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LIBERLISATION OF FDI AND ITS IMPLICATION SUBMITTED BY KOMAL H SINGH MCOM PART I SEAT NO. ROLL NO.

-11 ACADEMIC YEAR 2012-13

UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF PROF. POONAM KAKKAD

SUBMITTED TO UNIVERSITY OF MUMBAI NIRMALA MEMORIAL FOUNDATION COLLEGE OF COMMERCE AND SCIENCE

DECLARATION I Komal Singh of Nirmala College of commerce and science, studying in MCom-I hereby declares that I have completed the project on liberalisation of fdi and its implication in the academic year 2012-13 The information submitted is the true and original to the best of my knowledge.

Date of Submission

Student signature

CERTIFICATE

This is to certify that Komal Singh studying in MCom-I at Nimala Memorial Foundation college of commerce and science, kandivali (E.) has completed a project on LIBERLISATION OF FDI AND ITS IMPLICATION in the academic year of 2012-13 This information which is submitted is true and original to the best of my knowledge.

Signature of principal (Dr. T. P. Madhu Nair)

signaure of coordinator (Dr. Neha Goel)

Signature of Project Guide (Prof. Megha Juvekar)

signature of external examiner

ACKNOWLEDGMENT

Any project or the task requires the efforts many people without which it cannot be possible. I am very much thankful of Prof. Poonam kakkad who have supported me a lot to complete my project and gave me this opportunity of making the project on A study on gains from trade I am very thankful of those people to provide me the best possible information for my project. Lastly I would like to thanks to our librarian who have helped me, lot to find out the information from various books, magazines, journals etc The help of these people have shown the right path to my project and have enormously enriched my project.

TIME TABLE Sr. No. 1 2 3 4 5 Topic Introduction of fdi Histrorical and present scenario of fdi Liberalisation of FDI policy in India Debate on FDI Strong argument, limited evidence Page no. 6-8 9-14 15-24 25-27 28-34

Conclusion

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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION OF FDI


The wave of liberalisation and globalisation sweeping across the world has opened many national markets for the international business. Global private investment, in most part, is now made by multinational corporations (MNCs) also referred to as transactional corporations (TNCs). Clearly, these transactional organisations play a major role in the world trade and investments because of their demonstrated management skills, technology, financial resources and related advantages. Recent developments in the global market are indicative of the rapidly growing international business. The beginning of the 21st century has already marked a

tremendous growth of international investments, trade and financial transactions along with the integration and openness of international markets. Foreign investment is a subject of topical interest. Countries of the world, particularly developing economies, are vying with each other to attract foreign capital to boost their domestic rates of investment and also to acquire new technology and managerial skills. Intense competition is taking place among the fund-starved less developed countries to lure foreign investors by offering repatriation facilities, tax concessions and other incentives. However, foreign investment is not an unmixed blessing. Governments investment in developing countries have to be very careful while deciding the magnitude, pattern and conditions of private foreign investment. Meaning of FDI Investment in a country by individuals and organisations from other countries is an important aspect of international finance. This flow of international finance may take the form of direct investment ( creation of productive facilities) or portfolio investment (acquisition of securities). FDI is the outcome of the mutual interests of multinational firms and host countries. According to the International Monetary fund (IMF), FDI is defined as investment that is made to acquire a lasting interest in an enterprise operating in an economy other than that of the investor. The investors purpose being to have an effective voice in the management of the enterprise, the essence of FDI is the transmission to the host country of a package of capital,
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managerial, skill and technical knowledge. FDI is generally a form of long-term international capital movement, made for the purpose of productive activity and accompanied by the intention of managerial control or participation in the management of a foreign firm. In India, FDI means investment by non-resident entity/person resident outside India in the capital of an Indian company under Schedule 1 of Foreign Exchange Management (Transfer or Issue of securities by a Person Resident Outside India) Regulations,2000. FDI is usually contrasted with portfolio investment which does not seek management control, but is motive by profit. Portfolio investment occurs when individual investors invest, mostly through stockholders, in stocks of foreign companies in the foreign land in search of profit opportunities. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) broadly encompasses any long-term investments by an entity that is not a resident of the host country. Typically, the investment is over a long duration of time and the idea is to make an initial investment and then subsequently keep investing to leverage the host countrys advantages which could be in the form of access to better (and cheaper) resources, access to a consumer market or access to talent specific to the host country which results in the enhancement of efficiency. This long-term relationship benefits both the investor as well as the host country. The investor benefits in getting higher returns for his investment than he would have gotten for the same investment in his country and the host country can benefit by the increased know how or technology transfer to its workers, increased pressure on its domestic industry to compete with the foreign entity thus making the industry improve as a whole or by having a demonstration effect on other entities thinking about investing in the host country. However, the distinction between FDI and portfolio investment is not watertight because sometimes FDI policy and portfolio investment are intertwined. 1.2 Definition of 'Foreign Direct Investment - FDI' An investment made by a company or entity based in one country, into a company or entity based in another country. Foreign direct investments differ substantially from indirect investments such as portfolio flows, wherein overseas institutions invest in equities listed on a nation's stock exchange. Entities making direct investments typically have a significant degree of influence and control over the company into which the investment is made. Open economies
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with skilled workforces and good growth prospects tend to attract larger amounts of foreign direct investment than closed, highly regulated economies.

CHAPTER-2 HISTORICAL AND PRESENT SCENARIO OF FDI


2.1 Indias Historical Economic Direction and the Rationale for Emergence of FDI as a Source of Economic Growth After getting independence in 1947, the government of India envisioned a socialist approach to developing the countries economy broadly based on the USSR system. The government decided to adopt an economic agenda that would follow five year plans. Each five year plan was focused on certain sectors of the economy that the government felt needed to be developed for the countries progress. The government followed an interventionist policy and dictated most of the norms of running a business by favoring certain sectors and ignoring others. Until 1991, India was primarily a closed economy. The industrial environment in India was highly regulated and a license system known as licence raj - was in place to ensure compliance with the government regulations and directives. Under the Industries Development and Regulations act (1951) starting and operating any industry required approval - in the form of a licence - from the government. Any change in production capacity or change in the product mix also called for obtaining government approval. This led to the development of increasingly complex and opaque procedures for obtaining a licence and led to a burgeoning bureaucracy. The licence system thus shifted lot of power and perverse incentives in the hands of file pushing bureaucrats (or Babus). This directly led to increased corruption as the procedure for obtaining a licence was vaguely defined and left open to individual interpretations. In addition, there was no monitoring system in place to ensure speedy disposal of licence applications. Also, the labor markets were highly regulated and the government did not allow the companies to lay off its workers. This meant that even in severe downturns the companies kept bleeding but could not rationalize its workforce. Eventually these companies - majority of them public sector companies would become chronically sick and the government kept subsidizing them at huge costs to the taxpayer.

