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The document discusses risk assessment practices of contractors in the Greater Beirut Area. It conducted a survey of project managers and estimators to investigate their risk assessment methods related to time, cost, and quality objectives. The results showed major variations between how estimators and project managers evaluate risks. The paper argues there is a need to improve contractors' processes for quantifying risk exposure to help manage construction project risks throughout different phases.
The document discusses risk assessment practices of contractors in the Greater Beirut Area. It conducted a survey of project managers and estimators to investigate their risk assessment methods related to time, cost, and quality objectives. The results showed major variations between how estimators and project managers evaluate risks. The paper argues there is a need to improve contractors' processes for quantifying risk exposure to help manage construction project risks throughout different phases.
The document discusses risk assessment practices of contractors in the Greater Beirut Area. It conducted a survey of project managers and estimators to investigate their risk assessment methods related to time, cost, and quality objectives. The results showed major variations between how estimators and project managers evaluate risks. The paper argues there is a need to improve contractors' processes for quantifying risk exposure to help manage construction project risks throughout different phases.
Abbas Chokor, Ghassan El Darazi, Ismael El Nakib, Bachar Faour, and Ralph Khattar Civil and Environmental Engineering Department American University of Beirut Riad El Solh, Beirut 1107 2020, Lebanon aic05@mail.aub.edu, gme14@mail.aub.edu, ikn03@mail.aub.edu, bgf01@mail.aub.edu, and rek05@mail.aub.edu,
Abstract-One of the major concerns contractors are aware of when pricing a projects bid is allocating an appropriate allowance for risk. During the tendering stage preparation, risk assessment frameworks that aim at measuring construction projects risks have proliferated in recent years. This issue was triggered by the fact that some contractors have been facing major financial problems in their projects, while others have lost bids in which they had a competitive advantage. The purpose of this research is to study risk management practices and to investigate the main risk parameters encountered by contractors operating in the Greater Beirut Area (GBA). A survey was conducted with project managers and estimators from different contracting companies in order to investigate their risk assessment methods vis--vis the projects objectives: time, cost and quality. The results showcase a major variation between estimators and project managers in their evaluation of risk. This paper demonstrates a need for the improvement of the process that contractors follow to quantify their exposure to risks. Therefore, discussing the impact of main risks for contractors would be beneficial and would help contractors properly manage the construction of any project throughout its different phases. I. INTRODUCTION Assessing risks has always been a major problem in the construction industry, which has a number of problematic features such as long period, complicated processes, abominable environment, financial intensity and dynamic organization structures [1]. Risks are defined as the statement of what may arise from that lack of knowledge. Concurrently, risk management is described as a systematic way of looking at areas of risk and consciously determining how each should be treated. It is a management tool that aims at identifying sources of risk and uncertainty, determining their impact, and developing appropriate management responses [2]. A typical risk management process can be simplified into four steps: risk identification, risk analysis, risk response, and risk administration [3]. No matter what the project risks are, risk management will be really beneficial if implemented from the planning stage until its completion [4]. Thats why, each stage of the project should be well managed in order to satisfy the objectives in terms of costs, time, and quality and to improve safety and sustainability circumstances. The aim of this study is to investigate the actual risk assessment and management processes adopted by contractors in the Greater Beirut Area (GBA). First, the paper compares the difference in risk evaluation between cost estimators and project managers in the same construction company. Second, the paper examines the main risks that could affect the time, cost, and quality of projects in GBA. The paper ends with a discussion of the recommendations and suggestions to be implemented in the tendering phase in order to manage those risks across the multiple responsibilities of a contractor. II. LITERATURE & BACKGROUND A survey of previous works on risk management shows significant findings in the classification of risks for construction projects. Perry and Hayes [5] classified the main risks, extracted from different sources, as retainable by contractors, consultants and clients. Abdou [6] categorized the construction risks into three types: construction finance, construction time and construction design. As for project delay, Shen [7] presented, based on a questionnaire, eight major risks. By using the hierarchical risk breakdown structure (HRBS), Tah and Carr [8] identified the internal and external risks in construction industry. Shen et al. [9] listed six groups of risks: financial, legal, management, market, policy and political. Chapman et al. [10] assembled risks into four categories: environment, industry, client and project. As for project cost, Chen et al. [11] recognized 15 risks and distributed them into three subsets: resources factors, management factors and parent factors. Zeng et al. [12] classified risk factors as human, site, material and equipment factors. Risk analysis has proven to be very important in the field of construction since it helps in reducing losses and improves profitability on construction projects [13]. Therefore, all major contractors and consulting firms are now aware of the fact that risk management is very crucial and should be a part of their organizations operating structure. Yet, few industry players use advanced techniques of risk analysis, relying rather on, basic, non- probabilistic methods. Having said that, research should be done on those more advanced techniques in order to see whether they can provide more success to the firms and help them minimize unexpected losses. The literature shows an increasing state of awareness concerning risk assessment and/or management and its related effects on the success of construction projects. Although predicting the future is rather impossible, risk management can be perceived as a tool that facilitates the project by helping the contractors make better decisions. [14]. This section entails the four steps of risk management approach and investigates, through a survey of previous studies, the classifications of most effective risks in construction projects. Although risks are largely dependent of the type and size of projects, risk management process is common and based on four cyclical steps (see Figure 1).
