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California High Speed Rail
Senate transportation and housing committee meeting of 4-22-2014. SB-901.. (Vidak) hearing
Slides from William Grindley to committee
Video (6 minutes) of his presentation at:
http://youtu.be/rErS4H9XlAk
Оригинальное название
William Grindley presentation to committee
4-22-2014
California High Speed Rail
Senate transportation and housing committee meeting of 4-22-2014. SB-901.. (Vidak) hearing
Slides from William Grindley to committee
Video (6 minutes) of his presentation at:
http://youtu.be/rErS4H9XlAk
California High Speed Rail
Senate transportation and housing committee meeting of 4-22-2014. SB-901.. (Vidak) hearing
Slides from William Grindley to committee
Video (6 minutes) of his presentation at:
http://youtu.be/rErS4H9XlAk
To Have The Train OR To Obey The Law: That Is The Question
We have posLed 42 reporLs, LoLallng more Lhan 1,200 pages of nanclal and pollcy analysls over Lhe pasL 47 monLhs. Lach has been glven Lo Lhe Covernor(s), Lhe Callfornla Plgh Speed 8all AuLhorlLy (CPS8A), Lhe 1reasurer's omce, Lhe 33 key members of Lhe LeglslaLure (and Lhelr sLas) ln >30 Lrlps Lo SacramenLo and much of lL Lo key Members of Lhe uS SenaLe and Pouse of 8epresenLauves ln 7 Lrlps Lo WashlngLon uC. lL can all be found aL www.slLes.google.com/slLe/hsrcallr 22 Apr|| 2014 - Senate 1ransportanon & nous|ng Comm|uee - Mark DeSau|n|er, Cha|rman resentanon |n support of 8|||s |ntroduced by Senator Andy V|dak - 16 th Senate D|str|ct
1he Governor 1he ub||c 1he Author|ty 8efore ou Are 1hree Documents 1hey are the bas|s of my thes|s that the cho|ce before the Leg|s|ature |s e|ther to have a h|gh-speed ra|| pro[ect that v|o|ates the |aw, or a State Government that obeys |ts |aws 1he hrst document, LUS A CnANGL, LUS C'LS1 LA MLML CnCSL, shows that among |ts m|sstatements and m|srepresentanons, the Drah 2014 8us|ness |an connnues to |gnore key aspects of A83034 1he second document, II CU 8UILD I1 1nL WILL NC1 CCML, shows that for at |east the hrst hve years of operanng the ICS, trave|ers us|ng the h|gh-speed ra|| system w||| ga|n no cost or trave| nme advantages 1he th|rd document, Wn CA & 1kADL IUNDS CANNC1 8L USLD 1C IINANCL nIGn-SLLD kAIL IN CALIICkNIA, |s a compend|um of four papers on the |ega| and hnanc|a| fo||y of try|ng to subsntute Cap & 1rade Iunds for rop 1A bonds to match federa| funds age 2 1hree Lxamp|es Cf Where 1he Author|ty's Drah 2014 |an Ignores 1he Law Irom LUS A CnANGL, LUS C'LS1 LA MLML CnCSL In Lxh|b|t 6.3 [page S2] the Author|ty adm|ts |t w||| |n|na||y need an operanng subs|dy, v|o|anng not [ust the wor|dw|de rea||ty of h|gh-speed ra|| operanons and prom|ses to voters, but most |mportant|y A83034. 1here |s no prov|s|on |n the |aw for need|ng 'on|y' a 5S0 m||||on subs|dy. Desp|te Secnon 8 (f) of A83034 say|ng ""!"# #%&'# "()"*+,##- !'.(% +/+!#0 +".11 2# 3 3 450,1#!#- %5 1.!#' !".% 6767 3 3 ." the Author|ty adm|ts that not even the 300-m||e In|na| Cperanng Segment (ICS) w||| be comp|eted by 2020. In the|r |an, ICS opens |n 2022 and 8ay-to-8as|n |n 2027 A83034, Secnon 2704.08 (k)(f)(2 demands the proposed h|gh-speed ra|| (nSk) system have 8!'.(%+ 5,#'.&%) .! +,##-+ 59 667 0(1#+ ,#' "5:' 3 3; Now the 2014 |an says, 8 3 3 .! +,##-+ 4.,.21# 59 #<4##-(%) 677 0(1#+ ,#' "5:'3; 1he Leg|s|ature and Adm|n|stranon are charged w|th not on|y pass|ng |aws, but a|so assur|ng government agenc|es adhere to them age 3 Dur|ng 1he I|ve ears Cf 1he ICS, 1he Author|ty Cers 1he 1rave||ng ub||c An Infer|or Serv|ce 1o Dr|v|ng Cr I|y|ng Irom II CU 8UILD I1 1nL WILL NC1 CCML Dr|vers get between the metropo||ses' suburbs at |east 4S m|nutes qu|cker Lven us|ng the Author|ty's unbe||evab|e 586 LA-SI fare, the costs of dr|v|ng are sn|| cheaper I|y|ng takes |ets than ha|f the door to door nme - a huge advantage for the nSk's pr|mary demograph|c - the bus|ness trave||er Dr|v|ng |s cheaper and y|ng |s more expens|ve between LA and SI when the Author|ty's fares are taken at face va|ue I know no beuer way to destroy the h|gh-speed ra|| brand than prov|d|ng |nfer|or serv|ces age 4 A Compend|um Cf Iour apers Deta||s Wn CA & 1kADL IUNDS CANNC1 8L USLD 1C IINANCL nIGn-SLLD kAIL IN CALIICkNIA 1he Author|ty says the 300-m||e In|na| Cperanng Segment (ICS) |s not hn|shed unn| 2022, wh|ch makes the proposed use of Cap & 1rade funds |||ega| s|nce construcnon po||unon w||| not he|p ach|eve CA A|r kesources 8oard's |nter|m carbon footpr|nt reducnons for 2020 - 1he hrst paper shows the Author|ty's awed [usnhcanon for us|ng us|ng Cap & 1rade funds rests on se|f-serv|ng assumpnons.