One draconian measure was the introduction of the Foreign Exchange Regulation act (FERA) of 1973 which curtailed foreign investment to 40% in Indian companies. This had a very adverse impact and companies such as Coca-Cola and IBM exited the country. The impact of this could be seen in the slow growth of the Indian economy as compared to its neighbors over a 30 year period. Table 1 shows a comparison between the Indian industrial development and that of some of the other developing countries in the region. From the data it is clear that India lagged behind other countries in its growth rates over a sustained period of time and this led to increased poverty. Surprisingly, there were some very strange reasons given for this lag in economic performance. The excuses went to such ridiculous extents as to the development of a Hindu rate of return theory which stated that the Hindu rate of return was lower that that of the western nations and thus a comparison of Indias economic return with that of western nations was inappropriate The government also adopted a policy of import substitution and the idea was to help the domestic industry improve in a safe environment until the local industries could compete internationally. This was implemented by levying extremely high tariffs or completely banning imported goods. Table 2 in the appendix shows the nominal tariff rates in effect in 1985. Due to the governments protection most of the industries failed to catch up with the technological innovations taking place around the world. As they were shielded from imports due to extremely high import tariffs the industries had no incentive to improve their operations. This led to a vicious circular logic where the tariffs were not reduced since domestic companies could not compete and the high tariffs prevented industries from innovating. Corruption and opaqueness of the system added to the difficulties and the situation became extremely complex. 2.2 The BoP Crisis Gulf war broke out in 1990 and the resulting oil shock was enough to trigger a serious balance of payment (BoP) crisis for India in 1991. The cost of oil imports went up to 10,820 crores from the estimated 6,400 crores. Traditionally, India received lot of remittances from the expatriates working in the Gulf countries and this source also dried up as the migrant Indian workers were forced to return home due to the war. The problem was compounded due to an extremely high inflation of about 16% and a fiscal deficit of about 8.5%. The situation was so severe that India had foreign reserves of only around $1 Billion - barely enough to cover two
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weeks of its payment obligations. Indias credit rating was downgraded as its debt servicing capability was critically impaired and the government had to pledge its gold reserves to soothe creditors. Ostensibly, the trigger for the BoP crisis was the oil shock but the deeper issue was that the governments heavy hand in trying to regulate businesses and to move the country towards economic progress had failed to produce results and drastic measures were now called for. Faced with these insurmountable problems, the Indian government turned to the IMF and thus began a series of far reaching reforms in the India economy which envisioned transforming the countrys economy from an interventionist and overly-regulated economy to a more market oriented one. 2.3 Historical trends in FDI in India Starting with the market reforms initiated in 1991, India gradually opened up its economy to FDI in a wide range of sectors. The licence-raj system was dismantled in almost all the industries. The infrastructure sector which was in dire need of capital welcomed foreign equity. FDI was especially encouraged in ports, highways, oil and gas industries, power generation and telecommunication. Consumer goods and service sector which was once completely off-limits for foreign equity was also gradually opened up. The reserve bank of India set up an automatic approval system which allowed investments in slabs of 50, 51 or 74% depending on the priority of the industry, as defined by the government. The foreign investment limits were slowly raised and some sectors saw the limits raised to 100%. The reforms thus led to a gradual increase in FDI in India. Table 3 shows the FDI flow to India after the structural reforms began in 1991. As can be seen from the table, FDI increased from a non-existent value in the start to about $4 billion a year. It should be noted that till 2000, the figure of FDI reported actually underestimates the amount of FDI according to IMF definition. This is because the Indian government had its own definition of FDI and did not include heads like reinvested earnings, proceeds of foreign listings and foreign subordinated loans to domestic subsidiaries. But, the government recognized this problem and after a study undertaken in 2003, the standard definition of FDI as suggested by the IMF was adopted by the Indian government.
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2.4 Present Scenario More and more multi-national corporations have come to realize that India is the place to be. India is the worlds second largest economy (in terms of population) with a total population of just over one billion, forth largest in the world in terms of GDP ($3.3 trillion) and ranked twelfth in the world in terms of Gross National Income ($570 billion). It is potentially a very fast growing market and all the multi-national corporations realize the fact that to take advantage of this ever growing economy they need to present in the country. It has been more than a decade since the reforms first began and today in the 21st Century, India has come a long way from the early days of licence raj and Babus. India has been able to make its mark in the world standing as a lucrative country for FDI by becoming more and more competitive on the world standards. According to the A. T. Kearneys report on the FDI Confidence Index in October 2004, India was ranked third just behind China and the United States as the choice country for foreign investment up from its previous rankings of sixth in 2003 and fifteenth in 2002. Just looking at pure numbers the amount of FDI in the last couple of years have gone up from $2.3 billion in the year 2000 to $3.4 billion in 2001 and 2002 and eventually $4.3 billion in the year 2003 and still growing. All this growth has been achieved through a number so factors amongst which the main factors are proactive government policy and regulations and favorable economic conditions. One example would be the favorable conditions such as highly educated but comparatively cheap labor force for outsourcing to India, services such as customer service call centres and research and development facilities, which paved the way for so many future incidences of investment. Other examples include the adoption of numerous Double Taxation Avoidance Agreements with other countries, creation of numerous Export Processing Zones and Special Economic Zones, liberalization of trade policies, relaxation in import tariffs in almost all areas and on all products, increased simplification of the whole investment process by placing more and more sectors on the automatic approval route with only limited sectors requiring licensing, provision of easy
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availability of information on policies and procedures of FDI and most of all creation of independent institutions and authorities to assist in the prompt and smooth flow of FDI into the country. Some of the key highlights of the current procedures and policies of Investing in India are as follows: FDI of up to 100% is allowed in numerous sectors and activities which include most manufacturing activities, non-banking financial services, software development, hospital, private oil refineries, electricity generation (non-atomic) / transmission / distribution, roads & highways, ports & harbors, hotel & tourism, research and development etc. Only a have been limited to industrial licensing and a couple being total prohibited e.g. atomic energy, railway transport etc. Other places where 100% FDI is permitted are for setting up Special Economic Zone (SEZ) Units and 100% Export Oriented Units (EOU). There are multiple forms of entry for a corporation depending on its needs and requirements which include entry through setting up Joint Ventures, Wholly Owned Subsidiaries, Liaison / Representative Office, Project Office or Branch Office. Liberal foreign exchange regulations, under the rule of the Central Bank, namely the Reserve Bank of India e.g. all foreign investment and dividends declared thereon is freely repatriable unless otherwise specified under a particular scheme and through an authorized dealer. Favorable policies for Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) looking to just invest and trade in as well as out of the Stock Exchange under the Portfolio Investment Scheme (PSI). They have the option of investing in both equity and debt instruments, the only catch being that the investment has to be split in the ratio of 70:30, and also the other option of declaring themselves purely interested in debt instruments and then becoming a 100% debt FII. A mature and favorable taxation system with low customs and excise duties and low corporate taxes. It caters for numerous tax holidays or rebates depending upon the sector of investment and geographical location e.g. there is a tax holiday of 10 years for foreign investment in infrastructure projects, various projects taken up in certain backward areas in the North Eastern States and Sikkim, units located in specified zones, projects which are 100% export oriented etc. Moreover India has already entered into a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) with 65 other countries, under which the income generated
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in India will be taxed in India and then would not be re-taxed in the home country of the investor, only the difference in the tax rate between the home country and India would be payable. Keeping in mind the growing concern over intellectual property rights, India has been prompt to enact numerous rules and regulations e.g. The Patents Act, The Trademarks Act, The Geographical Indicators of Goods Act and The Designs Act. To assist in providing a prompt and smooth investment process the Indian Government has set up numerous independent institutions e.g. The establishment of Foreign Investment Implementation Authority (FIIA) to assist in the prompt implementation of FDI approvals, the formation of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) to assess various FDI proposals and to cater to the grievances and complaints of potential and current investors the appointment of a Business Ombudsperson and Grievances Officer-Cum-Joint Secretary in the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Also, to ensure adequate and up-to-date information on current policies and procedures is available at all time to investors various points of call have been set up which can be easily accessed e.g. the Secretariat for Industrial Assistance (SIA) has been set up for this particular purpose. Other means are through the internet on various websites (e.g. http://dipp.nic.in), online chats, bulletin board services, frequent publications and monthly newsletters. Focusing in on more recent events in India and specifically in the Banking and Insurance Sector, in previous years the FDI limit in private sector banks was raised to 74% from the existing 49% and the insurance sector to be hiked from 26% to 49%, but there was a caveat of only having 10% voting rights irrespective of the shareholding, which was seen as a major constraint. In 2005, a new regulation namely the Banking Regulation (Amendment) Bill 2005 has been proposed which will give private investors voting rights which will be in line with their current shareholding. Once this regulation is given the nod, it is likely to increase foreign investment significantly.