A. Risk Identification Risk identification is the first step in the risk management plan that determines which risk components may adversely affect the project objectives [15]. At this stage, risks are usually characterized according to their uncertainty levels across the different phases of the project from the planning and design phases to the operation and maintenance phases after the completion of the construction. In general, project risks are identified by doing some reviews that could have been conducted either in the past (historical reviews), or in the present such as the study of the status and current characteristics of the project, or even by forming a future view of the project through several processes such as conducting formal brainstorming sessions with many stakeholders to discuss the probable occurrence of some scenarios at different stages of the project. Construction projects risks range over a very wide scale where one can take any specific activity and find many different but related subsequent risks that might hinder this specific activitys process. In order to limit the set of identified risks to those that are applicable to the project and to omit those that are of no major concern, risk analysis is established as an integral process of any construction project. Once identification is executed, a list containing all the identified project risks shall be considered as the basis for coming up with a risk management plan or framework. Besides being related to projects objectives (cost, time, and quality), this list should also provide all the causes behind a specific loss and the appropriate follow-up responses. Knowing that risks are ingrained in the construction of any project, the list is susceptible to continuous updates and inspections. B. Risk Analysis After identifying the main risks that might be associated with the completion of a project, quantifying their impacts becomes necessary. Many risks could be measured in terms of their effect on cost, time, and quality. However, for many other risks there could be insufficient objective data and the measurement of the impact of a certain risk may depend on some degree of subjectivity [5]. Thus, selecting a risk analysis method depends on the available input risk measures and on the desired output measures. Input risk measures could be related to performance, cost or schedule. Analyzing the input risks leads the way to the desired output, which includes cost estimates, consequences, or ways to avoid a risk in case of occurrence. A scan of the work accomplished by previous researchers summarizes the used risk analysis methods into four main categories. Traditional Methods Traditional risk analysis methods are subjective methods that rely on historical data and the experiences of individuals and companies in the assessment of risks [16]. Established on historical knowledge, every project element is assigned a risk factor in accordance with previous knowledge of the respective risk. The multiplication of the cost estimated for every element by its corresponding risk factor determines the projects contingency. The simplicity of the method and the fact that it produces a cost contingency estimate makes it one of the most used methods for risk analysis. However, communicating the consequences of specific project risks might not be accomplished since the technique only relies on empirical inputs. Therefore, the use of this method provides limited information on risk contingencies and is mainly based on subjective inputs of the individual or the company. Analytical Methods Analytical risk analysis methods are simple to understand and provide a practical estimate of cost contingency. In this method, formulas relate the mean value of individual input variables to the mean value of the variables' output. Also, other formulas relate the variance to the variance of the variables' output. Although analytical risk models may be useful, several studies conducted by contractors suggest that they are rarely used in practice [17]. First, their application is difficult and not appropriate for scheduled risk analysis. Second, analytical approaches suggest that a risk premium should be added in the bid, which contractors avoid in order to beat the competition. Third, the proposed models may not have any justifiable empirical basis. Simulation Methods Simulation models, also called Monte Carlo models, are the most common and powerful methods of risk analysis. They also provide a straightforward method for including probabilistic data. Simulation can estimate the effect of various uncertainties on project duration or project cost. However, the probability distribution information, the mean and the standard deviation must all be inputs provided by the user [5]. Although Monte Carlo methods can provide detailed and illustrative Figure 1. Risk management process. information about risk impacts, they are too complex to use as common analysis methods [18]. Probability Methods Probability trees are very powerful methods that are used only on the most difficult and complex projects. The method consists of presenting a selection of events to a decision maker who can consider different decision choices for facing the event. Forcing a decision maker to place a degree of probability for each outcome is one of the advantages of this method. Hence, each decision is valued and the likelihood of failure is quantified. In practice, time and cost considerations are the main parameters obtained by this method [5].
