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Brand Loyalty of Cigarette Smokers: A study

Submitted by SUSIL KUMAR SAHU (77 !"""#

In $artial fulfillment for t%e re&uirement of t%e t'o year (ull )ime *ost +raduate *rogramme in Management, !"""- !""!

LAL BAHA.UR SHAS)RI I/S)I)U)0 1( MA/A+0M0/), SHAS)RI SA.A/ S0C)1R 2III, R3K3 *URAM , /04 .0LHI -!!

C0R)I(ICA)0

The Project Study entitled Brand Loyalty 1f Cigarette Smokers 2 A Study5 submitted by Susil Kumar Sahu in partial fulfilment for the requirement of the two year Full Time Post Graduate Programme in Management !"""# !""! is a piece of original wor$ carried out by him under my guidance and super%ision& The wor$ has not been submitted elsewhere for award of any 'egree (or) 'iploma&

Susil $umar Sahu -oll .o/001!"""

*Prof&+ P& K& ,ansal 2al ,ahadur Shastri 3nstitute 4f Management .ew 'elhi

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

ACK/14L0.+0M0/)

The wor$ is not a solo endea%or but rather the amalgamati%e consequence of contributions from %arious people and sources& Therefore it would be discourteous to present it without ac$nowledging their %aluable guidance& 3t is indeed a great pri%ilege to e5press my deep regards profound gratitude and sincere than$s to my re%ered guides *rof3 *3 K3 Bansal for bestowing his noble guidance in%aluable ad%ice and continuous inspiration through out the course of wor$& 2ast but not the least 3 e5press my sincere than$s to all the respondents of .ew 'elhi who pro%ided me sincere support and feedbac$ to carry out the project with their cooperation

Susil Kumar Sahu

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

060CU)I70 SUMMAR8
3n ancient times tobacco was used as currency& Smo$ing sniffing etc& are some of the ways of using tobacco& 7igarette is the most sophisticated way of using tobacco& 8oint family system is no more in our society& .ow it)s time of nuclear family& Generation 9 belie%es in handsome earning and to spend it for him& :e li$es to be fashionable and stylish& Today the search for style has ta$en o%er from the desire to be fashionable& The ultimate effect of fashion is to ma$e e%eryone ali$e ha%ing style means accepting the broad flow of fashion but ma$ing it indi%idual to oneself& The man of !;st century earns huge amount< the basic necessities of life can be satisfied with a few thousands of rupees& So he is left with remaining huge amount& So now what to do with this amount= Therefore he indulges himself in drin$ing smo$ing gambling etc& some do smo$ing just for $illing the time while some do it to relie%e themsel%es from tension& Smo$ing has to do with showing off too and sometimes it gi%es boost to their self#esteem&

)o$i9 of resear9%: brand loyalty of cigarette smo$ers/ > study& Sam$le design: 'escripti%e design )y$e of sam$ling: -andom sampling .ata 9olle9tion met%od: ?uestionnaire method Sam$le si:e: ;;@ inter%iewed and ;"" accepted Analysis te9%ni&ues used: ;& !& 6& @& A& 7hi#square test Graphical method Mean Median 7ross#tabulation B#test

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Result of analysis: ;&Taste is more important for the entire age group and income group& Coungsters and low#income group people are more price conscious than other age group and income group people& !& > cigarette smo$er will not sift from one brand to another on finding the ad%ertisement of the new brand attracti%e& 6& @& A& ,rand loyalty is affected by change in price& ,rand loyalty is affected by change in income& ,rand loyalty is not affected by scheme of free gift introduced by the other brand&

D& There is no significant difference in brand loyalty between regular and occasional smo$ers& 0& Coungsters are more influenced by the ad%ertisement than other age group smo$ers& Re9ommendations: ;& >%ailability of the fa%orite brand is most important for the brand loyal cigarette smo$ers& ,ecause of non#a%ailability they may try another brand& So physical distribution and deli%ery on time at %arious outlets are %ery important& !& 6& 7ompany should not increase the price of cigarette more than !"E because after that the brand loyalty decreases at faster rate& 7ompany should not introduce free gift scheme to attract the cigarette smo$ers&

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

)ABL0 1( C1/)0/)S
C%a$ter no3 Title 7ertificate >c$nowledgement F5ecuti%e summary Introdu9tion Ghy is the problem considered worth in%estigation= Loyalty # attitude beha%ior and good science/ My thoughts ,rand equity H brand loyalty measurement and management 2oyalty/ how secure is the brandIs customer base= Putting it all together/ the master brand equity inde5 Gho is loyal customer= Effect of brand-stretching 2oyalty in the mar$et place 4orlds to<a99o industry 3ndustry profile The tobacco industry and youth smo$ing 7hange is possible 7onclusion ,ig tobaccoIs global e5pansion Top mar$eters in selected countries ,ig tobaccoIs global reach International e>$erien9e Furopean union directi%e USA : freedom of choice 7hina/ the last frontier Malaysia/ brand stretched France/ the brand model /ational e>$erien9e Tobacco ads ha%e impact&&& on women Top 0 techniques to build brand loyalty Dark side of tobacco consumption 1<Ae9tiBes Main objecti%es Supplementary objecti%es 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi *age /o

C%a$ter ; ;&; ;3! ;&6 ;&@ ;&A ;&D ;&0 ;&J ;&K C%a$ter! !&; !&! !&6 !&@ !&A !&D !&0 C%a$ter= 6&; 3.2 6&6 6&@ 6&A C%a$ter? @&; @&! 4.3 C%a$ter@ A&; A&! D

C%a$terC C%a$ter7 0&; 0&! 0&6 7.4 7." C%a$terD #.$ J&! #.3 J&@ J&A J&D J&0 #.# #.* #.$, #.$$ #.$2 C%a$terE *.$ *.2 *. 3 K&@ *." *.1 C%a$ter;" C%a$ter;;

Hy$ot%esis Resear9% design Type of research Source of data 'ata collection method Samp e si!e Samp ing Resear9% analysis Sample design Formulation of hypothesis %ho is brand o&a ' 7alculation of correlation 7alculation of chi#square Gho is brand loyal with respect to change in price= 3ncome elasticity (ncome-)ise brand o&a +rand o&a t& among the regu ar and occasiona smokers -reference to)ards attributes Ad.ertisement Effect of reference group on brand se ection (indings A.erage e/penditure on cigarette b& the students 0arket share of .arious brands -rice of ne) brand and reaction of cigarette smokers ,uying and consumption pattern of regular smo$ers among %arious age groups Effect of non a.ai abi it& of fa.orite brand on brand o&a t& 2esu t of the h&pothesis Con9lusion Limitation Anne/ure ,ibliography H references

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

LIS) 1( )ABL0S
)a<le /o3
; ! 6 @ A D 0 J K ;" ;; ;! ;6 ;@ ;A ;D ;0 ;J ;K !" !; !! !6 !@ !A

)itle
>ge#wise and income wise sample design Table showing brand loyalty among %arious age groups .o& 4f respondents passing in three criteria 7alculation of correlation 3a cu ation of chi-s4uare Table showing no& 4f brand loyal at %arious price change %ho is brand o&a )ith respect to change in price' (ncome e asticit& >ge wise brand loyal (ncome-)ise brand o&a +rand o&a t& among the regu ar and occasiona smokers -reference to)ards attributes Table showing age wise preference towards attributes 3ncome#wise preference towards attributes -eason for starting smo$ing Effect of reference group on brand se ection >wareness of ad%ertisement of other brands 3nfluencing factor in ad%ertisement -eaction towards ad%ertisement A.erage e/penditure on cigarette b& the students 0arket share of .arious brands -rice of ne) brand and reaction of cigarette smokers 7onsumption pattern/ less than ;" cigarettes per day 7onsumption pattern/ ;" and more cigarettes per day Effect of non a.ai abi it& of fa.orite brand on brand o&a t&

*age /o

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter ;

I/)R1.UC)I1/

Mar$eting is %ery inno%ati%e field& :ere nothing can be assumed& Ghate%er inno%ati%e idea we generate we ha%e to test them and they must be supported by pro%ed results& For this mar$eting research is %ery important& 7onsumer beha%iour is one such aspect that is %ery difficult to measure by guesswor$& >nything you say about it it must be based on reliable research& Ge are going to analyLe the brand loyalty of cigarette smo$ers& Ge ha%e e5plained the rationale below&

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4H8 IS )H0 *R1BL0M C1/SI.0R0. 41R)H I/70S)I+A)I1/F

3t is said that though the cigarette smo$ers are not loyal to their health they are %ery loyal to the brand of cigarette which they smo$e& 4ne cannot ma$e such assumptions without any strong basis& To justify brand loyalty among cigarette smo$ers we ha%e underta$en a small sur%ey& The sur%ey also throws light on the reference groups which influence them in ma$ing decision regarding the purchase of cigarette and reasons for smo$ing& To facilitate our purpose we ha%e formed a questionnaire and got it filled by ;;@ respondents& HOW PEOPLE DEFINED CUSTOME LO!"LT!# M2oyalty is a dual edged sword an opportunity for those that consistently deli%er on their promises< high ris$ for those who donIt&M *Martin :offmitL F5ecuti%e Nice President+ M> customer can hardly be loyal to a particular company& > customer is loyal to people that represent this company& 2oyalty is aimed at people and not things&M *3%an 2efeb%re >ccount F5ecuti%e+ M> customer who continues to buy because he is loc$ed into a contract but is so unhappy that the probability of renewing the contract is Lero is not a loyal customer< he or she is a trapped customer&M *,rian S& 2unde Sr& 'irector+ M> loyal customer can be completed dissatisfied and a satisfied customer disloyal& 2oyalty on its own is not a great predictor of customer beha%iour # it only measures current beha%iour and cannot predict customer retention or attraction in the future&M *Shaun 'i5 Senior -esearch F5ecuti%e+ M2oyalty is de%eloped in the absence of something better&M *8ustin 2ees 7ommercial 7ontroller+

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

MFol$s in our business are always trying to measure things *loyalty+ ## to ma$e them more real& ,ut 3 also thin$ fol$s in our business are afraid to tell their client that the baby is ugly& Sometimes we need to loo$ at the negati%e side of emotions to get positi%e results&M *FliLabeth M& Tuc$er Ph&'& Senior 7onsultant+ MF%ery company has at least an implicit legal contract with e%ery customer& :owe%er the contract that matters most in nurturing customer loyalty is the psychological contract& 7ustomers are less forgi%ing when the psychological contract is bro$en than if you slip a bit on the legal contract&M *'a%id ,& Golfe 'e%elopmental -elationship Mar$eter+

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Loyalty - Attitude, Be%aBior, and +ood S9ien9e:

Gilliam .eal respected authority on mar$eting research says categorically MLoyalty is a beha%ior&M :e says M3f 3 purchase in a product category ;" times in one year and 3 purchase the same <rand all ;" times 3 am ;""E loyal& 3f 3 purchase the <rand only fi%e out of ;" times 3 am A"E loyal&M .eal also says it is MridiculousM to attempt to measure loyalty with three questions # o%erall satisfaction recommend intent and repurchase intent& These three questions says .eal will li$ely correlate at least &J"& Measuring intent to recommend and intent to continue in addition to measuring o%erall satisfaction is tantamount to Mmeasuring the same thing two more times M according to .eal& .aturally these statements cry for rebuttal by Burke 3nc& because Burke uses e5actly those three questions in their approach to loyalty research& '& -andall ,randt a respected authority himself states Mwe ta$e a position that is strongly opposed to the one offered by Mr& .eal&M Onli$e .ealIs beha%ior#only %iew ,randt states his firmIs position # loyalty is Mreflected by a combination of attitudes and beha%iors&M ,randt goes on to defend the three specific items by noting that while correlated the measures are not redundant& Scoring highly on one does not necessarily mean scoring highly on all& ,ut says ,randt scoring highly on all is an indication of being a Msecure customer&M ,randt says the three items can ser%e as leading indicators of a %ariety of actual beha%iors surrounding loyalty *e&g& repeat purchase customer retention+ once an association has been established empirically& So we ha%e competing opinions about the nature of loyalty& Ge also ha%e competing opinions about appropriateness *or lac$ thereof+ of measurement with the three items/ satisfaction recommend and continue& 3Im compelled to chime in with a third perspecti%e on some of the points raised by .eal and ,randt& 3 suggest that *a+ pre%ious literature in our field *b+ specification of causal relationships and *c+ scientific principles related to measurement and modeling can help to shed some light on the debate& Loyalty as Be%aBior 1nly, or Attitude and Be%aBiorF First letIs consider the nature of loyalty& 3s it attitudinal and beha%ioral as described by ,randt or is it beha%ioral only as argued by .eal= >s ,randt has pointed out the attitude and beha%ior perspecti%e seems to ha%e pre%ailed in the literature as early as the ;K0"s& 3ndeed in ;KDK George S& 'ay a pillar in our field argued that loyalty in%ol%ed both attitude and beha%ior& 4ther early theorists also promoted this %iew *e&g& -ichard 2utL and Paul Ginn+& The classic te5t is probably 8acoby H 7hestnut *;K0J+ ;" 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

MBrand Loyalty/ Measurement and ManagementM published by Giley& 3n fact that was an e5hausti%e re%iew of e5isting literature on the topic of <rand loyalty including 8acobyIs own wor$ in the early se%enties& ,ased on that a well reasoned conceptual definition of loyalty was put forth that included both attitudinal and beha%ioral components& 3t is my opinion that we should not lea%e behind this rich research tradition and literature& >ll that wor$ has a natural carry o%er from the <rand conte5t to the customer conte5t& 3n fact recent publications ha%e drawn from this attitude#beha%ior heritage to continue present day theoretical discussions of loyalty *e&g& 'ic$ H ,asu ;KK@< 4li%er ;KKK+& So in light of past literature and along with ,randt 3 respectfully disagree with .ealIs position that loyalty is only about beha%ior& 3 add a problematic scenario to the ones pointed out by ,randt to re%eal another potential wea$ spot in the beha%ior only %iew& 3f a buyer has a cogniti%e rule Mbuy the lowest priced <rand M and <rand , is always lowest the person loo$s li$e a loyal customer o%er time beha%iorally& Ontil <rand > enters the mar$et at a lower price& Then the customer switches to show repeat purchase of > until mar$et prices change again& To which are they truly loyal # the brands or the decision rule= -epeat purchase beha%ior does not equal true loyalty& Satisfa9tion, Re9ommend, and Continue - Correlation and S$e9ifi9ation 3 agree with ,randt that multiple attitudinal and beha%ioral elements can be used to measure loyalty& :owe%er 3 respectfully disagree with him about the three particular items used in the Burke inde5 # o%erall satisfaction recommend intent and repurchase intent& 3 side with .eal who asserts MThose questions do not measure loyalty&M So what do they measure and why are they correlated= 4n those subjects 3 disagree with both .eal and ,randt& .eal suggests all three may measure satisfaction. Pointing to their intercorrelation he says they Musually are measuring the same thing # satisfaction with the product or ser%ice&M This implies a reflecti%e measurement model shown in Figure ; where all three items MreflectM *arrows pointing outward+ a single underlying latent construct/ customer satisfaction& Refle9tiBe Model Im$lied <y GAll Measure Same )%ingG ,randt while also ac$nowledging the correlation among the three items argues that all three wor$ together to capture l$yalty& Through application of an algorithm he says Burke uses the pattern on the three items to constitute a degree of loyalty # or in their terminology a le%el of customer Msecurity&M This %iew implies a formati%e measurement model as shown in Figure ! where all three items wor$ to MformM an inde5 *arrows point inward+ capturing an underlying latent construct/ customer security1 loyalty& (ormatiBe Model Im$lied <y G*attern of )%ree RatingsG So two specific %iews ha%e been proposed about what the three items measure and why they are intercorrelated& ,randt notes that just because the measures correlate does not mean they are redundant/ Mmeasures may be correlated for a %ariety of reasons&M >nd .eal says MFor most people if they are satisfied with a <rand&&&then they also are highly li$ely to say they would recommend that <rand to others and that they would li$ely repurchase&&&&M 3n fact .ealIs statement perfectly frames my opinion about the three items& Satisfa9tion, re9ommendation intent and re$ur9%ase intent do not measure any

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

single conceptually clean unidimensional construct& They measure three different constructs and are correlated because of an underlying structure of causa re ationships. +ood S9ien9e Can Hel$ .e<ates A<out Measurement and Modeling :ow do we bring clarity to this debate= 3 belie%e we do so through standard established scientific procedures as continually applied& There needs to be a reasoned conceptual definition of each distinct construct under scrutiny %alid and reliable measures of those constructs appropriately specified structural1causal models showing theoretically how the constructs are related followed by empirical testing of those hypothesiLed model structures& 3n the case of loyalty drawing from the literature a reasoned conceptual definition of loyalty should include both attitudinal and beha%ioral components& 3n research using sur%ey methodologies intent to repurchase can tap the beha.iora component of loyalty& >s a beha%ioral intention this is distinct from pure attitude and has been argued in attitudinal theories to be a precursor of subsequent beha%ior& That is not to preclude use of truly beha%ioral measures howe%er& >ctual repeat purchase beha%ior certainly can be used to capture the beha%ioral component of loyalty& .e5t we need a clear conceptual definition for attitudina loyalty& >gain the literature offers a number of directions here& For e5ample one might use something li$e psychological attachment to the <rand1product1ser%ice& >fter using theory and past research to define attitudinal loyalty it must be operationaliLed with appropriate measures& Fmpirical data on these measures need to demonstrate certain characteristics *internal consistency reliability con%ergent and discriminant %alidity etc&+& 7an intent to recommend and satisfaction together somehow capture this attitudinal part of loyalty= My opinion is that they cannot& 3ntent to recommend is a beha%ioral intention not a measure of attitudinal loyalty& 2i$e repurchase intent it is a causa outcome of fa%orable attitudes not a direct measure of them *i&e& 3 am satisfied therefore 3 recommend+& Ghat about satisfaction # can it tap attitudinal loyalty= >gain 3 donIt thin$ so& -ather than being a measure of attitudinal loyalty it is a causa antecedent to attitudinal loyalty *i&e& 3 am satisfied therefore 3 am predisposed to be loyal+& 3n fact there needs to be e5plicit recognition that satisfaction is not a direct indicator of attitudinal loyalty& Ge $now some satisfied customers defect& >s .eal pointed out Mjust because 3 am highly satisfied with a brandIs performance doesnIt mean 3 will necessarily repurchase&M Satisfaction may contribute to loyalty but it is not equi%alent to loyalty& Then ha%ing considered %alid conceptual definitions and measures of the attitudinal and beha%ioral components of loyalty an appropriate method must be used to combine these into a single construct measurement& 'epending upon a chosen theoretical position on how the two components wor$ together a reflecti%e latent %ariable a formati%e latent %ariable or some other means or statistical combination can be used& ,ottom line/ we need conceptually and empirically %alid measurement and combination of the attitudinal and beha%ioral components of loyalty& >fter that we can use accepted scientific practices to specify and test things that result from loyalty *e&g& recommendation+ and things that contribute to it *e&g& satisfaction %alue+& This is a classic scientific sequence # attention to %alid and reliable construct measurement then specification and testing of causal antecedents and consequences of that construct&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

%&' M! THOU(HTS
.eal and ,randt ha%e raised important issues about the conceptualiLation and measurement of customer loyalty& Their opposing %iews about the nature of loyalty and the appropriateness of the three#item approach spar$ useful debate on a topic of considerable theoretical and applied interest in our time& 3 ha%e presented an alternati%e %iew that 3 belie%e a%oids some potential points of critique in their positions while le%eraging and unifying the strongest points of the two perspecti%es& 3n conclusion then letIs not miss the rich history from which general consensus emerged about conceptualiLing loyalty& 3t in%ol%es attitudinal and beha%ioral components& Then letIs apply the best scientific practices in our field to operationaliLe and test appropriate definitions with measures and models that withstand rigorous conceptual and empirical in%estigation& Maybe then we can land on something about which we all can agree&

%&) * "ND E+UIT! , * "ND LO!"LT! ME"SU EMENT "ND M"N"(EMENT


7ompanies wor$ hard building the strength of their brands # it is critical to the ongoing brand management process to ha%e meaningful and actionable data#dri%en measures of these efforts& ,uilding a brand culti%ating its strengths pruning its wea$nesses and ma$ing it more %aluable to its owners is the bottom line job of mar$eting& F%erything mar$eting does should ultimately wor$ in concert to ma$e a firmIs brands more %aluable& There are many different tactics and strategies that go into strengthening a brand name/ ad%ertising promotions public relations and research and de%elopment to name a few& Ghile companies use these and many other methods to strengthen their brandsI positions in increasingly competiti%e mar$ets how can they measure the return on this wor$= More precisely how can a company determine the worth of one or any its brands= Putting the brand to a true test the company can better judge how much that brand is worth and how much opportunity for impro%ement might e5ist&
4%y Measure Brand 0&uityF

