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Kuwait
Paper Title: Presented by: Student Number: Group No.: Course title: Module: Advisor: Thesis Delivery Date:
Broadband; Drivers and Obstacles in the state of Kuwait. Omar Faisal Al-Omar 225 MBA I Thesis Strategic Managment Dr. Huub Ruel Dec.12.06
i Acknowledgment
This thesis was completed with the assistance of my advisor, Dr. Huub Ruel. Earlier sections were also reviewed by Dr. George K. Kostopoulos. The thesis was edited by KMBS authorized editor Mr. Pete thompson. I am grateful for their expert advice, as well as the research support of the KMBS Department of strategic management and finally the support, interest, and enthusiasm of the interviewees.
ii Abstract
The research is an attempt to identify the main drivers and obstacles impacting the development of broadband, in Kuwait. The research results will help policy-makers and other stakeholders to better identify the challenges that need to be addressed with regard to broadband enabled forms of business, working and public services as well as the related challenges and initiatives. Research and analysis involve different sectors (Government, Academic, and private sector) covering social, technical, political and economic issues. The results of the research will derive a final analysis with regard to the drivers and obstacles impacting the development of broadband in Kuwait. Keywords: Regional Development, Broadband, Regulatory body, Kuwait Economy.
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Political drivers and obstacles ...................................................................................................33 2.6.1 2.6.2 Economical drivers and obstacles..............................................................................................33 2.6.3 Social drivers and obstacles.......................................................................................................34 2.6.4 Technological drivers and obstacles ..........................................................................................34 3. Chapter 3: Research design and methodology..............................................................................................35 3.1 Introduction..............................................................................................................................................36 3.2 Problem Statement...................................................................................................................................36 3.3 Research Objective ..................................................................................................................................37 3.4 Methodological framework......................................................................................................................38 3.4.1 Major research question.............................................................................................................38 3.4.2 Limitations.................................................................................................................................40 3.5 Research design .......................................................................................................................................41 3.5.1 Target population sampling .......................................................................................................41 3.5.2 Data collection instrument and source.......................................................................................42 3.6 Data Analysis methods ............................................................................................................................42 4. Chapter 4: Data Analysis, findings and discussion.......................................................................................43 4.0 Introduction..............................................................................................................................................44 4.1 Political Obstacles....................................................................................................................................44 4.2 Political Drivers .......................................................................................................................................46 4.3 Economical Obstacles..............................................................................................................................46 4.4 Economical Drivers .................................................................................................................................47 4.5 Social Obstacles.......................................................................................................................................48 4.6 Social Drivers ..........................................................................................................................................49 4.7 Technological Obstacles ..........................................................................................................................50 4.8 Technological Drivers..............................................................................................................................51 5. Chapter 5: Conclusion, recommendations, and further research. .................................................................52 5.0 Conclusion ...............................................................................................................................................53 5.1 Recommendations....................................................................................................................................56 5.1.1 Political category Recommendations.........................................................................................56 5.1.2 Economic recommendations......................................................................................................57 5.1.3 Social category recommendations .............................................................................................58 5.1.4 Technological category recommendation..................................................................................58 5.2 Further research .......................................................................................................................................59 References:.............................................................................................................................................................60
iv List of Tables
Table 1-1: Wireless (WIFI, WIMAX, WLL) status in the Gulf Cooperation Countries..........................................5 Table 2-1: Arab Countries ranked by Madar ICT Use Index ...................................................................................8 Table 2-2: Middle East Telecommunications Regulators ........................................................................................9 Table 2-3: Current communications markets regulatory framework ....................................................................10 Table 2-4: Arab Countries Total Country Connectivity Measure ..........................................................................13 Table 2-5: Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005 .........................................................................16 Table 2-6 : Mobile subscribers 1995 - 2005 .......................................................................................................17 Table 2-7 : Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005 ........................................................................21 Table 2-8 : Fixed lines in service and teledensity 1995 - 2005 ...........................................................................21 Table 2-9 : Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005 ........................................................................24 Table 2-10 : Mobile subscribers and penetration 1995 - 2005............................................................................25 Table 2-11 : ADSL subscribers (2002-April 2006)................................................................................................27 Table 2-12 : Monthly ADSL charges .....................................................................................................................28 Table 2-13 : ADSL Charges May (2006)...............................................................................................................29 Table 2-14 : General Tele-Communications use in Kuwait ...................................................................................30 Table 2-15 : Kuwaits Participation in Global Intellectual Property Bodies and Treaties .....................................31 Table 2-16 : Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005 ......................................................................32 Table 5-1 : Kuwait broadband PEST analysis; a summary of the interviews findings ..........................................53 Table 5-2 : The current communications model in Kuwait....................................................................................56
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v List of Figures
Figure 2-1: Technology development .................................................................................................................12 Figure 2-2 : Kuwait information Society Milestones .............................................................................................30
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vi GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS
3G Third Generation ADSL Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line ANSI American National Standards Institute AP Application Processor Access Point Access Provider ARPU Average Revenue per User ATM Asynchronous Transfer Mode BAH The Kingdom of Bahrain B-ISDN Broadband ISDN BoD Broadcast on Demand BPON Broadband Passive Optical Network CAN Customer Access Network CATV Cable TV C-band Conventional band CCTV Closed Circuit TV CDMA Code Division Multiple Access CPS Carrier Pre Selection CPU Central Processing Unit DNS Domain Name System DSL Digital Subscriber Line DSLAM Digital Subscriber Line Access Multiplexer ERP Enterprise Resource Planning ETV Enhanced Television FLAG Fiber Link Around Globe FOG Fiber Optics Gulf FoIP Fax over Internet Protocol FOTS Fibre Optic Transmission Service FTP (ftp) File Transfer Protocol FttB Fibre-to-the-Building FttC Fibre-to-the-Curb (same meaning as in FTTP when this abbreviation is used for Fibre-to-thePole) FttH Fibre-to-the-Home FttK Fibre-to-the-Kerb FttN Fibre-to-the-Neighborhood FttP Fibre-to-the-Premises (both home and business) FWA Fixed Wireless Access GATT General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade Gb/s Gigabits-per-second GbE Gigabyte Ethernet GHz Giga Hertz GPRS General Packet Radio Service GPS Global Positioning Systems GSM Global System for Mobiles GUI Graphical User Interface HDSL High Rate Digital Subscriber Line HDTV High Definition TV HSCSD High-Speed Circuit-Switched Data HSDPA High-Speed Downlink Packet Access HSDS High-Speed Data System HTML Hypertext Mark-up Language HTP Hypertext Transfer Protocol Hz Hertz IBN Interactive Broadband Networks ICP Independent Content Provider ICT Information & Communications Technology IDSN Integrated Services Digital Network IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers IN Intelligent Network IP Internet Protocol IPLCs International Private Leased Circuits IRR Internal Rate of Return ISDN Integrated Services Digital Network ITU International Telecommunications Union ITU-T Standards Committee International Telecommunications Union KMBS Kuwait Maastricht Business Scool KSA Kingdom of Saudi Arabia KWT Kuwait LEO Low Earth Orbit Mb/s Megabits-per-second MDF Main Distribution Frame MLPS Multi Protocol Label Switching MoC Ministry of Communication MoD Multimedia-on-Demand MoU Memorandum of Understanding MPLS Multi Protocol Label Switching MTC Multipurpose Community Telecentre Mobile Telecommunication Company N-CDMA Narrowband CDMA NGI Next Generation Internet NGN Next Generation Network N-ISDN Narrowband Integrated Services Digital Network NMS Network Management Software NOC Network Operations Centre OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer OFC Optical Fibre Cable PABX Private Automatic Branch Exchange PCMCIA Personal Computer Memory Card International Association PDA Personal Digital Assistant PDN Packet Data Network Public Data Network PIN Personal Identification Number PON Passive Optical Network POP Post Office Protocol PoP Point of Presence (Point-of-Presence) POS Point of Sale PPP Point-to-Point Protocol PRI/BRI Primary Rate Interface/Basic Rate Interface PR-ISDN Primary Rate ISDN PSTN Public Switched Telephone Network PTO Public Telecommunications Operator Public Telecom Operator Public Telephone Operator
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ PTS Public Telecommunications Service PTT Postal, Telegraph & Telephone (operator) Push-to-talk PVC Permanent Virtual Circuit QoS Quality of Service QTR Qatar R-ADSL Rate ADSL ROI Return on Investment SAN Satellite Access Node Storage Area Network SBS Small Business System SC/MU Single-Cell, Multi-User SDH Synchronous Digital Hierarchy SHDSL Symmetric High-Speed Digital Subscriber Line SIP Session Initiated Protocol SLA Service Level Agreement SMB Server Message Block Small Medium Business SME Small and Medium Enterprise SMS Short Message Service SMTP Simple Mail Transport Protocol SNA System Network Architecture SNMP Simple Network Management Protocol SOHO Small Office Home Office SONET Synchronous Optical Network TCP Transmission Control Protocol TCP/IP Transmission Control Protocol/Internet Protocol TDM Time Division Multiplexing TDMA Time Division Multiple Access TRA Telecommunication regulatory Authority UAE United Arab Emarites UMTS Universal Mobile Telecommunication System Universal Mobile Telecommunications Service URL Uniform Resource Locator VAMS Value-Added Mobile Services VAN Value-Added Network VARs Value-Added Resellers VAS Value-Added Service VBI Vertical Blanking Interval VDSL Very High Data Rate Digital Subscriber Line VLAN Virtual Local Area Network VNS Virtual Network Services VoBB Voice over Broadband VoD Video-on-Demand VoDSL Voice over Digital Subscriber Line VOI Voice over the Internet VoIP Voice over Internet Protocol VoN Voice over Net VoP Voice over Packet VOP Visa Open Platform VoWLAN Voice over Wireless LAN VPDS Virtual Private Data Service VPN Virtual Private Network VSAT Very Small Aperture Terminal VT/VTP Virtual Terminal/Virtual Terminal Protocol WAN Wide Area Network WAP Wireless Application Protocol WDM Wavelength Division Multiplexing WiFi Wireless Fidelity WiFiRAN WiFi Radio Active Network WiMAX World Interoperability for Microwave Access WIN Wireless Intelligent Networks WIPI Wireless Internet Platform for Interoperability WISP Wireless Internet Service Provider WLAN Wireless Local Area Network WLL Wireless Local Loop WPA WiFi Protected Access WPAN Wireless Personal Area Networks WPBX Wireless PBX WSP Wireless Service Provider WTO World Trade Organization WWW World Wide Web
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1. Chapter 1: Introduction.
