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Contents
Introduction............................................................................................................. 4 Commentary on the PIB 2012
Pedro van Meurs............................................................................................................... 6
Annex A
Detailed review of the bill ...................................................................................... 10
Annex B
Fiscal analysis of the bill ........................................................................................ 22
Introduction
Introduction
The purpose of this report is to contribute to the discussions on the draft Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) now before the Nigeria National Assembly (NA) for consideration and passing into law. If passed into law, the short title of the law will be the Petroleum Industry Act, 2012. The PIB was presented as an executive bill by the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria on 18 July 2012 to the National Assembly. The PIB has received alk jkl j]Y\af_ af Zgl` `gmk]k g^ l`] FYlagfYd 9kk]eZdq& The PIB has the following objectives: a. To create a conducive business environment for petroleum operations; b. To enhance exploration and exploitation of petroleum j]kgmj[]k af Fa_]jaY ^gj l`] Z]f]l g^ l`] Fa_]jaYf h]ghd]3 c. Optimize domestic gas supplies, particularly for power generation and industrial developments; \& =klYZdak` Y hjg_j]kkan] k[Yd ^jYe]ogjc l`Yl ]f[gmjY_]k further investment in the petroleum industry while optimising revenues accruing to the Government; ]& =klYZdak` [gee]j[aYddq gja]fl]\ Yf\ hjgl%\jan]f gad Yf\ _Yk entities; f. Deregulate and liberalise the downstream petroleum sector; _& ;j]Yl] ]^[a]fl Yf\ ]^^][lan] j]_mdYlgjq Y_]f[a]k3 h. Promote transparency and openness in the administration of the petroleum resources of Nigeria; i. Promote the development of Nigerian content in the petroleum industry; j. Protect health, safety and the environment in the course of petroleum operations; c& 9llYaf km[` gl`]j gZb][lan]k lg hjgegl] Y naYZd] Yf\ sustainable industry in Nigeria.
Ernst & Young Nigeria has reviewed the draft PIB and clearly a\]fla]k oal` l`] YZgn]%klYl]\ gZb][lan]k g^ l`] HA:& L`] h]ljgd]me af\mkljq ak Y c]q af\mkljq af Fa_]jaY$ Yf\ gad j][]ahlk presently account for about 78% of total revenues to government and contributes about 14.27% to the gross domestic product (GDP) of the country. =jfkl Qgmf_ ^mjl`]j a\]fla]k oal` l`] f]]\ lg j]^gje l`] k][lgj in a structured and balanced manner, to ensure the continuous go g^ afn]kle]fl lg l`] k][lgj& Af na]o g^ l`] aehgjlYf[] g^ l`] sector to the Nigerian economy, and to contribute to a healthy and constructive debate on the institutional, regulatory, commercial Yf\ k[Yd hgda[q j]^gje [gfl]ehdYl]\ mf\]j l`] HA:$ o] Ykc]\ several analysts to review the bill, including Dr. Pedro van Meurs, Yf afl]jfYlagfYd gad Yf\ _Yk k[Yd kqkl]ek ]ph]jl& The attached commentary along with a detailed review of the :add Yf\ Y k[Yd YfYdqkak ak hj]hYj]\ Zq <j& H]\jg nYf E]mjk& Af l`] hYkl +0 q]Yjk$ `] `Yk ogjc]\ gf k[Yd gad Yf\ _Yk akkm]k af egj] l`Yf 0( [gmflja]k& Ogjcaf_ oal` :Yjjgok Af[gjhgjYl]\$ he developed PETROCASH, which is the most comprehensive integrated database and computer model for World Fiscal Systems ^gj Gad Yf\ ?Yk& @] ak Ydkg [g%Yml`gj g^ l`] Ogjd\ JYlaf_ g^ Gad Yf\ Gas Terms 2011. The opinions expressed in the commentary and annexures are those of Dr. Pedro van Meurs. Although we are in agreement with a number of comments made, the opinions do not represent Ernst & Young. His views arise from his close association with and ogjcaf_ gf l`] k]n]jYd n]jkagfk g^ l`] HA: hj]\Ylaf_ l`] *()* version and generally consulting for governments worldwide.
Commentary
Summary
The following is a commentary on the Petroleum Industry Bill 2012 (PIB 2012) made at the request of various parties. With respect to some items, comparisons will be made with the previous House Bill 159 and with the Government Memorandum (September 2010). The Government Memorandum represented l`] [gfkgda\Yl]\ Y\na[] g^ l`] ?gn]jfe]fl Afl]j%9_]f[q L]Ye gf l`] hj]nagmk HA:& A oYk Y [gfkmdlYfl lg l`ak l]Ye& Eq ogjc relates to being consultant to host governments on petroleum matters and I will therefore review the PIB 2012 from this perspective. Annex A contains a detailed analysis of the Bill. 9ff]p : [gflYafk Y k[Yd ]nYdmYlagf g^ _gn]jfe]fl j]n]fm]k as a result of the PIB 2012.
