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This document summarizes a study estimating the production costs of fast pyrolysis bio-oil from biomass. It reviews previous techno-economic analyses and experimental results to develop a consensus cost model for a pyrolysis plant in the UK. The model accounts for electricity use, bio-char sales as a co-product, and preprocessing of woodchips and miscanthus. The analysis concludes that bio-oil can be produced competitively in the UK from energy crops at a similar cost to distillate fuel oil.
This document summarizes a study estimating the production costs of fast pyrolysis bio-oil from biomass. It reviews previous techno-economic analyses and experimental results to develop a consensus cost model for a pyrolysis plant in the UK. The model accounts for electricity use, bio-char sales as a co-product, and preprocessing of woodchips and miscanthus. The analysis concludes that bio-oil can be produced competitively in the UK from energy crops at a similar cost to distillate fuel oil.
This document summarizes a study estimating the production costs of fast pyrolysis bio-oil from biomass. It reviews previous techno-economic analyses and experimental results to develop a consensus cost model for a pyrolysis plant in the UK. The model accounts for electricity use, bio-char sales as a co-product, and preprocessing of woodchips and miscanthus. The analysis concludes that bio-oil can be produced competitively in the UK from energy crops at a similar cost to distillate fuel oil.
Estimation of the production cost of fast pyrolysis bio-oil
J.G. Rogers*, J.G. Brammer
Bioenergy Research Group, Chemical Engineering and Applied Chemistry, Aston University, Aston Triangle, Birmingham B4 7ET, UK a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 21 April 2011 Received in revised form 11 July 2011 Accepted 21 October 2011 Available online 9 November 2011 Keywords: Fast pyrolysis Biomass Techno-economic Bio-oil Bio-char Energy crops a b s t r a c t A number of papers and reports covering the techno-economic analysis of bio-oil production has been published. These have had different scopes, use different feed- stocks and reected national cost structures. This paper reviews and compares their cost estimates and the experimental results that underpin them. A comprehensive cost and performance model was produced based on consensus data from the previous studies or stated scenarios where data is not available that reected UK costs. The model takes account sales of bio-char that is a co-product of pyrolysis and the electricity consumption of the pyrolysis plant and biomass pre-processing plants. It was concluded that it should be able to produce bio-oil in the UK from energy crops for a similar cost as distillate fuel oil. It was also found that there was little difference in the processing cost for woodchips and baled miscanthus. 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction The need to reduce our consumption of fossil fuel for both environmental and resource scarcity reasons has led to interest in the use of bio-oil produced by fast pyrolysis of biomass for electricity generation, heating and chemical production. Pyrolysis is the process of thermal degradation in the absence of oxygen. If biomass undergoes rapid pyrolysis it produces a mixed liquid product (bio-oil), non-condensable gasses and a high carbon char. This process has been studied for around 20 years and a few commercial plants have been constructed. There are a number of different basic designs of pyrolysis reactors and these have been reviewed elsewhere [1,2]. It was decided to concentrate on bubbling uidised bed reactors in this paper as they are realisable at a commercial scale and have been widely studied. Anumber of techno-economic studies of bio-oil production and use has been published [3e7]. They use different meth- odologies, plant sizes, extents of supply and feedstocks. This paper collates data fromthese to develop a consensus techno- economic model of a pyrolysis plants. This is a comprehensive model which takes into account the value of the surplus char by-product, the electrical consumption of the process and the thermal requirement of the plant. The model also covers the biomass handling and pre-processing plants. A later paper will cover the use of bio-oil for electricity generation. Although the processes considered are generic the costs relate to a UK application. All costs in this study have been converted to Pound Sterling at the exchange rates at the base date of the publication they were taken from, and inated to 2009 values using the Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index or other appropriate indices. The exchange rates in 2009 were 1 $1.567 V1.123. The UK does not have large areas of forest; consequently this study has concentrated on the use of energy crops. Short rotation coppiced willow and miscanthus are both grown on a limited commercial scale in England, and both are consid- ered here. * Corresponding author. Tel.: 44 (0)1225383057. E-mail address: J.G.Rogers@bath.ac.uk (J.G. Rogers). Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ht t p: / / www. el sevi er. com/ l ocat e/ bi ombi oe b i oma s s a nd b i oe ne r g y 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 0961-9534/$ e see front matter 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2011.10.028 2. Background to fast pyrolysis bio-oil This paper is only concerned with bio-oil produced by fast pyrolysis of biomass. This process is optimised to produce the maximum liquid yield. This is an emerging technology and a range of different plant congurations has been tried at laboratory and prototype scales [1,2]. Pyrolysis plants can be split into 3 generic types: uidised beds, mechanically mixed, and ablative. The majority of operating experience with commercial scale pre-production plants is with uidised bed reactors; consequently this paper will concentrate on these. A basic owdiagramof such a plant is shown in Fig. 1. The heart of the system is a bubbling uidised bed which is indirectly heated to 500
C by exhaust gases from a combustor that burns pyrolysis gas and some of the by-product char. Milli- metre sized particles of dry biomass are fed into the uidised bed and rapidly break down into the pyrolysis products. The pyrolysis products (ne particles of solid char, vapours, aero- sols, and gasses) leave the reactor with the circulating gas. The char is removed by one or more cyclone separators. The remaining pyrolysis products are then quenched with cool bio-oil which coalesces the aerosol droplets and condenses the vapours to form bio-oil. The non-condensable gases are then blown back into the reactor as uidising gases for the uidised bed. The gases leave the quench at around 50
C. It is advisable to reheat them to near the bed temperature before they enter the pyrolysis reactor to avoid local cooling of the reactor and bed. This is done in the gas reheater, a non contact heat exchanger which heat up the circulating pyrolysis gases while cooling the exhaust gases from the pyrolysis reactors heating jacket. The pyrolysis gases add to the mass of the circulating gas and the surplus gas is bled off to be burnt in the combustor. A biomass dryer is used to dry the biomass to an acceptable level for pyrolysis (less than 10% moisture measured on a wet basis); this is heated by the exhaust gas from the gas reheater. The dryer also has a separate char combustor for use if the biomass moisture level is above the designed value. It has been established [1,2] that the following conditions are required to maximise the yield of good quality bio-oil: Rapid heating of the biomass to 500
C Vapour residence times of less than 2 s, with rapid subse- quent cooling and condensation Feed moisture content of the feed less than 10% Particle size of less than 2 mm. The pyrolysis process is endothermic, with the necessary heat provided by combustion of the non-condensable gases and some of the char. Any char that is surplus can be sold as a high carbon fuel, upgraded to activated carbon for use in waste water or gas purication application, used as a chemical feedstock, or a soil improver and carbon store (bio-char). Bio-oil is a complex mixture of oxygenated hydrocarbons, some of which are water soluble, and has the following characteristics [8]: Immiscible with mineral oils Lower heating value 13e18 MJ kg 1 Fig. 1 e Flow model of fast pyrolysis plant. b i o ma s s a nd b i o e ne r gy 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 209 pH 2e3.7 Kinematics viscosity 10e80 cSt @ 50
