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31th Dec 2013

MARKET DIARY
SGX NIFTY : 6360 ( 26pts up )

Quote of The Day


"People calculate too much and think too little." Charles Munger

MARKET
Name Sensex Nifty DOW NASDAQ CAC DAX FTSE NIKKIE HANG SENG EW ALL SHARE Value 21143.01 6291.1 1650494 4154.2 4275.61 9552.15 6731.27 Closed 23327.41 10146.49 Change (50.57) (22.70) 25.88 (2.39) (1.95) (37.25) (19.60) 82.27 (13.92)

Chart of the Day India & US 10 Year Yield Spread

INSTITUTIONAL TURNOVER
FII Investor 30th Dec, 13 Buy(Cr.) 1304.93 59604.87 742658.17 DII Investor 30th Dec, 13 Dec,13 2013 Buy(Cr.) 676.58 19756.20 254841.99 Sale(Cr.) 883.73 27,062.37 3,24,035.09 Net(Cr.) (207.15) (7306.17) (69193.10) Sale(Cr.) 1,188.87 46,448.58 6,55,938.53 Net(Cr.) 116.06 13156.29 86719.64

Index Action-Nifty (30th Dec, 13)

Dec,13 2013

Contents Economic calendar News Derivative Research

Index

Page 4 3 2

Coverage UPDATE UPDATE UPDATE UPDATE

COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY/CURRENCIES Value GOLD 28352.00 SILVER 44148.00 CRUDEOIL 111.25 COPPER NATURALGAS DOLLAR/RS. EURO/RS. POUND/RS. 466.40 274.50 61.91 85.47 102.10

Narnolia Securities Ltd.


124, 1st floor 7/1, Lords Sinha Road Kolkata -700071. Ph 033-22821500/01/02/03/04 Mob : 9830013196 email: research@narnolia.com, website : www.narnolia.com

Derivative Research
NIFTY SNAPSHOT Nifty Spot Nifty Jan 2013 Future Nifty Feb 2013 Future Nifty Jan 2013 Open Interest Nifty Feb 2013 Open Interest 7 DMA of Spot Nifty 21 DMA of Spot NIfty 50 DMA of Spot Nifty VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) PUT CALL RATIO Nifty (Jan Series) Option OI Distribution: 6291.10(-22.70) 6335 6376 19243350 1111800 6268 6240 6188 15.08(+0.42) 0.95 GRAPH

Index Outlook

Activity of Nifty (Jan Series) Strike CALL OI % Chng 6000 771750 0.2 6100 880100 -1.2 6200 1086100 2.2 6300 2459100 8.7 6400 3493100 10.8 6500 4392400 12.0 Fresh Long Seen In (Rising OI -Rising Price) Scrip OI OI ch% COLPAL 4,61,500 19.4 APOLLOTYRE 369,96,000 14.3 DRREDDY 9,81,125 6.8 CROMPGREAV 79,84,000 6.3 CESC 7,70,000 4.8 PCR (OI) STOCK T1 UPL 0.50 JISLJALEQS 0.23 BAJAJ-AUTO 0.32 INDIACEM 0.17 DABUR 0.37

PUT OI 2871650 3018450 3440250 3437550 1289950 680300 CMP 1355.5 101.3 2522.6 131.2 455.3 T2 0.29 0.15 0.22 0.12 0.27 % Chng -0.5 -1.5 6.9 8.8 -9.0 2.6 Ch% 3.9 0.5 0.2 1.2 1.4

FIIs Activity (Fig in Cr) Segment INDEX FUTURE INDEX OPTION STOCK FUTURE STOCK OPTION TOTAL

Buy 743 3,846 1,022 320 5,931

Sell 458 3,545 986 314 5,303

Net 285 301 36 6 628

Fresh Shorts Seen In: (Rising OI -Falling Price) Scrip OI OI ch% CMP RELINFRA 45,09,000 6.8 424.3 JPPOWER 202,28,000 4.9 18.5 ORIENTBANK 32,66,000 4.7 224.0 MRF 36,625 4.6 19268.7 ACC 9,53,500 4.3 1096.2 YESTERDAY'S IMPACT TRADE STOCK STRIKE CE STOCK JPASSOCIAT 60 CE DLF RPOWER 80 CE SSLT APOLLOTYRE 110 CE TATASTEEL BHEL 190 CE RELIANCE SSLT 210 CE ICICIBANK

Ch% -1.5 -1.1 -1.9 -0.8 -2.2 STRIKE PE 160 PE 200 PE 420 PE 860 PE 1100 PE

Markets Snapshot
Top Price Performers Top Performers 1D KALINDEE GATI LML PGEL KERNEX Worst Price Performers Worst Performers 1D SINCLAIR SANWARIA GITANJALI UBENGG ARSHIYA % Change (9.98) (9.92) (9.04) (8.31) (7.89) Worst Performers 1W TFL ONELIFECAP FARMAXIND NOVAIRNSTL SHREERAM % Change (17.20) (17.06) (15.91) (14.47) (13.91) Worst Performers 1M STAR KINETICENG ZENITHINFO SANWARIA SIGRUN % Change (62.98) (50.00) (45.75) (39.69) (38.10) % Change 20.00 19.92 19.89 19.75 18.29 Top Performers 1W A2ZMES RICOAUTO TANEJAERO SIGRUN ASIANTILES % Change 57.77 49.27 47.08 44.44 41.13 Top Performers 1M SVCRES MLKFOOD RICOAUTO DQE BODALCHEM % Change 107.08 93.39 92.96 88.12 77.12