E]egjYf\me$ l`] :add ak nY_m] Yk lg `go l`ak Z]f]l oadd Z] distributed and leaves this to future regulation. This could result af hgdala[Yd afl]j^]j]f[] Yf\ fgf%ljYfkhYj]f[q& Another concern of the PHC Fund would be that the amount of l`] )( Y^l]j%lYp hjgl ogmd\ kljgf_dq m[lmYl] oal` gad hja[] egn]e]flk$ Yf\ l`ak oadd eYc] al \a^[mdl ^gj l`] [geemfala]k to plan their affairs. It was for this reason that the Government Memorandum provided for stable payments. Also 10% of the \]]hoYl]j Y^l]j%lYp hjglk oadd Z] ljYfk^]jj]\ \aj][ldq lg l`] petroleum producing littoral States without any transparency as to how these funds will be used. Al ak Y \]kajYZd] _gYd lg [j]Yl] Yf ]^^][lan] Yf\ hjglYZd] Fa_]jaY National Petroleum Company (NNPC) along the lines of, for instance, Petrobras. This can be best achieved by incorporating NNPC under the Companies and Allied Matters Act and subsequently privatizing NNPC partially. Km[` kl]hk [gmd\ ]fkmj] l`Yl l`] [gehYfq ak eYfY_]\ dac] Yfq other major international petroleum company with minimum political interference. Both the House Bill 159 and the Government Memorandum contained this concept. L`] HA: *()*$ `go]n]j$ \an]jlk ^jge l`ak gZb][lan] Zq jkl Zj]Ycaf_ mh FFH; af l`j]] ]flala]k$ Yf\ kmZk]im]fldq hjanYlaraf_ only two entities. This leaves major government assets and j]n]fm] klj]Yek af Y EYfY_]e]fl ;gehYfq$ o`a[` oadd dac]dq continue to be subject to heavy political interference.
A very negative provision is that the President has the power to grant licenses and leases without a competitive process or any other process. This leaves the door wide open to political favoritism and corruption in a manner that has been practiced in Nigeria in the past. It should be noted that, for instance, the Presidents of the United States or South Africa would not have such powers.
Penalties for not paying Nigerian Hydrocarbon Tax are severely reduced in the PIB 2012. In summary, the petroleum revenue provisions of the PIB 2012 eYq j]kmdl af ka_fa[Yfl j]n]fm] dgkk]k gf ]paklaf_ hjg\m[lagf without encouraging investment in new production. Annex B illustrates that depending on the interpretation of the various clauses of the PIB 2012, revenue losses with respect to existing production from onshore and shallow water may be 22% for leases in which NNPC does not participate and 6% for leases in which NNPC participates. For deepwater PSCs the revenue losses with respect to existing production could be as much as 50% depending on the interpretation of the various clauses of the PIB 2012. The PIB 2012 should therefore be revised by clarifying and amending the tax provisions and by including royalty provisions in a manner that would strongly encourage investment in production from new mining leases and other new production. A clear and mfYeZa_mgmk k[Yd kqkl]e k`gmd\ Z] ]klYZdak`]\ l`Yl oadd d]Y\ lg higher levels of oil and gas production. 9l [mjj]fl hja[] d]n]dk l`] _gn]jfe]fl lYc] ^gj gad ^gj f]o d]Yk]k in the onshore, shallow water and deepwater should be from .( ^gj l`] keYdd `a_`%[gkl ]d\k lg /- ^gj dYj_] dgo%[gkl ]d\k Ykkmeaf_ l`] _gn]jfe]fl lYc] ak [Yd[mdYl]\ oal`gml af[dm\af_ FFH; hYjla[ahYlagf af l`] [Yd[mdYlagf!& 9l `a_`]j%hja[] d]n]dk l`] _gn]jfe]fl lYc] k`gmd\ af[j]Yk] oal` hja[]& L`] _gn]jfe]fl lYc] should be lower for gas.
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Annex A
We provide our comments in Annex A, a detailed review of the Bill. Dr. Pedro van Meurs has made reference to earlier PIB versions. In our comments, we provide additional information on PIB 2012 provisions where this may assist investor understanding.
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Part I Objectives
This part is an appropriately structured introduction setting out the general objectives. EY comment We agree with Dr. Pedro van Meurs that the objectives are elaborate, as already highlighted above.
Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), the PTB is required to identify opportunities in the frontier acreages, develop exploration strategies and portfolio management programs for the exploration of unassigned frontier acreages, and generally stimulate investor interest in the frontier acreages.
Part II Institutions
A. The Minister
The provisions of this part contain improved provisions with j]kh][l lg l`] ja_`l g^ hj]%]ehlagf Yf\ l`] hgo]j lg eYc] regulations, compared to the Government Memorandum and House Bill 159. Systematic input of all stakeholders in the development of regulations is an important issue contained in the PIB 2012. EY comment The Ministers powers under the PIB are very extensive, although in many instances this has to be exercised under an enabling Regulation to be made after the Bill is enacted. It is therefore correct as stated by van Meurs that the development of the Regulations will depend on systematic inputs of all stakeholders. This, in our view, introduces another layer of activity and uncertainty that will require strict monitoring. Moreover, leaving such important matters as rental and royalty rates to a future ]n]fl oadd k]jn] gfdq lg ]jg\] l`] [gf\]f[] g^ afn]klgjk af l`] sector, with adverse effects for investment.
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9dkg )( g^ l`] \]]hoYl]j hjglk oadd Z] ljYfk^]jj]\ \aj][ldq lg l`] >mf\ ^gj l`] h]ljgd]me%hjg\m[af_ dallgjYd KlYl]k oal`gml Yfq transparency as to how these funds will be used. EY comment Clarity is required with respect to the confusion on the contributions that can be credited against payments to government, which could be in the nature of royalty or tax, as against the treatment of the contributions as allowable deductions against the new Nigeria Hydrocarbon Tax.
