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  • Schatz For Senate MoveOn Polling

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    MoveOn_org
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    Polling commissioned by MoveOn.org Political Action for the upcoming Democratic primary race in Hawaii. UPDATE 7/29/14: We've received some questions about whether this survey was a "push poll," in which respondents are given information about candidates before being asked which candidate they support. The short answer is, no. Lake Research Partners designed the survey to give us as accurate a picture as possible of where likely voters actually stand. The "initial ballot" question referred to in the polling memo, in which 40 percent of respondents indicated they support Sen. Schatz and 33 percent indicated they support Rep. Hanabusa, reflects responses to the following question, which was asked before respondents were provided any information about the candidates: *********** "As you may know, one of the primary elections that will be held this August is for the United States Senate. Thinking about the DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY election for U.S. SENATE, if the election were held today, and the candidates were Brian Evans Colleen Hanabusa Brian Schatz for whom would you vote, or are you undecided? [IF CANDIDATE:] Would you say you support that candidate strongly or not so strongly? [IF UNDECIDED:] Well, toward whom do you lean?" *********** This was a straightforward question; it did not contain leading language.

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    Schatz for Senate MoveOn polling

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    Polling commissioned by MoveOn.org Political Action for the upcoming Democratic primary race in Hawaii. UPDATE 7/29/14: We've received some questions about whether this survey was a "push poll," in which respondents are given information about candidates before being asked which candidate they support. The short answer is, no. Lake Research Partners designed the survey to give us as accurate a picture as possible of where likely voters actually stand. The "initial ballot" question referred to in the polling memo, in which 40 percent of respondents indicated they support Sen. Schatz and 33 percent indicated they support Rep. Hanabusa, reflects responses to the following question, which was asked before respondents were provided any information about the candidates: *********** "As you may know, one of the primary elections that will be held this August is for the United States Senate. Thinking about the DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY election for U.S. SENATE, if the election were held today, and the candidates were Brian Evans Colleen Hanabusa Brian Schatz for whom would you vote, or are you undecided? [IF CANDIDATE:] Would you say you support that candidate strongly or not so strongly? [IF UNDECIDED:] Well, toward whom do you lean?" *********** This was a straightforward question; it did not contain leading language.

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    257 просмотров1 страница

    Schatz For Senate MoveOn Polling

    Загружено:

    MoveOn_org
    Polling commissioned by MoveOn.org Political Action for the upcoming Democratic primary race in Hawaii. UPDATE 7/29/14: We've received some questions about whether this survey was a "push poll," in which respondents are given information about candidates before being asked which candidate they support. The short answer is, no. Lake Research Partners designed the survey to give us as accurate a picture as possible of where likely voters actually stand. The "initial ballot" question referred to in the polling memo, in which 40 percent of respondents indicated they support Sen. Schatz and 33 percent indicated they support Rep. Hanabusa, reflects responses to the following question, which was asked before respondents were provided any information about the candidates: *********** "As you may know, one of the primary elections that will be held this August is for the United States Senate. Thinking about the DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY election for U.S. SENATE, if the election were held today, and the candidates were Brian Evans Colleen Hanabusa Brian Schatz for whom would you vote, or are you undecided? [IF CANDIDATE:] Would you say you support that candidate strongly or not so strongly? [IF UNDECIDED:] Well, toward whom do you lean?" *********** This was a straightforward question; it did not contain leading language.

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    из 1

    Lake Research Partners

    To: Ilya Sheyman and Nick Berning, MoveOn.org



    From: Celinda Lake, David Mermin, and Liesl Newton

    Date: July 22, 2014

    Re: Hawaii Senate Race polling results


    Our recent poll of likely Democratic primary voters in Hawaii
    1
    shows
    Brian Schatz in a good position to win the primary election this August.
    On an initial ballot, he leads Colleen Hanabusa by 7 points. After voters
    hear messages on both candidates, his lead grows to 13 points.


    Schatz is more popular than Hanabusa (+48 vs. +36 net favorable), and
    voters give him higher ratings for his performance in office (+33 vs. +22
    net positive). Hawaii voters are also deeply concerned with Hanabusas
    record of using her office for personal gain. A message describing
    Hanabusas advocacy for a raise in her own pay and another referencing an
    inappropriate quid pro quo with pharmaceutical lobbyists each raise
    serious doubts for 38% of voters.

    Schatzs popularity, voters respect for his record, and his momentum in
    this race put him in a clear position to win this August.

    *****
    For more information about this research, please contact Celinda Lake by
    e-mail (clake@lakeresearch.com) or by phone (202-776-9066).

    1
    Lake Research Partners conducted a telephone survey of 613 likely 2014 Democratic primary election
    voters in Hawaii, including oversamples of 75 Filipinos and 48 voters under 30. The survey was conducted
    from June 10-16, 2014 and the margin of error for the base sample is +/- 4.2%.
    40
    33
    3
    22
    42
    29
    6
    21
    30
    25
    32
    21
    Schatz Hanabusa Evans Und/DK Schatz Hanabusa Evans Und/DK
    Initial Ballot Final Ballot
    Celinda Lake
    President

    Alysia Snell
    Partner

    David Mermin
    Partner

    Robert G. Meadow,
    Ph.D.
    Partner

    Daniel R. Gotoff
    Partner

    Joshua E. Ulibarri
    Partner

    Robert X. Hillman
    Chief Financial
    Officer



    +7
    +13

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