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I have just left Qualitynet to work in a communications services company. Furthermore, my father worked for 30 years in the telecommunications business in Kuwait, mainly in the Ministry of Communications before he retired. As a consequence, I am the second generation from my family, in the telecommunications sector, who has witnessed the heyday, downfall, and hopefully return and rise of the communications sector in Kuwait. Based on my previous work experience, and due to the fact that today the progress of technology in this field is measured in units of two rather than tens of years which was the case in the 20th century. Also, considering the fact that the telecommunications sector in Kuwait is neither regulated nor de-regulated, it is not only not allowing players to enter the market, but also not protecting the presently involved players. Furthermore, the Kuwait government is neither studying nor measuring the communications global market (based on the fact that they have withdrawn from almost all the international forms), which is resulting in confusion among the companies currently involved in the market, especially since telecommunications services have a very thin line between each. This means that the Internet can not be restricted to a persons personal computer (PC) like it used to be. Nowadays, consumers can connect to the Internet via their PDAs and Mobiles. Moreover, voice services can not be restricted to the consumers mobile or fixed line anymore. Presently, the existing companies are trespassing on other companies domains even though they are not licensed for this. Companies also sell unauthorized services such as international calls in the black market. To give an example, MTC (the first licensed mobile company in Kuwait) and Watania (the second licensed mobile company in Kuwait) are at this time providing Internet services over the Edge technology through the mobile phones, PDAs and laptops. This is while their licenses from the Kuwait government restrict them to mobile/voice telephony and do not allow the provision of Internet services! Internet services were purchased by other ISPs in closed envelopes tenders. Based on the above mentioned, a) the speed of technological leaps, which narrow down the boundaries; b) the absence of the regulation or de-regulations in Kuwait; and c) the cut throat competition between mobile operator, ISP and the Ministry of Communications. The general consideration is that the current communications sector in Kuwait is heading towards a disaster within the coming 2 years. I believe that the Kuwaiti government desires to revolutionize, however, it looks as if there is no visible advancement and integration between the stakeholders on the horizon. Consequently, working without planning is planning to fail, as we may witness in Chapter 4. In the 21st Century, a countrys development will be measured by their advancement in the telecommunications sector. Worldwide, the history of delivering electronic services has always followed the lead of a foremost delivery medium. Broadband is the medium of the future, and standard network management protocols allow anyone to drive this information highway. The widespread devotion to Internet Protocol (IP) has established a similar following, and precedence, and a vision of things to come. Current standards are not up to the task and it will be at least two years before xoIP (anything over IP) offers the quality of service that customers will need with regard to security, availability, and functionality. Unfortunately, as we will gather in this paper, Kuwaits current situation cannot cope with the communications progress despite the availability of the financial resources and the access budget for the year 2005 due to the dramatic rise of oil prices.
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By conducting this research, I believe I will be pulling together the points of view, feedback and opinions of the stakeholders. That is, the Government, Academic Institutions and the Private sector. Adding to that I will show the best practices and similar case studies in the Middle East & Arabian Gulf area. The gap may perhaps be bridged between the government, and the current existing communications companies, and the future national/international investors. Moreover, recommendations may be useful for the current communications companies if they want to co-exist in a small semi-saturated market such as ours.
1.2
Problem Definition
"Broadband" refers to a type of network connection that supports a very high bit rate, as opposed to "narrowband," which supports a lower bit rate. The higher the bit rate, which is a measure of the speed of transmission of bits per second (bps), the faster the transmission will occur in a given period of time. "Bandwidth" is a measure of capacity. Greater bandwidth allows more information to be communicated in a given period of time. Broadband media services delivery, require the transmission of large amounts of information quickly, so the combination of fast broadband transmissions and large amounts of bandwidth required to deliver information are the foundations of broadband media services delivery. But this is just the beginning of the broadband media services story. The true value of broadband media services lies in the actual services that can be delivered across these high-speed, high-bandwidth networks, the entirely new "on demand" way customers will access them and the customized and personalized manner in which individuals will interact with these services. With that in mind, we can formulate a definition of broadband media services: Broadband media services are the seamless, customized, "on demand" creation and delivery of multimedia services to homes, businesses, and mobile users, including entertainment services (movies, interactive games, broadcast TV), infotainment (e-learning, online training) through high-speed Internet protocol (IP) networks. (International Engineering Consortium-2005) In Chapter 4 there are clearer outlines for the problem, and through out the research conducted we will identify the stockholders responsibility toward the development of Kuwait in the communications sector.
1.3
Research Objective
The overall objective of the thesis is to identify the main drivers and obstacles impacting the development of broadband, in the knowledge based, service driven economy of Kuwait. The research results will help policy-makers and other stakeholders to better identify the challenges that need to be addressed with regard to broadband enabled forms of business, working and public services as well as the related challenges and initiatives. Research and analysis will involve different sectors (Government, Academic, and private sector) covering social, technical, political and economic issues. The results of the research will derive a final analysis with regard to the drivers and obstacles impacting the development of broadband in Kuwait.
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Table 1-1: Wireless (WIFI, WIMAX, WLL) status in the Gulf Cooperation Countries
Country
Type service
Personal use Commercial use License exempted License Mandatory License Mandatory License Mandatory License Mandatory License Mandatory
Fees
Remarks
U.A.E
WIMAX WLL
*BAH
WIFI WIMAX
WLL/FWA 2.7-2.5/5.45.8/10/ 28-26/40 GHz KSA WIFI WIMAX WLL KWT 2.4 GHz
License exempted
License Mandatory
Under study
No information available WIFI 2.4 GHz 5.8 License GHz Exempted WIMAX Not Under Study WLL Assigned Under Study Not Assigned WIFI WIMAX WLL 2.4 GHz License Exempted License Mandatory License Mandatory License Mandatory Under Study Under Study Under Study
OMN
QAT
Under consultation
The above table clearly demonstrates the gap in licenses between the GCC countries and Kuwait.
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1.5
Research Methodology
The research will be based on a qualitative method; therefore it will be based on face to face semi-structured interviews with the people who are dealing with the dilemma. The use of these interviews will help in gathering valid and reliable data which is relevant to the research question and objectives. Such interviews may perhaps instigate a number of data quality issues related to reliability, forms of bias, validity and generalisability. People participating in the interviews need to hold senior positions in their respective organizations. Furthermore, they have to have a direct relationship with the subject. For instance, a financial manager will affix minimal value where as an operational manager will be more pertinent to the research.
