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Alternative Investments
Mapping to Curriculum
Reading 66: Alternative Investments Reading 67: Investing in Commodities
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Expect around 12 questions in the exam from todays lecture
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Key Concepts
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Closely held Companies Investing in commodities
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Mutual Funds
Mutual Funds
A comingled investment pool in which investors in the fund each have a pro-rata claim on value of the fund. The returns of a mutual fund can be found by using the Net Asset Value (NAV) NAV is calculated based on the closing price of the assets in the fund and is calculated daily.
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The expense ratio is built into the NAV of the fund and affects fund returns.
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Strategies Of Funds
Various types of equity investment strategies:
Style: Focus on underlying investment characteristics
Value(low P/E) vs. growth (high P/E) Large cap, midcap, small cap
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Types Of Funds
International: Includes securities from all over the world excluding securities from the home country. The major part of these kind of fund is the currency fluctuation of different countries. Global: Includes securities from all over the world including securities from the home country. Stable value: Invests in short-term fixed income government securities Guaranteed: Investment contracts which are guaranteed by the issuing investment company and This has expired at 30-Jun-13 pay principal and a set rate files of interest.
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Mutual Funds
No Load Funds
No fee upon investing in the fund or redemption There is an annual fee which is a percentage of the assets under management.
Load Funds
It is in addition to the annual fund management fee A percentage fee is charge for investing in the fund or at the time of redemption.
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Mutual Funds
Mutual Funds (Asset Types)
Stocks Funds
Largest Based on Assets under Management Actively Managed
Stock Selection Higher Fund Management Charges Higher Portfolio Turnover
Bond Funds
Global Government Corporate High Yield Inflation Protected expired at 30-Jun-13 National tax-free bonds
Passively Managed
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Mutual Funds
Hybrid or Balanced Funds
Contain both bonds and shares Gaining popularity with the growth of lifecycle funds Asset mix determined based on desired retirement date
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Mutual Funds
Investors investing in an Index Fund buys fund units directly from the Fund Do not incur brokerage costs All purchases and redemptions in the same day occur at the same price
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Generally dividends are reinvested
Minimum required investment is higher Minimum required investment is lower. Can even be a single unit.
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Mutual Funds
Asset not directly owned by the investor Investor has no control of the transactions
This files has the expired Does not consider the tax needs Considers specific tax at of each investor requirement of the investor
Minimum required investment is lower
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Mutual Funds
Performance reporting is mandatory Sold to public
Hedge Funds
Exempt from reporting requirements Sold only via private placement
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Mutual Funds
Passive Investors Equity held is traded on public markets No exit strategy
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Investor (Buyer)
Capital Markets
ETF Shares
Securities
Imp
Efficient and effective method of diversification. ETFs can be traded intraday, shorted, and margined. Underlying assets are published daily. Low operating expense ratio. In-kind creation and redemption of shares keeps premiums and discounts to NAV at a minimum. Less capital gains liability compared to open-end funds. Immediate reinvestment of dividends.
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Imp
Analogous to the use of replacement cost of total assets in the calculation of Tobins Q for equity valuation. Its based on current construction costs An appraisal of land value is required which may not be easily attainable The market value may be much more or less than the replacement cost.
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Imp
A formal variation of the sales comparable approach Major characteristics of a property that can affect its value are identified Wherein the various factors affecting the price of the security are determined and quantified and put in as a regression equation to finally arrive at the price of the security.
Income Approach:
Values the property using a perpetuity discount type of model. Net Operating Income(NOI) -the annual rent revenue less the operating expenses. Market Cap Rate rate used files by markethas in recent transactions to capitalize future income into a present This expired at 30-Jun-13 market value
Appraisalprice
Market cap rate
Benchmark comparable property The Income Approach can be adjusted for special cases of a constant growth rate in rentals.
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The information are as follows : Gross Rental Income 500,000 Vacancy and Collection loss rate 5% Taxes 40,000 Insurance 12,000 This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Maintenance charges 40,000
Solution: Net operating Income :
= 500,000 ( $500,000 * 0.05 ) 40,000 12,000 40,000 = 383,000
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Characteristic
Number of Rooms Distance to nearest public transportation Gym in the neighborhood
Units
Number Miles 0 or 1
Slope Coefficient In $
50,000 -5,000 10,000
Has 5 bedrooms, half mile away from the bus stop, and no gym in the neighborhood.
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Income Approach
Apartment XYZ
Gross Potential Rental Income Estimated Vacancy and Collection Losses Insurance and Taxes Maintenance Depreciation $500,000 10% $50,000 $20,000 $15,000
Interest on Financing
$15,000
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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First two stages are also known as the Formative Stage Later Stage:
Second-stage investing: enable a company to carry forward production and sales Third-stage financing: to fund a major expansion of the company Mezzanine or bridge financing: to help a company to go public
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Calculate the NPV of the potential investment. This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
Solution:
Probability of survival = (1-0.25)(1-0.20)(1-0.15)(1-0.12) = 0.4488 NPV of project if successful = -1,800,000 + 8,000,000/1.14^4 = 2,936,642 Expected NPV of the project = (2,936,642* 0.4488) + (-1,800,000*0.5512) = 325,805
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Hedge Funds
Objectives
The common objective of all hedge funds irrespective of their investment strategy is to generate absolute returns. This is in contrast to ,Institutional fund managers who try to beat the benchmark. Hedge fund managers generally try to isolate specific bets for the purpose of generating alpha. Hedge fund managers seek freedom to achieve high absolute returns and wish to be rewarded for their performance.
