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January 16, 2014 r Report prepared by: Ryan Lewenza, CFA, CMT

2014 Technical Outlook

Table of Contents: Market Cycles ....................................... 2 U.S. Equity Outlook .............................. 5 U.S. Sector Recommendations ............ 7 Canadian Equity Outlook ...................... 9

The technical profile for the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) remains very bullish, in our opinion. The S&P 500 has been in a long-term uptrend since its 2009 lows, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. We believe the S&P 500 is poised to move higher in 2014; however, we see the potential for a pullback in H1/14, before entering the seasonally strong Q4. From a cycle perspective, both the four-year cycle low and Presidential Cycle are forecasting modest gains this year. From a secular perspective, we believe the 13-year bear cycle for the U.S. equity markets could be over. If we are correct, the U.S. stock market could post above-average returns in the years ahead. Preferred U.S. sectors include the industrials and health care. At risk sectors include telecommunications and utilities. We believe the Federal Reserves (Fed) tapering of its asset purchases will lead to a stronger U.S. dollar and higher long-term bond yields. The stronger U.S. dollar could provide a headwind to commodity prices. The S&P/TSX Composite Index (S&P/TSX) broke above key resistance at 12,900, potentially opening the door to more upside in 2014. However, we see headwinds for commodity prices and with the resource sectors (materials and energy) representing roughly 40% of the S&P/TSX, upside for the index could be capped around 14,300-14,600 in 2014. Preferred Canadian sectors include industrials and financial services. At risk sectors include the utilities and telecommunications. The emerging markets continue to struggle and underperform relative to the developed markets. We believe emerging markets will remain range-bound and underperform the developed markets in 2014. U.S. stock recommendations include Huntington Bancshares Inc. (HBAN-Q), Honeywell International (HON-N), CSX Corp. (CSX-N), and Medtronic Corp. (MDT-N). Canadian stock recommendations include Manulife Financial Corp. (MFC-T), Enerplus Corp. (ERF-T), Davis + Henderson Corp. (DH-T) and Aecon Group Inc. (ARE-T).

Canadian Sector Recommendations .. 10 International Equity Outlook ............... 12 Intermarket Picture ............................. 14 U.S. Stock Recommendations............ 18 Canadian Stock Recommendations ... 20

This Document is for distribution to Canadian clients only. Please refer to Appendix A in this report for important information.

Technical Outlook

January 16, 2014

Market Cycles
I. Long-Term (Secular) View

log scale

Dow Jones Industrial Average

100000

10000

1000

100

The DJIA broke out of its 13 year range, thus potentially ending its secular bear market.

10 '09 '14 '19 '24 '29 '34 '39 '44 '49 '54 '59 '64 '69 '74 '79 '84 '89 '94 '99 '04 '09
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. As of January 3, 2014

Equities tend to trade in long-term (secular) bull and bear cycles, lasting on average 14-15 years. Since the 2000 market peak, the U.S. equity market has been in a secular bear market, with both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P 500 range-bound and essentially unchanged. In 2013 the DJIA and S&P 500 broke out of their long-term trading ranges and made new all-time highs. We believe the break above key long-term resistance levels could mark the end of the 13-year secular bear market and the beginning of the next secular bull market. If we are correct, the stock market could post above-average returns in the years ahead. The pushback on this thesis is that historically, secular bear markets have ended with single-digit P/E ratios. For example, the S&P 500 P/E troughed at 7x in the late 1970s versus the trough of 10x in 2009. From our perspective, the 10x P/E trough in 2009 was close enough, and we prefer to focus on price, with the U.S. equity markets clearly breaking out of their 13-year trading range.

