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Sign of increased stress in the paper money arena are deeply troubling. The longer that the application of the soothing balm of gold is delayed, the harder and more painful the transition will be. The usual exacerbation of external problems to distract from rising internal dissatisfaction has begun.
Sign of increased stress in the paper money arena are deeply troubling. The longer that the application of the soothing balm of gold is delayed, the harder and more painful the transition will be. The usual exacerbation of external problems to distract from rising internal dissatisfaction has begun.
Sign of increased stress in the paper money arena are deeply troubling. The longer that the application of the soothing balm of gold is delayed, the harder and more painful the transition will be. The usual exacerbation of external problems to distract from rising internal dissatisfaction has begun.
The Gold Standard The journal of The Gold Standard Institute
Editor Philip Barton Regular contributors Rudy Fritsch Keith Weiner Sebastian Younan Occasional contributors Thomas Bachheimer Ronald Stoeferle Publius John Butler Charles Vollum
The Gold Standard Institute
The purpose of the Institute is to promote an unadulterated Gold Standard
www.goldstandardinstitute.net
President Philip Barton President Europe Thomas Bachheimer President USA Keith Weiner President Australia Sebastian Younan Editor-in-Chief Rudy Fritsch
Membership Levels
Annual Member US$100 per year Lifetime Member US$3,500 Gold Member US$15,000 Gold Knight US$350,000 Annual Corporate Member US$2,000 Contents Editorial ........................................................................... 1 News ................................................................................. 2 Gold Standard - The way to liberty ............................. 2 Indian Government Games in Gold ........................... 3 Do Bank Notes Cease Representing Merchandise? .. 5 Gold... Monetary Utopia?.............................................. 6 The National Debt Cannot Be Paid Off .................... 7
Editorial Signs of increased stress in the paper money arena are deeply troubling. The currencies of Russia, Turkey, Venezuela, India, Argentina (of course) and many others are under pressure. Their situation is not unimportant to the rest of the world; all paper monies are connected to one degree or another. The longer that the application of the soothing balm of gold is delayed, the harder and more painful the transition will be. The usual exacerbation of external problems to distract from rising internal dissatisfaction has begun. Bellicose and jingoistic rhetoric coming out of China, Japan, South Korea and the Philippines on who owns what island, and thus who has claims to the oil and fishing rights, may or may not amount to anything, but it preoccupies thought as intended. None of them have anything to really gain by military adventures, but posturing can sometimes get out of hand. That would be disaster heaped upon disaster. Japans worsening economic, monetary and demographic problems, compounded by its on-going nuclear nightmare, cast doubt on its willingness to act prudently. Chinas militaristic rumblings and Japanese PM Abes visit to a controversial war shrine were both guaranteed to up the stakes. Thailand is in a supressed state of civil war. Gunfire has been reported as mass protests again erupt against the corruption of the Shinawatra clan. If guns are used to protest against such run-of-the-mill matters as political corruption, what will happen when the real problem manifests? Asia is looking very fragile, and Australia, which has worked hard to integrate itself into the neighbourhood cultures, is looking with apprehension beyond its northern borders. And then there is MENA, the Eurozone and the US. Those breathlessly hoping for gold to go to the moon are sadly misinformed about the nature of what is happening. There will be no winners, just some, maybe, who lose less than others. Philip Barton The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 2
News Wirtschaftsblatt.at: Thomas Bachheimer Wir sind der Tahrir-Platz der Geldpolitik
Zero Hedge: Bitcoin, Gold and the Quantity of Money
You Tube: Revolutionary development for the future of gold
You Tube: Gold being dissolved in Aqua Regia yes it can be recovered
Gold Eagle: China increases its official gold reserves
The Peninsula Qatar: Qatar increases gold reserves
Mineweb: Gold preferred in India because of its stable nature
Daily Mail: First gold coin struck in the US (1787) going to auction
Forbes: Laws against Predatory Lenders Keith Weiner
Reuters: Deutsche bank to withdraw from gold, silver fix
Peak Prosperity: The Aurum another possibility for gold circulation. Deccan Herald: Indian central planners pull the rug out from jewellery exports by over 50% for the last six months of 2013
