CONFIDENTIAL ED/JUN 2012/MAE403

UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA

FINAL EXAMINATION
COURSE
COURSE CODE
EXAMINATION
TIME
EDUCATIONAL STATISTICS I
MAE403
JUNE 2012
3 HOURS
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
1. This question paper consists of two (2) parts : PART A (20 Questions)
PART B (6 Questions)
2. Answer ALL questions from all two (2) parts :
i) Answer PART A in the Objective Answer Sheet.
ii) Answer PART B in the Answer Booklet. Start each answer on a new page.
3. Do not bring any material into the examination room unless permission is given by the invigilator.
4. A scientific calculator is allowed to be used in this examination.
5. Please check to make sure that this examination pack consists of:
i) the Question Paper
ii) an Answer Booklet - provided by the Faculty
iii) an Objective Answer Sheet - provided by the Faculty
iv) a Statistical Table Book- provided by the Faculty
DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO
This examination paper consists of 10 printed pages
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PART A (40 MARKS)
INSTRUCTIONS: Answer ALL questions in the Objective Answer Sheet provided.
Shade the letter that corresponds to the most appropriate answer.
1. Which one of these variables is a continuous random variable?
a) The time a randomly selected student takes to complete an exam.
b) The number of tattoos a randomly selected person has.
c) The number of women taller than 68 inches in a random sample of 5 women.
d) The number of correct guesses on a multiple choice test.
2. Which of the following statements best describes the relationship between a parameter
and a statistic?
a) A parameter has a sampling distribution with the statistic as its mean.
b) A parameter has a sampling distribution that can be used to determine what values
the statistic is likely to have in repeated samples.
c) A parameter is used to estimate a statistic.
d) A statistic is used to estimate a parameter.
3. A sampling distribution is the probability distribution for which of the following?
a) A sample
b) A sample statistic
c) A population
d) A population parameter
4. Suppose that the probability of event A is 0.3 and the probability of event B is 0.4.
Also, suppose that the two events are independent. Then P(A|B) is:
a) P(A) = 0.3
b) ^ = ^=0.75
' P(B) 0.4
c) P(A)x P(B) = (0.3)(0.4) = 0.12
d) None of the above.
5. If two events (both with probability greater than 0) are mutually exclusive, then
a) they must also be independent.
b) they could also be independent.
c) they must also be complements.
d) they cannot be independent.
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6. Which statement is NOT related to the following probability?
"the probability that one proposition is true provided that another proposition is true"
a)The probability can be also described as probability of A under the assumption that B
took place.
b)The probability is a simple probability.
c)The probability is a conditional probability.
d)The probability is used to determine whether two events are independent.
7. According to a recent report, 35% of students in a school are "not too worried" that they
will fail in an examination. Let X be the number of students who are "not too worried"
about their examination in a random sample of 20 students. The random variable is a
a) Binomial random variable.
b) Poisson random variable.
c) Normal random variable.
d) continuous random variable.
8. Which one of these variables is a Poisson random variable?
a) The time a randomly selected student takes to complete a multiple choice exam.
b) The number of accidents that occur in a week.
c) The number of women taller than 68 inches in a random sample of 5 women.
d) The number of CDs a randomly selected person owns.
9. As an accounts manager in your company, you classify 75% of your customers as "good
credit" and the rest as "risky credit" depending on their credit rating. Customers in the
"risky" category allow their accounts to go overdue 50% of the time on average, whereas
those in the "good" category allow their accounts to become overdue only 10% of the
time. What percentage of overdue accounts are held by customers in the "risky credit"
category?
a) 20%
b) 12.5%
c) 92.75%
d) 62.5%
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10. The following statements illustrate a few features of random variables. Determine
whether the random variables fit the binomial description.
I. There may be more than two possible outcomes for each trial, but the random
variable counts how many times a particular subset of the possibilities occurs.
II. Sampling without replacement from a small population does not produce a binomial
random variable.
III. Sampling with replacement from a small population does not produce a binomial
random variable.
IV.Any individual random circumstance can be treated as a binomial experiment with
n= 1 and p= probability of a particular outcome.
a) I only
b) I & II
c) I, II &IV
d) I, III & IV
11. Which of the following statements is related to Geometric Distribution?
I. A geometric random variable is the number of trials required to obtain the first
failure.
II. A geometric distribution is used for modeling the number of trials until the first
success.
III. A geometric distribution is also used for modeling number of failures until the first
success.
IV. A geometric random variable is a count of the number of events that occurs in a
certain time interval or spatial area.
a) I & IV
b) II & III
c ) I, II & III
d) I, II, III & IV
12. The probability that a wafer contains a large particle of contamination is 0. 01. If it is
assumed that the wafers are independent, find the probability that exactly 125 wafers
need to be analyzed before a large particle is detected. If 'X' is used to denote the
number of samples analyzed until a large particle is detected, then X is a
with p=0. 01.
a) Geometric random variable
b) Binomial random variable
c) Poisson random variable
d) Normal random variable
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13. The expected value of a random variable is the
a) value that has the highest probability of occurring.
b) mean value over an infinite number of observations of the variable.
c) largest value that will ever occur.
d) most common value over an infinite number of observations of the variable.