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2.0 Introduction
The telecommunications, entertainment, video and multimedia markets worldwide are undergoing sweeping changes, characterized by expanding product and service developments and the convergence of previously separate industries. Digital convergence is bringing together computer, phone, recording and broadcast technologies within an all-digital environment that enables new, flexible uses of products and services. (Tine Lewis, 2006) Technological change is not only considered as a cause of economical and social development but also comes as a result of it. Despite the fact that the accurate measurement of its effect on the development of the region remains indistinct and is difficult to notice directly. It might be perceived that the telecommunications would have a negative effect on the economies of the region because the high amount of investment this sector needs to cover the imported infrastructure, and its related services cost. Generally speaking the Gulf area will not be facing investment issues especially after the recent rise in oil prices. However, it may face some problems when it comes to services and skilled employment. In the telecommunications field, local expertise is generally geared towards coordination and support activities rather than telecommunications, knowledge innovation. The fact of the matter is that the effort of design, development, planning and advancement are exercised in the developed countries, and exported to the developing countries. Despite these various visions and methods, all the countries in the region agree on the necessity for telecommunications advancement, and are raising standards of readiness to cooperate with the international telecommunications community.
Table 2-1: Arab Countries ranked by Madar ICT Use Index
PC Installed Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Country UAE Bahrain Kuwait Qatar Lebanon Saudi Arabia Jordan Oman Palestine Morocco Tunisia Egypt Syria Libya Algeria Yemen Iraq Sudan Total Population 3,700,000 728,000 2,418,000 805,000 4,387,000 23,898,000 5,332,000 2,760,000 3,450,000 31,430,000 10,000,000 71,300,000 19,000,000 5,433,000 32,549,000 19,100,000 24,340,000 37,065,000 297,695,000 Base 590,000 108,000 300,000 108,000 275,000 1,800,000 233,000 97,000 130,000 510,000 328,000 1,130,000 334,000 135,000 310,000 145,000 200,000 185,000 6,918,000
Internet Users 1,100,000 180,000 320,000 75,000 505,000 1,920,000 342,000 165,000 200,000 600,000 524,000 2,000,000 275,000 160,000 610,000 55,000 45,000 92,000 9,178,000
Fixed Lines 1,100,000 177,000 483,000 178,000 760,000 3,420,000 805,000 234,500 320,000 1,250,000 1,163,000 7,960,000 2,070,000 521,000 1,904,000 510,000 700,000 780,000 24,335,500
Mobile Phones 2,507,500 392,000 1,400,000 280,000 840,000 5,500,000 1,240,000 484,500 570,000 6,436,000 700,000 4,628,000 470,000 75,000 595,000 523,000 22,000 340,000 27,003,000
ICT Use Index 1.43 1.18 1.04 0.8 0.54 0.53 0.49 0.36 0.35 0.28 0.27 0.22 0.17 0.16 0.11 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.23
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Most of the countries in the Middle East are just beginning to move towards less state involvement and greater competition in their Telecom Markets. In many cases this is encouraged by World Trade Organization (WTO) membership requirements and nearly all the countries in the region are now beginning to introduce some degree of competition and private ownership . Generally speaking there are several areas relating to the development of the telecommunications sector such as: The development of infrastructure. Creation of job opportunities. Regulating competition. Generate specialized telecommunications services. Generating foreign investment opportunities. Increasing social learning curve. Facing globalization. Cooperating with the world in rapid changes in the field of telecommunications.
Table 2-2: Middle East Telecommunications Regulators
Telecom Operator
Bahrain Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA) Iran Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting Iraq The National Communications and Media Commission Regulator (CMC) Jordan . Telecommunications Regulatory Commission Regulator Kuwait . Ministry of Communications Regulator Lebanon . Ministry of Telecommunications Regulator Oman . Sultanate of Oman Telecommunications Regulatory Regulator Authority Qatar . The Supreme Council for Communications and Regulator Information Technology (SCICT or ictQATAR) Saudi Arabia . Saudi Communications and Information Technology Regulator Commission (CITC) United Arab Emirates . Telecommunications Regulatory Authority Regulator
Website . www.tra.org.bh . www.irib.com . ncmc-iraq.org . www.trc.gov.jo . www.moc.kw . www.mpt.gov.lb . www.tra.gov.om . www.ict.gov.qa . www.citc.gov.sa . www.tra.gov.ae
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As interpreted from the above table, Kuwait is one of the very few countries in the Middle East which lacks the presence of a neutral regulatory body. Summarizing Change in the region The Telecom Market is changing, and developing in many countries in the Middle East such as, Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Bahrain, Iran and so forth. There is increased competition especially in the mobile sector and a gradual reduction of state ownership, thus more involvement from the private sector.
Table 2-3: Current communications markets regulatory framework
As a result of significant investments in the expansion and improvement of local infrastructure, demand for telecom services is increasing. Mobiles are taking market share from the declining fixed line markets in more developed countries. Several countries such as Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Qatar are testing 3G services following a successful 3G introduction in Bahrain and Kuwait.
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Although broadband penetration is still extremely low in the region, by 2006 growth rates were generally on a par with the average growth rate of most developed regions. Convergence issues have yet to have much impact in the region. Growth is set to continue as the markets become more liberalized with open competition. Key highlights A number of Middle Eastern countries have some active competition in their telecom markets. In mid 2006 the UAE government announced its intention to fully liberalize its telecom sector by 2015, most likely to act in line with WTO recommendations. On the same note, The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has announced plans to liberalize its fixed telephony sector ending the current monopoly, and opening the mobile sector for more competition. The region is set to benefit from the new TWA-1 Undersea Cable Network linking Karachi in Pakistan, Fujairah in UAE and Al Seeb Muscat in Oman. In addition, Flag Telecoms FALCON cable, currently under construction, is expected to bring enormous amounts of capacity to the region, which has previously been under served by international connectivity. FOG 2 (Fiber Optic Gulf) In 2006 the national telecoms companies of UAE, Saudi Arabia and Iraq signed an agreement to lay the FOG2 cable. Representing the second generation of (FOG) cable which served with many service distractions due to the poor deign. FOG2 will initially link:1) Fujairah ~ UAE 2) Um Qasr ~ Al Basra province, Iraq 3) Eastern coast of Saudi Arabia The above is expected to be completed by the end of 2006. ADSL (Broadband). Broadband penetration is still extremely low in the region. By 2006, growth rates were generally on a par with the average growth rate of most developed regions. UAE Broadband usage is expected to surpass the number of dial up Internet users by the end of 2007 (refrence). Bahrain Batelco announced in early 2006 that it aims to offer broadband to every household in the country by 2008. They will launch a campaign called B.B.Bahrain (Broadband Bahrain). Jordan Broadband penetration has very low but growth has been rapid causing a steady decline in dial up usage. In addition triple play services have been launched in Jordan and are beginning to see more convergence, particularly in VOIP. However, in the Bahrain market several new competitors aim to deliver broadband Internet plus voice services via VOIP. Convergence developments are starting to pick up in Kuwait, with satellite TV operating providing broadband Internet services and bundling them with TV subscriptions. However, VOIP services are to this day prohibited.
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While fixed line teledensity in these countries remains comparatively low, the mobile market is booming, with a significant rise in the number of subscribers over 2005, notably in Iraq and Iran, and to a lesser extent in the more mature market of Kuwait. By early 2006, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Qatar were all testing 3G services following its successful introduction in Bahrain and Kuwait.
Figure 2-1: Technology development
Leaders in the field, in the region are: MTC (has been the biggest player). Kuwait Etisalat UAE. Wataniya Kuwait
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Table 2-4: Arab Countries Total Country Connectivity Measure
The Total Country Connectivity Measure is calculated by adding the household mainlines penetration, GSM penetration, and Internet users penetration rate in each country Source: Operators, Arab Advisors Group
In my view, in order to for us to observe the drivers and obstacles of broadband in Kuwait, we need to bench mark, or evaluate it against other countries and therefore the overall picture will be clearer. Naturally, the countries to be compared with can neither be western or far eastern countries since the cultures are unlike, the economical environment is different and so are the political environments. Finally, the technological situation is almost entirely different as well. While in developed countries on average there are 50 phone lines per 100 inhabitants, the average in developing countries is 10 (ITU, 2002). Therefore, it has been decided that the countries to be bench marked with aught to be from the same region; thus the following countries were chosen. The Islamic republic of Iran, since it extends across the Arabian Gulf region and is the biggest country in the Middle East in terms of area, and population. Next the Kingdom of Jordan was chosen since it is one of the only Asian Arab countries with an open telecommunications systems, and is bounded by actual processes rather than a governmental monopoly such as the republic of Syria, or an uncontrolled environment for instance like the republic of Lebanon. The Kingdom of Bahrain was also chosen given that its the most regulated and has the possibility to become one of the most dynamic telecommunications markets in the Middle East. (Tine Lewis, 2006) The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is used, since all of Kuwaits terrestrial communications pass through the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. In addition to this is the fact that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is the closest to Kuwait in terms of culture, and technology. Finally, Kuwait was chosen to be studied from an international point of view.
