1

MARKING SCHEME

PEPERIKSAAN PERCUBAAN PENGGAL 2 TAHUN 2014
SMK BUKIT MERTAJAM
MATHEMATICS M ( PAPER 2)

NO SCHEME MARKS
1.
[8]
a)
Time Frequency Width Midpoint Frequency
density
120 0 s < x 1 120 60 0.5
180 120 s < x 9 60 150 9
240 180 s < x 15 60 210 15
300 240 s < x 17 60 270 17
360 300 s < x 13 60 330 13
600 360 s < x 5 240 480 1.25









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2
b) Mean =
60
480 5 330 13 270 17 210 15 150 9 60 1 + + + + +

=
60
15840

= 264

c) Standard deviation =
2
264
60
4674600

= 90.6


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2.
[6]

a) 5 . 0
) (
1 . 0
=
B P

P(B) = 0.2

b) ) ( ) ( B P A B P = A and B are not independent
c) 25 . 0
) (
1 . 0
=
A P

P(A) = 0.4

) ( ) ( ) (
'
B A P A P B A P =
= 0.4 0.1
= 0.3


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3.
[6]
ai) r measure the strength of the relationship between x and y.

ii) 1 1 s s r
r = 1 mean a perfect positive relationship between x and y.

b)
8
) 470 (
29450 )(
8
) 423 (
24479 (
8
) 470 ( 423
26520
2 2

= r
= 0.847
There have a strong positive correlation between variable x and y.


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3
4.
[7]
a) p+0.25+2p+0.3+0.15=1
3p+0.7=1
P=0.1

b) E(x)=5.7
0(0.1)+2(0.25)+5(0.2)+n(0.3)+12(0.15) = 5.7
3.3+0.3n = 5.7
n = 8

c) E(X
2
) = 0
2
(0.1)+2
2
(0.25)+5
2
(0.2)+8
2
(0.3)+12
2
(0.15)
= 46.8
Var (X) = 46.8-5.7
2

= 14.31
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5.
[10]
a)
Year Quarter
Time
column
, t
Number
of tourist
4-quarter
moving
average
Centred
4-quarter
moving
average
Deviation
2011
1 1 22.0
2 2 12.0
3 3 110.0 43.75 43.63 66.38
4 4 31.0 43.5 45.25 -14.25
2012
1 5 21.0 47 52.00 -31.00
2 6 26.0 57 61.88 -35.88
3 7 150.0 66.75 70.38 79.63
4 8 70.0 74 75.25 -5.25
2013
1 9 50.0 76.5 76.00 -26.00
2 10 36.0 75.5 80.50 -44.50
3 11 146.0 85.5
4 12 110.0
b)
Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2011 66.38 -14.25
2012 -31.00 -35.88 79.63 -5.25
2013 -26.00 -44.50
Unadjusted
seasonal
variation
-28.50 -40.19 73.00 -9.75
Correction
factor
-1.359 -1.359 -1.359 -1.359
Seasonal
variation
-27.14 -38.83 74.36 -8.39







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4
c)
Year Quarter
Coded
quarter, t
Number
of
tourist, y
Seasonal
variation
, S
Deseaso
nalised,
T=y-S
t^2 tT
2011
1 1 22.0 -27.14 49.14 1 49.14
2 2 12.0 -38.83 50.83 4 101.66
3 3 110.0 74.36 35.64 9 106.92
4 4 31.0 -8.39 39.39 16 157.56
2012
1 5 21.0 -27.14 48.14 25 240.70
2 6 26.0 -38.83 64.83 36 388.97
3 7 150.0 74.36 75.64 49 529.48
4 8 70.0 -8.39 78.39 64 627.13
2013
1 9 50.0 -27.14 77.14 81 694.27
2 10 36.0 -38.83 74.83 100 748.28
3 11 146.0 74.36 71.64 121 788.05
4 12 110.0 -8.39 118.39 144 1420.69
Total 78 784.0 784.00 650 5852.84
12
78
650
12
) 784 )( 78 (
84 . 5852
2

