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This study examines the decision making practices of growing and distressed firms. Capital budgeting determines the shape and structure of a company and affects its competitive advantage. Firms with high growth are more inclined to use IRR than the firms with low growth.
This study examines the decision making practices of growing and distressed firms. Capital budgeting determines the shape and structure of a company and affects its competitive advantage. Firms with high growth are more inclined to use IRR than the firms with low growth.
This study examines the decision making practices of growing and distressed firms. Capital budgeting determines the shape and structure of a company and affects its competitive advantage. Firms with high growth are more inclined to use IRR than the firms with low growth.
International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS)
ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014)
www.ijars.in
Manuscript Id: iJARS/782 1
Research Article Suitable Techniques of Capital Budgeting in Growing or Distressed Business
Author: Silky Jain *
Address For correspondence:
Assistant Professor and Research Scholar, University of Delhi, Delhi
Abstract- There exist a wide range of techniques of capital budgeting in advanced as well as basic text books related to Corporate Finance and Financial Management. Each technique has its merits and demerits as a tool of decision making. This study examines the decision making practices of growing and distressed firms. The objectives of this study are to highlight the need of capital budgeting in case of growing and distressed firms, to review the studies conducted and results suggested in the area of capital budgeting in growing in growing and distressed businesses, to suggest recommendations and suggestions drawn there from. It was observed that the firms with high growth are more inclined to use IRR than the firms with low growth whereas firms with low growth are more likely to use break-even analysis than firms with high growth.
Keywords- Capital Budgeting, IRR, NPV, Payback Period, Growing Business, Distressed Business
Introduction Capital investment is one of the areas that not only consumes a lot of resources in todays business, but demands the attention of managers and all and sundry from inception of a project through growth stage to its maturity. However, in the finance literature, capital investments are often described as long-term investments. Long-term investments are difficult to deal with because risk and uncertainty must be accounted for, in addition to series of forecasting, implementation and monitoring of long- range decisions. Capital budgeting determines the shape and structure of a company and affects its competitive advantage. Levary and Seitz (1990) describe complex capital investment as a strategic decision with components and considerations of resource limitations and goal trade-offs. Consequently, given a certain scenario companies evaluate their finances differently (Pandey, 2002); with some companies requiring significant time and strategic processing in order to approve capital expenditures while other companies, however, use simplistic analysis techniques that require nothing more than the approval of a project by several departments inside the company. Some companies evaluate capital expenditures using capital budgeting techniques, such as internal rate of return (IRR) and net present value (NPV), while other companies use payback period and average rate of return (ARR) techniques. There are companies that have very complicated capital budgeting systems in place, while their competitors may agree on a project by a simple majority vote of the board of directors (Phillips, 1997). In recent times, capital expenditure planning has assumed new dimension and has been given much attention both in finance literature and in practice. This is because capital expenditures involve committing huge sum of money, whose benefits extend well ahead into the future, and the future is said to be beclouded with risk and uncertainty, and, once committed, capital expenditure is irreversible. Thus, capital expenditure has huge impact on the future profitability and value creation of a company. Farragher et al. (1999) note that for a successful and effective capital expenditure planning, certain
silky.jain15@gmail.com *Corresponding Author Email-Id International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
Manuscript Id: iJARS/782 2
activities are necessary and shall be given attention. These are strategic analysis, establishing investment goals, searching for investment opportunities, forecasting cash flows of the investment, evaluating the risk of adjusted future cash flows, decision making, and implementing accepted opportunities and post audit procedures. However, in the case of complex capital decisions there is the need for an objective analysis and evaluation of an investment together with a healthy intelligent judgment that has a solid base of knowledge about that investment, through the use of quantitative methods, such as mathematical programming (e.g., linear programming, goal programming and new financial techniques), as opposed to just a simple, sometimes subjective, judgment. Otherwise the amount involved and all the efforts put in nursing the project will become what the accountants called sunk costs. Depending upon its magnitude the survival of the enterprise may be at stake. It is against this background that this paper, focuses on unveiling the current practices of capital investment appraisal of growing and distressed firms. Objectives of the study The objectives of this study are as follows: To highlight the need of capital budgeting in case of growing and distressed firms. To review the studies conducted and results suggested in the area of capital budgeting in growing in growing and distressed businesses. To suggest recommendations and suggestions drawn there from. Data and Methodology This study is an observatory study based on secondary data. The data has been collected from various published sources, books and websites. Review of literature This section reviews the studies conducted and results suggested in the area of capital budgeting. The studies are bifurcated into four parts based on the type of capital budgeting techniques examined. These studies are as follows: Non-DCF Techniques Weingartner [1969] observed that the payback reciprocal as a measure of the rate of return of a project, had significance in the context of certainty. It is more appropriate to regard payback as a constraint which a project must satisfy, than as a criterion which is to be optimized. It was shown that payback reduces the information search by focussing on that time at which the firm expects to "be made whole again" in some sense, and hence it allows the decision maker to judge whether the life of the project past the break- even point is sufficient to make the undertaking worthwhile.
