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CAL URBAN PRICE INDEX (CAL UPI)

The CAL UPI (+2.5% YoY) vs. CCPI (+4.2% YoY) in February 2014
CAL UPI (2012) vs. CCPI (2006/2007) 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 110.27 114.86 122.26 125.30

CAL UPI

CCPI

The CAL UPI rose by c.2.5% YoY, with the index increasing c.2.0% during the month (vs. a c.1.5% MoM increase last year). Food and Beverage (F&B) prices increased by c.2.1% MoM, while transportation, communication and energy increased by c.1.8% MoM. During the last 12months, F&B declined c.2.5% and transportation, communication and energy rose c.6.8%.

Food and Beverage prices increased by 2.1% MoM and declined 2.5% YoY Prices of beans, carrots, tomatoes and green chilies saw a sharper decline contributing to the fall in the F&B Index. The 2.1% MoM increase was driven by higher milk powder prices as a result of the price revision in January 2014 while the 2.5% YoY decline was driven by higher vegetable prices in February 2013 due to adverse weather conditions in early 2013.

Transportation, Communication and Energy increased by 1.8% MoM and 6.8% YoY Expenditure on transportation, communication and energy increased by c.1.8% (c.6.8% YoY) during the month due to a shorter electricity billing cycle (shorter cycles result in higher charges).

CAL Research
Level 5, Millennium House, No.46/58, Nawam Mawatha, Colombo 2 Tel: +94 11 231 7777 Email:calresearch@cal.lk

Note: The CCPI measures inflation for all consumers. The CAL UPI measures urban inflation for households earning more than LKR 80k/month

REFER p.2 FOR DISCLAIMER

CONTACTS

Research Team
Tel No: +94 11 231 7777 (General) Email: teamresearch@cal.lk

Head of Research Purasisi Jinadasa Tel No: +94 11 231 7786 Email: purasisi@cal.lk
Udeeshan Jonas Tel No: +94 11 231 7746 Email: udeeshan@cal.lk Thushani de Silva Tel No: +94 11 231 7777 (Ext: 7815) Email: thushani@cal.lk Devin Karunaratne Tel No: +94 11 231 7777 (Ext: 7814) Email: devin@cal.lk

DISCLAIMER
This document has been prepared and issued on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources, believed to be reliable. Capital Alliance Securities (Private) Limited however does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions and estimates given constitute a judgment as of the date of the material and are subject to change without notice. This report is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The recipient of this report must make their own independent decision regarding any securities, investments or financial instruments mentioned herein. Securities or financial instruments mentioned may not be suitable to all investors. Capital Alliance Securities (Private) Limited its directors, officers, consultants, employees, outsourced research providers associates or business partner, will not be responsible, for any claims damages, compensation, suits, damages, loss, costs, charges, expenses, outgoing or payments including attorneys fees which recipients of the reports suffers or incurs directly or indirectly arising out actions taken as a result of this report. This report is for the use of the intended recipient only. Access, disclosure, copying, distribution or reliance on any of it by anyone else is prohibited and may be a criminal offence.

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