C Ash content 0.01e0.02 wt% (dry) Density 1110e1300 kg m 3 Moisture content 20e30% by weight Tends to separate into light and heavy phases at higher moisture contents. Deteriorates if stored at elevated temperatures or exposed to oxygen These characteristics mean that it can not be used in existing fuel oil applications without modifying the plant. These modications usually involve a new fuel system for the bio-oil and an auxiliary fuel system to allow the plant to be brought up to working temperature using an auxiliary fuel. Bio-oil has been used in furnaces and gas turbines [9e11] and modied diesel engines using a pilot fuel to aid ignition [12e14]. 3. Performance model of fast pyrolysis plant 3.1. Yield model Experimental mass yields from uidised bed test rigs oper- ating with similar conditions to those identied earlier have been published [8,15e19]. Data from these papers have been plotted in Fig. 2 which shows organic liquid (i.e. the bio-oil minus its water content) and char yields against biomass ash content. The data cover a wide range of woody biomass and grasses. The yields are the mass of each product expressed as a percentage of the dry ash free biomass feed. The organic liquid yield falls off and the char yield increases with biomass ash content. This is a widely reported observa- tion with the drop in organic yield being considered to be the result of the alkaline metals in the ash acting as catalysts which promote secondary reactions in the bio-oil [19,20]. In practice there will be some moisture in the feedstock. This will reduce the mass of dry biomass in each tonne of feed causing the yields to be lower than those shown in Fig. 2. Any residual moisture in the biomass will be evaporated in the pyrolysis process and condensed in the quench. Water vapour is also one of the pyrolysis products; this reaction water also ends up condensing with the bio-oil. This results in the bio-oil yield being higher than the organic yield. The water lowers the heating value and viscosity of the bio-oil. Bio-oil is a mixture of compounds some of which are water soluble. If the mois- ture content is too high the density of the water soluble fraction reduces and the bio-oil can separate into a light aqueous phase and a heavy water-insoluble organics phase. It has been found that this can occur if the water content is above 17e35% (depending on the biomass feedstock used) [8]. Ringer et al. [6] use Brigwater et al. [3] estimate for organic yield of 60% with a reaction water yield of 11%. This organic yield estimate was based on a 65% yield from clean debarked wood with the presence of bark causing an estimated 5% drop in yield. This is consistent with the yield estimate for low ash biomass shown in Fig. 2. Other authors have quoted wet bio- oil yields rather than organic liquid yields, these are re- ported to be in the range of 60e79% [4,5,7]. Without details of the ash content and feed moisture levels it is not possible to compare these yields with the organic liquid yields in Fig. 2. However if reasonable allowances are made for reaction water and residual moisture it is likely that the organic yields will be some 14e19% lower than the bio-oil yields, so bio-oil yields of 60e79% should correspond to organic yields of 41e65% which is consistent with the range of yields shown in Fig. 2. In addition to organic liquids and char the pyrolysis process also produces a mixture of non-condensable gases including carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, methane, hydrogen and traces of hydrocarbon gases. There is little published data on how the yields of these individual gases change with feedstock ash content. However the total gas yield can be inferred from the organic and char yields. Short Rotation Coppice (SRC) willow and spring harvested miscanthus have ash contents in the range 1e3% [21]. A commercial pyrolysis unit will purchase biomass from a number of different sources so it is likely that its ash contents will vary. It has been assumed that these variations will average out over time so the average yield predicted for 2% ash biomass will be used in this paper. 3.2. Energy yield As both bio-oil and biomass are fuels it is useful to know the energy yields of the conversion process. The average dry gross heating value of the organic liquid has been reported as 23 MJ kg 1 [8] and that of energy crops 19 MJ kg 1 [21]. Using the mass yields in Fig. 2 this gives an energy yield of 51e77% with a typical value of 64% for a 2% ash energy crop. Some of the char and pyrolysis gases are burnt to provide heat for the pyrolysis process with any excess being available for sale. The elemental composition of biomass and the organic portion of the bio-oil are relatively consistent so for a given organic yield it is possible to calculate the total carbon, oxygen and hydrogen content of the char and gas products. This was done for 7 different gas mixes which represent the range of gas compositions reported in the literature [2]. The average value and standard deviation for the energy in the Fig. 2 e Pyrolysis mass yields for different biomass feedstock. b i oma s s a nd b i oe ne r g y 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 210 char and gases for SRC willow woodchips calculated on a dry ash free basis are shown in Table 1. It was found that for practical purposes the total heating value of the gases plus the char was independent of the composition of the gases. 3.3. Surplus char yield The thermal requirement of the pyrolysis plant will vary with the plant design and the moisture content of the biomass. A generic bubbling uidised bed pyrolysis unit like that shown in Fig. 1 is likely to have the following heat loads: The enthalpy of pyrolysis, this is the heat required to raise the biomass to 500