Measuring brand equity allows a company to establish a baseline and trac$ changes in its brand equity o%er time& 3f a company consistently wor$s to impro%e the strength of its brands it must trace progress or ris$ Mflying blind&M 7hanges in a quantitati%e measurement of brand equity can show the company the effects of its wor$ and greatly aid in setting mar$eting and management priorities in the ne5t business planning cycle& 4nce a brand equity measurement system is established a company can better understand and therefore determine if equity in a gi%en brand can be le%eraged or transferred to an entirely new product or ser%ice category& Thus a firm can increase the return from the in%estment in building a particular brand o%er time by e5tending that brandIs equity into new categories& ;6 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

> company may want to measure its brand equity to aid in assigning a monetary %alue to a brand& Gall Street measures the strength of a brand by loo$ing primarily at current and historical financial measures with minimal use of information directly from the M%oice of the mar$etplaceM *i&e& current and prospecti%e customers+& Ghile historical financial performance is important in understanding brand strength it does not tell the whole story especially in terms of what the future might hold for the brand& This potential deficiency deri%es from the choices made in defining brand equity& .efining Brand 0&uity ,rand equity can be defined in many different ways& ,ur$e has de%eloped a simple yet powerful definition of brand equity& For a brand to be strong it must accomplish two things o%er time/ retain current customers and attract new ones& To the e5tent a brand does these things well it grows stronger %ersus competition and deli%ers more profits to its owners& ,rea$ing down the definition of Mbrand equityM into its two components we can more easily determine a reliable way to measure brand equity and to trac$ changes in brand equity o%er time& The components of brand equity retention and attraction of customers stem from peopleIs e5periences with and perceptions of a brand& The ability to retain customers is largely e5periential& :igh equity brands e5hibit stronger le%els of customer satisfaction and loyalty& :istory has shown that consumers will continue to buy a brand that offers them Mtheir moneyIs worth&M The ability to attract new customers is largely perceptual& ,ecause customers do not ha%e actual brand e5perience they must go by what they hear see and belie%e about a brand& The two primary ways the mar$et recei%es this information is through messages controlled by mar$eting such as ad%ertising and P- efforts as well as uncontrolled messages such as press stories and Mword of mouth&M
)%e Burke A$$roa9% )o )ra9king Brand 0&uity

,ur$e has created a brand equity inde5 comprised of three components best described as a molecule& 3n the brand equity Mmolecule M three smaller components # li$e atoms # are so tightly interrelated that they form the larger substance& 3n this case the three MatomsM interacting with and affecting each other are customer loyalty image and %alue&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

The brand equity molecule is the o%erarching de%ice of retaining and attracting customers& 3mage and %alue perceptions pull in new customers while loyalty and %alue retain current customers& Fach component of brand equity represents an inde5 in its own right& 3n order to build the o%erall measure of brand equity we need specific measures in each of the three critical areas of loyalty image and %alue& 2etIs ta$e a loo$ at each of these&

%&- LO!"LT!. HOW SECU E IS THE * "ND/S CUSTOME *"SE0


>s an outgrowth of our wor$ in customer satisfaction and retention research and consulting ,ur$e has de%eloped a measure of customer loyalty called the Secure 7ustomer 3nde5P *S73P+& The S73 is composed of three measures/ 9ustomer satisfa9tion, 9ustomer 9ommitment and 9ustomer adBo9a9y and has been used in o%er K"" research studies dealing with customer satisfaction& To be declared Msecure M a customer must be %ery satisfied definitely would recommend the brand to others and definitely plan to repurchase& The 2oyalty 3nde5 within the greater brand equity framewor$ is the percentage of current customers who are MsecureM as defined by the S73& Image: 4%at .oes )%e Brand Mean )o *eo$leF ,ur$e typically conducts an in#depth analysis of a brand at the beginning of the measurement process to determine the perceptual MessenceM of the brand that is what the brand means to current and potential buyers& The measurements of image consist of both general McorporateM elements and specific MperformanceM elements& For instance in measuring the image of a gasoline brand we might as$ current and potential customers to answer such questions as/ 3s the company en%ironmentally conscious= 7an 3 trust the company= 3s the company dedicated to producing high quality products= Ge also as$ more specific product performance questions such as/ 'oes the brand pro%ide superior performance in your car= 'o they ha%e friendly ser%ice= 7an 3 easily pay at the pump= Oltimately we want to see which image items pro%ide the most le%erage %ersus a critical mar$et measure such as mar$et share& 4ften we can determine if an image item is a

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

McoreM equity item # an item on which the brand cannot afford mar$etplace disappointment& 3n these cases the downside ris$ is greater than the upside opportunity of a gi%en image impro%ement strategy& 4n the other hand some attributes display a pattern in which the upside outweighs the downside ris$& These attributes feature a good in%estment opportunity for brand image impro%ement& The final part of the image analysis phase is to create an o%erall cumulati%e MimageM inde5 for the brand& 7alue: Are *eo$le 4illing )o *ay More (or )%e BrandF The final component of the brand equity inde5 is the creation of a %alue inde5& ?uantifying the %alue component can be approached in %arious ways depending on the nature of the data collection tas$ the project budget and what ma$es best sense for the product and category at hand& 4ften the best way to attac$ %alue perception is with a simple brand1price trade#off tas$& 4ther times %alue is best measured with direct questioning such as M%alue for the moneyM type rating questions& For e5ample one method of measuring %alue is the brand1price trade#off method in essence a simple conjoint tas$& This is accomplished by setting up choice situations for respondents where at the first le%el of choices all prices are equal across brand names& The only basis for choosing among brands is the psychological association one has with a gi%en brand name& Ge e5pect the customerIs first choice to be his1her fa%orite brand& ,ut as the price increases in relation to other brands we witness how much a customer is willing to pay& That is we can quantify how MimmuneM a brand might or might not be to increases in price& This allows us to scale their loyalty for the brand in the conte5t of a reasonable range of prices and create an o%erall %alue inde5&

%&1 PUTTIN( IT "LL TO(ETHE . THE M"STE * "ND E+UIT! INDE2


3n the end the o%erall ,rand Fquity 3nde5 is a combination of the indices on the core elements of 2oyalty 3mage and Nalue with a MperfectM score being 6""& 4f course no brand will e%er achie%e 6"" but this pro%ides us with a common yardstic$ to compare a clientIs brand to competition or to compare relati%e brand strength across product or ser%ice categories& Typical brand equity inde5 numbers obser%ed so far are in the J" # ;A" range& Gith the inde5 we can pinpoint more easily what needs to be done to impro%e brand equity and mo%e toward the elusi%e 6""& The three components of the brand equity inde5 allow us to decompose changes in the score to understand fluctuations in brand equity& Gor$ing bac$ward we can show that brand equity increased because of an impro%ement in one of the components& ,y loo$ing at the sub#indices we can trac$ which areas are increasing or decreasing o%er time and thus what strategies wor$ed and where opportunities lie for future impro%ements and greater paybac$&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

)%e Burke A$$roa9% )o 0>tending Brand 0&uity ,efore you can successfully e5tend current equity you must understand what images attitudes and associations are generated by the core brand to be e5tended& Ghen the elements that dri%e the core brandIs equity are understood then e%aluations can be made as to what degree potential brand e5tensions ha%e a perceptual fit with the core brand& Ge begin to understand how best to le%erage those elements into a new category& >nd we begin to understand the ris$s *if any+ to the core brand and how to minimiLe them& The ,ur$e approach to ,rand Fquity F5tension for any brand in%ol%es the following/

'efine and measure current Mbrand equityM for the core brand of GauchoIs Salsa& 'etermine what images attitudes and associations are most critical to dri%ing current brand equity& 'etermine the degree to which GauchoIs current equity is transferable to other potential categories& 3dentify and sort the strong from the wea$ e5tension possibilities in terms of o%erall business potential&

Oltimately an Mequity transference and business potentialM map would be created to show which concepts are most li$ely to carry the core brand name well and the o%erall sales potential for each/ >dditionally the ,ur$e analysis will show the path to ma5imiLing consumer acceptance of the GauchoIs brand in new product categories by showing which brand attributes must be impro%ed maintained or protected against competiti%e mo%es&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

,rands in todayIs intense global economy are strategic assets and a $ey source of competiti%e ad%antage& > brandIs equity that which adds or detracts from the power of the brand must be managed and le%eraged to produce strong long#term performance and lasting re%enue growth& Strong brand#building and measurement s$ills are crucial to achie%ing these critical objecti%es in todayIs fiercely competiti%e global economy& S-,3 is a leader in designing and conducting brand equity research& S-,3 has put its considerable brand equity research e5perience and capabilities to wor$ for many domestic and global brands in media financial ser%ices consumer goods telecommunications and transportation ser%ices& This includes research to support new branding initiati%es and the repositioning and re%italiLation of established brands& S-,3Is brand research e5perience and capabilities are presented within our +rand E4uit& E.a uation and 0easurement -rogram which addresses such critical brand research issues as/

>ttitudes toward and perceptions of the brand ,rand acceptance and affinity ,rand awareness attitude and usage trac$ing ,rand equity measurement and e%aluation 2ine e5tension e%aluation Mar$et feasibility Mar$et structure and segmentation Positioning .ame testing and selection

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

OSP de%elopment and testing

S-,3 pro%ides brand research programs that incorporate all of these issues as well as programs that include only one or se%eral of the abo%e issues& S-,3Is brand research is customiLed to your specific needs and is designed to pro%ide meaningful solutions not just numbers& The S2+( +rand E4uit& E.a uation and 0easurement -rogram is a progressi%e A#step process which pro%ides mar$et and customer data and e%aluation on which to base brand strategies and tactics&

> $ey component of the ,rand Fquity Measurement and 'e%elopment Program is 5he +rand E4uit& -o)er (nde/ a single measure of brand power using sur%ey data and e5ternal mar$et data as %ariable inputs& 3nputs to this model can be adjusted modified and manipulated through gaming to determine the effects of the %ariable inputs on brand equity power&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

%&3

WHO IS LO!"L CUSTOME 0

3t is defined earlier that a loyal customer as one who purchased regularly showed interest in a cross#section of products and ser%ices and recommended the company to others& Today that definition must be e5panded to reflect the changes in both customer beha%ior and supporting technologies& -esearch suggests that customers who engage with a firm through multiple channels e5hibit deeper loyalty than single channel customers& This assumes the customer recei%es the same consistent ser%ice from the %endor whether he wal$s into the store logs onto the Geb site or calls the ser%ice center& TodayIs customers e5pect to hop from channel to channel and they e5pect good ser%ice to follow& Today call center representati%es are increasingly the new MfrontlineM for more and more companies& 7on%erged call centers *phone fa5 email Geb+ are on the rise& Gartner Group estimates that 0"E of .orth >mericaIs call centers will migrate to multi# channel contact centers by !""A& >nd customers are changing their Mflight patternsM to mo%e right with them& Forrester -esearch predicts that by ne5t year customer e#mail will grow from K&JE to ;0&6E while Geb contacts with customers will double from J&;E to ;0&;E& 7all center representati%es ha%e the potential to be the Mloyalty warriorsM of the future& To be effecti%e they need to be as equipped to write a well#written email reply and na%igate the company Geb site as they are in being helpful and friendly on a phone call& Two con%erging e%ents since the mid#;KK"s ha%e made for a buyer that is significantly more demanding than half a decade ago ## widespread use of the 3nternet coupled with $nowledge management brea$throughs ha%e created a new breed of MloyalM customer& Cet most companies ha%e not $ept pace with this new empowered customer and the customer e5perience has suffered& The result/ 7ustomers feel under#whelmed o%er#promised under#deli%ered and Munloyal#li$e&M Ghat will define a loyal customer fi%e years from now is still unfolding& :owe%er companies that recogniLe that the face of the customer is changing will be better positioned to respond well through %arious channels Q# today and tomorrow& HBrand-stret9%ingH ,rand#stretching that is the use of tobacco brand names on non#tobacco merchandise or ser%ices has been used by the tobacco industry for many years as a means of promoting cigarettes when faced with a ban on direct tobacco ad%ertising& The e5amples which follow show the e5tent to which the tobacco industry will go in order to circum%ent restrictions on tobacco promotion& This has serious implications for Furopean nations as go%ernments draft their domestic legislation to conform with the FO 'irecti%e on tobacco ad%ertising&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Rationale
,rand#stretching has nothing to do with the di%ersification of the tobacco industry& Most of the multi#national tobacco companies already ha%e separate di%isions dealing with non#tobacco products& For e5ample Philip Morris owns General Foods which includes many well#$nown brands such as Ma5well :ouse Kraft etc& The objecti%e of tobacco brand#stretching was made quite clear in a ;K0K document from ,>T/ 4pportunities should be e5plored by all companies Rie in the ,>T groupS to find non# tobacco products and other ser%ices which can be used to communicate the brand or house name together with their essential %isual identifiers&&&& The principle is to ensure that tobacco lines can be effecti%ely publicised when all direct lines of communication are denied ;& > similar strategy was set out by -8 -eynolds manufacturers of 7amel cigarettes in a document which sought ways to circum%ent the French law which bans both direct and indirect ad%ertising& The document attributed to Gorldwide ,rands another -eynolds subsidiary recommended a Mcreati%e approach to legal mattersM to achie%e Ma balance between legal ris$s and desired benefitsM& The document recommended using cigarette brand names for MlifestyleM products such as clothing shoes and watches& Most re%ealingly the document stated that e5penditure for such promotions would increase through legal and financial channels that must be Mhermetically separated from the tobacco companyM !& )y$es of <rand-stret9%ing 4ne of the earliest e5amples of brand#stretching or indirect ad%ertising was in .orway where following a ban on tobacco ad%ertising in ;K0A ad%ertisements for 7amel boots started to appear in magaLines and newspapers& The ads were identical to those that had pre%iously ad%ertised 7amel cigarettes& The Go%ernment acted quic$ly and deemed the ads to be a breach of the law& They were subsequently only permitted once the characteristic lettering of the word M7amelM and the 7amel trademar$ were dropped& 3n 4ctober ;KK0 >S: complained to the >d%ertising Standards >uthority about a similar campaign in the ,ritish press& The ad for 7amel boots featured the distincti%e logo and lettering of 7amel cigarettes and portrayed the characteristic rugged outdoor imagery associated with the brand& >S: argued that the ad%ertisement was promoting cigarettes as well as boots but that it was essentially a promotion for the 7amel brand which is a cigarette brand& >S: belie%es that the ad%ertisement should therefore be subject to the same controls as tobacco ad%ertising& Onder the terms of the 7igarette 7ode which defines restrictions on style and content of cigarette ads the ad%ertisement for 7amel boots would be prohibited& :owe%er the >S> ruled that because the ad for 7amel boots contained no references to cigarettes in a way that promoted smo$ing it did not breach the ad%ertising codes&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

4ther early e5amples of brand#stretching occurred in ,elgium and France following tobacco ad%ertising restrictions& Ontil ;KJ! indirect ad%ertising did not e5ist in ,elgium but following the regulation of tobacco ad%ertising ad%ertisements for Marlboro lighters and matches started to appear& > judge ruled the campaign illegal and said that it was clear that the intention was to promote cigarettes& People are not stupid& They immediately identify the tobacco brand promoted through lighters or matches& > similar initiati%e can be seen with the recent promotion for -iLla cigarette papers& 3mperial Tobacco acquired the company in 8anuary ;KK0 and has spent considerable sums promoting the brand& >cti%ities include the -iLla -olling -oad#Show which tours OK music festi%als and the sponsorship of night clubs& For such a low %alue product the scale of promotion is immense& -iLla has e%en launched its own website on the 3nternet with the clear intention of targeting a youth audience& >nother well#$nown brand which has benefited from indirect ad%ertising is the worldIs leading cigarette brand Marl<oro& The Marlboro 7lassics range of clothing is designed to reflect the MGild GestM imagery associated with the Marlboro brand& 3t was initially a loss leader for Philip Morris the manufacturer of Marlboro but is now the second#largest mail order brand in the OS> and there are ; """T Marlboro 7lassics stores throughout Furope and >sia& 7igarette brand names ha%e also been associated with holidays shops cafes music and e%en public ser%ice messages in countries as di%erse as France 3ndia Malaysia Thailand O$raine and the OS>& 4%o 9ontrols <rand-stret9%ingF 3n order to side#step laws go%erning tobacco ad%ertising the tobacco industry has attempted to dissociate itself from indirect ad%ertising by the establishment of quasi# independent companies which ha%e sole responsibility for promoting non#tobacco products using cigarette brand names& >n e5ample is that of Gorldwide ,rands 3nc set up by -8- .abisco :oldings which owns the 7amel trademar$ outside the tobacco sector& The company claims to ha%e no direct legal or financial relationship with any -8 -eynolds tobacco operation& >ccording to G,3 the companyIs business is Mbrand di%ersificationM and has been mar$eting fashion accessories using the 7amel brand name for !" years&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

;3D

EFFECT OF * "ND4ST ETCHIN(

The tobacco companies argue that products and ser%ices bearing tobacco brand names should not be subject to any tobacco control legislation because they are not selling cigarettes but other ser%ices& :owe%er the e5amples from Malaysia and France show clearly that the prime moti%e behind the use of tobacco brand di%ersification is the continued promotion of the product for which the brand name became recognised ie cigarettes& Tobacco promotional merchandise has become widespread in the OS> and is %ery popular with children& Money spent by the tobacco industry on promotional merchandise increased from 0&0E of its ad%ertising budget in ;KK" to !A&JE in ;KK@& -ecent research has shown that schoolchildren who wear clothing emblaLoned with cigarette names are four times more li$ely to smo$e than other children& -esearchers found that 6! per cent of the children sur%eyed owned promotional merchandise such as T#shirts and baseball caps& The impact of Marlboro brand#stretching was demonstrated clearly in a sur%ey of cinema goers in .orway where limited indirect ad%ertising is permitted& The poll re%ealed that A" per cent of %isitors thought that they had seen an ad%ertisement for cigarettes after the screening of an ad for Marlboro clothing& (uture deBelo$ments > recent de%elopment from brand#stretching is Mimage#stretchingM& .ot content with using brand names and logos the tobacco companies are now acti%ely promoting the imagery associated with particular brands& Thus in Malaysia ,>T has been enticing people to participate in its ,enson H :edges MGolden 'reamsM programme a TN programme about the aspirations of selected indi%iduals& 3n Thailand a new canned coffee be%erage called M 7offee is adorned with the cowboy imagery associated with Marlboro& ;A 3n Furope cigarette companies ha%e been building brand recognition by the use of colour& Thus Sil$ 7ut has become synonymous with purple ,enson H :edges with gold and so on& The tobacco companies ha%e also begun to publish life#style magaLines to encourage brand loyalty& 4ne of the first to use this format was -othmans with its -ende%ous with -affles magaLine& 3ts circulation now stands at around ;"" """& To date tobacco ad%ertising on electronic media has been fairly limited& This reflects a %oluntary agreement by the tobacco companies in the OK not to ad%ertise until the law has been clarified& :owe%er websites promoting tobacco already e5ist& For e5ample the Gest brand in Germany has its own site and an indirect promotion for 2uc$y Stri$e has been created through a website called 7ircuit ,rea$er based in 7alifornia& 4ther forms of electronic media are also being e5ploited by the tobacco industry& ,enson H :edges which recently sponsored :ogLone a ,ritish night club tour used interacti%e $ios$s alongside lightshows and promotional gifts to attract young customers& > spo$eswoman for ,enson H :edgesI sales promotion agency 3gnis commented there/

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

M3t was a new presentation of the ,enson H :edges brand&&& The electronic medium is %ery important in appealing to a youth audience& 3n the absence of a web site the $ios$s are a way tobacco companies can use new media and reach that youth audience& They can also do it in a fairly elliptical way rather than forcing it down peopleIs throats&M

