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The Indian tourism and hospitality industry is on a roll, driven by the huge surge in both business and
leisure travel by domestic and foreign tourists. The country's travel and tourism industry is expected to
generate approximately US$ 100 billion in 2008, rising to Rs 15 US$ 275.5 billion by 2018 over the
next ten years, as per the latest Tourism Satellite Accounting (TSA) research released by the World
Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) and its strategic partner Accenture.
The growth of tourist inflow into India was well above world average, leading to a rise of India's share
in World arrivals from 0.37 per cent in 2001 to 0.53 per cent in 2006. Also, as noted by UN World
Tourism Organisation (UNWTO), the growth of Indian tourism industry was instrumental in the
Further, tourism is an important industry in Indian economy contributing around 6.8 per cent of the
Gross Domestic Product and providing employment to over 41 million persons. According to a research
University of New South Wales (UNSW), Australian School of Business (ASB), India and China will be
the new global players competing for a huge chunk of tourists, transforming the geopolitical landscape.
Inbound Tourists
The flow of foreign tourist arrivals has been recording phenomenal growth rates. The number of arrivals
has increased from 3.9 million in 2005 to 4.4 million in 2006 and 4.95 million in 2007, recording a
growth rate of 13.5 per cent in 2006 (over 2005) and 11.9 per cent in 2007 (over 2006). Alongside, there
has been a concomitant rise in the foreign exchange earnings. Total earnings from foreign tourists has
shown an annual growth rate of 19.2 per in 2006 and 33.8 per cent in 2007 to garner US$ 7.49 billion in
2005, US$ 8.93 in 2006 and US$ 11.96 billion in 2007. Continuing the foreign tourists' interest in the
country, the first four months of 2008 recorded a growth rate of 11.9 per cent (in tourist arrivals) over
the corresponding period in 2007, receiving 2.02 million in foreign tourist arrivals. Simultaneously,
foreign exchange earnings grew by a much faster rate at 28.9 per cent in 2008, against 20 per cent
during corresponding period in 2007. Total foreign exchange earnings totalled US$ 4.84 billion, against
Significantly, while India's share in world arrivals was about 0.5 per cent, its share in revenue generated
India, with its diverse landscape, offers huge scope for various theme-based travel like Medical Tourism,
Adventure tourism, Heritage tourism, Wellness tourism, Pilgrimage tourism, Golf tourism, Eco-tourism,
Wildlife tourism among others. India's growing reputation as a major medical tourism destination is
attracting more and more foreign visitors. In fact, Indian hospitals are fast becoming the first choice for
foreign patients owing to easy access to visa facilities coupled with the best emerging medical
infrastructure which will help India earn to an extent of US$ 1.86 billion in foreign exchange by 2012.
Currently India‘s earnings through medical tourism annually is an estimated US$ 821.40 million. In fact,
according to the World Travel and Trade Council, Indian tourism demand will continue to grow at a
rapid pace. It estimates the demand to grow at an average of 8.8 per cent between 2004 and 2013,
making India the world's third fastest growing tourist market. The boom in the Indian tourism industry
has cascaded to the rural areas as well. India continues to attract tourists owing to its splendid historical
architecture and rich culture along with beautiful beaches, rural tourism or what now is called
'responsible tourism' is also fast gaining popularity with travelers flocking to discover the best in rural
Outbound Tourists
With the economy growing consistently at over 9 per cent, increasing disposable incomes, a change in
the spending habits, liberalization of exchange controls, increasing affordability due to numerous
holiday packages and cheaper air fares, outbound tourist traffic has been growing at a rapid pace.
Outbound tourist market has been growing at an annual average growth of around 25 per cent. In 2007,
an estimated 8 million Indian tourists ventured abroad. Moving ahead, the United Nations World
Tourism Organisation (UNWTO) estimates the figure to reach about 50 million by 2020.
Along with the rise in the number of Indians traveling abroad, both the total and per capita expenditure
spent abroad has been increasing. For example, according to the European Travel Commission, average
spend per trip of Indian outbound tourists has increased from US$ 611 in 2000 to US$ 822 in 2006.
Similarly, Euromonitor International estimates the outgoing tourism expenditure from India to grow to
US$ 21 million by 2011, representing a growth rate of over 25.7 per cent between 2006 and 2011.
HospitalityThe booming tourism industry has had a cascading effect on the hospitality sector with an
increase in the occupancy ratios and average room rates. While occupancy ratio is around 75-80
percent,the average increase in room rates has been hovering around 22-25 per cent.
And with the continuing surge in tourist inflow, this sector is likely to offer tremendous opportunity for
investors. For example, while the estimated number of required hotel rooms is around 240,000, the
current availability is just 90,000 rooms - leaving a shortfall of 150,000 rooms to be provided.
With such a huge potential available in this segment, several global hotel chains like the Hilton, Accor,
Marriott International, Berggruen Hotels, Cabana Hotels, Premier Travel Inn (PTI), InterContinental
Hotels group and Hampshire among others have all announced major investment plans for the country.
The Government's move to declare hotel and tourism industry as a high priority sector with a provision
for 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) has also provided a further impetus in attracting
around 40 international hotel brands making their presence in the country by 2011. Simultaneously,
international hotel asset management companies are also likely to enter India. Already, US-based HVS
International has firmed up plans to enter India, and industry players believe others like Ashford
Hospitality Trust and IFA Hotels & Resorts among others are likely to follow suit.
A look at a travel brochure these days, shows a tendency by travel writers to speak in superlatives.
“Grand colonial architecture”, “sparkling beaches”, “amazing monuments” and so on; and yet, for a
country like India, all these adjectives and more, are totally appropriate. However, for a country bursting
with tourism opportunities, we have been slightly slow on the uptake, as far as promoting these
destinations goes. A point highlighted by the First Planning Commission way back in 1955, which
ranked tourism 269th on their priority list of industries – lower than even the development of light-
houses! At that time, the average number of tourists who came knocking at our door, was around 15,000.
A Historical Perspective
Post-Independence, while critical issues like agriculture, infrastructure and power supply hogged the
limelight, travel and tourism received stepdaughterly treatment, as it was deemed a ‘luxury’ – affordable
by only a few. Not much has changed over the last four decades, and it seemed every time the industry
gained some form of momentum despite the closed and protected economy, there was something lurking
in the shadows to clip its wings. The introduction of FERA put a serious crimp in foreign investment in
the country and the Emergency was yet another deterrent to the tourism movement. A look at the Five
Year Plans shows that in the Third Plan (1961-1966) tourism got approx 4.001 crores, which was 0.11%
of the total Plan outlay. In the Eighth Plan, (1992-1997) it was Rs 272 crores – still 0.11% of the total
plan outlay. At this time, policy makers, industry representatives and opinion makers equated tourism
with foreign visitors. To their way of thinking, it was the foreign visitor who occupied hotel
accommodation, filled airline seats, frequented bars and restaurants and used recreation facilities. Plus,
given the foreign exchange (forex) shortage, the foreign tourist was looked upon as Daddy Big-Bucks –
with an almost endless supply of crisp foreign currency. And while key aspects of Indian tourism came
to be tailored to the foreign visitor, the price mechanism too, came to be tied to overseas costs. Hotel
rates, food and beverages in hotels, handicrafts, etc, were priced at a level much higher than the
economic standards prevalent in the country at the time. No way could our rupee-toting lads compete.
Thus, for our fellow countrymen, travel was restricted to places of pilgrimage or going to one’s native
town to visit the family once a year. However, other South East Asian countries were on the ball soon
enough when they realised the potential of tourism. Hong Kong, Singapore and Thailand dug in the
infrastructure, developed detailed tourism plans and marketed them in glorious technicolour across the
world. Ironically, today, Indian outbound tourism provides a sizeable chunk of tourist inflow into these
countries.
From the mid-80s to the early 90s, the Indian corporate world underwent a transformation. The Old
Guard - Tatas, Birlas and Godrej – saw the emergence of the newer dynasties on the As new factories
opened and the corporate kingdoms spread across the country, so did the need for roving executives,
with suitably generous travel and entertainment allowances. And thus was born the corporate traveller.