C and decompose it. It has been measured in a fast pyrolysis test rig and been found to vary with biomass type and have an average value of 1.5 MJ kg 1 of dry feed [22]. The heat required to evaporate any residual moisture in the biomass and raise it to 500
C. For an8%moisture feed this is 0.3 MJ kg 1 feed. The heat required to raise the uidising gas up to 500
C from the 50
C quench temperature. This is design depen- dent but was estimated to be approximately 0.6 MJ kg 1 feed. An allowance of 3% of heat input to the pyrolysis reactor to cover radiation, convection and conduction losses from the plant. Heat required to dry the biomass to a level where it can be used in pyrolysis. This will depend on the moisture level of the stored biomass. The heat for the pyrolysis process needs to be supplied at a temperature above 500
C; consequently the exhaust temperature of the gas heating the process must be at least 500
C. This means that when it is exhausted from the heating jacket it has a signicant heat content that can supply some of the other thermal loads. Any additional heat must be provided by a separate combustor. The total heat requirement for the pyrolysis plant and dryer has been calculated for different biomass moisture levels andthis has beensubtracted fromthe total secondary product energy yields from Table 1 to nd the excess char that is available for sale. This is shown in Fig. 3. As will be discussed further in Section 6.1 it is likely that energy crops will have been stored for some time before use. Provided good storage practices are followed the biomass will loose some moisture with storage. The moisture level for miscanthus and woodchip after storage should be around 15% and 30% respectively. From Fig. 3 the excess char is around 2500 MJ odt 1 (oven dried tonne) for a 2% ash miscanthus with a 15% moisture level and 2% ash woodchips with a 30% moisture level. This is around 13% of the energy input of the biomass feed. 4. Biomass handling and pre-treatment plants A signicant part of a commercial bio-oil production plant is the biomass handling and pre-treatment plant. Energy crops will be grown at a number of sites. After harvesting the crops will be stored close to where they are grown and transported Table 1 e Energy contents of secondary pyrolysis products. LHV energy contents of secondary pyrolysis product MJ kg 1 of dry feed Ash content Char Gases Char plus gases Average Standard deviation Average Standard deviation Average Standard deviation 1% ash 4.70 0.12 0.77 0.14 5.47 0.02 2% ash 5.91 0.14 0.94 0.16 6.85 0.03 3% ash 7.11 0.16 1.12 0.88 8.22 0.03 Fig. 3 e Excess char production. b i o ma s s a nd b i o e ne r gy 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 211 to the plant when required. The basic requirements of the handling and pre-treatment plants are: 1. To reduce the biomass to small particles suitable for pyrolysis, 2. To dry the biomass to less than 10% moisture, 3. To provide an adequate buffer store for the pyrolysis plant to cover, periods of non operation of the size reduction equipment, 4. To provide sufcient storage for periods betweendeliveries, 5. To unload trucks in an acceptable time (assumed to be around 20 min total turn round time on site). Requirements 1 and 2 are inherent to the pyrolysis process where as 3 and 4 are likely to be the result of operating restrictions imposed by the planning authorities. Require- ment 5 is an assumed commercial constraint. It has been assumed that noise limitations will restrict the operations of hammer mills or tub grinders to 12 h a day and road deliveries to 12 h a day 5 days a week. Four days onsite storage has been assumed so that deliveries are not required on public holidays. There is always a trade-off between capital intensive automated systems and labour intensive manual systems for handling bulk materials. This means that the reported capital cost for different plants can vary for reasons other than plant size. To overcome this problem sets of generic biomass handing plants were assumed for woodchip and miscanthus and the cost for each major component taken from the liter- ature rather than using the reported cost of complete systems. 