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CONEXION POR
TIPO DE USUARIO
Domstico
Comercial
Industrial
Estatal
Social
TIPO DE
MEDICION
Con Medidor
Sin Medidor
Con Medidor
Sin Medidor
Con Medidor
Sin Medidor
Con Medidor
Sin Medidor
Con Medidor
Sin Medidor
No. de
Conex.
TOTAL
Conex.
TOTAL
Piletas
Con Medidor
Sin Medidor
2880000
2.88
15.84
COBERTURA (%)
DEMANDA AGUA
DEMANDA DE ALMACENAMIENTO
POBLA.
CONEX.
OTROS
MEDIOS (*)
POBLACION
SERVIDA
(hab)
VIVIENDAS
SERVIDAS
(unidades)
Caudal
Maximo
Diario
PILETAS PBLICAS
CONEXIONES DOMSTICAS
CONEXIONES
COMERCIALES
CONEXIONES INDUSTRIALES
CONEXIONES
ESTATALES
CONEXIONES SOCIALES
TOTAL CONEXIONES
PILETAS
COMERCIAL
DOMESTICO
INDUSTRIAL
ESTATAL
SUB TOTAL
CONSUMO
PILETAS
SUB TOTAL
CONSUMO
CONEXIONES
SOCIAL
l/dia
TOTAL
Volumen de Regulacin
l/s
m3/ao
l/s
VIVIENDAS
C/MED.
S/MED.
TOTAL
C/MED
S/MED
TOTAL
TOTAL
C/MED
S/MED
TOTAL
%MICRO
MED.
C/MED
S/MED
TOTAL
C/MED.
S/MED.
7,823
0.0%
95.0%
76.00%
1,312
C/MED
26
S/MED
0
TOTAL
26
4,333
4,333
7,995
95.0%
5.0%
7,595
1,381
1,101
275
1,376
1,105
276
1,381
80.00%
35
755,568
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
768,629
115
768,744
8,171
96.0%
4.0%
7,844
1,426
1,165
256
1,421
1,169
257
1,426
82.00%
29
777,322
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
790,383
95
790,478
8,351
96.0%
4.0%
8,017
1,458
1,206
247
1,453
1,210
248
1,458
83.00%
29
793,267
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
806,329
97
806,426
8,534
96.0%
4.0%
8,193
1,490
1,248
237
1,485
1,252
238
1,490
84.00%
30
809,107
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
822,169
99
822,268
1,027,835
8,722
96.0%
4.0%
8,373
1,522
1,290
227
1,517
1,294
228
1,522
85.00%
30
824,947
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
838,009
101
838,110
8,914
97.0%
3.0%
8,647
1,572
1,348
220
1,568
1,352
220
1,572
86.00%
24
851,136
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
864,197
79
9,110
97.0%
3.0%
8,837
1,607
1,394
209
1,603
1,398
209
1,607
87.00%
24
868,454
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
881,516
9,311
97.0%
3.0%
9,032
1,642
1,441
198
1,639
1,445
197
1,642
88.00%
25
886,301
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
9,515
97.0%
3.0%
9,230
1,678
1,489
186
1,675
1,493
185
1,678
89.00%
25
904,042
1,146
4,048
7,367
10
9,725
99.0%
1.0%
9,628
1,751
1,572
176
1,748
1,576
175
1,751
90.00%
941,530
1,146
4,048
11
9,939
99.0%
1.0%
9,840
1,789
1,624
162
1,786
1,628
161
1,789
91.00%
960,115
1,146
12
10,157
99.0%
1.0%
10,055
1,828
1,678
147
1,825
1,682
146
1,828
92.00%
979,123
13
10,381
99.0%
1.0%
10,277
1,869
1,734
132
1,866
1,738
131
1,869
93.00%
999,187
5,417
1,977
1.00
960,931
11
13
350,740
240
988,098
11
14
360,656
247
1,008,032
12
14
367,932
252
12
14
375,160
257
1,047,638
12
15
382,388
262
864,276
1,080,345
13
15
394,326
270
80
881,596
1,101,995
13
15
402,228
275
899,362
82
899,444
1,124,305
13
16
410,371
281
500
917,103
84
917,187
1,146,484
13
16