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II. Four-Year Cycle Low

log scale

Dow Jones Industrial Average

10000

100 '50 '55 '60 '65 '70 '75 '80 '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. As of January 3, 2014

Another market cycle we track is the four-year cycle low, which captures the tendency of the U.S. stock market to decline and put in a low roughly every four years. This fairly consistent pattern was identified by Charles Dow, founder of the Wall Street Journal, when he referenced the existence of the market cycle in 1900 stating, we have frequently demonstrated that the stock market, while full of short fluctuations, has a continuing main movement, which often runs in one direction for three or four years at a time. The four-year cycle low is largely driven by the business cycle, which captures the ebbs and flows of the U.S. economy. In the accompanying chart we illustrate this market pattern, with arrows indicating the cycle lows. It is important to emphasize that: 1) the lows do not occur exactly every four years, as nothing, especially the stock market, is that predictable; and 2) there are occasions, notably 1986 and 2006, when the cycle was delayed, with the correction occurring 1-2 years later than anticipated. This cycle low is projected to occur in 2014, so it is possible the equity markets could experience a pullback (i.e., 5-10%) sometime this year. However, as outlined in the following pages, we would view this as a buying opportunity.

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Technical Outlook

January 16, 2014

III. Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Y/Y % Chg Based on Presidential Term


20
15.4

16.1

17.0 15.2

15 10
6.3 5.3 3.0

All Presidents Democrats Republicans 10.2 6.1 2.6

7.4

0
-1.8

-5 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4


Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. As of January 3, 2014 Period is 1945-2013

Finally, we also monitor the Presidential Cycle, which captures the tendency for the stock market to perform poorly in the early years of a Presidential term and stronger in the later years of the term. The rationale behind this phenomenon is that the President and his party implement policies to boost the economy in an effort to secure re-election. While some dispute this theory, largely on the belief that markets are efficient and therefore not susceptible to recurring trends, we believe it has some merit, as statistical evidence seems to support the thesis. As illustrated in the accompanying chart, the stock market tends to underperform during the second year of the Presidential term, with average gains of 5.3%, which is below the long-term annual average return of 7.5%, and the lowest return over the four-year Presidential Cycle. Moreover, for the period studied, the market has experienced a positive return 53% of the time in the second year of the Presidential term, which is the lowest level of occurrences of positive returns over the full cycle.

40% 35% 30% 25% 20%

Stylized Presidential Four-Year Cycle


We're here!

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

In the second chart we illustrate the typical or stylized return pathway over the four-year Presidential Cycle. Typically year 2 begins strong before declining into the fall and then rallying in Q4. Interestingly, this is our expected path for the equity markets in 2014.

15%
10%

5%
0%

-5%
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. As of January 3, 2014 Period is 1945-2012

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Technical Outlook

January 16, 2014

U.S. Equity Outlook


S&P 500 Index

The technical profile for the S&P 500 remains very bullish, in our opinion. The S&P 500 has been in a long-term uptrend since its 2009 lows, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. This uptrend is captured by the bullish upward channel as defined by the blue dotted lines. The S&P 500 is trading above its rising 50-week simple moving average (SMA) and its 65week exponential MA (EMA), which provide additional signs of technical strength. These MAs have proven to be important support and resistance levels for the S&P 500 over the years. We believe the S&P 500 is poised to move higher in 2014; however, we see the potential for a pullback in H1/14, before entering the seasonally strong Q4. Our call for a pullback in H1/14 is predicated on the following: 1) from an Elliot Wave perspective, we believe the S&P 500 is currently in a primary Wave 3, which if correct, could result in a Wave 4 pullback; 2) investor sentiment remains heavily skewed to the bullish side, which from a contrarian perspective could precipitate a pullback; 3) the S&P 500 is technically overbought on a weekly basis; and 4) the U.S. Federal Reserve announced that it will begin tapering its asset purchases in January, and there could be an increase in volatility around this event. Although we could see a pullback in the coming months, we would view this as a buying opportunity as we expect the S&P 500 to hold above its rising 50-week SMA and 65-week EMA. Following the expected pullback, we believe the S&P 500 could ultimately rally to new highs and are targeting 1,900-1,950. This range is the convergence of resistance levels from the upward channel off the November 2012 low and an Andrews Pitchfork channel. Key levels on the downside that could cause us to re-evaluate our bullish stance are a break below key weekly MAs (currently around 1,650) and 1,575, which was resistance in 2007 but has become support. Page 5