Airlines and hotels didn’t take long to work out that the man with the tie and briefcase was the man with
the corporate expense account! Airlines introduced business or club class and the hospitality sector set
up executive floors - complete with butlers - geared to cater to this booming segment. The outbound
segment (as we know it today) was still in its nascent stage. The “have- suitcase-will-travel” high lasted
only for so long, as the reality of getting sponsor letters from friends and family overseas set in, and the
forex restrictions of USD$ 500 as one’s basic travel quota (BTQ) once every two years, made travelling
abroad more than a little difficult. Naturally, this being the land of opportunity, the grey market for forex
boomed – practically every large general store in well to- do neighbourhoods had an extra drawer for
their greenbacks. Low customs allowances meant that bringing items into the country from your travels
– assuming you went to some place where US$500 would get you anything – meant the little man in a
white uniform welcomed you on your return to the Homeland, and rubbed his hands in glee. “Red
channel please” was the helpful direction he gave you as you wearily pushed your trolley towards a long
The tourism industry began to swing in the mid-90s, with the liberalisation of the economy, and with
India ratifying the agreement to set up the WTO unit in India. Foreign investment in industry, foreign
investment in airlines and foreign media got the country excited about the world “out there” and the
guy with 50 channels at his disposal, found bikini-clad motivation on his 21 inch screen, to get out of his
armchair and check out new destinations. The alphabets ‘MBA’ next to a young person’s name opened
up the road to five-figure salaries, six-figure bonuses and stock options. Young people were raring to go
where they parents hadn’t been and they had the means to do it! And, more surprisingly, the Indian
traveller began to get excited about touring around his own country and the trend for domestic tourism
was firmly set. The last decade of the last century alone, saw an increase by more than 100 million
travellers in the domestic tourism segment – from 63.8 million visitors in 1990, to 176 million in 1999.
The Number Crunch
On a broader scale though, finding accurate figures and statistics is something of a problem even today,
and in the absence of a centrally appointed and vigilant monitoring body, one can only
make estimates. Immigration figures based on disembarkation cards are unreliable as they make little
distinction between visitors coming only to India or backtracking from Nepal or other neighbouring
countries. Also, a large number of arrivals stay with family or friends and do not contribute much to the
forex kitty. Forex earnings have been accepted by the tourism industry, as being the surer criterion of the
quality and number of tourists a country is attracting. A study by FICCI, in 1994, showed that
the overall forex earnings from tourism had been static around US$ 1.2 – 1.4bn. In 1989, our earnings in
forex were Rs ,2103 crores, which rose to Rs 3,990 crores in 1993. But if one were to take into account
the devaluation that the rupee had been facing against the dollar at the time, then the net
dollar earnings had virtually remained stagnant. Tracking tourism in the domestic sector is even more
difficult as this is still an unorganised sector, with individuals making their own arrangements or
Post-September 11, the tourism industry in India has shown resilience with Indian travellers opting to
look inwards to domestic tourism or to explore other destinations such as Australia and New Zealand.
The Kargil conflict, the current Iraq war and the new flu on the loose in South East Asia, have also dealt
serious blows to the global tourism industry. Despite this litany of international crises, today, it is an
accepted fact that tourism is the fastest growing industry in the world; a creator of wealth and business
opportunities, an income multiplier, a catalyst for employment and preserver of the environment. An
status, and an increase in plan outlay to Rs 225 crore. The international airports in the four metros are to
be upgraded to world-class standards and six comprehensive tourism circuits will be developed to help
promote tourism. The lack of a centralised government apex body to give it the tourism industry focus
and direction, is still a cause for serious concern. At present, the central ministry of tourism’s functions
are limited to marketing India overseas and providing meager financial support to state governments for
the creation of tourism facilities. Most of the important issues relating to tourism are deciding elsewhere.
The Ministry of Civil Aviation controls aviation policy as well as the administration of airports. The
Ministry of Home Affairs/External Affairs decides the visa regime, and the Ministry of Finance
supervises the fiscal policy for investment in the tourism sector and of course the all important tax
structure. It is left to the private sector to run between the ministries to bring about any radical reforms.
The classic Indian bureaucratic runaround – the death-knell to an industry on the move!
International Recognition
India's booming tourism sector has not only witnessed international investments but also achieved
international accolades with its increasing appeal as the leading global tourist destination. The government
has been instrumental in making tourism a priority sector. Its efforts have borne fruits with a series of
• India has been elected to head the UN World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO), the highest policy
• The world's leading travel and tourism journal, Conde Nast Traveller, has ranked India as the
• India's Taj Mahal continues to figure in the Seven Wonders of the World.
• Bangalore-based Leela Palace Kempinski was voted the favourite business hotel in the world in a
• India bagged the World's leading Destination Marketing Award for the Incredible India campaign.
Future-wise
The more significant findings of the many reports done for the international travel and tourism industry
show that the focus of the industry is gradually shifting from Europe and N America to east/South Asia
and the Pacific. A research forecast by the World Travel and Tourism Council pegs tourism industry
growth at 4.5% over the next ten years. Turkey is expected to be the fastest growing travel and tourism
economy over the next 10 years at a rate of 10.2%, while India will have a growth of 9.7%. This buoyant
outlook also reflects a possibility of the creation of nearly 7 million jobs over the next 10 years.
The boom in India's tourism industry and the surge in tourist inflow to the country have percolated to other
associated sectors like hospitality. The revenues for the Indian hotel and restaurant industry in the year
2006-07 exceeded US$ 118.85 million, an increase of nearly 22 per cent over the previous year. The
industry is poised for rapid growth and is projected to be well worth over US$ 158.49 million by the year
2010.
And with the continuing surge in tourist inflow, this sector is likely to offer tremendous opportunity for
investors. For example, while the estimated number of required hotel rooms is around 240,000, the current
India's hospitality sector is expected to see an estimated US$ 11.41 billion in the next two years, and
around 40 international hotel brands by 2011, according to a report by Ma Foi Management Consultants.
Along with these large-scale expansion plans, international hotel asset management companies are also
likely to enter India. Several global hotel chains see immense investment opportunities in the sector with
global chains like Hilton, Marriott International, Berggruen Hotels, Cabana Hotels, Premier Travel Inn
(PTI), InterContinental Hotels group and Hampshire amongst others have announced major investment
Hotels have a very long history, but not as we know today, way back in the 6 th century BC when
the first inn in and around the city of London began to develop. The first catered to travelers and
provided them with a mere roof to stay under. This condition of the inns prevailed for a long time, until
the industrial revolution in England, which brought about new ideas and progress in the business at inn
keeping.
The invention of the steam engine made traveling even more prominent. Which had to more and
more people traveling not only for business but also for leisure reasons. This lead to the actual
Hotel today not only cater to the basic needs of the guest like food and shelter provide much
CLASSIFICATION OF HOTEL
Hotel can be classified into different categories or classes, based on their operational criteria. For
example the type of accommodation they provide, location of the property, type of services provided,
facilities given and the clientele they cater to can help categories hotels today.
1 Market segment:
• Time-share hotels
• Condotel / Condiminium
• Executive hotels
Property type:
• Traditional hotel
• Motels
• Commercial hotel
• Chain hotel
• Casino hotel
• Boutique hotels
• Resorts
o Spa’s
o Conference resorts
2 According to size:
a) Market segment
b) Property type
c) Size
d) Level of services
f) Plans
g) Type of patronage
i) Location etc …
MARKET SEGMENT
Economy hotel:
It provides efficient sanity private rooms with bath. The furnishing and decor are acceptable to
majority of travelers. Food and beverage service may or may not be available.
It offers separate sleeping and living areas along with a kitchenette and a stocked bar, and offer class
service.
They are luxury hotels with exceptional decor better than average food and beverage service, uniformed
bell services. They often have 2 or 3 dining rooms, swimming pool, spas etc.
Deluxe hotels:
They are better and offer more specialized services than first class hotels. They also provide
limousine services.
PROPERTY TYPE
Traditional hotels:
They have the basic concept of rooms with break fast, bell desk services and the other usual
services.
Motels:
They are located on highways. Guest is given parking right outside their rooms. The usually have
Resorts:
They are usually situated in tourist locations like on rivers, mountains, jungles, or the sea. They
give more privilege to sports activities leisure and re-creation activities like manages, sightseeing,
Resident hotels:
Where guest stay for longer duration, stay like weeks, months even years.
Casino hotels:
They are hotels usually in tourist spots and mainly cater to people who are on holidays. Casino
hotels like the name suggest offer gambling facilities along with accommodations.
SIZE
LEVEL OF SERVICES:
World-class services:
They target top business executives and provide service s that cater to needs of such people like
They provide comfortable and inexpensive rooms and meet the basic requirement of the guest.
These hotels may be large of small in size depending on the kind of business they get. The key factor
behind the survival of these hotels is that they are priced very low and are in the budget of most of the
travelers.
Independent hotels:
They have no application with other properties. They have their own management and are single
Chain hotels:
They impose certain minimum standards, levels of service, policies and procedures to be
followed by their entire establishment. Chain hotels usually have corporate offices that monitor all their
properties and one management runs these properties. That is all the hotels under the chain are
The franchisee grants the entities, the right to conduct business provided they follow the
established pattern of the franchisee, maintains their standards, levels of service, practice their policies
and procedures.
