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212052134.xls.ms_office
Regression is one of the analysis tools in the Analysis ToolPak. Completing the Regression Dialog Excel displays a "Regression" dialog that prompts for information about your data and about what results you want to see. Complete the dialog and click "OK". A Small Example quantity ads 27500 10 25000 7.5 25000 10 25000 5 27500 10 22500 7.5 25000 7.5 22500 5 27500 5 25000 5 27500 10 25000 5 22500 5 22500 5
Excel's Regression Output The look of your results will depend on what output options you selected in the dialog and on how much data you have. You may need to widen columns in order to see the output completely. SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.549294 R Square 0.301724 Adjusted R Square 0.243534 Standard Error 1.940809 Observations 14 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total SS MS F Significance F 1 19.53125 19.53125 5.185185 0.041897 12 45.20089 3.766741 13 64.73214
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Intercept -8.66071 6.881375 -1.25857 0.23212 -23.6539 6.332513 -23.6539 quantity 0.000625 0.000274 2.2771 0.041897 2.7E-05 0.001223 2.7E-05
Notes For the Y Range Enter the reference for the range of dependent data. The range must consist of a single column of data. For the X Range Enter the reference for the range of independent data. Excel orders independent variables from this range in ascending order from left to right. The maximum number of independent variables is 16. The data used in the regression must be contiguous in the worksheet.
From Excel's menus select Tools, Add-ins and toggle on the checkmark to the left of "Analysis ToolPak".
Trendlines in Charts
You can extend a trendline in a chart beyond the actual data to predict future values. How To To add a trendline to a data series in a chart: 1. Select the data series to which you want to add a trendline. 2. From the menus choose Chart, Add Trendline. 3. On the Type tab, click the type of regression trendline or moving average you want. 4. On the Options tab, choose how many periods forward or back you want to forecast. If you select Polynomial, enter in the Order box the highest power for the independent variable. If you select Moving Average, enter in the Period box the number of periods to be used to calculate the moving average. A Small Example Quarterly Revenues Q1 2 Q2 2.2 Q3 2.5 Q4 2.55 Chart of Actual Data
Revenue in Millions 2.6 2.4 2.2 2 1.8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Projected 1 2 3 4 5
How To Select the initial data and as many rows beneath it as you want forecast values. Choose Edit, Fill, Series and complete the "Series" dialog. Click OK.
Projection Functions
FORECAST
TREND
GROWTH
LINEST
LOGEST