Technical Outlook

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NYSE Advance/Decline Line

Supporting our constructive stance are two observations. First, the NYSE Advance-Decline (A/D) line continues to make new highs, thus confirming the new price highs on the major U.S. equity indices. The A/D line captures the cumulative sum total of the advancers less decliners. Essentially it captures market breath, and often is a leading indicator of the U.S. stock market. The A/D line is making new highs which reflects the broad participation in the equity market and is a sign of market strength. The A/D line tends to peak before the stock market, and we are watching it closely. At present, it remains bullish and supportive for the stock market.

Dow Theory

Another bullish technical confirmation is the Dow Theory buy signal that was registered in December 2013. The recent new high on the Dow Transports confirms the new highs on the Industrials, which according to Dow Theory is a buy signal for the U.S. equity market, and a sign of market strength. According to Dow Theory, the market remains in a primary uptrend with no signs of a divergence.

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Technical Outlook

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U.S. Sector Recommendations (Preferred)


S&P 500 Industrials Sector Index

The technical profile for the S&P 500 Industrials sector remains positive. The sector is trading in a well-defined upward channel and continues to be supported by its rising 50-day MA. On a relative basis it broke to new highs in 2013 and continues to trend higher. With a supportive macro backdrop, and a constructive technical profile, the U.S. industrials sector looks set to outperform in 2014.

S&P 500 Healthcare Sector Index

Despite the U.S. healthcare sectors very strong performance in 2013 (up 38.7%), the technical profile remains bullish and we see it outperforming in 2014. The sector is trading in a well-defined upward channel, is above its rising 50- and 200- day MAs and is exhibiting strong relative performance. In addition, with it trading at new all-time highs, the healthcare sector will not have to contend with overhead technical resistance as it moves higher.

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Technical Outlook

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U.S. Sector Recommendations (At Risk)


S&P 500 Telecommunications Sector Index

In 2013 we adopted a cautious stance with respect to the U.S. telecommunications sector, which given the sectors poor relative performance proved to be the correct call. We remain cautious on the sector and expect continued underperformance. The sector is in a long-term price uptrend. However, it is forming a triangle pattern and quickly approaching the apex. We expect this technical pattern to be resolved soon, likely to the downside. Other negatives include: 1) the sector has been encountering resistance at its 50-day MA in recent months; 2) there is a potential long-term head and shoulders top forming; and 3) the sectors relative strength remains weak and it has been making new relative lows (red circle).

S&P 500 Utilities Sector Index


We also expect the U.S. utilities sector to underperform in 2014. The sector remains in an intermediate downtrend and is currently finding resistance at its 50-day MA. Moreover, on a relative strength basis, the sector remains in a confirmed downtrend. We recommend an underweight in the sector.

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Technical Outlook

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Canadian Equity Outlook


S&P/TSX Composite Index

The S&P/TSX recently broke above a key resistance level, potentially opening the door to more upside in 2014. 12,900 has been a key resistance level for the S&P/TSX over the last two years and it broke above this in Q4/13. More importantly, it subsequently broke above its long-term downtrend (green circle), with next resistance at the 14,300 level. The break above the downtrend completes a large triangle formation. With triangles typically continuation patterns, this breakout points to further upside. However, we see headwinds to commodity prices, and with the resource sectors (materials and energy) representing roughly 40% of the S&P/TSX, upside for the index could be capped at 14,300-14,600 in 2014. On the downside, a break below the 12,775-12,900 range would likely cause us to re-evaluate our upside technical target. 12,900 represents previous resistance, which is now support and 12,775 is the 200-day MA. Additionally, the 50-week SMA and 65-week EMA are around 12,800. Therefore, we consider the 12,775-12,900 range to be critical and it needs to hold on any short-term weakness.