C. Risk Response There are four main options the contractor can consider to treat the encountered risks: Accept Risk The contractor here decides to retain the risks, by managing them internally. This strategy can be divided into two aspects: planned or unplanned [19]. A planned risk retention, is one in which the contractor fully understands his risk exposure and is capable of bearing its impact. It is a calculated risk that he is willing to take. On the other hand, in an unplanned risk retention, the contractor is either not aware of the risk, or has miscalculated its magnitude. Unplanned risk retention is the most dangerous form of risk exposure for a contractor. Reject Risk In some cases, contractors face types of risks that they consider as uncontrollable. Avoidance of these risks is not always possible. However, one-way of managing risks is to avoid them. For instance a contractor could decide not to bid on a project with high political instability. This, on the other hand, would deprive the contractor from potential profits on the project. Mitigate Risk While there isnt one right risk management technique, contractors are encouraged to build a risk portfolio that in accord with their risk tolerance/appetite. This strategy has two drivers: either a reduction of a risk financial impact and/or a decrease in its probability of occurrence. It is usually used for common risks found on projects but with small financial impact. Transfer Risk Risk transfer occurs when a contractor decides to sell his risk portfolio to someone who is willing to bear it. For instance, a contractor might decide to shift price fluctuation of materials and commodities to his supplier by requiring a long- term fixed price and quantity before starting construction (or preferably during the bidding phase). Another form of risk transfer is subcontracting which happens when another contractor handles a specific task in the project in which he has more experience in, and thus his risk exposure would be less costly than the inexperienced primary contractor. Moreover, insurance is the most common risk transfer technique. And most contractors think of risk management as an insurance management [19]. Insurance is capable of bearing most (but not all) risks. Operational, financial and design related risks are usually not covered.
D. Risk Administration Risk administration is the final stage of the risk management process. It consists basically of two activities that help in confirming the success and the right implementation of the risk management process used. Risk monitoring is the first activity performed; it deals with tracking the risks identified at the risk identification phase and provides feedback on new emerging risks, which is essential for future risk assessment. As a project progresses, regularly assessing and examining risks can serve as a risk monitoring technique. Risk control follows risk monitoring; in this activity information obtained during risk assessment are revisited in order to guarantee the successfulness of the risk handling technique used. Risk control can also alter any action taken in the assessment process if changing its implementation can reduce the risk.