HjanYlaraf_ gfdq ha][]k g^ FFH; Yf\ d]Ynaf_ ka_fa[Yfl Ykk]lk af Y )(( _gn]jfe]fl%gof]\ [gehYfq ak _gaf_ lg Z] Y [gf^mkaf_ strategy. Deciding which assets go to which company and splitting up NNPC will be a complicated process. Why go through such a [gehd]p hjg[]kk a^ l`] _gYd g^ Yf ]^[a]fl FFH; [Yf Z] Y[`a]n]\ much simpler? It may be that there remains a strong desire for political interference with NNPC matters. EY comment It is also important to state that to create an effective, welleYfY_]\ Yf\ hjglYZd] FYlagfYd Gad ;gehYfq FG;!$ al ak \]kajYZd] l`Yl l`] FG; k`Yj] \an]kle]fl ak [Yjja]\ gml oal`af Y kh][a[ time frame and that a ceiling is placed on the level of public (government) and privately held shares. It would be recommended that a scheme should be put in place for the shares to be held by interested Nigerians.
Kh][a[ [gee]flk
Sections 129(3), 157(3) and 168(2). Most favored company clauses. The tax provision under these subsections would leave l`] \ggj oa\] gh]f ^gj n]jq ka_fa[Yfl lYp dgkk]k ^gj Fa_]jaY& EY comment We wish to state that it would be perfectly in order to seek to grant such companies protection or exemption from other taxes outside of the two principal taxes of Nigerian Hydrocarbon Tax (NHT) and Companies Income Tax (CIT), which they would normally be subject to and liable to be assessed.
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EY comment We agree that it is established international practice that geophysical surveys can be carried out anywhere, including over existing leases and licenses; however, we would observe that it would encourage investment in prospecting and exploration if operators are granted exclusive right to data and information obtained through the exercise of the license and oil mining lease rights. K][lagf )/,& LjYfkhYj]f[q Yf\ fgf%[gf\]flaYdalq eYaflYaf]\& A very good provision of the PIB 2012 is that the provisions j]dYl]\ lg ljYfkhYj]f[q Yf\ fgf%[gf\]flaYdalq `Yn] Z]]f maintained as per the Government Memorandum. This is a very good step forward for Nigeria. From a legislative point of view these provisions are now among the most advanced in the world Yf\ oadd eYc] Fa_]jaY Y d]Y\]j af 9^ja[Y af l`ak j]kh][l& Sections 178 and 179. Bank guarantee removed. In general, l`] \]lYad]\ ogjc [geeale]fl hjgnakagfk Yf\ \]n]dghe]fl plan approval process of the Government Memorandum were eYaflYaf]\& @go]n]j$ l`] gZda_Ylagf lg hjgna\] Y ZYfc _mYjYfl]] ^gj l`] ogjc lg Z] [geeall]\ oYk j]egn]\& L`ak k]jagmkdq o]Yc]fk l`] YZadalq g^ l`] Afkh][lgjYl] lg ]f^gj[] Y ogjc commitment and a development plan. Section 181(6). The reference to a competitive bid process is in error, since the license area from which further lease parcels will be selected already belongs to the licensee. Section 190 (6). Public bid opening removed. The provision that bids have to be opened in public was removed. Section 191. President has the power to grant licenses and leases. A very negative provision of the PIB 2012 is that the President has the power to grant licenses and leases without competitive process or any other process. This leaves the door wide open to political favoritism and corruption in a manner that has been practiced in Nigeria in the past. It should be noted that the President of the United States or of South Africa do not have similar powers.
EY comment We agree that the conferment of the powers to grant licenses and leases without a competitive process negates the stated PIB objective of transparency and may indeed be open to abuse. Section 193(3)(c). Return of acreage severely diminished. The inclusion of paragraph (c) of Subsection (3) as drafted defeats the entire purpose of Section 193. Currently, companies Yj] kallaf_ gf dYj_] gad eafaf_ d]Yk]k l`Yl [gflYaf ka_fa[Yfl mf]phdgj]\ Y[j]Y_] af Y\\alagf lg l`] \ak[gn]j]\ ]d\k& L`] concept of Section 193 was to enforce either the drilling of unexplored acreage or to have companies drop this acreage so it can be subject to a bidding round for other interested companies. :q eYcaf_ l`] j]dafimak`e]fl \Yl] l`] ]f\ g^ l`] gad eafaf_ d]Yk] period, this whole concept is no longer of use and the purpose of most the Section 193 been made useless. K][lagf )1/& JgqYdla]k$ ^]]k Yf\ j]flYdk lg Z] \]f]\& The PIB 2012 leaves the entire determination of royalties to the Minister under regulations. Since royalties are not provided for in the Act and since the Acts containing royalty provisions will be repealed under the PIB 2012, royalties will be set based on regulations. Determining royalties through regulations rather than in the PIB itself will lead to constant pressure on the Minister in the future to lower royalties for a wide variety of reasons. Also it can certainly not be recommended that such an important revenue source is determined after the Bill has passed and the matter of royalty levels can become a matter of political manipulation. EY comment This provision, which defers the setting of royalty, fees and rental rates to the enactment of Regulation by the Minister of Petroleum Resouces, along with the fact that the PIB proposes the repeal g^ l`] <]]h G^^k`gj] Yf\ AfdYf\ :Yka[ Hjg\m[lagf K`Yjaf_ 9[l introduces a high degree of uncertainty, which apart from being open to abuse may also affect investment decisions as investors are unable to plan accurately. Section 200 (4)(a). ;jgkk%j]^]j]f[] lg KmZk][lagf )! ak af ]jjgj and should be Subsection (3).