418,466
287
7,367
500
954,591
29
954,620
1,193,275
14
17
435,545
298
4,048
7,367
500
973,177
30
973,206
1,216,508
14
17
444,025
304
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
992,185
30
992,215
1,240,269
14
17
452,698
310
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,012,249
31
1,012,280
1,265,350
15
18
461,853
316
14
10,609
99.0%
1.0%
10,503
1,910
1,791
116
1,907
1,795
115
1,910
94.00%
10
1,019,146
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,032,207
32
1,032,239
1,290,298
15
18
470,959
323
15
10,843
99.0%
1.0%
10,735
1,952
1,850
99
1,949
1,854
98
1,952
95.00%
10
1,039,526
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,052,588
33
1,052,620
1,315,775
15
18
480,258
329
16
11,081
99.0%
1.0%
10,970
1,995
1,911
81
1,992
1,915
80
1,995
96.00%
10
1,060,330
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,073,391
33
1,073,424
1,341,780
16
19
489,750
335
17
11,325
99.0%
1.0%
11,212
2,039
1,974
62
2,036
1,978
61
2,039
97.00%
10
1,081,555
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,094,617
34
1,094,651
1,368,313
16
19
499,434
342
18
11,574
99.0%
1.0%
11,458
2,083
2,037
43
2,080
2,041
42
2,083
98.00%
10
1,102,781
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,115,842
35
1,115,877
1,394,846
16
19
509,119
349
19
11,829
99.0%
1.0%
11,711
2,129
2,104
22
2,126
2,108
21
2,129
99.00%
11
1,124,851
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,137,913
35
1,137,948
1,422,435
16
20
519,189
356
20
12,089
99.0%
1.0%
11,968
2,176
2,172
2,173
2,176
2,176 100.00%
11
1,147,450
1,146
4,048
7,367
500
1,160,511
36
1,160,547
1,450,684
17
20
529,500
363
(* ) OTROS MEDIOS se refiere a abastecimiento por camiones cisterna, por acarreo o por cualquier medio en el que no se extraiga agua potable del sistema
1977.08
Und
Cantidad
P.U
Total
AGUA POTABLE
Obras de Captacin
Gl
1.00
4689.3497
70.00
124.474
8713.26
Reservorio
Gl
1.00
364652.5687
364652.57
5283.50
104.5653
552501.93
20977.92
52.6337
1104269.72
Und
Conexiones Domiciliarias
4689.35
1583.00
470.0143
744032.64
Macro y micromedicin
Gl
1.00
188377
188377.00
Mitigacin Ambiental
Gl
1.00
75660.2
75660.20
3042897.64
304,289.76
Subtotal
3,347,187.40
Expediente Tcnico
167,359.37
Supervisin
117,151.56
Informe de Cierre
66,943.75
Total
3,698,642.08
Educacin Sanitaria
40,124.00
TOTAL
3,738,766.08
COMPONENTE
Und
Precio Privado
Factor
Total
AGUA POTABLE
Obras de Captacin
Gl
4689.3
0.8
8713.3
0.8
7057.7
Reservorio
Gl
364652.6
0.8
284429.0
552501.9
0.8
447526.6
1104269.7
0.8
894458.5
Und
744032.6
0.8
580345.5
Macro y micromedicin
Gl
188377.0
0.8
158236.7
Mitigacin Ambiental
Gl
75660.2
0.8
Conexiones Domiciliarias
Costo Directo
Gastos Generales y Utilidad
Subtotal
3657.7
63554.6
2439266.19
255,603.40
2,694,869.59
Expediente Tcnico
152,297.03
Supervisin
106,607.92
Informe de Cierre
Total
Educacin Sanitaria
TOTAL
60,918.81
3,014,693.34
36,512.84
3,051,206.18
Und
Cantidad
P.U
Total
DESAGUE