III. OBJECTIVES Risk assessment helps contractors better understand their exposure to risk. The objective of this paper is to classify the main risks being faced by contractors in the Greater Beirut Area the ones that could significantly affect the objectives - cost, quality and time- of any project. Consequently, this study will provide some guidance for future industry practitioners in planning, identification, analysis and management of construction risks. To address the objectives of this paper, the frequency of occurrence of different types of project risks as encountered in GBA projects and their impacts on project objectives were identified. Comparing between the cost, quality and time allocated for risks by cost estimators to the actual risks faced by project managers on site is essential to uncover the reasons behind the considerable variations of cost and schedule overruns on site. IV. METHODOLOGY The methodology used to achieve the objectives of this study encompasses four steps: (1) selecting the main contractors in GBA; (2) designing a risk classification survey to evaluate the main constraints from contractors perspective; (3) collecting data from project managers and cost estimators working with contractors; (4) analyzing the results followed by a discussion of the practices that can help contractors handling risks in their future projects. Contractor Selections In our quest to better understand the risk assessment from contractors perception, a total of 30 contractors were contacted for this study. To be eligible to fill the survey, a contractor must have at least five completed projects in GBA on his records. Survey Design In order to explore the impacts of main risks along the different phases of project lifecycle, a survey (see Appendix) was designed to best fit the difference in risk management practices between project managers and cost estimators. This survey examines the frequencies, impacts, and management strategies of 48 risks classified into six categories: Contractual risks (CON), Engineering risks (ENG), Environmental, External, and Political risks (EXP), Financial and Economical risks (FAE), Managerial and Organizational risks (MAO), and Equipment, Material, and Labor Procurement risks (EML). For each risk, respondents were asked to rate on a Likert scale: (a) the likelihood frequency (not applicable 0, rare 1, unlikely 2, possible 3, likely 4, and almost certain 5); (b) the impact on cost, quality, and time ( not applicable 0, minor 1, medium 2, serious 3, major 4, and catastrophic 5); and (c) the response strategy (accept A, reject R, transfer T, and mitigate M).
Data Collection From each construction company, a project manager and a cost estimator were invited to participate in this study by completing the survey. The responses were kept anonymous to guarantee a strict confidentiality and privacy of the provided information. Data Analysis and Discussion For each contractor, the collected data were entered and analyzed for all six-survey categories. First, the average risk significance index was computed for each survey participant by using an adaptation of the Shen et al. [9] index:
Where = significance score assessed by respondent j for the impact of risk i on project objective k ; i = ordinal number of risk, i(1, 148) ; k = ordinal number of 3 project objectives (time, cost, and quality), k (1, 3) ; j = ordinal number of valid feedback to risk i , j (1, 22 respondents) ; n = total number of valid feedbacks to risk i (n=22) ; = likelihood occurrence of risk i , assessed by respondent j ; = level of impact of risk i on project objective k , assessed by respondent j . Later on, the average score for each risk considering its significance on a project objective can be calculated through the equation below. This average score is called the risk significance index score and will be used to rank all risks on a particular project objective. Second, an unpaired t-test was then used to check the statistical significance of the results between costs estimator and project manager from one side and between different contractors from the other. Finally, the main risks affecting the objectives of construction projects in GBA were highlighted in parallel with a comparison of contractors risk response strategies. V. PRELIMINARY RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The results of this study are summarized in this section, followed by a discussion of the main risk affecting the time, cost and quality of construction projects in GBA. Of the 30 invited contractors, 22 accepted to participate in this study. After designing the survey, a project manager and an estimator were each asked to evaluate the frequency, impact and response strategy of each risk. The figure below presents the years of experience of the participants.
