%
34% 33%
32%
31%
36%
Passive
Low
About WDS
Passive
Low
Fig.3.4: Percentage of customers that see high competitive advantage in their current mobile operator. Source WDS, 2013.
WDS, A Xerox Company, is a leading provider of Customer Experience Management solutions to the wireless industry. Our goal is to help wireless brands deliver a more consistent, differentiated and profitable customer experience. By the time an end-user experiences a problem and has to interact with a support channel, the damage to end-user profitability and loyalty has been done. Thats why WDS looks to shift attention away from managing customer experience problems and towards mitigating failures that we know have the potential to increase costs and damage end-user loyalty and profitability. We achieve this by embedding a CEM platform across the customer lifecycle, from retail through technical support and returns management. This platform powers the solutions that we deploy at key customer touch-points (retail, on-device, on-line and contact center); sharing data between them to better manage how end-users buy, explore, use and maintain their wireless products and services. As end-users progress through customer lifecycle and interact with our platform we capture, analyse and manage their transactions, adjusting, in real-time, any systemic issues or customer experience problems that they may be experiencing. By getting the customer experience right, and helping end-users get the most from their wireless world, WDS achieves the continued savings and improvements that naturally lower the support burden, improve loyalty and improve end-user profitability. Its this ability to help customers identify preventable issues, improve future products and services and build long-term, profitable relationships with end-users that means many of the worlds most recognizable mobile brands now trust the outsourcing of their customer experience to WDS.
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WDS, A Xerox Company is the trading name of Wireless Data Services Ltd registered in England and Wales with company number 01714719. Registered address - Wireless Data Services Limited, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London EC4V 4AN. VAT number GB 911330278. While every care has been taken to ensure that the information in this document is correct, WDS cannot accept (and hereby disclaims) any responsibility for loss or damage caused by errors or omissions. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced without the prior permission of WDS. Copyright: WDS, A Xerox Company 2013.