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CHAPTER-3

Liberalization of Foreign Investment Policy in India


Liberalization of foreign investment policy is a central component of India's economic reforms. While the need for foreign capital is hardly disputed/ there has been a continuing debate on the scope, coverage/ and impact of a liberalized foreign investment policy. In this paper/ Tarun Das argues that the debate on foreign investment policy lacks perspective and there seems to be very little appreciation of the emerging compulsions of the new international economic order. India's foreign investment policy has certainly become broadbased in recent years/ but it is still far from complete and further liberalization of foreign investment policy appears / inevitable in view of the pressures as well as obligations associated with the future global scenario. Liberalization of foreign investment policy has been a central component of economic reform in India, introduced in 1991. The first step was to remove the age-old limit of 40 per cent foreign equity and allow automatic clearance up to 51 per cent foreign equity. Subsequently/ a series of steps have been taken, encompassing policy as well as procedures, to create an environment for free flow of foreign capital. Liberalization of foreign investment policy has been of an on-going nature, and the process is continuing even today. At the time of writing this piece, i.e. the first week of February 1998, the latest dose of liberalization is that no RBI clearance would be necessary for projects that have the Foreign Investment Promo tion Board (FIPB) nod. What is significant about India's foreign investment policy is that it is continuing to be liberalized, even as the debate on some of its basic premises is very much alive. It has been a case of increasing liberalization amidst continuing debate. The new policy has generated many polemics on ideological as well as realistic grounds. Accordingly, it has been one of the most widely discussed aspects of economic policy under the reform process. The polemics surrounding the policy makes it obvious that there is still lack of clarity as well as consensus about some fundamental principles of the policy. What is important to note, however, is that though it is the most debated aspect of India's new economic policy, the need for foreign capital is hardly disputed and there is a general agreement on the imperative of a liberal policy. The debate is primarily about the extent and coverage on the one hand and impact management on the other. Before we go into these issues and review the policy in the context of the on-going debate, let us briefly present the broad dimensions of the policy.
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3.1 Main Elements of Foreign Investment Policy For the first time, we have a broader policy on foreign investment. Prior to 1991, the policy was not only restrictive but also partial. What was permitted (in a restricted way) was foreign direct (i.e., equity) investment, or FDI as we call it. Foreigners were not allowed to invest in the portfolios of the Indian 40 Vikalpa corporates. This facility was available, again in a very limited way, only to the NRIs and their overseas corporate bodies (OCBs). The present policy is a broader policy in the sense that it covers equity as well as portfolio investment. With respect to the latter, the facility is, of course, limited to foreign institutional investors (FIIs) only and not to every foreign investor. However, the extent of permissible investment is quite significant. Besides, the coverage of FIIs has been expanded to include practically all sorts of institutional funds. Further, liberalization of portfolio/asset management operations has opened up another dimension of foreign investment in India. Coming to FDI component of foreign investment policy, there has been a paradigm shift, given the highly restrictive nature of the past policy. In the past, the general policy was not to allow more than 40 per cent foreign equity participation. Higher equity participation was allowed on condition of availability of sophisticated technologies and higher export obligation, under 51 per cent and 74 per cent schemes, for instance. One hundred per cent foreign equity was allowed only in the case of investment under 100 per cent Export Oriented Unit (EOU) scheme or in the Free Trade Zones (FTZs). These policies had failed to evoke any enthusiasm among the foreign investors, which is obvious from the quantum of FDI flow that came into the country till 1991. Apart from the policy limitation, restrictions were also imposed in the form of procedures that were designed to completely exhaust the energy and enthusiasm of the limited few, who would have liked to invest even under conditions of restricted and minority participation. The key element of the current FDI policy is automatic clearance of foreign investment projects with up to 51 per cent equity participation. This applies with respect to 34 industries that cover a broad and vast spectrum of the country's manufacturing sector. The MNCs that were already operating in the country in these sectors with less than 40 per cent equity ownership due to the earlier policy, and particularly those who were forced to bring down their equities, have been allowed to increase their equity stakes to 51 per cent. More than 51 per cent equity is also liberally permitted in these sectors under the system that prevailed. Applications have to be submitted and permissions
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obtained, but the mechanism for approval has been streamlined to ensure faster clearance. As in the past, the criteria for allowing more than 51 per cent foreign equity includes the nature of technology and contribution to exports, but the approach is positive and the thrust is on faster clearance. The authority to approve applications has been rechristened as Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) (as opposed to Foreign Investment Board). The approval/application ratio has improved significantly since restructuring of the FIPB and inculcation of a positive mindset. Clearly, the signal is that there is willingness to permit higher equity participation by the foreign companies. The system of automatic approval up to 51 per cent has the effect of releasing considerable bureaucratic energy by minimizing the number of applications to undergo scrutiny, and giving better considerations to applications involving majority foreign ownership with greater objectivity. This is a sign of pragmatism in our approach to FDI, an aspect that was virtually missing earlier. Most importantly, dogmatic perceptions are hardly allowed to determine the structure of ownership and quantum of investment. Further, the policy of automatic approval up to 51 per cent foreign equity is without any strings in the sense that such joint venture projects do not have to meet any obligations, nor are subjected to conditionalities. To begin with, a criteria of dividend balancing was introduced to ensure that foreign exchange expenditures were met out of own earnings, i.e., imports should equal exports, and there was no net outgo of foreign exchange. This was done with a view to ease pressure on the country's balance of payment position. However, this requirement was subsequently withdrawn to make the policy more attractive. Other obligations such as export obligation, indigenization requirement, etc. are also not imposed. This is another indicator of pragmatism in our approach to FDI.

