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Профессиональный Документы
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http://research.stlouisfed.org
www.quandl.com
www.datamarket.com
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/source?soid=48
http://www.quandl.com/CANSIM/051_0006-Immigrants-to-Canada-by-country-of-last-permanent-residence-quarterly-Perso
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CANPROINDQISMEI/downloaddata
http://asia-canada.ca/changing-perspectives/indians
http://cidpnsi.ca/blog/portfolio/migration-to-canada-2/
http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/canada-policy-changes-and-integration-challenges-increasingly-diverse-society
Indians in Canada
Canada Production
y-diverse-society
Indians in Canada
Indians in Canada
Unemployment Rate
GDP
Canada(Expenditure)
Unemployment Rate
1
-0.634400542
GDP Canada(Expenditure)
0.062639159
-0.015800562
0.840521638
-0.691704746
0.040158515
0.72113973
-0.637041488
0.011439067
0.952257434
inr/cad
0.809136577
-0.6403787
0.039373509
0.984346301
Q2
0.087194493
0.010996328
0.210256653
-0.003073018
Q3
0.185793609
-0.078338183
-0.067675135
0.012479552
Q4
-0.131262646
-0.165967838
-0.071942578
0.020043904
inr/cad
Q2
Q3
Q4
1
0.975559901
-0.016573646 -0.005910248
0.015821278
0.03451836
0.019511591 -0.33333
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.921688
R Square
0.849508
Adjusted R Square
0.838257
Standard Error
3335.365
Observations
116
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
SS
MS
F
Significance F
8 6.72E+09 8.4E+08 75.50035 1.75E-40
107 1.19E+09 11124657
115 7.91E+09
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept
-8120.5 8290.449
-0.9795
Unemployment-550.88
Rate 268.8387 -2.04911
GDP Canada(Expenditure)
-0.07913 0.137352 -0.57611
CPI (index 2010)
283.5211
Canada145.1209 1.953689
CPI (index 2010)
-296.458
India 57.63163 -5.14401
inr/cad
801.2545 224.8983 3.562742
Q2
2278.215 909.2955 2.505472
Q3
3351.33 914.7751 3.663556
Q4
-1065.55 927.0567 -1.14939
Upper 95.0%
Q3 1993
Q4 1993
Q1 1994
Q2 1994
Q3 1994
Q4 1994
Q1 1995
Q2 1995
Q3 1995
Q4 1995
Q1 1996
Q2 1996
Q3 1996
Q4 1996
Q1 1997
Q2 1997
Q3 1997
Q4 1997
Q1 1998
Q2 1998
Q3 1998
Q4 1998
Q1 1999
Q2 1999
Q3 1999
Q4 1999
Q1 2000
Q2 2000
Q3 2000
Q4 2000
Q1 2001
Q2 2001
Q3 2001
Q4 2001
Q1 2002
Q2 2002
Q3 2002
Q4 2002
Q1 2003
Q2 2003
Q3 2003
Q4 2003
Q1 2004
Q2 2004
Q3 2004
Q4 2004
Q1 2005
18007
12887
12034
14228
16723
12009
14082
15743
17724
14629
17093
19289
23100
17970
20032
23082
24318
16591
16554
18332
20056
15624
16799
20820
24678
21181
21265
25721
29998
24183
26101
31394
32087
22509
27274
30554
22369
18436
20433
25292
27004
21354
21953
26910
26736
18834
24350
11.07
10.73
11.97
10.70
9.80
9.20
10.47
9.57
9.23
8.77
10.27
9.47
9.37
9.33
10.20
9.37
8.67
8.23
9.23
8.33
7.97
7.60
8.50
7.97
7.40
6.50
7.30
6.70
6.83
6.43
7.53
7.07
7.13
7.17
8.50
7.67
7.47
7.03
7.97
7.67
7.73
6.97
7.83
7.17
7.07
6.67
7.43
12.66
-49.41
202.20
-0.19
-2.30
-49.68
29.84
-97.95
769.10
132.56
-99.23
22227.47
70.93
-16.48
6.94
12.97
13.99
-21.14
40.01
-83.94
288.75
54.73
12.68
-36.56
42.73
5.59
-6.78
-6.00
-14.63
-79.99
20.13
23.91