DCF Techniques Hirshleifer [1958] observed that the present-value rule for investment decisions is correct in a wide variety of cases (though not universally) and in a limited sense but it fails to give correct answers only for certain cases which combine the difficulties of non-independent investments and absence of a perfect capital market. He also argued that the will only give correct answers if restricted to two-period comparisons. Gould [1972] observed that which of the two projects is the better clearly depends on the investor's time preference function. Comparison of NPVs is insufficient to determine the correct choice of project. Consideration of differences in lives, outlays or re-investment rates does not affect the validity of the analysis. These features become relevant to investment decisions only when complications, such as imperfection in capital markets or interdependence between projects, are present; and in these circumstances the problem seems likely to be more complex than can be handled by simple tests using NPV or IRR. Dudley [1972] demonstrated that if the reinvestment rate of return is greater than Fishers rate of return over cost, the IRR method will provide optimal decisions while if it is less than Fishers rate, the NPV method will prove optimal. Meyer [1979] suggested that in case of no capital rationing, the correct assumption for reinvestment rate is the average rate of return on new International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
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investment and not the marginal cost of capital. Therefore, if the average rate of return lies to the left of Fisher's rate, NPV will give the most appropriate ranking of mutually exclusive proposals and if the average rate of return lies to the right of Fisher's rate, IRR will give the most appropriate ranking of mutually exclusive proposals. However, Nicol [1981] demonstrated that the appropriate rate for reinvestment in case of no capital rationing, is in fact the marginal cost of capital. Dorfman [1981] asserted that in the choice between the IRR and NPV criteria, the question is whether the firm or firms under consideration are more like firms which are interested primarily in growing, or whether they are more like firms interested primarily in net payouts to their proprietors who have access to perfect capital markets. Businessmen do pay attention to the internal rate of return of prospective investment projects, and often justify doing so by emphasizing the importance of reinvestment and affirming their confidence that opportunities similar to those now available will continue to open up in the future. Greenfield, Randall and Wood [1983] tried to show that financing the project by issuing debt and equity in amounts whose ratio equals the firm's target debt-equity ratio causes the net present value calculation to inaccurately assess the wealth that accrues to the benefit of present ownership in the firm. The evaluation of a prospective investment project in terms of its net present value provides a meaningful assessment of the project's ability to contribute to shareholder wealth if the project is financed at the firm's current (and presumably target) market-value debt-equity ratio.
A critical appraisal of both DCF and non-DCF techniques
Following are the studies conducted on both the DCF and non-DCF techniques: Mao [1970] compared current theory with practice and found that the current theory generally regards IRR, or NPV, as a better measure of return than either the payback period or the accounting profit. But Maos study confirmed the prevalence of the payback period and the accounting profit criteria in practice. Schall, Sundem and Geijsbeek [1978] discussed the results of a survey of large U.S. firms and observed that the trend toward use of more sophisticated capital budgeting techniques continues, with this survey indicating that 86% of the sample firms use discounted cash flow methods, most of them combining this with a payback or accounting rate of return analysis. Oblak and Helm [1980] examined the foreign project evaluation of MNCs and found that MNCs conduct more comprehensive scrutiny of their outdoor projects. It was observed that a greater proportion of MNCs now employs DCF methods and accommodates for risk in the evaluation of foreign projects. The internal rate of return method was the favourite as the primary evaluation method, while the payback period was most frequently mentioned as the secondary criterion.
