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Prince Charles spoke of the impossibility of feeding the world on the back of weakening ecosystems. The Prince called for more research into finding ways of making ecological farming more profitable. The first session of the morning entitled Current Food Systems - the hidden costs.
Prince Charles spoke of the impossibility of feeding the world on the back of weakening ecosystems. The Prince called for more research into finding ways of making ecological farming more profitable. The first session of the morning entitled Current Food Systems - the hidden costs.
Prince Charles spoke of the impossibility of feeding the world on the back of weakening ecosystems. The Prince called for more research into finding ways of making ecological farming more profitable. The first session of the morning entitled Current Food Systems - the hidden costs.
Compilation of curated interestingness !om various disciplines covering articles, essays, interviews, books,videos etc Read it on : www.capitalideasonline.com
1 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 How different would the world be if we paid the True Cost of food and farming? Published on December 10, 2013, by Rob Hopkins, transitionnetwork.org
Following Patrick Holden was a video message of support from Prince Charles, who had visited a workshop the day before but who was unable to be present at the Friday conference. The Prince spoke of the impossibility of feeding the world on the back of weakening ecosystems. He argued that the crucial missing piece in todays food industry is that the polluter is not held financially accountable, and that this needs to change. The Prince called for more research into finding 2 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 ways of making ecological farming more profitable, and he ended on a note of cheerful optimism, saying that we do have the capacity to turn the current tide. We then launched into the first session of the morning entitled Current Food Systems The Hidden Costs. Professor Jules Pretty of Essex University, kicked off with his keynote address, The Need for Change. He discussed the growing awareness of the impact of farming externalities over the years since the so-called green revolution of the 50s and 60s. This led to the study conducted by Pretty and others in 1998 that attempted to calculate the cost of these externalities in the UK, (including wildlife damage, soil erosion, food poisoning etc) and the figure they arrived at was 2.4 billion per year an amount that was in fact higher than the net income from farming at the time. Pretty also acknowledged that this figure didnt reflect the full extent of farming externalities it didnt for example, include the costs of pesticide- induced harm to human health, which would no doubt have added to the total quite considerably. It was nevertheless an important step towards assessing the true cost of food production, and Tim Langs study in 2005 built upon this, coining the term food miles and exploring the costs of food transportation. The thrust of Prettys argument was that we need to increase yields in sustainable and small-scale agriculture. In doing so, we would protect our natural capital whilst ensuring the worlds population is well fed. We often hear that we already produce enough to feed the entire world population, but the point illustrated by Prettys work on externalities, is that much of that food is produced in a way that is costly and harmful to ecosystems and human health. The focus, then, needs to be on increasing 3 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 the yields of sustainable growing methods whether through habitat design, agroforestry, mixed cropping techniques and others to ensure not only that the environment is cared for, but also that people are eating nutritious, health-supporting foods. Following Prettys keynote address were a series of short presentations by five other speakers. Professor Whendee Silver of the University of California at Berkeley, discussed the importance of locking carbon into the soil and asked whether agricultural practices can help to manage the carbon cycle so as to be part of the solution to rising CO2 levels. She argued that preserving grasslands, as carbon rich eco systems that cover 30% of the globes landmass, could be a way of off-setting the carbon we release into the atmosphere. During the questions session later on, Silver also emphasised the power of word of mouth, saying that everyone at the conference was a communicator and we all have a responsibility to share stories and ideas gleaned from this conference to inspire curiosity and provoke debate. Professor Tim Lang, of City University, followed with his discussion linking food policy and public health. Lang has been looking at the global burden of disease, focusing specifically on those diseases that are food related. He has estimated that the global costs of treatment for diabetes are approximately $1.7 trillion, that cardiovascular disease incurs $15.6 trillion and that cancer costs $8.3 trillion. His point then, is that even if our food prices currently dont reflect these health externalities, we are already paying for them through our taxes and our health care systems. Lang argues that we need to design our food system around ecological and public health, and that a dietary shift away 4 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 from the over-consumption of meat and towards plant-based diets will support health and cost us less. Next up was Peter Blom, Chief Executive of the Triodos Bank. Blom argued that our environmental, financial and social crises are connected by the practice of borrowing from the future instead of learning to build on the past, and that we need to rid ourselves of the illusion that over indebtedness is acceptable and that money will always be there. He identified three principles that would ensure environmental, social and financial success and that can be applied to any sector: transparency, sustainability and diversity. Nadia Scialabba, the Senior Environment Officer from the FAO in Rome, then spoke about her work modelling low impact agriculture, for positive environmental impact. She discussed how organics currently internalise the external costs whereas conventional agriculture does not, and how this skews consumer choice and leaves little financial incentive for a shift to sustainable farming methods. And, in the current system, food prices have been so prohibitively high for millions, that it is unrealistic to expect them to pay the cost of natural resources on top of those prices. A new system is therefore necessary. Scialabba also emphasised the huge gap between knowledge and action that numerous case studies exist proving sustainable methods can produce healthy yields etc, but that action is yet to follow in any meaningful way. Lastly, Guillermo Castilieja of the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation spoke about his conservation work in the Amazon, the role of funding organisations, and the need for collective, multi stakeholder action if we are to effect change in the food system. After a brief (organic, fair-trade) coffee break, the next session followed under the title of True Cost 5 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Accounting in Practice. This was where the idea of true cost accounting began to come alive for me, as we dug deeper into the realities of externality costs as well as the complexity of attributing costs. Dr Pete Myers, the founder and CEO of the not-for-profit organisation Environmental Health Sciences, was the first to speak. The focus of his research is a matter close to my heart, and looks at the human health consequences of chemical contamination in our environment, particularly from agricultural pesticides and herbicides. This is an area that highlights the need for far more research into farming externalities, as Myers pointed out that only the tiniest amount of chemicals have been subjected to independent studies and only a fraction of studies currently connect the cause and effect of widespread chemical usage in our environment. Much headway has been made in recent years however, particularly in the field of epigenetics, exploring endocrine disruption as an effect of chemical exposure and how events in the womb play out over a person or animals lifetime. Myers emphasised the point that low doses do matter, citing studies conducted on mice that show how the most minute traces of hormone disrupting chemicals can cause obesity. Worryingly, Myers also pointed out that the tools we currently use to assess what is safe in the chemical world, are deeply flawed and based on out of date science from the 1950s. I was thrilled that Myers was included in the line up though as I often feel this is a crucial, but much neglected and misunderstood area of the debate around food one that does however, have an important role to play in the true cost accounting approach. Nadia Scialabba then spoke once more about her FAO report, published earlier this year, that looked at the environmental impact of food waste 6 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 along food chains across the world. This is the first, large-scale study of its kind into food waste and its findings are staggering. They calculated, for example, that the cost of food waste, based on producer prices, is $750 billion USD per year. The full summary of this report can be downloaded here. Tristram Stuart, the food waste campaigner and founder of Feeding the 5k, next spoke on the same topic of food waste and the costs it incurs. He estimates that a 1/3 of all food produced is wasted, and calculates that if the land used to grow this food were simply left untouched, we would sequester 26 billion tons of carbon in its soil. Stuart is particularly keen on the idea of feeding food waste not fit for human consumption, to pigs. This is a practice currently banned by the EU, but one that he argues would be 67% more energy efficient than passing it through anaerobic digesters. Stuart also pointed out that food companies are so concerned about their brand image, that forcing them to internalise the cost of waste through a true cost accounting mechanism would have a dramatic, positive effect on their practices. Adrian de Groot Ruiz, Executive Director or the organisation True Price, then took the stage to discuss the methodology of calculating the true cost of food products. Together with the SFT, True Price conducted a study on the price of coffee produced in Brazil, comparing true cost pricing of conventional and sustainable coffee products. They found that, by factoring in the cost of all externalities present in the production methods, a 250g pack of conventionally grown coffee (with a current retail price of $2) would have the true price of $5.17. By contrast, the true price of a 250g pack of sustainably produced coffee, was found to be $4.58. 7 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 De Groot Ruiz added though that as these sustainable methods improve in efficiency and yield, they estimate that the true price of the same pack of coffee could be reduced to $3.79 by 2018. This was a fascinating breakdown of how true cost accounting would work. The gap between current, cheap retail prices and true prices assigned to the more sustainable option, remains however. How this can be addressed in the context of increasing levels of food poverty around the globe, is an issue that was raised a number of times during the day and is one that clearly requires much careful research and attention. Last to speak in this session was Helmy Abouleish, managing director of SEKEM, an organisation that works for sustainable development, community building and biodynamic farming in Egypt. I found his story particularly inspiring and he delivered it with passion and humour. Abouleish inherited the vision from his father of reclaiming desert soil, whilst also tackling social and economic challenges faced by Egyptian society. He quoted Mandela saying that It always seems impossible until it is done, and despite much scepticism, they have, since 1975, created communities and lush, productive farms in what was formally a barren desert. Abouleish explained that their focus on producing rich, nutritious compost and protecting the living soil, means they use 40% less water than their neighbours. The scale of their vision and extent of their achievements is quite staggering do have a look at their website to get a full picture of the many projects they are engaged in. By this point, my head was bulging with inspiration, and I spared a thought for the hard-working graphic designer, busy capturing the days highlights on a very long piece of paper running alongside the stage. Below is the first section of her work I am hoping the full piece will be posted on the 8 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 SFT website soon. Once this last session ended, off we all went to enjoy a delicious organic lunch that would sustain us through the afternoon. The first session after lunch, Ecosystems and Food Systems: Valuing the Connection, began with a talk by Pavan Sukhdev of the global initiative, The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB). Sukhdev, an environmental economist, has been leading TEEBs work to assess the value of what they refer to as ecosystem services those mechanisms within our ecosystems upon which our economies depend. One example of this would be the crucial role that bees play as pollinators, and as Sukhdev pointed out, No bee ever sent you an invoice. That was my first favourite quote of the day. My second came later in his talk when he described externalities as the biggest free lunch in the history of the world. He described how, for example, the true costs of cattle ranching in South America are actually 18 times higher than the apparent costs. TEEB also works to determine the cost of the loss of biodiversity and of environmental damage, and their aim is to ensure their findings are incorporated into decisions made by businesses and governments across the world. Sukhdev argued that the reason change isnt happening on any grand scale is simply because the changes needed to protect our environment and health do not, in our current system, increase profit for corporations. He also referred to the work of the organisation Trucost, who are collecting data and attributing cost to the externalities produced by practices of the top 3000 global companies. In closing Sukhdev was keen to draw attention to TEEBs recently initiated study on agriculture and food, a scoping workshop for which will be held in January 2014. See here for more information. 9 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Following Sukhdevs talk were three brief presentations by leaders in the field of conservation. Peter Seligmann, Chief Executive of Conservation International, began by focusing on the role of corporations and their relationship to conservation work. He was broadly optimistic about the shifts happening within corporations, which he saw as being driven by enlightened self-interest and a growing awareness of their own dependence upon the health of the environment. This elicited some scepticism from members of the audience, but Seligmann remained firm in his outlook as he spoke of the growing desire amongst corporations to act as partners with, rather than predators of, our ecosystems. Ann Tutwiler of Biodiversity International then followed, with a stark picture of the rapid decline in biodiversity in recent years. She began by describing how of the 250,000 globally identified plant species, 7,000 of them have been used by humans throughout history, but now only 3 of these provide 60% of our total energy intake. Specific plant families tell a similar story: there are 3,000 varieties of the quinoa grain but we largely consume only 2; there are 1,000 varieties of banana but we mostly eat only one, known as the cavendish; and there are thousands of varieties of rice, but only a dozen are now widely grown. Tutwiler pointed out that the regions of the globe that are rich in biodiversity also have high rates of poverty and that this is a precarious position to be in, as farmers struggling on the bread line wont choose to conserve their ecosystems unless they have a perceived use for biodiverse species. Lastly, Tutwiler sited some fascinating research recently conducted in post-disaster zones in Central America, that found that those farms with greater biodiversity experienced only 50% loss of crops, as compared with the 100% losses experienced by conventional farms in the same areas. The 10 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 biodiverse farms were also able to recover more quickly than their conventional counterparts. Last to speak in this session was Mike Clarke, Chief Executive of the RSPB. Clarke also presented a bleak and shocking scenario, currently faced by bird populations around the world. He told us that since 1980, birds have been dying at a rate of 1 every 8 minutes. Many species are heading towards extinction, and Clarke gave the example of the turtle-dove which, according to current levels of decline, will be extinct within 7 years largely because of a decline of wild flowers. Clarke referred us to the brilliant publication entitled The State of the Worlds Birdlife, which was launched earlier this year and is available to download here. He concluded by saying that the cost of a declining link between nature and human beings is too great, and that it is crucial that the SFT succeeds in making true cost accounting happen. After a short break, we reconvened for the final session of the day: Testing the Proposition: Debate. A panel of five experts was gathered to discuss ideas and plans for action, and was comprised of the following: Peter Blom Chief Executive of Triodos Bank Henry Robinson Deputy President of the Country Land and Business Association Ellen Gustafson Co-founder of Food Tank, USA Richard Mattison, Chief Executive of Trucost Patrick Holden Chief Executive of SFT 11 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 John Humphrys of Radio 4 chaired the panel and opened the discussion with a flurry of media related (and food unrelated) jokes. I was hoping this session would be a fitting end to a rich, thought-provoking day; that it would be an opportunity to digest what we had learnt, and to identify, or at least begin to discuss, what steps would come next. It did seem though that Humphrys misjudged the mood at the conference it had been buoyant, serious and determined and instead, by unnecessarily and quite patronisingly grilling most people that spoke, he created one of antagonism and frustration. As a result, most of the questions that came from the audience were attempts to defend organics, local food or the SFT vision, when instead it would have been more helpful to integrate lessons and ideas that had arisen in earlier sessions. That aside, the panel were robust in the face of Humphrys interrogations, and Gustafson was particularly eloquent as she defended the need for affordable, healthy and safe food for all. Having now digested the day, there are a few questions that remain for me. For one, there are clearly some externalities that are easier to quantify, in terms of cost, than others. We can be certain of the cost of a short term clean up job, but how would we establish the financial cost of child labour, life-threatening disease or the extinction of a native bird species? Complications of assigning costs arise not only because such externalities have multifaceted and complex consequences, but also in that there might be a danger of reducing what is invaluable life and health to a matter of economics. Reframing ecology in terms that policy makers understand may push the debate into political circles, but arent we then ignoring the sacredness and preciousness of the ecosystems that sustain us, and the value that they hold far beyond the market place? 12 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 A further question I have is around what would need to happen to make true cost accounting a reality. It would require support and commitment from policy makers if the market is to be restructured in such a way that protecting the environment becomes more financially profitable than damaging it. And I wonder whether being so reliant on the current system and the political will within it, could prevent the radical changes hoped for by the SFT. But I am still deeply excited about the SFT vision and am optimistic about their ability to realise it. Most of my optimism comes, I think, from the strength of feeling and collective dedication to this vision, displayed from so many sides of the food debate at this conference. I am also particularly encouraged by the broadening of the definition of sustainability that was evident throughout many presentations and discussions one that is concerned not only with the lowering of CO2 levels in the atmosphere, but includes also the need to protect our bird populations, to eliminate child labour, to support community cohesion, to prevent the use of pesticides that cause life-threatening diseases, to halt the destruction of virgin forests, to make affordable, nutritious food widely available, and to create an economic system that values all of the above.