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Technical Outlook

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Canadian Sector Recommendations (Preferred)


S&P/TSX Capped Industrials Index

We are reaffirming our bullish outlook for Canadian industrials. The sector remains in a long-term uptrend, is trading above its rising 50-day MA, and is exhibiting good relative strength. It outperformed in 2013 and we believe this could happen again in 2014.

S&P/TSX Capped Financial Services Index

Our technical outlook for the Canadian financials sector is also constructive. It is trading in a well-defined upward channel, continues to move higher with its rising 50-day MA, and is outperforming the broader market. Recently, there have been some notable short-term trend breaks among the Canadian banks, which could be foreshadowing short-term weakness. However, the long-term trend remains constructive and we would view any short-term weakness as a buying opportunity.

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Technical Outlook

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Canadian Sector Recommendations (At Risk)


S&P/TSX Utilities Capped Index

Similar to our U.S. sector recommendations, we remain cautious on the Canadian interest-sensitive sectors. The Canadian utilities sector continues to trade in a downward channel and is showing weak relative strength. The sector has rallied from its September lows and is finding resistance at its upper channel line and the 50-day MA. There is also stiff resistance in the 210-215 range. Given the confluence of resistance levels and continued weak relative strength, we recommend investors underweight the sector in portfolios.

S&P/TSX Capped Telecommunication Services Index


We also expect the Canadian telecommunications sector to underperform in 2014. The sectors long-term uptrend was broken in June 2013, on concerns of increased competition. Although the sector has recovered most of its losses from the summer, it is now approaching significant overhead resistance in the 120-122.5 range. Its relative strength remains in a downtrend, capturing its trend of underperformance since April 2013.

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Technical Outlook

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International Equity Outlook


Vanguard European ETF

European equities, as measured by the Vanguard European ETF (VGK-N), posted strong gains in 2013, but are quickly approaching significant technical resistance, which should lead to a pause in the uptrend. Using VGK as a proxy for Europe, the ETF is trading in a solid uptrend, but is quickly approaching stiff resistance at $60 to $65. This resistance dates back to its 2007 highs, which we suspect will lead to some consolidation in the coming months. Positive technical observations include: 1) volume increased significantly in H2/13, which reflects the strong positive funds flows; 2) the ETF is exhibiting strong momentum; and 3) is trading above its rising 50-week SMA and its 65-week EMA. Negative technical observations include: 1) it remains in a longterm relative downtrend versus the S&P 500; and 2) the stiff technical resistance in the $60 to $65 region. Overall, we see further gains for European equities, but upside could be muted, given the overhead resistance.

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Technical Outlook

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iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

The emerging markets continue to struggle and underperform relative to developed equity markets. Using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM-N) as a proxy for emerging markets equities, the ETF has been rangebound between roughly $35 and $44 over the last two years. The weak technical profile leads us to believe that emerging markets will continue to lag developed equity markets based on: 1) EEM remains range-bound, with stiff resistance up to $47.50; 2) momentum remains weak; and 3) it remains in a clear relative downtrend versus the S&P 500. Overall, we believe EEM will remain range-bound. For traders, an attractive entry point for EEM is $35.50.

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Technical Outlook

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Intermarket Picture
I. Interest Rates

We see the potential for long-term bond yields to move higher this year, but expect the benchmark U.S. 10-year bond yield to be capped in the 3.5% to 3.9% range. This view is predicated on three key factors. First, the components of the nominal 10-year bond yield (real yield and inflation) should remain contained as U.S. GDP growth remains subdued, and inflation remains muted. Second, the long-term trendline comes in around 3.8%, which should provide stiff resistance. Finally, with the short-end of the curve likely to stay fixed at very low levels through 2014, the long-end of the curve can only move up so much, based on the historical relationship between the long and short ends of the yield curve. In the lower panel we chart the yield curve (2s and 10s) and note that the spread has historically peaked in the 2.5% to 3% range. Therefore, assuming this relationship holds, the 10-year bond yield can only move so high, with the short-end of the curve remaining fixed.