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Section 224 (4). Contract tariffs adopted. The addition of this kmZk][lagf oadd eYc] al hgkkaZd] lg Y\ghl [gfljY[l]\ hja[]k Yk tariffs. Again this opens the door widely to the reduction of the value of oil and gas at the measurement point and could [j]Yl] Y ka_fa[Yfl gZklY[d] ^gj keYdd]j [gehYfa]k lg ]fl]j l`] Fa_]jaYf eYjc]l& Section 232. Arms length relationship between producer and pipeline transporter removed. The concept that a pipeline transporter should have an arms length relationship with producers was removed in the PIB 2012. Section 256. Transitional gas pricing. The PIB 2012 sets out the possibility for transitional gas pricing arrangements. This hjgna\]k Y egj] ]paZd] YhhjgY[` l`Yf l`] afalaYd hja[] j]_mdYlagf contemplated in the Government Memorandum. Section 261. Public service levy. This section creates the possibility for a public service levy. K][lagf *.1& <ge]kla[ kmhhdq gZda_Ylagf eY\] d]kk kh][a[& L`] \ge]kla[ kmhhdq gZda_Ylagf ak eY\] d]kk kh][a[$ Yf\ afalaYd _Yk eYjc]l hja[]k Yj] fgl k]l af l`] HA: *()*& L`]k] hjgnakagfk have now been replaced by the new section 256. Also the concept of the domestic gas aggregator was removed. This is a positive step. The domestic gas aggregator was in fact an oligopolistic structure that could have hampered the development g^ [geh]lalan] _Yk eYjc]lk& L`ak e]Yfk l`Yl l`] afljg\m[lagf g^ gas for domestic consumption in Nigeria will now largely depend on the pricing structure developed under section 256. However, al ak dac]dq l`Yl al oadd lYc] [gfka\]jYZd] lae] ^gj Y ^mddq [geh]lalan] eYjc]l lg ]e]j_]& >gj l`ak j]Ykgf Fa_]jaYf [gfkme]jk ogmd\ Z] better protected if the PIB 2012 contained as a minimum an initial \]f]\ _Yk hja[af_ kqkl]e& EY comment We agree that it is desirable to have a minimum gas pricing system. This creates certainty and will aid the development of a competitive domestic gas market, which will encourage investment in the sector.
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Section 271. Franchise areas set for gas processing. This section permits the development of gas processing franchise Yj]Yk& Q]l$ Yk oYk af\a[Yl]\ ]Yjda]j$ l`]j] Yj] fg gh]f%Y[[]kk provisions for gas processing. Also gas processing tariffs are not set. The creation of gas processing franchise areas, without open Y[[]kk Yf\ lYja^^ hjgnakagfk$ eYq j]kmdl af ka_fa[Yfl eakmk] g^ this monopoly power. It would prevent smaller producers from ]fl]jaf_ l`] _Yk eYjc]l gf l`] ZYkak g^ l`] [gfkljm[lagf g^ l`]aj own gas processing facilities. Section 272 (1)(b)(ii). Penalties for failure to supply the domestic market made very weak. The PIB 2012 no longer af[dm\]k kljgf_ Yf\ kh][a[ h]fYdla]k ^gj ^Yadaf_ lg kmhhdq l`] \ge]kla[ eYjc]l& Af ^Y[l Y hYjY_jYh` ak fgo af[dm\]\ l`Yl klYl]k that as long as the supplier has made reasonable commercial ]f\]Yngjk lg eYc] _Yk YnYadYZd]$ h]fYdla]k oadd fgl Yhhdq& L`ak hYjY_jYh` oadd _]l ]n]jqgf] g^^ l`] `ggc& Sections 275282. Effective provisions to prevent routine gas Yjaf_& The PIB 2012 now includes effective provisions to prevent jgmlaf] _Yk Yjaf_& EY Comment This is a good development and will encourage gas gathering hjgb][lk$ hYjla[mdYjdq oal` l`] _Yk k[Yd af[]flan]k mf\]j k][lagf 39 of the Companies Income Tax, which includes a tax-free period, investment allowance of 35%, and an accelerated capital allowance of 90% in year one. These incentives have been extended to LNG projects for export, as provided for under section 353(8) of the PIB.
h]ljgd]me j]k]jn]k& 9dkg$ l`] Fa_]jaYf Gad Yf\ ?Yk Af\mkljq Content Development Act of 2010, which is referred to under the PIB, gives preference to Nigerian companies in the award of oil blocks. Nigerian companies are also given preferential technical allowable output under the license or lease where such companies are producing below 25,000 bpd, in which case the Federal Government is obliged not to exercise the right of participation in such operations.