Legal Structure
Typically set up as a Limited Partnership, Liability Limited Partnership, or Offshore Corporation This allows them to use derivatives and leverage without any restrictions. Advertising no allowed No more than 100 partners No more than 499 qualified purchasers Fund advisors are prohibited from misrepresenting fund performance Minimum investment is typically several hundred thousand dollars Offshore funds have an attractive legal structure.
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Hedge Funds
Fee Structure
Base Management Fee
Typically between 1%-3% of the AUM
Incentive Fee
Proportional to profits above the risk free rate (typically around 20%)
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Market-neutral funds:
Attempt to maintain zero betafiles (market risk) through balanced short/long positions in the equity markets. This has expired at 30-Jun-13 Not neutral to other risk factors, like sector, style, country-specific and idiosyncratic (stock specific) risks
Event-driven funds:
These funds strive to take advantage of events like mergers and acquisitions, by investing in distressed securities etc.
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Helps overcome the limitation of Diversification reduces the risk as the limit on the number of investors well as the return
The manager of the fund of funds may not deliver superior returns
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Imp
Hedge are not compelled by any law to disclose their performance. Disclosure is completely voluntary The following have been observed with respect to their results:
Lower risk(standard deviation) compared to equity investment Higher Sharpe ratio compared to Equity investments A low correlation with conventional investments
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Comparable Approach:
Compare with a benchmark
Income Approach:
NPV of discounted cash flows
In addition to the above, a premium is added controlling at interest This files has for expired 30-Jun-13
Discount made for illiquidity or minority interest
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Distressed Securities :
Distressed Securities / Bankruptcies
They are the securities of companies that have filed or are close to filing for bankruptcy or are seeking out of court debt restructuring to avoid bankruptcy. Two types of Bankruptcy protection
Chapter 7 liquidation Chapter 11 - reorganization
Possibility of mispricing
It is similar to VC investing and is faced with Illiquidity, long investment period, in depth analysis The source of distress must be identified and considered while making the investment
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Questions
1. Which of the following statements is not true?
A. Units of an open-ended fund are traded in the secondary market. B. Close-ended funds have a fixed corpus. C. There is a limit on the expenses that can be charged by the AMC to the fund.
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 3. The Gross rental income estimated from a property is $3,00,000. The vacancy is estimated at 7%. Other charges include; Repairs and maintenance $21,000; Insurance $12,000; Municipal Taxes $11,000. Calculate the NOI of the property.
A. 235,000 B. 279,000 C. 256,000
4. If the market capitalization in the above example is 12%, what is the value of the property?
A. 1,958,333 B. 28,200 C. 23,25,000
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Questions (Cont)
5. Mezzanine Financing enables a company to: A. Fund its research and development expenditure of new ideas B. Raise money from the public via IPO C. Commence commercial production of a new product 6. High watermark provision in the incentives of the manager of an hedge fund: A. Guarantees a minimum return to the manager of the fund B. Encourages the manger to take more risk if the fund has earned negative returns C. Guarantees a minimum return to the investors
This files has expired 30-Jun-13 7. Which of the following is not a risk associated with Hedge at Funds:
A. Excessive Leverage B. Counterparty credit risk C. Excessive Liquidity
8. One of the hedge fund bias is that only those fund managers with a good past track record would be willing to be included in an index. This is known as:
A. Self-selection bias B. Backfilling bias C. Survivorship bias
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Solutions
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. A. Units of an open-ended fund are traded in the secondary market C. ETFs cannot be shorted like traditional investments A. (300000)(0.93) 21000 12000 11000 = 235,000 A. Value of property = NOI/market capitalization rate = 235000/0.12 = 1,958,333 B. Raise money from the public via IPO B. Encourages the manger to take more risk if the fund has earned negative returns because under high watermark provision manager gets more of his income from the profits that he earns 7. C. Excessive Liquidity This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 8. B. Backfilling bias
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Key Topics
Mutual Funds : Types of Funds, fees and NAV Comparing Mutual Funds with other Investment Products Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Forms and Valuations of Real Estate investment Venture Capital Investing Hedge Funds Leverage and risks of hedge funds Closely held Companies This files has expired at 30-Jun-13 Investing in commodities
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Investing In Commodities
Investing in Commodities Derivatives
For investors who dont want to store the underlying commodity Commodity futures are the cheapest and easiest way to invest in commodities Commodity Index Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) Passive Investor diversification Active Investor Speculative Profits
Inflation Indexed Gilts Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) in the USA Oil and Gas Industries are directly affected by oil prices Gold mining companies affected by world gold prices
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Backwardation refers to a situation where the future price is below the spot price. This happens when most of the traders are producers of the commodity trying to hedge their positions from an expected fall in the prices.