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Table 2-5: Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 (July)
Users 2,600 10,000 30,000 65,000 250,000 625,000 1,005,000 3,168,000 4,800,000 5,500,000 6,200,000
(Source: based on ITU and TCI data) 2.1.4.2 Broadband Access ADSL services are available and growing slowly. ADSL2+ services are also available. In order to solve infrastructure limitations a number of Private Access Providers (PAP) licenses were awarded to private ISPs in 2004. The MCIT licensed 13 Iranian companies to provide ADSL services. Under the terms of their contracts, the companies were each to establish within a year at least 20,000 lines in five provinces and 20 towns. Companies with a PAP license and broadband infrastructure include Asre Danesh Afzar, Asia-Tech, Pars Online, Shatel and CTEL Kish. Wireless broadband services of 5Mb/s are available in some areas where ADSL is not available. DCI provides Internet connection via satellite both to end-users and to ISPs. Many ISPs have been using these high-speed connections to provide VoIP services. DPI provides high-speed satellite download connections through Kuwait-based ShowNet. The upload connection has to be made via a local ISP. The satellite connection is made from ShowNets Digital Video Broadcasting platform on Nilesat 102. The service is available in different download speeds from128Kb/s 1,024Kb/s.
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The government is also planning to license a third operator, to launch services by November 2007. Under the governments original plans, a third license was intended to be offered two years after the launch of the second operator.
Table 2-6 : Mobile subscribers 1995 - 2005
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(Source: ITU, TCI and Global Mobile data)
Subscribers 15,900 60,000 239,000 390,000 490,000 963,000 2,087,000 2,280,000 3,450,000 4,271,000 8,525,000
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1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9.
Since 1996 Internet access was introduced in the Kingdom of Jordan. The Jordanian government has a fairly liberal outlook to Internet access, unlike various Arab countries. The government initiatives have been working in the direction of increased computer ownership and Internet use. In Q4-2005, although broadband penetration is very low, growth has been rapid. Approximately 95% of the population had access to Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL), Symmetric Digital Subscriber Line (SDSL) or Integrated Digital Services Network (ISDN) services.
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In March 2005, The Kingdom of Jordan Telecom had 12,600 ADSL subscribers, a 400% annual increase with the speedy increase attributed to tariff reductions made during 2004. The operator also had 7,000 leased line broadband subscribers. In 2001, Jordan Telecom commenced Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) offerings, and the market is slowly growing. In October 2004, residential services were launched. As mentioned previously at late2005, residential services were available to 95% of the general population. Batelco Jordan, (a subsidiary of Bahrain Telecom-Batelco) also offers ADSL services to both residential and corporate customers available in downstream bandwidth increments of 128Kb/s, 512Kb/s and 1024Kb/s. A national and international WIFI services was launched in February 2005 by Jordan telecom in conjunction with Wanadoo (French ISP Corporation). In February 2005 Jordan Telecom launched 2.2.4.2 Summary of Internet statistics:
Internet usage is increasing steadily on the other hand dial-up (Narrowband) usage is decreasing, counterbalanced by an increase in prepaid cards and Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL-broadband). Furthermore many users access the Internet via Internet cafes There were approximately 500 Internet cafes in the Kingdom of Jordan in mid-2004, this registers an increase from 170 at end-2001, based on a study conducted in early 2004. A survey of 200 Internet caf users found that the average Internet cafe consumer in the kingdom of Jordan is single, between the ages of 17 and 30, either a student or unemployed and spends around 12 hours a week surfing; based on the same study conducted. Arab Advisors Group expects Internet monthly Average Revenue per User (ARPU) to decline to reach US$15 by 2010 due to the dramatic decrease in the technology pricing. Therefore, the liberalized market should enable ISPs to expand their services. Finally the Arab advisors Group expects total subscriber numbers to reach 310,000 by 2010. PC penetration, estimated by the ITU at 5.34% as at end-2004, was estimated by the Madar Research Group in mid-2005 to grow to 13.9% by 2008, compared with a regional average of 7%.
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Table 2-7 : Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(Source: Based on ITU data)
Users 1,000 2,000 27,350 60,800 120,000 127,300 234,000 307,500 444,000 600,000 800,000
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005(Aug)
Fixed lines 140,850 144,400 152,300 158,000 165,000 171,000 173,855 175,400 185,800 191,600 196,500
Teledensity 25.1% 25.1% 25.8% 26.1% 26.7% 26.9% 26.7% 26.1% 26.8% 25.9% N/A
INTERNET USER STATISTICS year 2005 Internet users (e) 154,000, Internet user penetration 22%, Internet subscribers (Aug) 50,000. BROADBAND STATISTICS year 2005 Total broadband subscribers 35,000. MOBILE STATISTICS year 2005 Mobile subscribers 0.82 million, Annual growth 31%, Mobile penetration 117% Major mobile operators Batelco MTC-Vodafone. NATIONAL TELECOMMUNICATIONS AUTHORITIES Regulatory authority Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA)
(Compiled from, CIA factbook, and ITU).
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The powers and obligations of the Telecommunications Regulatory Authority (TRA) are defined by the Telecommunications Law of 2002. The TRA is intended to be independent of the government, funded by license related fees, service-related fees and fines. It is managed by a five-member board, one of whom is the chairman. Board members are appointed for a period of four years by the Council of Ministers and are protected from arbitrary dismissal except by decree from the King, who must have a valid reason to do so. The TRAs rulings are to have force of law. Specifically, the TRAs responsibilities are to: Monitor and investigate compliance with the telecommunications law; Grant licenses and give final decisions as to applications for licenses; Monitor and enforce compliance with license terms by licensees; Propose and effect modifications to licenses where appropriate; Set and collect license fees, fines and payment for services provided by the Authority; Administer radio frequencies used in telecommunications; Prepare the national numbering plan and assign numbers to licensed operators; Encourage, regulate and facilitate adequate access, interconnection and inter-operability; Monitor and, where required, set tariffs; Approve equipment for connection; Intervene in disputes. From 1 July 2004 all sectors of the Bahraini Communications market were liberalized. New entrants into the market are regulated through licensing. The TRA has defined nine operating sectors and is issuing licenses in eight of these sectors: National fixed service license (NFS); International telecommunications facility license (IFL); International telecommunications services license; Internet Service Provider (ISP) licenses; Value Added Services (VAS) licenses; International facilities licenses; Licenses in the further radio based areas of VSAT, paging and PAMR. As of May 2006, NFS licenses had been awarded to: Batelco, Lightspeed Communications, Etisalcom, Kalam Telecom Bahrain, Mena Telecom, SPC Osos Property Developers (Amwaj Telecom), and 2Connect. Numerous IFL licenses and ISL licenses had also been issued. Competition was introduced in the mobile sector in 2003 with the award of a second license to MTC-Vodafone (BUDDECOMM, 2006).
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Table 2-9 : Internet user and penetration estimates 1995 - 2005
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: (ITU, 2005)
Users 2,000 5,000 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 100,000 123,000 150,000 153,000 154,000
Penetration N/A N/A N/A N/A 5% 6% 15% 18% 22% 21% 22%
Note: Users are those accessing the Internet from their school, university, and work account as well as from their individual household or business accounts. Batelco announced in early 2006 that it aimed to offer broadband to every household in Bahrain by 2008. Batelco launched Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) services in May 2002. Batelco is improving its services, improving both speeds and capacities, aiming at increasing subscriber numbers. Subscribers to Batelcos budget 256Kb/s service would have their maximum downstream speeds doubled to 512Kb/s and their usage threshold increased from 5GB to 8GB per month. Customers of the premium 256Kb/s package would benefit from download speeds of up to 1Mb/s, with a limit of 15GB, and a new package was introduced offering a 20GB threshold with a maximum 2Mb/s downlink. Batelco had around 35,000 high speed subscribers at the end of 2005. Batelco launched WIFI services in April 2004 with initial installations at Bahrain International Airport, Costa Coffee shops in Seef and Adliya, and the Crown Plaza and Gulf Hotel lounges. Service coverage has since been expanded. Internet via satellite Mena broadband services offers broadband services using Very Small Aperture Terminal (VSAT) at speeds from 512Kb/s downlink, 128Kb/s uplink to 4Mb/s downlink, 625Kb/s uplink.
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Table 2-10 : Mobile subscribers and penetration 1995 - 2005
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Subscribers Penetration 27,600 5% 40,000 7% 58,500 10% 92,100 15% 133,500 22% 205,700 32% 299,600 46% 390,000 52% 443,100 64% 623,450 92% 816,000 117%
Note: 2005 stats from Global Mobile. Arab Advisors put penetration at 106% at end-2005.