13 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Dr. Bhargava A talk with a top Indian biologist. Early in the morning, my phone gave a tinkle. It was a reminder based on a calendar event I had created, to call Dr. Bhargava early my morning when it was late evening in Hyderabad India, where he stayed. Dr Pushpa M. Bhargava is a well known man. He is founder and former director, Centre for Cellular and Molecular Biology, Hyderabad, India; former vice chair, National Knowledge Commission, Govt of India; former member, National Security Advisory Board; Nominee of the Supreme Court of India on the Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee of the Govt of India. Some of the relevant points discussed were: Bt. Cotton : This has proven to be bad for India. There is mounting evidence of link between rising farmer suicide and Bt. Cotton. Dr. Bhargava states that he has checked his records going back several decades and in fact has the necessary documents to show the increase in farmer suicide in 14 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 the Cotton farming belt started in large scale since introduction of Bt. Cotton. He further claims that the Bt. gene is a dangerous item and needs to be banned altogether. He feels optimistic that this will happen in India. However, he believes banning of Bt. Cotton will not come from the Government itself, which is focussed on promoting interest of western corporations. The change will come from public pressure, and the significant role being played by the Indian CIvil Society. This may even turn out to be an election issue next year. Dr. Bhargava further stated that the Govt. of Philippines had invited Dr. Bhargava for his views on some of the Bt. Crops such as Bt. Brinjal and had more or less followed his recommendation in rejecting it in their country. Roundup Ready crop : According to Dr. Bhargava, this is an even bigger disaster than the Bt. Cottons. But thankfully, it is not introduced in India at all, except in small experiments and field trials. Unfortunately, the Agricultural Minister of India is pushing all he can to promote Western Patented and clearly detrimental technology of GM crop for questionable scientific or ethical reasons. Nonetheless, Roundup Ready crops are a long distance away from large scale introduction in India. Bt. Brinjal : There was a major groundswell of opposition against Bt. Brinjal in India a few years ago, that prompted the then minister of environment Mr. Jairam Ramesh to investigate the pros and cons issue of the Bt. crop and put a moratorium on it, essentially banning it from India for the foreseeable future. This happened in spite of the money poured into media campaign by corporations and the support the GM crop got from most of the Government and business class. This was perhaps the first major setback for GM crop globally, and set the stage for the rest of the issues. 15 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Supreme Court Case : There is a ground breaking case unfolding in the Indian Supreme Court where top Indian scientific expert committee has advised the Court in a case against the Govt of India, about the harmful effects of GM technology. It is possible that the Supreme Court might force the hand of Govt of India in banning most of the GM crops for now. Biopiracy : There is another interesting case ongoing in a High Court, initiated by civil society individuals against the Govt of India, providing evidence that Monsanto and its partner have violated the National Biological Diversity Act (2002) by using a variety of Indian eggplant (brinjal) without obtaining the permission of Government of India for such use as required according to Indian laws to produce GM brinjal. This is in essence an act of Biopiracy. The court has seen the evidence and has agreed that the Indian law has been violated and instructed Govt of India to sue Monsanto and its partner, which the Govt is now proceeding to do, but trying to find ways to scuttle the case as far as possible. Illegal introduction of GM crop : India does not have a good laboratory that can quickly check if a crop is GM or not. Taking advantage of that, a lot of GM crops have sneaked into the Indian food chain, such as imported snacks based on GM corn, GM soya etc. This is as such illegal, but the mechanism is not in place to check it and the law regarding safeguards are not properly implemented. There is a lack of awareness on these issues. Govt Policy on GM: Unfortunately, it is now a well known fact that Indian policy is being tuned to support American interests and to solve Americas problems rather than Indias own national interest. This is so well known that even Indian politicians accept it unofficially. This too is likely to be an election issue next year. Globalization has allowed an unprecedented level 16 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 of influence by foreign corporations on national policy making of many countries. Indian Civil Society: It is also an emerging fact that, in spite of corruption, illiteracy and poverty that ravages India, the Indian Civil Society is likely doing a ground breaking job and achieving better success than almost anywhere else, in fighting the menace of GM crop issue. Golden Rice: The whole issue of Golden rice is a kind of hoax. It is touted as a solution to vitamin-A deficiency in the third world. It is patented technology, but the patent holder states it is not going to claim intellectual rights on it for now. Calculations show that a man might have to eat 15 Kg of this rice every day to get his normal daily needs of Vitamin-A. This is absurd. This means Vitamin-A has to be taken in primarily from other supplementary food and not from rice, either GM or organic. The aim may be for Golden rice to push out and make extinct all other major strains of rice. Once the competition is gone, then the patent holder begins to increase price of seed and demand intelectual rights to the seed. Science Research off base : Indian Govt has been, unfortunately, tuning its science research institutions to solve American problems and not Indian problems. Food supply : The main idea of the GM seed business plan is to control the world food supply the biggest business in the world. It is not designed to solve either hunger or poverty. It is designed to establish a stranglehold and a monopoly on the world food supply. Dr. Bhargava has seen the above text and approves it. He can be contacted at : bhargava.pm@gmail.com Posted by Tony Mitra on March 30, 2013 on tonu.org 17 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 What is the common ground between art and science? And how is Beethoven like Darwin? Nima Arkani-Hamed, Martha Kearney and Ian McEwan at London's Science Museum Photograph: Jennie Hills/Science Museum DO THE TWO CULTURES STILL EXIST? IAN McEWAN: That old, two-culture matter is still with us, ever since [CP] Snow promulgated it back in the 50s. It still is possible to be a flourishing, public intellectual with absolutely no reference to science but it's happening less and less. And I think it's less a change of any decision in the culture at large, just a social reality pressing in on us. And it's true that climate change forces us to at least get a smattering of some idea of what it is to predict systems that have more than two or three variables and whether this is even possible. The internet has created sites like John Brockman's wonderful edge.org, where it's possible for laymen to sit in on conversations between scientists. And when scientists have to address each 18 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 other out of their specialisms they have to speak plain English, they have to abandon their jargons, and we're the beneficiaries of that. NIMA ARKANI-HAMED: It's an asymmetry that doesn't really need to exist. Certainly many scientists are very appreciative of the arts. The essential gulf is one of language and especially in theoretical physics, the basic difficulty is that most people don't understand our language of mathematics which we use to describe everything we know about the universe. And so while I'm capable of listening to and intensely enjoying a Beethoven sonata or an Ian McEwan novel it can be more difficult for people in the arts to have some appreciation for what we do. But at a deeper level there's a commonality between certain parts of the arts and certain parts of the sciences. IM: I'm one of those know-nothing liberal arts students who at the age of 16 remembers a maths teacher coming into the room and saying "I'll take 10 of you volunteers and I'll get you through A-level maths" so us English, history, French types went and were patiently taken through and it was the most intellectually difficult and delightful thing I ever did. And the highest I got was calculus. I thought I had reached my intellectual ceiling. Now that's first steps for any maths undergraduate but it gave me a taste for the sort of respect for a society where you couldn't really claim to be any sort of intellectual unless you had some kind of foot in the world of mathematics. So I think we're in a situation of awkward respect. You go into Westminster Abbey and Dirac's equation is carved in stone. To stand there and look at it, I think even for those of us who've got very little grasp of maths, can be a kind of aesthetic experience. NA-H: One of the things that we try to do sometimes in explaining what's going on in physics is to find useful analogies and metaphors. But we could 19 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 be doing a better job explaining the structure in which we're having these thoughts, explaining why we're doing what we're doing, explaining the pursuit of truth with a capital T which is underlying all of it: what it is that motivates people to spend three decades working with not necessarily a payoff in sight until, every now and then, we celebrate these tremendous achievements. There is an obsessive element to it which should be familiar to the artist to many people in society. And it's driven by the pursuit of something much, much bigger than ourselves and the little trivial concerns of everyday life. SCIENCE, ART AND THE IDEA OF BEAUTY NA-H: There's a very common metaphor for describing the Higg's particle. It's this idea of the universe filled with something and the little ball bearing or whatever it was passing through the fluid picking up some inertia. That's a good example of a metaphor that gives some sense of what's actually going on. There's a difficulty with metaphors, which is that you can't take them too far they're not literally what's going on. And often when that analogy is used there's some clever person in the audience, normally a 12- year-old kid, who puts up their hand and says "Excuse me, isn't that just like the ether? Didn't you guys learn anything?" And that's when we have to say: "Trust us. It's something that fills the universe that's not like the ether" and so there's always a limitation to metaphors. It is possible to explain some of these things. This is one of the wonderful things about fundamental physics. The essential ideas are simple. The possible answers to essential open questions are more complicated but the essential issues are deep and they're simple to state. And with some patience it's possible to address them head on and get a sense for what's going on without all 20 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 the details of the mathematics. But it requires a very engaged audience and it can't be done casually. IM: Nima has written a stunning essay for the layman called The Future of Fundamental Physics. There's not a line of maths in it. I'm not going to pretend it's easy reading but you wrote it, I think, for anyone who's interested in that question, outside the field. I think we've lived through a golden age of science writing. Natural selection is not a very difficult idea but its consequences cascade beautifully. Bayes' Theorem is not very difficult, I mean it's almost arithmetic and yet the applications it now has in neuroscience are formidable. So I think we can cross these fields together and I'm very interested in the aesthetics of this. There's that famous remark of Jim Watson's, when Rosalind Franklin came to look at his and Crick's model of a DNA molecule, that it was too beautiful not to be true. Again we come into this field in which the aesthetics of something in the Keatsian sense beautiful and true must embrace both subjects. NA-H: We often talk of the idea of beauty in theories. And I think if this is interpreted loosely you won't get really a sense of what we mean. We have to be a little more specific. Ideas that we find beautiful are not a capricious aesthetic judgment. It's not fashion, it's not sociology. It's not something that you might find beautiful today but won't find beautiful 10 years from now. The things that we find beautiful today we suspect would be beautiful for all eternity. And the reason is, what we mean by beauty is really a shorthand for something else. The laws that we find describe nature somehow have a sense of inevitability about them. There are very few principles and there's no possible other way they could work once you understand them deeply enough. So that's what we mean when we say ideas are beautiful. A year ago I ran into this great lecture on YouTube by 21 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Leonard Bernstein about the first movement of Beethoven's Fifth. And Bernstein used precisely this language not approximately this language exactly this language of inevitability, perfect accordance to its internal logical structure and how difficult and tortuous it was for Beethoven to figure out. He used precisely the same language we use in mathematics and theoretical physics to describe our sense of aesthetics and beauty. IM: You don't hear beauty much mentioned even by composers in relation to modern music. It's not the common pursuit. For my taste all atonal music sounds like an expression of anxiety. And yet I think we do need a return to this in the arts. I don't think we have much trouble in poetry with this. Seamus Heaney died recently and there was a lot of time to reflect on his work, and the beauty of those lines, of his work was constantly referenced. Part of the problem was modernism, the great aesthetic revolution of the early 20th century to which we are all bound and must work in gratitude for but we lost certain things. Along the way emotion and art were somewhat detached. When I was a student at Sussex University we had to write essays on a statement by the Spanish philosopher Ortega y Gasset in which he said "tears and laughter are aesthetic frauds". This was the pure, high, modernist statement, that you had to detach those feelings about emotion and beauty from art itself. THE DAILY LIVES OF ARTISTS AND SCIENTISTS IM: I often wonder what theoretical physicists do all day and my fantasy is they are rather like novelists. They sit around with their feet on the radiator staring out the window with a notepad within reach. They must be in the world of that kind of misty, drifting, creative thinking that has a bit of talent, a bit of luck, a bit of being shaped by current mood that can bring sudden insight. To wonder how to progress or even start a novel is to enter 22 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 a state of what V S Pritchett called determined stupor, and those of us who are paid to be in that state count ourselves very lucky. NA-H: I've always thought composers and novelists are probably very close to mathematicians and theoretical physicists psychologically in how they go about things. Perhaps contrary to a certain sort of mythology people don't go to their offices and just churn through equations. You have a certain set of questions you are trying to solve and you have to imagine what the story could possibly be for what the solution is. You have to try to imagine what the sort of global answer could possibly look like or at least chunks of the global answer. You try on stories could it work like that? And often because of the underlying rigidity, the same thing that gives rise to the beauty that we talked about, it's beauty because there is a right and wrong. There is some problem that's being solved. If the story is a great story it has a better chance of being right than if it's a crappy story. And sometimes stories are too good to be true and that happens very often. And we try out what could possibly be solutions to the problems and then we have to prove ourselves wrong as quickly as we possibly can. And that's what 99% of our life is about. We try out stories and we prove them wrong. So you have this experience of failing day after day after day and it's a particularly intensely bad feeling to fail so much because you know what success looks like and you can't fool yourself when you're not there. So even though you don't know what the solution is, you know when you don't have it. You have to keep going and going until gradually you fail better and better and better and every now and then, once every two or three years, something works. 23 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 IM: Here is a major difference. I'm well aware in science how important it is to be first. Being second with the structure of DNA would consign you to the dustbin of history, whereas every novelist knows that you're in a self- sustaining world in which whatever you say is so. It's for others to accept it or reject it. I often pity those scientists who are in a race just to get on the public record for the first time days, weeks before someone else and your life can be transformed. Crick and Watson are a perfect case of this. If [Linus] Pauling had got there before them we wouldn't have heard of Jim Watson. It's a tougher world. NA-H: It's one of the classic things we talk about, the difference between art and science. Even here there's more commonality than meets the eye. But I want to say one thing about originality at an even baser level of how easy it is to be original, how much innate, intrinsic talent is needed to be able to do something. And here we [scientists] have an advantage there's this thing out there that we're not inventing but discovering. And because of that all you have to do is get somewhere in the neighbourhood of the truth. You don't have to get particularly close to it, you just have to know that it's there and then you have to not fight it and just let it drag you in toward itself. If you're very talented you might hack your way there more quickly. If you're less talented you might have to pinball around and it takes a little longer to get there. IM: That fateful morning when one of his children was extremely ill and Darwin opened a 20-page letter from [Alfred Russel] Wallace and said "All my originality is smashed". The anxiety attack that Darwin had then, no novelist could have such a thing. NA-H: What you're talking about the anxiety, who gets the credit and so on this is important to the individuals involved. It's of no importance in 24 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 the grand scheme of things. But there is an important sense in which even the same discoveries, even the same existing body of knowledge, the things that are sitting there in textbooks for hundreds of years already, are perceived in different ways by different scientists. Because to be able to do anything new you have to organise the existing body of knowledge in some unique way that's your way of thinking about it. One of the deeper reasons why it's important to have different people approaching the same problem even if they end up finding the same solution is the path towards a solution suggests many divergent ways things could progress and having many of those paths is still useful. IM: Writing a novel takes roughly about the time of an undergraduate course for me and you might draw on the work of a historian, you might need to read a biography of a composer. I would like to feel that we could think about science as just one more aspect of organised human curiosity rather than as a special compartment. And it has, as has been very clear from this discussion, a powerful aesthetic. I think we need to generalise it. We need to absorb it into our sense that we can love the music of Beethoven without being composers and we could love science as a celebration of human ingenuity without being scientists. Science has had a huge effect on my own sense of the world. It certainly has helped me along the way to a general global scepticism about religion. The world of faith is inimical to the world of science and in that sense science has helped me want to write books every now and then that celebrate a full-blooded rationalism. It's one of our delightful aspects and it informs what we try to do with our laws and social policy. We don't succeed a lot of the time. And we despair of human relationships at the most private level when they're irregular or contradictory. We demand even of 25 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 our lovers a degree of coherence and behind that lies a notion of consistency and rationality. Enduring Love was actually a novel wishing to oppose the romantic notion that abstraction and logic and rationality and science in particular was a cold-hearted thing, a myth I think which began with Mary Shelley's Frankenstein. We need to reclaim our own sense of the full-bloodedness, the warmth of what's rational.
