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1.1. General:
Air pollution has been aggravated by developments that typically occur as countries become industrialized: growing cities, increasing traffic, rapid economic development and industrialization, and higher levels of energy consumption. The high influxes of population to urban areas, increase in consumption patterns and unplanned urban and industrial development have led to the problem of air pollution. Motor vehicular usage has increased tremendously across the World. In 1950 there were 53 million cars on roads of the World which increased to 500 million by the year 2000. The situation in Pakistan is not different from rest of the World. About 4.3 million vehicles are plying on the roads of Pakistan (Aziz, 2009). According to Pakistan Environment Protection Agency, in Pakistan number of vehicles has jumped from 0.8 million to 4.0 million during last 20 years showing an overall increase of more than 400 percent. The average compound growth of vehicles is about 11 percent per annum. The road Length, which was about 94000 l ip in 1980-81, increased to 232000 m in M7-98 indicating an overall increase of 1 47 percent. Driving forces behind high growth of vehicles are population explosion, gigantic expansion of cities, GDP and household income rise, inconsistent mass transit system, car financing schemes and change in landuse policy popularly known as commercialization policy. At the time of independence in 1947, 32.5 million people lived in Pakistan. The population of Pakistan is estimated as 160 million in 2007 with an average growth rate of 2.6 percent per annum. An estimated time for doubling of population in
Pakistan is 24 years whereas such doubling occurs in America, Canada and Japan in 100 years, 233 years and 350 years respectively.
Figure 1.1: Study Area of G.T. Road between Co-operative Store intersection and Shalimar intersection.
M2W vehicles
*Others
(Motor vehicle numbers, millions) *Others: includes tractors, trailers, M3W vehicles, and miscellaneous vehicles not separately classified. M2W motorized two-/three-wheeler vehicles.
Detrimental impacts of pollutants on human health, agriculture and natural ecosystems will be discussed in Chapter 2.
1.4. Objectives:
The main objectives of this study are;
To quantify the level of vehicular pollution on GT Road. To purpose various strategies for management of On-road Air Quality.
1.5. Methodology:
A framework for air quality modeling is developed. The procedure adopted is as follows; Ambient air temperature and average wind speed was collected from Metrological Department, Lahore. Traffic count survey was performed at GT Road during peak and normal hours. Road cross-section dimensions were measured. Emission factors were collected from a draft report by Air Quality Monitoring Project-Indian Clean Air Programme (ICAP), 2008. Different mathematical models were used in order to quantify the emissions of major air pollutants. Dispersion of the emissions were studied using Gaussian Plume Dispersion Model. Data of Wind rose of Lahore (2008) were collected from E & PHE Division, NESPAK. Which were utilized to study the dispersion pattern. Impacts of air pollution were identified and compared with standards. Mitigation measures were discussed in order to bring the emissions to/ below the desired levels.
1.6. Limitations:
Due to the limited resources and time, the study is primarily focused upon vehicular emission of only 3.3km road. The other limitations are; Only two intersections were studied. Emission factors are not authentic as they have been taken from Indians Vehicle research. Only 2 hours traffic count was performed for two days. Model calibration and verification is not studied as air sampling procedures are not adopted.
Particulate Matter Carbon Monoxide Nitrogen Oxides Sulfur Dioxide Lead Ozone
In order to measure the pollutant quantities there are some factors to be consider like Roadway characteristics, traffic loads, fuel, condition of vehicles etc.
Table 2.1: Sectorial oil Consumption 2000-1: Total 19.35 Million Tons
(Source: CNG Sub-Sector by Hilal A Raza, DG, and HDIP on Jan, 11th 2002 A presentation to
the Task Force on Integrated Energy Security Action Plan.)
The comparison of Petrol and Diesel vehicle emission (expressed as lb/1000 Gallons fuel burnt) is given in the table below;
Table 2.2: Comparison of pollutant emitted from Diesel and Petrol Vehicles. Pollutant Aldehyde (HCOH) CO HC NOx SOx Particulates Diesel 10 60 136 222 40 110 Petrol 4 2300 200 113 9 12
Number of U-turns. Road roughness, rutting and fatigue cracking. On-site parking.
Road infrastructure like, shoulders, camber, median, lanes, markings, islands, zebra-crossing, curbs, green belts, traffic signals, bus stop, overhead pedestrian bridge, side walk etc.
Higher average temperatures, Poor fuel quality, Poor vehicle maintenance culture, more the load of old vehicles , Higher Value of Emission Factor
The motion of causes a dilution of air pollutants. Similarly temperature helps in vertical dispersion of pollutants. Lower wind and lower temperature clamps the pollutants upon the communities where they are produced and result in high concentration build up.
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1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 N NE E SE S SW W NW
Frequency in hrs
Figure 2.2: Wind Speed and wind direction in the city of Lahore 2008.
Windrose Winter (Nov-Feb)
340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 0 190 3 170 180 6 10 16 160 (k nots ) W ind s peed 0 1.5 3.1 5.1 8.2 (m/s ) 150 140 100 300 350 0 400 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130
200
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200
Figure 2.4:
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Figure 2.5: Wind Rose for the Summer/ Moon soon (July-OCT)
Wind direction is always defined as that from which the wind is blowing, i.e. a north wind comes from north. The position of spoke shows the direction from which the wind was blowing. The thickness of spoke shows the wind speed and its lengths shows percentage of time the wind was blowing from that direction.