An unpaired t-test with unequal variance was computed in order to check the significance of the results. After assuming equal weights for time, cost, and quality average risk significance index score R was calculated for all respondents. Consequently, suggesting that project managers risk significance index (a) is equal to that of estimators (b) will contribute into the validation of results significance by confirming, at a 95% confidence level, the null hypothesis (H0) or its rejection (H1): H0: a = b if p-value is greater than 0.05; then, risks are assessed similarly by project managers and estimators H1: a b if p-value is less than 0.05; then, project managers and estimators assess risk in construction projects differently. The results show a p-value of 0.04, which is less than 0.05. Thus, the null hypothesis rejection (H1) validates statistically the significance of the collected results at a 95% confidence level. The average risks significance index R of time, cost, and quality were computed for all 22 considered contractors. Table 1 shows the highest five risks that directly affect the project objectives, as reported by project managers. Considering the projects time, Sudden internal management problems that directly or indirectly affect the construction project (MAO8) obtains the highest index, followed by Inadequate, vague, and contradicting terms that affect the interpretation of contract clauses (CON8), Lack of coordination and communication between all practitioners (MAO7), Unforeseen weather cycle. Including but not limited to: rain, snow, storms, heat, cold, hurricanes (EXP3) and Unstable political conditions Figure 2. Respondents years of experience. including but not limited to: Riots, government resignations, war, civil disorder (EXP5). Besides, Unforeseen delays in payments (FAE6), Sudden internal management problems that directly or indirectly affect the construction project (MAO8), Sudden and/or volatile price fluctuations of goods, materials, and service (FAE1), Inadequate, vague, and contradicting terms that affect the interpretation of contract clauses (CON8), and Planning and implementation based on drawings or specifications that contain errors, omissions or ambiguities (ENG3) are the main risks affecting the cost. In addition, regarding quality, project managers are suffering from Lack of coordination and communication between all practitioners (MAO7), Planning and implementation based on drawings or specifications that contain errors, omissions or ambiguities (ENG3), Underestimation the technical complexity of the project which affects the availability of technical expertise during the construction (ENG1), Inadequate, vague, and contradicting terms that affect the interpretation of contract clauses (CON8), and Sudden internal management problems that directly or indirectly affect the construction project (MAO8).
TABLE I HIGHEST FIVE RISKS AFFECTING THE TIME, COST AND QUALITY OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS FOR PROJECT MANAGERS. Time Cost Quality Risk Factor Risk Factor Risk Factor MAO8 20.14 FAE6 18.86 MAO7 19.18 CON8 17.64 MAO8 16.45 ENG3 15.5 MAO7 16.36 FAE1 16.23 ENG1 15.36 EXP3 16.14 CON8 15.64 CON8 13.59 EXP5 16.01 ENG3 15.05 MAO8 12.73
After limiting the analysis of this study to the 9 main risks, a review of their indexs deviations on the time, cost and quality scales is provided in Figure 3. A close analysis reveals the considerable effect of some risks on all the objectives of a project (ENG3, CON8, MAO7 and MAO8). On the contrary, the effect of others could be restricted to only one objective. For example, FAE1 records a high average index for the cost (R=16.23) although its impact on time (R=3.05) and quality (R=2.77) is negligible. Figure 4 shows the response strategies followed by project managers concerning the 9 studied risks.
Figure 5 illustrates the comparison of risks index between estimators and project managers after assuming equal weights for time, cost and quality. The results showcased a noticeable difference in the index of the 9 considered risks.
Figure 5. Project manager's vs estimator's risk significance.
While the difference in risk assessment could justify the costs and schedules overruns in construction projects, examining these results is a major key in uncovering the main constraints for construction projects in GBA. First, estimators are underestimating the managerial and organizational related risks. Thats why project managers are facing a lack of coordination and communication between all practitioners, in addition to sudden internal management problems that affect time, cost and quality of construction projects. Second, estimators are overvaluing the weather cycle effects, goods and materials prices fluctuations and the unforeseen delays in payments. Overemphasizing some risks in terms of Figure 3. A comparison of main risks' index for time, cost and quality. Figure 4. Project manager vs. estimator risks' index. contingencies or delays in schedule are relevant reasons behind the ineffectiveness of contractors bids in the tendering phase.
VI. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS Risk assessment plays a major key in the improvement of the construction industry in Lebanon. In parallel to the absence of a real risk management process, contractors are suffering from a lack of continuous communication and collaboration between all practitioners. The results of this study show a noticeable variation between the significance index of project managers and estimators. While estimators are under-evaluating major risks in the tendering phase in order to win the bid, project managers are facing the impact of such practices with high difficulty. The findings of this paper lead to several recommendations that could be established to improve the state of practice of contracting in Greater Beirut: Involved practitioners should be connected through a database, which will result in a more successful project. This tool will improve the coordination between estimators and project managers by controlling and monitoring costs and schedules overruns. Project managers with previous experience in similar projects should cooperate with estimators during the bidding phase. Financial derivatives and/or catastrophe bonds must be used to hedge against risks such as weather delays and damages, material price fluctuation and delays due to political events. Forward contracts should be established with suppliers to shift the risk of price fluctuations. Line and letters of credit and letters from the bank are required to protect against delays in payment and unexpected negative cash flow. Order of Engineers in Lebanon must play a major role in collecting data from all projects from contractors after the completion of their projects. Each contractor will be asked to submit a final report that compiles the main unexpected risks encountered during the construction period. An annual report summarizing the obtained results should be published.