The hotel industry at present in india
The travel and hospitality industry continues to be the sector, which has largely profited from the fast
growing economy of India. This has largely been due to the 5.2 m tourist arrivals in FY08 (11% growth)
over the previous period. In the last five years, growth stood at 17% per annum. The hotel industry went
through a rough patch between FY00 to FY04 owing to factors like the Asian financial crisis, Afghan war,
• India occupies forty-sixth position among the sixty tourist destinations in the world. A flourishing
economy helped boost demand for the industry. To encourage the tourism sector, the government is
planning to propose a conditional 10-year tax holiday for all tourism projects in the country. Companies
will enjoy full tax exemption up to 50% of profits, but will qualify for tax benefits for the remaining
amount only if they re-invest it in tourism projects. The Centre and States are also working out a PPP
offering new products such as wellness tourism, medical tourism and golf tourism are expected to have a
Supply
Supply is catching pace. Metros will witness an oversupply situation after four to five years.
Demand
Largely depends on business travelers but tourist traffic is also on the rise. Demand normally spurts in the
Barriers to entry
High capital costs, poor infrastructure facilities and scarcity of land especially in the metros.
Bargaining power of suppliers
Competition
Intense in metro cities, slowly picking up in secondary cities. Competition has picked up due to the
• India continued to witness cheering trends in the tourism sector in 2007 with 5.2 m tourists visiting
the country, registering a growth of 11% YoY. The Indian hospitality sector continued to be the forerunner
of India's economic growth with support from the government. In the Budget 2007, five-year tax holidays
for new star-category hotels and convention halls coming up in the National Capital Region by 2010 were
announced. The Ministry has sanctioned 225 projects and utilised Rs.4.6 bn for upgradation of
infrastructure facilities at important tourist destinations. Even public-private partnership is being planned
to develop infrastructure projects. As a result of the high room rates in branded hotels, unregulated,
unorganised hotels and guesthouse segments have emerged. Even the existing hotel players entered new
• However, in the beginning of the year, the global crisis, slowdown in corporate earnings and rising
air fares affected the hotel sector to a certain extent. Occupancy levels at hotels catering to business
travellers have dropped 5% to 10% since the end of January. With the dip in occupancy levels and new
supply coming in certain destinations, the room rates witnessed a marginal increase, which was much
slower than what was witnessed last year. Further, with hotel rooms in India being relatively more
expensive (last year was unusual when tariffs rose by 25%), a slowdown was inevitable. Average room
rates (ARRs) in the branded hotel category in India have increased 280% in the past three years, as per
HVS International. Bangalore saw a decline in room rates, while Mumbai and Delhi witnessed a 15% to
18% increase as compared to more than 30% hikes witnessed in FY07. Going forward, the prices will
soften by the end of the year as the supplies would start coming in from FY09, which would bring tariffs
• The Planning Commission's High Level Group on services sector has pegged the room shortage in
the country at 150,000 rooms by 2010, out of which more than 100,000 will be in the budget category. Not
only the Indian hotel majors, but even international players have lined up huge capex plans. Investments of
US$ 11 bn over the next 2 years are expected to be earmarked for the hotel industry in India. Further, new
segments like budget hotels, service apartments and management contracts are witnessing increasing
interest.
Prospects
According to the 2002 estimates of the World Tourism Organisation (WTO), international tourist inflow in
India by 2020 would be 10 m, which means the tourist influx has to grow at a CAGR of 6.5% for the next
14 years. This makes the country one of the fastest growing tourist destinations in the world second only to
China. As of FY08, the increase in the tourist arrivals is well inline with the WTO estimates.
• India accounts for 0.5% of world tourism. Strong GDP growth, improving infrastructure,
confidence in the country's economic prospects, open sky policy and the 'Incredible India' campaign has
improved the outlook for India. This positive outlook would increase the tourist arrival in the country and
the hotel industry is expected to be the major beneficiary. Even domestic tourism is gaining momentum.
Rising disposable incomes, cheaper airfares and better connectivity would continue to increase the demand
for rooms.
• Many international hotel chains either have or are on the look out for setting up shop in the
country. Companies like the Hilton and Hyatt group have already tied up with local giants East India
Hotels and Asian Hotels. Others like Four Seasons, are on the lookout for a partner or would be setting up
their own hotels, government permitting. This clearly shows that India is on the international tourism
radar.
• Although prospects are promising, as mentioned earlier, any change in the global geo-political
situations can and have adversely affected the performance of this sector. Also, the heightened demand for
land, especially from real estate players has led to a steep escalation in the prices. Also, shortage of
manpower is going to be a huge challenge going forward. Hotel players with a diversified portfolio across
different segments are likely to be the key beneficiaries. This should be one of the determining factors
Every business with the global prospects in the multi dimensional, volatile atmosphere has to introspect its
strategies taking into consideration the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. The hotel industry
also tags along the line and has to undertake smart and innovative moves to woo its clientele who expect
best possible service at competitive rates. It is estimated that approximately a lull of 2%-10% of the
previous year business in all categories of hotels. Some hotels have to face modernization at huge costs
often especially in cyber city like Bangalore where technology up-gradation is swift and the inflows of
customers require multi dimensional facilities ranging from full-fledged business center to high grade
video conferencing.
The hotel should concentrate and keep up the good work even if the business is already strong. Each
relevant factor needs to be rated according to its importance- high, medium, or low for the business as a
whole 1. The Indian Hotel Industry utilizes the latest marketing principles and information technology
updates to get a respectable position in the world market. In the face the worldwide economic recession,
the guests have become more sensitive to price which calls for effective formulation of the pricing
strategy.
Though the sales & market conditions are changing rapidly, the marketing principles are not changing.
Hotel owners and managements tend to be more inclined towards marketing and sales rather than cost
control, constantly seeking to maximize room sales - double- bed occupancies. All this may fail and such a
scenario may result in profit problem on cyclic basis, which may sometimes lead the hotel into liquidation
or forced sale.
Hotels seeking a balance between achieving high occupancies and high average room rates may have
higher long term profit. The peculiar nature of the hotel business may compel the management to think
short term about day-to-day problems or the next-meal periods, as the ROOM DAY is a PERISHABLE
The increased competition has lead to Up market self-catering, time sharing, home entertainment,
competition from producers of other services and commodities and other trends like rising operating costs,
t.
AWARDING OF CLASS:
Awarding of class is done by the HRACC in India. These are a few things listed down that are
• Rooms efficiency
• Number of Restaurants
• Concierge services
• Accessibility to entertainment
• Availability of transportation
For a hotel to be recognized as a three star property the architectural features and general features
of the building should be very good there should be adequate parking facilities. At least 50% of the
rooms must be air-conditioned. Also the ambience and decor of the place must be ecstatic.
They should provide reservation and information facility apart from reception, information, bell
service at least two gourmet dining facility should be available. The establishment may or may not have
banqueting facility.
They should provide high levels of personalized services. The staff must be well-trained and
proper standards for hygiene and sanitation must be followed. Also all properties have to keep in mind
Five star category is only allotted to properties, which have all the qualities of a three star
property and a few additional. Like the entire property must be centrally air-conditioned. The building of
the property must be an attractive one. All the rooms must be spacious. The property must have proper
banqueting facility, business center. Proper and well-maintained pool and health club a spa is optional.
The property must have 24 hour coffee shop, round the clock room service, a bar, and a
minimum of 1 gourmet restaurant. The staff must be highly trained and a degree of specialization must
Equipments must be used and the facility provided in the rooms must be sophisticated.
They are more or less like five star properties with the only difference is that they are on a larger
scale. Five star deluxe properties maintain a very high staff to guest ratio and very high levels of service
is maintained. They in addition to five star properties have 5 to 7 dining rooms, a bar, 24-hour coffee
With a view of improving standards and creating awareness, the Govt. of India,
approved projects and classified hotels. These have been included in the revised guidelines, which
would come into effect shortly. The details of these are as follow
I. Eco-Friendly Practices
• Energy Conservation: It is necessary that all star category hotels should have energy
conservation lamps.
• Water Conservation: Water saving taps and showers are necessary for 5-star and 5-star
deluxe hotels and desirable for 1-star to 4-star category and Heritage hotels.
undertaken. Garbage should be segregated into wet and dry separating that which can be re-
cycled or re-used. It is necessary that the wet garbage areas should be airconditioned for 3 to
5 Star deluxe categories and desirable for 1 and 2 star hotels.The aim should be to achieve a
• Efforts for water conservation should be made byincorporating dual system flushing options
• Pollution control methods for air, water, sound & light should be incorporated. Sewerage
• Atleast one room should be equipped for physically challenged persons. This is necessary for
all 4, 5 and 5 -Deluxe category hotels and desirable for 1 to 4 star category hotels.
• Atleast one telephone in the lounge or seating area in the lobby should be placed at no higher
than 24" from the floor. This is necessary for 5-Star and 5-Star deluxe hotels, it would be
• The public rest rooms for ladies and gents should have facilities for physically challenged
person's i.e. low height urinals as per international specifications. This is a necessary
• Ramps with anti-slip floors and handrails are a necessary requirement for 4, 5 and 5 star
wheelchairs.