26 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 The Science of Social Connections Source: edge.org [NICHOLAS CHRISTAKIS:] The part of human nature that I'd like to talk about today is that part of our human nature that is relevant to our interactions with others. There's been a phenomenal amount of work taking place in the last ten years, certainly, and even in the last year or two that seeks to understand how we interact with each other and how we assemble ourselves into social networks. If you think about it, humans are extremely unusual as a species in that we form long-term, non-reproductive unions to other members of our species; namely, we have friends. Why do we do this? Why do we have friends? It's not hard to construct an argument as to why we would have sex with other people, but it's rather more difficult to construct an argument as to why we would befriend other people. Yet we, and very few other species, do this thing. So I'd like to problematize that; I'd like to problematize friendship first. Second, not only do we have friends but we prefer the company of people we resemble. There's an enormous literature on in-group bias and on why this might be the case. A lot of this literature, to my eye, takes the form of what I would regard to be a tautological explanation. Why do we prefer the company of people we resemble? Because we're more comfortable when we are with people we resemble. Why are we more comfortable when we're hanging out with people we resemble? Because they resemble us. And I'd actually like to try to find a deeper explanation for why we befriend other individuals; why we assemble ourselves into networks with what turn 27 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 out to be very fundamental, reproducible topologies (structures); and why we prefer the company of people we resemble.
And, in fact, the ubiquity and necessity of social interactions carries with it a suite of other phenomena, like cooperation, which is very deeply and fundamentally important; sensing (the ability to see what's happening in others); communication; social learning; epidemics; violence all of these phenomena arise not so much within individuals, but rather at the interstices between individuals. They're not so much nodal phenomena having to do with the nodes on the networksbut edge phenomena phenomena that have to do with the connections between the individuals. In fact, I'd like to think that the focus on networks calls into question some very old ideas about human nature, and about what the state of nature really is for human beings. Joe Henrich, in an interview he did for Edge a couple of years ago, had a very nice, pithy summary of this. He asks why do we see market economies as all about competition for advantage? Actually, you can just rethink the existence of market economies as all about cooperation. Why do we have to see them as being competitive rather than as cooperative enterprises? We can shift our perspective on lots of things when we think about people as being nodes on a graph, as being connected to other people. And this shift in focus might, in fact, prompt us to begin to think about not the individuals themselves"but the ties between them. This calls to mind an analogy, which I don't know if some of you may already know, of streets in the United States and in European countries. So, streets have names in our country, and the houses on the streets are numbered numerically and 28 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 linearly as you move along the street. And the blocks between the streets don't have names or numbers and are seen as the things that are between the streets, and we don't pay much attention to them. But if you go to Japan, it's the blocks that are numbered. The blocks have names and the houses on the blocks are numbered in the order in which they were built, not numerically or linearly in any kind of systematic way. If you ask the Japanese, "What's going on with the streets?" they say, "The streets are the spaces between the blocks." They don't pay attention to those. We can even begin to think about human beings in this fashion. We're so interested in understanding human beings that we lose sight of the connections between them. And just like we can efface the individual, to some extentand I don't have a strong argument that we should do this, but I have what I would regard to be a weak argument why it's beneficial or useful as a heuristic to do thisjust like we can begin to efface individuals by thinking about the selfish genes within them, we can also begin to efface individuals by thinking about the connections outside them. So, the question I'm asking myself lately is: What would a social science of connections, rather than a social science of individuals, look like? What would it mean to take connections as the focus of inquiry and to think about the individuals as the spaces between the connections who are not so important? And then we begin to think about all the dyadic interactions between individuals, which are themselves natural phenomena, just like we are. I'm an object of the natural world, but so are my connections between me and all the other people, so are those connections objects of the natural world which warrant an explanation and a kind of deep and profoundin my judgmentstudy. 29 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 In fact, this would have a variety of conceptual and methodological problems. And some people would say that this is a really horrible perspective, that it obliterates our individuality, that it's dehumanizing, and so forth. But I would retort to that by saying, What makes us think that the ties between us are any less important or worthy of attention than the individuals themselves? One of the things that we've been doing is asking ourselves what is the reason that we form these ties? What's the function of these edges and these connections between us? One of the things that's very interesting to us is that these edges between individuals, these networks that we form, have properties that are not reducible to the individuals. They offer us a kind of an understanding of emergence, a new kind of emergent phenomena. And these properties, while they are properties of groups, actually, as it turns out, have implications for individuals. We're so interested in understanding human beings that we lose sight of the connections between them. Let me give you an example. This is very visual and, given this format, I'm not supposed to use visuals, but I'm going to cheat and use one slide in a moment. Let's say you had 1,000 people, and, on average, they each have five connections, so you have 5,000 ties between them. Mathematically, you could construct a number of ways in which you could organize these networks. You could have a random network where people are jumbled together; you could have a big ring network; you could have a kind of scale-free network; you could have the kind of network that we humans actually make (which has a variety of properties). It turns out that if you were designing the network from mathematical principles so that the network would be the most resistant to pathogens taking root within it; so, 30 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 you say, "I want to organize these people in such a fashion that this group, when so organized, resists epidemics;" whereas, if they'd been organized some other way, these same people who otherwise were identicalhad the same immune systems, the same biologythis group no longer resisted epidemics so well. If you wanted to give the group the epidemic resistance property, the way you would organize the people is to give them a property in network science known as degree assortativity. You would make popular people befriend popular people and unpopular people befriend unpopular people. You could give them this property, it would make the network as a whole resistant to germs being able to make inroads. And I can cultivate this intuition by asking you to think about the airport network in this country. The airport network is degree disassortative. Chicago is connected to lots of small airports but, in the small airports, you can't fly from one to the other; they are disconnected from each other. Whereas people don't have that property. Popular people befriend popular people, and unpopular befriend unpopular. Now, think about which of those two networks, if you were a bioterrorist and you wanted to seed a germ in, which network would the germ spread more rapidly? In the airport network, right? If you start any random node, like an isolated small town, it will go to Chicago, and, in the next hop, it will reach the whole nation. But if you had the hubs and the spokes or the peripheral airports connected to each other, it would be relatively more impervious to a pathogen spreading. I don't think it's a coincidence that of all the kinds of ways human beings could organize themselves into networks, that's what we do. We evince degree assortativity, and I don't think it's a coincidence that we do that. We 31 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 assemble ourselves into groups, the group now has this property, this germ- resistance property, which is a property of the group, but which, as it turns out, also benefits and affects us. Now, being a member of that group, we are less likely to acquire pathogens. And this sets the stage for a set of ideas that we and others have been exploring that shed light on multi-level selection and other kinds of contentious ideas in the biological and the social sciences. And we have a number of fellow travelers on this roadLszl Barabsi, Dirk Helbing, Tooby and Cosmides, Frans de Waal, Nowak, Rand, Santospeople working on these related areas of interactions among animals and people, and what this means. In fact, David Rand and Josh Green and Martin Nowak just had a nice paper this past year I was asked to highlight some paperslooking at whether you can use time to response as a kind of heuristic for understanding are people intuitive cooperators and rationally selfish, or do they exercise rational self-control over a kind of instinctive greed? The data they presented in that paper, to my eyes, was quite compellingthat we are intuitively wired to cooperate. James and I published a paper last year as well, also in Nature, where we had the following idea: We said, well, what we would love to do is, if the claim is that there's something deep and fundamental about human social networks and the structure of networks, we would love to be able to go back 10,000 years to the Pleistocene and look at what kind of networks did humans assemble themselves into, before we invented agriculture, and cities, and communication, and so forth? We did the next best thing to that, which is to map the social networks of the Hadza hunter-gatherers. There's only about 1,000 of them left; only about 500 of them still live in the traditional way. They are a natural fertility 32 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 population; they have no material possessions to speak of; they sleep under the stars. And when we map their social networks, their networks l ook j ust l i ke ours. So, despi te al l of modern technol ogy, telecommunication, the Internet and everything else, the structural features of their networks are indistinguishable from the structural features of our networks, suggesting to my eye, again, that there is something very fundamental, not just about the structure of our bodies and our minds, but also about the structure of our societies. This is some of the work that's been going on in a number of fronts the last few years, trying to understand the social interactions, social networks, and the kind of constituent elements of that cooperation and the like. But then that leads to what I like to call the so-what question. So what if we can understand the structure and function of networks? What can we do with this knowledge, not necessarily to make the world better, but actually to intervene in the world in some way? And if you think about it, that's also one of the tests of science. I mean, as a scientist, can you actually understand the natural world well enough that you can actually seize control of the natural world in some way and make it obey certain fundamental rules? I'm going to close with some summaries of a few experiments that have taken place over the last couple of years, and then a bigger idea as the final point. Let me just summarize a few pieces of work that are going on in my field that are very cool at the moment. There are two broad categories of work: One category of work is, can we manipulate the structure, the topology, of the network? Can we take control of the nature of the ties between people and drive the network to desired states? The second is, can we manipulate, not the connection, but the contagion within the 33 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 network? Given the structure of the network, how can we seed the network? How can we introduce information strategically within locations that make the group behave in desirable ways that we specify? Can we show that we've mastered and understood this world well enough that we can actually intervene in it? One experiment that was done by a former postdoc of mine [Damon Centola], that was published a couple of years ago now, is this. And I have to show you this image. So, this is an image of experimentally constructed networks. There are two networks in this image. There's just no way you could describe these two networks. Both of these networks have 128 people in them, and in both of these networks each person is connected to exactly six other people? So, if you talk to the human beings in these networks, and ask them, "How many friends do you have? " and they say, "I have six friends. " And every one of them in both of these worlds would say, "I have six friends." They cannot tell the difference between the two worlds which they inhabit? Now, suppose I'm going to infect the personthe yellow dot that's up herewith a germ. In which of these two worlds do you think the germ would spread more rapidly and more completely throughout the network? From the point of view of the individual, there's no way of telling what world they're in, but from the point of view of us, with this God's eye view, we should have an intuition in which of these two worlds is the germ more likely to spread? And the answer is the network on the left. This random assembly means that, ping, ping, ping, in the next step, the germ will spread from the yellow dot to the six red dots, and then from there to the others, and you'll flush through the system, you'll get a blooming of the 34 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 information spreading or the germ spreading or whatever. And these are things that spread by so-called simple contagion. Now, I'm going to ask you something different and more difficult. Imagine now what is to spread within the network is not germs or information but, a behavior, for example, smoking cessation or cooperation. Something more complex. It turns out that the world on the right is the world that is more conducive to the spread of such phenomena. So the topology of the network, which can be seen from above, is what's relevant to whether or not these group-level properties can emerge and be sustained. So this was an experiment that was done to show that. We did an experiment in our lab where we recruited over 2,000 people online, and we brought them into these virtual worlds, and the subjects played a public goods game with people near them, a kind of cooperative game with those around them who they were randomly assigned. Then, we controlled in that world whether or not people could rewire their networks and the amount that they could rewire them, by which we meant not only can you, if you defect from me, can I reciprocate by defecting, or, if you cooperate, I can reciprocate by cooperating, but we gave me another tool, which is that I could cut the ties or form ties to people. So I could form ties to cooperators and cut ties to defectors. And then we manipulated the viscosity with which that could be done. What we found was that actually we could control the amount of cooperation that emerged in this group of people by specifying the rules of interaction. If we allowed people to rewire their ties just the right amount, then cooperation in the group would appear above and beyond and independent of the individuals themselves and their own tendencies. So we 35 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 can elicit from the group a property, namely, cooperation, by controlling the nature of interactions. Second experiment. A number of other experiments have been done with contagion phenomena. So, given a structure of human interactions in an African village, in a trading floor on Wall Street, in schools in the United States, whatever the setting is, can you strategically introduce information in such a fashion that you can get people to behave in particular ways? There was just a paper published by Matt Jackson and Esther Duflo a couple of weeks ago in Science looking at microfinance. So if you want to get the adoption of microfinance in a setting in Indian villages, who do you target so that if you get them to use the microfinance you get the most spillover and the most rapid diffusion of innovation? If we could find ways of identifying central people using big data or other techniques, and monitor them passively or actively, when we observe a spike in central people it means that