Lig%ting u$ People who ha%e ne%er smo$ed ha%e no plans to start lighting up but those who ha%e pic$ed up the habit show no signs of quitting& Findings from a sur%ey show that regular smo$ers are highly loyal to their fa%orite brands with JD percent claiming they would ne%er consider buying another brand on a regular basis& The sur%ey of ; """ males and females aged ;A to D@ was conducted late last year by mar$et research firm >sia Mar$et 3ntelligence& -esults show that printed warnings on the dangers of smo$ing may be sin$ing in##only !K percent of the entire sample sur%eyed light up regularly& Forty#se%en percent of male respondents smo$e ma$ing them the best customers of the tobacco industry in contrast to the ;6 percent of women who puff away out of habit& 4ne out of e%ery four smo$ers is aged ;A to !@ ma$ing the Filipino youth another prime target as the worldwide tobacco industry see$s to refresh its dwindling customer base& :owe%er it)s the !A to 6K age brac$et that has the most number of smo$ers with the number tapering off as they mo%e into the @" to AK age range and health issues become a more prominent concern& Majority of the smo$ers sur%eyed claim they smo$e less than fi%e stic$s a day& Pac$#a# day die#hards are quite rare and more li$ely to be older D"# to D@#years#old and male& Thirty#four percent of smo$ers said they buy their cigarettes daily with K@ percent buying them on their own& Ghen as$ed to specify the brand they smo$ed most often both Philip Morris brands came out best& M7ompared to other >sian mar$ets the Philippines differs in that imported brand names dominate domestic ones M obser%es Kurt Thompson director of >sia Mar$et 3ntelligence in Manila& M,rand loyalty is also unusually strong unli$e other mar$ets where brand promiscuity is endemic&M >bout 6J percent the highest percentage amongst smo$ers sur%eyed claim they ha%e been smo$ing their regular brand ;" years or more& 3t also appears that once loyalty is instilled during the crucial !A# to 6K#year#old stage it)s difficult con%incing them to switch&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Forty#one percent from this age brac$et which has the most number of smo$ers say they ha%e been smo$ing their regular brand for at least a decade& 4nly ;@ percent of all smo$ing respondents said they would consider changing to a different main regular brand in the future& 'espite their o%erwhelming loyalty on occasional @; percent still smo$e brands other than their regular brand##possibly when their regular cigarettes are una%ailable& Ginston King SiLe leads the list of alternati%es at ;D percent followed by Ginston again##no %ariety specified##at ;A percent& The ubiquitous Marlboro Filters King SiLe ran$ third at ;@ percent& > window of opportunity e5ists though for these alternati%e brands should they see$ to increase mar$et share& Forty#two percent of respondents say that roughly three quarters of all cigarettes they smo$e are their regular brand& 3n comparison only 60 percent claim that all the cigarettes they smo$e ne%er %ary from the regular brand to which they are accustomed& :eightening awareness of cigarette brands is a gargantuan challenge as restrictions on ad%ertising sponsorship and all $inds of abo%e# or below#the#line acti%ities for the tobacco industry continue to grow& Somehow cigarette manufacturers manage##when as$ed to mention cigarette brands roughly three out of ;" smo$ers said Marlboro while !; percent mentioned Philip Morris& :ope King SiLe and Ginston were ne5t at ;" percent and K percent respecti%ely& Marlboro also appears to be the most familiar MstarterM cigarette for the youth at @A percent& This figure falls to 66 percent amongst !A# to 6K#year#olds who apparently start e5perimenting with other brands and %arieties as smo$ing settles into a habit& 4f this age group !6 percent mentioned Philip Morris ;J percent specified Marlboro Filters King SiLe and ;; percent said Ginston as other brands they $now& Ghen as$ed to mention other brands they were familiar with @A percent of the smo$ing respondents came up with Philip Morris followed by Ginston King SiLe at 6J percent and Marlboro Filters King SiLe at 6D percent& Gith the recent political uphea%al people ha%e been much more cautious in e5penditure especially when major in%estments are concerned& 7onsidering the relati%e cost of cigarettes their ready a%ailability and the ingrained loyalty to specific brands Filipino smo$ers will continue their patronage of fa%orite cigarette brands##politics or no politics&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

%&5

LO!"LT! IN THE M" KET PL"CE

Ghether husbands are loyal to their wi%es or not whether employees remain loyal to their employers or not mar$eters are realising the need to ha%e a large number of loyal customers& The purpose of any organisation does not end with just getting the customers& -etaining them in their fold is an equally important tas$& .o successful company is satisfied if a customer buys the product of the 7ompany just once or twice&:e1She must be made to buy the same brand again and again& This is should be the core strategy for many of the fast mo%ing consumer goods& 4ften consumers may not be aware of e%en the total set of brands a%ailable in the mar$et of the product category under consideration& >gain they do not consider for choice all the brands they are aware of& They ha%e an e%o$ed set or a consideration set of brands within which they normally switch from one to another& 7onsider the case of toilet soaps& There are any number of toilet soaps a%ailable in the mar$et& ,ut consumers usually choose from their e%o$ed set only& Suppose the e%o$ed set of brands for toilet# soaps for a consumer consists of :amam -e5ona and 2u5 she will buy only from these three brands& >t the same time she may buy one particular brand more often than other brands in the e%o$ed set which is a different issue to be ta$en up later& The composition of the e%o$ed set might change from time to time depending on the ad%ertising pressure brought on the consumers by different companies& :ence it is important for the mar$eter to $now the composition of the e%o$ed set of consumers he is trying to satisfy and then try and get their brands into the e%o$ed set of customers&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Ge shall de%elop the concept of brand loyalty using our understanding of e%o$ed sets& Suppose the brands in the e%o$ed set of a consumer are > , 7 ' and F& 4ut of the last ;" purchases made in that product category let us say brand 7 was bought 0 times brand > , and ' were bought once each& Then he is said to be 0" per cent loyal to brand 7& 4n the other hand if all the ten purchases were that of brand 7 then the customer is said to be totally loyal to brand 7& This $ind of data about customers has a lot of implications to the mar$eter& 7ustomers can be di%ided into four groups according to their loyalty status& HAR.-C1R0 L18ALS: 7onsumers who buy one brand all the time& Thus a buying pattern of 7 7 7 7 7 represents a consumer with undi%ided loyalty to brand 7& S1() -C1R0 L18ALS: 7onsumers who are loyal to two or three brands& The buying pattern 7 7 > > 7 > represents a consumer with a di%ided loyalty between 7 and >& SHI()I/+ L18ALS/ 7onsumers who shift from fa%ouring one brand to another& The buying pattern 7 7 7 , , , would suggest a consumer who is shifting brand loyalty from 7 to ,&

S4I)CH0RS: 7onsumers who show no loyalty to any brand& The buying pattern > 7 F , ' 7 would suggest a non#loyal consumer who is either deal prone *buys the brand which gi%es discount or gift+ or %ariety prone *wants something different+&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter!

41RL.S )1BACC1 I/.US)R8


INDUST ! P OFILE

6&%

*HILI* M1RRIS, BA) I RJ R08/1L.S L11K 170RS0AS The ,ig 6 global tobacco players bear substantial responsibility for rising smo$ing rates and projected future increases& MGith growers and manufacturers being threatened by stiff O&S& regulations on tobacco it is logical to e5pect them to strengthen their o%erseas mar$ets& >nd they will M says 'iana Temple of Salomon ,rothers 3nc& ;& Former Nice#President 'an ?uayle summed up the industry %iew in ;KK" when he remar$ed to a group in .orth 7arolina MTobacco e5ports should be e5panded aggressi%ely because >mericans are smo$ing less&M ; For two decades the tobacco companies ha%e in%ested hea%ily in o%erseas ad%ertising& They ha%e acquired newly pri%atiLed cigarette companies set up joint %entures and built distribution and sales networ$s& >s a result Philip Morris -8 -eynolds and ,>T ha%e registered double#digit growth in international cigarette sales in recent years& Philip Morris and -8 -eynolds now sell more cigarettes abroad than they do in the Onited States& 3n ;KK0 Philip Morris made more profit selling cigarettes abroad than in the Onited States and analysts e5pect in the ne5t ;" years that -8 -eynolds and ,rown H Gilliamson *,>TIs O&S& subsidiary+ will do the same& ,etween ;KJD and ;KKD O&S& cigarette e5ports grew by !D" percent and now account for nearly 6" percent of all domestic cigarette production with @" percent of these e5ports now destined for >sia& MMost of their capital e5penditure and infrastructure is in place and the profit comes from growing RinternationalS %olumes M says Salomon Smith ,arney analyst Martin Feldman who e5pects the companiesI international tobacco profits to rise by around !" percent o%er the ne5t few years& >n increasing proportion of these companiesI o%erseas sales are being manufactured abroad rather than being e5ported from the Onited States& O&S& cigarette e5ports fell ;; percent in ;KK0 Mdue to greater offshore production by O&S& manufacturers M says the O&S& 'epartment of >griculture *OS'>+& 3n ;KKD the big three O&S& cigarette companies shipped !@@ billion O&S& made cigarettes to foreign countries& This amount was less than half of what Philip Morris alone sold abroad that year while in ;KK0 only ;J percent of the cigarettes -8 -eynolds sold o%erseas were made in the Onited States&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

MO&S& companies are li$ely to loo$ harder at their operations abroad and produce fewer cigarettes here M says Peter ,urr an agricultural economist at OS'> who specialiLes in tobacco& > number of factors ha%e dri%en this o%erseas e5pansion

including/

the opening up of formerly closed economies in Fastern Furope the former So%iet Onion and 7hina< pressure on go%ernments by the international financial institutions to pri%atiLe state#owned industries and rela5 laws restricting foreign in%estment< the attempt by de%eloping countries to attract foreign in%estment through the pro%ision of ta5 incenti%es and the lifting of import duties< U cheaper labor and transport costs< the threat of further regulation in the multinationalIs home countries and the attempt by these companies to shield an increasing proportion of their assets from lawsuits in de%eloped countries< and the desire to locate cigarette manufacturing plants closer to sources of tobacco leaf an increasing proportion of which is being purchased o%erseas *see MFncouraging Foreign Tobacco ProductionM+&

The ,ig 6Is increasing reliance on o%erseas production has transformed the tobacco industry around the globe& 3n country after country they ha%e purchased pre%iously state# owned factories set up joint %entures with e5isting state enterprises and built new factories& 7urrently Philip Morris -8 -eynolds and ,>T each own or lease plants in at least A" different countries spanning all corners of the globe&;; The following is a summary of their o%erseas operations/ *%ili$ Morris Philip Morris is the worldIs largest multinational cigarette company& 3t controls around ;D percent of the global cigarette mar$et and haw$s the worldIs most popular brand Marlboro which accounts for J&@ percent of global consumption&;! The company has subsidiaries affiliates and licensing agreements in A@ countries around the world ;6 and has at least a ;A percent mar$et share in o%er @" countries& Philip MorrisI international tobacco unit is the companyIs fastest growing in terms of profit and sales& Since ;KK" the companyIs cigarette sales ha%e risen by only @&0 percent in the Onited States but J" percent o%erseas ;@ while profits from international sales ha%e risen by 0; percent since ;KK6&;A 3n ;KK0 the company sold !6A billion cigarettes in the Onited States for a profit of V6&6 billion while selling o%er 0;; billion cigarettes abroad for a profit of V@&D billion mar$ing the first time that the companyIs international sales made more profit than domestic ones&;D ,y the year !""" predicts 7F4 Geoffrey ,ible the company will be selling a trillion cigarettes worldwide&;0 MTheyI%e got a good buffer& .o matter how badly things go in the Onited States international sales will carry them along M says >llan Kaplan a tobacco analyst at Merrill 2ynch H 7o&;J !K 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

3n ;KKD Philip Morris bought a controlling interest in the Polish go%ernmentIs largest cigarette factory for V60! million&;K > year later the company paid V@"" million to ta$e a controlling interest in Me5icoIs second largest cigarette ma$er 7igatam *see Me5ico case study+& The acquisition strengthens the companyIs already formidable presence in Me5ico *Marlboros currently ha%e 6" percent mar$et share+!" which it had gained through a pre%ious license agreement with 7igatam to produce mar$et and distribute its Marlboro Merit Parliament and Nirginia Slims brands& The acquisition will also help the companyIs efforts to produce low#cost cigarettes for e5port to .orth >merica and >sia ## 7igatam has o%er the past few years been e5ploring strategies to increase its presence in o%erseas mar$ets especially in 7hina&!; 3n 'ecember ;KK0 Philip Morris announced that it would build a cigarette plant near ,ucharest -omania to begin production of its Marlboro 2HM and ,ond Street cigarettes&!! >s 7hairman ,ible puts it MGe are still in the foothills when it comes to e5ploring the full opportunities of many of our new mar$ets&M!6

BRI)ISH AM0RICA/ )1BACC1 (BA)# Bro'n I 4illiamsonHs $arent 9om$any, Britis% Ameri9an )o<a99o (BA)#, is t%e 'orldHs se9ond largest multinational 9igarette 9om$any3 4it% su<sidiaries in C@ 9ountries, !? BA) 9ontrols around ;@ $er9ent of t%e glo<al 9igarette market3!@ )%e 9om$any and its su<sidiaries and affiliates manufa9ture more t%an %alf t%eir 9igarettes in Asia, Australia and Latin Ameri9a3 In ;EE7, t%e 9om$anyHs international to<a99o o$erations made a $rofit of K! <illion on sales of K!=37 <illion3!C In ;EEC, t%e 9om$any under'ent a reorgani:ation in '%i9% Britis% Ameri9an )o<a99o Com$any, Britis%Ameri9an )o<a99o +ermany, Sou:a Cru: (Bra:il# and Bro'n I 4illiamson all merged to <e9ome a single entity -- Britis% Ameri9an )o<a99o (Holdings# Ltd3 )%e $ur$ose of t%e merger 'as to im$roBe t%e 9om$anyHs marketing efforts, Ges$e9ially e>$orts and t%e deBelo$ment of international <rands3G!7 All of t%e 9om$anyHs o$erations are run out of t%e 9om$anyHs United Kingdom offi9e, e>9e$t for t%ose of Ja$an, Me>i9o, Sout% Korea and t%e United States, '%i9% are %andled at Bro'n I 4illiamsonHs Kentu9ky %ead&uarters3 In t%e 9ourse of t%e merger, BA) also esta<lis%ed t%e Consumer and Regulatory Affairs 1ffi9e to G9ounter t%e anti-smoking lo<<y and Bigorously adBo9ate t%e 9om$anyHs Bie's around t%e 'orld3G!D ,>T which has long been the most international in outloo$ of all the tobacco multinationals is also intensifying its strategy of acquiring and building production capacity around the world& 3n ;KKD ,>T spent V!A million to upgrade its M2iberation FactoryM in 7ambodia in order to boost production for both the domestic and e5port mar$ets&!K 3n 8anuary ;KKJ ,>T purchased a controlling interest in Te$el the Tur$ish state cigarette monopoly& The purchase gi%es the company a quarter of the worldIs ninth largest cigarette mar$et ## Tur$s consume nearly ;"" billion cigarettes a year& ,>T will in%est V;@A&D million in return for a A! percent share of Te$el which will e%entually ha%e the capacity to produce !A billion cigarettes a year& ,>T also acquired a @K#year e5clusi%e license to sell Te$elIs popular Samsun and Ceni :arman cigarette brands&6" 6" 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

3n ;KK0 ,>T purchased 7igarrera 2a Moderna *72M+ Me5icoIs biggest cigarette ma$er for V;&0 billion *see Me5ico case study+& This was one of the largest foreign in%estments e%er made in Me5ico6; and ,>TIs most e5pensi%e purchase e%er&6! 72M produces both Me5ican cigarettes and international brands ## sold under licensing agreements with ,>T competitors ## such as 7amel Ginston 'unhill and Salem&66 MThis acquisition offers us the rare opportunity to buy a siLeable and %ery profitable player in a growth mar$et M says Martin ,roughton chair of ,>T&6@ The purchase will consolidate the companyIs dominance of the 2atin >merican mar$et where it currently holds a D" percent share *almost double that of Philip Morris+ and significantly increase its ability to boost e5ports to the Onited States and >sia& ,>T also sees Mconsiderable opportunitiesM to e5port tobacco leaf from Me5ico Mparticularly because the country is outside the O&S& import quota M says a -euters report&6A

RJ Reynolds -8 -eynolds the worldIs third largest multinational cigarette company has recently fallen further behind Philip Morris and ,>T& Saddled with a huge debt load *the result of a failed ta$eo%er bid in the late ;KJ"Is made famous in the boo$ ,arbarians at the Gate+ -8- saw its international tobacco profits decline A percent in ;KK0 to V0AK million on sales of V6&A0 billion& This drop howe%er mas$ed a @6 percent increase in sales in 7entral Furope and a ;6 percent increase in the ,altic -epublics and 7ommonwealth of 3ndependent States&6D The companyIs recent troubles ha%e spar$ed speculation among Gall Street analysts that the company may enter into an international alliance with ,>T that would in%ol%e a merger of the two companiesI international tobacco di%isions&60 >lthough smaller than its two ri%als -8 -eynolds is still a huge multinational company with subsidiaries affiliates and licensing agreements in A0 countries&6J The company which controls around @ percent of the global cigarette mar$et has seen a 0A percent increase in its international sales since ;KK" reaching V6&@ billion in ;KK0&6K 3nternational sales now account for @; percent of -8-Is total tobacco sales&@" 3n ;KKA -8 -eynolds significantly boosted its o%erseas operations adding facilities in Finland Nietnam Poland and TanLania where it paid VAA million for a controlling share of the TanLanian 7igarette 7ompany& The purchase was the largest single foreign in%estment in TanLania since the country achie%ed independence in ;KD;&@; -8 -eynolds has ambitious plans to rehabilitate the formerly state#owned companyIs 'ar Fs Salaam plant which will soon produce @ billion cigarettes annually ma$ing it one of the biggest plants in >frica& The company hopes to use its new base in TanLania to challenge ,>TIs %irtual monopoly in the Fast and Southern >frican region&@! 3n .o%ember ;KK0 -8 -eynolds opened a new VK million plant in Tunisia to manufacture Ginstons and Monte 7arlos for TunisiaIs %oracious smo$ers ## D! percent of Tunisian men and J percent of women smo$e& MTunisia ran$s si5th in the cigarette mar$et in >frica M says -eynolds F5ecuti%e Nice President Klaus 2angner& MThis new alliance will allow -eynolds to be the leader of foreign tobacco firms in Tunisia and to reinforce its position in .orth >frica M he says&@6 The company is also a huge player in Tur$ey where its factories account for half of the countryIs cigarette e5ports 6; 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

6&6

THE TO*"CCO INDUST ! "ND !OUTH SMOKIN(

4ne of the important aspects of ,ill S#!" is that it puts the tobacco industry)s publicly stated position on youth smo$ing to the test& >s you all $now the industry has consistently claimed that it is opposed to underage smo$ing that it does not mar$et its products to children that smo$ing is an adult choiceW and that tobacco companies will co#operate with anyone who wishes to ma$e tobacco products less accessible to minors& For people who wor$ in public health these claims ring hollow/ we ha%e seen too many ad%ertising campaigns that appear to target children and too many industry mar$eting documents discussing the perceptions of teenagers&-ather than concentrate on these specific e5amples 3 would li$e to concentrate on the big picture/ the structural reasons why tobacco companies are dri%en to focus their mar$eting energies on young people& )%e 09onomi9s of 8out% Smoking X X 6ess than one-third of smokers 73$89 start after age $#. :n & "8 of smokers start after age 24. Y ;<ounger Adu t Smokers: Strategies and :pportunities=>

Tobacco addiction has been described as a pediatric disease because an increasing percentage of smo$ers *roughly J"E in 7anada in ;KK@+ ta$e their first cigarette before the age of ;J& Moreo%er as the O&S& Surgeon General noted in a ;KK@ report on youth smo$ing People who begin to smo$e at an early age are more li$ely to de%elop se%ere le%els of nicotine addiction than those who start at a later age&W >s :ealth 7anada noted in a study released in 8anuary of this year 6AE of 7anadian smo$ers aged ;A to ;0 report ha%ing smo$ed their first cigarette by the age of ;!& Ghat is more brand loyalty de%elops early in a young person)s smo$ing career so that e%en mar$eting efforts that actually are designed to promote brand#switching are ine%itably li$ely to be s$ewed towards young people& >s -8- put it in the early ;KJ"s F%en if a brand falls from grace among younger adult smo$ers the increasing consumption rate of the aging franchise can carry the brand)s performance for years thus e5tending its life cycle&W Please note that -8- li$e tobacco companies around the world regularly uses the euphemism younger adult smo$erW to refer to underage smo$ers& .ow before anybody suggests that the economics of youth smo$ing are somehow different in 7anada than in the Onited States let me just pro%ide a few e5amples from 7anada&

6!