3.2 Need for Policy Reform Many may argue that in our desperateness to attract foreign capital, we have sacrificed some of the vital objectives that we could have achieved. For instance, the opportunity to use FDI as a tool for export promotion may appear to have been virtually sacrificed. Similarly, the objectives that could have been served through indigenization programme may have been sacrificed to a great extent. Export development, access to foreign technology, transfer of skills to the locals, development of supporting local enterprises, etc. are some of the benefits that could be reasonably expected from foreign investment. Seemingly, the new policy that has been
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considerably shaped by the economic exigencies of the late 80s and early 90s has compromised on many vital objectives. However, the element of pragmatism should be obvious if we take into account the circumstances under which this policy was adopted. As is too wellVol. 23, No. 1, January - March 1998 41 known, Indian economy was on the brink of a collapse. Foreign investment was a critical necessity, but foreign investors' confidence in the Indian economy was at its lowest ebb. By the beginning of the 90s, most of the developing countries had offered highly attractive policies to the foreign investors and had engaged themselves in competitive liberalization. The volume of global FDI outflow had significantly increased between 1985 and 1991, but foreign investors, who were most sought after throughout the developing world, had plenty of destinations to choose and had their own terms to settle deals. The current FDI policy takes cognizance of this reality. The writing on the wall for India was practically clear by the early 90s. A section of the developing countries, represented by the fast-growing economies of East and South East Asia, was already following market-oriented economic policies and created glitters that dazed. Foreign investments were pouring in large volumes in China and the whole of South East Asia. Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (APEC) was formed encompassing all these economies. India was left out. Foreign investors openly said India did not belong to Asia. On the other end of the spectrum, the low income developing economies in Asia and Africa had willingly opened up and even boasted on the speed of their reform process. It is a different matter though that they were not getting any foreign investment in spite of their efforts. But India was singled out as virtually a closed economy. The developed countries did not quite turn their eyes away from India in view of the potential market size and had kept on mounting the pressure for opening up. But no developing country was willing to side with India in the multilateral fora, particularly in the Uruguay Round of Traae Negotiations. India's resistance to agreement on Trade Related Intellectual Properties (TRIPs), Trade Related Investment Measures (TRIMs), and General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) hardly had any supporter. On the domestic front, the industrial and trade policies were considerably liberalized during 1985-90. There was a growing felt need for liberal tie-ups with the foreign manufacturers in the face of mounting competition at home. Accordingly, there was a brewing internal pressure for liberal FDI policy. And then came the domestic economic crisis, compelling a recourse to IMP'S structural adjustment loan. Any objective assessment of India's foreign investment policy has to take into account the compelling pressures of the circumstantial forces prevailing at that time. At the same
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time, it is not correct to say that the present policy was influenced entirely by the circumstantial forces alone. There were also opinions gathering in favour of India joining the much hyped globalization. There was no objection, ideological or otherwise, to the imperative of higher extemalization of the economy through trade liberalization. A positive perspective on the role of FDI for Indian economy was very much visible. In other words, the internal support base for liberalization of policy for foreign investment was prevailing. And thus it was ushered in. Not only that automatic approval facility was allowed for joint ventures with foreign equity ownership up to 51 per cent, many other changes were introduced by way of regular amendments in the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA)'73. For instance, foreign companies were given liberal permissions to open liais on offices and distribution outlets, facilitating, in the process, an act of testing the water before taking the plunge. This facility was undoubtedly another mark of pragmatism and realistic endeavour to attract foreign investment. Some of the large MNCs who have now significant presence in India did take the advantage of this policy before committing major investment. Those who do not have good knowledge of India and are still sceptical of investment outlook may find this policy helpful and strategic. They can get their feet soaked in the Indian waters before taking further steps. Similarly, as has been already mentioned, though permission/approval is required, more-than 51 per cent equity is easily granted, so long as the investment proposals satisfy the broad criteria. The objective is to enhance additionally of physical assets rather than the structure of ownership, an area that has been left to be decided between the partners. But the policy, as of now, is much more liberal than this. It grants equally liberal permission for setting up 100 per cent subsidiaries. It is basically up to the foreign investors to decide whether he should have an Indian partner (majority or minority) or go ahead on his own. The entry strategy is entirely up to the foreign investor. He can first test the market through limited selling, have familiarity, develop market strategy, and then set up 100 per cent subsidiary. Alternatively, he can enter the market with an Indian partner, if he so wishes. The policy does save foreign investors the risk of direct plunge into the market, as also the hard exercise of finding a local partner.