Haka, Gordon and Pincher [1985] seek to determine the effect of switching from naive to sophisticated capital budgeting selection techniques on a firms market performance. While the authors found no long run effects on relative market returns for adopting firms, their results do suggest, that there is a short run positive effect when the firms adopt sophisticated capital budgeting selection procedures. Pandey [1989] tried to document the capital budgeting policies and practices of companies in India, a developing" country, and contrasted them with those of USA and UK, the developed countries. He observed that the investment idea generation is primarily a bottom-up process in India. In UK, both bottom-up as well as top-down processes exist whereas in USA, a bottom-up process exists. As regards the use of evaluation methods in India, all sample companies, with one exception, were found to use payback criterion. IRR was found to be the next most attractive technique. The primary reason for DCF techniques not being as popular as payback was the lack of familiarity with DCF on the part of executives. Other factors were inadequacy of technical personnel and sometimes reluctance of top management to employ DCF techniques. Anand [2002] found that presently DCF methodology was used by the firms more than in the earlier times. In fact, multiple criteria were used by them in their project choice decisions. Most respondents choose International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
Manuscript Id: iJARS/782 4
NPV and IRR as their most repeatedly used capital budgeting techniques. The payback period method is also popular. The most interesting results come from examining the responses conditional on firm size and growth characteristics. Large firms are significantly more inclined to employ NPV as compared to small firms. However, small firms are more inclined to employ payback period method than large firms. Firms with high growth use IRR more often than the firms having low growth whereas low growth firms are more probable to use break-even analysis than high growth firms. Danielson and Scott [2006] analyzed the capital budgeting practices of small firms. The authors concluded that the firms with fewer than 250 employees analyze potential investments using much less sophisticated methods like gut feel, payback period, and accounting rate of return. Kantudu [2007] found that even though firms in Nigeria favored a blend of capital budgeting techniques but the technique payback period was ranked high among other techniques. Also, while choosing a particular project appraisal technique, simplicity, understandability and effectiveness were found to be the crucial factors. Brijlal [2008] revealed the nature of investment appraisal practices in the Western Cape. The research findings suggested that the most famous technique followed by managers in evaluating investment decisions was the Payback Period (PP) technique as it was used by 39% of respondents. Other popular techniques were Net Present Value (NPV) technique (36%), Internal Rate of Return (28%), Profitability Index (28%) and Accounting Rate of Return (22%). However, 10% of the respondents reported that they used their gut feel or rely on their intuition to make decisions and thus, did not use any of the capital budgeting techniques. The research further confirmed the theory that says as businesses increase in size they begin to use more complicated methods as compared to when they are small businesses. Hanaeda and Serita [2013] carried a survey about the cost of capital and capital budgeting techniques for Japanese firms and found that payback period method was more frequently used by these firms than NPV and IRR.