an epidemic's about to strike the population. Another nice paper that was done by my colleague, James Fowler and all of the work that I'm describing to you, virtually all of it, has been done jointly with Jamesis the following: James did a beautiful paper as well last year in Nature where they randomly assigned 61 million people online to a voting intervention and were able to show that actually showing people a very seemingly trivial stimulus drove, not only the individuals themselves to be more likely to vote, but their friends to be more likely to vote, and their friends' friends to be more likely to vote. So he showed a spread of civic-mindedness to two degrees of separation within this massive experiment done with 61 million people. In fact, it's estimated that an extra 300,000 people turned out to vote on that election because of 36 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 James's experiment. Actually our democracy was improved because of the scientists actually doing their work in that particular occasion. There's been some other nice work on product adoption using experiments online: how can we get people to adopt products? And we're in the field right now doing some experiments where we've mapped the networks of 32 highland villages in Honduras, and we're trying to see, if we can only reach 5 percent of the people, which 5 percent should we reach so that we get the whole village to change its mind about clean water and nutrition outcomes? And we're randomly assigning the villages to different targeting algorithms. In some villages, we pick 5 percent of the people at random; in other villages we pick them according to one targeting algorithm; and still another according to another targeting algorithm, and we have very promising results from this study. There's also a sense in which you can now use networksand there's been some nice work done in the last year or so, summarizing my fieldwherein now, instead of introducing information into the system, you can think about networks as kinds of sensorsextracting information from the system. So, for example, if you think about it, just a moment ago, we cultivated the intuition that if you target information to particular individuals, they're going to be more able to spread whatever it is that's happening in the network. Let me ask you to think about this, since I can't use slides. Imagine a network. There are ties and there are little nodes between them. Most of you probably have an image that, in the middle, there's a kind of jumble, like Christmas tree lights. When you open them up after a year, there's a thick knot in the middle, and there are these little tendrils that spread out to edges, that's what a network kind of looks like. Imagine that I can ask 37 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 you, "You can be a person in the middle of that, and have four friends; or you could be a person on the edge of that and have four friends. Now a deadly germ is spreading through the network. Who would you rather be? The person in the middle or the person on the edge?" The person on the edge. You have the intuition that the person in the middle is going to be on more paths through the system and you can formalize this mathematically and is going to be more likely to get whatever's spreading through the system. This very simple idea was an idea that we exploited by recognizing that if we could identify who were the central people in networks, and passively monitor them, we would have an early warning system for epidemics. So, the epidemic curve is a classic S-shaped curve that goes up like this. That S-shaped curve should be shifted to the left in central individuals compared to random individuals within the system. So, if we could find ways of identifying central peopleusing big data or other techniquesand monitor them passively or actively, when we observe a spike in central people, it means that an epidemic is about to strike the population. This can also be done with economic information or any kind of information that spreads through the system. We were able to show that this works with an outbreak of H1N1 flu a couple of years ago now, and in the last year we also showed that it works on Twitter. James and I know nine days before anyone else what's going to be popular on Twitter, because we see it spiking in the individuals that are at particular topological locations within the network. To sum up, this is new work that has been taking place over the last year or two in my field, which is network studies and the study of social psychology relevant to interactions and in sociology (not all of sociology or all of 38 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 psychology, just my little niche where I sit), and the biology of these types of things, has a number of features. First, this work is increasingly experimental in nature; so, more and more people are doing experiments. This move to experimentation is a kind of rediscovery of a tradition of experimentation in the social sciences. We always did experiments, but beginning in the 1950s, we became besotted with regression models. Psychology is a bit of an exception because they consistently have done experiments. But we're moving back to field experiments in broader swaths of the social sciences, and this is being abetted in part by the development of the Internet and online experimentation. So the big data revolution intersects with the experimental revolution by making it easier for us to do experiments. This new work reflects four things: First, its experimental. Second, it's exploiting online and Internet technology. Third, there is (to my eye at least) an increasing desire to try to find things that are deep and fundamental about our humanity. The best social science now that is being done seeks to go to a deeper, more fundamental level to try to explain human behavior, at least when it comes to human interactions. And, fourth, this work is involving interventions. If you want to construct an almost Popperian sort of theory of science, the ability to actually...: we observe the system; we have a hypothesis about the system; we do experiments about the system and conclude things; and now we actually manipulate the system (we introduce genes, we excise the genes, we do experiments in particular ways): this shows a level of control or understanding that's very commendable. Collective behavior has always captivated people's interest, but, in the last couple of years, we've been making phenomenal progress in 39 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 understanding what I would regard to be for me at least the key aspect of our human nature, which is our interactions with others. BROCKMAN: You mentioned point three. Could you repeat that? CHRISTAKIS: Something that transcends individuals. Something that's very deep and fundamental, but that transcends individuals. BROCKMAN: I think you mentioned humanism? CHRISTAKIS: I didn't mention humanism. No, but you're asking ... BROCKMAN: You were imputing some kind of goodness? CHRISTAKIS: No, I'm avoiding that because those were my marching orders from you, John. BROCKMAN: There is a sense in all the discourse about networks and big data that it means good. But as Steven Pinker pointed out, the Internet hasn't changed much in terms of human nature. CHRISTAKIS: Yes, I think I know what you're talking about. Any technology atomic power, gunscan be deployed for good or for evil. So, I've been highlighting or imagining some ways in which a better understanding of social interactions can be exploited for good. But it can also clearly be exploited for bad. Now, this bad could be getting people to buy products they don't need; it could be whipping up political fanaticism. Actually, if you understand networks, you can be much more effective at fostering Nazism. Actually, there's a way in which you can think of extreme political ideology and how it takes root in populations, and how you would go about structuring populations precisely to reinforce these kind of extreme ideologies. So there are all kinds of bad things that you can use the same 40 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 technology for, and I am not unmindful of that. But I mean, the things that we're trying to do I would think, we're trying to increase cooperation, and make people healthier, and increase economic development in the developing world, and everything else that Sendhil and everyone else here is trying to do. SANTOS: I can't help but ask the psychologist question, which is a chicken and egg question, which I'll illustrate with chickens. So, imagine you ran your network analysis on chickens. I don't know what chicken networks look like ... CHRISTAKIS: Someone's done that, by the way, but go on. SANTOS: They don't look like humans, right? CHRISTAKIS: No, they don't. But elephants do. SANTOS: The primate stuff we're getting out of Cayo Santiago suggests but other animals form networks too, but the question is that why is that, right? And so, you started by talking about this fact that humans might have networks that are unique or unique to more closely related primates or whatever, but then why at the psychological level could that be? Is there something about human cognition or human cognitive mechanisms that allows us to form those networks, and not other species? And, if so, then it seems to me that the individual, at least what's going on in the individual's head, shapes this CHRISTAKIS: I think it's fascinating. Leaving aside the eusocial insects and clonal species, where the interactions between the individuals are necessarily amongst kin, we're talking about non-kin relations, so we've got primates, including us, elephants, cetaceans; what's amazing to me is that 41 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 what's known about the network mapping of these individuals, of these species, is that those networks look incredibly similar. Elephant networks and primate networks and dolphin networks look very much like ours.
To me this begs what is a really interesting question, which is, maybe there's only one way to be social. I mean, why would it be the case in the natural world that whenever we go looking at social species, leaving aside the eusocial insects, would they evince these network properties? Because the last common ancestor between us and whales was 60 million years ago. So whales clearly have evolved independently, and with elephants, it's about the same. So, they're converging, by convergent evolution on a similar solution, not on a bodily phenotype, but what James and I are calling an exophenotype. So think about this (to borrow an example from Richard Dawkins): Why is it that if a spider evolves bigger mouth parts to capture more prey, we think of that as a kind of evolutionary adaptation; but if a spider evolves the construction of a more elaborate web that basically achieves the same thing, we don't necessarily think of that as a phenotype? Well, actually we should. Let's start thinking of it as a phenotypespiderweb morphology is a phenotype. If that's true, by a few short leaps I could get you believing that social network construction is a phenotype. My manipulation of the social world to construct the network around me, I would argue, is no different than the spider's manipulation of the physical world to construct a spider web around it. Second, picking up on your point, what's amazing to me is that dragging with it, not necessarily dragging with it, but walking along with the network 42 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 structure are all these other things. For example, mirror self-recognition. Dolphins have mirror self-recognition, primates clearly do, elephants have mirror self-recognition, cooperation, self-identity, and other-identity. So if you're going to cooperate and form networks with non-kin, you have to be able to know "Oh, this is June, and that's Sendhil, and that's Danny..." you have to know who they are from moment to moment. And these other animals also do that. So there's this suite of features that seems to be necessary and go together for the construction of social worlds. SANTOS: Just to follow up, do you have to be the kind of cognitive creature who could do X, Y and Z and then you're like, "Oh, I'll talk to June and then, ooh, the network forms?" Or does the network form and that creates this crazy selection pressure to have these mechanisms ... CHRISTAKIS: Yes, it's both, I think. That our social life and our biological heritage are in a conversation across eons. Think about this: Imagine a beaver, for whatever reason, has a chance mutation that makes its behavior different so it constructs a bigger dam. And now when the beaver constructs a bigger dam you get a bigger flood behind the dam. Now across time those beavers, ideally to exploit the greater linear perimeter of the pond that they've created, which gives them more forging opportunities, need bigger lungs. So the beaver now, because of the behavioral change, has to start evolving bigger lungs to be able to be underwater more to explore this perimeter, or bigger flippers or whatever beavers need to be effective. Okay? Well, I think humans are like that, actually. We have little things where we begin reworking the social world around us. That creates selection pressures on our brains and our cognition; it makes us social. The more 43 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 social, cooperative, mirror self-recognition, all that other stuff we do, the more able we are to create these webs around us, and it feeds back on itself. But what's so interesting to me and James about the social world is that, unlike the physical or the biological world, which is 'God-given' [or exogenous] and all around us, we create the social world. We create the selection pressure that then feeds back and contorts our minds and contorts our bodies. That's what we think is happening. GRUBER: You're talking about social contagion and I know earlier we talked a little bit about emotional contagion. I'm just wondering to what extent do you think the spreading of this phenomena is going to vary depending on the type of network we're talking about, whether it's specifically, I think of offline or in vivo interaction and now with the social media networks growing and ever-increasing, and the degree to which you're expressing emotions in these two domains is radically different. CHRISTAKIS: One of our arguments has been that, with respect to emotional contagion (in which we're very interested), there has to be some relationship at stake. My emotional response to my child in pain or my colleague in pain even, depending on the colleague, is very different than my emotional response to a stranger in pain. I still have empathy, I'd like to believe, and sympathy for the stranger in pain, but there's clearly something different about it. Plus, it's also different to see the person in pain than to read about the person in pain. So, (a) the nature of the social tie, and (b) the visibility, are crucially important. However, I think that you can transmit emotional states to a lesser extent, but still, through online interactions. Like if you get a sad letter from your sister, you're going to feel sad about it even though it's a printed word and not quite as powerful as seeing your sister. 44 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 We have an unpublished paper, which I can talk about very briefly, in which we exploited weather variation as an instrument. We looked at all the residents of New York City, and if it rains in New York City, with Facebook mapping of the whole country, their Facebook friends in cities outside of New York are affected by the weather in New York City, to two degrees removed. I won't go into all the details, but we did this in the econometrically way, and so we can discern, in a kind of quasi-natural experiment, to the extent that you believe the literature that weather affects people's moods (which there is a nice cottage literature on this), you can use that as a kind of, what's known as an instrument, to identify these effects between online friendships. KURZBAN: Like all models, there's a certain degree to which you're abstracting, and that's a necessary feature of modeling, right? You've got to take some stuff out. And you highlighted something that's right about psychology, which is that we don't spend that much time thinking about what friendship is for. There's been some assumptions about it being for exchange and so on, and you have a different proposal. Just to connect you back to some stuff that we've been thinking about, one thing that seems to be important in our data about friendship is that the nodes aren't equally weighted. The amount of time and the degree to which I'm close to my best friend is really different from my fourth and fifth friend. What I'm really curious about is, first of all, as a technical matter, how easy it is to build things like that into the model. Just for the record, my suspicion is it's going to be really important. It might even change your packaging data. CHRISTAKIS: Yes. 45 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 KURZBAN: Because if I spend a lot of time on doing that Right? So, as a psychological matter, that seems like a reality, which would be very cool to build into these sorts of things. And, again, as an empirical matter, we're finding that there's a relatively nice function that one can use to map these things. So, is the future of this kind of weighted edges ... CHRISTAKIS: Yes. KURZBAN: And what's going to happen? CHRISTAKIS: Yes, there's a big move to weighted graphs exactly for the reason you're describing. Every tie can get a weight now, so you can describe ties and not just the nodes. In fact, ties can become just as complicated as people. How long has the tie been lasting? How intimate is the tie? How frequently do you see the person? What's the vector? Do I say, "You're my friend" or you say "I'm your friend?" And so you can begin to have all kinds of details, which are highly relevant, and you can weigh the ties and use a variety of methods which allow you to take advantage And it falls mostly as you would predict, right? So, just as you suggested, people with whom I spend a lot of time are more important paths through the network when it comes to germs, for example. BROCKMAN: Unfortunately, Wallace Stevens couldn't be here today, but he asked me to read the following excerpt from his poem, "United Dames of America": The mass is nothing. The number of men in a mass Of men is nothing. The mass is no greater than The singular man in a mass. Masses produce. Each one its paradigm." 