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3.3 New Dimensions of Foreign Investment Policy One of the new dimensions of foreign investment policy is investment in infrastructure. The contours of this policy have been dictated by three main factors. First, India's infrastructural needs are huge. The quantum of infrastructural gaps and the resource requirements has been estimated by the India Infrastructure Report (1996). Second, the public sector is no longer in a position to meet the requirement all by itself. Third, India needs to have latest technologies in order to have modem infrastructural facilities. Technological upgradation in the rest of the economy can be facilitated only with modernization of infrastructure. Accordingly, private sector participation (domestic as well as foreign) has been a key element of the policy for infrastructure development. It has taken some years to evolve definitive policy framework and has not been without hitches, which arose out of lack of necessary understanding of the principles that guide private investment in infrastructure. However, the policy that has finally evolved is a mix of international trend in foreign participation in infrastructure and the country's long-term perspective. The policy permits (i) 100 per cent foreign investment in power, roads and highways, construction of airports and ports and (ii) 49 per cent foreign equity in telecom. There is lack of clarity, or rather indeci-siveness, about foreign investment in the railways and civil aviation. In the case of railways, it is not clear whether foreign investment is welcome or not, and if welcome, what is the permissible extent of foreign equity. This sector has also managed to escape any kind of debate. But the civil aviation sector has been a controversial one. Foreign equity participation up to 40 per cent, subject to approval, is what the government may be willing to consider, but so far it has not been possible to establish it as a matter of general policy. On the whole, it can be said that though the government welcomes foreign investment in infrastructure, the policy is rather sectoral than general in character. Investment in financial sector is another new dimension of foreign investment policy. Like infrastructure, this sector was also closed to the private sector, but has been subjected to gradual reform since 1991. So far, there is nothing that can be called a comprehensive foreign investment policy for financial sector, but three distinct policy changes have been undertaken. First, the foreign banks are given liberal permission to open subsidiaries and expand branches, besides wider avenues in the area of banking operations. Second, foreign non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) have been allowed to start operations in India, mostly in joint ventures with the Indian NBFCs, though there is lack of clarity as to the extent of foreign equity participation. The interest is primarily on
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capital adequacy and protection of investors' money, rather than equity. Third, the FIIs are allowed to invest in the equities of listed Indian companies to the extent of 30 per cent. These are the broad aspects of foreign investment policy in the financial sector. The question of foreign investment in the insurance sector has been a subject of considerable debate, but lack of necessary political support has been a major obstacle to reform. The doors are closed even to the domestic private sector.

3.4 Emerging Multilateral Requirements In the background of the past policy framework, the new foreign investment policy represents a paradigm shift in our approach to foreign investment and our understanding of the role of foreign capital. At least, it is recognized that foreign investment is crucial to India's development, and that successful globalization of the economy, which is a key objective of economic reforms, cannot be achieved without a liberal foreign investment policy. It is also recognized that foreign investment cannot be restricted only to industrial sector as in the past and has to be extended to other sectors as well. However, at the threshold of the 21st century and in the new (post-GATT) international economic order, where globalization is being thrust upon, one cannot evaluate the policy in the context of the past. The issue today is not whether our policy''is liberal, or how liberal it is compared to the past policy. The issue is whether our policies are compatible with the existing, and/or emerging, multilateral requirements. It is not liberalization but compatibility that matters. Also, what is 'liberal' in our perception may be inadequate in the context of what we have to, and/or may have to do as a founder member of World Trade Organization (WTO). Here, we have a lot of obligations to fulfil. Further, we need to recognize the challenges of WTO. A brief mention of some of these may be useful for appropriate evaluation of our foreign investment policy. First, let us consider the agreement on trade related intellectual properties (TRIPs). The obligation is that we have to amend our Patents Act, which we have yet to fulfil. The obstacle to amendment of the Patents Act is primarily political, but it is a very serious obstacle. TRIPs is not a purely technological issue, as is understood by many. Investment implications of TRIPs are equally significant. The pace of inflow of foreign investment in India would be determined, to a significant extent, by our action in this front. Failure to amend the Patents Act may affect both the quantum as well as the quality of FDI into the country. In other words, if we continue to delay amendment of the Patents Act,
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foreign investment policy may remain largely ineffective, even as it may appear liberal in our perception. A very important point that may emerge from this is that the concept of 'investment' policy is changing. It is no longer enough to talk of mere investment; instead one has to take into account almost everything that has something to do with investment. Policies that build or shake confidence in the minds of the investors, policies that determined the rate of return on investment, policies that facilitate post-investment activities, and policies that protect investment are all important from the point of view of a comprehensive investment policy. The point to note, therefore, is that the extent of permissible foreign equity is just only one of the many criteria of favourable, or viable, foreign investment policy. In this context, we should take note of the debate on Multilateral Agreement on Investment (MAI). Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has already prepared the draft MAI. The WTO is looking into the issue. Exact multilateral position on the issue would be clearer after the second WTO Ministerial in May 1998. Assuming that the subject is brought under the purview of negotiation under WTO and finally an Agreement is reached, we have reasons to feel concerned about the implication from the point of view of 'foreign' investment policy. The on-going debate on MAI has certain key elements, of which we shall mention only two. First, foreign investors have to be given 'national' treatment, i.e. there can be no discrimination between 'national' and 'foreign' investors. In other words, the investment policy for the nationals and the investment policy for the foreigners cannot be separate. Second, the concept of investment has to be enlarged to give a wider canvas and scope. While it may take some years before MAI may be a reality, there are trade related investment measures (TRIMs) in the offing. The negotiations are yet to be concluded, but the implications are known, i.e., the investment measures that can create obstacles to trade cannot be applied. In other words, no WTO member can impose such strings to foreign investment policy as are likely to, or deemed to, create trade obstacles. A question that arises in this context is about the scope of trade (i.e. trade in goods only or trade in goods as well as services?). But that is a separate issue. The point is that TRIMs Agreement, when it would finally come into force, would significantly curtail freedom to decide foreign investment policy. Similarly, negotiations are also on about agreement on trade in services, that include a wide range of services including banking and finance, insurance, trade, transport services, techno-economic consultancy, etc. Agreement on financial services has come into existence, and in due course, all aspects of commercial services would be covered by multilateral agreements.
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In the case of commercial services, it is important to note that trade and investment go hand in hand. What it implies is that, with the coming into force of all the agreements under GATS, the entire set of activities falling within the purview of commercial services may have to be thrown open to foreign investment. Taken together, all these aspects are likely to exert significant influence on any country's foreign investment policy. It is significant to note that under the WTO framework, no policy is looked at in isolation from other policies. And, it is quite appropriate that an integrated view is being taken. Barriers to trade do not originate only from trade policies, but from a host of other policies encompassing investment, competition, price, purchase, finance, insurance, transport, technology, etc. Similarly, investment policy also cannot be thought of in isolation. The contours of investment policy are widening. Also, it is not going to be a matter of choice so far as scope and content of investment policy is concerned. Everything is going to be a matter of multilateral obligation.