Augmented Techniques Following are the studies conducted on augmented techniques and approaches: Baumol and Quandt [1965] explored the choice of optimal investment project combinations under capital rationing and argued that in the absence of any external discounting criterion the appropriate discount rate must be determined subjectively by the decision maker in a manner which is consistent with his utility function. Lusztig and Schwab [1968] focused on one particular problem peculiar to the application of programming techniques to capital budgeting, namely the mutual dependence between the optimal solution of the linear programming model and the discount rate used to calculate the coefficients of its objective function. The authors found that the dilemma created by the mutual dependence of the discount rate to be opted on the optimality estimation and vice versa was needed to be acknowledged as it may severely limit the suitability of the initial solution given by a linear programming model. However, in numerous cases the solution obtained will remain optimal in spite of adjusting the initial discount rate to the value prescribed by this optimal solution. Sensitivity analysis provides the answer as to which of these two categories a particular problem belongs; it thus enables us to know whether we are justified to place confidence in the solution obtained from the linear programming model, or whether further analysis-- e.g., additional iterations through the model is indicated. Kierulff [2008] observed that currently, IRR and NPV are the preferred techniques of investment appraisal. Most often, NPV is used by practitioners and academics, yet executives have shown an instinctive preference for IRR. But both NPV and IRR have significant drawbacks. MIRR deals with these problems by specifically recognizing that cash flows produced by an investment can be reinvested. Significance of Capital Budgeting for Growing and Distressed businesses The success and failure of any business depends upon how the available funds are utilized since capital budgeting is important for every firm. The importance of capital budgeting do not lies only in International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
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the mechanics used, such as NPV and IRR, but is lying in the varying key involved in forecasting cash flow. Capital expenditures can be substantial and significantly impact the financial performance of the firm. In addition, the investments need time to grow- up and capital assets are longstanding, therefore, if a mistake is committed in the investment appraisal process, it will have long term effects on the firm. However, the significance of capital budgeting decisions varies for a growing and for a distressed business. The needs of growing businesses and distressed businesses are different regarding the working capital and cash flows. A growing firm can be described as any firm which generates ample positive earnings or cash flows, which grow at significantly rapid pace than the overall economy. Such a firm normally reinvests more of its profits as retained earnings instead of distributing dividends. A growth company is likely to have for its own retained earnings very promising reinvestment opportunities. Capital budgeting is important for growing firm because of the following reasons: A growing firm enjoys access to funds. In such a case there is a danger of over investment. If the firms investments are excessive it will cause higher expenses and depreciation. Capital budgeting helps the management to avoid over investment. Growing businesses normally face stiff competition. The capital budgeting decisions have an impact on the firms capacity and strength to face the competition. Competitiveness may be lost if the decision of the firm to modernize is deferred or not rightly taken. Growing firms choose proposals keeping in mind the objective of shareholders wealth maximization. Various sophisticated capital budgeting techniques like IRR, NPV, etc., helps the firm in doing so. Proper analysis of capital budgeting is crucial for the successful performance of a firm because investment decisions can enhance cash flows and result in higher stock prices. On the other hand, financially distressed businesses face different circumstances. A firm is called financially distressed firm when it cannot meet or has difficulty paying off its debts. The probability of financial distress increases when a firm has illiquid assets, high fixed costs, or revenues which are hypersensitive to economic plunges. Capital budgeting is important for distressed firm because of the following reasons: Capital rationing 1 is one of the most important features of a distressed business firm. Capital rationing gives sufficient scope for financial manager to evaluate different proposals and only viable projects must be taken up. Such a firm faces difficulty in raising funds. In such a case there is a danger of under investment. If the firms investments are inadequate, it will face a difficulty of inadequate capacity and therefore, lose its share of market to its rivals. Capital budgeting helps the management to avoid under investment. Capital budgeting offers effective control over the expenditure incurred on the projects. Financially distressed firm focuses on early recovery of the initial investment. Various capital budgeting techniques like payback period and discounted payback period helps the firm in selecting such projects. Suggestions and Recommendations All the capital budgeting techniques attempt to allocate the firms resources in the most efficient way, although they sometimes do not agree on the right choice to make. Each of these techniques has its own decision rule. A decision maker has to select a particular technique of evaluation of capital budgeting proposal. It may be logically stated that much of a choice of the technique depends upon the situational factors, particularly the firm, the funds