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Despite the fact that growth is fast, mobile penetration is relatively low in Saudi Arabia compared to other countries which have a similar GDP per capita. Consequently, this has raised regional and worldwide interest in media and telecommunications due to the third mobile license tendering six months ahead of its likely award date. On the same note Saudi Arabias broadband market grew by 174% in 2005. ADSL 512Kbps was finally introduced. Saudi Arabias ADSL supply limitations seem to be easing. Saudi Telecom was able to decrease the high ADSL line rejection rates and the operator has also decreased its monthly fee for ADSL lines by 17% to help increase market growth. All this helped boost the broadband market to reach 64,000 lines by April 2006, a19% growth rate in four months.
Table 2-11 : ADSL subscribers (2002-April 2006)
2002 2003 2004 2005 April 2006 1.75 8 20 54 64 7 11 34 10 380% 135% 174% 19% 0.4% 1.2% 2.1% 4.0% 4.4%
Moreover, in the previous year accelerating ADSL market growth in the Kingdom lead to a jump of ADSL subscribers from a minimal 8,000 in 2003 to 19,708 subscribers in 2004, translating into a 135% growth. This figure more than doubled in the next year reaching 54,000 subscribers in 2005: a 174% growth. The broadband market further grew by 19% in the first 4 months of the year adding 10,000 ADSL lines. ADSL subscribers constituted 4.4% of total Internet accounts in April 2006. Exhibit 1 shows the growth in the ADSL subscriber base. (Arab Advisors group, 2005)
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Competition is also intensifying in Saudi Arabias data market. Integrated Telecom Co (ITC), one of two operators awarded a license in August 2004 to provide public data Communications services in competition with STC, is making substantial infrastructure investments. The combined effect of these extra players as well as the services of the four VSAT license holders is resulting in tariff reductions in the business and residential broadband markets. In addition STC has committed to considerable much needed infrastructure improvements, especially for its international routes. Revenues have been high: in 2005 Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for fixed-line services was US$48 and US$46 for mobile services. 2.4.2.2 Broadband and Internet market. In Saudi Arabia Internet access has been available since 1994, however it was restricted to state academic, medical, and research institutions until January 1999. All Internet traffic and connections were routed through the King Abdul-Aziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), it was the gateway for all legitimate Internet access in the kingdom. Widespread use of the Internet has been curbed by excessive access rates and slow connection speeds, although the cost of access fell by approximately 50% between 2002 and 2006. Below, the table illustrates the total ADSL charges per year. The yearly ISP charges range from a low US$ 320 per year to a high US$ 1629, depending on the speed chosen. Since the introduction of ADSL, Saudi Telecom still charges US$ 80 as an activation fee for the service. STC also charges a fixed monthly fee for using the phone line; ADSL subscribers pay an amount ranging from US$ 24 to US$ 32 per month for their ADSL phone bill for unlimited usage of Internet, depending on the ADSL speed.
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Broadband; Drivers and Obstecals in the state of Kuwait ____________________________________________________________________________ Table 2-13 : ADSL Charges May (2006)
PC penetration in the Kingdom is a major driver of Internet penetration. Consequently, the Saudi regulator, the CITC, has initiated a plan to encourage around one million additional Saudi families to own a computer before 2008. In May 2005, CITC signed a number of agreements with several companies participating in the Home Computing Initiative, such as: STC, National Commercial Bank, Microsoft (provider of OS and desk-top applications), Zai of Alfaisaliah Group (PC manufacturer), Alkhaleej- NewHorizon (Training provider), Alaalamiah (Training provider), AwalNet (Internet Service Provider), Nesma (Internet Service Provider), Harf (Provider of free Arabic and Islamic software applications). This step is expected to enhance the economic productivity of the ICT sector. Selling under the initiative began in the first week of October 2005. In December 14, 2005 (two months later), the total number of PCs sold through the initiative amounted to 9,000 PCs. The initiative offers easy monthly installments of US$ 27 for a period of two years. It also offers free Internet hours and training courses with each PC (Arab Advisors, 2005).
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Mobile statistics year 2005 Mobile subscribers 2.38 million, Annual growth 15%, Mobile penetration 99%, Major mobile operators MTC-Vodafone National Mobile Telecommunications Co National telecommunications authorities Regulatory authority Ministry of Communications (MOC)
(Compiled from, ITU forum and CIA factbook)
Source: (UNITED NATIONS Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia, 2005)
Internet users
590,00
Today the country has the third highest ICT Use Index (1.32 in 2004) in the Arab world, trailing United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain according to the latest Arab ICT Use Index study by Madar Research Group. The index gauges progress on tele-density and the use
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of PCs and the Internet, thus providing an indicator on the relative technology-adoption rate among Arab countries. Kuwait also has one of the highest Internet penetration rates in the Arab world and is one of the most aggressive adopters of broadband technology.
Table 2-15 : Kuwaits Participation in Global Intellectual Property Bodies and Treaties
Entity/Treaty World Trade Organization (WTO) World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) Paris Convention WIPO Copyright Treaties (WCT) Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) Madrid Agreement Hague Agreement Trademarks Law Treaty (TLT) Patent Law Treaty Nairobi Treaty TRIPS
Source: (INSEAD, 2005)
Kuwaits telecom sector has been engaged in a long transition period from monopoly to competition. Similar to many Gulf and Middle Eastern countries, Kuwaits telecom industry is a traditional monopoly, with the Ministry of Communications (MoC) serving as the country's telecommunications regulator and also controlling the solitary fixed line network in the country. A appearance of an open, competitive telecom market in other words duopoly was adopted in the late 1990s when the government opened its mobile-GSM market to a second player in an open bid. The move was followed by a motivated five-year Privatization Plan declared in July 2001, which was similar in fundamental nature to pitch made by the government in the past. Also in June 2002, the MoC announced plans for legislation that would surface the way for the privatization of the countrys fixed line operations during the course of the year. This, however, did not materialize and is now expected to pass in 2007 instead. Due to the frequent changes in the top level of the ministry, -3 ministers in the part 1 year- It is clear that these privatization plans and schedules are running off course. On the other hand, if the privatization of the telecom sector is any indicator, then it is fair to conclude that the actual, strategic execution of the plans is significantly lagging behind schedule. Kuwaits GSM operators are Mobile Telecommunications Company (MTC-Vodafone) and Wataniya Telecommunications Company. The government of Kuwait maintains 25 percent equity in MTC-vodafone. MTC-vodafone maintained monopoly of the GSM market from 1983 when it was established to 1999, when Wataniya was approved the license to operate a second GSM network. The Internet services provider (ISP) sector in Kuwait is semicompetitive and remains closely monitored and strongly regulated by the MoC. The four major ISPs and 4 sub-ISPs in Kuwait are required to adhere to a series of strict regulations distributed and frequently reviewed by the MoC, if not they face the penalty of their licenses being revoked or cancelled.
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As mentioned in the introduction Kuwait is connected to other Gulf States via the Fibre Optic Gulf (FOG) link, in which the MOC is a shareholder. FOG is part of the FibreOptic Link Around the Globe (FLAG) and the SEAME- WE-2 and 3 submarine cable networks. There are also two 2.5 GB/s terrestrial fibre optic cable links Kuwait with Saudi Arabia from two different boarder points, and a similar cable with 10 GB/s capacity links Kuwait City with Iran. Kuwait recent joined Oman, Egypt, Bahrain, India and Qatar in purchasing US$27.4 million of capacity on FLAG Telecoms FALCON fibre optic cable in April 2005 in a questionable move. The resilient loop system would have multiple landings in the Gulf region, including Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and Bahrain, and incorporate submarine links to Egypt in the west and Hong Kong in the east. The Gulf ring of Falcon would initially support 40 GB/s of traffic, upgradeable to 1,280 GB/s. Satellite Communications are provided by 3 Intelsat earth stations (1 Atlantic Ocean region, 2 Indian Ocean region), (1 Inmarsat earth station (Atlantic Ocean region) and 2 Arabsat earth stations).
Year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(Source: ITU, 2005)
Users 3,500 15,000 42,000 60,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 567,000 600,000 700,000
Note: Users are those accessing the Internet from their school, university, work account as well as from their individual household or business accounts. In the state of Kuwait all of the ISPs have their own backbone and DSL infrastructure not even that but even their own international gateways. Zajil Telecom, Qualitynet, FAST Telecommunications and United Networks offer Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) services for both the residential and corporate markets. Zajil Telecom offers ADSL for limited home users though. Prices are relatively high by international standards but there have been recent promotions and reductions. As for the broadband wireless services, MTC-Vodafone provides post-paid access to a number of WiFi hotspots powered by Zajil Telecom with speeds of up to 8Mb/s; also its
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currently providing broadband over edge technology, and testing its 3G service. Zajil had over 50 hotspots as at early 2006 in cafes, stores and university campuses. Qualitynet has over 150 hotspots providing Internet over WiFi. Wataniya Telecom, together with the Red Carpet Company and Smart Link Telecom, launched WiFi services in April 2006.