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Roll Yield
The gain and loss resulting from re-establishing positions as contract expire. Roll yield is positive if the future market is in backwardation Roll yield is Negative if the future market is in Contango.
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Questions
1. Collateralized commodities futures refers to: A. Long commodity Futures + Long Treasury securities equal to the value of commodities Futures position. B. Long commodity Futures + Short Treasury securities equal to the value of commodities Futures position. C. Short commodity Futures + Long Treasury securities equal to the value of commodities Futures position. 2. In a Contango commodity market an unchanged spot price will result in a roll yield that will be: A. Positive B. Negative C. Zero
3. Compared to a active investor a passive investor invests in commodities: A. To make speculative profits B. To provide current income C. To hedge against inflation risk
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Questions
4. A position squeeze occurs in the commodity markets when A. A large institutional player takes advantage of a structural imbalance in supply and demand B. A future is priced higher than the expected spot price C. A future is priced cheaper than the spot price
5.
The least likely means to enhance the return from a commodity index is to A. Roll management B. Rebalancing C. Securitization
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Solutions
1. A. Long commodity Futures + Long Treasury securities equal to the value of commodities Futures position. 2. B. In a contango commodity market an unchanged spot price will result in a roll yield that will be negative 3. C. To hedge against inflation risk 4. A. A large institutional investor generally creates a positional squeeze when it takes advantage of
the imbalance in the supply-demand of a commodity. 5. C. Returns from an index can be enhanced through the use of a high collateral return, roll management, rebalancing and maturity management.
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Extra-Quiz Questions
1. The limitation in which the disclosure of past performance of all the funds managed vests with the fund manager is termed as:
A. Back-filling bias B. Survivorship bias C. Self-selection Bias
2. An investor is considering the purchase of a commercial real estate and provided following information:
Gross potential rental income Vacancy & collection loss rate Insurance Taxes Utilities and maintenance
Calculate the appraisal value of the property if market cap rate is 10%?
A. 1,210,000 B. 1,090,000 C. 1,230,000
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Extra-Quiz Questions
3. Which of the following is least likely correct?
A. Survivorship bias leads to the index being calculated on the basis of surviving funds only and may ignore the funds which are closed and hence the risk is over stated. B. The investments made by hedge funds may not be traded actively resulting in the managers using stale prices and hence reporting stability in the fund's performance, thus under stating the variance (risk). C. Managers may cherry pick and report only those funds which have strong performance leading to self selection bias.
4. The probabilities that a venture capital investment will fail is given below:
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 18% 23% 25% 17%
An investment of $ 15mn is expected to return $ 90mn if the investment company survives till the end of the 4th year. Calculate the rate of return earned on this investment by venture capitalist?
A. 56.5% B. 23.9% C. 32.7%
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Extra-Quiz Questions
5. Which of the following are most likely associated with ETFs?
A. Due to liquidity factors, ETFs may trade at a price different from its NAV B. ETFs cannot be short sold C. ETFs are actively managed
6. When can a hedge fund manager claim to have achieved the high watermark?
A. When the fund manager provides a return in excess of a specified target return B. When the fund manager earns a return in excess of the risk free rate This filesthe has expired at till 30-Jun-13 C. When the value of the fund exceeds highest level achieved date
7. A UK Global macro fund manager wants to invest his funds. Which of the following scenarios are least likely suitable for him for investing purposes?
A. Steep fall in the US dollar
B. An acquisition of a distressed firm by another foreign company on expectations of synergy benefits C. Low volatility in the Japanese stock markets
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Solutions
1. C.
When the index only includes surviving funds and not the discontinued ones, its called survivorship bias. Hence B is incorrect. Hedge fund index includes mostly those managers who have strong track record is called back-filled bias. Hence A is incorrect. However the funds to be disclosed voluntarily at the discretion of the fund manager leads to Self-selection bias, hence C is correct.
2.
B.
NOI= 175000*(1-8%)- 25000 15000- 12000= 109,000 Appraisal value= 109,000/10%= 1090,000
3.
A.
Due to survivorship bias the risk depicted by the index is under stated as it does not factor the performance of the poorly performing funds.
4.
B.
Projected cash flow at the end of 5th year= 0.82*0.77*0.75*0.83*90mn= 35.37mn 35.37= 15*(1+r)4 r =23.9%
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Solutions
5. A.
ETFs can be short sold and margined. ETFs are constructed to mirror the composition and structure of an index, hence they are passively managed.
6. C.
When the value of the portfolio reaches the highest level since vintage, its termed high watermark. Hence option C is correct.
7. B.
An event driven fund manager would be looking for investment in the distressed firm's acquisition.
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Some significant biases that exist are: Self-selection bias Backfill bias Survivorship bias Smoothed pricing Option-like strategies Fee structures and gaming
Types of Funds International: All over the world - home country. Global: All over the world + home country. Stable value: Short-term fixed income government securities Guaranteed: Guaranteed by the issuing investment company, pay principal + set rate of interest.
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NOI Market cap rate Benchmark NOI Market cap rate Benchmark transaction price Appraisalprice
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