46 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 7 Ways to Sharpen Your Focus The more concentrated we are, the better we do at most everything. But these days we face a stream of distractions -- and every time we get pulled into the latest Facebook update, tweet, or email, it can take several minutes to regain full concentration on what we're supposed to be doing. Here are some practical ways to stay focused despite the blizzard of distractions: 1) Manage your settings instead of letting them manage your attention. Turn off those pop-ups that tell you you've just gotten an email and ringtones. Those calls and messages may seem urgent, but they are not important enough to break your focus -- get to them later. Give yourself protected time to sustain your focus on the task at hand. 2) Mindful second thoughts help tear you away from those distractions. When you find yourself checking your email when you should be working on something else instead, just telling yourself 'I'm distracted now' activates a brain circuit that makes it easier to drop what's irrelevant and get back to focusing on your work. 3) Build up the mind's muscle for focus through a daily session of meditating on your breath. This is the mental equivalent of working out in the gym. The battle tension between focus and distraction takes place in the brain's circuits for resisting impulse. In the mental gym, the more often you catch your mind wandering off and return it to concentrating on your breath, the stronger your concentration grows - like bulking up your pecs on a Cybex. 47 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 4) Will power -- the key to staying focused on that important task -- wanes with stress. Managing your stress better by reducing demands or deploying a relaxation method you can practice as needed keeps your focus high. 5) Focus tanks when we are sleepy -- and there's an epidemic of sleep deprivation. No matter how many hours sleep you manage to get, the real measure of whether you are sleeping enough is whether you feel like dozing off during the day. A short mid-day nap (if you can get away with it) reboots your brain. 6) Eat high protein, low carb meals at breakfast and lunch. Carbs convert to sugar quickly, giving you a burst of energy and then a crash. Proteins become the brain's fuel more slowly, giving you a steady energy level that helps sustain focus. 7) Sip your caffeine slowly: A steady low dose helps your focus go on and on. Too much at once gives you a high (or nervousness) that ends in a focus crash. Finally, a concentrated focus is always the best attention tool for the job, e.g., when you're looking for a creative insight. For innovative thinking it's best to immerse first yourself in the problem with full focus, then let it go. New connections flow most freely when you're in a relaxed, daydreamy brain state -- on a walk, or taking a shower. Daniel Goleman's new book FOCUS: The Hidden Driver of Excellence and CD Cultivating Focus: Techniques for Excellence are now available.
48 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Heritable IQ is a sign of social mobility By Matt Ridley, Source: rationaloptimist.com Matt Ridley is the author of provocative books on evolution, genetics and society. His books have sold over a million copies, been translated into thirty languages, and have won several awards. Please note that this blog no longer accepts comments (there was too much spam coming in!). If you're reading this blog and want to respond then please use the contact form on the site. My fellow Times writer the cricketer Ed Smith posed me a very good question the other day. How many of the people born in the world in 1756 could have become Mozart? (My answer, by the way, was four.) So heres a similar question: how many Britons born in 1964, if educated at Eton and Balliol, could have achieved what Boris Johnson has achieved? Its clearly not all of them; its probably not one; but its not a big number. My point? There is little doubt that Boris Johnson is a highly intelligent man, notwithstanding his inability to cope with a radio ambush of IQ test questions, and that he would be a highly intelligent man even if he had not gone to Eton and Balliol barring extreme deprivation or injury. The recent burst of interest in IQ, sparked first by Dominic Cummings (Michael Goves adviser), and then by Boris, has been encouraging in one sense. As Robert Plomin, probably the worlds leading expert on the genetics of intelligence, put it to me, there used to be a kneejerk reaction along the lines of you cant measure intelligence, or it couldnt possibly be genetic. This time the tone is more like: Of course, there is some genetic influence on intelligence but... 49 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013
The evidence from twin studies, adoption studies and even from DNA evidence is relentlessly consistent: in children, in Western society, the heritability of IQ scores is about 50 per cent. The other half comes equally from family (shared environment) and from unshared individual experiences: luck, teachers, friends. This numerical precision easily misleads us into thinking genes and environment struggle against each other. In fact, they are like two pillars supporting an arch: nature makes you seek out nurture, which brings out your nature. But here is where things get interesting. The acceptance of genetic influence on intelligence leads to some surprising, even paradoxical implications, some of which turn the assumptions of both the Right and the Left upside down. First, if intelligence was not substantially genetic, there would be no point in widening access to universities, or in grammar schools and bursaries at private schools trying to seek out those from modest backgrounds who have more to offer. If nurture were everything, kids unlucky enough to have been to poor schools would have irredeemably poor minds, which is nonsense. The bitter irony of the nature-nurture wars of the 20th century was that a world where nurture was everything would be horribly more cruel than one where nature allowed people to escape their disadvantages. The Left, which has championed nurture against nature, is learning to take a different view over homosexuality, for example, or learning disability, genetic influence is used as an argument for tolerance. A recent Guardian headline criticised Boris by saying gifted children are failed by the system, which presupposes the existence of (genetically) gifted children. 50 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 The second surprise is that genetic influence increases with age. If you measure the correlation between the IQs of identical twins and compare it with that of adopted siblings, you find the difference grows dramatically as they get older. This is chiefly because families shape the environments of young children, whereas older children and adults select and evoke environments that suit their innate preferences, reinforcing nature. [See the new paper by Briley, D. A. , & Tucker-Drob, E. M. (in press). Explaining the increasing heritability of cognitive ability over development: A meta-analysis of longitudinal twin and adoption studies. Psychological Science.] It follows the third surprise that much of what we call the environment proves to be itself under genetic influence. Children who are very good at reading are likely to have parents who read a lot, schools that give them special opportunities and friends who recommend books. They create a reading-friendly environment for themselves. The well- documented association between family socio-economic status and IQ, routinely interpreted as an environmental effect, is, writes Professor Plomin and colleagues, substantially mediated by genetic factors. Perhaps intelligence is an appetite, at least much as an aptitude, for learning. The fourth surprise is that the better the economy, education, and welfare are, the more heritable IQ will be. Just as having extra food will make you brighter if you are starving, but not if you are plump, so the same applies to toys, teachers, books and friends. Once you have enough of any of these things, having more will not make as much difference. So differences due to environment will fade. In a world when some are starving and some are kings, the differences would be mainly environmental. In a world where all went to Balliol, the main difference remaining would be genetic. Social 51 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 reformers rarely face this fact the more we equalise opportunity, the more the people who get to the top will be the genetically talented. And this brings a final paradox: a world with perfect social mobility would show very high heritability. The children of Balliol parents would qualify for Balliol disproportionately, having inherited both aptitude and an appetite for evoking the environments that amplified that aptitude. Far from indicating that parents are giving their children unfair environmental advantages, a high correlation between the achievements of parents and offspring suggests that opportunity is being levelled, albeit slowly and patchily. In Professor Plomins words: Heritability can be viewed as an index of meritocratic social mobility. Moreover, assortative mating is probably reinforcing the trend. That is to say, 50 years ago, when women were not often allowed near higher education, Professor Branestawm chose to marry the girl next door because she was good at ironing his shirts, whereas today he marries another professor because she writes gorgeous equations about quantum mechanics, and they have children who are professors squared. We are a long way from equality of opportunity, but when we get there we will not find equality of outcome. Already IQ for all its flaws as an objective measure of intelligence is good at predicting not just educational attainment, but income, health and even longevity remarkably well. Do we reconcile ourselves to inequality, then? No! Just because capability is inherited does not mean it is immutable. Hair colour and short sight are highly heritable , but both can be altered. Education is not just about coaxing native wit from the gifted, but also coaching it into the less gifted.$ 52 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 A Formula for Happiness HAPPINESS has traditionally been considered an elusive and evanescent thing. To some, even trying to achieve it is an exercise in futility. It has been said that happiness is as a butterfly which, when pursued, is always beyond our grasp, but which if you will sit down quietly, may alight upon you. Social scientists have caught the butterfly. After 40 years of research, they attribute happiness to three major sources: genes, events and values. Armed with this knowledge and a few simple rules, we can improve our lives and the lives of those around us. We can even construct a system that fulfills our founders promises and empowers all Americans to pursue happiness. Psychologists and economists have studied happiness for decades. They begin simply enough by asking people how happy they are. The richest data available to social scientists is the University of Chicagos General Social Survey, a survey of Americans conducted since 1972. This widely used resource is considered the scholarly gold standard for understanding social phenomena. The numbers on happiness from the survey are surprisingly consistent. Every other year for four decades, roughly a third of Americans have said theyre very happy, and about half report being pretty happy. Only about 10 to 15 percent typically say theyre not too happy. Psychologists have used sophisticated techniques to verify these responses, and such survey results have proved accurate. Beneath these averages are some demographic differences. For many years, researchers found that women were happier than men, although recent studies contend that the gap has narrowed or may even have been 53 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 reversed. Political junkies might be interested to learn that conservative women are particularly blissful: about 40 percent say they are very happy. That makes them slightly happier than conservative men and significantly happier than liberal women. The unhappiest of all are liberal men; only about a fifth consider themselves very happy. But even demographically identical people vary in their happiness. What explains this? The first answer involves our genes. Researchers at the University of Minnesota have tracked identical twins who were separated as infants and raised by separate families. As genetic carbon copies brought up in different environments, these twins are a social scientists dream, helping us disentangle nature from nurture. These researchers found that we inherit a surprising proportion of our happiness at any given moment around 48 percent. (Since I discovered this, Ive been blaming my parents for my bad moods.) If about half of our happiness is hard-wired in our genes, what about the other half? Its tempting to assume that one-time events like getting a dream job or an Ivy League acceptance letter will permanently bring the happiness we seek. And studies suggest that isolated events do control a big fraction of our happiness up to 40 percent at any given time. But while one-off events do govern a fair amount of our happiness, each events impact proves remarkably short-lived. People assume that major changes like moving to California or getting a big raise will make them permanently better off. They wont. Huge goals may take years of hard work to meet, and the striving itself may be worthwhile, but the happiness they create dissipates after just a few months. 54 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 So dont bet your well-being on big one-off events. The big brass ring is not the secret to lasting happiness. To review: About half of happiness is genetically determined. Up to an additional 40 percent comes from the things that have occurred in our recent past but that wont last very long. That leaves just about 12 percent. That might not sound like much, but the good news is that we can bring that 12 percent under our control. It turns out that choosing to pursue four basic values of faith, family, community and work is the surest path to happiness, given that a certain percentage is genetic and not under our control in any way. The first three are fairly uncontroversial. Empirical evidence that faith, family and friendships increase happiness and meaning is hardly shocking. Few dying patients regret overinvesting in rich family lives, community ties and spiritual journeys. Work, though, seems less intuitive. Popular culture insists our jobs are drudgery, and one survey recently made headlines by reporting that fewer than a third of American workers felt engaged; that is praised, encouraged, cared for and several other gauges seemingly aimed at measuring how transcendently fulfilled one is at work. Those criteria are too high for most marriages, let alone jobs. What if we ask something simpler: All things considered, how satisfied are you with your job? This simpler approach is more revealing because respondents apply their own standards. This is what the General Social Survey asks, and the results may surprise. More than 50 percent of Americans say they are completely satisfied or very satisfied with their work. This rises to over 55 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 80 percent when we include fairly satisfied. This finding generally holds across income and education levels. This shouldnt shock us. Vocation is central to the American ideal, the root of the aphorism that we live to work while others work to live. Throughout our history, Americas flexible labor markets and dynamic society have given its citizens a unique say over our work and made our work uniquely relevant to our happiness. When Frederick Douglass rhapsodized about patient, enduring, honest, unremitting and indefatigable work, into which the whole heart is put, he struck the bedrock of our culture and character. Im a living example of the happiness vocation can bring in a flexible labor market. I was a musician from the time I was a young child. That I would do it for a living was a foregone conclusion. When I was 19, I skipped college and went on the road playing the French horn. I played classical music across the world and landed in the Barcelona Symphony Orchestra. I was probably somewhat satisfied with my work. But in my late 20s the novelty wore off, and I began plotting a