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

> ;KJ! document obtained by the ,&7& go%ernment from ,ritish#>merican Tobacco files in Guildford Fngland discusses 7anadian mar$et trends in detail& The document notes the wide discrepancy between the number of smo$ers who intend to quit in the near future *about @"E+ and the low percentage who actually succeed *;&JE in ;KJ;+& This o%er%iew also includes the following passage about starters/ :ur information on starting is imited since )e do not conduct research )ith peop e under the age of $". ?o)e.er= a of our data and especia & starting rates among peop e o.er the age of $" suggest that starting is up since the @71 aunch of ; ights.> 3ncidentally e%en in ;K0D it was illegal to sell cigarettes to ;A#year#olds in 7anada& 3n ;KJA an 3mperial Tobacco document described a ProblemW faced by the 7anadian tobacco industry *see >ppendi5 >+/-rofit gro)th has camouf aged the rea it& that 3anadian cigarette smokers are increasing & ess enchanted )ith being smokersA Despite short-term upturns 7eg. .ia ; ights>9= fe)er and fe)er 3anadians )i smoke in the futureA A though )e ha.e historica & done things )hich had an inf uence on the si!e of the tota industr&= these efforts ha.e not been co-ordinated= p anned and fu & integrated into our ;norma > acti.itiesA Something@s got to change. There are only two significant ways to influence the o%erall siLe of the tobacco industry& 4ne is to con%ince worried smo$ers not to quit for e5ample by offering them (health reassurance) cigarettes such as so#called (light) cigarettes as the (ne5t best thing to quitting&) The second approach is to step up efforts to recruit new smo$ers who will o%erwhelmingly be underage& The record indicates that 7anadian companies ha%e tried both&3mperial Tobacco has been far more successful than its competitors at attracting new smo$ers as 3masco 7hairman Purdy 7rawford reported proudly to his colleagues from ,>T companies in other countries in 4ctober ;KJJ/ (.5.6. B(mperia 5obacco 6imitedC has a )a&s focused its efforts on ne) smokers be ie.ing that ear & perceptions tend to sta& )ith them throughout their i.es. (.5.6. c ear & dominates the &oung adu t market toda& and stands to prosper as these smokers age and as it maintains its high & fa.orab e &outhfu preference.$B#C 3ndeed 3mperial)s share of the 7anadian cigarette mar$et has gone from slightly o%er one#third in the mid#;K0"s to around 0"E at present&Finally let me quote from a particularly telling document dated >ugust ;KK; a Switching >nalysisW by 3mperial Tobacco)s Mar$et >nalysis Group& Two things jump out from this document& >s you will probably hear again in a few minutes tobacco companies ha%e consistently maintained that their mar$eting efforts are directed only towards encouraging adult smo$ers to switch brands& So how does 3mperial Tobacco define switchersW for its internal Switching >nalysisW=

66

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

%hen )e ta k about a s)itcher )e are ta king about someone )ho has been smoking his usua brand for ess than $2 months. 5he definition inc udes starters 7did not smoke before9 and smokers that had no regu ar or particu ar pre.ious brand. 3n other words by a linguistic sleight of hand 3mperial Tobacco re#defined underage starter smo$ers as brand switchers&W2ater in the same document the author e5plains why young people are so important to 3mperial Tobacco)s mar$eting department/ 5rends sho) us that s)itching decreases )ith age. (n $**, the annua s)itching rate among smokers aged under 2" is doub e the s)itching rate of tota smokers 72,8 .ersus $,89 and more than three times the s)itching rate of smokers aged 3" and o.er 7189A <oung smokers e/periment )ith different brands )hen the& start smoking and after age 2" the& sett e for a particu ar brandA 5herefore= if our trademarks are re e.ant to smokers under 2"= the& )i choose our trademarksDbrands and remain )ith them )e past the age of 2". F%en if tobacco companies actually attempted to target their mar$eting efforts e5clusi%ely at ;J# to !A#year#olds who already smo$e it is hard to see how this could be done without ma$ing cigarettes more attracti%e to underage non#smo$ers or e5perimental smo$ers& Moreo%er the financial incenti%e to recruit underage smo$ers more effecti%ely than the competition is o%erwhelming& Marketing to 8out% Gi%en the strong economic incenti%e for tobacco companies to recruit underage smo$ers what e%idence is there that 7anadian tobacco companies ha%e actually gone out and done so= The courts e5amined this issue in some detail in the early ;KK"s when the tobacco industry challenged the federal 5obacco -roducts 3ontro Act& 3 would just li$e to quote a brief passage from the Supreme 7ourt of 7anada decision in ;KKA that o%erturned large parts of that legislation/ -erhaps the most compe ing e.idence concerning the connection bet)een ad.ertising and consumption can be found in the interna marketing documents prepared b& the tobacco manufacturers themse .es. A though the appe ants steadfast & argue that their marketing efforts are directed so e & at maintaining and e/panding brand o&a t& among adu t smokers= these documents sho) other)ise. 4ne of the notorious e5amples was Project Plus1Minus conducted by Kwechans$y Mar$eting -esearch 3nc& in ;KJ! on behalf of 3mperial Tobacco& This study e5amined in great detail why children e5periment with cigarettes how they begin to smo$e and how they become addicted& > few quotes from the study highlights to gi%e you a fla%our of the detailed wor$ in%ol%ed/

6@

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Serious smoking main & starts in the $4-$# age group. (t is entire & socia in nature= and is hea.i & dependent on actua or percei.ed peer group pressure and the desire to conformA Starters no onger disbe ie.e the dangers of smoking= but the& a most uni.ersa & assume these risks )i not app & to themse .es because the& )i not become addictedA :nce addiction does take p ace= it becomes necessar& for the smoker to make peace )ith the accepted ha!ards. 5his is done b& a )ide range of rationa i!ationsA 5he desire to 4uit seems to come ear ier than before= e.en prior to the end of high schoo A ?o)e.er= the desire to 4uit= and actua & carr&ing it out= are t)o 4uite different things= as the )ou d-be 4uitter soon earnsA Apart from the - a&er@s= E/port and du 0aurier parent brands and firsteche on e/tensions= there )as .er& itt e regard for other brands. 5he ikes of 0atinEe= 2othmans and -eter Fackson )ere )ithout an& positi.es among &oung smokers. +e .edere and 3ra.en )ere better= but not b& much. 3n short in ;KJ! 3mperial Tobacco)s mar$eting consultants were e5plaining in detail how young people get ta$en in by the glamour of cigarettes Y a process that was seen as %ery positi%e indeed for the company& The single most popular brand and the one that seems to ha%e become the customary badge among young males in particular but among females %ery commonly too was Player)s 2ight& That this brand went from introduction to this incredibly lofty posture in so relati%ely few years is truly a mar$eting success story& 3mperial Tobacco was not a passi%e participant in the glamoriLation of Player)s 2ight among young people& From the taste and the nicotine deli%ery to the pac$age imagery and the image positioning through ad%ertising the brand was made to systematically appeal to young people in particular young males& The emphasis was on autonomy on outdoor acti%ities of interest to this age group such as s$iing and $aya$ing/ 5he acti.it& sho)n Bin ad.ertisementsC shou d be one )hich is practiced b& &oung peop e $1 to 2, &ears o d or one that these peop e can reasonab & aspire to in the near future. .ow possibly tobacco company witnesses will tell this committee that their industry shouldn)t be judged today on the mar$eting strategies they employed !" years ago& The problem is these mar$eting strategies still seem to be in effect today& The first e5ample 3 would li$e to point out is 3mperial Tobacco)s Go Cour 4wn GayW *Z On monde [ ta mesure \+ campaign for Player)s cigarettes& This campaign is underway as we spea$< theoretically it is a sponsorship ad about car racing but cars are nowhere in e%idence& Ghat is in e%idence are all the usual elements of Player)s mar$eting/ autonomy outdoor acti%ities youthful models&

6A

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Industry-S$onsored 8out% A99ess *rogrammes There is one last point 3 would li$e to touch on& 3n 7anada as in other countries the tobacco industry sponsors so#called youth access programmes W in which retailers are reminded not to sell tobacco products to minors& The most recent incarnation of this approach is the 7anadian Tobacco Manfuacturers) 7ouncil)s 4peration 3'W programme& Gi%en the powerful economic incenti%es that tobacco companies ha%e to recruit underage smo$ers the e5istence of these programmes may seem surprising& Some people ha%e ta$en these initiati%es as proof that the tobacco industry really is interested in effecti%e action to pre%ent young people from getting addicted to their products&,ut when you are dealing with the tobacco industry things are not always as they appear& 3n the Onited States the Tobacco 3nstitute Y which was the equi%alent of the 7TM7 until the courts forced it to disband recently Y set up a programme similar to 4peration 3' W which it called 3t)s the 2aw&W :ere is how the 3nstitute described the purpose of its youth programme *which also included boo$lets for parents and other material+ in a ;KK; internal document& 5he &outh program and its indi.idua parts support 5he (nstitute@s obGecti.e of discouraging unfair and counterproducti.e federa = state and oca restrictions on cigarette ad.ertising= b&: pro%iding on#going and persuasi%e e%idence that the industry is acti%ely discouraging youth smo$ing and independent %erification that the industry)s efforts are %alid& -einforcing the belief that peer pressure Q not ad%ertising Q is the cause of youth smo$ing& SeiLing the political center and forcing the anti#smo$ers to an e5treme *as happened when the antis attac$ed the industry at the time of the launch&+

3n other words the purpose of the Tobacco 3nstitute)s youth programme was not to deal effecti%ely with youth smo$ing but rather to forestall effecti%e go%ernment regulation& The same approach has been used in many other countries& 3n ;KKA Philip Morris Senior Nice President Ste%e Parrish e5plained to his company)s board of directors how the tactic had been used in Poland and -ussia& These industry#sponsored campaigns are fairly consistent around the world in some important respects/ ;& They focus on legal restrictions on underage smo$ing emphasiLing that smo$ing is an (adult) choice& Onfortunately teenagers rarely feel li$e waiting before engaging in (adult) beha%iour especially if that beha%iour is presented as being attracti%e and glamorous&

6D

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

!& They rarely if e%er pro%ide meaningful information about the disastrous health effects of smo$ing or the dangers of becoming addicted& 6& They ne%er point out the tobacco industry)s role in encouraging youth smo$ing& This is not to say that go%ernments should refrain from efforts to limit the sales of tobacco products to minors& Fnforcement programmes ma$e sense as ong as the& are part of a comprehensi.e p an that inc udes serious efforts to reduce &outh dema7d for tobacco products and inform the pub ic as a )ho e H smokers and non-smokers= &outh and adu t H about the magnitude of the hea th risk from tobacco= about the addicti.e nature of cigarettes and about the track record of deception of the tobacco industr&. >ttempting to deal with youth smo$ing solely through P- initiati%es li$e 4peration 3' is li$e relying solely on the arrest of small#time drug pushers to curb the cocaine trade&

6&'

CH"N(E IS POSSI*LE

Though 3 am not impressed by 4peration 3' there is one important step go%ernments could ta$e to ensure real change in tobacco company beha%iour towards $ids& The go%ernment should establish a system of penalties to ensure that tobacco companies lose money e%ery time a young person becomes addicted to cigarettes& This would be similar to the so#called (loo$#bac$) pro%isions that were included in the Mc7ain ,ill in the Onited States and %arious other proposed legislation in ;KK0 and ;KKJ& The penalties should be large enough to actually constitute an effecti%e deterrent& 7ompanies could be fined the equi%alent of three times the profits they would be e5pected to ma$e from a new underage smo$er during that smo$er)s lifetime for e5ample& Onder this system tobacco companies would ha%e a %ested interest in pre%enting youth smo$ing& 3ndeed indi%idual tobacco companies would ha%e an interest in denouncing competitors who were engaged in mar$eting to $ids& Nery rapidly 3 thin$ you would see the tobacco industry re#adjusting its promotional strategies and its products to ma$e them unattracti%e to youth&

60

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

6&)

CONCLUSION

The mar$eting of tobacco products to young people is not a frea$ occurrence caused by the presence of a few bad apples among tobacco industry mar$eting e5ecuti%es& The recruitment of underage smo$ers is in fact crucial to tobacco companies) long#term profitability& Sales to minors represent a relati%ely small portion of the industry)s profits in any gi%en year& :owe%er most of the industry)s long#term profits will come from customers who were recruited before reaching adulthood& 3ndustry statements about appropriate strategies to combat youth smo$ing ha%e to be seen in the conte5t of this business reality& 3 urge this committee to be creati%e in loo$ing at ways to curb the tobacco epidemic&

6&-

*I( TO*"CCO/S (LO*"L E2P"NSION

O&S& tobacco companies ha%e a long history of deceit deception and duplicity in their relentless pursuit of profit& These companies ha%e hoo$ed generations of >merican smo$ers using the tools of manipulati%e ad%ertising disinformation campaigns refuting the health consequences of smo$ing and political lobbying& 3n the process they ha%e grown into enormous multinational conglomerates& 3n recent years as smo$ing has declined in the Onited States they ha%e begun to loo$ elsewhere for growth& 'rawing on their e5periences in the Onited States these companies are ha%ing great success abroad& The Onited States is now home to two of the worldIs three largest multinational cigarette companies and is the worldIs largest e5porter of cigarettes& ; 4%erseas these companies use ad%ertising and mar$eting techniques that ha%e long been banned or restricted in the Onited States& They also apply political and economic pressure to circum%ent other countriesI public health laws often under the guise of Mfree trade&M >nd in countries where mar$et access is difficult due to go%ernment regulations the multinational tobacco companies are allegedly complicit in cigarette smuggling in an attempt to gain mar$et share& Ghile cigarette sales fell by @&A percent in .orth >merica between ;KK" and ;KKA they increased by A&D percent in Fastern Furope and J percent in the >sia#Pacific region& ! ,y the turn of the century per capita consumption in de%eloping countries will be greater than that of de%eloped countries says the Gorld :ealth 4rganiLation *G:4+& 6 MThere is no time to lose M says ,arbara Bolty of the G:4& MMultinational Rcigarette companiesS are flooding Rde%eloping countriesS with ads that say smo$ing is e5citing glamorous and Gestern& The situation is only going to get worse as more women and children start smo$ing&M @ 3f current trends continue the Onited StatesI success in reducing domestic tobacco use will be more than offset by the o%erseas acti%ities of the tobacco companies with dire global public health consequences& Since O&S& tobacco companies are not bound by any borders in their insatiable dri%e for new customers the Onited States must thin$ globally and act locally in its efforts to control these companies if it hopes to stem the tide of death and disability in the rest of the world& 6J 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

6&1
Country :ong Kong 3ndonesia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Pa$istan Philippines ,ulgaria ,ulgaria ,ulgaria 7Lech -epublic -omania -omania Slo%a$ -epublic Me5ico

TOP M" KETE S IN SELECTED COUNT IES


Com$any Philip Morris Philip Morris -othmans ,>T -8,>T Fortune Tobacco *-8- 2icensee+ Philip Morris 6 -othmans A ,>T 0 Philip Morris K Philip Morris @ -8K Philip Morris 6 7igarrera 2a J Moderna *,>T Subsidary Philip Morris @ Philip Morris ; -othmans D ,>T 6 Philip Morris ;" Philip Morris D Philip Morris 6 Philip Morris 6 Philip Morris @ V;&! Million V; Million VK@; """ V6&6 Million V!&; Million V;&! Million V;&J Million V!K&K Million Rank K ;" ; ! @ ! J Ad S$ending LL V;!&K Million VD&6 Million V6D&! Million V;K&0 Million VK&A Million V;&D Million V;0&K Million

,ahrain Kuwait Kuwait 2ebanon 2ebanon 4man ?atar Saudi >rabia O>F

V6;" """ V@ Million V;&! Million V@&A Million V!&6 Million VA;6 """ V@;0 """ V6&A Million V;&0 Million

UU Spending amounts are for ;KKD for >sian Furopean and 2atin >merican countries and for ;KKA for Middle Fastern 7ountries& Sources/ >d%ertising >ge< ;" .o%ember ;KK0 and ;; .o%ember ;KKD&

6K

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

!37

BI+ )1BACC1HS +L1BAL R0ACH

666 .enotes a Su<sidiary or (a9tory 66 .enotes a Li9ensing Agreement

State >ndora >ngola >rgentina >ruba >ustralia >ustria >Lerbaijan ,angladesh ,arbados ,elgium ,oli%ia ,raLil ,ulgaria 7ambodia 7ameroon 7anada 7anary 3slands 7hile 7hina 7ongo 7osta -ica 7roatia 7uracao 7yprus 7Lech -epublic 'enmar$ 'ominican -epublic Fcuador Fgypt Fl Sal%ador Fiji @"

RJ Reynolds 99 99 99 99 999

*%ili$ Morris 99 999 99 999 99

BA) 999 999 999

999 99

999 99 999

999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999

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999

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999 999 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Finland France Germany Ghana Greece Guatemala Guinea Guyana :onduras :ong Kong :ungary India 3ndonesia 3taly 3%ory 7oast 8apan 8ordan KaLa$hstan Kenya 2ithuania Macedonia Malawi Malaysia Malta Mauritius Me5ico .etherlands .ew Bealand .icaragua .igeria Pa$istan Panama Papua .ew Guinea Peru Philippines Poland Portugal

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999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 666 999

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999

@;

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Puerto -ico -omania -ussia Senegal Sierra 2one Singapore Slo%a$ia Slo%enia Solomon 3slands South >frica South Korea Spain Sri 2an$a Surinam Sweden SwitLerland Taiwan TanLania Thailand Trinidad Tunisia Tur$ey Oganda O$raine O&K& Onited States Oruguay OLbe$istan NeneLuela Nietnam Cugosla%ia Bimbabwe

999 999 999

999 99

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999

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999

Sour9es: T$ba88$ e9$rter, June ;EED, GInternational Cigarette Manufa9turers,G *%ili$ Morris ;"k?"@M RJ Reynolds ;"k-?"@M Wh$ O:7s Wh$m. N$rth "meri8a , (/e' 8ork: .un I Bradstreet Ltd3, ;EE7#

@!

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

)o$ Marketers in Sele9ted Countries


Country :ong Kong 3ndonesia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Pa$istan Philippines ,ulgaria ,ulgaria ,ulgaria 7Lech -epublic -omania -omania Slo%a$ -epublic Me5ico Com$any Philip Morris Philip Morris -othmans ,>T -8,>T Fortune Tobacco *-8- 2icensee+ Philip Morris 6 -othmans A ,>T 0 Philip Morris K Philip Morris @ -8K Philip Morris 6 7igarrera 2a J Moderna *,>T Subsidary Philip Morris @ Philip Morris ; -othmans D ,>T 6 Philip Morris ;" Philip Morris D Philip Morris 6 Philip Morris 6 Philip Morris @ V;&! Million V; Million VK@; """ V6&6 Million V!&; Million V;&! Million V;&J Million V!K&K Million Rank K ;" ; ! @ ! J Ad S$ending LL V;!&K Million VD&6 Million V6D&! Million V;K&0 Million VK&A Million V;&D Million V;0&K Million

,ahrain Kuwait Kuwait 2ebanon 2ebanon 4man ?atar Saudi >rabia O>F

V6;" """ V@ Million V;&! Million V@&A Million V!&6 Million VA;6 """ V@;0 """ V6&A Million V;&0 Million

UU Spending amounts are for ;KKD for >sian Furopean and 2atin >merican countries and for ;KKA for Middle Fastern 7ountries& Sour9es: AdBertising AgeM ;" /oBem<er, ;EE7 and ;; /oBem<er, ;EEC

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter=

I/)0R/A)I1/AL 06*0RI0/C0

=3;

0UR1*0A/ U/I1/ .IR0C)I70

Onder the current draft of the FO 'irecti%e on tobacco ad%ertising many of the e5amples of indirect ad%ertising cited abo%e should be prohibited& The 'irecti%e co%ers/ Many form of commercial communication with the aim or direct or indirect effect of promoting a tobacco product including ad%ertising which while not specifically mentioning the tobacco product tries to circum%ent any ad%ertising ban by using brand names trademar$s emblems or other distincti%e features of tobacco products&M :owe%er the 'irecti%e does permit brand#stretching pro%ided that the appearance is clearly distinct from that of any tobacco product& >rticle 6&! of the 'irecti%e states/ Paragraph ; Rbanning all forms of tobacco ad%ertisingS shall not pre%ent the Member States from allowing a brand name already used in good faith both for tobacco products and for other goods or ser%ices traded or offered by a gi%en underta$ing or by different underta$ings prior to to be used for the ad%ertising of those goods or ser%ices& :owe%er this brand name may not be used e5cept in a manner clearly distinct from that used for the tobacco product without any further distinguishing mar$ already used for a tobacco product& The future of brand#stretching therefore rests on the definition of Mclearly distinctM& Gi%en the inadequacy of the OK %oluntary agreement to control tobacco ad%ertising as demonstrated with the e5ample of the 7amel boots ad cited abo%e this wording is inadequate as it still allows the brand name to be used& :owe%er under >rticle A the 'irecti%e allows indi%idual member states to go further than the minimum requirements currently set out in the draft te5t& >rticle A states/ This 'irecti%e shall not preclude Member States from laying down in accordance with the treaty such stricter requirements concerning the ad%ertising or sponsorship of tobacco products as they deem necessary to guarantee the health protection of indi%iduals& The Go%ernment should therefore be urged to adopt stronger measures in order to pre%ent the e5ploitation of potential loopholes in the 'irecti%e by the tobacco industry& The tobacco industry needs to recruit new smo$ers e%ery year to replace those who die from tobacco#related diseases& The industryIs %ery sur%i%al depends on new teenage customers& Few people start smo$ing as adults& Thus children are the industryIs most significant target& The tobacco industryIs own documents *see bo5+ demonstrate this proposition& 3t is therefore little wonder that tobacco companies spend billions of dollars in their efforts to entice children into smo$ing&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