• Fire and emergency alarms should be visible and audible signals.
• Exclusively earmarked, clearly sign-posted and accessible parking space may be allocated
Major players
• ITDC hotels
• ITC Hotels
Hotels are no longer satisfied with the plain-vanilla room concept but are now getting ready for alternate
hospitality formats such as residential hotels, destination resorts, condo hotels, vacation ownership and
• Four Seasons is developing a destination resort in Puthenkayal, Kerala, which will have 75 villas
and also 20 branded, luxury private residences. The resort will be operational by 2012.
• Nearly 11 per cent of the hotel demand in the country is from long stay guests. The Leela Group is
looking at tapping this market. Its property in Gurgaon will have 90 apartments called 'The Residence'
• India's largest real estate player, DLF, is building India's first residential hotel in Goa with the
Hilton Group. DLF plans to invest US$ 2 billion to have six hotels on a similar format in the next five
years.
Expansion Plans
With India being on the global tourist map and more and more people coming to India for tourists or
• The Taj Hotels Resorts and Palaces — in a joint venture with CC Africa, a leading safari operator
and ecotourism company from Africa is opening two safari lodges in Madhya Pradesh at Panna and Kanha
National Parks. It already has a safari lodge each at Bandhavgarh and Pench National Parks.
• Marriott, which manages six hotels in India at present, is looking at a steady growth in the number
in the next four years. It expects to have 25 hotels by 2011 with room strength of 8,000–10,000.
• EIH, which owns the Oberoi and Trident group of hotels, is looking at opening 10 hotels in India
and abroad in the next three years. These include a luxury Oberoi Hotel in Gurgaon to be opened in 2009,
a 320-room Trident hotel at the Bangalore International Airport to be opened in 2010, and two hotels to be
• Hotels in Hyderabad are on an expansion spree and a whooping 4,000 rooms will be added in the
next couple of years. Around 20 major properties including that of Park Hyatt, Trident, Marriott, Leela and
Taj among others will effectively double the current capacity of 4,000 rooms across all types of hotels.
International Recognition
India's booming tourism sector has not only witnessed international investments but also achieved
international accolades with its increasing appeal as the leading global tourist destination. The government
has been instrumental in making tourism a priority sector. Its efforts have borne fruits with a series of
• India has been elected to head the UN World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO), the highest policy
• The world's leading travel and tourism journal, Conde Nast Traveller, has ranked India as the
• India was adjudged Asia's leading destination at the regional World Travel Awards (WTA).
• India's Taj Mahal continues to figure in the Seven Wonders of the World.
• Bangalore-based Leela Palace Kempinski was voted the favourite business hotel in the world in a
• India bagged the World's leading Destination Marketing Award for the Incredible India campaign.
Government Initiatives
To unlock the huge potential in this sector, the government has taken various initiatives for the
• Launch of Incredible India campaign to promote tourism both in domestic and international
markets.
• Recognition of spare rooms available with various house owners by classifying these facilities as
"Incredible India Bed and Breakfast Establishments"', under 'Gold' or 'Silver' category.
• A new category of visa, "Medical Visa" ('M'-Visa), has been introduced which can be given to
• Ministry of Tourism has tied up with United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) to
Another factor that is directly reflected in the room earnings is the percentage of forex earnings to the total
industry. Land accounts for as high as 40-50% of the total cost. Around 20-30% of the total cost goes into
construction, with the remainder going into furnishing and interiors. Apart from being owned, hotels can
Typically, maintenance, F&B, fuel/power, and employee costs account for over 60% of the revenue that
hotels earn from sales. With high fixed costs, high occupancy rates are critical for the industry. A small
change in occupancy rates directly affects the bottomline of the hotel. About 22% of the costs goes directly
to meet wages.
The hotel business is very regional in nature and is based very heavily on demand and supply, thereby
making this a very cyclical business. When the occupancy rates start touching percentage levels of 60,
hotels go in for a tariff increase. However, most tariff increases come in the second half of the financial
Increases in tariffs are very region-specific, and, in a place like Bangalore, where the demand-supply
situation favours hotels, tariff increases are more frequent. On the other hand, a city like Delhi does not
favour increases in hotel tariffs. North Mumbai, which has seen a massive increase in hotel rooms, does
GUESTS PROFILE
In India, approximately one third of tourists are business travelers, who are not tariff-sensitive. Leisure
travel is, seasonal, and is sensitive to political and social upheavals. Most hotels are dependent on the
leisure traveler for their revenues, so they tend to be more vulnerable to environmental factors. Since the
business traveler is less susceptible to seasonality and is also less tariff-sensitive, hotels in metros and other
commercial centers enjoy higher occupancy rates throughout the year. Further, the yields per room at
business hotels are higher due to the greater use of communication, conferencing and other value-added
services. Besides, the business traveler spends more on F&B than the leisure traveler.
With changes taking place in IT and branding the industry will consolidate much on a global scale. Hotel
chains are increasingly getting on to the Global Distribution System (GDS), thereby increasing their reach
to a large number of travel agents across the world, who use various computer terminals to make bookings
for their customers. Apart from this, companies are also IT-enabling their operations so as to increase
efficiency.
Leading hotel chains like IHCL and EIH are trying to increase their presence in the global source markets.
IHCL is looking at acquiring high-end luxury properties either through franchise and management
contracts or through an equity stake. EIH, is on the other hand, is looking to tie up with international hotel
Operating hotels for a management fee is another way for hotels to expand their geographical reach. This
enables hotels to leverage on their brand name and earn management fees, without having to actually
invest in hotels.
Hotel companies are developing new brands in order to distinguish between premium and budget hotels.
EIH, for instance, has developed the Trident brand as its budget hotel brand.
Most cities in India are also witnessing a lot of new hotel developmental activity. According to HSV
International developmental activity has been high in cities like Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai,
• ITDC hotels
• ITC Hotels
India is experiencing a flood of the world's leading hotel brands. Many international hotel chains either
have or on the look out for setting up shop in the country. This clearly shows that India is on the
international tourism radar, what the industry needs is the other hand for a handshake, this can be provided
New brands such as Amanda, Satinwoods, Banana Tree, Hampn Inns, Scandium By Hilt and Mandarin
Oriental are planning to enter the Indian hospitality industry in joint venture with various domestic hotel
majors.
Hotel developers like ITC, EIH, Bharat Hotels, Viceroy, DLF, Unitech and Royal Palms are currently in
negotiations with various hotel brands. ITC wants to extend its existing tie-up with the US-based Starwood
Hotels beyond the latter's Sheraton brand and may bring other Starwood brands like W Hotels, Westin,
• Dubai based Kingdom Hotel Investments is looking at an investment $1 billion and is currently in
talks with leading hotel companies in India and is looking out for land and hotel projects in the
country.
• InterGlobe Hotels has tied up with European player Accor to set up 12 hotels under the Ibis brand.
UK-based hospitality chain Thistle and Guoman Hotels has tied up with Nijhawan Group as its
• IHHR Hospitality Private Limited will open five business hotels in India over the next three years,
and has embarked on a US$ 108 million investment plan to expand its footprint. The company
would set up hotels - under the brand name Ista - in Hyderabad, Pune, Amritsar and Ahmedabad,
• Unitech which is setting up two hotels in Delhi, has already formed a joint venture with Marriot
International to run its three new hotels in India, which are expected to start operations by '08.
• DLF sources said that Hilton International will be a minority stake holder in its hotel development
company. The properties under DLF-Hilton joint venture would be managed and marketed by
Hilton International.
• Mumbai-based Royal Palms is in talks with Anando, Starwoods, and Singapore based Banyan Tree
for its three new hotel projects coming up in various parts of India. The firm has already tied-up
with the US-based Carlson Hospitality and brought the Park Plaza brand to India recently.
• The UK-based hospitality chain Thistle and Guoman Hotels is keen to enter the Indian market.
"We hope to make an announcement on investment in India by the end of the year. We plan to have
a Guoman hotel in India, which is the upmarket luxury brand. We are open to examine all options
including building a hotel ourselves," said the Area General Manager, Sanjay Nijhawan.
• Courtyard Marriot plans five-star hotels in Hyderabad and Bangalore. It already opened a hotel in
Chennai three months ago. The Hyderabad property is likely to be opened in July and the one in
Bangalore by the first quarter of 2008, said John Toomey, Director of Marketing-India.
• TUI, a global travel major which entered India last year, strengthened its presence by picking up
Select Vacations, an outbound travel firm, earlier this year. Deal makers for private equity and VC
funds are also taking a keen interest in the Indian travel space, especially in the online domain.
• Thomas Cook India managing director Madhavan Menon said the company is scouting for
• Australia's Flight Centre entered the Indian travel space after acquiring Friends Globe.