14. The payment (X) for a job (an hour) has the following probability distribution:
X= payment
Probability
RM5
0.8
RM10
0.2
What is the expected value of X?
a) RM0
b)RM5
c) RM6
d) RM 15
15. Which of the following sentences is TRUE?
I. A standard deviation shows how much variation or "dispersion" exists from the
average (mean).
II. A low standard deviation indicates that the data points tend to be very close to the
mean.
III. A high standard deviation indicates that the data points are spread out over a
large range of values.
IV. The standard deviation of a random variable is the square of its variance.
a) I & IV
b) II & III
c ) I, II & III
d) I, II, III & IV
16. In a normal distribution, only TWO (2) parameters are needed, namely
a) |J and a.
b) M and a
2
.
c) | j
2
and a.
d) |J
2
and a
2
.
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17. A standard normal random variable Z between 1.50 and 2.10 is
I. the same as the probability of Z between -2.10 and -1.50
II. P(Z>2.10)-P(Z>1.50)
III. P(Z>1. 50)-P(Z>2. 10)
IV. P(Z=2. 10)-P(Z=1. 50)
a) IV only
b) I & II
c) I & III
d) I, II & III
18. Suppose that a vehicle speeding at an interstate location has a normal distribution with
a mean equals to 70 mph and a standard deviation equals to 8 mph. What is the z-score
for a speed of 64 mph?
a) -0. 75
b) +0.75
c) - 6
d)+6
19. The probability is p = 0.80 that a patient with a certain disease will be successfully
treated with a new medical treatment. Suppose that the treatment is used on 40
patients. What is the "expected value" of the number of patients who are successfully
treated?
a) 40
b)20
c)8
d)32
20. The Central Limit Theorem is important in statistics because
a) for a large n, it says the population is approximately normal.
b) for any population, it says the sampling distribution of the sample mean is
approximately normal, regardless of the sample size.
c) for a large n, it says the sampling distribution of the sample mean is approximately
normal, regardless of the shape of the population.
d) for any sized sample, it says the sampling distribution of the sample mean is
approximately normal.
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PART B (60 MARKS)
INSTRUCTIONS: Answer ALL the questions.
QUESTION 1
The information below summarizes the test results of a random sample of 300 students.
The mean of the test marks is 81.97
The median of the test marks is 85.50
The mode of the test marks is 88.00
a) Describe what each of the above information means?
(3 marks)
b) Let X denote the mark for each student. If X = 24592, X
2
= 2055520,
i) compute the standard deviation.
(2 marks)
ii) compute the coefficient of skewness for the data above.
(2 marks)
iii) assume that the data contains extreme values, does it appear that the mean is a
good measure of central location for this set of numbers?
(2 marks)
QUESTION 2
a) A nutritionist is conducting a survey of a group of students to determine how many
regularly take vitamins A and C. Out of the 500 students surveyed, 170 take vitamin A
regularly, 290 take vitamin C regularly, and 80 take both regularly. How many do not take
either vitamin regularly?
(3 marks)
b) A dinner menu lists 6 appetizers, 2 salads, 12 main courses and 7 desserts. How many
different meals consisting of an appetizer, a salad, a main course and a dessert are
possible?
(3 marks)
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c) A multiple choice quiz consists of 8 questions. Each question has 4 choices. How many
different ways are there to answer the questions on the test?
(3 marks)
QUESTION 3
a) If the probability that washing machine A will last for 20 years is 0.7 and the probability
that washing machine 6 will last for 20 years is 0.5,
i) are the events that washing machine A lasting for 20 years and washing machine 6
lasting for 20 years independent? Explain.
ii) what is the probability that the two washing machines last for 20 years?
(3 marks)
(2 marks)
b) Of all the students in a particular school, 40% prefer buying 'nasi lemak' and 60% prefer
buying 'mi goreng'. Of those who prefer 'nasi lemak', 30% are females, and of those who
prefer 'mi goreng', 40% are females. What is the probability that a randomly selected
student prefers 'nasi lemak', given that the person selected is female?
(6 marks)
QUESTION 4
a) The families living in a particular area own either 0, 1, 2 or 3 cars, with the probabilities
shown in the following table:
Number of
cars
Probability 0.25 0.35 0.30 K
Find
i) the value of K.
ii) the expected number of cars owned by a family.
(2 marks)
(3 marks)
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b) The number of industrial injuries per working week in a particular factory is known to
follow a Poisson distribution with a mean of 0.4. Find the probability that:
i) in a particular week there will be less than 3 accidents.
(3 marks)
ii) in a five week period there will be no accidents.
(3 marks)
QUESTION 5
Let the continuous random variable x denote the current measured in a thin copper wire in
milliamperes. Assume that the range of x is [0, 20mA], and assume that the probability
density function of x is:
f{x) = 0.05 for 0 < x < 20.
a) What is the probability that a current measured is less than 10 milliamperes?
(2 marks)
b) Determine the mean of the current.
(3 marks)
c) Determine the variance of the current.
(3 marks)
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QUESTION 6
The lifetime of a battery is normally distributed with a mean life of 48 hours and a standard
deviation of 2.3 hours.
a) Find the probability that a randomly selected battery lasts longer than 42 hours.
(3 marks)
b) Find the probability that a randomly selected battery lasts less than 50 hours.
(4 marks)
c) If 5 batteries are randomly selected, what is the probability that the mean of the lifetime is
less than 45 hours?
(5 marks)
END OF QUESTION PAPER
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