Redes Colectoras de Aguas Servidas
Conexiones domiciliarias
Emisor
m
Und
m
18505.97
91.83
1699550.43
1583
599.84
949551.94
3438.65
183.65
Costo Directo
631522.18
3280624.56
328,062.46
Subtotal
3,608,687.01
Expediente Tcnico
180,434.35
Supervisin
126,304.05
Informe de Cierre
72,173.74
Total
3,987,599.15
TOTAL
3,987,599.15
COMPONENTE
Und
Precio Privado
Factor
Total
DESAGUE
Redes Colectoras de Aguas Servidas
Conexiones domiciliarias
Emisor
Costo Directo
Gastos Generales y Utilidad
Subtotal
1699550.43
0.79
1342644.84
Und
949551.94
0.78
740650.52
631522.18
0.79
498902.52
2582197.88
275,572.46
2,857,770.34
Expediente Tcnico
164,195.26
Supervisin
114,936.68
Informe de Cierre
65,678.10
Total
3,202,580.39
TOTAL
3,202,580.39
632,352.22
632352.2198
7,726,365.23
7726365.23
243455.6046
3042896.68
0.96
6,253,786.57
6253786.574
3940.63
7322.07
306430.73
464287.34
927957.75
625237.51
158300
63580
2557056.03
4689.3497
8713.2633
364652.569
552501.935
1104269.72
744032.637
188377
75660.2
3042896.68
0.78
0.81
0.78
0.81
0.81
0.78
0.84
0.84
3657.69277
7057.74327
284429.004
447526.567
894458.475
580345.457
158236.68
63554.568
2439266.19
1428193.64
797942.81
530690.91
1699550.43
949551.944
631522.183
3280624.56
0.79
0.78
0.79
1342644.84
740650.516
498902.524
2582197.88
Und
Cantidad
PU
Total
AGUA POTABLE
Obras de Captacin
Gl
1.00
4689.35
4689.35
2417.40
124.47
300906.34
Gl
1.00
688369.99
688369.99
Reservorio
Gl
1.00
364652.57
364652.57
3690.34
104.57
385903.28
20977.92
52.63
1104269.72
Und
Conexiones Domiciliarias
1583.00
470.01
744032.64
Macro y micromedicin
Gl
1.00
188377.00
188377.00
Mitigacin Ambiental
Gl
1.00
63580.00
Costo Directo
75660.20
3856861.09
385,686.11
Subtotal
4,242,547.20
Expediente Tcnico
212,127.36
Supervisin
148,489.15
Informe de Cierre
84,850.94
Total
4,688,014.66
Educacin Sanitaria
40,124.00
TOTAL
4,728,138.66
COMPONENTE
Und
Precios
Privados
FACTOR
Total
AGUA POTABLE
Obras de Captacin
Gl
4689.35
0.78
3657.69
300906.34
0.81
243734.13
Gl
688369.99
0.81
557579.70
Reservorio
Gl
364652.57
0.78
284429.00
385903.28
0.81
312581.66
1104269.72
0.81
894458.48
Und
744032.64
0.78
580345.46
Macro y micromedicin
Gl
188377.00
0.84
158236.68
Mitigacin Ambiental
Gl
75660.20
0.84
Conexiones Domiciliarias
Costo Directo
Gastos Generales y Utilidad
Subtotal
63554.57
3098577.36
323,976.33
3,422,553.69
Expediente Tcnico
193,035.90
Supervisin
135,125.13
Informe de Cierre
Total
Educacin Sanitaria
TOTAL
77,214.36
3,827,929.08
36,512.84
3,864,441.92
9,596,914.52
Und
Cantidad
PU
Total
DESAGUE
Redes Colectoras de Aguas Servidas
Conexiones domiciliarias
Emisor
Planta de Tratamiento de Desague
18505.97
91.83
1699550.43
Und
1583.00
599.84
949551.94
3438.65
183.65
631522.18
1.00
724949.99
Und
724949.99
Costo Directo
4005574.55
400,557.45
Subtotal
4,406,132.00
Expediente Tcnico
220,306.60
Supervisin
154,214.62
Informe de Cierre
88,122.64
Total
4,868,775.86
TOTAL
4,868,775.86
COMPONENTE
Und
Precios
Privados
FACTOR
Total
