Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 18

Exhibit 15.

15: DeskJet Demand Data from Europe

Europe Options
A
AB
AU
AA
AQ
AY

TOTAL

NOV

DEC

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

80
20,572
4,564
400
4,008
248
29,872

20,895
3,207
255
2,196
450
27,003

60
19,252
7,485
408
4,761
378
32,344

90
11,052
4,908
645
1,953
306
18,954

21
19,864
5,295
210
1,008
219
26,617

48
20,316
90
87
2,358
204
23,103

13,336
432
1,676
248
15,692

A
Beginning Inventory
Safety Stock
Quantity Requirement
Ending Inventory

0
105
185
105

0
105
105
105

0
105
165
105

0
105
195
105

0
105
126
105

0
105
153
105

0
105
105
105

A
Beginning Inventory
Safety Stock
Quantity Requirement
Ending Inventory

0
18264
38,836
18,264

0
18264
39,159
18,264

0
18264
37,516
18,264

0
18264
29,316
18,264

0
18264
38,128
18,264

0
18264
38,580
18,264

0
18264
31,600
18,264

Lead Time
Manufacturing
Shipping

7
35

T
Number of month between reviews
The order size for a fixed-eriod model given
L variable
Lead time
demand
in days
that is normally distributed is determined by
d-bar Forecast average demand (d-bar)

sd

Standard deviation of demand

Fixed Time Period


L Model
Service
withLevel
Safety Stock

Current inventory level

1
1.5

s T+L

42
32.4
98%
150

51.250
2.054
105

Standard deviation of demand over the review and lead time


z-value for the stated service level
Average demand over the vulnerable period
Safety stock
Order Quantity

105.25
60

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

9
10,578
5,004
816
540
484
17,431

20
6,096
4,385
430
2,310
164
13,405

54
14,496
5,103
630
2,046
363
22,692

84
23,712
4,302
456
1,797
384
30,735

42
9,792
6,153
273
2,961
234
19,455

0
105
114
105

0
105
125
105

0
105
159
105

0
105
189
105

0
105
147
105

0
18264
28,842
18,264

0
18264
24,360
18,264

0
18264
32,760
18,264

0
18264
41,976
18,264

0
18264
28,056
18,264

w and lead time

Mean
42
15830
4208
420
2301
307
23109

Std. Dev
32.4
5624.6
2204.6
203.9
1168.5
103.1
6244.0

Lead Time
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5

Service Level
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%

Current Inventory
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

AVG Demand over


order period
105
39575
10520
1050
5752.5
767.5
57772.5

Safety Stock
105
18264
7159
662
3794
335
20276

Exhibit 15.15: DeskJet Demand Data from Europe

NOV

Europe Options
A
AB
AU
AA
AQ
AY

TOTAL
A
Beginning Inventory
Order Quantity
Ending Inventory

AB
Beginning Inventory
Quantity Requirement
Ending Inventory

Lead Time
Manufacturing
Shipping

1
20.00
5,143.00
1,141.00
100.00
1,002.00
62.00
7,468.00

2
20.00
5,143.00
1,141.00
100.00
1,002.00
62.00
7,468.00

DEC
3
20.00
5,143.00
1,141.00
100.00
1,002.00
62.00
7,468.00

0
141.00
121

121
101

101
81

0
40,862.00
35,719

35719
30,576

30576
25,433

4
20.00
5,143.00
1,141.00
100.00
1,002.00
62.00
7,468.00

5
5,223.75
801.75
63.75
549.00
112.50
6,750.75

81

5,223.75
801.75
63.75
549.00
112.50
6,750.75

5,223.75
801.75
63.75
549.00
112.50
6,750.75

61

61

25433
20,290

61

61

20290
15,066

61

15066
9,842

61
61

9842
4,618

7
35

The order size for a fixed-eriod model given variable demand that is normally distributed is determined by

Fixed Time Period Model with Safety Stock

1
6
11

T
L
d-bar

8.1

sd

98%
0

L
I

21.439

s T+L

2.054
77

Number of month week reviews


Lead time in weeks
Forecast average demand (d-bar)
Standard deviation of demand
Service Level
Current inventory level
Standard deviation of demand over the review and lead time
z-value for the stated service level
Average demand over the vulnerable period