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From another perspective, problems will in all probability arise because broadband technologies are operating in a regulatory vacuum. Today, there are no plans to ensure that broadband will be affordable. There are no enforcement measures to ensure that broadband networks are open and transparent, there is no plan to maximize the provision of unlicensed wireless broadband services and there is no guarantee that ISPs have the right to deploy broadband services for their consumers. This policy vacuum creates uncertainty, stunts innovation, and depresses both the demand and supply of broadband services. In the same perspective, broadband services will not be a commodity; it will be a must if the Kuwait government is serious about the near future plan of being the Gulfs financial center. In view of the fact that both financial and communications sectors go hand in hand, broadband generates great benefits to Kuwait and to the Kuwaiti citizen. Those countries that have done well in promoting broadband subscriptions, have done well because of active government policies for the development of broadband, Lara Srivastava, telecom policy analyst for the Geneva-based ITU, which is part of the United Nations. In my opinion broadband services are already knocking on Kuwait doors but there are two cable companies who cant deliver the service due to the current obstacles. Kuwait GDP is very high at US$74.6 billion plus Kuwait is a country with relatively high Purchasing Power Parity, which marks Kuwaiti citizens & residents out as highly demanding people. In addition, in reference to a Services Marketing lecture delivered in KMBS-2006, by Dr. Nabeel Al-Hillali. 67% of the Kuwaiti residence income is spent on services, therefore Kuwait has a service driven economy. In Chapter 4 there are clearer explanations for the problem, and through out the research conducted we can identify the stockholders responsibility toward the development of Kuwait in the communications sector.
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Expected broadband Technical drivers: Deployment of the GPON project in MoC Deployment of wireless broadband services Deployment of ADSL Broadband service since 2000. Expected broadband Technical obstacles: Lack of technical standards. Lacks procedures and experience in commercializing innovations Lack of knowledge for the latest technology development Expected broadband Political drivers: The objective of positioning Kuwait as Middle East financial center. Expected broadband Political obstacles: Conflicting goals. Defensive attitude. Lack of political leadership. Regulation/de-regulation of the communications sector. Expected broadband Economical drivers: Access in year 2005 budget due to the raise of Oil prices. Relatively high per capita GDP. Service driven economy. Expected broadband Economical obstacles: Unclear how services provided correspond to citizen needs, as structured investigations of needs/requirements are not made. Lack of economic incentives, Investment comes first payback comes when? One year budget strongly guiding the behavior. Unclear how to share development costs that benefit more than one stakeholder. Expected broadband Social drivers and obstacles: When a new technology, product or service emerges, individuals evaluate both its economic profitability and other variables - degree of risk, decrease in discomfort, savings in time and effort, immediacy of rewards. The concept of relative advantage is very similar to the idea of perceived usefulness of the technology, as put forward by the technology acceptance framework. In particular, perceived usefulness identifies the subjective probability that using a specific technology would increase one individuals job performance (Davis, 1989).
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The research question was formalized based on my personal observations of the telecommunications sectors advancement in the region in general & Kuwait in particular. Due to my involvement in several meetings with representatives from STC (Saudi Telecom Company), Batelco (Bahrain Telecom Company), Etisalat (UAE Telecom Company), Qtel (Qatar telecomm Company), Batelco Jordan (A private company owned by Batelco based in the Kingdom of Jordan). Also, based on the obstacles faced in the past 10 years from a private Kuwaiti communications company, it has been noticed that each stakeholder is paddling in different directions although we are all in the same boat. By sharing the point of view, ideas, feelings, plans and so forth, of different sectors dealing with the same problem, I might be able to narrow the telecommunications gap by focusing on the future of broadband communications.
3.4.2 Limitations
Since interviews will play a large part of the research and also according to the timetable the interviews will be conducted during the summer period. Based on the fact that during the summer time in Kuwait, almost all of the upper management in the private sector and ministries are on vacation outside of Kuwait. Thus it may be problematic to get in contact with the desired people. To overcome this obstacle I have had to list the potential managers, undersecretaries, & GMs and then arrange for the meetings in accordance with their leave schedule. Another barrier that might face the research is the Ramadan period where the productivity usually decreases; also it can be difficult to locate the required people for interviews. Usually, the upper managers are often difficult to meet, due to time limitations, meetings are sometimes spontaneous, and therefore some meetings might be canceled, or rescheduled. Thus organizing meetings can be complicated to conduct. A management culture, especially in the Ministry of Communications where this makes one exceptionally tied to beliefs which, revolve around the precept that all services need to be delivered by the ministry and that the private sector is not providing value for money. (This argument has been encountered several times). Also the private sector managers may have subjective responses since this particular subject affects their companys revenue, and thus their future in the company. Literature and articles on the Middle East in general and Kuwait in particular are rare, therefore I have tried to contact major vendors in the area such as Alcatel, and Cisco to try to get as much information as possible. Regrettably, secondary data will have been collected for a specific purpose that differs from the research question(s) or objectives. (Denscombe, 1998). Consequently, some data that is collected may be less appropriate to the research question. Interviewer and interviewee bias will be an obstacle and is mostly associated with the way the interview is conducted. In order to minimize bias, discussion points should be considered such as, the interviewers preparation and readiness, the level of information supplied to the interviewee, the interviewers approach to the questions, the interviewers ability to display attentive listening skills.
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People participating in the interviews need to hold senior positions in their respective organizations. Furthermore, they need to have a direct relationship with the subject. For instance, a financial manager will affix minimal value where as an operational manager will be more constructive towards the research.
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4.0 Introduction
In this chapter we will present the findings of our empirical study. We have classified the data into meaningful categories that may be derived from the collected data. After each interview the data was analyzed, and a sufficient amount of time was given between each interview, sequentially the predisposition and partiality was minimize, then interims will focus more on analyzing each interview separately. In my point of view to make the chapter easier to follow, and to communicate the answers to the research in a clear manner, the chapter is broken down to four categories and each category will be analyzed and discussed separately. The four categories will be based on the interview questions concerning: political drivers and obstacles, economical drivers and obstacles, social drivers and obstacles, and finally technological drivers and obstacles for the broadband in Kuwait. The interviewees were very enthusiastic about the subject, they are all keen to see broadband blossom, according to their understandings since each interviewee looks at the matter from his own perspective. It was noticed that each interviewee tackles the issue from their angle, in accordance to their position in the telecommunications equation; be it government sector, private sector or academic. It was unambiguous that in the end with no exceptions, all wanted to see a greater benefit to the country.