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Table 2.3: Wind Speed, Humidity, Pressure, Temperature and Direction 2012 Ambient Temperature
o
Wind Direction
Wind Speed
Humidity
Pressure
C SW SE SE N N N N N N N N N E E S S E NE NE E E SE
m/s 4.9 3.6 4.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.0 2.2 0.9 1.8 2.2 0.9 0.4 4.0 3.6 3.1 3.1
% 40 55 51 44 58 71 73 79 85 89 85 91 97 99 99 99 99 95 76 59 52 62
(mm of Hg) 756.1 756.9 756.6 756.0 757.0 757.3 757.7 758.1 758.0 758.3 758.3 758.7 757.7 758.0 758.6 759.5 760.5 760.1 760.4 760.8 760.8 760.3
29 29 31 29 28 25 24 23 22 21 22 21 20 20 19 19 20 22 25 27 28 26
It is evident from the wind rose of Lahore that most of the times the wind blows from North-West to South-East. Furthermore the average wind speed was 3m/s for most of the time.
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Figure 3.1: Typical cross section of a road way. Table 3.1: Cross-sectional dimensions of GT-Road near UET,Lahore. Cross-sectional elements Side walk Green belt Shoulder Travel way Shoulder Median Shoulder Travel way Shoulder Green belt Side walk Dimensions 8ft 26ft 3in 2ft 6in 47ft 1ft 6in 4ft 1ft 3in 46ft 3ft 9in 39ft 10ft 8in
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At signal on UET lane near Govt. High school Shalimar. Green Red 1:56 1:23
3.3.
The traffic count survey was performed on GT-Road was scheduled as given in the table below;
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Table 3.3: Schedule for traffic count survey. Date Dec 5, 2013 Dec 7, 2013 Time 1:30pm to 2:30pm 10:00m to 11:00am Status Peak Hour Normal Hour
Figure 3.1: Survey locations (red triangles perpendicular to road) The 4 survey locations that selected are as follows; In front of AFC, PHA, School at Shalimar, show-room opposite to school. The figure below shows the surveyors that were performing the traffic count survey. The Performa used for the traffic count purpose is attached in Annexure I.
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Figure3.2: Surveyors standing in front of AFC and PHA (from left to right)
Models used here was EETM model and Gaussian Plume dispersion Model.
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Peak Hour
6099 1 35 1025 15 3 18 6 100 24 139 104 47 5 4 3 67 4 114 382 4 3 530 5 1 7 7 20 3 25
Normal Hour
5193 3 40 602 9 3 30 17 37 17 99 80 41 6 18 21 15 12 127 144 9 31 2 10 6 15 12 1 17 6
19
20
21
400
300 200 100 0
22
1000
800 600 400 200 0
23
100
0
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Fruit venors were along the road, and if these fruits are being consumed without proper washing it may be a sort of health hazard. Observed traffic load can cause damage to plant photosynthesis and other impacts on plants and buildings
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HC
2.337886 0.427513 0.15153 0.083564 0.048361 0.038965 2.337886
NOx
6.90752E-05 1.26313E-05 4.4771E-06 2.46899E-06 1.42886E-06 1.15125E-06 6.90752E-05
CO2
0.009204 0.001683 0.000597 0.000329 0.00019 0.000153 0.009204
PM
8.49304E-06 1.55306E-06 5.50475E-07 3.03571E-07 1.75683E-07 1.41551E-07 8.49304E-06
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garden located in North East the dispersion of pollution also divert towards the these places as NE wind in Lahore is dominant after SE & NW winds.
1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 N NE E SE S SW W NW
Frequency in hrs
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Recommendations:
An integrated Transport policy need to be announced and route rationalization strategy for introduction and operation of public transport is to be made necessary. Financial earning at cost of environment should stop immediately. Hence forth commercialization policy needs to be withdrawn. Requirement for change in landuse may be met through spatial planning which is now mandatory function of City District Government Lahore. Environment protection may be included among kernel functions of City District Government Lahore and therefore sway under separate EDO ( Executive District Officer) Organizational setup as proposed in Devolution Plan 2001 may be adopted to achieve optimum harmony among key tiers of transportation and environment protection
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To ease congestion within City Circular railway around city has to be setup. To reduce congestion, scope and management of bus transit lane is to be thrash out at major roads of city. It not only creates a feeling of superiority among passengers but also helps in reducing unrelenting trend of motorization
Role of decentralized environment Department of City District Government Lahore is required Use of catalytic converter for motor vehicles. Use of alternate fuels. Proper road traffic planning. Introduction pf public transport. Proper maintenance of motor vehicles.
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References:
1. Bajwa, I. and A. Aziz, Fragile Urban Environment and Change in Landuse Policy (Role of City District Government Lahore. In: Rafeeqi, S,A, Lodhi, S,H, Ali, M.(Eds) ,Second International Symposium on Infrastructure Engineering in Developing Countries ,NED University,Karachi,pp.108115, (2004). 2. Fazal, Nouman, Air Quality in Urban areas in Pakistan Vs Transport
Planning: Issues and Management tools. 3. Ilyas. Zafar. A Review of Transport and Urban Air Pollution in Pakistan, June (2009). 4. NESPAK E&PHE Division.
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Annexure I:
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