4.1. Woodchip handling plant Seasoned woodchip can by dried using a conventional drum dryer [23]. The dried woodchips are then reduced to ne particles of 1e2 mm by hammer mills. Belt conveyors can be used to covey the dried woodchips to the feed hopper for the hammer mills. Enclosed screwconveyors are probably needed to avoid a dust hazard when transporting the ne particles from the hammer mills. Simple systems based on front end loaders and hoppers were found to be cost effective for handling the woodchips for plants with up to 100 odt d 1 capacity. For larger plants a semi-automated system becomes cost effective. In this system the delivery trucks unload directly into a ground hopper which has a screw conveyor in its base. The screw conveyor discharges on to belt conveyors which either carry the woodchips directly to the dryer feed silo or if the dryer feed silo is full to a boom stacker which builds a stockpile. Should the level in the dryer feed silo get too low it is lled from the stockpile using a front end loader though a separate hopper and conveyor. This arrangement minimises the amount of double handling of the woodchips. It was decided to use self unloading trucks rather than whole truck tippers as this is the lower cost option for a dedicated eet of trucks that make at least two deliveries of biomass per day. It is possible to fully automate the stocking out and reclaim operation, but this only become economic when the reclaim rate exceeds the handling rate achievable with a front end loader (around 100 t h 1 ). One or more weighbridges are needed to weigh the trucks as they enter and leave the site. 4.2. Bale handling plant The DEFRA best practice guide for miscanthus [26] suggests that miscanthus should be stored in large compressed bales. In plants which need less than 12 deliveries a day these can normally be handled using forklift trucks, but automatic cranes are needed to achieve higher delivery rates. These handle one layer of bales at a time and have been used in a number of strawred power stations. The miscanthus needs to be ground to small particles before being fed into the pyrolysis reactor; this can be done by a tub grinder [33]. Although stored miscanthus has a moisture content of around 15%it will need further drying to make it suitable for pyrolysis. It is not practical to do this when the crop is in bales so it must be done once the miscanthus has been ground. It has been assumed that band dryers are used for this function as they are more suitable for handling light particles than the more common rotary drum dryers [23]. Automatic cranes weigh the bales as they unload them so a weighbridge is only needed for the smaller systems. 5. Electricity consumption It has beenreported that bubbling uidised bed pyrolysis units would consume between 179 and 278 kWh of electricity for each odt of biomass processed [3,5,6] depending on plant size. An allowance of 200 kWhodt 1 has been used in this paper. The biomass handling and pre-processing plant will also consume electricity. Although some electricity is used by the conveying plant the bulk of the electricity is used by the mills and drying plant. These loads are relatively independent of plant size and have been estimated to be 40 kWhodt 1 using data from [23,32,34]. This would give a total electrical consumption of 240 kWhodt 1 . Using the yield data in Section 3.2 this gives a typical electricity requirement of 20 kWhGJ 1 of bio-oil (or 72 MJ of electricity per GJ of bio-oil). If some of the bio-oil were used in a diesel engine with an efciency of 40% to generate the plants electricity requirement, it would use around 18%of the total bio-oil production to power the plant. This would reduce the yield of marketable bio-oil to 52% of the biomass energy input. 6. Cost of production of bio-oil 6.1. Biomass cost A detailed study of the production cost experienced by energy crop growers in the UK was undertaken in 2005 for DEFRA (Department for the Environment Food and Rural Affairs) [24]. This has been used with an estimation of commercial yields [25,26] from mature plantations to calculate the cost of biomass production. As discussed in Section 3.2 higher organic yields can be achieved by using biomass with lower alkali metal content. The alkali metal content is at its lowest b i oma s s a nd b i oe ne r g y 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 212 when the plant is dormant. This mean that willow is har- vested in the winter