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Comentarios
• G20: La atención se centra en el decreciente apalancamiento del sistema financiero, el incremento de las participaciones en activo líquido y la reducción de las
bonificaciones de los bancos. El efecto a largo plazo resulta negativo para los mercados financieros, pero en nuestra opinión este resultado ya se ha tenido en
cuenta y los indicadores financieros parecen haber tomado la senda de reducción del apalancamiento. El índice DJ se ha incrementado en un 10% en las últimas
dos semanas.
• Las obligaciones del Tesoro estadounidense a 10 años de diciembre del 2009 se están preparando para una ruptura de 116,50. Se ha producido una fuerte
inversión de tendencia del Índice Compuesto de Shangai con origen en las nuevas bajadas durante la noche.
Publicaciones de ganancias
País Hora (GMT) Nombre GPA prevista GPA anterior Comentario
(G(GMT)(GMT)
Informe Diario de Mercado
2.5
120
100
1.5
1 80
0.5
60
-0.5 40
12-maj 12-jul 12-sep 12-nov 12-jan 12-mar 12-maj 12-jul 12-sep 22-09-2008 22-11-2008 22-01-2009 22-03-2009 22-05-2009 22-07-2009
U S B re ake ve n 10 Ye ar Saxo CDS Index
USD breakeven 10 Year – an expression for measuring inflation Credit Default Swaps are expressions for the perceived
expectations. default risk in a company. Now at 53.
AAA and BAA Corporate Bonds vs. 30yr US Treasuries
EURUSD Opt. Vol.
35 7
6
30
5
25
4
20
3
15
2
10
1
5
0
feb-08 maj-08 aug-08 nov-08 feb-09 maj-09 aug-09
0
sep-07 nov-07 jan-08 mar-08 maj-08 jul-08 sep-08 nov-08 jan-09 mar-09 maj-09 jul-09 sep-09
M o o d y B AA - US G e n e ric Go vt 3 0 Ye ar Yie l d M o o d y A AA - US Ge n e ri c Go vt 3 0 Ye ar Yi e ld
EUR -USD OP T VOL1 W EUR -USD OP T VOL1 M EUR -USD O P T VOL1 Y
Volatility at different time horizons. Too low, now? Spreads are easing, but still showing tight corporate debt
markets.
10 50
8 40
6 30
4 20
10
2
0
0
mar-09 apr-09 maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09
nov-08 dec-08 jan-09 feb-09 mar-09 apr-09 maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09
C B OE SP X V OLATILITY I NDX
1
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