1 Capital rationing is the situation where a firm is unable to undertake all the profitable investment opportunities because of financial problems. International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
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availability and the relative importance of a decision, etc. moreover, different firms and different finance managers may have different acceptance standards. However, our focus is the suitability of capital budgeting techniques in case of growing and distressed firms. These are the two extreme situations of any firm. Therefore, the circumstances and conditions they face totally differ. Growing firms normally face stiff competition. There is a need for continuous expansion and modernization for such firms. The capital budgeting decisions have an impact on the firms capacity and strength to face the competition. Competitiveness may be lost if the decision of the firm to modernize is deferred or not rightly taken. These companies have substantial need for funds for investment in projects. For this purpose, these companies retain a part of their profits to be reinvested. Large firms and growth firms place substantial emphasis on the EVA maximization objective. On a purely hypothetical grounds, NPV is the superior approach of capital budgeting. However, the evidence suggests that in spite of hypothetical superiority of NPV, IRR is preferred by the financial managers. The reason for the preference for IRR is the general inclination of businesspersons toward relative returns instead of actual absolute returns. Since profitability, interest rates, and so on are generally expressed as yearly rates of return, the IRR becomes more appealing to financial decision makers. They are likely to find NPV less instinctive as it does not measure gains relative to the amount of investment. Some growth firms have the objective of maximization of growth rate. As revealed by Dorfman (1981), in certain circumstances this objective was best achieved by adopting an internal rate of return criterion. The reason was that when growth is the objective, the critical consideration in choosing among opportunities is the extent to which they generate funds available for reinvestment, and the best opportunity from this point of view is not necessarily the one with the greatest net present value of cash flows. In the choice between the IRR and the NPV criteria, the question is whether the firm or firms under consideration are more like firms which are interested primarily in growing, or whether they are more like firms interested primarily in net payouts to their proprietors who have access to perfect capital markets. Corporations do pay attention to the internal rate of return of prospective investment projects, and often justify doing so by emphasizing the importance of reinvestment and affirming their confidence that opportunities similar to those now available will continue to open up in the future. On the other hand, financially distressed firms face different circumstances. Financially distressed firms face liquidity problems. The probability of financial distress increases when a firm has illiquid assets, high fixed costs, or revenues which are hypersensitive to economic plunges. The major concern of such firms is early recovery of capital. Therefore, payback period technique is best suited for such firms. Many of these firms generally do not resort to sophisticated capital budgeting techniques. They may simply confine themselves to break even analysis. Weingartner (1969) has shown that payback reduces the information search by focussing on that time at which the firm expects to "be made whole again" in some sense, and hence it allows the decision maker to judge whether the life of the project past the break- even point is sufficient to make the undertaking worthwhile. The appeal of payback for the decision maker is that it indicates how rapidly he can expect confirmation that he has made a good choice, and for which he can expect to benefit personally. One of the reasons for the distressed firms using payback period may be lack of efficient staff capable of using some DCF techniques. In a wider sense, the technique of payback period takes care of risk also. In comparison with the project having a longer payback period, the project having a shorter payback period will have lesser risk, since the cash inflows which occur later will be more uncertain and thus more risky. So, the payback period helps in weeding out the risky proposals by assigning lower priority. Capital rationing is also one of the most important features of distressed firms. Under such a situation, a firm looks for the proposals which will contribute more per International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