DESAGUE
Redes Colectoras de Aguas Servidas
Conexiones domiciliarias
Emisor
Planta de Tratamiento de Desague
Costo Directo
Gastos Generales y Utilidad
Subtotal
1699550.43
0.79
1342644.84
Und
949551.94
0.78
740650.52
631522.18
0.79
498902.52
Und
724949.99
0.80
579959.99
3162157.87
336,468.26
3,498,626.13
Expediente Tcnico
200,479.01
Supervisin
140,335.30
Informe de Cierre
80,191.60
Total
3,919,632.05
TOTAL
3,919,632.05
9596914.52
7784073.97
6344186.65
29%
429.17
3856861.09
0.00
3940.63
252862.47
306430.73
324288.47
927957.75
625237.51
158300
63580
578462.18
3241059.74
7784073.97
4689.3497
300906.339
364652.569
385903.279
1104269.72
744032.637
188377
75660.2
688369.994
3856861.09
0.78
0.81
0.78
0.81
0.81
0.78
0.84
0.84
0.81
3657.69277
243734.135
284429.004
312581.656
894458.475
580345.457
158236.68
63554.568
557579.695
3098577.36
609201.67
1428193.64
797942.81
530690.91
3366029.03
724949.987
1699550.43
949551.944
631522.183
4005574.55
0.8
0.79
0.78
0.79
579959.99
1342644.84
740650.516
498902.524
3162157.87
Ingresar slo la informacin a) y b) en base a los resultados del Estudio de mercado contenido en el perfil del proyecto:
a) Datos de la situacin sin proyecto
Consumo de los no conectados al sistema
(m3/mes/vivi.)
Precio econmico del agua para los no conectados
al sistema (S/./m3)
7,823
7,995
8,171
8,351
8,534
8,722
8,914
9,110
9,311
9,515
9,725
9,939
10,157
10,381
10,609
10,843
11,081
11,325
11,574
11,829
12,089
18
Persona que
acarrea
Tiempo /
acarreo
(min)
N Viajes/
dia
Tiempo Total
(horas)
Valor del
Tiempo/ h
(S/.)
Valor del
Tiempo
(S/.dia)
0.15
Madre
4.8
0.48
1.49
0.72
4.32
Hijo
3.2 0.37333333
0.74
0.28
6.94
1.24
0.84
0
0
0.00%
95.00%
96.00%
96.00%
96.00%
96.00%
97.00%
97.00%
97.00%
97.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
N de baldes/dia/vivienda
1,381
1,426
1,458
1,490
1,522
1,572
1,607
1,642
1,678
1,751
1,789
1,828
1,869
1,910
1,952
1,995
2,039
2,083
2,129
2,176
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1,381
1,426
1,458
1,490
1,522
1,572
1,607
1,642
1,678
1,751
1,789
1,828
1,869
1,910
1,952
1,995
2,039
2,083
2,129
2,176
690,477.27
22,628.18
15,709.09
15,970.91
16,407.27
24,860.00
17,283.64
17,724.55
17,989.09
36,200.00
19,260.00
19,620.00
20,160.00
20,520.00
21,060.00
21,420.00
21,960.00
22,410.00
22,950.00
23,400.00
Consumo de agua
(m3/ao)
1,582
280,592
288,524
294,345
300,128
305,910
315,461
321,783
328,297
334,773
348,436
355,220
362,158
369,482
376,767
384,206
391,800
399,547
407,295
415,351
423,600
Total S/./dia
1.00
30.00
NOTA: El Programa "a trabajar urbano" considera el pago de 14 soles da por persona
Produccin de
agua (m3/ao)
1,977
350,739.6
360,656
367,932
375,160
382,388
394,326
402,228
410,371
418,466
435,545
444,025
452,698
461,853
470,959
480,258
489,750
499,434
509,119
519,189
529,500
Costos de
Costos de
Operacin y
Operacin y
mantenimien
mantenimiento
to
incrementales a incrementale
precios privados s a precios
Sociales