Top News :
Cooper Tire & Rubber Co said it was not going ahead with a USD 2.5 billion merger with Apollo Tyres . Cooper said Apollo notified the company that financing for the deal was no longer available . It is time to move our business forward, said Cooper Chairman, The company said that Cooper Chengshan Tire (CCT) in China is its top priority in near-term. Gitanjali Gems Clarification : With reference to Sprut in share price of the Company, Gitanjali Gems Ltd has clarified to BSE that the stock prices of the Company are governed through market forces and investor's sentiments. The Company do not have any control on the same and hence it's difficult to pin down a specific reason for the same. Jain Irrigation Systems has bagged the order for the prestigious Ramthal-Marol Integrated Micro Irrigation Project in Karnataka. The project value is Rs 385 cr . The order is 8% of sales . UPL Board of Directors have unanimously approved the Buy-back of Equity Shares upto 1,40,00,000 (One Crore Forty Lacs only) fully paid-up equity shares of Rs. 2/- each at a price not exceeding Rs. 220/- per equity share, payable in cash upto an aggregate amount not exceeding Rs. 308 Crore from the open market through Stock Exchange(s). Bosch Ltd has informed that adjust production to meet the demand for products and to avoid unnecessary buildup of inventory, the manufacturing operations at the Company's Jaipur Plant have been suspended on December 30, 2013 and December 31, 2013. Kotak Mah Bank is witnessing a sizable reduction in its home loan book growth in the current fiscal at 10-15 percent levels on poor consumer sentiment . For the past two years, our home loan book has been growing at 30-40 percent . Spanish retail sales rose by a seasonally adjusted 1.9% last month, easily surpassing expectations for a 0.3% decline. Retail sales fell by 0.5% in October. Italys Treasury sold EUR3 billion worth of ten-year debt at an average yield of 4.11%, up from 4.01% at a similar auction last month. The yield on Italian 10-year bonds stood at 4.163% following the auction.Rome also sold EUR2.5 billion of five-year debt at an average yield of 2.71%, compared to a yield of 2.89% in November. Statistics Sweden said that Swedish Retail Sales rose to a seasonally adjusted 0.9%, from 0.2% in the preceding month.Analysts had expected Swedish Retail Sales to rise 0.2% last month. U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal fell to a seasonally adjusted -10.4B, from -12.5B in the preceding month whose figure was revised up from 15.4B.Analysts had expected U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal to fall -7.2B last month. FIPB cleared a decision on Vodafone Group Plc's (VOD.L) $1.6 billion plan to take full ownership of its local unit and approved a $110 million investment plan by Tesco formally paving the way for the British retailer to venture.

Management Tweets
CCL Products Mgt Guideline : CCL expects to clock almost 50 percent revenue growth in FY15 relative to FY15 earnings potential, valuations seem cheap at just 5-6x . Promoters have increased their ownership stake by 5 percent in the September quarter. For FY14E, the ma nagement expects to produce 6,500 million tonne at the Vietnam plant despite poor Q1 performance. Vietnam plant has a capacity of 10,000 million tonne. CCL Products, discusses the companys plans to 80% capacity utilization in Vietnamese plant next year, targetting Rs 700-750 crore revenues and close to 10% net margins . Dhanuka Mgt Guideline : Company is going to have minimum 25 percent growth in next three years . The company hopes to reduce the inventory period by another 10-15 days going ahead . IL&FS Mgt Guideline : The recent order worth Rs 145 crore that IL&FS has bagged from DFCC is unlikely to contribute to Q4 FY14 . IL&FS Engineering, says high interest costs are putting pressure on the companys bottomline.
Economic Calendar
Monday 30-Dec Tuesday 31-Dec Wednesday 1-Jan Thursday 2-Jan Friday 3-Jan

US

S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y , Pending Home Sales m/m .

Chicago PMI

Unemployment Claims , Final Manufacturing Crude Oil Inventories , Total Vehicle Sales PMI , ISM Manufacturing PMI , Construction , Natural Gas Storage . Spending m/m .

UK/EURO ZONE

Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q

Retail PMI

Spanish Manufacturing PMI , Italian Manufacturing PMI , Manufacturing PMI .

Spanish Unemployment Change , M3 Money Supply y/y , Private Loans y/y , Construction PMI , BOE Credit Conditions Survey , Net Lending to Individuals m/m .

INDIA

Auto sales no .HSBC manufacturing PMI data

HSBC India Services PMI , HSBC India Composite PMI.

Result Calendar Q3FY14


BSE Code
514358 536709 507488 521248 509567 507984 500086 532978 500034 532977

Company Name
Everlon Syn VAK POW INF GM Breweries Kitex Garments Goa Carbon-$ SER Inds Exide Inds Bajaj Finserv BAJFINANCE Bajaj Auto

Date
4-Jan-14 4-Jan-14 7-Jan-14 9-Jan-14 11-Jan-14 11-Jan-14 13-Jan-14 15-Jan-14 15-Jan-14 16-Jan-14

BSE Code
532977 500490 500411 533573 500010 507598 505250 500165 524038 522261

Company Name
Bajaj Auto Bajaj Holdings Thermax Alembic Pharma HDFC KLRF GG Dandekar Kansai Nerolac Venlon Enter Dolphin Offsh-$

Date
16-Jan-14 16-Jan-14 21-Jan-14 22-Jan-14 22-Jan-14 27-Jan-14 31-Jan-14 31-Jan-14 31-Jan-14 3-Feb-14

Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer :This report/message is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This report/message is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any form. The report/message is based upon publicly available information, findings of our research wing Eastwind & information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not provide any express or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations, should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned in this report/message.

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