Most hotel chains in India are looking at expanding within the country as well as overseas. But they
require huge investments for this. With real estate prices going through the roof and an all-time high
Indian Hotels Company (IHCL), which runs the Taj chain of hotels, has entered into a 10-year
management contract with Dubai-based property developer ETA Star for a luxury hotel and residential
Indian Hotels will increase its presence in South Africa by developing one luxury hotel each in
Johannesburg, Durban and Cape Town. The total cost of the projects, which will add 550 rooms to the
hotel chain in the African continent, is estimated at $180 million. IHCL has formed a 50:50 joint venture
with Tata Africa, Taj International (SA) Pty. The joint venture will invest in individual hotel projects with
local developers.
Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Enterprise (ADAE), HSBC Asia and Kotak Mahindra UK together have acquired
around 30 per cent stake in the Hyderabad-based hotel chain, Viceroy Hotels (VHL), for a consideration of
US$ 25 million.
EIH Ltd, the flagship company of Oberoi Group said it plans to establish a presence in China's hospitality
industry. The firm, which is in the process of establishing a $100-million hotel in Dubai, is also examining
opportunities in London and New York as part of attempts to expand its global footprint and ride the boom
in travel
STRENGTHS
1. Natural and cultural diversity : India has a rich cultural heritage. The "unity in diversity" tag attracts
most tourists. The coastlines, sunny beaches, backwaters of Kerala, snow capped Himalayas and the
2. Demand-supply gap : Indian hotel industry is facing a mismatch between the demand and supply of
rooms leading to higher room rates and occupancy levels. With the privilege of hosting Commonwealth
Games 2010 there is more demand of rooms in five star hotels. This has led to the rapid expansion of the
sector.
3. Government support: The government has realized the importance of tourism and has proposed a budget
of Rs. 540 crore for the development of the industry. The priority is being given to the development of the
infrastructure and of new tourist destinations and circuits. The Department of Tourism (DOT) has already
started the "Incredible India" campaign for the promotion of tourism in India.
4. Increase in the market share: India's share in international tourism and hospitality market is expected to
increase over the long-term. New budget and star hotels are being established. Moreover, foreign
Other strengths
1.Poor support infrastructure: Though the government is taking necessary steps, many more things need to
2.Slow implementation: The lack of adequate recognition for the tourism industry has been hampering its
growth prospects. Whatever steps are being taken by the government are implemented at a slower pace.
3.Susceptible to political events: The internal security scenario and social unrest also hamper the foreign
Other weaknesses
Capital intensive
Non-availability of land
OPPORTUNITIES
1.Rising income: Owing to the rise in income levels, Indians have more spare money to spend, which is
business. Increased airline activity has stimulated demand and has helped improve the infrastructure. It has
Other opportunities
Boom in tourism
Privatization of airlines
THREATS
1. Fluctuations in international tourist arrivals: The total dependency on foreign tourists can be risky, as
there are wide fluctuations in international tourism. Domestic tourism needs to be given equal importance
2.Increasing competition: Several international majors like the Four Seasons, Shangri-La and Aman
Resorts are entering the Indian markets. Two other groups - the Carlson Group and the Marriott chain - are
also looking forward to join this race. This will increase the competition for the existing Indian hotel
majors.
Other threats
Competition from other Asian countries whose official currencies have fallen drastically
High service & luxury taxes may render India as an unviable destination.
Growth by segment
The tourism industry in India contributed only 6.8% of the GDP in 2007/08, noticeable improvement
from 5.9% in2006/07. According to estimates of the world travel and Tourism Council(WTTC), Indian
tourism demand will grow at 7.9% from 2008 to 2017 in real terms.Foreign tourist arrivals to India have
been showing an increasing trend estimated at 4.98 million in 2007 in comparison to 4.43 million in
2006 and 3.92 million in 2005. Over the last ten years, foreign tourist arrivals into India have recorded a
growth of 109.65% from 2.37 million in 1997 to 4.98 million in 2007. However, even at this visitation
level, India accounts for less than 1% of the global tourism market. Domestic travel, both business and
leisure, has also benefited from a strong performance of the corporate sector in India, and the overall
sense of optimism with regard to the economy. Increase in charter flights into India and new airlines
providing additional seats for travel within the country are expected to have a significant impact on
increase in affordable air travel within the country. Table 3 depicts the international and domestic
visitation trends in India during 200307. The strong performance in tourist arrivals in 2007 is
attributable to a strong sense of business and investment confidence in India. This was inspired by
India's strong GDP performance, strengthening of ties with the developed world and the opening of
several sectors of the economy to private sector/foreign investment. Significantly, the bulk of
international arrivals into India in 2007 have been business travelers. However, it should be noted that
the base for tourism in India is still very low. The sudden surge in demand for hotel accommodation over
the last three years has inflated hotel room rates in the country, which currently rank amongst the
highest in the world. However, a number of international brands across all hotel segments are planning to
or have recently entered the Indian market. Domestic hotel chains, too, are embarking on strong
expansion and development plans across all hotel segments. As the gap between supply and deman for
hotel accommodation narrows over the next few years, we expect room rates to rationalise,
which would encourage leisure travel.
Air Transport Overview
According to the Directorate General of Civil Aviation, 43.2 million passengers traveled by air in 2007
registering a 32.51% growth over 2006. This was accompanied by a growth in lowfare air carriers, with
a resultant decline in the market shares of the more established ones like Jet Airways, JetLite, Indian and
Deccan. With the surge in the tourism industry, more foreign carriers are seeking to start up or increase
their existing operations into India which will in turn facilitate tourism. However, there is a shortage of
available parking bays for the various new airlines, and other facilities at the airport including checkin
counters, baggage handling and security. In order to meet the increased demand, the current government
has brought in private sector assistance to invest in and develop airports. Furthermore, owing to spiraling
fuel prices, the aviation sector is anticipated to record heavy losses in 2008/09. Some amount of
consolidation and restructuring is anticipated in the civil aviation sector for the Indian carriers to
reduce losses and stay afloat. The HVS Survey has been computed by dividing the respondent branded
hotels into their respective classifications according to star grading. As before, we have examined the
performance of 11 major cities across India, wherever a reasonable sample allowed. While most of
the data provided to us is in Indian rupees, we have presented survey results in US
dollars as well.
Markets in India for the financial year ended March 2008 witnessed occupancy erosion with marginal
rate improvements in more mature Tier I commercial markets. For some of the emerging Tier II
commercial markets and tourist destinations the growth in average rate has been significant,
accompanied by marginal occupancy improvements. This year, except for three cities, all others
showed a decline in occupancy. Average rates, which typically had been increasing in strong double
digits, have also shown a slowdown with one city actually showing a decline and many others showing a
rise in line with only inflation. There were, however, seven cities that continued to
grow at 1030% in terms of average rates. While, the perceived slowdown in growth can primarily be
attributed to the macroeconomic outlook, HVS would also like to highlight that over the last three
years some industry players have been guilty of exploiting the delicate pricevalue propositions. One can
understand when some of the hotels, which compete in the top end of the luxury market with
international product offerings and service delivery standards charge high rates.However, when all hotels
start to chargerates that are 50% to 75% higher of whattheir global average brand rates are, thereis a
cause for concern. If the trendscontinue, India is at a risk of outpricing itself and losing its competitive
advantageand the industry will have only itself toblame. During the next two years it should be very
interesting to see how the new supplyentering the markets affects the supplydemand gap. Our view at
HVS is thatoperators will once again have to shore uptheir occupancies and perhaps then look
atstabilising rates. Obviously this will ensurethat the hotels that have the product tomatch up to the rate
will successfullymanage to sail through, but hotels that were just inflating their rates due to
supplyconstraints will no longer be able to do so.This would particularly be more importantfor the three
and fourstar categories as for the first time we will have many new international players entering
thissegment. Also keenly watched would be the performance of the unregulated and unorganised
hotel/guesthouse market in the key cities of Bangalore, DelhiNCR and Pune. These cities have seen a
parallelsupply of hotel rooms and this had affectedoccupancies for the branded segment.Now with the
correction beginning to take place in the branded segment, we need tosee if the customer indeed moves
back tothe hotels or not.
Overall, the industry has seen a 12month growth of 11.9% in average rates (in2007/08), as opposed to a
growth of 30.0%the previous year. Occupancy growth also
declined by 2.7%: the highest decline inpure percentage terms since 2001.
Interestingly, the sharpest decline of 4.2%was seen in the threestar sector. This couldbe attributed to the
new supply enteringthis segment and also out pricing of theexisting one.