212,993
217,058
220,041
223,005
225,968
230,863
234,103
237,442
240,761
247,763
251,240
254,796
258,549
262,283
266,095
269,987
273,957
277,928
282,057
286,284
137,055
138,455
139,482
140,503
141,524
143,209
144,325
145,475
146,618
149,030
150,227
151,452
152,744
154,030
155,343
156,683
158,051
159,418
160,840
162,296
Variable cantidad
9.1
4.3
6.94
15.8
1.2
18.3
0.0
de
EPS
tarifa
0.0
Variable precio
Precio mximo al cual no se
demandaria agua potable
Precio econmico del agua para
los no conectados al sistema
(S/./m3)
Tarifa de la EPS o propuesta
9.1
10.0
9.1
9.0
Recursos
Recursosliberados
liberados
8.0
6.94
P (S/./m3)
7.0
6.0
Area
Areade
debeneficios
beneficios
5.0
4.0
3.0
1.2
2.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0
10
12
14
16
usuario sujeto a
Q (m3/usuario/mes)
usuario
sujeto a
medicin=14.5
medicin=14.9
18
20
usuario no
no sujeto
usuario
sujetoa a
medicin=16.7
medicin=16.0
29.98
47.12
77.10
29.98
48.51
78.49
29.98
0.00
0.00
curva:
Q=
18.3
Variable cantidad
de
EPS
con
tarifa
9.1
9.08
15.8
1.24
18.3
Tarifa de
(S/./m3)
la
EPS
propuesta
P (S/./m3)
-2
Variable precio
Precio mximo al cual no se
demandaria agua potable (S/./m3)
Precio econmico del agua para los
conectados
segn
curva
de
demanda (S/./m3)
10.0
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
9.08
9.1
Areade
debeneficios
beneficios
Area
1.24
0
0
10
12
Q (m3/usuario/mes)
14
16
14.9
14.5
Estimacin de los beneficios usuarios antiguos con restriccin (primeros aos del proyecto)
Beneficios por incremento del consumo de agua (S/. / fam/mes)
18
20
81.77
0.00
P (S/./m3)
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
9.08
Area de
1.24
0
y = -0.4952x + 9.0845
10
Q (m3/usuario/mes)
12
14
14.
16
18
CUADRO N 1
EVALUACION ECONOMICA ALTERNATIVA N 1
1
4a
4b
4c
N de Familias conectadas al
servicio
Poblacin
Poblacin
Aos
Conectad
Antiguas
Total
Nuevas
a (%)
(*)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
7,995
8,171
8,351
8,534
8,722
8,914
9,110
9,311
9,515
9,725
9,939
10,157
10,381
10,609
10,843
11,081
11,325
11,574
11,829
12,089
95.00%
96.00%
96.00%
96.00%
96.00%
97.00%
97.00%
97.00%
97.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,381
1,426
1,458
1,490
1,522
1,572
1,607
1,642
1,678
1,751
1,789
1,828
1,869
1,910
1,952
1,995
2,039
2,083
2,129
2,176
Total
1,381
1,426
1,458
1,490
1,522
1,572
1,607
1,642
1,678
1,751
1,789
1,828
1,869
1,910
1,952
1,995
2,039
2,083
2,129
2,176
5a
5b
5c
Antiguas
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nuevas
1,277,619
1,319,489
1,348,556
1,378,108
1,408,467
1,454,467
1,486,447
1,519,244
1,552,530
1,619,512
1,655,150
1,691,453
1,728,756
1,766,725
1,805,694
1,845,328
1,885,961
1,927,428
1,969,893
2,013,191
Total
1,277,619
1,319,489
1,348,556
1,378,108
1,408,467
1,454,467
1,486,447
1,519,244
1,552,530
1,619,512
1,655,150
1,691,453
1,728,756
1,766,725
1,805,694
1,845,328
1,885,961
1,927,428
1,969,893
2,013,191
Inversin
Total a
precios
sociales
(S/.)
