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Stage 1:
• Selection of the expert panel and non-voting chair
Stage 2:
• Submission, assessment and feedback
of the Delphi statements
Stage 3:
• Final analysis and conclusions
Delphi process: unique aspects
Anonymity
• Allows change of views without “loss of face”
Iteration
• A series of rounds with modification of statements,
allows members to change the statements to reflect
group opinion
Controlled feedback
• Each round analyzed by a non-voting central researcher
• Responses for the given statement are fed back to the
Delphi group
Working and Consensus Groups
Working Group
Consensus group 18 countries, 43 experts
Denmark Sweden
Italy
Canada
North America
Mexico
Brazil
Peru
Argentina
Japan
China
Hong Kong
Australia
Diversity of views
• Experts on GERD and Barrett’s esophagus
• Primary care physicians
• Surgeons
1 Agree strongly
Agree 2 Agree with minor reservation
3 Agree with major reservation
Vote 1
(Baseline) Vote 2 Vote 3 Vote 4
• Sponsor:
AstraZeneca Research and Development, Sweden