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Hoylake RSQ

Prob.

Culmulative
0.05
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.05

Time Between calls


0
0.15
0.45
0.75
0.95
1

Average Time Between Calls


2.56
EV Between Calls
3.65

The results are different because not enough trials were


conducted.

Trials
1
2
3
4
5
6

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51

Random
0.80
0.77
0.15
0.57
0.94
0.81
0.08
0.89
0.03
0.30
0.44
0.32
0.46
0.09
0.08
0.88
0.14
0.17
0.29
0.30
0.40
0.07
0.12
0.78
0.73
0.27
0.42
0.96
0.42
0.04
0.03
0.85
0.97
0.28
0.94
0.81
0.13
0.00
0.93
0.22
0.19
0.90
0.23
0.28
0.51
0.87
0.52
0.88
0.17
0.02
0.14

52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72

0.34
0.05
0.51
0.63
0.45
0.92
0.14
0.25
0.87
0.64
0.32
0.45
0.89
0.47
0.23
0.81
0.86
0.04
0.59
0.81
0.35

Time Between Calls


4
4
1
3
4
4
1
4
1
2
2
2
3
1
1
4
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
4
3
2
2
5
2
1
1
4
5
2
4
4
1
1
4
2
2
4
2
2
3
4
3
4
2
1
1

2
1
3
3
3
4
1
2
4
3
2
2
4
3
2
4
4
1
3
4
2

Petroco service
Simulation

Probability

0.15
0.3
0.4
0.15

Cumulative
0
0.15
0.45
0.85

1
a. Avg Arrival time
b. Avg. arrival time
Compare a. and b.

2.45
2.57692308

Time
between
arrival (min)
1
2
3
4

Counts
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

RN
0.403580833
0.037514124
0.627522044
0.040898304
0.829678264
0.395555285
0.34348561
0.927056397
0.603672393
0.239051391
0.734186193
0.262214873
0.690779889
0.836571192
0.239203943
0.499904172
0.095374314
0.903229625
0.726203011
0.420149073

B11 and B12 are different, because they are based on different streams of random numbers.

Time between calls


2
1
3
1
3
2
2
4
3
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
1
4
3
2

RN
0.860758432
0.966642924
0.059827333
0.00661776
0.284712632
0.331881931
0.628073817
0.089981899
0.5673527
0.248234283
0.446704146
0.636700726
0.533158073
0.218137225
0.802423086
0.320883031
0.033674342
0.861772115
0.957934724
0.479282249
0.811197697
0.89126465
0.143580179
0.69165495
0.501389693
0.535601169

Time between calls


4
4
1
1
2
2
3
1
3
2
2
3
3
2
3
2
1
4
4
3
3
4
1
3
3
3

Cumulative clock
4
8
9
10
12
14
17
18
21
23
25
28
31
33
36
38
39
43
47
50
53
57
58
61
64
67

Dynaco Manufacturing Company

Probability

Cumulative Prob
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.05

0
0.2
0.4
0.65
0.95
1

Machine Breakdowns per week


0
1
2
3
4
5

Average machines broken down per week


1.55

Count

Rand
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.13
0.02
0.78
0.49
0.97
0.40
0.26
0.72
0.77
0.98
0.10
0.28
0.11
0.38
0.33
0.26
0.24
0.29
0.57
0.48

Break Downs per Week


0
0
3
2
4
1
1
3
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2

Umbrellas
Prob
0
0.225
0.4225

Average Umbrella Profit


5

Sunvisor is the best Choice

Umbrella Profit
0
2000
-900

Weeks

Rand
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.77
0.15
0.42
0.43
0.51
0.85
0.68
0.92
0.35
0.51
0.48
0.27
0.17
0.87
0.34
0.28
0.09
0.79
0.15
0.81

Umbrella Profit
-900
0
2000
-900
-900
-900
-900
-900
2000
-900
-900
2000
0
-900
2000
2000
0
-900
0
-900

Visors
Prob
0
0.225
0.4225

Visor Profit
-200
-500
1500

Average Visor Profit


475

Weeks

Rand
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.32
0.77
0.10
0.98
0.59
0.94
0.28
0.20
0.27
0.73
0.28
0.30
0.76
0.29
0.03
0.93
0.55
0.00
0.63
0.21

Visor Profit
-500
1500
-200
1500
1500
1500
-500
-200
-500
1500
-500
-500
1500
-500
-200
1500
1500
-200
1500
-200

Dynco Repair
Weeks

Probability
0.3
0.5
0.2

Average

Repair Time
1
2
3

Rand
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.47
0.79
0.96
0.44
0.36
0.81
0.29
0.52
0.11
0.13
0.88
0.96
0.60
0.32
0.90
0.22
0.65
0.36
0.22
0.71

Repair Time
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
2
3
3
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
1
3
2

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