= b
= 5.293

)
12
78
( 293 . 5
12
784
= a
= 30.93
t T 293 . 5 93 . 30 + =
) 13 ( 293 . 5 93 . 30
1
+ = T
= 99.74
1
F = 99.74+(-27.14)
= 72.6
The predict number of tourist fot 1
st
quarter 2014=72.6X1000=72600














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6.
[8]
a) Simple aggregate price index
120= 100
5 12 6 10 5 . 2
6 14 12 3
X
a
+ + + +
+ + + +

100
5 . 35
35
120 X
a +
=
A=7.60

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5
b) 100
) 5 ( 5 ) 15 ( 12 ) 10 ( 6 ) 10 ( 10 ) 20 ( 5 . 2
) 5 ( 6 ) 15 ( 14 ) 10 ( 6 . 7 ) 10 ( 12 ) 20 ( 3
X L
p
+ + + +
+ + + +
=
= 100
415
496
X
= 119.5
From January to July, the familys expenditure on daily food has increased by
19.5%

c) 100
) 6 ( 5 ) 14 ( 15 ) 6 . 7 ( 10 ) 2 ( 10 ) 3 ( 20
) 4 ( 6 ) 10 ( 14 ) 9 ( 6 . 7 ) 8 ( 12 ) 10 ( 3
X P
q
+ + + +
+ + + +
=
= 100
496
4 . 358
X
= 72.26
From January to July, there is a drop of 27.74% in the quantity of daily food
bought by the family.


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7.
[15]
a) p=0.6 , q = 0.4

i) ) 3 ( = X P

5 3
3
8
) 4 . 0 ( ) 6 . 0 ( C =
=0.124

ii) ) 1 ( ) 0 ( 1 ) 2 ( = = = > X P X P X P

7 1
1
8 8 0
0
8
) 4 . 0 ( ) 6 . 0 ( ) 4 . 0 ( ) 6 . 0 ( 1 C C =
= 1- 0.000655-0.00786
= 0.9914

iii) E(X) = 8X0.4
= 3.2
= 3











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6
iv)
q x
p x n
x X P
x X P
) 1 (
) (
) (
) 1 (
+

=
=
+ =

If P(X = x+1) > P(X = x)
(n-x)p > (x+1)q
(8-x)(0.6) > (x+1)(0.4)
x < 4.4
Hence, P(X=5) > P(X=4) > . >P(X=0)
If P(X = x) > P(X = x+1)
Then x > 4.4
Hence, P(X=5) > P(X=6) > . >P(X=8)
P(X=5) has the highest probability, Hence, number of students that most
likely to pass is 5.


b) 99 . 0 ) 1 ( > > X P
1 P(X=0) > 0.99
P(X=0) < 0.1
01 . 0 ) 4 . 0 ( ) 6 . 0 (
0
0
<
n n
C
01 . 0 4 . 0 <
n

01 . 0 log 4 . 0 log < n
4 . 0 log
01 . 0 log
> n
02 . 5 > n
n = 6

c) 6 or 36 ) 4 . 0 )( 6 . 0 ( 150 and 90 ) 6 . 0 ( 150 = = = = = npq npq np
36) , 90 ( ~ N X
P( X> 85) = ) 5 . 85 ( > X P
= )
6
90 5 . 85
(

> Z P
= ) 75 . 0 ( > Z P
= ) 75 . 0 ( 1 > Z P
= 1-0.2266
= 0.7734









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7
8.
[15]
. a)
Boys Stem Girls
0 8
1 6
9 6 2 4 5
9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 1 0 3 1 2 4 4
7 5 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 2 4 5 7 8 8
5 0
Key: 6 2 means hours

Key: 08 means 8 hours

b) The distribution for the boys is almost symmetrical while the girls is
negatively skewed.

c) Boys: IQR Girls: IQR
d)
Boys:
mean hours

number of hours
Girls:
mean hours

number of hours
e) The dispersion of distribution is larger for the girls.






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