44.03
121

Safety stock
Order Quantity

nd lead time

JAN
8
5,223.75
801.75
63.75
549.00
112.50
6,750.75

61
61

4618
36,325.00
35,719

FEB

9
15.00
4,813.00
1,871.25
102.00
1,190.25
94.50
8,086.00

61
46

35719
30,906

10
15.00
4,813.00
1,871.25
102.00
1,190.25
94.50
8,086.00

46
31

30906
26,093

11
15.00
4,813.00
1,871.25
102.00
1,190.25
94.50
8,086.00

12
15.00
4,813.00
1,871.25
102.00
1,190.25
94.50
8,086.00

13
22.50
2,763.00
1,227.00
161.25
488.25
76.50
4,738.50

31
105.00
121

121
106

106
83

26093
21,280

21280
16,467

16467
13,704

14
22.50
2,763.00
1,227.00
161.25
488.25
76.50
4,738.50

83
60

13704
10,941

15
22.50
2,763.00
1,227.00
161.25
488.25
76.50
4,738.50

60
37

10941
8,178

16
22.50
2,763.00
1,227.00
161.25
488.25
76.50
4,738.50

37
106.00
120

8178
5,415

MAR
17
5.25
4,966.00
1,323.75
52.50
252.00
54.75
6,654.25

APR
18
5.25
4,966.00
1,323.75
52.50
252.00
54.75
6,654.25

19
5.25
4,966.00
1,323.75
52.50
252.00
54.75
6,654.25

20
5.25
4,966.00
1,323.75
52.50
252.00
54.75
6,654.25

120
114

114
108

108
102

102
96

5415
35,270.00
35,719

35719
30,753

30753
25,787

25787
20,821

MAY

21
12.00
5,079.00
22.50
21.75
589.50
51.00
5,775.75

22
12.00
5,079.00
22.50
21.75
589.50
51.00
5,775.75

96
84

20821
15,742

84
72

15742
10,663

23
12.00
5,079.00
22.50
21.75
589.50
51.00
5,775.75

72
60

10663
5,584

24
12.00
5,079.00
22.50
21.75
589.50
51.00
5,775.75

60
48

5584
35,214.00
35,719

25
3,334.00
108.00
419.00
62.00
3,923.00

48
48

35719
32,385

JUN
26

27

28

3,334.00
108.00
419.00
62.00
3,923.00

3,334.00
108.00
419.00
62.00
3,923.00

3,334.00
108.00
419.00
62.00
3,923.00

48
48

32385
29,051

48
48

29051
25,717

48
48

25717
22,383

JUL

29
2.25
2,644.50
1,251.00
204.00
135.00
121.00
4,357.75

48
45

22383
19,738

30
2.25
2,644.50
1,251.00
204.00
135.00
121.00
4,357.75

45
42

19738
17,093

31
2.25
2,644.50
1,251.00
204.00
135.00
121.00
4,357.75

32
2.25
2,644.50
1,251.00
204.00
135.00
121.00
4,357.75

33
5.00
1,524.00
1,096.25
107.50
577.50
41.00
3,351.25

34
5.00
1,524.00
1,096.25
107.50
577.50
41.00
3,351.25

42
81.00
120

120
117

117
112

112
107

17093
14,448

14448
11,803

11803
10,279

10279
8,755

AUG
35
5.00
1,524.00
1,096.25
107.50
577.50
41.00
3,351.25

36
5.00
1,524.00
1,096.25
107.50
577.50
41.00
3,351.25

107
102

102
97

8755
7,231

7231
30,012.00
35,719

SEP

37
13.50
3,624.00
1,275.75
157.50
511.50
90.75
5,673.00

97
83

35719
32,095

38
13.50
3,624.00
1,275.75
157.50
511.50
90.75
5,673.00

83
69

32095
28,471

39
13.50
3,624.00
1,275.75
157.50
511.50
90.75
5,673.00

40
13.50
3,624.00
1,275.75
157.50
511.50
90.75
5,673.00

69
55

28471
24,847

55
41

24847
21,223

41
21.00
5,928.00
1,075.50
114.00
449.25
96.00
7,683.75

42
21.00
5,928.00
1,075.50
114.00
449.25
96.00
7,683.75

43
21.00
5,928.00
1,075.50
114.00
449.25
96.00
7,683.75

41
101.00
121

121
100

100
79

21223
15,295

15295
9,367

9367
3,439

OCT
44
21.00
5,928.00
1,075.50
114.00
449.25
96.00
7,683.75

79
58

3439
38,208.00
35,719

Mean

45
10.50
2,448.00
1,538.25
68.25
740.25
58.50
4,863.75

58
47

35719
33,271

46
10.50
2,448.00
1,538.25
68.25
740.25
58.50
4,863.75

47
36

33271
30,823

47
10.50
2,448.00
1,538.25
68.25
740.25
58.50
4,863.75

48
10.50
2,448.00
1,538.25
68.25
740.25
58.50
4,863.75

11
4058
1020
107
564
78
5838

36
95.00
120

120
109

78

30823
28,375

28375
25,927

21,135

Std. Dev

Lead Time

8.1
1345.9
535.3
50.0
288.7
25.3
1541.4

6
6
6
6
6
6
6

4875

35,719

1320938

Service Level

98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%

Current Inventory

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

AVG Demand over


order period
77
28406
7140
749
3948
546
40866

Safety Stock

44
7313
2909
272
1569
138
8376

Вам также может понравиться