- 1he second shows that to advance the goa|s of A832's goa|s, aucnon proceeds must be used 8!5 9.4(1(!.!# !"# .4"(#=#0#%! 59 '#-:4&5%+ 59 )'##%"5:+# ).+ #0(++(5%+ (% >?.1(95'%(.@ 45%+(+!#%! A(!"; A832, wh|ch the pro[ect doesn't.
- 1he th|rd po|nts out how |ncompetent the Author|ty's Green nouse Gas ana|ys|s |s when on|y based on construcnon of the hrst 29 m||es, wh||e |||ega||y prom|s|ng 83 3 -('#4! BCB #0(++(5%+ 4.14:1.&5%+ A(11 2# 4.''(#- 5:! 95' #.4" +:2+#D:#%! 45%+!':4&5% ,.4E.)#3;
F 1he fourth paper deta||s the h|story of try|ng to fund the nSk, u|nmate|y resornng to GH%.%4# 2/ +!#.1!"I and how ||u|e Cap & 1rade funds w||| br|ng. If Cap & 1rade aucnons ach|eve 518]yr. - then assum|ng present-day tota| per m||e costs, 5200 m||||on (20 of 518) wou|d he|p comp|ete |ess than three m||es per year - WnICn MLANS 1C 8UILD CNL 1nL ICS WILL 1AkL ANC1nLk 80 LAkS - Among other |awsu|ts, A832's (Cap & 1rade) very ex|stence |s be|ng cha||enged s|nce |t passed the Leg|s|ature by a s|mp|e ma[or|ty, wh||e |a|nns argue that |t |s a tax and requ|red a two-th|rds ma[or|ty age 3 1he Author|ty has produced noth|ng more than assernons c|oaked |n secrecy, unpa|d b|||s and broken prom|ses, wh||e pretend|ng that po||nca| announcements are rea||ty j now D|d Ca||forn|a Squander nundreds Cf M||||ons ? rop1A - the 2008 ba||ot measure that a||ows the State to match up to 598||||on w|th Iedera| or r|vate funds to bu||d hase 1 (SI-to-LA centers on h|gh-speed ra||) passed by S2.7. What d|d nSk proponents prom|se ? - nSk tra|n wou|d operate at 220mph
- A one-way SI-LA ncket for 5S0
- A LA to SI 2hour 40m|nute r|de
- 90 - 117m||||on annua| r|ders
- hase 1 construcnon cost of 5338||||on
- hase 1 (LA-SI v|a nSk) operanona| by 2020
- Sav|ngs of greenhouse gases
- No operanng subs|dy What are today's CA nSk rea||nes ? - no nSk tra|n operates at 220mph - mosL operaLe <183mph. now CPS8A speaks of 200mph 'capablllues' - A 5SS fare went to 510S. At 586 now. 1haL's 60 more, and sull noL based on 30 years of comparauve fares. - In 2013, CnSkA adm|ued there was no ev|dence to back the 2008 c|a|m. Mlnlmum ls 3 hrs. and only lf lL crosses Lhe 1ehachapl mounLalns aL +200 mph
- Now |ess than 40 m||||on annua| r|ders
- In 2011 CnSkA adm|ued costs were 51178. llrsL 130 mlles (Lhe lnlual ConsLrucuon Secuon) cosLs have rlsen 30, so a $130 8llllon hase 1 ls feaslble - 1he ICS |s now prom|sed for 2022 - hase 1 ls now promlsed for 2030. ConsLrucuon sLarL ls already 20 monLhs laLe
- I1S 8erke|ey says the pro[ect w||| be carbon neutra| |n 70 years
- now can fares be a quarter to ha|f or |ess of wor|dw|de fares and CpLx be ha|f or |ess than the wor|dw|de nSk exper|ence ? 1hls has been my colleagues and my focus for nearly four years D o
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J A S O N 34799.030 lnakl 8arron de Angolu, ulrecLor of Plgh Speed 8all aL Lhe lnLernauonal unlon of 8allways/ulC, presenLed Lhls charL Lo Lhe uS Congress Cn Aprll 19 Lh 2007 At about 2.S hours - 270 to 3S0 m||es - a|| nSk system's share of r|ders drops prec|p|tous|y. CnSkA's SI-to-LA downtown to downtown route |s approx|mate|y 48S m||es 1he 1rave| 1|me rom|se (2:40) Is Not Supported 8y Iacts age 7 In Iebruary 2011 the IUk to|d the Author|ty JB#%#'.11/ +,#.E(%) K,#'.&%) ?5+!+ 4.% 2# 45=#'#- 2/ 9.'#25< '#=#%:#+3J Internanona| nSk kevenues and CpLx reect 40 per passenger m||e (M), yet the Author|ty p|ans |ts revenues at about 23 M.