Value Walk: How gold differs from all other commodities Fabrice Drouin Ristori
CNBC: HSBC in trouble? Gold Standard - The way to liberty History has countless manifestations of monetary policies. Even the royal houses of the Middle Ages used their power to change the nature of money to their advantage - and mostly to dilute. They could not resist the temptation to finance too costly ventures and projects through indirect ways. Gold and silver coins were added to less valuable metals, the citizens were therefore consequently - not directly violent, but still subjected to violence put underneath a creeping expropriation. What the royal houses arranged caused back then, is now sealed in another form behind the walls of central banks. The phantom of inflation strolls around more quietly than ever before. It is no longer necessary to start the proverbial printing presses. The German Reichsbank faced a shortage of paper, partially due to its inflationary monetary policy, which would erode not only the money of the Weimar Republic, but also the young democracy. Today's central bankers do not have to worry anymore about this issue. Money has long been digitized, it has become a mere booking line. Thus, the hardest, but in any case quietest of all taxes, was made even more abstract. At its core, however, there is little difference between the behavior of the medieval potentates in financial distress and those of our central banks today. Power and non-transparent decision-making processes provide the opportunity to undermine the value of money and thus the stability of society at any era. The economies of the former Deutsche Mark block are faced with the effects of expansionary monetary policy to a great The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 3
extent. The maxim of price stability was abandoned in favor of political visions. The European Central Bank shook off the legacy of the Deutsche Bundesbank, should the ECB actually ever have carried on this legacy to begin with. State budgets can be understood as figures that are reflecting policies. Ever since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the monetary value of the monetary union itself became a political issue. The gravitation of market forces has been eliminated in favor of a new interventionism on the part of the European System of Central Banks, and annulled presumably at least with the quiet acceptance of European governments. Liberalism is on the decline and is gradually being replaced by an institutionalism that is in its nature socialistically stained. Collectivistic centralism won one victory after another against liberal federalism. Both parallel developments lead to a substantial shift that provides food for thought. During the financial crisis, the ECB accumulated a multiple of its intended power. Democratically legitimized parliaments receded to the same extent into the background. The sovereignty over the budget, the key right of a state, was passed on to the European Stability Mechanism. An organization that is equally influential as it is anonymous. The liberal thinker Friedrich August von Hayek warned in his book "The Road to Serfdom" strongly against overpowering bureaucracy and the accumulation of power. The sum of conglomerated power is greater than the power of its individual parts. The criminal acts of the collective dictatorships of fascism, nazism and communism were apparent in their overall fatality, in the context of the development of his work. Consequently, history would have to be understood as a plea for a maximized liberal and decentralized political system, to permanently bury a terrifying vision of a totalitarian state and a totalitarian society. Of course, the executive board of the ECB shall not be compared with any supporting figures of dictatorial systems But the hubris that must be hidden behind a conviction that wants to confront the failure of the state and its organs by expanding its powers and possibilities for economic control, can barely be imagined. In his late work The Fatal Conceit - The Errors of Socialism Hayek quoted a famous statement by Carl Mengers , who describes the essence of our democracy today crisis accurately: "Why do Institutions that serve common welfare and are most significant for the development of the same, arise without a justification within the collective will? A de-politicization of money and thus the return to all its facets as a store of value and means of exchange, would be beneficial for a broad minded- liberal society rather than a centrally - doctrinaire social order. The gold standard of a currency captures the otherwise nearly limitless power of politics and thereby gives people freedom. Wolfgang Schwetz Wolfgang is the author of Freiheit und Gold Reale Werte fr sterreich (Freedom and Gold Real Value of Austria). It is being released this month. Wolfgang is studying national economics at the University of Vienna. Despite his clear mind being washed by pure