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CHAPTER-4 DEBATE ON FDI


4.1 Basic Debate on Foreign Investment Policy There is, however, very little appreciation and/or understanding in India of the emerging compulsions of the new international economic order. The question that is relevant, or rather important, to ask is whether the policy trends are moving in the direction of fulfilling the emerging multilateral obligations. In this context, one can also discuss the relevance of the ongoing debate on foreign investment policy. Let us first briefly introduce the debate. Ever since there was a change in policy in favour of higher foreign equity participation, significant developments have taken place in India's corporate world. There was, first, a steady growth in joint ventures. The Indian corporates did globe-trotting to forge partnerships. The foreign partners were not difficult to locate. And a large number of joint ventures came into existence. But, the subsequent developments were rather unexpected. It was thought that higher foreign equity would help in forging long-term partnerships, enable access to latest technologies, develop export capabilities in high value-added items, and foster healthy competition. Instead, it was found that the Indian companies were increasingly losing control over their enterprises and joint ventures had started falling apart. It was also observed that the new FDI policy was not creating much of new capital assets, but was giving rise to de-stabilization and uncertainty. We are not going into 'why' and 'how' of this development as it is not the objective of this paper. However, it is this kind of development that gave rise to serious concern about the growth prospect of indigenous industry. This, in brief, is the genesis of 'swadeshi' sentiment that favour protection to indigenous industry. Given the long experience of colonial rule and the cult of selfreliance cultivated since the beginning of economic planning, the spirit of swadeshi goes well with the Indian psyche. There are also ideologues who questioned the direction of FDI flow. According to them, foreign investors were found to be interested mainly in low-tech consumer goods such as potato chips, bubble gums, cornflakes, soaps and toiletries, and were not keen on exposing India to the world of high technology. The argument typically is that India does not need foreign investment in the field of mass consumption goods. What it needs is investment in 'micro' chips and other state-of-the-art technologies. Another line of argument is that it is primarily in the area of infrastructure that we need foreign investment as the need is felt
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primarily due to the resource crunch. But, in other areas, there is no justification for allowing majority foreign ownership. The debate has certain untenable assumptions as its basis. One such assumption is that formulation of economic policies is a purely national affair, i.e., it is entirely up to the nation concerned to decide its policy. This is no longer so. The WTO regime, whether one likes it or not, significantly curtails a nation's degree of freedom with respect to economic policies. Objectively speaking, effective multilateralism cannot be established without necessary compromises on national level economic policies. A nation unwilling to make necessary compromises may have to stay out of multilateralism at a heavy cost to its national economy. But, India has taken a conscious decision to support multilateralism by being a founder member of WTO, and thereby made an unwritten commitment to fulfil the multilateral obligations. As it appears from the debate, we are either not aware of the import of our multilateral obligations or are not ready to recognize the obligations. The second assumption is that we can influence the investment choices of the foreign investors. Perhaps this is possible to some extent and under certain circumstances, but not always. It is not entirely up to the recipient country to decide where the foreigners should invest. It is not desirable to do so either. If we open up, say, only power sector (because that is where we have resource gap) and not the power consuming sectors, there may not be any incentive for investment in power sector, as perceived power projects may not be found viable due to lack of market. We cannot have a foreign investment policy that may create investment as well as market imbalances within the economy A similar argument may hold good with respect to foreign investment and choice of technology. Choice of technology and also area of investment in a joint venture is determined by a number of factors, and particularly by the joint decision of the partners. More specifically, it is usually decided by the market, and not ideological considerations. The current debate, however, assumes that the market is an unimportant factor. But the fact is that the market plays a key role in determining the direction of private (domestic or foreign) investment in a deregulated environment. So far as the state of indigenous industry is concerned, it has been a case of expectations belied which resulted from a lack of experience of competitive globalization of the domestic market. It can be best described as a situation that one is likely to face in the initial phases of a learning curve. What is important to note, however, is that foreign investment does intensify internal competition. In a country that has a long tradition of industrialization based on development of indigenous enterprises, the impact of such competition is likely to be more pronounced. This, however, does
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not mean that the interest of domestic industry may be overlooked. What it means is that along with liberalization of foreign investment policy, necessary steps need to be taken to take care of the initial impact and responses. Initial responses to opening up do usually reflect many signs of immature actions. Clearly, the debate on foreign investment policy lacks perspective, and there is an urgent need to put the perspectives in place and take due cognizance of the emerging international scenario as a founder member of WTO. Looked at from the point of view of challenges and obligations of multilateralism, the following observations are pertinent: India's foreign investment policy has, no doubt, become more broad-based, but is far from complete. It lacks comprehensiveness and consistency, keeping in view a wide range of sectors that we may have to expose. Approach to foreign investment policy is yet to reflect our concern about the emerging global scenario.

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CHAPTER-5 STRONG ARGUMENTS, LIMITED EVIDENCE


UNCTAD (1998: 108 ff.) argues that globalization has led to a reconfiguration of the ways in which MNEs pursue their resource-seeking, market-seeking and efficiency-seeking objectives. The opening of markets to trade, FDI and technology flows has offered MNEs a wider range of choices on how to serve international markets, gain access to immobile resources and improve the efficiency of production systems (see also Dunning 1999). Reportedly, MNEs are increasingly pursuing complex integration strategies, i.e., MNEs "increasingly seek locations where they can combine their own mobile assets most efficiently with the immobile resources they need to produce goods and services for the markets they want to serve" (UNCTAD 1998: 111). This is expected to have two related consequences regarding the determinants of FDI: Host countries are evaluated by MNEs on the basis of a broader set of policies than before. The number of policies constituting a favourable investment climate increases, in particular with regard to the creation of location-specific assets sought by MNEs. The relative importance of FDI determinants changes. Even though traditional determinants and the types of FDI associated with them have not disappeared with globalization, their importance is said to be on the decline. More specifically, "one of the most important traditional FDI determinants, the size of national markets, has decreased in importance. At the same time, cost differences between locations, the quality of infrastructure, the ease of doing business and the availability of skills have become more important" (UNCTAD 1996: 97). Likewise, Dunning (1999) argues that the motives for, and the determinants of FDI have changed. According to Dunning (2002: exhibit 5), FDI in developing countries has shifted from market-seeking and resource-seeking FDI to more (vertical) efficiency-seeking FDI. Due to globalization-induced pressure on prices, MNEs are expected to relocate some of their production facilities to low (real) cost developing countries. Nevertheless, and in contrast to FDI in industrial countries, FDI in developing countries still is directed predominantly to accessing natural resources and national or regional markets according to this author. It would have important policy implications if globalization had changed the rules of the game in competing for FDI. The policy challenge may become fairly complex; host country governments would have "to provide and publicize a
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unique set of immobile assets, pertinent to the types of economic activity they wish to attract and retain, vis--vis those offered by other countries" (Dunning 1999: 17 f.). Arguably, policymakers can no longer rely on the previous empirical literature stressing the overriding role of some clearly defined factors shaping the distribution of FDI.