and miscanthus in the early spring before there is any new growth. As the crops are harvested once a year some of the crop will need to be stored for up to a year. Some dry matter is lost during storage. The yields have been reduced to allow for 6 months storage losses [27,28]. The following costs have been used in this paper: Short rotation coppiced willow yielding 9.4 odt ha 1 (oven dry tonne per hectare), 56 odt 1 or 2.96 GJ 1 Spring harvested miscanthus yielding 13.5 odt ha 1 , 44 odt 1 or 2.30 GJ 1 The costs from the DEFRA study have been indexed with the other industrial crops index from the DEFRA web site [29] and include subsides made under the EU single farm payment scheme but exclude specic energy crop subsidies. The transport costs for different sized plants have been investigated [30] and are shown in Table 2. These transport costs are based on expected commercial crop yields with 6%of land around the plant used to grow the feedstock. 6.2. Capital cost The capital cost of all plant is expressed as the Total Plant Cost (TPC); that is all the costs that an owner would pay to have the plant designed, built and commissioned excluding site purchase, ground clearance, site access and consenting costs. These exclusions are considered to be functions of the specic site rather than the technology employed. 6.2.1. Pyrolysis plant As this is a new technology there are not a lot of cost data available. However some cost estimates are available from surveys of potential suppliers of equipment [31] these were used to produce a sizing curve for pyrolysis plants. This has been updated by a number of researchers at Aston University and was used by Bridgwater et al. [3]. It was decided to bench mark this curve with data from Farag et al. [5] whos report was written in collaboration with an equipment supplier (Dymamotive) and Peacock Bridgwater and Brammer [4] who used component data to calculate the plant costs (which was then commented on by an equipment supplier). The Farag et al. report did not give a separate estimate for the woodchip handling and pre-processing plants so estimate for these plants were takenfromthe other studied and used to calculate the TPC for the pyrolysis plant. The sizing equation covers plants up to 100 odt d 1 but it was decided to use it for plants up to 120 odt d 1 . All the cost estimates were updated to 2009 prices and the results plotted in Fig. 4. Given the diverse nature of the sources the estimates are in reasonable agree- ment with each other. The cost from Ringer et al. [6] has not been included in this comparison as the plant they consider is twice the size of any included in the other studies. These costs only relate to the pyrolysis plant and cover the reactor and the bio-oil collection system. The cost of the biomass pre-process plant is also needed. 6.2.2. Biomass pre-processing plant Costs from studies on straw co-ring schemes and straw-to- ethanol plants [32e34] were used as the basis for TPC esti- mates for suitably sized miscanthus handling plants. Costs for the woodchip plants were calculated from installed equipment costs given in a survey of US timber red power stations [35]. There are limits to the size of tub grinders, hammer mills and dryers. It was found that for both miscanthus and woodchip simple plant streams of one grinder and one dryer per pyrolysis reactor could be purchased for throughputs of up to 200 odt d 1 . Larger plants would need to have a number of identical parallel plant streams. The cost estimates for various plant sizes are shown in Fig. 5. 6.3. Labour cost There are no established models for stafng levels on pyrol- ysis plants so the following scenario was assumed: All sizes of pyrolysis plant would require a control room operator and one plant attendant while they were running. Small plants that used forklift trucks or front end loaders for biomass handling would require two materials handling plant operators for shifts when the plant is receiving deliveries. Larger plants with automated materials handling plants will require one materials operator for shifts when the plant is receiving deliveries. There would be a day team to cover routine maintenance and commercial maters. The team would have 3 members for the small plant increasing to 6 on the larger plants. A staff member works 206, 8 h shifts a year once allowances are made for holidays, training and sickness. As this is a rough scenario it was decided to cost all staff at the average rate for male skilled workers [36], this has been increased by 48% to cover employers national insurance cost, employers pensioncontributions, anti-social hours payments, training and administrationcharges. This gives anannual cost of 38k per employee. 