Keynsian academic BS, he is a follower of Austrian School economics and has become a real admirer of gold and the gold standard. Since 2008 Wolfgang has been a Parliamentarian secretary at the Austrian Freedom Party. Indian Government Games in Gold In a 24 hour period, around the 28 th January 2014, a flurry of news reports from India caught ones eye. The first of these news reports, was the claim by globally known Indian Finance Minister, CP Chidambaram (who seems to have now dropped the C from his name), that Gold smuggling into India amounted to as high as 3,000kg per month, in certain months. This figure equates to 3 metric tons per month. An initial thought on this revelation, is that Mr. Chidambaram has pulled this figure from his plump derriere. Obviously, smugglers do not fill out government importation forms at the border, to help the government keep an account of how much gold is being smuggled into the country. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 4
A second thought was that perhaps Mr. Chidambarams good fellas in the Indian gold industry tipped him off, with the figure of 3,000kg per month, since that is the figure that they allow the legitimate gold & gem dealers of India to have from them? Since, this low tonnage would allow CPs good fellas to continue wrenching the extortion like premiums for physical gold sold in India from the gold & gem dealers of India. Either way, ones wild guess, is that this figure is severely underestimated by CP, purely due to political expediency. CP cant be seen to be absolutely irrelevant, with regards to reducing gold smuggling tonnage into India, both by the rest of the Indian citizenry, and by his banker masters in the West. It is a fact, that CPs government hiked gold import duties by 150%, from 4% to 10%, in very short time during the course of 2013, in their illusory fight to tame the Indian Current Account Deficit (CAD). It is illusory because the largest component making up the Indian CAD is not gold, but energy, namely crude oil, and various petroleum products. If one were serious about taming a runaway CAD, one would strike at that, which is the largest component of it. It is also a fact, that when it comes to physical gold, Indian demand is traditionally a major absorber of global supply from the mines, and from scrap. Estimates have it that between India & China, those two countries take around 4 out of 5 troy ounces offered in the physical market globally. It is no coincidence, that the April & late June 2013 precious metals price smashes, were also met with the throttling of Indian citizen demand, by CPs 150% increase in Indias gold import duty. This act alone, removed much of the Indian citizen demand, which is crucial to the gold markets ability to absorb global physical supply. Say what you will about smuggling numbers into India being larger than 3 tons per month, it would be nave to pretend that a 150% increase in import duties would not have had an effect in denting the Indian citizens ability to absorb or overwhelm supply. With Indian citizens offline with regards to global gold demand, the risk to the gold price manipulators, from smashing the price in April & late June 2013, was minimised. The second news report, was a fawning praise of the Indian governments & the RBIs (Reserve Bank of India) raising of their short term rate by 0.25%, as this action would show the RBIs persistence to bring in price stability. This brown nosing praise comes in the wake of the Indian Rupee losing about 20% of its purchasing power against the US dollar in the past year Price stability indeed! In late August 2013, the Rupee had lost 30% against the US dollar in the first 8 months of that year. Surely, the latest 0.25% increase in Indias short term rate would compensate for a 20%-30% loss in the currency over the past year? One could not make this stuff up. The third news report was the carrot, to the 150% gold import duty hike stick. It was the promise by CP that with the CAD now tamed at 2.5% of GDP, thanks to his government & the RBIs persistence to bring in price stability, that by March 2014, CP will look into reducing gold import duties. Not will reduce gold import duties, but merely the promise that he will look into itnot now, but in March. Why in March and not now? The Indian elections are in April. The political party of CP, and his cohorts, including the RBI are worried about the outcome of that election, particularly about how well their main rival, Narendra Modi, will do. Modi is pro-gold, pro-industry, and governs the state of Gujarat, with an unemployment rate of about 1- 1.5%. He will reduce Indias gold import duty back to previous norms if he surviveserrif hes elected. From these 3 news reports, it is interesting to see the games that the incumbent Indian government & central bank plays in the gold market, all for the ultimate aim of retaining power for themselves, and appeasing their Western bullion banking brethren, at the expense of the Indian gold buying citizenry, as well as the global gold buying citizenry or what little of it remains in the West. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 5