Among more traditional FDI determinants, market-related factors clearly stand out. In a frequently quoted survey of the earlier literature on FDI determinants, Agarwal (1980) found the size of host country markets to be the most popular explanation of a country's propensity to attract FDI, especially when FDI flows to developing countries are considered. Subsequent empirical studies corroborated this finding.6 Even authors who dismissed earlier studies as seriously flawed came up with results supporting the relevance of market-related variables such as GDP, population, GDP per capita and GDP growth; examples are: Schneider and Frey (1985), Wheeler and Mody (1992), Tsai (1994), Jackson and Markowski (1995) and, more recently, Taylor (2000).7 Chakrabarti (2001), while questioning the robustness of various other FDI determinants, finds the correlation between FDI and market size to be robust to changes in the conditioning information set. Against this backdrop, the obvious question is whether the dominance of market-related factors no longer holds under conditions of proceeding globalization, while less traditional FDI determinants have become more important. Recent empirical studies on FDI determinants in developing countries hardly address this question explicitly. Yet, some of these studies offer at least tentative insights, e.g. on changes in the relevance of market-related and traderelated variables. As concerns market-related variables, Loree and Guisinger (1995) find per capita GDP of host countries to be a driving force of FDI from the United States in 1977, but not in 1982.9 The authors presume that this rather surprising result is due to a shift from local market-seeking FDI towards more world marketoriented FDI. This reasoning suggests that the motives for FDI may have changed well before globalization became a hotly debated issue. However, data constraints prevented Loree and Guisinger from testing this proposition. Moreover, industrialized host countries constitute about half of the sample analyzed in this study. Hence, it remains open to question whether the presumed shift in FDI motives applies to both industrialized and developing host countries. The results of Tsai (1994), whose sample consists of developing countries almost exclusively, indicate that the relevance of market-related
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variables did not decline in the 1980s, compared to the 1970s. Econometric tests performed by UNCTAD (1998: 135140) reveal that, in some contrast to UNCTAD's reasoning elsewhere in the same World Investment Report, market size-related hardly address this question explicitly. Yet, some of these studies offer at least tentative insights, e.g. on changes in the relevance of market-related and traderelated variables. As concerns market-related variables, Loree and Guisinger (1995) find per capita GDP of host countries to be a driving force of FDI from the United States in 1977, but not in 1982.9 The authors presume that this rather surprising result is due to a shift from local market-seeking FDI towards more world marketoriented FDI. This reasoning suggests that the motives for FDI may have changed well before globalization became a hotly debated issue. However, data constraints prevented Loree and Guisinger from testing this proposition. Moreover, industrialized host countries constitute about half of the sample analyzed in this study. Hence, it remains open to question whether the presumed shift in FDI motives applies to both industrialized and developing host countries. The results of Tsai (1994), whose sample consists of developing countries almost exclusively, indicate that the relevance of market-related variables did not decline in the 1980s, compared to the 1970s. Econometric tests performed by UNCTAD (1998: 135140) reveal that, in some contrast to UNCTAD's reasoning elsewhere in the same World Investment Report, market size-related The findings of Tsai (1994) are surprising in another respect. According to the simultaneous equation model applied in this study, FDI and the growth of host country exports were positively correlated in the 1970s, but no longer in the 1980s. One could have expected the opposite pattern as the motives for FDI are widely supposed to have shifted towards more world market-oriented FDI since the 1980s. The estimates of Tsai (1994) may rather suggest that host countries' openness to trade represents a fairly traditional determinant of FDI. The analysis by Lucas (1993) of determinants of FDI in East and Southeast Asian countries tends to support this view. FDI in 19601987 is found to be somewhat more elastic with respect to aggregate demand in export markets than with respect to demand in the host country. Lucas (1993) suspects that the importance of local market size is overstated in various empirical studies because they omit export markets as a determinant of FDI

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More recent studies typically consider trade-related determinants of FDI: Singh and Jun (1995) find export orientation to be the strongest variable for explaining why a country attracts FDI. Yet, it is somewhat heroic to conclude that their findings are "in line with the secular trend toward increasing complementarity between trade and FDI" (ibid.: inside cover). Surprisingly, the study also supports the tariff jumping hypothesis, which is in conflict with the authors' conclusion. Gastanaga, Nugent and Pashamova (1998) address the tariff jumping hypothesis in the context of a panel analysis on the effects of host country reforms on FDI. While cross-section results suggest that FDI flows were motivated more strongly by tariff jumping than by potential exports, the effects of import tariffs on FDI tend to be negative in a time-series context. These authors conclude that "over time in individual countries trade liberalization has become the more important motive for FDI". According to the sensitivity analysis of Chakrabarti (2001), openness to trade (proxied by exports plus imports to GDP) has the highest likelihood of being correlated (positively) with FDI among all explanatory variables classified as fragile. Asiedu (2002), using the same proxy for openness, comes to a similar conclusion when separating Sub-Saharan host countries from host countries in other regions. Africa differs significantly from non-African sample countries with regard to other FDI determinants, whereas the promotional effect of openness to trade on FDI is found to be only slightly weaker in Africa. The problem with essentially all these studies is that they use trade-related variables that are seriously flawed.14 Import tariff rates capture at best part of the trade policy stance of host countries.15 The ratio of exports plus imports to GDP suffers from a large-country bias and may, thus, lead to unreliable results. We are aware of just one recent study on FDI determinants which takes a different route, as we do below, in assessing openness. Taylor (2000) refers to survey results (from the World Competitiveness Report) on the degree to which government policy discourages imports. This measure of openness to trade is shown to be positively related to FDI undertaken by MNEs from the United States. By contrast, alternative measures tried as proxies of openness (tariff rates, coverage of non-tariff barriers)
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turned out to be insignificant when correlated with FDI. Taylor (2000) resembles most other studies in that he does not assess changes over time in the importance of openness as an FDI determinant. His results do suggest, however, that a globalization-induced increase in the relevance of openness cannot be taken for granted. The positive correlation between openness and FDI is restricted to the manufacturing sector, whereas the correlation is insignificant for FDI by MNEs from the United States in the services sector. Considering that the recent boom of FDI in developing countries is largely because of FDI in non-traded services (see Section I), the relevance of openness even may have declined. Finally, the study by Noorbakhsh, Paloni and Youssef (2001) offers insights on non-traditional determinants of FDI in developing countries, though not with regard to trade-related variables.16 The focus of this study is on human capital as a determinant of FDI. Most importantly, "the results ... are suggestive of an increasing importance of human capital through time. The estimated coefficients of the variables used as proxies for human capital as well as their t-ratios increase in magnitude across the consecutive sample periods". The authors attribute this finding explicitly to the process of globalization. Limitations of this study are twofold: The period of observation is restricted to 19831994, and changes over time are not studied for FDI determinants other than human capital.