3n ;KJ@ a tobacco company mar$et researcher wrote in a pre%iously secret internal report/ MCounger adult smo$ers ha%e been the critical factor in the growth and decline of e%ery major brand and company o%er the last A" years& They will continue to be just as important to brands1companies in the future for two simple reasons/ The renewal of the mar$et stems almost entirely from ;J#year#old smo$ers& .o more than A percent of smo$ers start after age !@& R>ndS the brand loyalty of ;J#year#old smo$ers far outweighs any tendency to switch with age&&& ,rands1companies which fail to attract their fair share of younger adult smo$ers face an uphill battle& They must achie%e net switching gains e%ery year to merely hold share&&& Counger adult smo$ers are the only source of replacement smo$ers&&& 3f younger adults turn away from smo$ing the industry must decline just as a population which does not gi%e birth will e%entually dwindle&M Coung >dult Smo$ers/ Strategies and 4pportunites -&8& -eynolds Tobacco 7ompany !K February ;KJ@& 7hildren around the world are surrounded by ad%ertisements portraying tobacco use as fun sophisticated modern and Gestern& 3n many countries cigarette ad%ertisements dominate the radio stations most popular with teenagers& Tobacco ad%ertising e5ploits the %ulnerabilities of youth by offering tobacco as the means to a positi%e self#image and as the $ey to acceptance by their peers& >d%ertising also sends the message that smo$ing is an MadultM beha%iour and offers cigarettes as a badge of independence and maturity& Tobacco ad%ertising con%eys the message that smo$ing is the $ey to social success and upward mobility a powerful draw for young people& This is despite the fact that in many de%eloped countries smo$ing rates are significantly higher among the poor and less educated& Some tobacco companies ha%e used cartoon images in their ad%ertising with %ery successful results& The M8oe 7amelM campaign catapulted 8oeIs brand of cigarettes from one smo$ed by less than ;E of O& S& smo$ers under age ;J to a one#third share of the youth mar$et within three years& That same cartoon camel was found to ha%e a high le%el of recognition among three#year#olds who were as familiar with him as with

'&6

US" . F EEDOM OF CHOICE

3n the Onited States the tobacco industry began aggressi%ely targeting women with the introduction of a MwomenIs cigaretteM in ;KDJ& Githin si5 years the number of teenaged girls smo$ing had more than doubled& The same patterns are being repeated in a host of other countries& Tobacco companies say that tobacco ad%ertising is only used to promote brand switching among smo$ers& :owe%er studies suggest that the more cigarette companies ad%ertise the more people especially young people start or continue to smo$e& Studies show that adolescents smo$e the most hea%ily ad%ertised brand in a proportion far greater than among adults& 7igarette ad%ertising also reinforces en%ironmental stimuli to smo$e&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Tobacco ad%ertising and promotion aims at e5panding the mar$et for their products specifically through the targeting of those populations among which there is greatest potential for growth including youth& 7igarette ad%ertisements undermine and deflect smo$ersI concerns about safety and ser%e to reassure smo$ers or potential smo$ers that cigarettes are not harmful& Many people do not ta$e the ris$s of smo$ing seriously partly because ad%ertising portrays smo$ing as innocent and benign& Tobacco companies claim that they should ha%e the freedom to ad%ertise their products& :owe%er most smo$ers begin smo$ing when they are too young to understand the ris$s and by the time they are old enough to ma$e an informed choice their addiction undermines their freedom of choice& Ghen unfair and untruthful commercial speech is not restricted other important freedoms are placed in jeopardy including childrenIs freedom from deception misrepresentation and psychological manipulation by ad%ertising& Product placement is another means of increasing the social acceptability of smo$ing& Tobacco companies pay large sums of money to film companies so that their cigarettes will be used in feature films& For e5ample a prominent >merican actor was paid OS V A"" """ to ensure the placement of one companyIs cigarettes in his films& Product placement payment can also influence script writing decisions& 2ois 2ane in Superman mo%ies was a smo$er but the comic boo$ 2ois 2ane ne%er smo$ed] S$onsors%i$ >s more countries around the world mo%e to ban tobacco ad%ertising tobacco companies are quic$ to di%ert their attention to the sponsoring of sports and cultural e%ents& This gi%es them an ideal opportunity to reach large audiences of young people& 3n addition to cle%erly circum%enting tobacco ad%ertising bans companies attempt to use these e%ents to impro%e their image& 3n many de%eloping countries roc$ concerts with their enormous following of young fans ha%e been a magnet for tobacco industry sponsorship& 3n countries where cigarette ad%ertising is banned or restricted sponsoring li%e or tele%ised concerts enables the companies to get around local regulations& 3n Taiwan one multinational tobacco company sponsored a concert with a popular teen idol in which the only accepted admission Mtic$etM was fi%e empty pac$ets of the companyIs cigarettes& Through the promotion of sports e%ents tobacco companies gain widespread e5posure for their brands and are able to lin$ tobacco with health and athletic prowess& Coung people seeing cigarette logos lin$ed with health e5citement speed and triumph are li$ely to lose sight of the reality of death disease and addiction& > ;KK@ ad%ertisment by Formula 4ne race promotors directed to the tobacco industry claimed that the M&&&Formula 4ne car is the most powerful ad%ertising space in the world&M

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

(ree Cigarette +iBea'ays Gith an addicti%e product it doesnIt ta$e much to hoo$ a new customer& For the tobacco companies the e5pense of gi%ing away free samples is o%ershadowed by the potential for long#term gains especially from new young customers& >lthough some countries ha%e already banned free cigarette samples this practice still continues in many countries& >t roc$ concerts and discos around the world attracti%e young women hand out popular brands of international cigarettes& 3n some cases those who accept a lit cigarette on the spot are rewarded with a free gift& > multitude of other e5amples where young people ha%e been targeted for free cigarette samples ha%e been reported around the world particularly in less de%eloped countries& Ghen children become wal$ing cigarette ad%ertisements/ 7igarette#,randed Merchandise& >nother popular means of $eeping cigarette brands in the public eye and circum%enting restrictions on ad%ertising using cigarette logos on other products such as caps and T#shirts& Many of these products are popular with children around the world and they soon become wal$ing cigarette ad%ertisements& 7ounterad%ertising can be a useful addition to a tobacco control campaign& 3n countries around the world young people are e5posed to highly effecti%e tobacco ad%ertising on a daily basis& Tobacco companies spend billions of dollars each year to promote tobacco products an amount which dwarfs the resources a%ailable to most tobacco control programmes& Thus one important requirement for an effecti%e pre%ention programme is to seriously limit the ability of the tobacco industry to hoo$ a new generation of smo$ers through ad%ertising& >t the same time a number of countries ha%e produced anti#tobacco ad%ertisements for distribution %ia mass media& Many of these ads are targeted at young people with the aim of de#glamoriLing tobacco& There are often possibilities for free distribution of these ads in the form of public ser%ice announcements& :owe%er they are only useful if they are seen and not broadcast only during times when most %iewers are asleep& 3n some situations carefully selected paid counter#ad%ertising campaigns may be worth the cost& 3n the OS> 'octors 4ught to 7are *'47+ pioneered the concept of using paid counterad%ertising to ridicule brand name tobacco ad%ertising and promotion& :ealth interests can ne%er hope to match the spending by tobacco interests on paid media ad%ertising and probably should not try& :owe%er paid media ad%ertising when used with precision can be an effecti%e tool in a comprehensi%e effort to discourage tobacco consumption& 4ne way of funding this would be to use a portion of increased cigarette ta5es for this purpose& F5amples of this strategy may be seen in se%eral states in the OS> as well as in other countries such as >ustralia France and .ew Bealand

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

=3=

CHI/A: )H0 LAS) (R1/)I0R

For the cigarette companies the 7hinese mar$et represents the pro%erbial mother lode a potential sa%ior from declining sales at home& 4ne out of e%ery three cigarettes smo$ed in the world today is smo$ed in 7hina& 4ne third of all 7hinese adults *D0 percent of men and @ percent of women+ or close to 6A" million people already smo$e an estimated ;&0 trillion cigarettes per year& ; >s one multinational cigarette company e5ecuti%e puts it MThin$ing about 7hinese smo$ing statistics is li$e trying to thin$ about the limits of space&M ! The human toll in 7hina from smo$ing is staggering& 2ung cancer and other smo$ing# related diseases are the most common causes of death in 7hina accounting for some 0"" """ fatalities per year which is projected to rise to 6 million by the year !"!A& 6 > recent study of middle#aged men in Shanghai showed that !; percent of deaths were attributed to cigarette smo$ing& @ >nother study in the 8ournal of the >merican Medical >ssociation stated that smo$ing# related illnesses could e%entually $ill ;A" million current smo$ers in 7hina& A Since smo$ing rates among women and youth are comparati%ely low they are sure to be a target of the foreign tobacco companies& >s tobacco control e5pert 8udith Mac$ay notes Mthe greatest single opportunity for pre%ention of non#communicable diseases in the world would be to pre%ent a rise in smo$ing among girls and women in 7hina&M D 7hinaIs huge mar$et has made it the prime target of the multinational tobacco companies& :istorically 7hinaIs cigarette mar$et has been highly protected with foreign multinationals barred from operating in the country& 4%er the past ;A years howe%er as 7hinaIs economy has begun to open up the tobacco sector has been transformed& :ungry for technology mar$eting strategies and capital the state#owned 7hina .ational Tobacco 7orporation *7.T7+ has begun to form joint %entures and other unprecedented partnerships with foreign tobacco companies& :a%ing signed these agreements M7.T7 is e%entually doomed to go the way of all the Fastern Furopean and South >merican monopolies ta$en o%er by the transnationals M says Mac$ay& 0 >lthough 7.T7Is primary concern is ma$ing money for the state it used to be $nown for its willingness to ac$nowledge the dangers of smo$ing and 7.T7 officials met often with health wor$ers to discuss anti#smo$ing education programs& That all began to change in ;KJJ health wor$ers say when it signed its first joint %enture with -8 -eynolds& J Philip Morris recently entered into a number of joint %entures with 7.T7 to grow tobacco as part of an agreement to produce and sell Marlboro cigarettes in both domestic and foreign mar$ets& K -8 -eynolds has built a cigarette factory as part of a joint %enture with 7.T7 to produce !&A billion 7amels Ginstons and Golden ,ridges *a local brand+ annually&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

;" ,ritish >merican Tobacco is in%ol%ed in a project to increase leaf production with seeds that the company has de%eloped in other countries& 4ther foreign companies ha%e been in%ol%ed in a number of initiati%es ranging from the introduction of new tobacco seeds to the importation of high speed cigarette ma$ing equipment to the construction of tobacco processing factories& Smuggling is also helping foreign cigarette manufacturers enter the 7hinese mar$et *see MSmuggling/ 'e%eloping ,rand 2oyaltyM abo%e+& Many obser%ers belie%e that the multinational companies are in%ol%ed in smuggling as a way for them to de%elop brand loyalty prior to the full opening of the 7hinese mar$et& Smuggling also encourages more people especially young people to smo$e since smuggled cigarettes are cheaper often selling at one third the cost of legal cigarettes& 7hina accounts for about 60 percent of the worldIs tobacco leaf production and generates about 6; percent of the worldIs cigarettes& ;; >lthough 7hinese tobacco e5ports currently represent only about D percent of the world total analysts say the country is rapidly emerging as a major e5porter& 3n ;KK0 tobacco e5ports reached 0D """ tons %alued at a record V@J" million& ;! Gith increasing e5ports to the mainland meanwhile :ong Kong has become the regionIs largest e5porter of cigarettes&Smo$ing in most public areas in 7hina is restricted including in schools theaters department stores museums and stadiums and on public transportation and all domestic flights& Onfortunately the ban is often ignored& The fine for smo$ing in public places is just ;" yuan *about V;+ or less than the cost of a pac$ of imported cigarettes& ;6 The wee$ prior to the ;"th Gorld 7onference on Tobacco or :ealth in ,eijing in >ugust ;KK0 a group of ;6J ministerial#le%el officials signed a highly publiciLed pledge not to smo$e in public places and promised to persuade their aides and children to quit& This was considered an important accomplishment since many leaders ha%e reached a ripe old age and continue to smo$e sending a false message that smo$ing is not necessarily bad for your health& 7hina has passed laws banning tobacco ads on tele%ision radio and in the print media and requiring that all tobacco ad%ertisements include the warning/ MSmo$ing is haLardous to your health&M 7igarette ad%ertisements are forbidden from encouraging youth smo$ing and health warnings must co%er a minimum of ;" percent of the ad%ertisementIs space& ;@ ,y ;KK0 6"" cities including ,eijing had become MTobacco >d%ertisement#Free 7ities&M >ccording to a Ministry of Public :ealth spo$esman M4ur aim is dri%e out tobacco ad%ertising from our cities one by one until all the ad%ertising is eradicated from 7hina&M 3n legislation adopted in the early ;KK"s :ong Kong banned tobacco ads on TN and radio and in cinemas& 3n ;KKK the ban will be e5tended to print media and billboard ad%ertising& These actions notwithstanding cigarette ma$ers ha%e little trouble s$irting the ad restrictions& :istorically 7.T7 has done %ery little ad%ertising& Cet with the growing presence of multinational tobacco companies cigarette ad%ertising has increased dramatically *see M>d%ertising 3ll#:ealthM abo%e+& ,y simply lea%ing the word McigaretteM out of their ads foreign companies ha%e circum%ented 7hinaIs ad%ertising laws leading to a slew of billboards promoting the pleasures of the MMarlboro GorldM and similar sentiments&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

;A Philip Morris *which is the biggest single source of ad%ertising re%enue in 7hina;D+ -8 -eynolds and ,>T ha%e also spent millions of dollars in recent years on other forms of ad%ertising including promotional gi%eaways and sponsorship of music and sports e%ents& 7ash#strapped soccer bas$etball or tennis associations will ta$e the money where they can get it and the foreign tobacco companies ha%e plenty to gi%e& Such sponsorship of sporting e%ents is of great concern to tobacco control acti%ists since it is so widespread and ma$es the lin$ between cigarettes and healthy acti%ities& The tobacco industry accounts for appro5imately ;" percent of all go%ernment ta5 re%enues representing the largest single industrial ta5 source& ;0 F%en so cigarettes continue to be relati%ely cheap in 7hina& 2egally imported foreign cigarettes cost a little o%er V; per pac$ and many local brands are significantly cheaper& > ;KK6 study showed that an additional penny ta5 on each pac$ of cigarettes sold would generate about VKD@ million in re%enues or the equi%alent of the go%ernmentIs annual health budget& ;J Tobacco control acti%ists are pushing for higher ta5es in order to discourage smo$ers& Onfortunately proposals to raise the cigarette ta5 by half a cent ha%e been defeated in the national parliament on at least two occasions& ;K >s is often the case the go%ernment is torn between the desire to conser%e its biggest single source of ta5 re%enue and an obligation to protect the populationIs health& Studies ha%e shown howe%er that in the long term it is in the countryIs health and economic interest to control tobacco use since the re%enues raised from the tobacco industry do not co%er the economic and health related costs of smo$ing& The G:4 estimates for e5ample that in ;KK6 7hina gained V@&K billion in cigarette ta5es but lost V0&J billion in producti%ity and additional healthcare costs& !" 4n a household le%el the economic costs of cigarette smo$ing are equally astounding& > study of smo$ing habits in the Minhang 'istrict in ;KK6 showed that smo$ers spent an a%erage of D" percent of their personal income and ;0 percent of household income on cigarettes& !; > study of peasants outside Shanghai found that the a%erage farmer spent more on tobacco and rice wine than on grain por$ and fruit& !! There is still a great need in 7hina for public education regarding the ris$s of smo$ing& -ecent studies ha%e found that few people $now that smo$ing can cause lung cancer& 4ne study showed that 6A percent of school students actually thought that smo$ing was good for your health& !6 3t doesnIt help that role models continue to smo$e in public& For e5ample about AA percent of male medical wor$ers continue to smo$e& !@ .owhere are the sta$es for tobacco control efforts higher& >s Mac$ay notes M3f multinational tobacco companies could capture the 7hina mar$et it wouldnIt ma$e a difference if e%ery >merican stopped smo$ing tomorrow&M

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

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MALA8SIA: BRA/. S)R0)CH0.

4%er the past decade the Malaysian go%ernment has implemented a number of tobacco control measures including raising ta5es banning smo$ing in most public places and setting ma5imum limits for tar and nicotine in cigarettes& The 7ontrol of Tobacco Products -egulations ;KK6 also prohibited all direct ad%ertising& :owe%er indirect ad%ertising is still allowed& The tobacco industry quic$ly e5ploited the indirect ad%ertising loophole and Malaysia has now become a showcase of tobacco brand#stretching& -esearch in ;KKD re%ealed that four of the top ten ad%ertisers in Malaysia had a cigarette brand in their names/ Peter Stuy%esant Tra%el ,enson H :edges ,istro 'unhill >ccessories and Salem 7ool Planet& ,>T which owns the licence for ,enson H :edges cigarettes outside the OK was one of the first to test the indirect ad%ertising route& Faced with a declining mar$et share the company opened the ,enson H :edges ,istro in Kuala 2umpur and ad%ertised the cafe on tele%ision& Two years later sales of ,enson H :edges cigarettes had stabilised and the ,enson H :edges ,istro was one of the most frequently recalled TN commercials& ,>T is now de%eloping a range of coffee products also carrying the ,H: logo which may be e5tended to other countries& The official ,>T policy is that the gold#coloured coffee#house and coffee brands are entirely separate from the companyIs tobacco operations& :owe%er the shopIs manager sees the situation differently/ M4f course this is all about $eeping the ,enson H :edges brand name to the front& Ge ad%ertise the ,enson H :edges ,istro on tele%ision and in the newspapers& The idea is to be smo$er#friendly& Smo$ers associate a coffee with a cigarette& They are both drugs of a type&M ;; The net effect of indirect ad%ertising has been to undermine the law and other tobacco control measures to the e5tent that the number of smo$ers in Malaysia is increasing by around 6E per year& The Go%ernment has now recognised the problem and the :ealth Minister has said that the country must Mwor$ toward banning indirect ad%ertisements of tobacco productsM&

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(RA/C0: )H0 BRA/. M1.0L

Onder the ;KK; loi F%in all tobacco ad%ertising both direct and indirect was banned with effect from 8anuary ;KK6& The law bans the mar$eting of brand name deri%ati%es e5cept those produced before ;KK" by companies without legal or financial lin$s with tobacco manufacturers& 3n ;KKA the French national tobacco control organisation 7.7T sued Furopromotion a company which ad%ertised Peter Stuy%esant Tra%el modelled on the cigarette brand logo& 7.7T was able to show that the tra%el agency was lin$ed to the tobacco brand of the same name and successfully argued that the ad%ertising campaign was a Mblatant case of indirect ad%ertising for tobaccoM& 'espite this and other prosecutions the tobacco companies ha%e persisted in trying to ad%ertise their products in France through indirect ad%ertising&;!

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter?