different future. I called my father back in Seattle: Dad, Ive got big news. Im quitting music to go back to school! You cant just drop everything, he objected. Its very irresponsible. But Im not happy, I told him. There was a long pause, and finally he asked, What makes you so special?! But Im really not special. I was lucky lucky to be able to change roads to one that made me truly happy. After going back to school, I spent a blissful 56 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 decade as a university professor and wound up running a Washington think tank. Along the way, I learned that rewarding work is unbelievably important, and this is emphatically not about money. Thats what research suggests as well. Economists find that money makes truly poor people happier insofar as it relieves pressure from everyday life getting enough to eat, having a place to live, taking your kid to the doctor. But scholars like the Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman have found that once people reach a little beyond the average middle-class income level, even big financial gains dont yield much, if any, increases in happiness. So relieving poverty brings big happiness, but income, per se, does not. Even after accounting for government transfers that support personal finances, unemployment proves catastrophic for happiness. Abstracted from money, joblessness seems to increase the rates of divorce and suicide, and the severity of disease. And according to the General Social Survey, nearly three-quarters of Americans wouldnt quit their jobs even if a financial windfall enabled them to live in luxury for the rest of their lives. Those with the least education, the lowest incomes and the least prestigious jobs were actually most likely to say they would keep working, while elites were more likely to say they would take the money and run. We would do well to remember this before scoffing at dead-end jobs. Assemble these clues and your brain will conclude what your heart already knew: Work can bring happiness by marrying our passions to our skills, empowering us to create value in our lives and in the lives of others. Franklin D. Roosevelt had it right: Happiness lies not in the mere 57 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 possession of money; it lies in the joy of achievement, in the thrill of creative effort. In other words, the secret to happiness through work is earned success. This is not conjecture; it is driven by the data. Americans who feel they are successful at work are twice as likely to say they are very happy overall as people who dont feel that way. And these differences persist after controlling for income and other demographics. You can measure your earned success in any currency you choose. You can count it in dollars, sure or in kids taught to read, habitats protected or souls saved. When I taught graduate students, I noticed that social entrepreneurs who pursued nonprofit careers were some of my happiest graduates. They made less money than many of their classmates, but were no less certain that they were earning their success. They defined that success in nonmonetary terms and delighted in it. If you can discern your own project and discover the true currency you value, youll be earning your success. You will have found the secret to happiness through your work. Theres nothing new about earned success. Its simply another way of explaining what Americas founders meant when they proclaimed in the Declaration of Independence that humans inalienable rights include life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. This moral covenant links the founders to each of us today. The right to define our happiness, work to attain it and support ourselves in the process to earn our success is our birthright. And it is our duty to pass this opportunity on to our children and grandchildren. 58 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 But today that opportunity is in peril. Evidence is mounting that people at the bottom are increasingly stuck without skills or pathways to rise. Research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston shows that in the 1980s, 21 percent of Americans in the bottom income quintile would rise to the middle quintile or higher over a 10-year period. By 2005, that percentage had fallen by nearly a third, to 15 percent. And a 2007 Pew analysis showed that mobility is more than twice as high in Canada and most of Scandinavia than it is in the United States. This is a major problem, and advocates of free enterprise have been too slow to recognize it. It is not enough to assume that our system blesses each of us with equal opportunities. We need to fight for the policies and culture that will reverse troubling mobility trends. We need schools that serve childrens civil rights instead of adults job security. We need to encourage job creation for the most marginalized and declare war on barriers to entrepreneurship at all levels, from hedge funds to hedge trimming. And we need to revive our moral appreciation for the cultural elements of success. We must also clear up misconceptions. Free enterprise does not mean shredding the social safety net, but championing policies that truly help vulnerable people and build an economy that can sustain these commitments. It doesnt mean reflexively cheering big business, but leveling the playing field so competition trumps cronyism. It doesnt entail anything goes libertinism, but self-government and self-control. And it certainly doesnt imply that unfettered greed is laudable or even acceptable. Free enterprise gives the most people the best shot at earning their success and finding enduring happiness in their work. It creates more paths 59 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 than any other system to use ones abilities in creative and meaningful ways, from entrepreneurship to teaching to ministry to playing the French horn. This is hardly mere materialism, and it is much more than an economic alternative. Free enterprise is a moral imperative. To pursue the happiness within our reach, we do best to pour ourselves into faith, family, community and meaningful work. To share happiness, we need to fight for free enterprise and strive to make its blessings accessible to all. Arthur C. Brooks is the president of the American Enterprise Institute, a public policy think tank in Washington, D.C. Source: NyTimes.com
60 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Book Recommendation for the week How should we live? Great ideas from the past for everyday life by Roman Krznaric
Following is an article based on the book: Six Life Lessons from Leo Tolstoy It's 150 years since Leo Tolstoy put pen to paper and began writing his epic War and Peace. While most people think of him as one of the 19th century's greatest novelists, few are aware that he was also one of its most radical social and political thinkers. During a long life from 1828 to 1910, Tolstoy gradually rejected the received beliefs of his aristocratic background and embraced a startlingly unconventional worldview that shocked his peers. Tracing his personal transformation offers some wise and surprising lessons for how we should approach the art of living today. 61 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Tolstoy was born into the Russian nobility. His family had an estate and owned hundreds of serfs. The early life of the young count was raucous and debauched, and he gambled away a fortune through a reckless addiction to cards. As he acknowledged in A Confession: I killed men in war and challenged men to duels in order to kill them. I lost at cards, consumed the labor of the peasants, sentenced them to punishments, lived loosely, and deceived people. Lying, robbery, adultery of all kinds, drunkenness, violence, murder there was no crime I did not commit, and in spite of that people praised my conduct and my contemporaries considered and consider me to be a comparatively moral man. So I lived for ten years. So how did Tolstoy manage to wean himself off this rather racy, decadent lifestyle? And how might his journey help us rethink our own philosophies of life? Lesson 1: Keep an Open Mind One area in which Tolstoy excelled was the ability and willingness to change his mind based on new experiences. It was a skill he began nurturing in the 1850s when he was an army officer. Tolstoy fought in the bloody siege of Sebastopol during the Crimean War, a horrific experience that turned him from a regular soldier into a pacifist. A decisive event took place in 1857, when he witnessed a public execution by guillotine in Paris. He never forgot the severed head thumping into the box below. It convinced him of the belief that the state and its laws were not only brutal, but served to protect the interests of the rich and powerful. He wrote to a friend, "The truth is that the State is a conspiracy designed not only to exploit, but above all to corrupt its citizens...Henceforth, I shall never serve 62 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 any government anywhere." Tolstoy was on his way to becoming an anarchist. His criticisms of the tsarist regime in Russia became so vociferous that only his literary fame saved him from imprisonment. Tolstoy would be the first to encourage us to question the fundamental beliefs and dogmas we have been brought up with. Lesson 2: Practice Empathy Tolstoy was one of the great empathic adventurers of the 19th century, displaying an unusual desire to step into the shoes of people whose lives were vastly different from his own. Following the Emancipation of the Serfs in 1861, and influenced by a growing movement across Russia which extolled the virtues of the peasantry, Tolstoy not only adopted traditional peasant dress, but worked alongside the laborers on his estate, ploughing the fields and repairing their homes with his own hands. For a blue- blooded count, such actions were nothing short of remarkable. Although no doubt tinged with paternalism, Tolstoy enjoyed the company of peasants and consciously began to shun the literary and aristocratic elite in the cities. He also founded an experimental school for peasant children based on the libertarian and egalitarian ideas of Rousseau and Proudhon, and even taught there himself. Unlike many of his fellow aristocrats who claimed solidarity with rural laborers, Tolstoy believed you could never understand the reality of their lives unless you had a taste of it yourself. Tolstoy Ploughing (c.1889) by Ilya Repin. Tolstoy regularly put down his pen to work in the fields. He kept a scythe and saw leaning up against the wall next to his writing desk. A basket of cobbler's tools lay on the floor. Lesson 3: Make a Difference 63 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 For an upper-class literary gent, Tolstoy made a notable effort to take practical action to alleviate other people's suffering. His dedication to the peasantry was nowhere more evident than in his famine relief work. After the crop failure of 1873, Tolstoy decided to stop writing Anna Karenina for a year to organize aid for the starving, remarking to a relative, "I cannot tear myself away from living creatures to bother about imaginary ones." His friends and family thought it crazy that one of the finest novelists in the world would put one of his works of genius on the backburner. But Tolstoy was adamant. He did it again after the famine in 1891, and with other members of his family spent the next two years raising money from around the world and working in soup kitchens. Can you imagine a bestselling author today setting aside their latest book to do humanitarian relief work for two years?Can you imagine a bestselling author today setting aside their latest book to do humanitarian relief work for two years? Lesson 4: Master the Art of Simple Living One of Tolstoy's greatest gifts and also a source of torment was his addiction to the question of the meaning of life. He never ceased asking himself why and how he should live, and what was the point of all his money and fame. In the late 1870s, unable to find any answers, he had a mental breakdown and was on the verge of suicide. But after immersing himself in the German philosopher Schopenhauer, Buddhist texts, and the Bible, he adopted a revolutionary brand of Christianity which rejected all organized religion, including the Orthodox Church he had grown up in, and turned toward a life of spiritual and material austerity. He gave up drinking and smoking, and became a vegetarian. He also inspired the creation of utopian communities for simple, self-sufficient living, where property was 64 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 held in common. These "Tolstoyan" communities spread around the world and lead Gandhi to found an ashram in 1910 named the Tolstoy Farm. Lesson 5: Beware Your Contradictions Tolstoy's new, simpler life was not, however, without its struggles and contradictions. Apart from the fact that he preached universal love yet was constantly fighting with his wife, the apostle of equality was never able to fully abandon his wealth and privileged lifestyle, and lived till old age in a grand house with servants. When he mooted the idea of giving away his estate to the peasants, his wife and children were furious, and he eventually backed down. But in the early 1890s he managed, against their wishes, to relinquish copyright to a huge portion of his literary works, in effect sacrificing a fortune. In his last years, when writers and journalists came to pay homage to the bearded sage, they were always surprised to find the world's most famous author chopping wood with some workers or making his own boots. Given the privileged position in which Tolstoy started life, his personal transformation, if not complete, still deserves our admiration. Lesson 6: Expand Your Social Circle The most essential lesson to take from Tolstoy is to follow his lead and recognize that the best way to challenge our assumptions and prejudices, and develop new ways of looking at the world, is to surround ourselves with people whose views and lifestyles differ from our own. That's why he ceased socializing in Moscow and spent so much time with laborers on the land. In Resurrection, Tolstoy pointed out that most people, whether they are wealthy businessmen, powerful politicians, or common thieves, consider their beliefs and way of life to be both admirable and ethical. "In order to keep up their view of life," he wrote, "these people instinctively 65 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 keep to the circle of those people who share their views of life and their own place in it." Cosseted within our peer group or social milieu, we may think it is perfectly normal and justifiable to own two homes, or to oppose same-sex marriage, or to bomb countries in the Middle East. We cannot see that such views may be perverse, unjust, or untrue because we are inside a circle of our own making, which constantly reinforces our worldview. If we want to question our beliefs and ideals, we need to follow the example of Tolstoy, spending time with people whose values and everyday experiences contrast with our own. Our task must be to journey beyond the perimeters of the circle.
Roman Krznaric is an Australian cultural thinker and cofounder of The School of Life in London. This post is based on his new book, How Should We Live? Great Ideas from the Past for Everyday Life.
66 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Video for the week Socrates on Self-Confidence - Philosophy: A Guide to Happiness http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=S24FxdvfOko
Book Page for the week 67 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Is Facebook Making Us Lonely? Phillip Toledano source: theatlantic.com Yvette Vickers, a former Playboy playmate and B-movie star, best known for her role in Attack of the 50 Foot Woman, would have been 83 last August, but nobody knows exactly how old she was when she died. According to the Los Angeles coroners report, she lay dead for the better part of a year before a neighbor and fellow actress, a woman named Susan Savage, noticed cobwebs and yellowing letters in her mailbox, reached through a broken window to unlock the door, and pushed her way through the piles of junk mail and mounds of clothing that barricaded the house. Upstairs, she found Vickerss body, mummified, near a heater that was still running. Her computer was on too, its glow permeating the empty space. The Los Angeles Times posted a story headlined Mummified Body of Former Playboy Playmate Yvette Vickers Found in Her Benedict Canyon Home, which quickly went viral. Within two weeks, by Technoratis count, Vickerss lonesome death was already the subject of 16,057 Facebook posts and 881 tweets. She had long been a horror-movie icon, a symbol of Hollywoods capacity to exploit our most basic fears in the silliest ways; now she was an icon of a new and different kind of horror: our growing fear of loneliness. Certainly she received much more attention in death than she did in the final years of her life. With no children, no religious group, and no immediate social circle of any kind, she had begun, as an elderly woman, to look elsewhere for companionship. Savage later told Los Angeles magazine that she had searched Vickerss phone bills for clues about the life that led to such an end. In the months before her grotesque 68 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 death, Vickers had made calls not to friends or family but to distant fans who had found her through fan conventions and Internet sites.