Produccin
incremental
de agua
(m3/ao)
Costos de
Operacin y
mantenimiento
incrementales
a precios
sociales
Flujo neto a
precios
sociales
3,051,206
580,001
19,008
13,196
13,416
13,782
20,882
14,518
14,889
15,111
30,408
16,178
16,481
16,934
17,237
17,690
17,993
18,446
18,824
19,278
19,656
348,763
358,679
365,955
373,183
380,411
392,349
400,251
408,394
416,489
433,568
442,048
450,721
459,876
468,982
478,281
487,773
497,457
507,142
517,212
527,523
137054.68
138454.85
139482.27
140502.89
141523.51
143209.23
144325.07
145474.93
146617.98
149029.60
150227.00
151451.62
152744.28
154030.13
155343.19
156683.47
158050.96
159418.45
160840.37
162296.31
10
11
Factor de
descuento Valor actual
del flujo neto
a precios
sociales
11%
-3,051,206
560,564
1,162,027
1,195,879
1,224,190
1,253,162
1,290,375
1,327,604
1,358,880
1,390,801
1,440,075
1,488,744
1,523,521
1,559,078
1,595,459
1,632,660
1,670,652
1,709,464
1,749,185
1,789,775
1,831,239
1.000
0.901
0.812
0.731
0.659
0.593
0.535
0.482
0.434
0.391
0.352
0.317
0.286
0.258
0.232
0.209
0.188
0.170
0.153
0.138
0.124
-3,051,206
505,012
943,127
874,416
806,412
743,690
689,887
639,452
589,654
543,699
507,172
472,354
435,485
401,485
370,138
341,233
314,571
289,981
267,314
246,412
227,136
VANS
7,157,422
TIR
35%
Proyecto Rentable en Trminos Sociales
CUADRO N 1
EVALUACION ECONOMICA ALTERNATIVA N 2
1
Aos
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
4a
4b
4c
N de Familias conectadas al
servicio
Poblacin
Poblacin
Conectada
Antiguas
Total
Nuevas
(%)
(*)
7,995
8,171
8,351
8,534
8,722
8,914
9,110
9,311
9,515
9,725
9,939
10,157
10,381
10,609
10,843
11,081
11,325
11,574
11,829
12,089
95.00%
96.00%
96.00%
96.00%
96.00%
97.00%
97.00%
97.00%
97.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
99.00%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,381
1,426
1,458
1,490
1,522
1,572
1,607
1,642
1,678
1,751
1,789
1,828
1,869
1,910
1,952
1,995
2,039
2,083
2,129
2,176
Total
1,381
1,426
1,458
1,490
1,522
1,572
1,607
1,642
1,678
1,751
1,789
1,828
1,869
1,910
1,952
1,995
2,039
2,083
2,129
2,176
5a
5b
5c
Antiguas
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nuevas
1,277,619
1,319,489
1,348,556
1,378,108
1,408,467
1,454,467
1,486,447
1,519,244
1,552,530
1,619,512
1,655,150
1,691,453
1,728,756
1,766,725
1,805,694
1,845,328
1,885,961
1,927,428
1,969,893
2,013,191
Total
1,277,619
1,319,489
1,348,556
1,378,108
1,408,467
1,454,467
1,486,447
1,519,244
1,552,530
1,619,512
1,655,150
1,691,453
1,728,756
1,766,725
1,805,694
1,845,328
1,885,961
1,927,428
1,969,893
2,013,191
Inversin
Total a
precios
sociales
(S/.)
Produccin
incremental
de agua
(m3/ao)
3,864,442
580,001
19,008
13,196
13,416
13,782
20,882
14,518
14,889
15,111
30,408
16,178
16,481
16,934
17,237
17,690
17,993
18,446
18,824
19,278
19,656
348,763
358,679
365,955
373,183
380,411
392,349
400,251
408,394
416,489
433,568
442,048
450,721
459,876
468,982
478,281
487,773
497,457
507,142
517,212
527,523
10
11
Costos de
Factor de
Operacin y
Valor actual
Flujo neto descuento
mantenimiento
del flujo neto
a precios
incrementales
a precios
sociales
a precios
sociales
sociales
11%
137,055
138,455
139,482
140,503
141,524
143,209
144,325
145,475
146,618
149,030
150,227
151,452
152,744
154,030
155,343
156,683
158,051
159,418
160,840
162,296
-3,864,442
560,564
1,162,027
1,195,879
1,224,190
1,253,162
1,290,375
1,327,604
1,358,880
1,390,801
1,440,075
1,488,744
1,523,521