/A)I1/AL 06*0RI0/C0

> company can learn a great deal by analysing loyalty in its mar$et& 3t should study the characteristics of the hard# core loyals if any& This would pin#point the target mar$et& ,y studying its soft#core loyals the company can pin#point which brands are most competiti%e& ,y loo$ing at customers who are shifting away from its brand the company can learn about its mar$eting wea$nesses& The reason why people are witching brands so often may be studied& This may gi%e ideas for new product de%elopment& For e5ample& NaLir Sultan Tobacco *NST+ company made a thorough study of the smo$ing population of the country in the year ;K0K and identified a segment of the mar$et consisting of modern educated youth who were not happy with the brands of cigarettes e5isting then& This was the middle#priced filter cigarette group where %arious brands *Gills Four Square -egent etc&+ were trying a 7atch all StrategyI& .ormally smo$ers are loyal to one brand of cigarette li$e 7harminar Gills Filter or Scissors& ,ut this group was not loyal to one specific brand& NST also found out through further in%estigation that the segment cherished youthfulness and liberation& NST responded to this opportunity by introducing 7harms cigarette in a denim pac$ which symbolised youthfulness and liberation& The spirit of freedom was emphasised in their ad%ertise# ments& 7harms created history in cigarette mar$eting in 3ndia by becoming e5tremely popular in a short duration& 2et us see another e5ample from international arena& 7oca# 7ola 7ompany in order to respond to the Pepsi challenge wanted to catch the youth by introducing a new co$e in place of their traditional co$e& The new co$e was rated better in taste compared to Pepsi 7ola in blind tests with the labels tapped& ,ut the new 7ola when introduced into the mar$et was not accepted by the consumers for the simple reason that the loyal customers of the old co$e would not touch anything other than the former 7o$e from the 7oca#7ola 7ompany& 4n popular demand they had to bring bac$ the old 7ola into the mar$et besides the new co$e& > similar thing happened to 7inthol in 3ndia& Ghen the .ew 7inthol was introduced the loyal users of the soap wanted the 4ld 7inthol bac$& Godrej responded positi%ely by declaring through media that the consumers could choose either old or the new 7inthol and made both of them a%ailable in retain outlets& 3n the tooth#paste mar$et a number of companies tried to challenge the uncrowned monarch 7olgateI& ,ut for many people tooth#paste means only 7olgate& Though Promise and 7lose#up ha%e had some success in the tooth#paste mar$et 7olgate continues to control a %ery large share of the mar$et because of the brand loyalty it has created among consumers& 3n the case of baby#care items mothers ha%e undi%ided loyalty to 8ohnson H 8ohnson products& That is why e%en hea%y#weights li$e Ponds or Gipro could not get a foothold in the baby#care mar$et& 4nly an understanding of the loyalty status of different segments of the consumers would help the company de%elop better mar$eting strategies& The measurement of brand loyalty is not %ery difficult& The following questions are indicati%e of the type of questions as$ed in a sur%ey research to measure brand loyalty&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Ghat is the brand of ^^^^^^^^^^^^ *P-4'O7T+ you are using currently= :ow long ha%e you been using this brand= Ghat was the brand you were using earlier= 7ould you please tell the reasons why you switched o%er to the current brand=

>nswers to the abo%e questions can throw light on a number of issues li$e loyalty status of consumers switching pattern of consumers from one brand to another and also the reasons for switching& 3f a number of people are switching away the brand being studied one could find out the dominant reasons for the change and ta$e correcti%e actions& > sur%ey of this type done at least once a year would re%eal a number of things that could be e5tremely useful to the mar$eting e5ecuti%es& Furthermore companies use panel data such as the data collected by 3ndian Mar$et -esearch ,ureau *IMRB+ from its :ousehold Purchase Panel which monitors the purchase beha%iour of ;" """ housewi%es across si5 metros in 3ndia& 3T7 has set up through 3M-, a smo$ers panel to understand loyalty status of smo$ers& M1.0 another mar$eting research firm maintains a rural household panel& >ttempting to formulate mar$eting strategies for a firm by merely loo$ing at the sales figure will not help a great deal& 3t might e%en be misleading because the growth in sales might ha%e come about due to o%erall mar$et growth or on account of non#a%ailability of a competing brand during the period under consideration& 3n many companies mar$eting strategy formulation e5ercise simply means meddling with figures such as mar$et share demand forecast ad%ertising and promotion e5penditure etc& Some other companies go a little further to understand the competitorsI strengths wea$nesses and their major strategies& Nery few companies spend their time and energy to understand the consumer and the way the consumer decides on a specific brand which can help the planners de%elop better mar$eting strategies& This could be the di%iding line between successful companies and the also#rans&

?3;

)1BACC1 A.S HA70 IM*AC)333 1/ 41M0/

MGomen belie%e that cigarette ad%ertising does not affect them& 3nstead they thin$ that cigarette companies spend so much money on ad%ertising because it affects others M said Mary :rywna project coordinator for the 'i%ision of 7ancer Pre%ention and 7ontrol at Georgetown Oni%ersity Medical 7enter& She presented her study of ;DJ students at a womenIs college in .ew 8ersey *conducted while she was at -utgers Oni%ersity+ at the ;!Ath annual meeting of the >merican Public :ealth >ssociation held in 3ndianapolis last .o%ember& :er study found that women are affected by tobacco ad%ertising& Gomen in the study completed a self#administered questionnaire querying their opinions on magaLine e5posure body image concerns cigarette ad%ertising and smo$ing norms and ris$s& Twenty#si5 percent of the women were current smo$ers 6@ percent were nonsmo$ers who had tried smo$ing and @" percent were nonsmo$ers who ne%er tried smo$ing& Most of the smo$ers first smo$ed when they were ;A years old and started smo$ing regularly at age ;0& The majority of the women were white *AK&J percent+ with the second largest group being >sian >mericans *;A&K percent+&

A6

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

-espondents agreed that the purpose of cigarette ad%ertising was to/ create brand loyalty *JA&0 percent+ ma$e you switch from one brand to another *0D&J+ ma$e you smo$e more *0"&J+ ma$e you start smo$ing *D6&;+ ma$e you renew the habit *@0&0+ and pre%ent you from quitting the habit *@A&J+& Ghen as$ed what brand they had seen the most in ad%ertisements A6 percent said Marlboro !D&! percent said 7amel J&J said Nirginia Slims 0&A said .ewport and @&A percent said Mother&M Si5ty#fi%e percent of the current smo$ers said they smo$ed Marlboro ;A percent said .ewport was their brand of choice ;A percent were not brand loyal and A percent smo$ed other brands& Many of the women recogniLed that each brand has its own image& >nd the popularity of Marlboro#a brand targeted to men#was attributed to the idea that MitIs not cool to be a girl anymore&M MGhat 3 found more interesting about the results from the focus group was how easily they described and related to the image they saw in brand ad%ertising along with the finding from the questionnaire that they indeed smo$e the most ad%ertised brand Marlboro M said Ms& :rywna& MThese students place %ery little confidence in the ability of ad%ertisers to alter their beha%ior yet they can describe the image associated with the most popular brands and they smo$e them]M 'uring focus groups both smo$ers and nonsmo$ers said that cigarette ad%ertising does not accurately reflect real smo$ers and that smo$ing is an unattracti%e beha%ior& Smo$ers had no problem admitting in the focus group that they were addicted to the tobacco& ,ut in their responses to the questionnaire smo$ers re%ealed that although they belie%e that smo$ing is an unattracti%e beha%ior they continue to smo$e because of social aspects the MbuLLM they got enjoyment and to help alle%iate stress in their li%es& 3t is obser%ed that image oriented brand ad%ertising is appealing to female smo$ers and to some degree is successful& Coung women smo$e the most ad%ertised brands and belie%e that the purpose of ad%ertising is to encourage brand loyalty Tobacco Gars in 3ndia 7igarette#ma$er Godfrey Phillips 3ndia 2td *GP3+ is planning to launch new brands in the premium $ingsiLe segment& The company plans to in%est !A per cent of its net profits into new brand launches in the ne5t two years& 3n the regular segments the company is planning brand e5tensions& 4n Friday the company launched Four Square Gold in the 0@ mm mini $ings category in the city& The a%owed intention is to ta$e on Gills from the 3ndian Tobacco 7ompany *3T7+ stable which is the only player in this segment& 3n Mumbai Gills sales are around A" to A! million stic$s and nationwide its sales are in the region of ;"" to ;6" million& Further it is predicted that in the ne5t ;! months GP3 has planned a target sales figure of around ;" to ;A per cent of GillsI sales adding that in the ne5t four months they would be spending -s 6&A crore in promoting the brand& The new product which was two years in the ma$ing has an e5tra long filter of ;A mm and is a%ailable at -s ;0&A" for a pac$ of ten& 2ast year GP3 launched its

A@

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

largely rural brand -ed H Ghite in Mumbai in an attempt to go in for a brand positioning change& 3n Mumbai Goldfla$e from 3T7 holds the lionIs share of the mar$et selling D" million stic$s& Four Square special comes second with AA million stic$s and Gills is third& 3ncidentally the company is planning to discontinue the use of film stars and other cult personalities for promoting -HG with a %iew to discourage minors from smo$ing he said adding that it would replace it with an ad%ertisement campaign targeted at adults& This is part of an o%erall strategy being pursued by the company in its commitment to social responsibilities& GP3 has three major cigarette brands # Four Square -HG and 7a%ender# which brings in K" per cent of the re%enues of the company& Phillips Morris of the OK ma$ers of Marlboro cigarettes holds a sta$e of 6D per cent in GP3 the 'elhi#based KK Modi group has a sta$e of 66 per cent while the remaining is with financial institutions and the public& (our S&uare +old starts mega mini 'ar G>- clouds are gathering o%er the mini $ing cigarette segment now that Godfrey Phillips 3ndia *GP3+ has launched its Four Square Gold in Mumbai across !0 """ retail outlets& GP3Is debut in long filter *0@mm+ will ta$e on 3T7##which puffs on 0" per cent of the total mar$et##and its mini $ing brand Gills .a%y 7ut& Priced at -s ;0&A" for a pac$ of ;" its trade margins too are on par with Gills& The brandIs edge is that it offers the __?uality of Gold Fla$e at the price of Gills& 3ts filter length is longer than Gills and its blend offers a smooth smo$e##which is the way the world is going anyway mar$eting GP3 predicts& :e sees the brand notching ;6#;A million stic$s per month for Mumbai alone& >n all#3ndia launch will ta$e place in phased manner& 3n ;KJ0 Four Square Kings was on par with Gills& Then the e5cise structure changed and Gills cut its price and changed into mini $ing& This placed the GP3 brand in direct conflict with goliath Gold Fla$e& 3t concerted guerilla mar$eting tactics from the house of 3T7 since their Mumbai launch on 'ecember ;& >n e5ample/ the brandIs point of purchase material is being brought down in persuasi%e manner across retail outlets he says& 3tIs no secret that P4Ps are the main brand recall aids with smo$ers who tend to buy cigarettes e%en two to three times a day& Gell 3T7 seems to ha%e its guard up this time& Ghile Four Square Gold has laser perforations Gold Fla$e 2ights was launched a short while ago and %aunts its _laser perforationsI& >nd in 4ctober Gills launched a !"s pac$##usually !"s are seen as enhancers of brand aura< in mid#.o%ember it came out with a ; ! 6## consumer loyalty programme& 7ounters from GP3 would hardly be feasible gi%en 3T7Is huge muscle and brand arsenal says Mr ,arooah& Says an 3T7 spo$esperson/ __3tIs premature to say if Four Square Gold is a threat& >nyway we are aggressi%ely running the Gills ; ! 6 offer *and P4Ps+ across the country##not just Mumbai&II Ghile Four Square King and Four Square Special are smo$ed by the @"#year#plus Gold aims for the upwardly mobile !A#6A#year old& :ong Kong#based design consultants Tony McKnew and .achtigali ha%e created an i%ory white pac$ with the traditional squares in gold underlaid by gold pinstripes which ma$e the pac$ loo$ slimmer& 3nstead of the usual patriarch ad%ertising of _one ad for parent brandI the new ad commercial from 4gil%y H Mather is brand#specific& 3t in%ites consumers to _F5plore the refreshing new taste of Four Square Gold&I Frames pan across sea s$y dolphins& 3tIs shot on the ,ahamas

AA

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

waters by renowned photographer Stephen Frin$ the same chap whoIs done documentaries on nature marine life and yes the Titanic for channels li$e 'isco%ery& The storyline unra%els a young 3ndian director who leads an international film crew for an ad%enturous and challenging shoot on water& Ghy water= 3t cues into smoothness freshness and possibilities for ad%enture and unlimited action& >ll these fit with Four SquareIs core brand %alues of daring dynamism with a spirit of outdoor ad%enture& ,rand loyalty influences on consumer beha%ior& The new millennium is not just a new beginning< it is a continuation of trends in human beha%ior that ha%e been following cyclical patterns throughout our countryIs history& 8ust because we ha%e entered a new era does not mean we ha%e to start from scratch when it comes to interpreting why certain consumers are loyal to certain brands and what type of factors influence these allegiances& Customer May Be 1'ed Un9laimed Money ,rand 2oyalty is the consumerIs conscious or unconscious decision e5pressed through intention or beha%ior to repurchase a brand continually& 3t occurs because the consumer percei%es that the brand offers the right product features image or le%el of quality at the right price& 7onsumer beha%ior is habitual because habits are safe and familiar& 3n order to create brand loyalty ad%ertisers must brea$ consumer habits help them acquire new habits and reinforce those habits by reminding consumers of the %alue of their purchase and encourage them to continue purchasing those products in the future& The image surrounding a companyIs brand is the principal source of its competiti%e ad%antage and is therefore a %aluable strategic asset& Onfortunately many companies are not adept at disseminating a strong clear message that not only distinguishes their brand from the competitorsI but distinguishes it in a memorable and positi%e manner& The challenge for all brands is to a%oid the pitfalls of portraying a muddled or negati%e image and instead create a broad brand %ision or identity that recogniLes a brand as something greater than a set of attributes that can be imitated or surpassed& 3n fact a company should %iew its brand to be not just a product or ser%ice but as an o%erall brand image that defines a company)s philosophies& > brand needs more than identity< it needs a personality& 8ust li$e a person without attention#grabbing characteristics a brand with no personality can easily be passed right o%er& > strong symbol or company logo can also help to generate brand loyalty by ma$ing it quic$ly identifiable& From the design of a new product to the e5tension of a mature brand effecti%e mar$eting strategies depend on a thorough understanding of the moti%ation learning memory and decision processes that influence what consumers buy Theories of consumer beha%ior ha%e been repeatedly lin$ed to managerial decisions in%ol%ing de%elopment and launching of new products segmentation timing of mar$et entry and brand management& Subsequently the issue of brand loyalty has been e5amined at great length& ,randing is by far one of the most important factors influencing an itemIs success or failure in the mar$etplace and can ha%e a dramatic impact on how the Mcompany behind the brandM is percei%ed by the buying public& 3n other words the brand is not just a

AD

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

representation of a companyIs product< it is a symbol of the company itself and that is where the core of brand loyalty lies&

?36

TOP 3 TECHNI+UES TO *UILD * "ND LO!"LT!

;3 Ma$e sure your product or ser%ice >2G>CS G3NFS more than the customer e5pected& !3 ?uality/ 3tIs hard to build long term brand loyalty when your short term quality is below par& =3 ,latantly increase your ad frequency of any ad that has been tested to be successful until youI%e reached the point of no more increased return and then ease off !AE& ?3 -emember that brand loyalty can be ways that youIre able to tap into the daily1wee$ly1monthly habits of your customers beha%ior& :ow can you ma$e your product or ser%ice part of your customers routine= @3 Ma$e your customer a MFM,F-& Gi%e them the feeling of true ownership in your product or ser%ice by ma$ing them proud to own it& C3 >.SGF- your phone under 6 rings and with a smile& -emember that your telephone etiquette is part of your brand& 73 Fducate your employees and1or contractors to the importance of how they are also the brand and what that means and how they can impact customer opinion so easily&

)&'

D" K SIDE OF TO*"CCO CONSUMPTION

The number of people worldwide who die each year from tobacco#related disease will rise from the current 6&A million to ;" million by the year !"!A& > majority of these deaths will occur in the Third Gorld and Fastern Furope& Gi%en current trends more than ;"" million people will die from tobacco#related illness o%er the ne5t 6" years e5ceeding the toll from >3'S tuberculosis automobile accidents maternal mortality homicide and suicide combined& The Onited States is home to two of the worldIs three largest multinational cigarette companies and is the worldIs largest e5porter of cigarettes& 3n recent years Philip Morris -8 -eynolds and ,ritish >merican Tobacco *,>T+ ha%e registered double#digit growth in international cigarette sales with Philip Morris and -8 -eynolds now selling more cigarettes abroad than they do in the Onited States& Philip Morris already ma$es more profit selling cigarettes abroad than in the Onited States and -8 -eynolds and ,rown H Gilliamson *,>TIs O&S& subsidiary+ will soon do the same& More and more of these cigarettes are being manufactured o%erseas the result of two decades of hea%y spending on ad%ertising buying newly pri%atiLed cigarette companies setting up joint %entures and building distribution and sales networ$s& 3n ;KK0 for e5ample only ;J percent of the cigarettes -8 -eynolds sold o%erseas were made in the Onited States& > number of factors ha%e dri%en this o%erseas e5pansion including/ the opening up of formerly socialist economies< cheaper labor and transport costs< the attempt by these A0 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

companies to shield an increasing proportion of their assets from lawsuits in de%eloped countries< and the desire to locate cigarette manufacturing plants closer to sources of tobacco leaf an increasing proportion of which is being purchased o%erseas& This o%erseas e5pansion has transformed the tobacco industry around the globe& 7urrently Philip Morris -8 -eynolds and ,>T each own or lease plants in at least A" different countries spanning all corners of the globe& Ghere%er O&S& cigarettes go smo$ing rates rise& Smo$ing rates in 8apan South Korea Thailand and Taiwan rose ;" percent higher than they would ha%e following the massi%e inflow of >merican cigarettes after the O&S& Trade -epresentati%e forced these countries to open their mar$ets to O&S& tobacco e5ports& Multinational cigarette companies are among the worldIs largest ad%ertisers& >s more and more countries adopt restrictions on direct cigarette ad%ertising these companies ha%e de%ised new and creati%e ways to s$irt these bans& ,y sponsoring sporting e%ents and teams roc$ concerts and discos these companies get e5posure without %iolating bans against direct ad%ertisement& The companies also put their logos on clothing lines racing boats bac$pac$s coffee and e%en tra%el agencies& They also distribute free samples and promotional items on college campuses shopping malls and other places where young people gather& The cigarette companies spend millions of dollars on lobbying acti%ities to a%oid incurring the legal political regulatory and cultural problems they face in the Onited States& Osing their significant economic and political clout they influence legislation fight ad%ertising restrictions try to downplay the health effects of smo$ing and corrupt the political process& :istorically the cigarette companies ha%e been able to rely on the full support of the O&S& go%ernment to help them sell cigarettes around the world& This support reached its ape5 in the ;KJ"s when the O&S& Trade -epresentati%e wor$ing hand#in#glo%e with the tobacco companies used the threat of sanctions to pry open $ey mar$ets in 8apan South Korea Taiwan and Thailand& >lthough the O&S& 7ongress has ta$en some steps to end these abuses the cigarette companies are finding new ways to pry open foreign mar$ets again under the guise of Mfree#trade&M They ha%e sought to condition 7hinaIs entry into the Gorld Trade 4rganiLation on the opening up of its cigarette mar$et and are lobbying for passage of the Multilateral >greement on 3n%estments which would gi%e them e5panded powers to challenge countriesI tobacco control measures& Fach year about a third of all cigarettes entering into international commerce are illegally smuggled escaping ta5es and import restrictions& There is widespread belief among analysts and some substantial e%idence from court cases in 7anada and :ong Kong that the tobacco companies facilitate and benefit from this smuggling& Smuggling encourages people to smo$e especially youth by ma$ing cheap cigarettes a%ailable and helps to de%elop brand loyalty among customers in countries where trade barriers will soon be lifted&

AJ

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

'uring the recent O&S& 7ongressional debate on tobacco legislation the cigarette companies often in%o$ed the plight of the >merican tobacco farmer to argue against increased ta5es and other tobacco control measures& :owe%er these companies ha%e been using use more and more foreign#grown tobacco in both their O&S& and foreign factories& Most of what they purchase o%erseas comes from three large O&S&#based corporations that dominate the global trade in tobacco leaf ## Oni%ersal 7orporation 'imon 3ncorporated and Standard 7ommercial 7orporation ## which ha%e begun to play a major role in financing o%erseas tobacco production&

AK

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter@

1BJ0C)I70S
M"IN O*;ECTI<ES

@3;

*;+ To study the changes in the brand loyalty in response to change in price and also to find out price elasticity& 7igarette is one of the products where Go%ernment is neither interested in increasing the domestic consumption nor interested in curbing consumption& 3n order to generate more re%enue Go%ernment increases the e5cise duty on cigarettes on e%ery year which in turn brings about the increase in price of cigarettes& The basic assumption that Go%ernment follows behind following a policy of steep and continuous increase in e5cise duty on cigarettes is that the demand for cigarette is price inelastic& :owe%er whether cigarette in 3ndia is price elastic or not is an empirical question which should be addressed scientifically& 3n order to gain some insight into the problem some firsthand research was needed and that is why the first stone to build the presented research was laid here& .ationwide research on this topic could yield some interesting facts and finding but due to the paucity of time and labor in%ol%ed therein we limited our scope to >hmedabad city only& ;&4ne more thing that goes along with the change in price is brand loyalty& Many a times change in price comes out to be swift in brand loyalty& So the objecti%e was to measure change in brand loyalty too& !& To study the change in brand loyalty in response to change in income& 3ncome which depicts affordability of a consumer is the crucial factor in determining buying beha%iour& 7hange in income changes the buying beha%iour of a consumer and so do the brand loyalty& :ence our objecti%e was to study this change& 6& To study the effect of freebies scheme on brand loyalty& @& To study the aggregate effect of all the factors discussed abo%e on brand loyalty&

A& To study the importance that cigarette smo$ers attach to %arious attributes *price taste filter etc&+ while buying& D& To study the effecti%eness of a good ad%ertisement of a new brand in terms of its ability to attract consumers loyal to other brands&

-&6

SUPPLEMENT" ! O*;ECTI<ES

;& To study the effect of non#a%ailability of fa%orite brand on the brand loyalty of smo$ers& !& To study the impacts of new brand *price of which may be less than equal to or more than the price of their fa%orite brand+ on the brand loyalty of smo$ers& 6& @& D" To study the reasons for starting smo$ing& To $now the role of reference groups in selection of brand of a cigarette& 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$terC

H8*1)H0SIS

(;# There is no significant relationship between brand loyalty and age group& SUB H8*1)H0SIS: *>+ ,rand loyalty is not affected by change in price& *,+ There is no significant difference in brand loyalty among the %arious income groups due to change in price* price increases by !AE+& *7+ ,rand loyalty is not affected by change in income& *'+ ,rand loyalty is not affected by scheme of free gift introduced by other brand& *F+ There is no significant difference in brand loyalty between regular smo$ers and occasional smo$ers& (!# People gi%e more importance to taste as compared to other attributes& (=# 'oes the good ad%ertisement of the new brand help in switching the brand loyalty&

D;

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter7

R0S0ARCH .0SI+/
T!PE OF ESE" CH.