The results of this study are the first step towards a formal risk management framework for contractors working in Lebanon. This necessity is not limited to the case of surveyed contractors but also can be generalized for any construction company. Implementing a framework could be difficult and complex; nonetheless, it will pave the way for an optimization of time, cost and quality in construction projects.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT The completion of this project would not have been possible without the dedication and support of all the faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering Department at AUB. Authors of this paper would like to acknowledge Dr. Mohamad Asem Abdul-Malak for his continuous support and assistance. Authors are also thankful to the contribution of Dr. Ali Yassine and Dr. Issam Srour and all participant contractors who are not responsible for the results and conclusions in this paper, which designate, exclusively, the interpretations of the authors.
REFERENCES [1] Smith, N.J. Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty (Construction Management Series). London: Thomas Telford Ltd, UK, 2003. [2] Uher, T. Programming and Scheduling Techniques. Sydney: UNSW Press, 2003. [3] Berkeley, D., P.C. Humphreys, and R.D. Thomas. "Project Risk Action Management." Construction Management and Economics I, no. 9 (1991): 3-17. [4] Banaitiene, Nerija, and Audrius Banaitis. Risk Management in Construction Projects. InTech, 2012. [5] Perry, J.H., and R.W. Hayes. "Risk and Its Management in Construction Projects." Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineering. Engineering Management Group, 1985. 499-521. [6] Abdou, O.A. "Managing Construction Risks." Journal of Architectural Engineering 2, no. 1 (1996): 3-10. [7] Shen, L.Y. "Project Risk Management in Hong Kong." International Journal of Project Management 15, no. 2 (1997): 101-105. [8] Tah, J. H. M., and V. Carr. A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic. Vol. 18, in Construction Management and Economics, 491-500. 2000. [9] Shen, L. Y., W. C. Wu George , and S. K. Ng Catherine . "Risk Assessment for Construction Joint Ventures in China." Journal of Construction Engineering and Management 127, no. 1 (2001): 76-81. [10] Chapman, R. J. "The Controlling Influences on Effective Risk Identification and Assessment for Construction Design Management." International Journal of Project Management 19 (2001): 147-160. [11] Chen, H., G. Hao, S. W. Poon, and F. F. Ng. "Cost Risk Management in West Rail Project of Hong Kong." (AACE International) 2004. [12] Zeng, J., M. An , and N. J. Smith. "Application of a fuzzy based decision making methodology to construction project risk assessment." International Journal of Project Management 25 (2007): 589-600. [13] Flyvbjerg, B., M. Holm, and S. Buhl. "Underestimating costs in public works projects: Error or lie?" J. Am. Plan. Assn. 68, no. 3 (2002): 279- 295. [14] Smith, N.J., T. Merna, and P. Jobbling. Managing Risk in Construction Projects. 2nd edition. Oxford: Blackwell Publishing, 2006. [15] Rezakhani, Pejman. "Fuzzy MCDM Model for Risk Factor Selection in Construction Projects." ENGINEERING JOURNAL 16, no. 5 (2012). [16] Avestedt, Lisa. Comparison of Risk Assessments for Underground Construction Projects. MSc Thesis, Department of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm: KTH Architecture and the Built Environment, 2012. [17] Laryea, Samuel, and Will Hughes . "Risk and Price in the Bidding Process of Contractors." Journal of Construction Engineering and Management (ASCE), April 2011. [18] U.S. Department of Transportation-Federal Highway Administration. Office of International Programs. n.d. Retreived on March 23,2014 from http://international.fhwa.dot.gov/riskassess/risk_hcm06_04.cfm. [19] Al Bahar, Jamal F., and Keith C. Crandall. "Systematic Risk Management Approach For Construction Projects." Journal of Construction Engineering and Management (ASCE) 116, no. 3 (September 1990): 533- 546.