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rupee spent. Therefore, the best suited technique will be Profitability Index. Thus, for distressed firms, Payback period technique can be used in conjunction with the Profitability Index technique. Conclusion Capital budgeting is a process of planning capital expenditure which is to be made to maximize the long term profitability of the organization. The success and failure of any business depends upon how the available funds are utilized. However, the significance of capital budgeting decisions varies for a growing and for a distressed firm. Large firms and growth firms place substantial emphasis on the EVA maximization objective. On a purely hypothetical grounds, NPV is the superior approach of capital budgeting. However, the evidence suggests that in spite of hypothetical superiority of NPV, IRR is preferred by the financial managers. For distressed firms, Payback period technique can be used in conjunction with the Profitability Index technique. Thus, in short we can conclude that, the firms with high growth are more inclined to use IRR than the firms with low growth whereas firms with low growth are more likely to use break-even analysis than firms with high growth. References: 1. Anand, M. (2002). Corporate Finance Practices in India: A Survey. Vikalpa , 27 (4), 29-56. 2. Bierman, H. J., & Hass, J. E. (1973). Capital budgeting under uncertainty: A reformation. Journal of finance , 28 (1), 119-129. 3. Boumal, W. J., & Quandt, R. E. (1965). Investment and Discount Rates under Capital Rationing- a programming Approach. The Economic Journal , 75 (298), 317-329. 4. Brijlal, P. (2008, August). The use of capital budgeting techniques in businesses: A perspective from Western Cape . Retrieved Febuary 12, 2014, from Social Science Research Network: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_ id=1259636 5. Danielson, M. G., & Scott, J. A. (2006, June). The Capital Budgeting Decisions of Small businesses. Retrieved January 30, 2014, from Astro.temple.edu: http://astro.temple.edu/~scottjon/documents/Capi talBudgetinginSmallFirms_June2006_final.pdf 6. Dorfman, R. (1981). The meaning of Internal rates of return. The Journal of Finance , 36 (5), 1011-1021. 7. Dudley, C. L. (1972). A note on choosing between reinvestment assumptions in choosing between NPV and IRR. Journal of Finance , 27 (4), 907-915. 8. Farragher, E., Kleiman, R., & Sahu, A. (1999). Current Capital Budgeting Practices. Engineering Economist , 44 (2), 137. 9. Gould, J. (1972). On Investment Criteria for Mutually Exclusive Projects. Economica, New series , 39 (153), 70-77. 10. Haka, S. F., Gordon, L. A., & Pincher, G. E. (1985). Sophisticated capital budgeting techniques and firm performance. The Accounting Review , LX (4), 651-669. 11. Hanaeda, H., & and Serita, T. (2013, August 19). Capital Budgeting Practices: Evidence from Japan. Retrieved November 10, 2013, from Social Science Research Network: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_ id=2312264 12. Hirshleifer, J. (1958). On the Theory of Optimal Investment Decision. The Journal of Political Economy , 66 (4), 329-352. 13. Kantudu, A. (2007, July 12). Capital Investment Appraisal Practices of Quoted Firms in Nigeria. Retrieved October 30, 2013, from Social Science Research Network: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_ id=1000075 14. Kierulff, H. (2008). MIRR: A better measure. Business Horizons , 51, 321-329. International Journal of Applied Research and Studies (iJARS) ISSN: 2278-9480 Volume 3, Issue 3 (Mar - 2014) www.ijars.in
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15. Levary, R., & Seitz, N. (1990). Quantitative Methods of Capital Budgeting. Cincinnati, Ohio: South-Western Publishing Company. 16. Lusztig, P., & Schwab, B. (1968). A Note on the Application of Linear Programming to Capital Budgeting. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , 3 (4), 427-431. 17. Mao, J. C. (1970). Survey of capital budgeting: Theory and Practise. Journal of Finance , 25, 323=339. 18. Meyer, R. L. (1979). A note on capital budgeting techniques and the reinvestment rate. Journal of finance , 34 (5), 1251-1254. 19. Nicol, D. J. (1981). A note on capital budgeting techniques and the reinvestment rate: A comment. Journal of finance , 36 (1), 193-195. 20. Oblak, D. J., & Helm, R. J. (1980). Survey and Analysis of Capital Budgeting Methods Used by Multinationals. Financial Management , 9 (4), 37-41. 21. Pandey, I. (1989). Capital budgeting practices of Indian companies. MDI Management Journal , 2 (1), 1-15. 22. Pandey, I. (2002). Financial Management. New Delhi: Vikas Publishing House. 23. Phillips, R. (1997). Impact of Capital Spending on Paper Industry Profitability. TAPPI Journal , 80 (10), 145-152. 24. Schall, L. D., Sundem, G. L., & Geijsbeek, W. R. (1978). Survey and analysis of capital budgeting methods. Journal of Finance , 33 (1), 281-287. 25. Woods, J. C., & Randall, M. R. (1989). The Net Present Value of Future Investment Opportunities: Its Impact on Shareholder Wealth and Implications for Capital Budgeting Theory. Financial Management , 18 (2), 85-92.