6.4. Cost of electricity A pyrolysis plant operator could generate his own power or buy it from the grid, but for bio-oil to be considered as a renewable fuel the electricity needed to produce it should come from renewable sources. In the UK renewable Table 2 e Biomass transport costs. Baled miscanthus Woodchips Annual demand kodt y 1 Transport cost GJ 1 Annual demand kodt y 1 Transport cost GJ 1 800 0.48 689 0.50 209 0.31 212 0.33 57 0.23 76 0.25 11 0.18 27 0.20 b i o ma s s a nd b i o e ne r gy 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 213 generation is supported by the Renewable Obligation Certi- cate (ROC) scheme. Under the scheme each renewable generator receives a number of ROCs for the amount of elec- tricity they produce, these are then sold to the electricity retailers who are obliged to purchase a number of ROCs that equal a xed percentage of their electricity sales. The average auction price of a ROC over the period 2007e2009 was 50 MWh 1 [38] and the average quarterly retail price for the same period was 65 MWh 1 [37]. So a renewable energy generator receives the market price of the electricity plus the sales price of the ROCs this gives an average income of 115 MWh 1 . This value has been used as the cost of elec- tricity in this report. 6.5. Other operating costs Again there is little established practice to quantify these so an allowance of 4% TPC per year has been made to cover repair, maintenance, insurance and business costs. This is consistent with other studies. 7. Selling price of bio-oil The minimum selling price required to cover cost (the Break Even Selling Price) for bio-oil has been calculated using the following base case assumptions: The capital cost has been calculated from date given in Section 6.2. The 400 and 800 odt d 1 plant consists of multiples of 200 odt d 1 plants on the same site. A 10% cost saving has been assumed for the second and subsequent streams to take account savings in engineering costs and shared services. The capital cost is assumed to be funded by a 20 year annuity charge at 5%real interest rate a year (i.e. the interest after an allowance has been made for the impact of ination). The plant uses miscanthus or SRC willow as a feedstock with a 2% ash content. The surplus char is sold for the same price as is paid for the biomass. The plant operates at an annual capacity factor of 85% (availability 90%, average load factor 95%). The break even selling price (BESP) for the base case is not a realistic selling price. To be viable the selling price must cover credible risks and provide a prot to the operators. The operators risk is any increase in cost that they are unlikely to be able to pass on to their customer. The nature of the risks and likelihood of them occurring need to be known to calcu- late the annual risk that the operator is carrying. The data to carry out this calculation is not readily available for this Fig. 4 e TPC for pyrolysis plants from three sources. Fig. 5 e TPC for biomass handling and pre-processing plant. b i oma s s a nd b i oe ne r g y 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 214 technology; as an alternative the BESP was calculated for the following risk events happening in isolation: 1. Biomass price increased by 50% (the difference between projected yields and low recorded yields). 2. Staff cost increased by 20%. 3. Other operating cost increased 5%. 4. Electricity cost increased by 20%. 5. Bio-oil yield reduced to 54% (equivalent to using 3% ash biomass rather than 2%). 6. Capacity factor reduced to 75%. 7. Real interest rate increased to 10%. 8. TPC increased by 40%. 9. TPCincreasedby 40%and the interest rate increasedto 10%. These were calculated for plants of 50e800 odt d 1 capacity. It was found that the risk event that produced the highest cost varied with plant size. The risk event that had the highest BESP for a particular size of plant was considered to be the minimumviable price for that plant. This has been plotted along with the base case for SRC willow and miscanthus in Figs. 6 and 7. It would appear that for plants over 200 odt 1 selling bio-oil at the viable price the operator could survive one of the worst case risks without losing money and make up to 20% prot on turnover. Bio-oil has been considered to be a replacement for distil- late fuel oil. However distillate fuels are required to have minimal ash content. Pyrolysis takes place at a temperature that is below the melting point of biomass ash so all the ash ends up in the char. If the char separation is carried out by cyclones it is likely that around 10%of the char could end up in the bio-oil. In this case bio-oil from a 2% ash biomass could have up to 0.4% ash in it. Consequently it may be more appropriate to consider bio-oil as a replacement for residual fuel oils which have higher ash contents. The 3 year average market price [37] of both distillate and residual fuel oils has been plotted in Figs. 6 and 7 so that they can be compare with the viable bio-oil price. The fraction of the annual costs that is attributed to each major cost is shown in Fig. 8. 