-112.17
-1522.80
111.30
-48.39
42.53
-29.68
-22.89
-112.33
-771.02
106.90
-21.15
82.62
0.51
-49.10
-38.93
Q2 2005
Q3 2005
Q4 2005
Q1 2006
Q2 2006
Q3 2006
Q4 2006
Q1 2007
Q2 2007
Q3 2007
Q4 2007
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q2 2010
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
29575
31649
21452
21451
26430
28760
20832
17636
21469
26761
19473
20013
25155
27988
17367
16927
23035
27665
17603
19344
27267
30915
17797
16648
23159
25506
19605
18652
23576
22671
20787
6.80
6.73
6.07
6.90
6.17
6.50
5.77
6.57
6.00
6.03
5.50
6.30
6.03
6.17
6.03
8.30
8.43
8.53
7.77
8.67
8.07
8.13
7.13
8.10
7.47
7.37
6.87
7.80
7.20
7.33
6.63
93.55
76.67
-28.01
-5.63
-95.33
429.40
91.71
34.37
53.27
-25.82
-53.61
-98.54
11563.68
33.97
-264.95
105.22
-59.72
-158.00
140.56
7.71
-51.82
-27.86
126.35
-48.96
-127.74
-1101.39
-69.44
-59.31
108.41
-51.44
21.57
inr/cad
Q2
7.60
7.39
7.79
7.82
8.13
8.16
8.27
8.41
8.46
8.48
9.00
9.33
9.37
9.11
8.89
8.72
8.77
9.08
9.15
9.55
9.81
9.59
9.90
9.91
10.41
11.31
11.82
12.58
12.95
13.74
14.18
14.59
14.51
14.86
15.43
15.62
16.63
18.42
22.77
22.59
21.71
21.65
21.19
20.55
25.07
24.56
Q3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
Q4
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
73.55
73.93
73.53
73.27
73.67
73.90
74.64
75.24
75.39
75.41
75.73
76.33
76.45
76.90
77.33
77.56
77.76
77.70
78.13
78.33
78.42
78.56
78.73
79.59
80.14
80.42
80.82
81.54
82.31
82.88
83.06
84.46
84.54
83.77
84.34
85.60
86.52
86.95
88.12
87.98
88.32
88.47
88.92
89.93
90.10
90.50
90.81
31.54
32.49
32.65
33.60
35.03
35.69
35.86
37.01
38.81
39.31
39.02
40.46
42.14
42.92
43.17
43.58
44.28
45.30
47.07
48.10
51.09
53.39
51.30
51.50
52.53
53.64
53.19
54.22
54.71
55.24
54.75
55.69
57.25
57.87
57.54
58.20
59.55
59.97
59.72
60.95
61.57
61.98
62.10
62.59
64.15
64.57
64.73
23.74
23.57
23.00
22.67
23.18
22.61
22.49
22.80
24.63
25.52
25.23
25.62
26.09
26.32
26.15
25.88
26.26
27.49
27.89
28.83
27.95
27.60
27.97
29.36
29.48
29.52
29.85
30.26
30.88
30.71
29.93
30.84
30.39
30.38
30.71
31.97
30.74
30.87
32.29
34.55
33.63
34.73
33.89
33.52
35.80
36.09
35.84
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
91.64
92.44
92.50
92.96
93.99
94.05
93.76
94.65
96.05
96.05
96.02
96.34
98.31
99.34
97.85
97.54
98.37
98.48
98.63
99.11
99.74
100.29
100.86
101.69
103.09
103.29
103.58
104.06
104.72
104.55
104.55
65.10
66.54
67.81
67.65
68.97
70.68
72.19
72.38
73.33
75.41
76.17
76.93
79.01
82.24
83.94
84.13
86.03
91.90
95.12
97.02
97.77
101.37
103.84
105.73
106.49
110.66
112.55
113.31
117.29
121.46
123.92
35.19
37.28
39.32
38.33
41.37
41.32
38.73
37.73
38.27
39.40
39.29
40.28
42.11
43.05
39.39
39.81
42.46
44.76
44.22
44.47
44.86
44.59
44.78
46.08
45.92
47.59
51.42
50.64
54.50
55.82
55.22
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
Comparison
Decomposition Forecas
Q1 1982
Q3 1982
Q1 1983
Q3 1983
Q1 1984
Q3 1984
Q1 1985
Q3 1985
Q1 1986
Q3 1986
Q1 1987
Q3 1987
Q1 1988
Q3 1988
Q1 1989
Q3 1989
Q1 1990
Q3 1990
Q1 1991
Q3 1991
Q1 1992
Q3 1992
Q1 1993
Q3 1993
Q1 1994
Q3 1994
Quarter Year
Actuals
Regression Forecasts
Decomposition
Exponential
Forecasts
ARIMA
Forecasts
Forecasts
Q1 1982
4239
4239
4239
