8601 4th St. N.

, Suite 304
St. Petersburg, FL 33702
Phone: (727) 245-1962
Fax: (727) 577-7470
Email: info@stpetepolls.org
Website: www.stpetepolls.org
Matt Florell, President

Subject: Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 Special Election survey

conducted for SaintPetersBlog.com
Date: December 30, 2013
Executive Summary:
This poll of 488 Florida U.S. Congressional District 13 active Republican voters was conducted
on Monday, December 30, 2013. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of
Florida as of December 3rd, 2013. The sample of voters that were called included random
samples of registered Republican voters within the boundaries of the 13th U.S. Congressional
District of Florida.
The issues surveyed included questions related to the January 2014 special election Republican
primary.
Methodology:
The poll was conducted by an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Republican voter population for Florida's U.S. Congressional District
13. The demographics used were: race and age and gender.
The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within Florida's
U.S. Congressional District 13. Only voters that had voted in the 2012 Republican Presidential
Preference Primary election were included in this survey. Only voters that stated they had voted
already or were planning to vote in the Republican primary special election were included in this
survey.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 488 respondents and a
Margin of Error of 4.4% at a 95% confidence level.

2013 Fextel, Inc.

phone: (727) 245-1962

website: www.stpetepolls.org

Summary of Scientific Results:

ALL REPUBLICAN VOTERS:
Do you believe that Obamacare should be left alone, repealed without a replacement or
repealed once a better plan is available?
Left alone:
11.9%
Repealed no replacement:
58.3%
Repealed with replacement: 26.5%
Undecided:
3.2%
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for
Mark Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
17.7%
Jolly:
39.4%
Peters:
27.7%
Undecided:
15.1%

Breakdown of Early Voters and Likely Voters

EARLY REPUBLICAN VOTERS ONLY: (208 respondents)
Do you believe that Obamacare should be left alone, repealed without a replacement or
repealed once a better plan is available?
Left alone:
13.0%
Repealed no replacement:
52.4%
Repealed with replacement:
31.7%
Undecided:
2.9%
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for Mark
Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
20.2%
Jolly:
38.9%
Peters:
33.7%
Undecided:
7.2%

LIKELY REPUBLICAN VOTERS ONLY: (280 respondents)

Do you believe that Obamacare should be left alone, repealed without a replacement or
repealed once a better plan is available?
Left alone:
11.1%
Repealed no replacement:
62.5%
Repealed with replacement:
22.9%
Undecided:
3.6%
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for Mark
Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
15.7%
Jolly:
40.4%
Peters:
23.2%
Undecided:
20.7%

2013 Fextel, Inc.

phone: (727) 245-1962

website: www.stpetepolls.org

Detailed Results with Demographic Breakdowns for Each Question:

ALL REPUBLICAN VOTERS:
Do you believe that Obamacare should be left alone, repealed without a replacement or
repealed once a better plan is available?
Left alone:
11.9%
Repealed no replacement:
58.3%
Repealed with replacement: 26.5%
Undecided:
3.2%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Left alone:
Repealed no replacement:
Repealed with replacement:
Undecided:

11.9%
58.2%
26.6%
3.3%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 469 responses
Left alone:
12.2%
Repealed no replacement:

Repealed with replacement: 26.4%

Undecided:

3.4%

Black, Not Hispanic 1 responses

Left alone:
100.0% Repealed no replacement: 0%

Repealed with replacement: 0%

Undecided:

0%

Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses

Left alone:
0%
Repealed no replacement:

75.0%

Repealed with replacement: 25.0%

Undecided:

0%

Hispanic 4 responses
Left alone:
0%

Repealed no replacement:

75.0%

Repealed with replacement: 25.0%

Undecided:

0%

Other or Unknown 10 responses

Left alone:
0%
Repealed no replacement:

60.0%

Repealed with replacement: 40.0%

Undecided:

0%

Repealed no replacement:

58.2%

Repealed with replacement: 29.3%

Undecided:

2.5%

Repealed no replacement:

58.2%

Repealed with replacement: 24.1%

Undecided:

4.0%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 6 responses
Left alone:
16.7%

Repealed no replacement:

50.0%

Repealed with replacement: 33.3%

Undecided:

0%

30 to 49 64 responses
Left alone:
10.9%

Repealed no replacement:

70.3%

Repealed with replacement: 17.2%

Undecided:

1.6%

50 to 69 233 responses
Left alone:
12.9%
Repealed no replacement:

59.2%

Repealed with replacement: 25.8%

Undecided:

2.1%

70 and up 185 responses

Left alone:
10.8%
Repealed no replacement:

53.0%

Repealed with replacement: 30.8%

Undecided:

5.4%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 239 responses
Left alone:
10.0%
Female 249 responses
Left alone:
13.7%

58.0%

In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for
Mark Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
Bircher:
17.7%
Jolly:
39.4%
Peters:
27.7%
Undecided:
15.1%
Non-Weighted Results and Demographic Breakdowns:
Bircher:
Jolly:
Peters:
Undecided:

17.6%
39.8%
27.7%
15.0%

Race Breakdown:
White, Not Hispanic 469 responses
Bircher:
17.3%
Jolly:
39.7%

Peters:

27.7%

Undecided:

15.4%

Black, Not Hispanic 1 responses

Bircher:
100.0% Jolly:
0%

Peters:

0%

Undecided:

0%

Asian or Pacific Islander 4 responses

Bircher:
0%
Jolly:
0%

Peters:

75.0%

Undecided:

25.0%

Hispanic 4 responses
Bircher:
25.0%

75.0%

Peters:

0%

Undecided:

0%

Other or Unknown 10 responses

Bircher:
30.0%
Jolly:
50.0%

Peters:

20.0%

Undecided:

0%

Gender Breakdown:
Male 239 responses
Bircher:
17.6%

Jolly:

Jolly:

39.7%

Peters:

25.5%

Undecided:

17.2%

Jolly:

39.8%

Peters:

29.7%

Undecided:

12.9%

Age Breakdown:
18 to 29 6 responses
Bircher:
33.3%

Jolly:

0%

Peters:

33.3%

Undecided:

33.3%

30 to 49 64 responses
Bircher:
18.8%

Jolly:

32.8%

Peters:

32.8%

Undecided:

15.6%

50 to 69 233 responses
Bircher:
19.7%
Jolly:

37.3%

Peters:

27.9%

Undecided:

15.0%

70 and up 185 responses

Bircher:
14.1%
Jolly:

46.5%

Peters:

25.4%

Undecided:

14.1%

Female 249 responses

Bircher:
17.7%

2013 Fextel, Inc.

phone: (727) 245-1962

website: www.stpetepolls.org