8. Discussion It would appear that it should be possible to produce bio-oil for a similar price to mineral oils. Currently there is very little oil red power generation in the UK but as pyrolysis based systems attract double ROC payments it is likely that combustion of bio-oil would be economically viable. Fig. 7 shows a considerable cost benet in building larger plants. This comes from the advantages of scale in reducing capital costs and improved staff utilisation. Capacities above 200 odt d 1 are achieved by adding additional 200 odt d 1 steams. There are some reductions in costs for the later Fig. 6 e Break Even Selling Price of bio-oil from SRC willow. Fig. 7 e Break Even Selling Price of bio-oil from miscanthus. b i o ma s s a nd b i o e ne r gy 3 6 ( 2 0 1 2 ) 2 0 8 e2 1 7 215 streams but it is unlikely that there would be any signicant cost reduction from building plants above 800 odt d 1 . Fig. 8 shows the diminishing signicance of nance and stafng cost with plant size. For the 800 odt d 1 plant 75% of the cost is for biomass and electricity. The pyrolysis plant owner may have limited control over these. In this analysis char has been considered to fetch the same price as biomass. There is interest in exploiting bio-chars and it is likely that this price assumption is low. However char can be made by relatively low cost slow pyrolysis plants with bio- char yields of 50%. If it is assumed that such plants have much lower capital and operating costs (they would not need grinders or dryers) they could produce char for around 5e7 GJ 1 . If this higher price is achieved the BESP for the miscanthus base case for 800 odt d 1 plant becomes 6.8 GJ 1 . Similarly if there is no market for char the BESP the mis- canthus base case for 800 odt d 1 plant would be 8.3 GJ 1 . From Figs. 6 and 7 it would appear that it would be cheaper to use miscanthus than willow. From analysis of the cost data in Ref. [24] and the pre-processing and handling plant costs it is clear that this advantage is due to the higher crop yields that should be achieved with miscanthus rather than differences in processing costs. 9. Conclusion It has been show that it is possible to produce a comprehen- sive cost model using published data that takes into account the production cost of bio-oil, sales of surplus char and the internal electrical loads. The electricity consumption of pyrolysis plants is signicant and needs to be considered when examining costs, energy balances and emissions. The source of the electricity will impact on the costs and overall CO 2 emissions of the plant. Char sales could reduce the productioncost of bio-oil by up to 18%but this is dependent on a market for char developing. This model is based on the premise that the bio-oil and bio- char yields canbe predictedfromthe biomass ashcontent. The relative proportionof the constituent gases inthe pyrolysis gas may not be predicted from the biomass ash content; however the total heating value of the char and gas by-products can be predicted fromthe model. As all the pyrolysis gas is consumed by the plant the only exportable by-product is the char. It is recognised that the ash content of the biomass used by the plant will vary but it has been assumed that the production plant will have sufcient storage capacity to smooth out the variations in bio-oil and bio-char production. It was found that pyrolysis plant that use miscanthus are of a similar capital cost to those that use willow woodchips and have similar conversion efciencies so the lowest BESP will be achieved by using the lowest cost biomass available to the plant. Unfortunately it is not possible to use the same pre- processing plant for miscanthus and woodchips so the fuel must be decided at the design stage. The model predicts that if relatively large plants are used it should be economically viable to produce bio-oil if it sells at a price below that of distillate fuel oil but above that for residual fuel oil. 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