The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression in the decade preceding World War II. The timing of the Great Depression varied across nations, but in most countries it started in 1930 and lasted until the late 1930s or middle 1940s. It was the longest, deepest, and most widespread depression of the 20th century. In the 21st century, the Great Depression is commonly used as an example of how far the world's economy can decline. The depression originated in the U.S., after the fall in stock prices that began around September 4, 1929, and became worldwide news with the stock market crash of October 29, 1929 (known as Black Tuesday). The Great Depression had devastating effects in countries rich and poor. Personal income, tax revenue, profits and prices dropped, while international trade plunged by more than 50%. Unemployment in the U.S. rose to 25%, and in some countries rose as high as 33%. Cities all around the world were hit hard, especially those dependent on heavy industry. Construction was virtually halted in many countries. Farming and rural areas suffered as crop prices fell by approximately 60%. Some economies started to recover by the mid-1930s. In many countries, the negative effects of the Great Depression lasted until after the end of World War II.
United States Britain France Germany Industrial production 46% 23% 24% 41% Foreign Trade -70% -60% -54% -61% Unemployment +607% +129% +214% +232%
An economic depression is an example of what phase of the business cycle? Why is it so hard for people to find work during a depression? Use examples from this station.
Station 3: Post War Peak
Many Americans feared that the end of World War II and the subsequent drop in military spending might bring back the hard times of the Great Depression. But instead, pent-up consumer demand fueled exceptionally strong economic growth in the post war period. The automobile industry successfully converted back to producing cars, and new industries such as aviation and electronics grew by leaps and bounds. A housing boom, stimulated in part by easily affordable mortgages for returning members of the military, added to the expansion. The nation's gross national product rose from about $200,000 million in 1940 to $300,000 million in 1950 and to more than $500,000 million in 1960. At the same time, the jump in postwar births, known as the "baby boom," increased the number of consumers. More and more Americans joined the middle class. What phase of the business cycle is this period referring to?
Why would Americans fear an economic recession after a period of war?
How do you think a period of economic growth corresponds to a Baby Boom?
Would you expect the economy to perform this way? Why or why not?
Station 5: Buffalo on the Rise (2011)
For residents of Buffalo, N.Y., there are few obvious signs that the local economy has been improving. The Queen Citys manufacturing base has been gutted and population growth has stagnated. Yet Buffalo is better off than it seems. Along with 20 other metros, it has rebounded to near-prerecession levels in terms of jobs, unemployment, economic output, and house prices. According to a new report from the Brookings Institution, Buffalo and such rust belt metros as Rochester, N.Y., and Pittsburgh as well as much-discussed growth zones like Washington have outperformed many of the nations leading economic areas since the recession began. Behind Buffalos performance is growth in such areas as health-care and social-assistance jobs, which have grown to about 73,400 in May 2011, from an average of 69,600 in 2007, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data. In the same period, employment in leisure and hospitality jumped to 55,200, from 49,100. The Buffalo areas housing prices did not spike during the real estate bubble, so home prices have been stable, compared with those in many parts of the country. As Howard Wial, a fellow for the Metropolitan Policy Program at Brookings, points out, many metro areas in the report were not particularly strong before the downturn and havent necessarily enjoyed quick recoveries.
What helped Buffalos economy grow after the recession of the late 2000s?
How can you tell Buffalo is continuing to grow now?
Station 1: Germans loose the First World War- By 1914 Germany had become Europes most powerful economic and military power, and was second only to the United States in the world. Four long, terrible years of warfare meant that, by 1918, Germanys economy was in ruins.
The effects of defeat Warfare meant that Germany could not import or export industrial goods and severely limited trade. Resources and food were diverted to the war. As a result of the war, by 1919 Germany was no longer the second most economically advanced nation in the world. The terms of the Treaty of Versailles ordered that Germany had to pay huge sums in reparations to the Allies. In 1921, as Germany could not pay, French and Belgian troops invaded and occupied the Ruhr to take goods and raw materials. During 1923 Germany printed more money to pay striking workers. Hyperinflation resulted, wiping out the value of savings.
What point on the business cycle is this point in history describing? What is hyperinflation? Station 4: The Great Recession (2008)
The Great Recessionwhich officially lasted from December 2007 to June 2009began with the bursting of an 8 trillion dollar housing bubble. The resulting loss of wealth led to sharp cutbacks in consumer spending. This loss of consumption, combined with the financial market chaos triggered by the bursting of the bubble, also led to a collapse in business investment. As consumer spending and business investment dried up, massive job loss followed. In 2008 and 2009, the U.S. labor market lost 8.4 million jobs, or 6.1% of all payroll employment. This was the most dramatic employment contraction (by far) of any recession since the Great Depression. By comparison, in the deep recession that began in 1981, job loss was 3.1%, or only about half as severe.
Even after the economy stopped contracting in the summer of 2009, its growth has not been nearly strong enough to create the jobs needed simply to keep pace with normal population growth, let alone put back to work the backlog of workers who lost their jobs during the collapse. In the post-World War II recessions before the early 1990s, it took an average of 10 months for the economy to regain the jobs it had lost during the recession. But after the early 1990s recession, it took nearly two years, and after the early 2000s recession, it took over three-and-a-half years. Unfortunately, the recovery from the Great Recession is following the sluggish pattern of these last two recoveries, but likely with an even longer timeline. In October 2010, 16 months after the official end of the recession, the economy still had 5.4% fewer jobs than it did before the recession started. Thus, the Great Recession has brought the worst of both worlds: extraordinarily severe job loss, combined with an extremely sluggish recovery. The job loss during the Great Recession has meant that family incomes have dropped, poverty has risen, and adults as well as children have lost health insurance. The bursting of the housing bubble and the drop in the stock market has meant that family wealth has dropped dramatically, as well.
Economic Bubble: A theory that security prices rise above their true value and will continue to do so until prices go into freefall and the bubble bursts.
Explain in your own words, what is an economic bubble?
Describe the effects of the 2008-2009 economic recession?