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Relative revenue loss in case of price increases. Another ka_fa[Yfl dgkk lg Fa_]jaY ak l`] ^Y[l l`Yl Zgl` l`] ?gn]jfe]fl Memorandum and House Bill 159 contained royalty provisions related to the increases in oil and gas prices. A special additional jgqYdlq oYk [da[caf_ af mf\]j `a_` gad gj _Yk hja[]k& >gj afklYf[]$ a^ Yk Y j]kmdl g^ ka_fa[Yfl hgdala[Yd lmjegad af l`] ogjd\$ gad hja[]k would increase to $200 per barrel, under the previous proposals Nigeria would receive an extra royalty on oil. A^ DF? ]phgjl [gfljY[lk ogmd\ Z] [gf[dm\]\ l`Yl mf\]j []jlYaf [gf\alagfk g^ l`] ogjd\ _Yk eYjc]l ogmd\ j]kmdl af f]lZY[ck g^ $10 per MMBtu or more Nigeria would automatically receive extra royalties on gas. Under the PIB 2012 such extra royalties do not exist and therefore oil and gas companies may earn a windfall if oil and gas prices would increase to high levels. It will now depend on regulations whether such features will be reintroduced. The deletion of the price progressive royalties contradicts the klYl]\ gZb][lan] g^ l`] :add af K][lagf ) \!$ o`a[` kh][a[Yddq [Yddk ^gj [j]Ylaf_ Y hjg_j]kkan] k[Yd kqkl]e& LNG export pricing. Under current attractive export conditions lg BYhYf Yf\ =Ykl 9kaY$ l`] hja[] g^ DF? Yl l`] ]phgjl hgafl af Nigeria would be relatively high. The Government Memorandum included detailed provisions to ensure that Nigeria would receive ^Yaj eYjc]l nYdm] ^gj DF? Yl l`] ]phgjl hgafl& L`]k] hjgnakagfk have been deleted from the PIB 2012. The Bill now therefore d]Yn]k l`] \ggj oa\] gh]f ^gj ka_fa[Yfl ljYfk^]j hja[af_ g^ _Yk$ resulting in potentially very large losses to the Nigerian petroleum revenues. Very favorable 1993 PSCs maintained, while 2005 PSCs are not improved for investors. The terms and conditions of the 1993 series of deepwater PSCs were excessively favorable for investors. These terms are now being maintained under PIB 2012. From an international perspective the terms of the 2000 series of deepwater PSCs were acceptable, and no change in overall burden on existing production is required. The terms for the 2005 series of deepwater PSCs are too tough to stimulate active investment and therefore better terms should be established for such PSCs.
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Electronic Management Information Systems deleted. The Government Memorandum provided for the requirement for companies to establish electronic management information kqkl]ek [gflYafaf_ Ydd k[Yd Yf\ fgf%k[Yd \YlY lg o`a[` _gn]jfe]fl g^[aYdk afngdn]\ af j]n]fm] [gdd][lagf$ Ym\alaf_ Yf\ kmh]jnakagf [gmd\ dafc mh lg af j]Yd lae]& L`ak ogmd\ `Yn] ka_fa[Yfldq aehjgn]\ l`] ljYfkhYj]f[q g^ l`] j]n]fm] [gdd][lagf and would have improved the ability of the Ministry of Finance to carry out revenue collection forecasting. The PIB 2012 deletes this requirement.
Section 312 (2) Fourth Schedule Table II Excessive Allowances will reduce the Nigerian Hydrocarbon Tax to zero. The Fourth Schedule was retained with some improvements from the PPT Act. Nevertheless, Table II was changed dramatically. Under the PPT Act companies were permitted allowances equal to 99% of the value of the capital assets, based on a 20% straight daf] ^gj n] q]Yjk& L`ak oYk Y j]_mdYj Yf\ fgjeYd hjg[]\mj]& LYZd] AA g^ l`] HA: *()* ]pl]f\k l`] YddgoYf[]k af\]fal]dq ^gj q]Yj six and after. This means that, for instance, the total allowances gf Yf Ykk]l oal` Y *(%q]Yj da^] ogmd\ Z] +,. g^ l`] afalaYd nYdm] g^ l`] Ykk]l& Oal` km[` ]fgjegmk YddgoYf[]k al ak dac]dq l`Yl l`] Nigerian Hydrocarbon Tax will in effect be reduced to zero. These allowances are not constrained by Provision 6(2) of the Fourth K[`]\md]$ o`a[` j]imaj]k lg j]lYaf ) g^ l`] Ykk]l af l`] Zggck ^gj Y[[gmflaf_ hmjhgk]k fgl ^gj lYp hmjhgk]k!& L`] kh][a[ mention of year six and after clearly establishes this. This change is either an error in the Table or a very large giveaway of government revenues. EY comment We believe that the reference to six years and after in Table II is an error as this would in effect exceed the maximum 100% capital allowance for tax, which is the practice under the H]ljgd]me Hjgl LYp 9[l& Al ak kmZeall]\ l`Yl ^gj l`] [gehmlYlagf of NHT, the principle would be to achieve 99% capital allowance on Y kljYa_`l%daf] ZYkak gn]j Y n]%q]Yj h]jag\$ oal` ) j]lYaf]\ Ykk]l value. However, we completely subscribe to van Meurs opinion that more certainty is required and the reference to six years and after in the Table needs to be deleted, as this can result in several interpretations and tax treatment of qualifying capital expenditures on the asset value. Section 312 (2) Fifth Schedule Giveaway on production YddgoYf[]k ^gj ]paklaf_ ]d\k& The Fifth Schedule seems to adopt the production allowances approximately as provided for under the Government Memorandum or House Bill 159. Nevertheless, there is an important difference with respect to the application. Under the Government Memorandum the production allowances applied only to petroleum mining leases that started production after the enactment of the Act. The purpose was to encourage new production. The production allowances were meant to replace