3&%

'escripti%e method has been used in this research for the collection of data& >s the research is related to the study of consumer beha%ior which can more effecti%ely be studied through direct questions e5perimental research will not be much effecti%e& >lso considering the time constraint descripti%e research is the most suitable design for this research&

3&6

SOU CE OF D"T".

To o%ercome the limitations of incompatibility obsolescence and bias i went for the primary data& 7onsidering the time and geographic constraints 3 found sampling method of data collection suitable for the project&

3&'

D"T" COLLECTION METHOD.

'ata has been collected through questionnaire method& The questionnaire was designed in such a way to co%er as many aspects of consumer beha%iour as possible&

3&)

S"MPLE SI=E.

Total ;;A persons were contacted and inter%iewed& 4ut of these ;A questionnaires were rejected due to incompleteness conflicting answers etc& Therefore the final sample siLe was of ;""&

3&-

S"MPLIN(.

:ere 3 ha%e studied the consumer beha%ior of the people of .ew 'elhi& Githin the city 3 ha%e collected samples from different areas& This is to reduce the biasness which may come through difference in the le%el of income attitude lifestyle etc& of the people in different areas&

D!

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$terD

R0S0ARCH A/AL8SIS I .ISCUSSI1/

,efore starting the actual research 3 prepared a questionnaire for pilot study& 3 inter%iewed a random sample of ;A respondents& Through the pilot study 3 came to $now which questions were wrongly worded which were ambiguous which needed to be added or to be subtracted etc& 4n the basis of feedbac$ of this study 3 modified the questionnaire& The modified questionnaire was then submitted to our project guide Prof& P&K&,ansal for his suggestions& >fter gi%ing a due consideration to Prof& P&K&,ansal)s suggestions 3 prepared the final questionnaire in accordance with the objecti%e of the research& The final questionnaire was used in the research after getting Prof& ,ansal)s appro%al& 3 selected different areas of the city to do study so that the place bias could be reduced to the best possible e5tent& 3 contacted respondents personally and got the information as per the questionnaire& Sometimes it happened that people told lie when as$ed about their regular brand total e5penditure on cigarettes etc& So 3 ha%e discarded their questionnaires& To reduce the magnitude of this problem 3 selected respondents whom we saw smo$ing at the shop so that the brand name e5penditure etc& can be %erified& Many of my questions were designed to cross chec$ the answers of the respondents& 3 tried to ma$e the questionnaire as comprehensi%e as possible to co%er %arious aspects related to our research& 3 ha%e used 7onstant Sum Method in one of the questions& The questionnaires were handed o%er only to those respondents who showed desire to fill up them on themsel%es whereas in most cases 3 ha%e filled up the questionnaires as per their answers& So that they might not feel boredom or confusion in filling up the questionnaires&

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S"MPLE DESI(N
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Q)ABL0 ;R

D6

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

The gra$% ; below shows that ma5imum number of respondents were in the age group of ;J#!@ and the least number of respondents were in ;!#;0 and A; and abo%e age group& The gra$% ! shows that ma5imum number of respondents were in D""; Q;!""" income group while the minimum number of respondents were in the income group below 6"""&

Q+RA*H ;R

Q+RA*H !R

From all the abo%e graphs we can notice that out of ;"" respondents the ma5imum number of smo$ers were in the age group of ;J#!@ years who were students and graduates&

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>&6

FO MUL"TION OF H!POTHESIS

H8*1)H0SIS ; STEP %. :"/ There is no significant relationship between the brand loyalty and age group& :;/ There is a significant relationship between the brand loyalty and age group& )a<le s%o'ing <rand loyalty among Barious age grou$s >GF1ST>TOS A;>.' >,4NF .4& E .4& E .4& E .4& E .4& E ,->.' 24C>2 @ @@&@@ !" D"&D; !6 0K&6; ;D J"&"" 0 00&0J .4T ,->.'A AA&AD ;6 6K&6K D !"&DK @ !"&"" ! !!&!! 24C>2 T4T>2 K 66 !K !" K ;! # ;0 ;J Q !@ !A # @" @; # A" T4T>2 .4& E 0" 0"&"" 6" 6"&"" ;""
Q)ABL0 !R

>&'
;&

WHO IS * "ND LO!"L0


>t the %arious le%el of price rise *from ;AE to !AE+ cigarette smo$ers should either opt for smo$ing less quantity of the same brand or there should not be any change in the current buying pattern but he must not go for another brand& Similarly at the %arious le%el of increase in income they should either opt for smo$ing more quantity of the same brand or there should be no change in the current buying pattern but he must not go for the other brand &

>ccording to our definition brand loyalty is determined by following criteria/

!&

6& :e should not switch o%er to other brand if other brand introduces the scheme of free lighter *worth -s&!A+ in return for ten empty pac$ets of its brand& The cigarette smo$ers who will pass all the abo%e three criteria will be considered as a brand loyal& I7ter4relati$7shi9 "m$7? The Three Criteria O@ *ra7d L$yalty.4 3n testing the hypothesis of brand loyalty among the %arious age groups we ha%e ta$en the three criteria& There should be some relationship among these criterion otherwise o%erall picture will not be analytical in the nature& For this purpose we ha%e tested the relationship between the brand loyalty and change in price *here ma5imum change is !AE+ brand loyalty and change in income *here ma5imum change is 6"E+ brand loyalty and effect of free gift scheme introduced by other company& /13 1( R0S*1/.0/)S *ASSI/+ I/ )HR00 CRI)0RIA

DA

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>GF .4& 4F G-4OP ,->.' 24C>2 !AE 6"E 3.7-F>SF 3.3.7-F>SF P-37F 3. 3.74MF *9+ *C+ ;!#;0 @ 0 ;J#!@ !@ !@ !A#@" !D !A @;#A" ;D !" A"T 0 K T4T>2 00 JA

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

D3?
9 C B @ 0 J

CALCULA)I1/ 1( C1RR0LA)I1/
*9#9+ *9#9+`! *C#C+ *C#C+`! *B#B+ *B#B+`! *9#9+*C#C+ *C#C+*B#B+ #;;&@ ;!K&KD 06&KD #;" 0 J 6 #J ;"" @K D@ K D@ !DC #;"&D ;;!&6D ;"&@ K&@ ;&@ ;"J&;D JJ&6D ;&KD ;;@ D"&! J@&J ;&J D0&! =!D ;"D 0!&J 0A&! @&! J@&J =?= *9#9+*B#B+ ;!"&J@ JK&@@ KK&D@ "&J@ JK&"@ =EE3D
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77 D@ E=

r* 5&y + a R b*9#9+*C#C+1R b*9#9+`! b*C#C+`!S`;1!S r* y&L+ a R b*C#C+*B#B+1R b*C#C+`! b*B#B+`!S`;1!S r* 5&L+ a R b*9#9+*B#B+1R b*9#9+`! b*B#B+`!S`;1!S Therefore& r 5y a 6!J1*6J0&! U !JD+`;1! a "&KJD r yL a 6@61*!JD U @!6&!+;1! a"&KJD r 5L a 6KK&J1*6J!&! U @!6&!+`;1! a "&KJJ There is a positi%e relationship among all the three criteria& 3t is of utmost importance because if any one is negati%e then effect of positi%e relation can be nullified by the effect of negati%e relation and o%erall picture cannot throw light on the effect of indi%idual criteria on the brand loyalty& >s all are %ery near to ;& it suggests that the trend between the %arious criteria is almost perfectly positi%e linear relationship& >s there is a positi%e interrelationship between all the three criteria& we can go ahead by ta$ing their indi%idual effect on the brand loyalty&

S)0* !:

D0

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>&-

C"LCUL"TION OF CHI4S+U" E
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DJ

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

S)0* @: :ere 7 cal c 7tab So our hypothesis is accepted& So there is no significant relationship between the age group and brand loyalty& ,ut if we analyse the data from the table& we can notice that number of brand loyal increases when we mo%e from age group ;!#;0 to ;J#!@ years& Similar is the case when we mo%e from age group ;J#!@ to !A#@" years& Thereafter& brand loyalty stabilises at around J"E& ,y which& we can conclude that there is no direct relationship between brand loyalty and age group& ,ut upto age group !A#@" yrs& it increases from @AE to J"E and thereafter stabilises for other groups& SUB-H8*1)H0SIS QAR Ste$ ;: :"/ ,rand loyalty is not affected by change in price& :;/ ,rand loyalty is affected by change in price& )ABL0 SH14I/+ /13 1( BRA/. L18AL A) 7ARI1US *RIC0 CHA/+0 ST>TOS17:>.GF 3. P-37F ,->.' 24C>2 .4T ,->.' 24C>2 ;AE K! J !"E J0 ;6 !AE 00 !6 T4T>2 !AD @@

T4T>2

;""

;""

;""

6""
Q)ABL0 CR

DK

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

WHO IS * "ND LO!"L WITH P ICE0


>&1

ESPECT TO CH"N(E IN

:ere change in income of cigarette smo$ers and schemes of free gift from other brands are ignored& :ere the emphasis is to $now the effect of only change in price on the brand loyalty& Gith respect to increase in price& person going for two options *less quantity of the same brand or no change in the current buying pattern+ will be considered brand loyal& S)0* !: CALCULA)I1/ 1( CHI-SSUAR0 1BS0R70. 06*0C)0. (R0SU0/C8 (R0SU0/C8 (1-0#T! (1# (0# K! J J0 ;6 00 !6 ="" JA&66 ;@&D0 JA&66 ;@&D0 JA&66 ;@&D0 ="" @@&@K @@&@K !&0K !&0K DK&6K DK&6K !==3=? (1-0#T! 0

0.521388 3.03272 0.032697 0.190184 0.813196 4.730061 9.320245 Q)ABL0 7R

:ere 7 cal d7 tab So our hypothesis is rejected& So brand loyalty is effected by change in price&

0"

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>&3

INCOME EL"STICIT!

3 ha%e calculated income elasticity for the respondents who opted for smo$ing more quantity of the same brand if their income increases& >nd the result is as follows/ I/C1M0 0LAS)ICI)8 3.74MF 3.7-F>SFS ,C ;"E >NG& 3.7-F>SF 3. ?TC& 4F ,->.' S>MF ;&A!A ;&6A
Q)ABL0 DR

!"E 6"&A"E

6"E @"&AAE

;J&;JE

3.74MF F2>ST373TC ;&J!

The abo%e data shows that as income rises from one le%el to other& a%erage consumption of the same brand increases& but at the decreasing rate *for e&g& 6"&A Q ;J&;J d @"&AA Q 6"&A+ and because of that income elasticity is decreasing& SUB H8*1)H0SIS: Q .R Ste$ ;: :"/ ,rand loyalty is not affected by scheme of free gift introduced by other brand& :;/ ,rand loyalty is affected by scheme of free gift introduced by other brand& A+0 4IS0 BRA/. L18AL ST>TOS >GF G-4OP ;!#;0 ,->.' 24C>2 .4T 24C>2 J ;J#!@ !K @ 66 !A#@" !J ; !K @;#A" !" " !" A;H>,4NF T4T>2 J ; K K6 0 ;""

,->.'; K

Q)ABL0 ER

>&>

INCOME4WISE * "ND LO!"L

0;

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

ST>TOS

3.74MF G-4OP ca6""" 6"";# D""" D"";# ;!""" !0 ; !J ;!"";#;D""" d;D""" ;K ; !" ;K 6 !! T4T>2 K6 0 ;""
Q)ABL0 ;"R

,->.' 24C>2 .4T 24C>2 T4T>2

;K ; !"

,->.'; ;"

4%o Is Brand Loyal 4it% Res$e9t )o (ree +ift S9%eme 1f 1t%er BrandF :ere& respondents who opted for no change in the current buying pattern will be considered as the brand loyal& There is no need to test the abo%e hypothesis by ta$ing help of chi#square& From the table itself& we can directly conclude that scheme is ineffecti%e for switching the brand loyalty of cigarette smo$ers irrespecti%e of their age group and income group& SUB H8*1)H0SIS: Q0R S)0* ;: :"/ There is no significant difference in brand loyalty between regular smo$ers and occasional smo$ers& * p; a p! + :;/ There is significant difference in brand loyalty between regular smo$ers and occasional smo$ers& * p; d p! + p;aproportion of brand loyal among regular smo$ersa"&0! p!aproportion of brand loyal among occasional smo$ersa"&D;

0!

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>&5 * "ND LO!"LT! "MON( THE E(UL" "ND OC"SSION"L SMOKE S S)A)US *A))0R/ SM1K0RS R0+ULAR /13 ,->.' 24C>2 .4T 24C>2 T4T>2 AK U 0;&KA !J&"A 1CASSI1/AL /13 ;; 0 U D;&;; 6J&JK )1)AL /13 0" 6" U 0"&"" 6"&"" ;""&""
Q)ABL0 ;;R

,->.'!6 J!

;""&"" ;J

;""&"" ;""

:ere& a person is said to be brand loyal if he passes all the three criterion defined earlier i&e& / ;& !& 6& change in price change in income gift scheme introduced by other brand of cigarette

S)0* !: p;a"&0! n;aJ! p!a"&D; n!a;J B cal a *p; # p!+ 1 *P` ?`*;1n; T ;1n!++;1! a "&K!@ P` a * n;Up; T n!Up! + 1 * n; T n! + a "&0" ?` a ; # P` a ; Q "&0" a "&6" S)0* =: 2e%el of significance aAE S)0* ?: B tab at right tailed test a ;&D@A >s :; is p; d p! & it is right tailed test&

06

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

S)0* @: >s B cal c B tab & :" is accepted& 3f we notice the data of table& we can directly conclude that both category of smo$ers are brand loyal& but the percentage of regular smo$er is higher than the occasional smo$ers& ,rand loyalty ratio among two categories of smo$ers is 0!E and D;E respecti%ely& 3t means that occasional smo$ers can also be brand loyal& H8*1)H0SIS ! S)0* ;: :"/ people gi%e more importance to taste as compared to other attributes :;/ people do not gi%e more importance to taste as compared to other attributes

>&%A

P EFE ENCE TOW" DS "TT I*UTES


>TT-3,OTFS P-37F T>STF F32TFT4,>774 P43.TS ;K6" @KJ6 ;66K JK6

>'NF-T3SFMF.T !DD 4T:F-S T4T>2 AJK ;""""


4T:F-S/ *>-4M>& F->G->.7F& 7424O-& P>7K>G3.G+

Q)ABL0 ;!R

0@

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Preference towards attributes


6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 ADVERTISE MENT
?; 2 @" /13 !KA K@A A6" ;0" !A 6A !""" U ;@&0A @0&!A !D&A J&A ;&!A ;&0A

Points

FILTER

TOBACCO

PRICE

TASTE

Attributes The abo%e chart shows that the most important factor in buying the cigarette is taste and its weightage is around A"E and price is secondary factor which has got around !"E weightage& Thus& we can conclude that taste is more important than price and all the other attributes& A/AL8SIS 1( *R0(0R0/C0 )14AR.S A))RIBU)0S )ABL0 SH14I/+ A+04IS0 *R0(0R0/C0 )14AR.S A))RIBU)0S
A))RIBU)0S A+0 +R1U* ;! ;D - !? ;7 /13 U /13 U P-37F !@A !0&!! 0!" !;&J! T>STF @"A @A&"" ;A!J @D&6" F32TF@A A&"" !6@ 0&"K T4,>774 @" @&@@ 6A6 ;"&0" >'NF-T3SFMF.T KA ;"&AD ;;; 6&6D 4T:F-S 0" 0&0J 6A@ ;"&06 K"" 66"" !@ - ?" /13 A"" ;A6A @@A !0A 6" ;;A !K"" U ;0&!@ A!&K6 ;A&6@ K&@J ;&"6 6&K0 @; I AB170 /13 ;0" A0" JA AA A ;A K"" U ;J&JK D6&66 K&@@ D&;; "&AD ;&D0 )1)AL /13 ;K6" @KJ6 ;66K JK6 !DD AJK ;"""" U ;K&6 @K&J ;6&@ J&K6 !&DD A&JK

OTHERS

Q)ABL0 ;=R

0A

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

From the abo%e graph& we can conclude that taste is the most important attribute for the consumers of all age groups& For A; and abo%e age group& taste has got the highest weightage *around D6E+& X Price has emerged as second important attribute for all the age groups e5cept for @;#A"& >ge group ;!#;0 is more price conscious than any other age group& 3t can also be noticed that weightage of price decreases as we mo%e from age group ;!#;0 to age group @;#A" and thereafter it increases slightly& This indicate that price becomes somewhat important for A; and abo%e age group people& X X The ad%ertisement has little impact on the respondents of all age group& For the age group @;#A"& filter emerged as second important attribute& I/C1M0-4IS0 *R0(0R0/C0 )14AR.S A))RIBU)0S
A))RIBU)0S I/C1M0 +R1U* OP=""" /13 U P-37F T>STF F32TFT4,>774 @D" @D ="";-C""" C"";-;!""" ;!"";;C""" /13 U /13 U /13 U N;C""" /13 U )1)AL /13 ;K6" @KJ6 ;66K JK6 !DD AJK ;""""
Q)ABL0 ;?R

U ;K&6 @K&J6 ;6&6K J&K6 !&DD A&JK

@!A !;&!A AJA !"&JK ;KA K&0A !DA ;!&"A

@AA @A&A KK" @K&A ;6;" @D&0K ;;D6 AJ&! ;"DA @J&@; A" 6A A !60 ;;&JA 6A" ;!&A" 6@A ;0&6 6A0 ;D&!6 6;" ;;&"0 ;"6 A&;A !A; ;;&@; J0 6&;; 6" ;&A J; 6&DJ

6&A ;K@ K&0 " " DJ JD !""" 6&@ @&6

>'NF-T3SFMF.T " 4T:F-S " ;"""

;AJ A&D@ ;D@ J&! ;J; J&!6 !J"" !""" !!""

This table e5plains that for the respondents whose income is below 6"""& price and taste are almost equally important& They are more price conscious compared to other income groups people& 3mportance of price in buying beha%iour decreases as income increases up to -s&;D""" and thereafter it remains almost same& This indicates the in%erse relationship between the importance of price and income group&

0D

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>&%%
H8*1)H0SIS Q= R S)0* ;:

"D<E TISEMENT

H": )%e good adBertisement of t%e ne' <rand %el$s in s'it9%ing t%e <rand loyalty3 H;: )%e good adBertisement of t%e ne' <rand does not %el$ in s'it9%ing t%e <rand loyalty3 Main reason <e%ind starting smoking X 3n question number !; of the questionnaire< we as$ed the respondent& what did ma$e you start smo$ing= The result was as follows/ R0AS1/ (1R S)AR)I/+ SM1KI/+ R0AS1/S F-3F.' 73-72F T4 S:4G 4FF 4OT 7O-34S3TC -F23FF TF.S34. /13 1( R0S*1/.0/)S @A K 4F;! 4F;6

>'NF-T3SFMF.T J T3MF P>SS T4T>2 ;6 ;""


Q)ABL0 ;@R

From the abo%e table& we can conclude that friend circle is the main reason behind starting smo$ing& >d%ertisement has %ery little impact on the person to start smo$ing& so ad%ertisement is not the boost factor at the initial stage&

00

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

>&%6

EFFECT OF EFE ENCE ( OUP ON * "ND SELECTION

X 3n ?&!!& we as$ed the respondents from where did they come to $now about the brand& which they smo$e regularly& The result was as follows/ I/(LU0/C0RS F-3F.'S /13 R0S*1/.0/)S DA 1(

>'NF-T3SFMF.T !; S:4P 4G.FT4T>2 ;@ ;""


Q)ABL0 ;CR

The abo%e table shows that around DAE of respondents came to $now their regular brand from their friends& 4nly !;E of the respondents ha%e selected the brand after loo$ing its ad%ertisements& 3n short& reference group *friends and shop owners+ has strong effect on the selection of the brand& X 3n ?&!6& we ha%e as$ed the respondents whether they are aware of the ad%ertisements of the other brands& The result was as follows/ A4AR0/0SS 1( A.70R)IS0M0/) 1( 1)H0R BRA/.S A4AR0 /13 R0S*1/.0/)S CFS .4 0J !! 1(

T4T>2 ;""
Q)ABL0 ;7R

:ere& the respondents were shown cuttings of some popular ad%ertisements and were as$ed whether they ha%e shown them earlier& >round 0JE respondents answered positi%ely& This means that they are aware of the ad%ertisements of other brands but still prefer their regular brand& This shows that they ha%e $nowledge about %arious brands but their buying decision is not affected by the ad%ertisement of other brands& The main reason behind showing the cutting of ad%ertisements and pac$ets of %arious brands& was to help them to recollect whether they ha%e seen it before& 4ur questionnaire was somewhat lengthy& so the idea of showing ad%ertisement was succeeded in capturing the attention of the respondents& 0J 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

X Ghile showing the %arious ad%ertisements& we ha%e as$ed the respondents& what does influence them in the ad%ertisement= The result was as follows/ I/(LU0/CI/+ (AC)1R I/ A.70R)IS0M0/) *AR)ICULARS /13 R0S*1/.0/)S M4'F2*S+ !; FF>TO-FS ;! 74.TF.T ;J 4NF->22 P-FSF.T>T34. 6" .4 3.F2OF.7F ;K ;"" 1(

Q)ABL0 ;DR

Most of the respondents influenced by the o%erall presentation of the ad%ertisements& Coungsters are mainly influenced by the model*s+ or punchline *logo+ of the brand& Mainly& the respondents who opted for logo or punchline tried to match their personality with the model or slogan *li$e Made for each otherW or 'isco%er a passionW+& So it is a psychological effect of ad%ertisement on the respondents&

0K

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

X 3n ?&!A& our main aim was to find out whether the good ad%ertisement of the new brand help in switching the brand loyalty& Ge as$ed the question that if respondents would come across to the ad%ertisement of the new brand& which satisfy their choice about what influence them most in the ad%ertisement& what would be their reaction= The result was as follows/ R0AC)I1/ )14AR.S A.70R)IS0M0/) R0AC)I1/S T-C 3T /13 R0S*1/.0/)S !; 1(

>SK13.?O3-F F4-;! 3T 3G.4-F 3T T4T>2 D0 ;""


Q)ABL0 ;ER

>bout D0E of the respondents replied that e%en though it may ha%e all the factors which they wanted in the ad%ertisement& they will not switch to the new brand only for the reason that its ad%ertisement is good& From the abo%e analysis& we can conclude that our hypothesis is rejected and good ad%ertisement of the new brand does not significantly attract the cigarette smo$ers to switch their brand&

J"

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$terE

(I/.I/+S

5&% "<E "(E E2PENDITU E ON CI(" ETTE *! THE STUDENTS


(U 1( )H0IR .IS*1SABL0 I/C1M0# CLASS (U S*0/.I/+ 1/ CI+AR0))0# "#;" ;"#!" !"#6" 6"#@" @"#A" A"#D" D"#0" MI. (R0SU0/C8 7ALU0 >i fi (i>i 93f A ;A !A 6A @A AA DA @ A 0 A @ 6 ! 6" !" 0A ;0A ;0A ;J" ;DA ;6" K!" @ K ;D !; !A !J 6"
Q)ABL0 !"R

'isposable income a poc$et money T part time1full time job earning Mean 9 a Xfi5i 1 Xfi a K!"16" a 6"&D0E Median a M a n1!th item a6"1!th a ;Ath M a 2 T R*n1! Q cf+1f U wS Ghere 2a!"& na6"& cfaK& fa0& wa;" M a !J&A0E Thus a%erage spending on cigarette by students *who smo$e cigarettes regularly+ are around 6"E& Total number of students was @" out of ;"" respondents& 4ut of @" students& 6" students were regular smo$ers and the remaining were occasional smo$ers& >%erage spending on cigarettes by the occasional student smo$ers was below ;"E of their disposable income&

J;

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

5&6

M" KET SH" E OF <" IOUS * "NDS

M1S) *R0(0RR0. BRA/.