decisions on behalf of the government in a very sensitive sector. In view of the fact that there are no regulations, and there are no rules or mechanisms to govern broadband in Kuwait, any changes at any level of the MoC will directly effect telecommunications in general and broadband in particular. Mr. Salem had added that an incident had occurred, where, due to the fact that the superintendent position of the customer complaints section in the MoC was changed Qualitynet staff were restricted from entering the MoC exchange. As a result broadband services to consumers were on hold for 7 days before the problem was resolved. In some cases, the MoC plays the role of the service provider and the moderate regulatory body. For example, the MoC has given the license to sell Internet for four major ISPs as mentioned in the previous paragraph. On the other hand the MoC is competing with the ISPs and they are poaching the ISPs major customers. The governments processes will be an obstacle; even the right decisions may be blocked due to government routines. No experienced MoC staff formulates the tariffs and some tariffs appear not to make sense such as ISDN & E1 tariffs, hence there are no tariff regulations. Furthermore, the MoC is supplier driven. They are neither technology nor service driven. Moreover, the MoC is progressing since the vendors asked them to upgrade. Given that the regulator role is minimal, there is no protection for the ISPs. Therefore, the ISPs are vulnerable to the mobile carriers attacks. For example currently MTC and Wataniya are offering mobile broadband Internet for 11 KD a month. First the mobile carriers are neither licensed to carry or to sell Internet, second the price is extremely competitive which might drive ISPs out of business. A major neglected point is there is no environmental body to regulate & monitor the environmental impact of these communications, especially wireless. ISPs and mobile service providers erect their towers, devoid of even minor supervision from any regulatory body. The fact of the matter is there are several beneficiaries of the current situation. In Dr. Adels opinion the prevalent beneficiaries are the owners of the mobile telecommunications companies and the owners of the ISPs. They do not wish for the market to be deregulated in order for them to maintain their status, and minimize the competition. Thus, the beneficiaries are forming local pressure groups against the government lead by major families such as AlGhanim, Al-Khorafi, and Al-Sabah. In other words the private owners of the ISPs are controlling the market, and they are trying to influence the political decisions through their presence in the parliament and chamber of commerce or by using economical pressure according to Dr. Adel. Regrettably Kuwait University and the academic faculty have no direct role on the development of broadband says Dr. Adel. Although there is a current comity between Kuwait University and the MoC; however the comity is idle, and has no authorities. Obviously there is no clear vision from the government on where they want to drive broadband services in Kuwait. There are no clear plans on how to prepare for the WTO since Kuwait had been delaying it since the GAT 3 agreement. This makes investors struggle to set long term plans. Currently Kuwait has more than nine core networks owned by different entities, for example each of the following entities has its own core network:
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The MoC has more than four core networks. MTC Wataniya Qualitynet FastTelco KEMS United Networks The Ministry of Defense Kuwait Oil Company
Broadband service prices in Kuwait are relatively high. Consumers budgets may not accommodate such costs, and consequently households will not naturally feel the need to spend that extra Dinar. Broadband prices are linked to several factors: 1. International bandwidth tariffs. 2. The service provider capital and operational cost. 3. The MoC charges. Although the international tariffs are reduced every year, the service providers cost is high since every service provider builds their own core, and access network, hence the cost of operation will be high as well. As for the MoC charges, there is a chaotic state, where officials rotate, and with each rotation the new person in charge will develop new theories. Mr. Salem gave an example, in one of the meetings between Qualitynet and the MoC, there was an argument that Qualitynet service charges were too high and there must be a way to reduce it. The same person from the MoC was discussing adding an extra fee where Qualitynet was to pay the MoC 1 KD for every home customer. Naturally Mr. Salems reply was but the home user will carry the extra charges! The MoC were not convinced and they were looking into adding the 1 KD fee anyway, Mr. Menawer from MTC had a similar story. Regrettably, not all the broadband providers in Kuwait are making a healthy return on their investment according to Dr. Adel. Recently the government discussed pegging the Kuwaiti Dinar against the U.S dollar, which will in turn heat the Kuwait economy in the long run. Especially since Kuwait exports mainly to Singapore, Japan and the Far East. Mr. Salem came up with a theory suggesting that the increase in the oil prices reduced the disposable income for the home user. In his view, oil revenues go to the government and not to the people. There has been a direct impact on the disposable income of the Kuwaiti consumer, and as a consequence broadband services may be negatively affected.
called Mega projects. One of the Mega projects was the GPON Gigabit Passive Optical Network fiber to the home project. In my opinion and based on the Kuwait GDP per capita, households can afford the broadband service. says Mr. Samah. The Kuwait market can absorb the broadband service, now that the domestic economic situation can also support broadband growth. A reference to recent across the board salary increases by the government. It also led to an increase in the buying behavior for the Kuwaiti household. Mr. Menawer had indicated that such behavior could be detected through the double SIM effect, where a person purchases more than one mobile number. The broadband demand can be created if approached correctly. Broadband services are evolving, for example as a few years ago 32KB/s service was enough to browse the Internet. Today, 512kb/s will almost meet customer requirements to surf, navigate and download from the Internet. In future, 15 Mb/s will be the minimum bandwidth required to maintain the proper quality of service while getting hold of the triple play broadband service. In my opinion broadband has and will still have a healthy turnover, if managed correctly. said Mr. Khalid. The Kuwaiti economy is stable despite the situation in Iraq. As a matter of fact the situation in Iraq created a balanced environment in Kuwait. New chances and possibilities in Iraq were opened to Kuwaiti business men knowing that Kuwait is the closest capital to Bagdad. The logistic services and telecommunications services are for the most part being acquired from Kuwait companies such as MTC, Wataniya, and PWC, who have offices in Iraq, and an increase in small to medium businesses which needs broadband to run their business in Iraq efficiently.
In the Kuwait University environment, and between the University students, the broadband service awareness varies. In my opinion the broadband awareness depends on the family background and origin. says Dr. Adel. He also added that in his opinion, broadband may be resisted in some households, due to certain beliefs, or a fear of the unknown. The broadband technology and service is already effecting the new generation; some of the negative effects might lead the parents to take drastic action in banning their kids from utilizing the broadband services, instead of monitoring and encouraging them. People are not buying technology, they are buying the services, thus market education and advertisement will be tough on service providers to make the consumer understand the benefits of the service. The current situation isnt that promising when it comes to events, there are minimal events in Kuwait to promote broadband. There is nominal media focus on broadband services as well. Generally speaking organizations are lacking the outsource model, they would rather do it themselves, which will increase company overheads and lower exposure to international trends. Comparing the situation to Western Europe, Far East & the U.S, where they outsource IT since it is not their core business. It is believed that such a business model will not drive the technology provider forward.
Kuwaitis are merchants and businessmen by tradition. This is a result of the strategic geographic location of Kuwait, as even Alexander the Great utilized Kuwait as a logistical hub. Consequently, Kuwaiti SMEs and home users enclose strong broadband demand to interact with international bodies such as brokers or other business partners; hence a fast and reliable broadband connection is required. Broadband is being promoted by all six companies each from their own prospective targeted and desired segment. For example, Wataniya were the only company who targeted the SMEs and SMBs in their public advertisements, all the other providers exercise direct marketing methods for business sectors.
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5.0 Conclusion
Broadband is where the future of communications is heading since almost all of the communications services will demand higher bandwidth (throughput), services such a TV, Video, Telephony, Internet, triple play services. In addition generally speaking all of the communications services are merging and they are complementing each other in a bandwidth hungry environment Problems will in all probability arise because broadband technologies are operating in a regulation vacuum. Today, there are no plans to ensure that broadband will be affordable; there are no enforcement measures to ensure that broadband networks are open and transparent; there is no plan to maximize the provision of unlicensed wireless broadband services and there is no guarantee that ISPs have the right to deploy broadband services for their consumers. This policy vacuum creates uncertainty, hampers innovation, and depresses both the demand and supply of broadband services. The overall objective of the thesis is to identify the main drivers and obstacles impacting the development of broadband, in the knowledge based, service driven economy of Kuwait. This research was focused towards the broadband drivers and obstacles in Kuwait; focusing on four major issues: Broadband Technical drivers and obstacles, broadband Political drivers and obstacles, broadband Economical drivers and obstacles, and finally broadband Social drivers and obstacles. The research was based on a qualitative method; therefore it was based on face to face semi-structured interviews with the people who are dealing with the dilemma. The interviews were carried out with upper management individuals from the private sector, government sector (Ministry of Communications), and the academic sector. The size of the segment was approximately seven senior post managers.
Table 5-1 : Kuwait broadband PEST analysis; a summary of the interviews findings
Kuwait Broadband PEST analysis Political Delaying WTO (World trade organization) execution, since the government is not ready. The private owners of the ISP are influencing the political decisions through their presents in the parliament, the chamber of commerce, or economical pressure. No independent regulatory body. There is no direct authority of Kuwait University, and the academic faculty on the development of Economic Expensive broadband services. The telecommunications market and prices are in a ciaos state. Not all the broadband providers are making healthy turnover Although broadband services are expensive. Based on the Kuwait GDP per capita household can afford it. The Kuwait market can absorb the broadband service. The broadband services demand can be created if done right. The broadband has and will still have healthy turnover, if managed
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Broadband. There is no political instability at the MOC level; the minister of communications was changed 3 times in the past 2 years. There is no government clear vision on were they want to drive the broadband services. Signing the WTO agreement in 1995 by itself is a major driver. Sine the owners of the ISPs have strong political influence which interims protect their investment and help them invest more in broadband, and develop the market further. The government is stable, there is no political instability. No Experienced Communications Minister. Existing external (International) pressure groups. Looking at Kuwait market, pushing for liberalization. Such as STC. No environment body to regulate & monitor the environment of the communications, specially the wireless part. Because of the unrest in the region, there are several international military bases, which in term helping the infrastructure in Kuwait, and broadband. The absence of regulators removed the cover of the small ISPs and they were vulnerable to the mobile carriers attacks. Social Due to the mix of nationalities which are involved in the broadband business, the ethics standards are low in the business. Minimal media focus on the broadband service. Broadband may be resisted in some household, due to certain beliefs, or fear of the unknown.
correctly. After Iraq war 2003, big boom happened in the Kuwaiti economy. Investors regulation, were foreigners can own in Kuwaiti companies. The opening of international banks in Kuwait since 2004 Stable economy despite the in situation in Iraq. Rise on oil Prices Increase Government expenditure in Mega projects The Kuwaiti Dinar was pegged against the U.S dollar. Which will in turn heart the Kuwait economy n the long run, specially since Kuwait exports most to Singapore, Japan (Far east) Increase in the buying behavior for the household. New chances & possibilities in Iraq, plus supported services in Iraq. MTC, Wataniya, PWC, contraction, increase in small to medium businesses. The raise in oil prices reduced the disposable income, oil goes to the government, international prices raised, prices raised, thus disposable income lowered. Corporate users increased, especially SMEs & SMBs, thus more bandwidth needed.