Average rates in 2007/08 witnessed anotherincrease across all market segments;however, the overall
growth was lowerthan that in the previous few years. The highest annual growth in average rate, in
Indian rupee terms, was witnessed in thefivestar (17.0%) and fivestar deluxe(13.8%) categories
followed by the threestar category (13.1%). The average rate for fourstar properties also showed
anincrease (10.9%). These growths were comparatively much lower than thegrowth witnessed 12 months
earlier. It mayalso be noted that over a tenyear period,the compounded average rate growth inrupee
terms has been the strongest in thefourstar (10.6%) and threestar (9.9%)categories, followed by the five
star and then the fivestar deluxe ones.The continued increase in average rates,however, has taken a toll
on the marketsand this has adversely impacted theoccupancies, which declined across the board. To a
large extent the decline inoccupancy for hotels across India was dueto the sharp correction in the
occupancylevels in the three big IT cities of Pune,Hyderabad and Bangalore. In fact, for each of the
mentioned cities, their peakoccupancy was witnessed two to threeyears ago. Due to lack of new supply,
theyhave been able to sustain growth throughaverage rate increases, but we believe thateven this is now
questionable as guests arelooking for alternate options. The growingeconomy and especially the growth
of theIT/ITES sector created new feeder marketsand extended stay demand whichcontributes any where
from 10% to 20% ofa city's room nights demand. This demandhas been extremely advantageous, as
itenabled hotels to indulge in proactive yieldmanagement, rate contracting and microsegment planning.
However, with hotelsoutpricing themselves many of theIT/ITES companies have started makinghotel
accommodations within their owncampuses affecting negatively the growthfor hotel rooms in these
cities. HVSbelieves that at least 3,000 to 3,500 suchrooms have come into effect in the past two years
alone in these three cities and a few others.
In terms of RevPAR, all star categories experienced growth in 2007/08. The fivestar hotels experienced
the maximumgrowth in rupee terms (13.0%) followed byfivestar deluxe hotels (11.9%). The three
star and fourstar hotels each saw anincrease as well at 8.4% and 8.3%respectively. In US dollar terms,
the fivestar segment showed the highest increase(16.5%), followed by the fivestar deluxe(15.4%) and
Threestar (11.7%) segments.Table 7 presents RevPAR performance inIndian rupees for the period
1998/992007/08 and Table 8 presents the same in USdollars.In 2007/08, Mumbai and Kolkata at 74.9%
were the overall market occupancyleaders. The weak performance of atraditionally strong market and the
strong performance of a historically weak onealways make a fascinating study. In2007/08, only two
markets – Ahmedabad(8.1%) and Agra (3.1%) – managed toimprove their occupancies in the last 12
months, while Jaipur remained stable withno change in occupancy levels. Anoccupancy decline was
seen in all the othercities – Pune (14.9%), Hyderabad (8.5%),Bangalore (7.9%), DelhiNCR (4.2%),
Mumbai (3.9%), Goa (1.8%), Kolkata ( 0 . 8 % ) , a n d C h e n n a i ( 0 . 5 % ) .
Interestingly, each of these cities has onlyseen a fraction of the new supply enteringits markets and we
can expect a bit moreinstability before growth begins anew when the demandsupply gap narrows.
In terms of RevPAR growth, the trendsseem to have completed a full cycle. In thepast, cities like
Bangalore and Hyderabadwere the leaders; however, in 2007/08 bothof them saw RevPARs decline by
12.1% and 2.3% respectively. Mumbai and Kolkatawhich had done exceptionally well last year,
continued to show strong RevPARgrowths of 19.3% and 22.4%. The surpriseleader in RevPAR terms
was Ahmedabadat 39.8%. HVS anticipates that RevPargrowth over the next 12 months is likely to
remain positive, but perhaps in singledigits for most markets.
Pune had a growth in room supply by 73%because of its extremely small base ofexisting rooms. As this
base grows the percentage of new supply entering the market is going to decline. However, the
dynamic base helped Pune performremarkably well considering the newsupply as occupancies remained
strong at 71% and the rates too went up by over21.8%. Still with 612% (8,243 rooms)growth and 66%
probability factor of allthese rooms actually opening, we believethat Pune will see a correction in the
market in terms of both occupancy andaverage rates over the short to mediumterm. At this stage HVS is
tracking close to50 projects in this market,despitefewwhichdroppedoffearlier.Despite these
developments, HVS believes there woul be opportunities in certain micro markets provided the product
positioning isappropriate for the site.
Ahmedabad had new supply grow by 30%during the previous 12month period.This growth is high
clearly due to itsexisting low base of quality rooms in the city. Gujarat, under its current political
leadership, appears to be doing well withits probusiness approach, which is generating a lot of interest
on theinvestment front including hotels. In thepast 12 months many new projects havebeen announced
and this has resulted inan expected 543% (3,664 rooms) growth with a 47% probability factor of all
these rooms actually opening. Considering thatAhmedabad was the market RevPARleader last year and
has a stable government in place, which is encouraging industries and businesses, we feel that the city
will absorb this new supply.
Chandigarh (including Mohali) continues to have only one recognised brand and, therefore, has an
extremely low base of room supply. There has also been no new addition to the city's supply. The city
offers excellent opportunities for food and beverages (F&B), banquets etc. Therefore,we believe that first
class, mid market andbudget hotels will particularly do well. We believe that the current base of rooms is
going to grow by 533% (1,813 rooms) with a 54% probability of actually being developed. While many
real estate companies have land banked, there is not much activity going on in terms of real
development. Also we are worried about the very slow pace of IT/ITES development, as IT/ITES is
consideredimportant for the growth of the hotel sector.
Bangalore has been amongst the top performing markets in India for the past four to five years.
Developers were initially slow in gauging the market and new hotel developments took a while before
they started opening during the last 18 months.The city saw hotel room supply increase by 43% during
the past 12 months. This is in addition to guest rooms that have mushroomed in the past 2436 months
and b e c o m e s u b s t i t u t e s f o r h o t e l accommodation in the city. Over the past few years we
have maintained that Bangalore would see a rate and occupancy correction, which was expected in
2009/10.However, this correction started earlier than anticipated and is partially due to the sudden
change of fortune in the global economy, which impacts Bangalore potentially more than other cities
because of its dependence on IT/ITES. Future growth of room supply in the city is expected to be 450%
(15,542 rooms) and 60% of these have probability of development. We believe the city is currently
flirting with the danger of an over supply in the luxury and first class space. Therefore, hotels being built
in the mid market and budget space would be safer bets in the long term. Despite these developments
Bangalore is a great city for hotel developments, provided an investor's financial models take into
account the realistic pricing of room rates and not the overpriced rooms as happened during the past few
years.For the past few years and again this year
Kolkata has been amongst the top performers. The city, however, has a small base and therefore we can
expect a 427% (5,965 rooms) growth in new rooms supply with a probability factor of 49% development
taking place over the next few years. In recent months the state government has taken a serious image
beating due to the controversy surrounding the manufacture of the Tata'sNano car. However, if
investments continue into the state and Kolkata in particular, then we can expect the hospitality sector to
continue to boom. Wedo, however, believe that currently there is too much focus on the luxury end of
themarket and not enough on the budget front.
The Hyderabad market, until recently, did very well for a few years but is again showing signs of
reversing all its gains. While the city continues to enjoy the highest compounded RevPAR growth of
16.7% over a tenyear period, it has seen sharp occupancy corrections in the past two years and average
rates grew only in line with inflation. Part of the occupancy correction could also be attributed to the
healthy increase in rooms supply by 36.7%. However, unlike its IT counterpart –Bangalore – this city
remained extremely price sensitive and hotels have never been able to push occupancies higher without
the consequences of lower rates. We expectnew supply to remain high at 323% (8,250rooms) growth
with a probability development factor of 64%. As we can see in Table 15, the probability factors for
projects that are expected to be completed in Hyderabad alone have grown at 17%. Further, our worry is
that the highest growth is expected in the luxury segment, where the average rates are below US$150
on an average and would thus suit the hotels that are built to mid market specifications.
Chennai remains a stable and steady market. We anticipate that this city will see an increase of 253%
(7,147 rooms) growth with a high probability factor of 71%.Chennai is extremely diversified with
various demand generators, which include the IT/ITES industry, a strong automobilemanufacturing base
and Southern India's regional headquarters for many banking companies. Therefore, this provides a lot of
comfort to new developers. Although in the past 12 months new supply grew by over 15% we have not
seen any real decline in occupancy and in fact average rates continue to rise
.Perhaps no other region in recent times has received more focus from the media on new hotel supply
than the DelhiNational Capital Region (NCR). HVS is literally tracking a 100 different hospitality
projects being planned or talked about in the NCR. This is a growth of 248% over its existing supply
(9,019 rooms), which should be music to the government's ears who isactively trying to encourage hotels
to open before the 2010 Commonwealth Games in October. However the bad news for the
government is that we expect only 51% of all these projects to be built over the next five years. This
percentage further falls to 44% or 9,867 rooms, when we look at opening before the Games. We would
like to clarify that our projections on supply take into account the hotel district developments at the
international airport, but not the proposed hotels auctioned and then subsequently cancelled at Noida.