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the existing investment tax allowances. This was, for instance, clearly provided for under Subsection 353(8) of the Government E]egjYf\me& L`ak kh][a[ kmZk][lagf oYk j]egn]\ ^jge l`] Fifth Schedule (in fact, interestingly the numbering was not even adjusted Subsection 9 is missing in PIB 2012). This means that the production allowances now apply to all leases. Producers of existing production will now be able to double dip and claim the production allowances, in addition to the investment tax allowances already claimed prior to the promulgation of the Act. Section 312 (2) Fifth Schedule (3) This section provides for an allowance for tax purposes of the lower of $1 per MMBtu and 100% of the value of dry gas. Yet all costs still j]eYaf \]\m[laZd]& L`ak e]Yfk Zq \]falagf l`Yl l`] Fa_]jaYf Hydrocarbon Tax on dry gas under a gas price of $1 per MMBtu oadd YdoYqk Z] kljgf_dq f]_Ylan]$ o`a[` j]kmdlk af Y ka_fa[Yfl lYp loss. This is not a sensible tax practice. Section 312 (2) Fifth Schedule (1) (i) Confusion on Production Sharing Contracts. A general production allowance Yhhda]k lg [gehYfa]k oal` hjg\m[lagf%k`Yjaf_ [gfljY[lk oal` FFH; l`Yl Yj] fgl Z]f]laf_ ^jge Afn]kle]fl LYp ;j]\al gj Investment Tax Allowance. It seems contrary to legal principles l`Yl [gehYfa]k ogmd\ [gflafm] lg Z]f]l ^jge l`] Afn]kle]fl LYp Credit and Investment Tax Allowance when the PPT Act has been repealed. Section 312 (2) Fifth Schedule (1) (ii) Joint venture companies with NNPC not entitled to the production allowance. It seems puzzling that companies in joint venture with FFH; ogmd\ fgl Z] YZd] lg Z]f]l ^jge l`] hjg\m[lagf YddgoYf[]k for new petroleum mining leases. This is contrary to the concept ]klYZdak`]\ af l`] ?gn]jfe]fl E]egjYf\me l`Yl f]o ]d\ production should be encouraged in Nigeria, regardless of who afn]klk af km[` f]o ]d\k& Roles of National Oil Company and Government Agencies as well as some other provisions deleted. Under the Government E]egjYf\me ka_fa[Yfl j]khgfkaZadala]k o]j] Ykka_f]\ lg l`] National Oil Company and Government Agencies to provide ZY[c_jgmf\ af^gjeYlagf lg l`] K]jna[] lg eYc] l`] lYp assessment of the Service more effective. These provisions have been deleted from PIB 2012. Furthermore, some other provisions
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that enhance the power of the Service to effectively collect tax, such as the power to distrain, were deleted. Section 344. Penalty for failure to pay tax reduced to afka_fa[Yfl Yegmflk& The penalty for failure to pay tax was 200% of the tax not paid plus interest under the PPT Act and subsequent Government Memorandum. This has been reduced to Yf afka_fa[Yfl Yegmfl g^ )( h]j[]fl hdmk afl]j]kl& :Yk]\ gf km[` low penalty amounts it seems that it could be advantageous to simply not pay tax, since the rate of return on the tax amount not paid and retained may be higher than the penalty plus interest. In other words it pays not to pay tax.
EY comment O] `a_`da_`l l`] k[Yd af[]flan]k mf\]j K][lagf +1 g^ l`] Companies Income tax Act (CITA) being extended to companies engaged in export gas operations with respect to LNG, as well as to companies engaged in downstream gas distribution, gas extraction facilities and companies operating downstream crude oil hjg[]kkaf_ ^Y[adala]k km[` Yk j]f]ja]k& L`]k] af[dm\]2 (a) An initial tax-free period of three years that may, subject to the satisfactory performance of the business, be renewed for an additional two years (b) As an alternative to the initial tax-free period granted under paragraph (a) of this subsection, an additional investment allowance of 35% which shall not reduce the value of the asset, so however that a company that claims the incentive provided under this paragraph shall not also claim the incentive provided under paragraph (c)(ii) of this subsection (c) Accelerated capital allowances after the tax-free period, as follows: this is (i) an annual allowance of 90% with 10% retention, for investment in plants and machinery and (ii) an additional investment allowance of 15% that shall not reduce the value of the asset (d) Tax-free dividend during the tax-free period, where the investment for the business was in foreign currency, or the introduction of imported plant and machinery during the period was not less than 30% of the equity share capital of the company (e) Interest payable on any loan obtained with the prior approval of the Minister for a gas project shall be deductible