1,559,078
1,595,459
1,632,660
1,670,652
1,709,464
1,749,185
1,789,775
1,831,239
1.000
0.901
0.812
0.731
0.659
0.593
0.535
0.482
0.434
0.391
0.352
0.317
0.286
0.258
0.232
0.209
0.188
0.170
0.153
0.138
0.124
VANS
TIR
-3,864,442
505,012
943,127
874,416
806,412
743,690
689,887
639,452
589,654
543,699
507,172
472,354
435,485
401,485
370,138
341,233
314,571
289,981
267,314
246,412
227,136
6,344,187
29%
Ao
Inversion
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
OP y Mantenimiento
3,202,580.39
828572.73
27,154
18,851
19,165
19,689
29,832
20,740
21,269
21,587
43,440
23,112
23,544
24,192
24,624
25,272
25,704
26,352
26,892
27,540
28,080
65000
67130.17
68608.99
70112.45
71657.00
73997.26
75624.30
77292.85
78986.31
82394.09
84207.19
86054.17
87951.99
89883.70
91866.24
93882.67
95949.94
98059.56
100220.03
102422.85
VAC
PROMEDIO
ICE
Total Costo
3,202,580.39
893572.73
94283.99
87459.89
89277.54
91345.72
103829.26
96364.67
98562.31
100573.22
125834.09
107319.19
109598.17
112143.99
114507.70
117138.24
119586.67
122301.94
124951.56
127760.03
130502.85
3,475,726.63
9,909
350.77
Poblacion
Beneficiaria
7,995
8,171
8,351
8,534
8,722
8,914
9,110
9,311
9,515
9,725
9,939
10,157
10,381
10,609
10,843
11,081
11,325
11,574
11,829
12,089
96000
99128.168
1381
1426
Ao
Inversion
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
OP y Mantenimiento
3,919,632.05
828572.73
27,154
18,851
19,165
19,689
29,832
20,740
21,269
21,587
43,440
23,112
23,544
24,192
24,624
25,272
25,704
26,352
26,892
27,540
28,080
65000
67130.17
68608.99
70112.45
71657.00
73997.26
75624.30
77292.85
78986.31
82394.09
84207.19
86054.17
87951.99
89883.70
91866.24
93882.67
95949.94
98059.56
100220.03
102422.85
VAC
PROMEDIO
ICE
Total Costo
3,919,632.05
893572.73
94283.99
87459.89
89277.54
91345.72
103829.26
96364.67
98562.31
100573.22
125834.09
107319.19
109598.17
112143.99
114507.70
117138.24
119586.67
122301.94
124951.56
127760.03
130502.85
4,252,532.59
9,909
429.17
Poblacion
Beneficiaria
7,995
8,171
8,351
8,534
8,722
8,914
9,110
9,311
9,515
9,725
9,939
10,157
10,381
10,609
10,843
11,081
11,325
11,574
11,829
12,089
96000
99128.168
1381
1426
0%
0%
0%
desde
0%
hasta
280%
Sensibilidad a variacin de costos de inversin
8,000,000
%
Variacin
de Costos
de
Inversin
VAN
0%
7,157,422
56%
5,089,094
84%
4,054,930
112%
3,020,766
140%
1,986,602
168%
952,438
196%
-81,726
224%
-1,115,890
9
10
252%
280%
-2,150,054
-3,184,218
6,000,000
4,000,000
VAN
2,000,000
0
-2,000,000
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
220%
240%
-4,000,000
260%
280%
193.8%
0%
hasta
% Variacin
de Costos de
O&M
VAN
0%
7,157,422
140%
5,540,668
210%
4,732,291
280%
3,923,913
350%
3,115,536
420%
2,307,159
490%
1,498,782
560%
690,404
630%
-117,973
10
700%
-926,350
700%
Sensibilidad a variacin de costos de O & M
VAN
Rango de Anlisis :
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
450%
500%
550%
8,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
-1,000,000
-2,000,000
600% 650% 700%
619.8%
desde
0%
hasta
-60%
Sensibilidad a variacin de beneficios
% Variacin
de Beneficios
VAN
0%
7,157,422
-12%
5,716,740
-18%
4,996,398
-24%
4,276,057
-30%
3,555,715
-36%
2,835,374
-42%
2,115,033
-48%
1,394,691
-54%
674,350
10
-60%
-45,992
8,000,000
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
% de reduccin de beneficios
59.6%
0%
VAN
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!
-60%
#REF!
#REF!
#REF!