Vickerss web of connections had grown broader but shallower, as has happened for many of us. We are living in an isolation that would have been unimaginable to our ancestors, and yet we have never been more accessible. Over the past three decades, technology has delivered to us a world in which we need not be out of contact for a fraction of a moment. In 2010, at a cost of $300 million, 800 miles of fiber-optic cable was laid between the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange to shave three milliseconds off trading times. Yet within this world of instant and absolute communication, unbounded by limits of time or space, we suffer from unprecedented alienation. We have never been more detached from one another, or lonelier. In a world consumed by ever more novel modes of socializing, we have less and less actual society. We live in an accelerating contradiction: the more connected we become, the lonelier we are. We were promised a global village; instead we inhabit the drab cul-de-sacs and endless freeways of a vast suburb of information. At the forefront of all this unexpectedly lonely interactivity is Facebook, with 845 million users and $3.7 billion in revenue last year. The company hopes to raise $5 billion in an initial public offering later this spring, which will make it by far the largest Internet IPO in history. Some recent estimates put the companys potential value at $100 billion, which would make it larger than the global coffee industryone addiction preparing to surpass the other. Facebooks scale and reach are hard to comprehend: last summer, Facebook became, by some counts, the first Web site to receive 1 trillion page views in a month. In the last three months of 2011, users 69 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 generated an average of 2.7 billion likes and comments every day. On whatever scale you care to judge Facebookas a company, as a culture, as a countryit is vast beyond imagination. Despite its immense popularity, or more likely because of it, Facebook has, from the beginning, been under something of a cloud of suspicion. The depiction of Mark Zuckerberg, in The Social Network, as a bastard with symptoms of Aspergers syndrome, was nonsense. But it felt true. It felt true to Facebook, if not to Zuckerberg. The films most indelible scene, the one that may well have earned it an Oscar, was the final, silent shot of an anomic Zuckerberg sending out a friend request to his ex-girlfriend, then wai ti ng and cl i cki ng and wai ti ng and cl i cki nga moment of superconnected loneliness preserved in amber. We have all been in that scene: transfixed by the glare of a screen, hungering for response. When you sign up for Google+ and set up your Friends circle, the program specifies that you should include only your real friends, the ones you feel comfortable sharing private details with. That one little phrase, Your real friendsso quaint, so charmingly motheringperfectly encapsulates the anxieties that social media have produced: the fears that Facebook is interfering with our real friendships, distancing us from each other, making us lonelier; and that social networking might be spreading the very isolation it seemed designed to conquer. Facebook arrived in the middle of a dramatic increase in the quantity and intensity of human loneliness, a rise that initially made the sites promise of greater connection seem deeply attractive. Americans are more solitary than ever before. In 1950, less than 10 percent of American households contained only one person. By 2010, nearly 27 percent of households had just one person. Solitary living does not guarantee a life of unhappiness, of 70 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 course. In his recent book about the trend toward living alone, Eric Klinenberg, a sociologist at NYU, writes: Reams of published research show that its the quality, not the quantity of social interaction, that best predicts loneliness. True. But before we begin the fantasies of happily eccentric singledom, of divorces dropping by their knitting circles after work for glasses of Drew Barrymore pinot grigio, or recent college graduates with perfectly articulated, Steampunk-themed, 300-square-foot apartments organizing croquet matches with their book clubs, we should recognize that it is not just isolation that is rising sharply. Its loneliness, too. And loneliness makes us miserable. We know intuitively that loneliness and being alone are not the same thing. Solitude can be lovely. Crowded parties can be agony. We also know, thanks to a growing body of research on the topic, that loneliness is not a matter of external conditions; it is a psychological state. A 2005 analysis of data from a longitudinal study of Dutch twins showed that the tendency toward loneliness has roughly the same genetic component as other psychological problems such as neuroticism or anxiety. Still, loneliness is slippery, a difficult state to define or diagnose. The best tool yet developed for measuring the condition is the UCLA Loneliness Scale, a series of 20 questions that all begin with this formulation: How often do you feel ? As in: How often do you feel that you are in tune with the people around you? And: How often do you feel that you lack companionship? Measuring the condition in these terms, various studies have shown loneliness rising drastically over a very short period of recent history. A 2010 AARP survey found that 35 percent of adults older than 45 were chronically lonely, as opposed to 20 percent of a similar group only a decade earlier. According to a major study by a leading scholar of the 71 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 subject, roughly 20 percent of Americansabout 60 million peopleare unhappy with their lives because of loneliness. Across the Western world, physicians and nurses have begun to speak openly of an epidemic of loneliness. The new studies on loneliness are beginning to yield some surprising preliminary findings about its mechanisms. Almost every factor that one might assume affects loneliness does so only some of the time, and only under certain circumstances. People who are married are less lonely than single people, one journal article suggests, but only if their spouses are confidants. If ones spouse is not a confidant, marriage may not decrease loneliness. A belief in God might help, or it might not, as a 1990 German study comparing levels of religious feeling and levels of loneliness discovered. Active believers who saw God as abstract and helpful rather than as a wrathful, immediate presence were less lonely. The mere belief in God, the researchers concluded, was relatively independent of loneliness. But it is clear that social interaction matters. Loneliness and being alone are not the same thing, but both are on the rise. We meet fewer people. We gather less. And when we gather, our bonds are less meaningful and less easy. The decrease in confidantsthat is, in quality social connectionshas been dramatic over the past 25 years. In one survey, the mean size of networks of personal confidants decreased from 2.94 people in 1985 to 2.08 in 2004. Similarly, in 1985, only 10 percent of Americans said they had no one with whom to discuss important matters, and 15 percent said they had only one such good friend. By 2004, 25 percent had nobody to talk to, and 20 percent had only one confidant.
72 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 In the face of this social disintegration, we have essentially hired an army of replacement confidants, an entire class of professional carers. As Ronald Dworkin pointed out in a 2010 paper for the Hoover Institution, in the late 40s, the United States was home to 2,500 clinical psychologists, 30,000 social workers, and fewer than 500 marriage and family therapists. As of 2010, the country had 77,000 clinical psychologists, 192,000 clinical social workers, 400,000 nonclinical social workers, 50,000 marriage and family therapists, 105,000 mental-health counselors, 220,000 substance-abuse counselors, 17,000 nurse psychotherapists, and 30,000 life coaches. The majority of patients in therapy do not warrant a psychiatric diagnosis. This raft of psychic servants is helping us through what used to be called regular problems. We have outsourced the work of everyday caring. We need professional carers more and more, because the threat of societal breakdown, once principally a matter of nostalgic lament, has morphed into an issue of public health. Being lonely is extremely bad for your health. If youre lonely, youre more likely to be put in a geriatric home at an earlier age than a similar person who isnt lonely. Youre less likely to exercise. Youre more likely to be obese. Youre less likely to survive a serious operation and more likely to have hormonal imbalances. You are at greater risk of inflammation. Your memory may be worse. You are more likely to be depressed, to sleep badly, and to suffer dementia and general cognitive decline. Loneliness may not have killed Yvette Vickers, but it has been linked to a greater probability of having the kind of heart condition that did kill her. And yet, despite its deleterious effect on health, loneliness is one of the first things ordinary Americans spend their money achieving. With money, you flee the cramped city to a house in the suburbs or, if you can afford it, a 73 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 McMansion in the exurbs, inevitably spending more time in your car. Loneliness is at the American core, a by-product of a long-standing national appetite for independence: The Pilgrims who left Europe willingly abandoned the bonds and strictures of a society that could not accept their right to be different. They did not seek out loneliness, but they accepted it as the price of their autonomy. The cowboys who set off to explore a seemingly endless frontier likewise traded away personal ties in favor of pride and self-respect. The ultimate American icon is the astronaut: Who is more heroic, or more alone? The price of self-determination and self- reliance has often been loneliness. But Americans have always been willing to pay that price. Today, the one common feature in American secular culture is its celebration of the self that breaks away from the constrictions of the family and the state, and, in its greatest expressions, from all limits entirely. The great American poem is Whitmans Song of Myself. The great American essay is Emersons Self-Reliance. The great American novel is Melvilles Moby-Dick, the tale of a man on a quest so lonely that it is incomprehensible to those around him. American culture, high and low, is about self-expression and personal authenticity. Franklin Delano Roosevelt called individualism the great watchword of American life. Self-invention is only half of the American story, however. The drive for isolation has always been in tension with the impulse to cluster in communities that cling and suffocate. The Pilgrims, while fomenting spiritual rebellion, also enforced ferocious cohesion. The Salem witch trials, in hindsight, read like attempts to impose solidarityas do the McCarthy hearings. The history of the United States is like the famous parable of the porcupines in the cold, from Schopenhauers Studies in Pessimismthe 74 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 ones who huddle together for warmth and shuffle away in pain, always separating and congregating. We are now in the middle of a long period of shuffling away. In his 2000 book Bowling Alone, Robert D. Putnam attributed the dramatic post-war decline of social capitalthe strength and value of interpersonal networks to numerous interconnected trends in American life: suburban sprawl, televisions dominance over culture, the self-absorption of the Baby Boomers, the disintegration of the traditional family. The trends he observed continued through the prosperity of the aughts, and have only become more pronounced with time: the rate of union membership declined in 2011, again; screen time rose; the Masons and the Elks continued their slide into irrelevance. We are lonely because we want to be lonely. We have made ourselves lonely. The question of the future is this: Is Facebook part of the separating or part of the congregating; is it a huddling-together for warmth or a shuffling- away in pain? Well before Facebook, digital technology was enabling our tendency for isolation, to an unprecedented degree. Back in the 1990s, scholars started calling the contradiction between an increased opportunity to connect and a lack of human contact the Internet paradox. A prominent 1998 article on the phenomenon by a team of researchers at Carnegie Mellon showed that increased Internet usage was already coinciding with increased loneliness. Critics of the study pointed out that the two groups that participated in the studyhigh-school journalism students who were heading to university and socially active members of community- development boardswere statistically likely to become lonelier over time. 75 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Which brings us to a more fundamental question: Does the Internet make people lonely, or are lonely people more attracted to the Internet? The question has intensified in the Facebook era. A recent study out of Australia (where close to half the population is active on Facebook), titled Who Uses Facebook?, found a complex and sometimes confounding relationship between loneliness and social networking. Facebook users had slightly lower levels of social lonelinessthe sense of not feeling bonded with friendsbut significantly higher levels of family lonelinessthe sense of not feeling bonded with family. It may be that Facebook encourages more contact with people outside of our household, at the expense of our family relationshipsor it may be that people who have unhappy family relationships in the first place seek companionship through other means, including Facebook. The researchers also found that lonely people are inclined to spend more time on Facebook: One of the most noteworthy findings, they wrote, was the tendency for neurotic and lonely individuals to spend greater amounts of time on Facebook per day than non-lonely individuals. And they found that neurotics are more likely to prefer to use the wall, while extroverts tend to use chat features in addition to the wall. Moira Burke, until recently a graduate student at the Human-Computer Institute at Carnegie Mellon, used to run a longitudinal study of 1,200 Facebook users. That study, which is ongoing, is one of the first to step outside the realm of self-selected college students and examine the effects of Facebook on a broader population, over time. She concludes that the effect of Facebook depends on what you bring to it. Just as your mother said: you get out only what you put in. If you use Facebook to communicate directly with other individualsby using the like button, 76 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 commenting on friends posts, and so onit can increase your social capital. Personalized messages, or what Burke calls composed communication, are more satisfying than one-click communicationthe lazy click of a like. People who received composed communication became less lonely, while people who received one-click communication experienced no change in loneliness, Burke tells me. So, you should inform your friend in writing how charming her son looks with Harry Potter cake smeared all over his face, and how interesting her sepia-toned photograph of that tree-framed bit of skyline is, and how cool it is that shes at whatever concert she happens to be at. Thats what we all want to hear. Even better than sending a private Facebook message is the semi- public conversation, the kind of back-and-forth in which you half ignore the other people who may be listening in. People whose friends write to them semi-publicly on Facebook experience decreases in loneliness, Burke says. On the other hand, non-personalized use of Facebookscanning your friends status updates and updating the world on your own activities via your wall, or what Burke calls passive consumption and broadcasting correlates to feelings of disconnectedness. Its a lonely business, wandering the labyrinths of our friends and pseudo-friends projected identities, trying to figure out what part of ourselves we ought to project, who will listen, and what they will hear. According to Burke, passive consumption of Facebook also correlates to a marginal increase in depression. If two women each talk to their friends the same amount of time, but one of them spends more time reading about friends on Facebook as well, the one reading tends to grow slightly more depressed, Burke says. Her conclusion suggests that my sometimes unhappy reactions to Facebook may be more universal than I had realized. When I scroll through page after page of my friends descriptions of how accidentally eloquent their kids 77 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 are, and how their husbands are endearingly bumbling, and how theyre all about to eat a home-cooked meal prepared with fresh local organic produce bought at the farmers market and then go for a jog and maybe check in at the office because theyre so busy getting ready to hop on a plane for a week of luxury dogsledding in Lapland, I do grow slightly more miserable. A lot of other people doing the same thing feel a little bit worse, too. Still, Burkes research does not support the assertion that Facebook creates loneliness. The people who experience loneliness on Facebook are lonely away from Facebook, too, she points out; on Facebook, as everywhere else, correlation is not causation. The popular kids are popular, and the lonely skulkers skulk alone. Perhaps it says something about me that I think Facebook is primarily a platform for lonely skulking. I mention to Burke the widely reported study, conducted by a Stanford graduate student, that showed how believing that others have strong social networks can lead to feelings of depression. What does Facebook communicate, if not the impression of social bounty? Everybody else