4239
4239
Q2 1982
4925
4925
4925
4925
4925
Q3 1982
4166
4166
4166
4166
4166
Q4 1982
3066
3066
3066
3066
3066
Q1 1983
2951
2951
2951
2951
2951
Q2 1983
3292
3292
3292
3292
3292
Q3 1983
3250
3250
3250
3250
3250Regression Forecasts
Actuals
Q4 1983
2788
2788
2788
2788
2788
40000
Q1 1984
2925
2925
2925
2925
2925
Q2 1984
4153
4153
4153
4153
4153
35000
Q3 1984
3964
3964
3964
3964
3964
Q4 1984
3039
3039
3039
3039
3039
30000
Q1 1985
2899
2899
2899
2899
2899
Q2 1985
3358
3358
3358
3358
3358
250003892
Q3 1985
3892
3892
3892
3892
Q4 1985
3566
3566
3566
3566
3566
20000
Q1 1986
3377
3377
3377
3377
3377
Q2 1986
4128
4128
4128
4128
4128
15000
Q3 1986
4527
4527
4527
4527
4527
Q4 1986
6035
6035
6035
6035
6035
100006482
Q1 1987
6482
6482
6482
6482
Q2 1987
7014
7014
7014
7014
7014
50008108
Q3 1987
8108
8108
8108
8108
Q4 1987
6848
6848
6848
6848
6848
06263
Q1 1988
6263
6263
6263
6263
Q2 1988
7942
7942
7942
7942
7942
Q3 1988
9398
9398
9398
9398
9398
Q4 1988
9257
9257
9257
9257
9257
Q1 1989
8430
8430
8430
8430
8430
Q2 1989
11237
11237
11237
11237
11237
Q3 1989
13172
13172
13172
13172
13172
Q4 1989
10769
10769
10769
10769
10769
Q1 1990
9456
9456
9456
9456
9456
Q2 1990
12916
12916
12916
12916
12916
Q3 1990
14685
14685
14685
14685
14685
Q4 1990
14233
14233
14233
14233
14233
Q1 1991
14557
14557
14557
14557
14557
Q2 1991
16916
16916
16916
16916
16916
Q3 1991
15003
15003
15003
15003
15003
Q4 1991
17561
17561
17561
17561
17561
Q1 1992
15729
15729
15729
15729
15729
Q2 1992
16429
16429
16429
16429
16429
Q3 1992
18226
18226
18226
18226
18226
Q4 1992
16881
16881
16881
16881
16881
Q1 1993
14665
14665
14665
14665
14665
Q2 1993
16868
16868
16868
16868
16868
Q3 1993
Q4 1993
Q1 1994
Q2 1994
Q3 1994
Q4 1994
Q1 1995
Q2 1995
Q3 1995
Q4 1995
Q1 1996
Q2 1996
Q3 1996
Q4 1996
Q1 1997
Q2 1997
Q3 1997
Q4 1997
Q1 1998
Q2 1998
Q3 1998
Q4 1998
Q1 1999
Q2 1999
Q3 1999
Q4 1999
Q1 2000
Q2 2000
Q3 2000
Q4 2000
Q1 2001
Q2 2001
Q3 2001
Q4 2001
Q1 2002
Q2 2002
Q3 2002
Q4 2002
Q1 2003
Q2 2003
Q3 2003
Q4 2003
Q1 2004
Q2 2004
Q3 2004
Q4 2004
Q1 2005
18007
12887
12034
14228
16723
12009
14082
15743
17724
14629
17093
19289
23100
17970
20032
23082
24318
16591
16554
18332
20056
15624
16799
20820
24678
21181
21265
25721
29998
24183
26101
31394
32087
22509
27274
30554
22369
18436
20433
25292
27004
21354
21953
26910
26736
18834
24350
18007
12887
12034
14228
16723
12009
14082
15743
17724
14629
17093
19289
23100
17970
20032
23082
24318
16591
16554
18332
20056
15624
16799
20820
24678
21181
21265
25721
29998
24183
26101
31394
32087
22509
27274
30554
22369
18436
20433
25292
27004
21354
21953
26910
26736
18834
24350
18007
12887
12034
14228
16723
12009
14082
15743
17724
14629
17093
19289
23100
17970
20032
23082
24318
16591
16554
18332
20056
15624
16799
20820
24678
21181
21265
25721
29998
24183
26101
31394
32087
22509
27274
30554
22369
18436
20433
25292
27004
21354
21953
26910
26736
18834
24350
18007
12887
12034
14228
16723
12009
14082
15743
17724
14629
17093
19289
23100
17970
20032
23082
24318
16591
16554
18332
20056
15624
16799
20820
24678
21181
21265
25721
29998
24183
26101
31394
32087
22509
27274
30554
22369
18436
20433
25292
27004
21354
21953
26910
26736