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II. Currencies U.S. Dollar Index


The U.S. dollar was up modestly in 2013, but was essentially flat over the last two years. We expect it to grind higher in 2014, on the back of the Feds taper of its asset purchases. We believe it will retest its 2013 highs around the 84 level, and possibly break above this level in 2014. On the downside the U.S. dollar needs to hold the Q4/13 low of 79.26 to maintain its bullish technical profile. A break below this level could signify a major trend change.

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian dollar declined 6.5% in 2013 and the technical outlook remains weak. The Canadian dollar broke below key technical support of US$0.95. In the near term, we believe the Canadian dollar is oversold, and is setting up for a bounce. However, if the Canadian dollar cannot break back above the key US$0.95 level, it is likely to head lower, possibly to next support at US$0.85.

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Technical Outlook

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III. Commodities CRB Commodity Index


The CRB Commodity Index remains in a long-term downtrend, and below its declining 65-week EMA. It is quickly approaching an important support level at 268, which represents the 2012 lows. A break below this level would be bearish for the commodity complex, with next supports coming in at 249, followed by 220. To become more bullish on commodities, we would need to see the CRB Index break above its downtrend and 65-week EMA, which converge around the 285 level. Until then, we remain cautious.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil Price


Similar to 2013, we expect the WTI oil to trade in a range between US$85/bl and US$110/bl in 2014. The WTI oil price is at important uptrend support, which if broken, would open the door for a retest of the next support at US$85/bl. With oil prices typically weak in January and February, we see the potential for WTI to break below its uptrend and decline into the US$80s/bl before staging a rally in the early spring, ahead of the U.S. driving season.

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Technical Outlook

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IV. Gold

At the beginning of 2013 we had a constructive technical outlook for gold, however, we turned negative on the metal in mid-2013. On an intermediate and short-term basis, gold remains in a confirmed downtrend since hitting a peak of US$1,798/oz. in Q4/12. On a daily chart it continues to trend lower while finding resistance at its declining 50-day MA. Only a break above its short-term downtrend and 50-day MA, which converge in the US$1,250/oz. to US$1,275/oz. range, would cause us to revisit our negative technical view. On a long-term basis, we view US$1,180/oz as the line in the sand for gold. This is the convergence of its long-term uptrend from its 2001 lows and its July/December 2013 lows. In our opinion, a decisive break below this level would open the door for significant downside, and likely the end of the long-term bull market in gold. If this occurs, we would target a decline to US$1,072/oz., which represents a 50% retracement of its entire move since 2001. Overall, our technical view on gold remains negative. We believe it is quickly approaching an inflection point which could determine whether the 13-year bull market has more room to run, or is at its terminus.

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Technical Outlook

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U.S. Stock Recommendations


Huntington Bancshares Inc. (HBAN-Q)

We remain bullish on U.S. regional banks and believe Huntington Bancshares Inc. (HBAN-Q) has one the strongest technical charts in the industry. HBAN is trading in an upward channel, is above its rising 50and 200-day MAs, and is exhibiting strong price momentum. On a relative basis, HBAN continues to outperform the market, showing strong relative strength.

Honeywell International (HON-N)


Honeywell International (HON-N) is a high-quality industrial company, with a strong technical profile. The stock is trading in an upward channel, continues to find support at its rising 50-day MA, and is trading above its 200-day MA. HONs relative trends have flat lined since the summer 2013, with the stock moving up in-line with the overall market. However, its price trends remain bullish and we believe it could move higher, and possibly begin to outperform the broader market again in 2014.

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CSX Corp. (CSX-N)

In our 2013 Technical Outlook we recommended Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC-N). Given our continued bullish view on the U.S. rails, we are recommending CSX Corp. (CSX-N) this year. CSX has been trading in a year-long uptrend, following its base building in 2012. The stock is trading above its rising 50- and 200-day MAs, and its relative strength is slowly improving. We see CSXs uptrend continuing and the stock outperforming in 2014.