CnSkA roposes Its Iares W||| 8e na|f Cf kea||ty And W||| Cperate At A uarter Cf +1h|rty ears Cf Wor|dw|de n|gh-Speed ka|| Cperanng Lxper|ence Avg. SI-LA a|r||ne fares = 29 M We presenLed an earller verslon of Lhls graphlc Lo Messrs. 8lchard, Morales and 8ossl on 17 november 2011. 1hey sald: We'll geL back Lo you on LhaL." age 8 A83034 2704.08 ([) Says CnSkA's 1ra|n Cannot nave An Cperanng Subs|dy Desp|te c|a|ms of 'transparency' and |aws that are supposed to g|ve the pub||c access to the work|ngs of government agenc|es, we found that 'outs|ders' have no access to the sohware and a|gor|thms that CnSkA's contractors use to compute and promu|gate statements on Cperanng Lxpenses (CpLx) and prohts.
'Cuts|ders' |nc|ude the US Government Accountab|||ty Cce (GAC) that noted the |nadequacy of CpLx data We showed that on a per passenger m||e bas|s CnSkA's fares are a fracnon of wor|dw|de nSk fares 1o compute prohtab|||ty, we made a ub||c kecords' kequest for the data and sohware used to ca|cu|ate Cperanng and Ma|ntenance Lxpenses (CpLx)
age 9 ? now Can CnSkA's Cha|rman C|a|m nSk Systems Are rohtab|e ? kevenues Account 1 Lxpenses to operate ro|||ng stock Account 2 Lxpenses to ma|nta|n ra||s, ra|| beds and e|ectr|ca| d|str|bunon systems Account 3 Nanona| nea|th Care and ens|on Systems 1o |ntegrate Lurope's 27 government-owned and operated ra|| systems, LU D|recnve 91]440 demanded separanon of ro|||ng stock organ|anons and accounts from hxed |nfrastructure organ|anons and accounts 1aken care of ln nauonal healLh and penslon programs Account 1 |s shown pub||ca||y !L"# ,:21(4 .:!"5'(&#+X+54(#!/ )#%#'.11/ 2#.' !"# 45+!+ 59 (%=#+&%) (% %#A (%9'.+!':4!:'#P 45%+!':4&%) .%- 0.(%!.(%(%) !"# (%9'.+!':4!:'# .%- '#1.!#- #D:(,0#%! " " " M45%50(4 4.14:1.&5%+ 95' (%9'.+!':4!:'# ,'5Y#4!+ (% M:'5,# (%41:-# .11 !"# +54(5#45%50(4 2#%#H!+ 59 9:!:'# '.(1 (%9'.+!':4!:'# .%- (!+ 45%!'(2:&5% !5 +54(#!/ 3 3! Leuer and pollcy sLaLemenL from Lhe ulrecLor Ceneral of Lhe lnLernauonal unlon of 8allways Lo 8oelof van Ark, 8 lebruary 2011. As a pr|vate|y-operated nSk system, CA's tra|n must obey US accounnng systems that are based on GAA, a SINGLL, un|hed accounnng system USA - Cne accounL -
A Iormer Member Cf 1h|s "August 8ody" Spoke 1he 1ruth About 1he n|gh-Speed ka|| Author|ty's Strategy W||||e 8rown '1o|d It L|ke It Was' - L|e 1o 1he ub||c, 8ut ush Ahead - And Instead of Go|ng 1o a||, W||||e Got 1he 8r|dge Named Aher n|m age 11 Is 1he n|gh-Speed 1ra|n ust Another Case Cf 1he Way It Sn|| Is ?