Technological The technology trends are going to the broadband direction. Kuwait has one of the 1st life labs for Fiber to the home broadband technology. There are available resources in the market to excel with the new broadband technology. There are minimal competing
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Broadband technology may effect the new generation. Broadband awareness for home users is mixed although Kuwait has a very high Internet penetration rate. However, awareness is high when it comes to the business sector. There is an increasing trend in consumer purchasing of services overall. The rapid deployment of broadband will help in over coming resistance. The social issue is driven by fashion. Consumers favor luxury. Life cycle of a handset is 3 months, as consumers make purchases based on a desire to improve their mood. Social bonding of families. Thus more communication will be required. People are not buying technology, they are buying the service, therefore market education and advertisement will be tough on service providers. Generally speaking organizations are lacking the outsource model. Do it yourself increases overheads. Compared to Western Europe & the U.S this will not drive the technology provider further. The current situation is not promising when it comes to events. Highest saturated country on the planet, thus exposure to world trends. No legislation, therefore many will look to use peer-to-peer applications, for high bandwidth content exposing a greater chance of piracy. Low ethics in terms of if the law does not catch you then its not a crime. Internet is being used to follow
technologies; most of the new technologies are complementing technologies. Worldwide demand on the broadband technology, thus its getting cheaper, & substitutes are arising. Lack of application provider. People are service driven rather than technology driven The technology is pretty mature in some cases, & at the edge of technology on others. However the GPON Technology isnt mature enough, it needs more time. No restrictions, the technology is available, can be accessed, most of them using open source, and same standards thus can mix and match. MoC are lacking the expertise to run such technology, since MoC had been depending on old technologies for awhile. The private sector can handle such advancement to certain limit. Stable technology and time proven. Outsourcing of company functions over broadband connections is feeding into.
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worldwide trends. Worldwide broadband is becoming way of life. Fast connection for brokers to link to as far as the states. Lack of competition when it comes to international calls, encourages people move to voice over the Internet. Most of the Kuwaiti community is foreign labor. In my opinion the above PEST analysis was an attempt to summarize the answers to the major research question. The area under discussion still needs further research, as shown throughout the interviews, all parties are looking forward to solving the mentioned obstacles and driving broadband forward for the benefit of the economy, and the countrys development.
5.1 Recommendations
Based on the findings from the researched data, an attempt will be made in this section to come up with relevant recommendations. Well also endeavor to segment the recommendation with accordance to the classified meaning four categories which were presented in Chapter 4; the four categories are the political, economical, sociological, and finally technological category for the broadband in Kuwait.
Mobile Duopoly
Internet Competitive
Hence it will be an exceptional environment to regulate or deregulate. Based on the above findings, my recommendations would be to create a consortium. The consortiums objective should be to establish a regulatory body in Kuwait with the following goals, derived from the evidence of Chapter 2:
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Encourage, regulate and facilitate adequate access, interconnection and interoperability. Monitor and, where required, set tariffs. Propose and effect modifications to licenses where appropriate. Monitor and enforce compliance with license terms by licensees. Monitor and investigate compliance with telecommunications law. Grant licenses and give final decisions as to applications for licenses. Set and collect license fees, fines and payment for services provided by the Authority. Administer radio frequencies used in telecommunications. Prepare the national numbering plan and assign numbers to licensed operators. Approve equipment for connection. Institute technical rules, regulations and standards for interconnection. Assurance of high quality services to users at just, sensible and affordable prices. Look after consumer interests. Generate a climate of buoyancy for investment in the ICT sector. Motivate competition in the sectors. Intervene in disputes.
The recommendations are in two stages; Stage one is forming the consortium which will establish the bases neutral regulatory body. Stage two would be the commencing of the regulatory body. In order to customize the neutral regulatory body toward cooperating with the current condition of Kuwait communications environment, I would recommend forming the consortium from the following sectors: 1. Academic sector representatives, ex. Kuwait University or other private universities communications faculty numbers. 2. Private sector representatives, ex. MTC, Wataniya, KEMS, Qualitynet, FastTelco, United Networks. 3. International, experienced consultants from the field of communications regulations. 4. Governmental sector representatives, ex. the MoC, and the Ministry of Planning. In my view the method of tackling the current problems and incorporating the solutions into a new regulatory body is critical. A realistic plan for accomplishment, of the above mix would be necessary in order to form the consortium that can lead the initiative.
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Oil prices have increased and the Iraq apporuinity have opened for Kuwait service providers.
Services are evolving, few years back 32KB/s were enough to browse, today 512kb/s is the norm.
Service providers are realizing that prices war will damage the market.
provider can build their own access networks. This way, direct and indirect costs would be reduced. Mr. Menawer had mentioned that even though the MoC agreed with MTC, and Wataniya to share the same towers for wireless coverage. All parties approved the agreement, still none of the parties is fulfilling this, and so the cost of deployment is remains high. Based on the interviews with the MoC officials, it was apparent that they knew the GPON project was larger than the MoC could handle, mainly due to the difficulties in technical expertise, supplier management, and experience in the field. The private sector should be allowed to join in the risk and benefits of the project. Almost all of the providers have dealt with cutting edge networks in different layers; hence their added expertise would be well received. They could also help the MoC promote their services, since the private sector tends to have better marketing campaigns than the public sector.
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References:
Arab Advisors Group Strategic Research Service (www.arabadvisors.com). Saudi Arabias broadband market grows by 174% in 2005. May 28, 2006. Arab Advisors Group Strategic Research Service (www.arabadvisors.com). Kuwaits saturated duopoly market: an analysis of market share dynamics. September 17, 2006. Arab Advisors Group Strategic Research Service (www.arabadvisors.com). Strategic Research Service. June 18, 2006. Arab Planning Institute. Telecommunications Privatization in Arab Countries. October 2001. Al-Azmi, K. (2006) Interview, no.01a00, 13 November, 2006. Al-Ibrahim, A. (2006) Interview, no.01a00 18 September, 2006. Al-Kahtrash, M. (2006) Interview, no.01a00, 9 November, 2006. Al-Mulaifi, S. (2006) Interview, no.01a00 24 November, 2006. Al-Salama, N (2006) Interview, no. 01a00 11 September,2006. CIA, (2006) The World Fact Book, Available: https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html. (Accessed 2006, Sep. 17) Corrocher, N. & Fontana, R. (2006). Objectives, obstacles and drivers of ICT adoption. 4th Telecommunications Policy Research Conference 2006, Davis, F.D. (1989) Perceived Usefulness, Perceived Ease of Use, and User Acceptance of Information Technology. MIS Quarterly, 13(3): 319-340. Denscombe, M. (1998) The Good Research Guide, Buckingham, Open University Press. Dey, I. (1993) Qualitative data Analysis, London, Routledge. Graham, D. (1995) Presentation, Alcatel broadband fast forward program, November 2005. ITU (http://www.itu.int). Middle East ICT initiatives. 19 November, 2004 Juma, A. (2006) Interview, no.01a00 8 November, 2006. Kahan, R. and Cannel, C. (1957) The Dynamics of Interviewing, New York and Chechester, Wiley. Little, A. (2005) Presentation, (Mobile) Broadband Wireless Access Developments and Issues, August 2005. Madar Research Group. Madar ICT index. May 2006.
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McNary, R. (2001). The network penetration effects of telecommunications privatization and competition. Stanford University Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd. TELECOMS, MOBILE AND BROADBAND IN THE MIDDLE EAST, 3rd Edition. June 2006. Robson, C. (2002) Real World Research (2nd ed), Oxford, Blackwell. Saunders, M. Lewis, P & Thornhil, A. (2003). Research Method for Business Students (3rd ed). London: Pearson Education Limited. Srivastava, L. telecom policy analyst for the Geneva-based ITU Available: http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting-people/200504/msg00243.html. (Accessed 2006, Oct. 1) STC (2005) Annual Report. Riyadh: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia Report 2003. Profile of the information society in the state of Kuwait. United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia Report (2003) outline INSEAD (2002) Kuwaits Participation in Global Intellectual Property Bodies and Treaties. Profile of the information society in the state of Kuwait. Yaqoup, S. (2006) Interview, no01a00 27 September, 2006. Yin, R.K. (1994) Case Study Research: Design and Methods (2nd edn), Thousand Oaks, CA, Sage.
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