Medtronic Inc. (MDT-N)

We recommend an overweight in the U.S. healthcare sector, and see the medical device industry delivering strong returns in 2014. Medtronic Corp. (MDT-N) is an attractive stock within the medical device industry. The stock is trading in a long-term upward channel, and is above its rising 50- and 200-day MAs. Its relative trends remain bullish, with the stock recently making a new relative high. We see the potential for new highs for MDT in 2014.

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Canadian Stock Recommendations


Manulife Financial Corp. (MFC-T)

Manulife Financial Corp. (MFC-T) is one of our top picks for 2014, based on its strong technical profile. MFC is trading in a well-defined upward channel and is trading above it rising 50- and 200-day MAs. Its relative strength remains strong, with it registering a new relative high in Q4/13. Additionally, its volume trends remain very supportive, with the stock advancing on heavy volume, and its On Balance Volume (OBV) indicator moving higher. The stock is overbought in the short term which could result in some backing and filling. We would buy the stock on any shortterm weakness.

Enerplus Corp. (ERF-T)


Enerplus Corp. (ERF-T) has a bullish technical profile, and we see it moving higher in 2014. The stock is trading in an upward channel, and is above its rising 50- and 200-day MAs. It continues to outperform the broader market, a sign of positive relative strength. Next technical resistance comes in at the low $20s to mid $20s, which is our technical target in 2014.

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Technical Outlook

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Davis + Henderson Corp. (DH-T)

Davis + Henderson Corp. (DH-T) has significantly outperformed the S&P/TSX over the last few years, and we see this continuing in 2014. The stock is trading in a strong upward channel, is above its rising 50- and 200-day MAs, and continues to exhibit strong relative strength. Volumes trends remain supportive, with the OBV indicator continuing to trend higher and making higher highs. Despite the strong returns in 2013, we believe the technical profile for DH remains attractive.

Aecon Group Inc. (ARE-T)


Aecon Group Inc. (ARE-T) broke out of a long-term base in the fall of 2013, and we see the potential for additional upside. The stock is trading in an upward channel and is above its rising 50- and 200-day MAs. Its relative strength remains solid, with it making a new relative high (green circle) in December 2013.

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Appendix A Important Information


Full disclosures for all companies covered by TD Securities Inc. can be viewed at https://www.tdsresearch.com/equities/coverage.disclosure.action Please note TD Securities Inc. research and disclaimers are available in English only. _____________________________________________________________________________________________ Company Ticker Disclosures _____________________________________________________________________________________________ Huntington Bancshares Inc. HBAN-Q n/a Honeywell International HON-N n/a CSX Corp. CSX-N n/a Medtronic Corp. MDT-N n/a Manulife Financial Corp. MFC-T 1, 2, 4, 9, 10 Enerplus Corp. ERF-T 2, 4, 9 Davis + Henderson Corp. DH-T 1, 2, 4, 9 Aecon Group Inc. ARE-T 2, 9 1. TD Securities Inc., TD Securities (USA) LLC or an affiliated company has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities within the last 12 months with respect to the subject company. 2. TD Securities Inc., TD Securities (USA) LLC or an affiliated company has received compensation for investment banking services within the last 12 months with respect to the subject company. 3. TD Securities Inc., TD Securities (USA) LLC or an affiliated company expects to receive compensation for investment banking services within the next three months with respect to the subject company. 4. TD Securities Inc. or TD Securities (USA) LLC has provided investment banking services within the last 12 months with respect to the subject company. 5. A long position in the securities of the subject company is held by the research analys t, by a member of the research analysts household, or in an account over which the research analyst has discretion or control. 6. A short position in the securities of the subject company is held by the research analyst, by a member of the research analysts household, or in an account over which the research analyst has discretion or control. 7. A long position in the derivative securities of the subject company is held by the research analyst, by a member of the re search analysts household, or in an acc ount over which the research analyst has discretion or control. 8. A short position in the derivative securities of the subject company is held by the research analyst, by a member of the r esearch analysts household, or in an account over which the research analyst has discretion or control. 9. TD Securities Inc. and/or an affiliated company is a market maker, or is associated with the specialist that makes a market, in the securities of the subject company. 10. TD Securities Inc. and/or affiliated companies own 1% or more of the equity securities of the subject company. 11. A partner, director or officer of TD Securities Inc. or TD Securities (USA) LLC, or a research analyst involved in the preparation of this report has, during the preceding 12 months, provided services to the subject company for remuneration. 12. Subordinate voting shares. 13. Restricted voting shares. 14. Non-voting shares. 15. Common/variable voting shares. 16. Limited voting shares.