APPENDIX
Categories Index Risks Likelihood frequency ( 1 - 5) Impact( 1 - 5) Response Strategy (R, M, T, A) Time Cost Quality Contractual risks (CON) CON1 Failure to define the client group and contractor group property and personnel
CON2 Failure to define the costs and responsibilities of loss or damage to the parties respective groups property CON3 Failure to define the legal liability for third parties losses
CON4 Failure to define the contractors obligations to perform the client instructed variation orders
CON5 Failure to define the entitlement to payment for all work performed, materials costs, and equipment costs, in case of work termination
CON6 Misunderstanding or misinterpretation of the insurance policies and indemnity clauses, terms, conditions, limits and exclusions of the project policy risk CON7 Failure to define, events, conditions, and the loss where the contractor is prevented from performing the work due to a force majeure CON8 Inadequate, vague, and contradicting terms that affect the interpretation of contract clauses Engineering risks (ENG) ENG1 Underestimation the technical complexity of the project which affects the availability of technical expertise during the construction ENG2 Unexpected rework due to the absence of continuous inspections
ENG3 Planning and implementation based on drawings or specifications that contain errors, omissions or ambiguities ENG4 Sudden and/or unpredicted change in scope of work
ENG5 Assumptions and calculations based on incomplete quantity estimates
ENG6 Inaccurate assumptions during the planning phase
ENG7 Sudden and unexpected soil conditions that were not/could not have been accounted for initially ENG8 Lack of experience on similar projects
Environmental, External, and Political risks (EXP) EXP1 Exceptional noise pollution caused by construction related works
EXP2 Unforeseen, unusual air quality issues, regulations and laws affecting construction site and surroundings EXP3 Unforeseen weather cycle. Including but not limited to: rain, snow, storms, heat, cold, hurricanes EXP4 Sudden, unexpected changes in laws and regulations affecting directly or indirectly the construction project EXP5 Unstable political conditions including but not limited to: Riots, government resignations, war, civil disorder EXP6 Unexpected archeological findings during the construction project
EXP7 Unexpected level of complains, objections, and disapprovals from neighbors
EXP8 Unexpected changes in regulations, laws, restrictions, capital requirements, structural requirements for issuance of new construction permits Financial and Economical risks (FAE) FAE1 Sudden and/or volatile price fluctuations of goods, materials, and service
FAE4 Deviation from the initially predicted stream of cash inflow and outflow causing a long term cash flow unbalance FAE5 Sudden financial crisis (recession) causing an increase in interest rates, available liquidity, and demand FAE6 Unforeseen delays in payments
FAE7 Failure to engage with local businesses
FAE8 Differences between the predicted cost of materials and equipment between the bidding phase and the construction phase Managerial and Organizational risks (MAO) MAO1 Wrong and/or unsuitable selection of the construction method
MAO2 Overestimation of engineers and superintendents qualifications
MAO3 Overestimation of the subcontractors qualifications
MAO4 Mismanagement of the utilities and services (site logistics)
MAO5 Miscalculation of a subcontractors' expected performance with regard to the schedule and/or the quality of the deliverables MAO6 Improper planning, cost estimation, and budgeting of the construction project
MAO7 Lack of coordination and communication between all practitioners
MAO8 Sudden internal management problems that directly or indirectly affect the construction project Equipment, Material, and Labor Procurement risks (EML) EML1 Unexpected failing into delivering the required materials on time
EML2 Unexpected damage and/or security of the material
EML3 unavailability/interruption of specific material, goods, services needed for the completion of specific critical tasks during the construction project EML4 Unavailability of appropriate procuring technology machine
EML5 Unexpected damages and repairs of the used equipment
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