Current Challenges and Improvement Areas As explained above, India is definitely a lucrative place for FDI, but there are certainly some challenges and areas for improvement still present. Until, these areas are honed to perfection, India will not become the number one place for FDI. Some of the key areas are listed below a) Political risk: Amongst the top items is the political instability of the country. On one hand the fact that India is the worlds largest democracy does add a sense of pride and security, but the hard reality is that there is insurmountable instability present. Just the fact that the past two governments have been based on coalitions between a few parties is reason enough to be skeptical. Moreover, each new government has certain policies which are different from the ruling government and if there is frequent change in government, this will lead to changes in policy and increased uncertainty. Just take the example of the last elections in 2004, where by a sudden change of event the Indian National Congress was able to come into power by
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forming a coalition government, by soliciting the vast majority of the poor people of the country, surprising the incumbent government which was relying heavily on a fast growing economy, increased privatization and a thriving middle class. b) Bureaucracy: Another very important factor that affects Indias competitiveness on the world standing is the Bureaucracy. Particularly in the FDI process the Indian Government has already invested a lot of time and effort but there is still a lot of room for improvement in the identification, approval and implementation process e.g. creating more centres for assistance, more user friendly processes, effective use of technology, being as clear as possible leaving no room for interpretation, assisting in identifying new areas for investment etc. c) Security risk: Another important factor that needs to be handled with care and worked upon is the ever present security risk. This risk includes the geopolitical risk with Pakistan and the ongoing dispute over the Kashmir issue, which on numerous occasions has brought these two countries armed with nuclear weapons to the brink of war. The other security risks would include incidences of domestic terrorism, not only in the Kashmir valley but also in Assam, Manipur and Nagaland, where numerous separatists group operate. d) Cost advantage: One of the attractions of India is the lower cost advantage as compared to most western economies. The Indian Government would have to work on creating an atmosphere where this advantage can be maintained else it might result in India not seem as attractive. One of the key drivers would be to try and control inflation because if there is increased level of inflation then there would be increased costs and reduced returns. Other factors which would act in similar respects would be increased tax incentives and reduced tariffs. e) Intellectual Property (IP) Rights & Piracy: With the increased instances of Piracy around the world and the extreme importance placed by Investors on maintaining their IP rights, this is definitely an area which needs improvement in India. India has begun instilling intellectual property rules and regulations into the country but there is still a long road ahead. The main area for improvement in this respect is the enforcement, which is the most crucial part but the weakest at present in the country. The enforcement of IP rights included the increased crackdown in the market on pirated and knock-downed good.

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f) Privatization and deregulation: Increased privatization of various sectors would definitely enhance the attractiveness of India as an FDI destination. India has already taken steps to privatize areas such as electricity, telecommunication etc. and increase the foreign holding capacity in sectors such as banking and insurance which is a first step. g) Infrastructure: It definitely is an added bonus to the investor if there is adequate infrastructure present in the country. In India there is substantial lack of robust infrastructure around the country, e.g. proper roads, highways, adequate supply of clean water, uninterruptible supply of electricity etc. But there is a flipside to this lack of Infrastructure. Quoting the prime minister Dr. Manmohan Singh on a recent speech at the NYSE1, When I talk to business people, they tell me, Well, Indias infrastructure is a problem. I do agree with them that infrastructure is our biggest problem and also the biggest opportunity. In the next 10 years we must invest at least $150 billion to modernize and to expand Indias infrastructure, and we have major investments needed in energy sector, in power sector, in oil exploration, in roads programme, in modernizing our railway system, food system, airports. This is where, I feel, we need a new experimentation with public-private sector participation because the public sector may have a role, but by itself it cannot meet all the requirements. As I see an expanding and very profitable role of foreign direct investment in meeting the challenge of modernizing Indias infrastructure. So the lack of infrastructure can definitely be seen as a blessing in disguise and be a substantial source of FDI, but nevertheless if this FDI does not materialize, the Government will have to invest their own funds into it and try and attract other investments.

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CHAPTER-6 CONCLUSION
We have to accept the challenges of formulating an appropriate and result-oriented foreign investment policy. The challenge is to reconstruct foreign investment policies in such a manner that we should be able to fulfill multilateral obligations while still promoting the cause of the national economy and industry. But, this needs serious deliberation at the policy-making levels. The problems are two-fold, namely (i) over-hang of the controlled regime and (ii) persistence of the old mindset. Both seem to be creating obstacles in the form of political resistance to objective thinking and pragmatic actions. We have already experienced this with respect to reforms in the insurance and civil aviation sectors. Unless there is improvement in the quality of debate and circumstances that influence policy formulation, we are likely to confront serious difficulty in the near future. What needs to be appreciated is that by 2005 when all the GATT Agreements are likely to come into effect, there would be a tremendous burden of multilateral obligations on us. There is, thus, some urgency about the reform process, particularly, further liberalization of foreign investment policy. We may have to do so in the areas so far untouched, namely agriculture, the entire gamut of commercial services (including retailing and wholesale trade), real estate development, tourism, etc. So far, we have not given any thought to the possibility of allowing foreign investment in these areas. But, tomorrow, there may be pressures as well as obligations.

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Bibliography
1) INTERNET: WWW.GOOGLE.COM WWW.SCRIBD.COM WWW.ECONSTER.ED

2) REFERENCE BOOK FOREIGN DIRECT IVESTMENT IN INDIA (Policies, conditions and procedures) - Niti bhasin

3) NEWSPAPER TIMES OF INDIA

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