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Additional Important Disclosures Helen K. Sinclair, Director of Davis + Henderson Corp., is a member of the board of directors of The Toronto-Dominion Bank. TD Securities Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of The Toronto-Dominion Bank. TD Securities Inc. acts as an agent on behalf of Manulife Financial Corp. in the execution of securities transactions. General Research Disclaimer The statements and statistics contained herein are based on material believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. This report is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment fund, security or other product. Particular investment, trading or tax strategies should be evaluated relative to each individuals objectives. Graphs and charts are used for illustrative purposes only and do not reflect future values or future performance. This document does not provide individual financial, legal, investment or tax advice. Please consult your own legal, investment and tax advisor. All opinions and other information in this document are subject to change without notice. The Toronto-Dominion Bank and its affiliates and related entities are not liable for any errors or omissions in the information or for any loss or damage suffered. TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. and/or its affiliated persons or companies may hold a position in the securities mentioned, including options, futures and other derivative instruments hereon, and may, as principal or agent, buy or sell such securities. Affiliated persons or companies may also make a market in and participate in an underwriting of such securities. Technical Research Disclaimer The opinions expressed herein reflect a technical perspective and may differ from fundamental research on these issuers. Fundamental research can be obtained through your TD Waterhouse Investment Advisor or on the Markets and Research site within WebBroker. The technical research opinions contained in this report are based on historical technical data and expectations of the most likely direction of a market or security. No guarantee of that outcome is ever implied. Research Dissemination Policy TD Waterhouse makes its research products available in electronic format. TD Waterhouse posts its research products to its proprietary websites for all eligible clients to access by password and distributes the information to its sales personnel who may then distribute it to their retail clients under the appropriate circumstances either by email, fax or regular mail. No recipient may pass on to any other person, or reproduce by any means, the information contained in this report without the prior written consent of TD Waterhouse. Analyst Certification The TD Waterhouse Portfolio Advice & Investment Research analyst(s) responsible for this report hereby certify that (i) the recommendations and technical research opinions expressed in the research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about any and all of the securities or issuers discussed herein and (ii) no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the provision of specific recommendations or views contained in the research report. Conflicts of Interest The TD Waterhouse Portfolio Advice & Investment Research analyst(s) responsible for this report may own securities of the issuer(s) discussed in this report. As with most other TD Waterhouse employees, the analyst(s) who prepared this report are compensated based upon (among other factors) the overall profitability of TD Waterhouse and its affiliates, which includes the overall profitability of investment banking services, however TD Waterhouse does not compensate analysts based on specific investment banking transactions. Corporate Disclosures TD Wealth represents the products and services offered by TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. (Member Canadian Investor Protection Fund), TD Waterhouse Private Investment Counsel Inc., TD Wealth Private Banking (offered by The Toronto-Dominion Bank) and TD Wealth Private Trust (offered by The Canada Trust Company). The Portfolio Advice and Investment Research team is part of TD Waterhouse Canada Inc., a subsidiary of The Toronto-Dominion Bank. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners. TD Waterhouse Trade-mark Disclaimer The TD logo and other trade-marks are the property of The Toronto-Dominion Bank.

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