HVS associates have also physically verified the development stage of each of these projects. An
encouraging factor has, however, been the increase in FSI norms for the area from 1.5 to 2.25. However,
the bureaucracy of getting approval licenses to construct remains the biggest challenge facing the hotel
sector today. Due to the multiplicity of authorities in the NCR this problem is even more critical here.
Jaipur continues to do well both as a leisure destination and a business location. New supply is
expected to grow by 189% (2,937 rooms), of which HVS believes 53% will actually get developed.
Despite a slight increase in rooms supply during the past 12 months, occupancies remained stable and
average rates grew with inflation. Like before, we believe that new supply will get successfully absorbed,
provided the projects are built to quality to match the segments that they compete for. Moreover,
having their own individual USP would give the hotels a better chance of absorption. Fortunately, 80%
of the new supply is expected in the budget to mid market category, which is excellent for the
overall tourism potential of the city.
After a gap of six years Mumbai has once again captured the number one spot in terms of
RevPAR in 2007/08. Bangalore, and for a few years the NCR too had overtaken India's commercial
capital as the market leader. Mumbai managed to not only share the spot with Kolkata as the best
performer in terms of occupancy (74.9%) but also the country's average rate leader at Rs10,842. The city
has amongst the lowest percentage supply growth pipeline of 126% (10,613 rooms). Of this, we expect
only 62% to actually get built. Mumbai continues to offer fantastic opportunities
for new hotel development as demand certainly continues to be strong. With all the various re
development/rehabilitation schemes of mill lands and slums we expect there to be good opportunities for
hotels to come up during the next decade or so. Till then, we can continue to see good rate growths and
reasonably healthy occupancy levels.
Goa continues to be India's famous beach destination. The location has huge barriers to entry in terms of
environmental clearances and other government obstacles and, therefore, development projects take
extremely long to complete.The state is likely to see an increase of 121% (3,353 rooms) with a low
probability factor of 42% for the next few years. Goa's market has also seen a huge increase in average
rates, which is making it an expensive destination for charter business; a slowing of this business is
likely to impact hotels in turn. There has been limited progress made on the convention centre, and also
the upgradation of the existing airport or the proposed new one. The recent spate of unfortunate attacks
on a few foreigners has not helped. Having said this, Goa remains an excellent investment opportunity
for hotel development.
Agra was amongst the only two markets, which saw its occupancy grow last year. While the city has Taj
Mahal to charm and attract tourists, the state administration has done little to maintain and clean the
infrastructure which is hurting further growth of this city. We believe the market will perhaps grow by
50% (670 rooms) and approximately 55% of this might actually get developed. The silver lining is that
most of this new development is taking place in the mid market space.
Future challenges on the room supply side are the exorbitant prices of land parcels and the high
expectations of the landowners for the same. Many stand alone real estate owners land banked thinking
that they would sell ahead and make an early exit. However, with a change in sentiments this is now an
enormous challenge. While prices at a few locations have softened there may be a while before others
follow. The most recent credit crisis at a global level has certainly added negatively to the market
sentiments. With the government fighting inflation as its first priority and the cost of borrowing – if
at all available at recent record highs, we can expect things to pick up in terms of transactions that
make more sense. HVS firmly believes that the next 1224 months will offer opportunities to those who
have cash to buy. This will offer a great opportunity to investors who are likely to start looking for
bargains.
Hotel Supply
. In 2005, the proposed new supply of branded and quality hotels for the ten markets covered by us was
22,400. This rose to 48,500 in 2006, 77,500 in 2007 and now to 80,501 rooms for the ten cities originally
tracked. When we look at the entire Indian hotel market we believe that there are approximately 114,000
rooms entering within the next five years. We will like to state that a lot of effort goes into collating this
data and then verifying many of these projects across various cities
in terms of their development stage. Our tracking omits any flippant statements made to the media or
announcements made by real estate developers to promote their brand and, therefore, get greater
visibility. Thus, like last year we have put together a list of developments under construction, or those
announced in each market that have a confirmed tie up with an operator. Such developments have been
analysed rationally, through the prism of an unbiased third party, for the probability
factor of their development within the next five years. In Table 14, we present the existing and
proposed quality supply entering each of the 11 markets covered in this report. Chandigarh, like last year,
has been added to this list. The table reflects the anticipated growth over the next five years and also
shares a probability factor (active supply) to reflect those hotels, which are either under construction or
hotels that HVS is confident will open before March 2013. We have further also provided in this table the
potential segmentation for the new supply and classified it into luxury, first class, mid market, budget
and extended stay hotels. In Table 15, we provide a comparative analysis of the situation last year, when
we released this report on new supply, and this year for a better understanding of how
the hotel sector is evolving. Last year when we undertook this exercise of determining new hotel supply,
the Pune market was expected to have maximum development (1,039% supply growth over
existing supply). This has been vindicated by the fact that supply has grown in Pune by 73.2% over the
past 12 months. Currently we still believe that this market can be expected to grow by 612%. While
Table 14 needs to be read carefully and may come as an eye opener to many potential investors, it is the
fourth column that needs careful consideration, if not more weight, since it reflects the actual active
development for the proposed supply. So while Pune may reflect that 8,243 rooms are under
development, we at HVS believe that only 66% of this proposed supply will actually get developed by
2012/13. Similarly in Table 15 we can see how the Pune market has changed on the supply front over the
past 12 months. Later in this report we discuss the growth, demand and supply situation for each of the
11 cities tracked. If one were to analyse the entire country, we expect that approximately 58% of the
total new supply of 114,466 rooms, or approximately 66,000 rooms, will actually get developed over the
next five years. Our estimate is that there are approximately 120,000 rooms operating in India. This
number is based on the number of rooms, which are officially approved by the Government of India as
well as the FHRAI (Federation of Hotels and Restaurants Association of India) members. We also
estimate that there would probably be another 60,000 to 80,000 guesthouses or corporate guesthouses
taking the total supply of transient guest rooms to approximately 200,000 units/rooms. The reason we
highlight this is because there are various guess/estimates doing the rounds. Research by HVS confirms
an alarmingly low number of branded or quality rooms supply in the country, which stands at
approximately 47,000 rooms. This overall number for India is actually lower than that for most major
cities across the globe. Therefore, even with the addition of 66,000 quality/branded rooms across India
in the next five years, we believe that India offers huge potential to investors and operators across all
segments. Moreover, the fact that India has an annual traveling population of 500 million travelers,
which is bigger than the entire population of the United States alone, is a case in point
Future Trends
The last few years have seen unprecedented increases in average rates across the country. While this has
hurt occupancies and forced them downwards the overall effect has, however, been very positive on the
RevPARs. As recently as six months ago the Indian hotel sector was expecting another good year, and a
correction was not foreseen till at least another 1215 months in many of the markets. However, due to
the global economic slowdown, some new hotel supply, high inflation including staggering increases in
fuel prices that have forced the cost of air travel to increase, there has been a severe tightening of travel
budgets, which has resulted in a fast drop in occupancy. Hotels that were caught off guard as these events
unfolded and continued to push for higher rates found their policy to be counter productive as
occupancies have begun to sharply correct and in the medium term will force a rate correction also.
However, in the short period between April and September this year we have seen hotels manage to
increase overall RevPARs. Compared to many other economies, the Indian economy is relatively much
more stable due to the high domestic consumption. In hindsight, the government's limited progress on
financial reforms in recent years also meant we had limited exposure to the American credit crisis.
However, in order to fight high inflation the government has had to tighten the monetary policy and this
has led to a creditliquidity crisis and subsequently very high interest rates with the result that many
projects have just come to a standstill. We anticipate that while this will slow down the pace of
supply in the short term, it would certainly help existing hotels and those that are about to open as
absorption would be greater. Valuations of hotels, too, are expected to see a correction and this would
actually be a good opportunity for serious investors to pick up halfbuilt properties. While historical
capitalisation rates or cap rates have never been available in India, we anticipate them to go upwards in
the short to medium term and range possibly between 10.5% and 13.0%. However, while not
generalising, we expect certain markets and particularly micro locations in major cities to be able to
swim against this trend. Mumbai and Goa appear to be the two markets ready for further growth with
very limited new supply entering them. India has recently started observing the introduction of quality
budget and mid market hotels. Local brands like Lemon Tree, Hometel, Fortune and International
brands like the Ibis by Accor, and Oakwood serviced apartments are going to transform the budget and
mid market hotel sectors. Many of these new brands mentioned above are building very cost effective
hotels and clearly not over spending like some of their full service counterparts in the same segment.
HVS believes that owners who visit and see these projects will be convinced that they do not have to
over build specifications of hotels in India. We hope to see a trend where owners will be able to stand up
against some of the brands, which are being built more than what is required of that segment, and would
certainly not have done so had it been their own funds. With tightening availability of capital and debt,
we hope and expect there to be a mid way point on this issue. Additionally, the cost of construction has
also risen by 1015% in the past year or so on account of basic raw materials like steel and cement.