18834
24350
18007
12887
12034
14228
16723
12009
14082
15743
17724
14629
17093
19289
23100
17970
20032
23082
24318
16591
16554
18332
20056
15624
16799
20820
24678
21181
21265
25721
29998
24183
26101
31394
32087
22509
27274
30554
22369
18436
20433
25292
27004
21354
21953
26910
26736
18834
24350
Q2 2005
Q3 2005
Q4 2005
Q1 2006
Q2 2006
Q3 2006
Q4 2006
Q1 2007
Q2 2007
Q3 2007
Q4 2007
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q2 2010
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
29575
31649
21452
21451
26430
28760
20832
17636
21469
26761
19473
20013
25155
27988
17367
16927
23035
27665
17603
19344
27267
30915
17797
16648
23159
25506
19605
18652
23576
22671
20787
29575
31649
21452
21451
26430
28760
20832
17636
21469
26761
19473
20013
25155
27988
17367
16927
23035
27665
17603
19344
27267
30915
17797
21,916
24,592
25,958
24,327
24,160
28,860
29,649
24,397
29575
31649
21452
21451
26430
28760
20832
17636
21469
26761
19473
20013
25155
27988
17367
16927
23035
27665
17603
19344
27267
30915
17797
25,901
30,736
33,643
26,189
26,656
31,626
34,609
26,936
29575
31649
21452
21451
26430
28760
20832
17636
21469
26761
19473
20013
25155
27988
17367
16927
23035
27665
17603
19344
27267
30915
17797
19,964
25,451
28,124
19,152
20,413
26,021
28,750
19,576
29575
31649
21452
21451
26430
28760
20832
17636
21469
26761
19473
20013
25155
27988
17367
16927
23035
27665
17603
19344
27267
30915
17797
18,378
24,088
27,324
17,578
18,156
23,803
27,006
17,378
Q1 1994
Q3 1994
Q1 1995
Q3 1995
Q1 1996
Q3 1996
Q1 1997
Q3 1997
Q1 1998
Q3 1998
Q1 1999
Q3 1999
Q1 2000
Q3 2000
Q1 2001
Q3 2001
Q1 2002
Q3 2002
Q1 2003
Q3 2003
Q1 2004
Q3 2004
Q1 2005
Q3 2005
Q1 2006
Q3 2006
Q1 2007
Q3 2007
Q1 2008
Q3 2008
Q1 2009
Q3 2009
Q1 2010
Q3 2010
Q1 2011
Q3 2011
Q1 2012
Q3 2012
Comparison Chart
Decomposition Forecasts
Exponential Forecasts
ARIMA Forecasts
Period
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Average
Actuals
16,648
23,159
25,506
19,605
18,652
23,576
22,671
20,787
Decomposition - Forecasts
25,901
30,736
33,643
26,189
26,656
31,626
34,609
26,936
Difference Decomposition
9,253
7,577
8,137
6,584
8,004
8,050
11,938
6,149
8,212
Exponential - Forecasts
19,964
25,451
28,124
19,152
20,413
26,021
28,750
19,576
Difference Exponential
3,316
2,292
2,618
-453
1,761
2,445
6,079
-1,211
2,106
Regression Forecasts
21,916
24,592
25,958
24,327
24,160
28,860
29,649
24,397
Regression Difference
5,268
1,433
452
4,722
5,508
5,284
6,978
3,610
4,157
Arima - Forecasts
18,378
24,088
27,324
17,578
18,156
23,803
27,006
17,378
Difference Arima
1,730
929
1,818
-2,027
-496
227
4,335
-3,409
388
Period
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Actuals
16,648
23,159
25,506
19,605
18,652
23,576
22,671
20,787
16648
23159
25506
19605
18652
23576
22671
20787
21915.97
24592.16
25958
24327.27
24159.61
28860.4
29649.3
24396.84
8.10
7.47
7.37
6.87
7.80
7.20
7.33
6.63
-48.96
-127.74
-1101.39
-69.44
-59.31
108.41
-51.44
21.57
101.69
103.09
103.29
103.58
104.06
104.72
104.55
104.55
105.73
106.49
110.66
112.55
113.31
117.29
121.46
123.92
46.08
45.92
47.59
51.42
50.64
54.50
55.82
55.22
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00