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Subsection (8)(b). Extraction is imprecise. The word extraction is imprecise and could lead to confusion with exploitation. It would be better to use the word processing. Subsection (9). Incentives for upstream operations not f][]kkYjq Yf\ [gmd\ [j]Yl] ka_fa[Yfl lYp dgkk]k gf gad revenues. It is not necessary to provide tax incentives for mhklj]Ye hjg\m[]jk l`Yl hjg\m[] _Yk ^gj l`] \ge]kla[ eYjc]l& Egkl _Yk kgd\ af l`] \ge]kla[ eYjc]l Zq mhklj]Ye hjg\m[]jk oadd be associated gas, which is produced together with crude oil or [gf\]fkYl]k& Hjgna\af_ ka_fa[Yfl [gjhgjYl] af[ge] lYp af[]flan]k for the production of crude oil and condensates for companies l`Yl \]dan]j _Yk gfdq lg l`] \ge]kla[ eYjc]l [gmd\ j]kmdl af n]jq ka_fa[Yfl [gjhgjYl] af[ge] lYp dgkk]k&
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Annex B
:][Ymk] l`] da[]fk]k$ d]Yk]k Yf\ HK;k mf\]j l`] HA: `Yn] mf[d]Yj l]jek$ o] Ykc]\ Dr. Pedro van Meurs to evaluate the Bills economic impact using current royalty and hjg\m[lagf k`Yjaf_ l]jek& L`ak ak `ak _gn]jfe]fl lYc] Yf\ hjg^alYZadalq YfYdqkak&
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Chart 2 illustrates the case of leases in which NNPC would participate. Such leases would not be subject to production YddgoYf[]k& L`]j]^gj] mf\]j ;Yk] ) l`]j] ogmd\ Z] fg ka_fa[Yfl change in economics. However, also in this case if the Fourth Schedule indeed represents an uplift, the losses would be 6% for l`] Yn]jY_] ]d\ kar]& 9_Yaf Y[lmYd dgkk]k eYq Z] egj] o`]j] [gehYfa]k \gmZd] \ah Zq `Ynaf_ Ydj]Y\q lYc]f l`] - mhda^l Yf\ ogmd\ fgo Z] YZd] lg lYc] l`] h]jh]lmYd mhda^l& Chart 2. Government Take of Nigeria PIB for onshore leases in which NNPC participates
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 5 10 20 50 100 200 500 Onshore eld sizes (million barrels) Current Case #1 Case #2
A loss of revenues on existing production is not in the interest of Nigeria. It should be noted that production from new mining leases should be stimulated with better terms since a higher d]n]d g^ hjg\m[lagf ogmd\ Z] Z]f][aYd ^gj Fa_]jaY&
Shallow water
The results for shallow water will be very similar to the onshore results. Only the royalties are somewhat less.
Deepwater
In deepwater there are three different types of PSCs. The year 2000 type was used to analyze the Current Terms. These PSCs are competitive from an international perspective.
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Many issues would affect the revenues in the PIB 2012. Here are the cases as a result of interpretation issues with PIB 2012. KlYjlaf_ oal` ;Yk] *$ al ak Ykkme]\ l`Yl l`] ]^^][lk g^ ]Y[` f]pl case are cumulative. The cases are: ;Yk] ) Ykkme]k l`Yl l`] >gmjl` K[`]\md] ak Yf ]jjgj& ;Yk] * Ykkme]k l`Yl l`] >gmjl` K[`]\md] ak af\]]\ e]Yfl lg be a perpetual uplift. ;Yk] + Ykkme]k l`Yl oal` l`] j]h]Yd g^ l`] <]]h G^^k`gj] Yf\ Inland Basin Production Sharing Act will indeed result in the loss of royalties. ;Yk] , Ykkme]k l`Yl FFH; oadd Z] hjanYlar]\ Yf\ l`Yl fg arrangements will be made to transfer the production sharing profit oil revenues to Nigeria from NNPC to Nigeria. In other words it is assumed that the privatized NNPC can retain these profit oil shares and will pay corporate income tax and hydrocarbon tax on its income. It should be noted that the dividend policy would not be determined by a Board in which private investors participate. It is assumed that dividends will be retained. If Nigeria is to achieve the goal of a Petrobras style national oil company, profits would have to be reinvested rather than paid as dividends for a very long period. ;Yk] - Ykkme]k l`Yl l`] ;gYklYd KlYl]k oadd j][]an] )( g^ the profits and that these amounts will be credited against the revenues to the Federal Government. As can be seen the revenue losses to Nigeria based on the [memdYlan] j]kmdlk g^ ;Yk]k *$ +$ , Yf\ - ak -( ^gj l`] Yn]jY_] ]d\ kar] Yf\ egj] ^gj l`] HK;k oal` dYj_]j ]d\k& Chart 3. Government Take of Nigeria PIB for deepwater PSCs
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 50 100 200 500 1,000 2,000 Deepwater eld sizes (million barrels) Case #1 Case #2 Case #3 Case #4 5,000 Case #5
Again it should be noted that actual revenue losses may be more where companies will be able to double dip by having been able to lYc] l`]] -( mhda^lk hjagj lg l`] hjgemd_Ylagf g^ l`] HA: *()* and subsequently still receive the production allowances and the perpetual uplift. Also for the deepwater PSCs a loss of revenues from existing production is not in the interest of Nigeria. Only production from new mining leases should be stimulated with more favorable terms. Also the terms of the 1993 series of PSCs should be improved for government, while the 2005 series of PSCs should be improved for investors.