BRA/. G322S 72>SS37 G42' F2>KF F4OS?O>-F ,-3ST42 4T:F-S

/13 1( R0S*1/.0/)S 60 !" !; J K A ;""


Q)ABL0 !;R

3n our research& the Gills brand emerged as the most popular brand of cigarette which accounts for around 60E and Gills classic and Gold Fla$e were running nec$ to nec$ at !"E& 4ther brands of cigarettes include AAA& Marlboro& -othmans& etc&

5&'P ICE OF NEW * "ND "ND E"CTION OF CI(" ETTE SMOKE S


R0AC)I1/ *RIC0 1( /04 C1M*AR0. )1 BRA/. L0SS 0SUAL T-C 3T 6@ !6 >SK >.'K J 3.?O3-F F4- 3T 3G.4-F 3T A0 DK T4T>2 ;"" ;"" BRA/. AS R0+ULAR M1R0 ;A 0 0J ;""
Q)ABL0 !!R

J!

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

The abo%e table shows that if the price of new brand is less than the regular brand of smo$ers& then 6@E of smo$ers will try for the new brand& 3f it is equal& then !6E smo$ers will try it& 3t means that price is important for about 6@E of respondents& while around D"E to 0"E respondents ignored the new brand irrespecti%e of their price& For the 7igarette 7ompany& They are strong brand loyal& ,ut others either try the new brand or inquire for it& 3f price is more& the number of smo$ers who opt for trying the new brand are less than if the price is equal to their brand& So far as the new company is concerned& the company should $eep low price of the cigarette as compared to their competitors so that brand loyal people at least try for new brand& 3f desired taste be pro%ided simultaneously& then it may be possible to ma$e them switching to the new brand& 4n the detailed study of this table& 3 also found that mainly youngsters *age group of ;!# ;0 and ;J#!@+ and low income group people *upto -s&D"""+ will opt for trying the new brand if its price is less as compared to their regular brand& 4n the other hand& people with high#income group *particularly abo%e -s&;D"""+ ha%e shown their readiness to try the new brand e%en if its price is more than their regular brand& Coungsters also show their readiness out of curiosity and to $now its taste& pro%ided its price is not too high as compared to the regular brand& From the analysis it can be concluded that youngsters are mainly brand switchers because they are at the initial stage of smo$ing and they are not habituated to a particular brand& Their tendency is to taste %arious brands and choose their fa%orite brand as the one which is not too costly and at the same time pro%ides other attributes which are required for a good brand of cigarette& This age group is more price conscious as compared to age group of !A#@" yrs because youngsters *upto the age of !@yrs+ ha%e limited poc$et money or less earning&

5&) *U!IN( "ND CONSUMPTION P"TTE N OF SMOKE S "MON( <" IOUS "(E ( OUPS
BU8I/+ *A))0R/ A+0 +R1U* ;! - ;7 ;D - !? !@ - ?" ?; 2 @"

E(UL"

C1/SUM*)I1/ *A))0R/: L0SS )HA/ ;" CI+AR0))0S *0R .A8

@; I)1)AL AB170 /13 U /13 U /13 U /13 U /13 U /13 U 4.F 4- TG4A ;""&"" ;6 J;&!A ;; 0J&A0 K DK&!6 6 D"&"" @; 00&6D P3F7FS G:42F P>7K " "&"" ; D&!A 6 !;&@6 @ 6"&00 ! @"&"" ;" ;J&J0 4T:F-S " "&"" ! ;!&A" " "&"" " "&"" " "&"" ! 6&00 T4T>2 A ;D ;@ ;6 A A6
Q)ABL0 !=R

J6

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

The abo%e table gi%es information about the regular smo$ers who smo$e less than ;" cigarettes a day& >s we mo%e from age group of ;!#;0 to A; and abo%e& smo$ers prefer to buy cigarettes in a pac$ instead of buying indi%idual pieces& Coungsters who fall in the age group of ;!#;0 and ;J#!@ prefer to buy indi%idual pieces& e%en though they ha%e to pay higher price only because they cannot ta$e it home& C1/SUM*)I1/ *A))0R/: ;" A/. M1R0 CI+AR0))0S *0R .A8 BU8I/+ *A))0R/ A+0 +R1U* ;! - ;7

;D - !? /13 U D DD&D0 6 " K 66&66 "&""

!@ - ?"

?; - @"

/13 U 4.F 4- TG4; ;""&"" P3F7FS G:42F P>7K " "&"" 4T:F-S " "&"" T4T>2 ;

/13 U /13 U @ @@&@@ ! 66&66 @ ; K @@&@@ @ ;;&;; " D DD&D0 "&""

@; I)1)AL AB170 /13 U /13 U ; !A&"" ;@ @J&!J 6 " @ 0A&"" ;@ "&"" ; !K


Q)ABL0 !?R

@J&!J 6&@A

The second table gi%es information about the smo$ers who smo$e ;" or more cigarettes a day& Osually cigarette smo$ers& who smo$e more than ;" cigarettes a day& buy in a pac$& >s we mo%e from age group of ;!#;0yrs to A; and abo%e& the ratio of cigarette smo$ers buying cigarettes in a pac$ increases& The interesting point is that this ratio is higher as compared to the ratio of cigarette smo$ers who smo$e less than ;" cigarettes a day&

5&- EFFECT OF NON "<"IL"*ILIT! OF F"<O ITE * "ND ON * "ND LO!"LT!


1*)I1/S A+0 +R1U* ;!-;7 ;D-!? /13 U /13 U > 6 66&66 ;! 6D&6D , " "&"" 6 K&"K 7 ; ;;&;; @ ;!&;! ' A AA&AD ;@ @!&@! K 66

!@-?" /13 ;" ! K J !K

?;-@" U /13 6@&@J ;" D&K" ; 6;&"6 6 !0&AK D !"

U A" A ;A 6"

@;V /13 D " ! ; K

)1)AL U DD&D0 "&"" !!&!! ;;&;; @; D ;K 6@ ;""

>aG4 T4 >.4T:F- S:4P >.' ,OC S>MF ,->.' ,aSM4KF ,3'3 7aP4STP4.F ,OC3.G 'a,OC >.4T:F- ,->.' 4F 73G>-FTTF Q)ABL0 !@R

J@

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

From the abo%e table& Ge can analyLe that as the age group increases& respondents to their sample siLe increases for option >& Similarly& it is a decreasing trend for option '& >s we mo%e from age group ;!#;0 yrs to A; yrs and abo%e& E number of respondents opting for option > increases& -e%erse is the situation for option '& This shows that non# a%ailability of a fa%orite brand has much effect on the youngster to switch their brand& 4%erall picture shows that around 6@E of respondents go for another brand of cigarette& means switching their brand& There are also respondents who either smo$e bidi or postpone buying at that time because they do not want to switch the brand& The o%erall picture can be represented by graph as shown below/ >%ailability of fa%orite brand is most important for the smo$er& 3f it is not a%ailable then around 6@E will go to another brand and around !AE who are brand loyal but may be dissatisfied with the non#a%ailability of their fa%orite brand& 4nly @;E respondents are strong brand loyal with respect to a%ailability of cigarette at a shop&

5&1
;3

ESULT OF THE H!POTHESIS


Brand loyalty %as no dire9t relations%i$ 'it% t%e age grou$3

.umber of brand loyal rises with the increase in the age group& ,rand loyalty is low in age group ;!#;0 because they are new smo$ers& so they tend to taste %arious brands $eeping price in mind& Ghile in age group ;J#!@& it is high as compared to ;!#;0 age group& because they are habituated to a particular brand to some e5tent& For the same reason& number of brand loyal increases in age group !A#@"& Thereafter it stabilises for the ne5t two age groups& !3*eo$le giBe more im$ortan9e to taste as 9om$ared to ot%er attri<utes3 Ge wanted to $now the most preferred attribute in a cigarette for the smo$ers& Ge used 74.ST>.T SOM MFT:4' to get the answer& Ge found out that for all the income groups as well as age groups taste is the most important attribute& Price is emerged as the second important factor& Students and people whose income is below 6""" -s& >re more price conscious than other age groups and income groups& Pac$aging has no impact on smo$ers& =3)%e adBertisement of ne' <rand does not %el$ in s'it9%ing t%e <rand loyalty3 >ttracti%e ad%ertisement of the new brand does not influence cigarette smo$ers to switch their brand& F%enthough the most attracti%e model*s+ or o%erall good presentation of ad%ertisement is pro%ided by new brand& they will stic$ to the regular brand& So it fails to attract the significant smo$ers of other brand&

JA

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter;" X X

C1/CLUSI1/

>d%ertisement does not ha%e much impact on the non#smo$er to start smo$ing& Friend circle is the main reason behind starting the smo$ing&

X -eference group *friends and shop owners+ has strong effect on the selection of particular brand& X > cigarette smo$er will not shift from one brand to another on finding the ad%ertisement of the other brand more attracti%e& X >%ailability of fa%orite brand is of utmost importance for a cigarette smo$er& 3f it is not a%ailable& then around 6@E of the respondent will switch to other brand and ;KE will postpone their buying or may be dissatisfied with the company& So the deli%ery of the cigarettes on time to %arious outlets *shops+ is %ery important&

JD

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

C%a$ter;;

LIMI)A)I1/

.o study is fully complete in itself Q said the elders& F%en then& not ta$ing opportunistic shelter in this pro%erbial saying& 3 am fully aware of the many lacunas in this piece of sur%ey presented in the foregoing pages& The sample siLe should ha%e been much larger in each category of persons sampled& Some more intriguing questions must ha%e been addressed to the indi%iduals& The sample space includes 'elhi only& 3f it could haa%e ta$en worldwide it would ha%e gi%en the true reflection of the loyalty factors in the world& :ad these three deficiencies been not there& the outcome of this sur%ey should ha%e been more interesting and fruitful than what it is in the present form& The master factor for these three deficiencies was paucity of time&>s this is only a pilot sur%ey of small sample siLe& The same can be e5panded to a more efficient and highly useful study& >s the (proof of the pudding is in eating)& 3 sincerely hope and wish that this pudding will pro%e tasteful and informati%e to the readers&

J0

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

BIBLI1+RA*H8 I R0(0R0/C0S
Bi<liogra$%y
;& !& 6& @& A& 7ooper -& G& %inning at Ie) -roducts= ;KK0 Perseus Press& >rnold ' Publishing& 5he ?andbook of +rand 0anagement ;KK0 >ddison#Gesley

Fngel F 8ames and ,lac$well -oger *;KK6+ 7onsumer ,eha%ior 0th edition Prentice :all 3nternational& 4tt 3reating Demand 0th edition 3rwin1McGraw#:ill Publishing&

2oudon 'a%id 2 and ,itta >lbert 8 'ella *;KK6+ 7onsumer ,eha%ior/ 7oncepts and >pplication @th edition Mc Graw :ill boo$ 7o& 2td

D& 0& J& K&

>nasael :enry *!"";+ 7onsumer ,eha%ior and Mar$eting >ction Dth edition Thomas >sia P%t& 2td& Schiffman G 2eon and Kanu$ 2eslie 2aLar *!"""+ 7onsumer ,eha%ior 0th edition Prentice :all 3nternational& :iebing -&G&H3&S&G&7ooper 5he Successfu 0arketing - an=$**7 McGraw# :ill Publishing& 7espedes F&N& 3oncurrent 0arketing= :ar%ard ,usiness School Press

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2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

Referen9es
;& !& 6& @& A& D& 0& MFuture communication restrictions in ad%ertisingM ,>T& ;K0K& 'oroLyns$i& >& ,ritish Medical 8ournal& ;KKD/ 6;!/ AKK M7ommunication from the >d%ertising Standards >uthority& !"1!1KJ 7oo$& .& -iLla papers brand manager& cited in/ Tobacco mar$etingIs last gasp= -e%olution Feb& ;KKJ

'irect mar$eting # Marlboro& Mar$eting @ Sept& ;KK0 :arbottle& F& 2etter in Mar$eting& ;A 8anuary ;KKJ .u$i& P& Tobacco firms brew up coffee to beat ad ban& Sunday Times ;J 8anuary ;KKJ J& Peter Stuy%esant push fuels ire of French group& Gall Street 8ournal& K >pril ;KK0& K& ,onn& '& Tobacco promotion bans will wor$& The 2ancet p;J6;& !"#!0 'ecember ;KK0 ;"& .orway puffs away on unad%ertised tobacco& Gall Street 8ournal *Furope+ ;"1D1K0 ;;& Ghita$er& S& quoted in/ Tobacco mar$etingIs last gasp= -e%olution& Feb& ;KKJ

'e<sites
http/11www&riLla&co&u$1 *-iLla cigarette papers+ http/11www&circuitbrea$&com1 *2uc$y Stri$e+ www&clar$&net1pub1$!1cameltrophy *7amel Trophy >d%enture+ http/11www&west&de1 *Sports in association with Gest+ www&asiaconnect&com&my1bates1retail1 *,H: ,istro in Malaysia+ www&tobacco&org1-esources1tobsites&html *General site listing tobacco sponsorships+

JK

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

SU0S)I1//AIR0

;& !&

.ame / >ge Group / d+ @;#A" years e+ A; and abo%e

a+ ;!#;0 years b+ ;J#!@ years c+ !A#@" years 6& Fducational ?ualification /

a+ 3lliterate b+ Op to ;!th standard c+ Onder graduate @& 4ccupation / a+ ,usinessman b+ Ser%iceman e+ others *specify+

d+ Graduate e+ Post graduate

c+ Professional d+ Student

3f answer is (student) & what is your source of income = Amt3 in Rs3 a+ Poc$et#money b+ Part1Full time job c+ ,oth a+ and b+ ^^^^^^^^^^ ^^^^^^^^^^ ^^^^^^^^^^

A& 3ncome group R 3f respondent is dependent& then income of his family will be considered&S / a+ 6""" H ,elow b+ 6"";#D""" c+ D"";#;!""" D& :ow often do you smo$e = b+ 4ccasionally 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi d+ ;!"";#;D""" e+ ;D""; and abo%e

a+ -egularly *'aily+ K"

0&

:ow many cigarettes on an a%erage do you smo$e = Per day -egularly 4ccasionally 999 Per wee$ Per month

J& 3f answer to ?uestion .o& D is occasionally& do you smo$e the same brand e%ery time = Ces .o do you smo$e regularly= ,rand+

K& Ghich single brand of cigarette ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ ;"& Since how ^^^^^^^^^Cears

long ha%e you been smo$ing=*Mention -egular ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

;;& Ghich brand of the cigarettes ha%e you tried so far = a+ Gills .atural 2ight b+ Gills 7lassic c+ Gills 7lassic Mild d+ Gills 7lassic Menthol e+ Gills Filter Tripped f+ ,ristol g+ 7a%anders h+ Marcopolo Prince Filter i+ :olly Good j+ President $+ 2ondon Filter l+ Four Square Special Fiter m+ Four Square King n+ Gold Fla$e o+ ,enson H :edges p+AAA q+ -othmans r+ 3ndia King s+ Gudang Garam t+ >ssos u+ G24,F %+ Sunlight

;!& Ghat factors do you consider important in buying any brand of cigarette& Please gi%e points to attributes out of total ;"" points& Attri<utes *oints Attri<utes Aroma (ragran9e Color )o<a99o )otal *ri9e )aste (ilter Pac$aging AdBertisement

K;

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

*oints ;6& :ow much do you buy at a time = a+ 4ne or two pieces b+ Ghole pac$

;"" (one %undred#

7+ 4thers

;@& Ghat price do you pay for buying *indi%idual piece1pac$ +of * Mention -egular ,rand a M-, + = -s&^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ ;A& 3f the price of ^^^^^^^^^ *M-,+ is increased by following percentages& with the price of other brands remaining the same& what would be your reaction =

In9rease in $ri9e <y .o& ;& -eaction Start smo$ing less ?ty& of same brand& *to what e5tent specify in E+ !& 6& Shift to other brand .o change in buying pattern -s^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ ;AE !"E !AE

;D& :ow much do you spend on cigarettes monthly = ;0&

3f your income increases by following percentages& what would be your reaction = In9rease in in9ome <y

.o& ;&

-eaction Start smo$ing more ?ty& of same brand& *specify in E+

;"E

!"E

6"E

!& 6& ;J&

Shift to some high %alue brand .o change in buying pattern 3f you find a new brand at a shop what will you do =

K!

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

If t%e $ri9e of ne' <rand is .o& ;& !& 6& ;K& a+ b+ -eaction Try it >s$ and inquire for it 3gnore it 3f you don)t find the ^^^^^^^*M-,+ at a particular Shop& what would you do = Go to another shop and buy same brand Smo$e bidi c+ Postpone buying at that time d+ ,uy another brand of cigarette Fqual to M-, More than M-, 2ess than M-,

!"& 3f the brand other than ^^^^^^^^^^^^*M-,+ introduces the scheme of free lighter *worth -s&!A+ in return of ;" empty pac$ets of that brand& what will be your reaction = a+ Shift to that brand A.70R)IS0M0/) !;& Ghat did you ma$e start smo$ing = a+ Friend circle b+ To show off *for status+ c+ 4ut of curiosity d+ -elie%e of tension e+ >d%ertisement f+ Time pass to $now about b+ .o change in current buying pattern

!!& :ow did you come ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^*M-,+ = Through& a+ Friends b+ >d%ertisement

c+ Shop owner

!6& >re you aware of the ad%ertisements of brands other than ^^^^^^^^^^^*M-,+= *Narious >d%ertisements from magaLine will be shown+ Ces !@& Ghat influences you in the ad%ertisement= a+ Models b+ Features of the product e+ .o influence K6 2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi c+ 7ontent li$e punch line& 2ogo etc& d+ 4%erall presentation of >d%ertisement .o

!A& 3f you come across an ad%ertisement of new brand which has you choice in ?ue& !@& would you a+ Try it b+ >s$1inquire for it c+ 3gnore it

K@

2al ,hadur Shastri 3nstitute of Management .ew 'elhi

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