Therefore, it would be prudent to be more cautious than injudicious in conceptualising hotels to
specifications.Another trend, which has been recently noticed in the budget and mid market
space, is the advent of cheap furniture, fixtures and equipment (FF&E) from
China. While this looks extremely attractive on paper and helps in the overall initial project cost we do
believe that its quality is relatively poor and would have to be replaced more frequently negating
any initial gains. HVS believes that owners, particularly the new ones, would have to be extra careful
about their procurement and while they can shop in China they need to do so with some caution.
Another very critical trend to watch out for is the rising cost of manpower. HVS recently completed its
first compensation survey for the hotel industry in India. There is a feeling that the pressures of higher
manpower cost will force hotels to be built more efficiently and with greater use of technology to assist
in mitigating any short term increase in employee costs. Also with the BPO, aviation and retail sectors
hurting, we anticipate that many of the employees familiar with the hospitality sector will come back
into the work force. Furthermore, with rising local payroll costs we can hopefully also witness a reversal
of manpower movement from the Middle East back to India. Table 16 presents key operating statistics
for fivestar deluxe and fivestar hotels in key cities, for the period April to September 2 0 0 8 . C o m p a
r i s o n s w i t h t h e corresponding period last year have also been presented to illustrate the extent of
change. Performance trends for the first five months of the year 2008/09 have not been as bad as that
made out by the media. HVS will, however, like to clarify that the above mentioned yeartodate figures
were collected even as the events of the financial markets around the globe were unfolding.
Most markets have seen a dip in occupancy levels but a high increase in rate growths during the same
period. We anticipate that as we enter the crucial months of October through March, hotels this year will
not be able to push up rates and instead will be best advised to build again on their occupancy levels. We
anticipate that likely yearend projections would be possibly single digit gains in rates in many of the
cities and occupancy drops ranging from 5% to 10% in most markets.
OPPORTUNITIES
Amongst the cities tracked, our favorite destinations for investments remain Mumbai and Goa as they
have very low existing supply pipelines. We expect demand to remain strong at both locations over the
foreseeable future. We foresee the possibility of large format hotels, which have not yet been tested in
India but can be extremely healthy for the bottomlines. There also remains a scarcity of units for
the extended stay segment. Other investment opportunities for hotels may be available in terms of
secondary and tertiary cities like Ahmedabad, Lucknow and Bhubaneshwar. In fact, industrial and
manufacturing areas could also be good locations for budget hotels. Locations in Gujarat, Orissa and the
Northeast also probably hold out good possibility for mid market and budget hotels. We also continue to
believe that there are huge opportunities in the leisure space. As we have mentioned previously too, India
is certainly ready for family destination resorts built to international standards. These could be done near
both the eastern and western coastlines or within short distances to major cities. It is important
that these destinations be built to international standards and offer value for money to the families that
they may target. These resorts coupled with good MICE business have the potential to create their own
niche. While HVS has in the past suggested Condo hotels to their clients and these have being seriously
looked into by developers, we would now like to caution developers against them as there has been
a spate of litigation in the US and Europe about their performance. Going forward, SEZs, industrial
parks, locations near existing and new airports remain hot spots for hotel development and offer good
opportunities. Some of these should be looked at from a mixedused development format which will
ensure that price of land is shared with other components. The recent downturn in the retail mall format
also offers good opportunities. Why not use a hotel as an anchor tenant for the project? However, this
can only happen for hotels, which are budget in orientation or at best mid market; the developer will have
to customise the mall to the hotel and not the other way around. We have already started
to see this happening in many of the locations and expect this trend to grow
significantly in the future. Despite the recent slowdown in the global economy and the weak sentiments
of the Indian markets due to inflation, terrorism and other factors, the overall outlook for
the hospitality market in India is optimistic and will remain so, in our opinion.
We still remain amongst the strongest and fastest growing economies in the world. The supplydemand
imbalance is a fact that is not going to disappear soon. This is particularly true for the budget segment.
In the short term, we can expect a price correction to take place, which is likely to impact the luxury and
first class hotels more than those at the lower end. While the honeymoon may be over, there is certainly
no reason why hotels cannot enjoy an extended period of marriage, growth and all round prosperity if
built and managed properly. We anticipate that despite a few hiccups over the next few years, India will
remain one of the world's fastest growing tourism markets and the economy will also be hard to ignore.
Availability of Choices
Hotel developments of late have not been restricted to the domain of hotel companies alone, but have
been taken up keenly by real estate developers. With newer entrants creating budget hotels and
mixeduse developments to cater to the burgeoning middle class travelers the Indian market has over 600
hotels and related projects in various stages of development. HVS estimates the developments to add
around 115,000 hotel rooms. The rampant development of hotels in Tier I and II cities has also ensured
that executives and hotel employees have sufficient employment opportunities. The phased and sustained
development is expected to allow employees to get employment in their preferred cities as
well as in preferred hotels and brands. The development of Tier II cities as extensions of metropolitans
across India such as Pune with Mumbai, and Faridabad and Ghaziabad along with Delhi would see an
outflow of manpower from the more expensive metros to the satellite towns, which have a relatively
lower cost of living. All these aspects definitely shine a bright path ahead for hoteliers across the board
and hold the promise of a more satisfying and rewarding career ahead
“A Total Annual Employment Cost or Cost To Company would consist of the following
components:
1. Annual Salary: defined as the salary on the pay slip inclusive of basic salary, and
Compensation for all Human Resource Managers has been the singlemost powerful tool to leverage and
retain employees. This instrument, however, has not been utilised to its fullest potential till now. With
reality staring hotel companies in the face, organisations are scrambling to revise salary structures across
the board in a bid to retain highpotential employees, attract good talent and stem the growth of their
competition. We believe that in order to retain baseline managers and develop them into future heads of
department, it may be prudent to revise the existing salary structures. This may be done by adding the
variable components into the base salary and distributing their vestment over the year rather than giving
it to individuals as a bonus at the year end. Another effective longterm retention tool that might be
considered is the Employee Stock Option Scheme, which would ensure a more vested interest in the peak
performance of the company or unit.
The findings of the firstever panIndia survey of the Indian hospitality industry – HCE Hospitality
Compensation Exchange India Survey 2008 – indicate that salaries have increased by over 40% in the
past two to three years. HVS estimates that the trend will continue and the industry can expect to see a
growth of around 2530% in salaries over the next year. The survey has also brought to light some
surprising and some expected compensation trends. Our findings indicate that amongst the metropolitan
cities, Mumbai and New Delhi have the highest pay packages across the board for individual hotel
properties with Kolkata and Hyderabad paying the least. Upon comparing the hierarchy of hotels within
these cities, it has been observed that the difference between some positions is as low as 25% and as
high as 88%. Table B shows a comparison of the annual midrange salary figures for various positions
across metropolitan cities in India. As is evident, the General Manager in Mumbai has the highest pay
scale closely followed by the counterpart in DelhiNCR. The position, however, is at its lowest pay scale
in Bangalore with the differential being 58%.
Introduction
Global travel increased by 6% in 2007 compared with 2006, crossing tourism forecasts for the
fourth year in succession. Among the various regions, the Middle East registered the highest growth
in arrival of international tourists with 46 million tourists compared with 41 million in 2006, a
growth of 12.2%.The opening up of the aviation industry in India has resulted in exciting
opportunities for the hotel industry.
The report starts with the global hotel industry to give a perspective of the Indian hotel industry in
the global context. The report covers hotels industry structure, trends in growth of industry
turnover, major players, regulations, demandsupply scenario, growth drivers, issues and
challenges, critical success factors and foreign direct investment trends from Indian perspective. It
also gives a glimpse of proposed investments by domestic and foreign players in the hotel industry
of India. The report also covers various emerging concepts in India such as service apartments,
spas, medical tourism, wildlife resorts, cruise tourism, adventure tourism etc. An analysis of the
industry performance is made on critical business parameters like occupancy rates, revenue per
available room (RevPAR) and average room rates (ARR) and comparisons have been made with
global trends. The report also analyses the performance of the industry across major markets, and
profiles the major players in the industry.
The report will be useful for hotel & restaurant players, real estate companies interested in
venturing into hotel business, commercial and investment banks, business analysts, consultants,
investors and hotel management colleges and students.
Key Findings & Highlights
The share of Travel & Tourism industry to the global GDP was 6.48% in the year 2007 with value
of US$ 3,493.19 billion and industry demand contributed to 13.21% of global GDP in 2007.
Middle East was the fastestgrowing region in terms of arrivals of international tourists during
2007.
According to the report by World Travel and Tourism Council, India currently ranks 18th in
business travel and will be among the top 5 nations by the end of 2010.
ASSOCHAM has projected that Medical Tourism is likely to become the leading foreign exchange
earner for India
India is now emerging as one of the hot destinations for medical
tourism after Singapore, Thailand, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Philippines, Columbia