HjglYZadalq YfYdqkak
The following Charts 4, 5 and 6 provide the IRR analysis of the kYe] [Yk]k Yk ^gj l`] _gn]jfe]fl lYc] YfYdqkak& Charts 4 and 5 illustrates how current terms for the onshore [j]Yl] mf][gfgea[ [gf\alagfk ^gj keYdd ]d\k o`a[` Yj] egj] costly than $20 per barrel (capital and operating costs). Chart 4 illustrates how the proposed production allowances would [j]Yl] Y ka_fa[Yfl aehjgn]e]fl af ][gfgea[k& L`]j]^gj]$ l`ak system is an important and required stimulus for new production ^jge keYdd `a_`%[gkl gfk`gj] ]d\k& L`] ]p[]kkan] \]hj][aYlagf hjgnakagfk ogmd\ eYc] l`] AJJ kge]o`Yl egj] YlljY[lan]& @go]n]j$ kaf[] l`] Z]f]l ak dYl] af l`] da^] g^ l`] ]d\$ l`] _Yaf af IRR is modest. Chart 4. IRR of Nigerian PIB for onshore leases in which NNPC does not participate
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5 $45 10 $36 20 $28
50 $20
Government Take
100 $15
200 $10
500 $6
Field sizes (million barrels) and costs ($/bbl) Current Case #1 Case #2
Current-2000PSC
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Chart 5 illustrates how not applying the production allowances to bgafl n]flmj]k oal` FFH; ogmd\ d]Yn] l`] keYdd `a_`%[gkl ]d\k af these leases uneconomic and therefore undeveloped. Chart 5. IRR of Nigeria PIB for onshore leases in which NNPC does not participate
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5 $45 10 $36 20 $28 50 $20 100 $15 200 $10 500 $6
Field sizes (million barrels) and costs ($/bbl) Current Case #1 Case #2
Chart 6 illustrates how under current terms of the year 2000 k]ja]k g^ HK;k keYdd gad ]d\k Yj] mf][gfgea[ Yk Y jkl ]d\ af the contract area if costs are higher than about $23 per barrel (capital and operating costs). The production allowances ;Yk] )! Yf\ dgo]j lYp]k ogmd\ ka_fa[Yfldq aehjgn] l`] economics. Fields costing $31 per barrel are economic under these terms. This would be a welcome and adequate stimulus if applied to new production. 9k [Yf Z] ]ph][l]\ ][gfgea[k aehjgn] ^mjl`]j oal` ;Yk]k *$ + Yf\ ,& ;Yk]k , Yf\ - ogmd\ j]kmdl af l`] kYe] ][gfgea[k Z][Ymk] l`] hjgl k`Yj] lg l`] ;gYklYd KlYl]k ogmd\ Z] [j]\alYZd] against other government payments. Chart 6. IRR of Nigeria PIB for deepwater PSCs
50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 50 $45 100 $36 200 500 1,000 2,000 $31 $25 $21 $17 Field sizes (million barrels) and costs ($/bbl) Case #1 Case #2 Case #3 Case #4 5,000 $13 Case #5
Current-2000PSC
25
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Tunisia
Eg jg [[ g
9d_]jaY
O]kl]jf Sahara ;Yh] N]j\] K]f]_Yd L`] ?YeZaY ?maf]Y Bissau ?maf]Y Ka]jjY D]gf] DaZ]jaY Cl] \dngaj] Mauritania Mali
Libya
Egypt
Fa_]j Chad
Sudan
=jalj]Y Djibouti
Burkina Faso
Ethiopia ;]fljYd 9^ja[Yf South Sudan J]hmZda[ Uganda ;Ye]jggf Togo <]eg[jYla[ =imYlgjaYd ?maf]Y C]fqY J]hmZda[ g^ Congo KYg Lge] Gabon Rwanda Congo Tanzania Burundi :]faf Angola
Ghana
Fa_]jaY
Somalia
K]q[`]dd]k Comoros
Namibia
=jfkl Qgmf_ g^[] Fg =jfkl Qgmf_ g^[]$ Zml kmhhgjl YnYadYZd]
RaeZYZo] Botswana
Zambia
Malawi Mauritius
J]mfagf
Kgml` 9^ja[Y
D]kgl`g
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Contacts
Elias Pungong
Africa Oil & Gas Sector Leader T: +237 7524 3172 =2 ]daYk&hmf_gf_8[e&]q&[ge
Henry Egbiki
Regional Managing Partner, West Region T: 463 0479 80 Ext: 119 =2 `]fjq&]_Zaca8f_&]q&[ge
Adekunle Salau
Advisory Leader, West Region T: +234 1 463 0479 80 Ext: 219 =2 Y\]cmfd]&kYdYm8f_&]q&[ge
Bisi Sanda
Transaction Advisory Leader, West Region T: 463 0479 80 Ext: 128 =2 Zaka&kYf\Y8f_&]q&[ge
Dayo Babatunde
Assurance Leader, Nigeria T: 463 0479 80 Ext: 118 =2 \Yqg&ZYZYlmf\]8f_&]q&[ge
Abass Adeniji
Tax Service Leader, West Region T: 463 0479 80 Ext: 132 =2 YZYkk&Y\]faba8f_&]q&[ge
Edem Andah
Oil & Gas Tax Leader, Nigeria & West Region T: +234 1 463 0479 80 Ext: 219 =2 ]\]e&Yf\Y`8f_&]q&[ge
ED 0113