looks so happy on Facebook, with so many friends, that our own social networks feel emptier than ever in comparison. Doesnt that make people feel lonely? If people are reading about lives that are much better than theirs, two things can happen, Burke tells me. They can feel worse about themselves, or they can feel motivated. Burke will start working at Facebook as a data scientist this year. John Cacioppo, the director of the Center for Cognitive and Social Neuroscience at the University of Chicago, is the worlds leading expert on loneliness. In his landmark book, Loneliness, released in 2008, he revealed just how profoundly the epidemic of loneliness is affecting the basic 78 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 functions of human physiology. He found higher levels of epinephrine, the stress hormone, in the morning urine of lonely people. Loneliness burrows deep: When we drew blood from our older adults and analyzed their white cells, he writes, we found that loneliness somehow penetrated the deepest recesses of the cell to alter the way genes were being expressed. Loneliness affects not only the brain, then, but the basic process of DNA transcription. When you are lonely, your whole body is lonely. To Cacioppo, Internet communication allows only ersatz intimacy. Forming connections with pets or online friends or even God is a noble attempt by an obligatorily gregarious creature to satisfy a compelling need, he writes. But surrogates can never make up completely for the absence of the real thing. The real thing being actual people, in the flesh. When I speak to Cacioppo, he is refreshingly clear on what he sees as Facebooks effect on society. Yes, he allows, some research has suggested that the greater the number of Facebook friends a person has, the less lonely she is. But he argues that the impression this creates can be misleading. For the most part, he says, people are bringing their old friends, and feelings of loneliness or connectedness, to Facebook. The idea that a Web site could deliver a more friendly, interconnected world is bogus. The depth of ones social network outside Facebook is what determines the depth of ones social network within Facebook, not the other way around. Using social media doesnt create new social networks; it just transfers established networks from one platform to another. For the most part, Facebook doesnt destroy friendshipsbut it doesnt create them, either. In one experiment, Cacioppo looked for a connection between the loneliness of subjects and the relative frequency of their interactions via Facebook, chat rooms, online games, dating sites, and face-to-face 79 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 contact. The results were unequivocal. The greater the proportion of face- to-face interactions, the less lonely you are, he says. The greater the proportion of online interactions, the lonelier you are. Surely, I suggest to Cacioppo, this means that Facebook and the like inevitably make people lonelier. He disagrees. Facebook is merely a tool, he says, and like any tool, its effectiveness will depend on its user. If you use Facebook to increase face-to-face contact, he says, it increases social capital. So if social media let you organize a game of football among your friends, thats healthy. If you turn to social media instead of playing football, however, thats unhealthy. Facebook can be terrific, if we use it properly, Cacioppo continues. Its like a car. You can drive it to pick up your friends. Or you can drive alone. But hasnt the car increased loneliness? If cars created the suburbs, surely they also created isolation. Thats because of how we use cars, Cacioppo replies. How we use these technologies can lead to more integration, rather than more isolation. The problem, then, is that we invite loneliness, even though it makes us miserable. The history of our use of technology is a history of isolation desired and achieved. When the Great Atlantic and Pacific Tea Company opened its A&P stores, giving Americans self-service access to groceries, customers stopped having relationships with their grocers. When the telephone arrived, people stopped knocking on their neighbors doors. Social media bring this process to a much wider set of relationships. Researchers at the HP Social Computing Lab who studied the nature of peoples connections on Twitter came to a depressing, if not surprising, conclusion: Most of the links declared within Twitter were meaningless 80 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 from an interaction point of view. I have to wonder: What other point of view is meaningful? Loneliness is certainly not something that Facebook or Twitter or any of the lesser forms of social media is doing to us. We are doing it to ourselves. Casting technology as some vague, impersonal spirit of history forcing our actions is a weak excuse. We make decisions about how we use our machines, not the other way around. Every time I shop at my local grocery store, I am faced with a choice. I can buy my groceries from a human being or from a machine. I always, without exception, choose the machine. Its faster and more efficient, I tell myself, but the truth is that I prefer not having to wait with the other customers who are lined up alongside the conveyor belt: the hipster mom who disapproves of my high-carbon- footprint pineapple; the lady who tenses to the point of tears while she waits to see if the gods of the credit-card machine will accept or decline; the old man whose clumsy feebleness requires a patience that I dont possess. Much better to bypass the whole circus and just ring up the groceries myself. Our omnipresent new technologies lure us toward increasingly superficial connections at exactly the same moment that they make avoiding the mess of human interaction easy. The beauty of Facebook, the source of its power, is that it enables us to be social while sparing us the embarrassing reality of societythe accidental revelations we make at parties, the awkward pauses, the farting and the spilled drinks and the general gaucherie of face-to-face contact. Instead, we have the lovely smoothness of a seemingly social machine. Everythings so simple: status updates, pictures, your wall.
81 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 But the price of this smooth sociability is a constant compulsion to assert ones own happiness, ones own fulfillment. Not only must we contend with the social bounty of others; we must foster the appearance of our own social bounty. Being happy all the time, pretending to be happy, actually attempting to be happyits exhausting. Last year a team of researchers led by Iris Mauss at the University of Denver published a study looking into the paradoxical effects of valuing happiness. Most goals in life show a direct correlation between valuation and achievement. Studies have found, for example, that students who value good grades tend to have higher grades than those who dont value them. Happiness is an exception. The study came to a disturbing conclusion: Valuing happiness is not necessarily linked to greater happiness. In fact, under certain conditions, the opposite is true. Under conditions of low (but not high) life stress, the more people valued happiness, the lower were their hedonic balance, psychological well-being, and life satisfaction, and the higher their depression symptoms. The more you try to be happy, the less happy you are. Sophocles made roughly the same point. Facebook, of course, puts the pursuit of happiness front and center in our digital life. Its capacity to redefine our very concepts of identity and personal fulfillment is much more worrisome than the data-mining and privacy practices that have aroused anxieties about the company. Two of the most compelling critics of Facebookneither of them a Luddite concentrate on exactly this point. Jaron Lanier, the author of You Are Not a Gadget, was one of the inventors of virtual-reality technology. His view of where social media are taking us reads like dystopian science fiction: I fear that we are beginning to design ourselves to suit digital models of us, and I 82 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 worry about a leaching of empathy and humanity in that process. Lanier argues that Facebook imprisons us in the business of self-presenting, and this, to his mind, is the sites crucial and fatally unacceptable downside. Sherry Turkle, a professor of computer culture at MIT who in 1995 published the digital-positive analysis Life on the Screen, is much more skeptical about the effects of online society in her 2011 book, Alone Together: These days, insecure in our relationships and anxious about intimacy, we look to technology for ways to be in relationships and protect ourselves from them at the same time. The problem with digital intimacy is that it is ultimately incomplete: The ties we form through the Internet are not, in the end, the ties that bind. But they are the ties that preoccupy, she writes. We dont want to intrude on each other, so instead we constantly intrude on each other, but not in real time. Lanier and Turkle are right, at least in their diagnoses. Self-presentation on Facebook is continuous, intensely mediated, and possessed of a phony nonchalance that eliminates even the potential for spontaneity. (Look how casually I threw up these three photos from the party at which I took 300 photos!) Curating the exhibition of the self has become a 24/7 occupation. Perhaps not surprisingly, then, the Australian study Who Uses Facebook? found a significant correlation between Facebook use and narcissism: Facebook users have higher levels of total narcissism, exhibitionism, and leadership than Facebook nonusers, the studys authors wrote. In fact, it could be argued that Facebook specifically gratifies the narcissistic individuals need to engage in self-promoting and superficial behavior.
83 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Rising narcissism isnt so much a trend as the trend behind all other trends. In preparation for the 2013 edition of its diagnostic manual, the psychiatric profession is currently struggling to update its definition of narcissistic personality disorder. Still, generally speaking, practitioners agree that narcissism manifests in patterns of fantastic grandiosity, craving for attention, and lack of empathy. In a 2008 survey, 35,000 American respondents were asked if they had ever had certain symptoms of narcissistic personality disorder. Among people older than 65, 3 percent reported symptoms. Among people in their 20s, the proportion was nearly 10 percent. Across all age groups, one in 16 Americans has experienced some symptoms of NPD. And loneliness and narcissism are intimately connected: a longitudinal study of Swedish women demonstrated a strong link between levels of narcissism in youth and levels of loneliness in old age. The connection is fundamental. Narcissism is the flip side of loneliness, and either condition is a fighting retreat from the messy reality of other people. A considerable part of Facebooks appeal stems from its miraculous fusion of distance with intimacy, or the illusion of distance with the illusion of intimacy. Our online communities become engines of self-image, and self- image becomes the engine of community. The real danger with Facebook is not that it allows us to isolate ourselves, but that by mixing our appetite for isolation with our vanity, it threatens to alter the very nature of solitude. The new isolation is not of the kind that Americans once idealized, the lonesomeness of the proudly nonconformist, independent-minded, solitary stoic, or that of the astronaut who blasts into new worlds. Facebooks isolation is a grind. Whats truly staggering about Facebook usage is not its volume750 million photographs uploaded over a single weekendbut the constancy of the performance it demands. More than half its users 84 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 and one of every 13 people on Earth is a Facebook userlog on every day. Among 18-to-34-year-olds, nearly half check Facebook minutes after waking up, and 28 percent do so before getting out of bed. The relentlessness is what is so new, so potentially transformative. Facebook never takes a break. We never take a break. Human beings have always created elaborate acts of self-presentation. But not all the time, not every morning, before we even pour a cup of coffee. Yvette Vickerss computer was on when she died. Nostalgia for the good old days of disconnection would not just be pointless, it would be hypocritical and ungrateful. But the very magic of the new machines, the efficiency and elegance with which they serve us, obscures what isnt being served: everything that matters. What Facebook has revealed about human natureand this is not a minor revelationis that a connection is not the same thing as a bond, and that instant and total connection is no salvation, no ticket to a happier, better world or a more liberated version of humanity. Solitude used to be good for self- reflection and self-reinvention. But now we are left thinking about who we are all the time, without ever really thinking about who we are. Facebook denies us a pleasure whose profundity we had underestimated: the chance to forget about ourselves for a while, the chance to disconnect. Stephen Marche, a novelist, writes a monthly column for Esquire. Naturally, you can friend him on Facebook or follow him on Twitter.
85 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Climbing Mount Immortality: Death, Cognition and the Making of Civilization By Michael Shermer Image: Illustration by Mark Jarman Imagine yourself dead. What picture comes to mind? Your funeral with a casket surrounded by family and friends? Complete darkness and void? In either case, you are still conscious and observing the scene. In reality, you can no more envision what it is like to be dead than you can visualize yourself before you were born. Death is cognitively nonexistent, and yet we know it is real because every one of the 100 billion people who lived before us is gone. As Christopher Hitchens told an audience I was in shortly before his death, Im dying, but so are all of you. Reality check. In his book Immortality: The Quest to Live Forever and How It Drives Civilization (Crown, 2012), British philosopher and Financial Times essayist 86 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 Stephen Cave calls this the Mortality Paradox. Death therefore presents itself as both inevitable and impossible, Cave suggests. We see it all around us, and yet it involves the end of consciousness, and we cannot consciously simulate what it is like to not be conscious. The attempt to resolve the paradox has led to four immortality narratives: Staying alive: Like all living systems, we strive to avoid death. The dream of doing so foreverphysically, in this worldis the most basic of immortality narratives. Resurrection: The belief that, although we must physically die, nonetheless we can physically rise again with the bodies we knew in life. Soul: The dream of surviving as some kind of spiritual entity. Legacy: More indirect ways of extending ourselves into the future such as glory, reputation, historical impact or children. All four fail to deliver everlasting life. Science is nowhere near reengineering the body to stay alive beyond 120 years. Both religious and scientific forms of resurrecting your body succumb to the Transformation Problem (how could you be reassembled just as you were and yet this time be invulnerable to disease and death?) and the Duplication Problem (how would duplicates be different from twins?). Even if DigiGod made a perfect copy of you at the end of time, Case conjectures, it would be exactly that: a copy, an entirely new person who just happened to have the same memories and beliefs as you. The soul hypothesis has been slain by neuroscience showing that the mind (consciousness, memory and personality patterns representing you) cannot exist without the brain. When the brain dies of injury, stroke, dementia or Alzheimers, the mind dies with it. No brain, no mind; no body, no soul.
87 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking Weekly Read Compilation December 15, 2013 That leaves us with the legacy narrative, of which Woody Allen quipped: "I dont want to achieve immortality through my work; I want to achieve it by not dying." Nevertheless, Cave argues that legacy is the driving force behind works of art, music, literature, science, culture, architecture and other artifacts of civilization. How? Because of something called Terror Management Theory. Awareness of ones mortality focuses the mind to create and produce to avoid the terror that comes from confronting the mortality paradox that would otherwise, in the words of the theorys proponentspsychologists Sheldon Solomon, Jeff Greenberg and Tom Pyszczynskireduce people to twitching blobs of biological protoplasm completely perfused with anxiety and unable to effectively respond to the demands of their immediate surroundings. Maybe, but human behavior is multivariate in causality, and fear of death is only one of many drivers of creativity and productivity. A baser evolutionary driver is sexual selection, in which organisms from bowerbirds to brainy bohemians engage in the creative production of magnificent works with the express purpose of attracting matesfrom big blue bowerbird nests to big-brained orchestral music, epic poems, stirring literature and even scientific discoveries. As well argued by evolutionary psychologist Geoffrey Miller in The Mating Mind (Anchor, 2001), those that do so most effectively leave behind more offspring and thus pass on their creative genes to future generations. As Hitchens once told me, mastering the pen and the podium means never having to dine or sleep alone. Given the improbability of the first three immortality narratives, making a difference in the world in the form of a legacy that changes lives for the better is the highest we can climb up Mount Immortality, but on a clear day you can see forever. 88 Forum for Multidisciplinary Thinking