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Introduction
Probability
Important Distributions
Fittin"
!rror Propa"ation
#ypotesis $estin"
%
$est
&S $est
Systematic 'ncertainties
Visuali(in" Data
Introduction
f x dx
E[u x]=
u x f x dx
PDF Moments: Mean) Variance
Mean:
Variance:
Standard De+iation:
$ese basic definitions are used essentially
e+ery*ere- If *e ;no* te pdf) *e ;no*
o* to determine te mean and s-d-
=
x f x dx
2
=Var x=
x
2
f x dx
2
,inomial Distribution
In N trials) 4NP;
%
=NPQ
= =
%
4
If te x
i
a+e different :s
*it *
i
4/C
i
Statistical !stimators: Fittin"
Li;eliood
$ese all reBuire minimi(ation of a function- In complex
cases) tis minimi(ation can only be done numerically
9e can *rite te
%
in terms our obser+able
Minimi(e
%
*it respect to parameter
Li;eliood Distribution and Li;eliood Fits
P.+alue 4
f z ; n
d
dz
7onfidence Le+els
!xamples:
Mis.modelin" resolution
Mis.calibration