Caravan of Thought Do Bank Notes Cease Representing Merchandise? Under the gold standard, banks often use bank notes to buy real bills of exchange. 1 That is, banks convert real bills of exchange (commercial credit money) into bank notes (bank credit money). Thus, these bank notes represent the merchandise that the bill represents. Many opponents of the real bills doctrine admit that when a bill is converted into bank notes, these bank notes represent the merchandise represented by the bill. However, they also claim that as these bank notes pass to other hands, this representation is lost. They represent merchandise to the person receiving them via selling the bill to the bank. However, when the person to whom the bank gives the bank notes spends them, these bank notes cease representing merchandise. They are now merely currency representing nothing neither merchandise nor specie. This is true even though these bank notes are convertible in gold or merchandise. (If these opponents of the real bills doctrine are consistent, the same argument is true when a person sells gold to a bank for bank notes, i.e., converts specie to bank notes. These bank notes represent gold to the person receiving the bank notes from the bank. However, when he spends the bank notes, these bank notes cease representing gold and began representing nothing although they can be used to buy gold from the issuing bank [redeemed] or merchandise in the markets.) To the contrary, these bank notes continue to represent merchandise no matter how often they are spent or how many hands through which they pass. That duty is never discharged until they are returned to the issuing bank. Then they are retired. All bank notes not lost eventually return to the issuing bank.
1 Most of the time banks buy real bills of exchange by crediting the sellers checking account with the amount of the purchase. This checkbook money is functionally the same as bank notes. They are both forms of bank credit money. Both represent merchandise. The only real difference is that bank notes often pass through more hands before returning to the issuing bank for cancellation. Bank notes issued for a particular bill may continue to circulate for months after that bill has been paid and extinguished. However, that does not make these bank notes inflationary. An equivalent amount of purchasing media (gold, other bank notes, or checkbook money) has been removed from circulation to pay the bill. Opponents of the real bills doctrine who use this argument never describe the process by which bank notes cease representing merchandise. They do not because they cannot. They cannot because bank notes never cease representing merchandise. To do so, they have to transmute bank notes from something into nothing. Much of the confusing about bank notes comes from observing the actions of government notes and nonconvertible bank notes issued by a central bank for its government. These notes are not tied to merchandise and do not represent merchandise. They represent nothing except the governments credit, i.e., the governments ability to force its subjects to surrender their property to it, commonly called the governments ability to tax. Because no relationship exists between government notes and new goods entering the markets, government notes are inflationary. (Under the real bills doctrine, bank notes are directly tied to new goods entering the markets and can only increase as the quantity of new goods increase.) Being inconvertible, government notes lack quality and trade at a discount to gold coin. Additional confusion comes from observing bank notes issued by banks that have suspended convertibility. All the checks offered by convertibility are lost. Banks can over issue bank notes deliberately (e.g., buying treasury bills and bills of accommodation) or accidently (e.g., buying bills that are not paid). Like government notes, these banks lose quality and become inflationary, i.e., trade at a discount to gold coin. If the gold standard and convertibility into gold remains, bank notes issued to buy real bills of exchange represent merchandise and maintain the same quality as gold coin. They never cease representing merchandise and are not inflationary regardless of their quantity. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 6
Thomas Allen Gold... Monetary Utopia? I have written many articles about Gold, about the Unadulterated Gold Standard, about the components of a Gold based economy. Perhaps its time for a bit of a reality check. Is the very idea of Gold money, the very idea of honest money in an honest society Utopian? Especially in this day and age, an age of the big lie, of tyrannical governments, of crony capitalism, of loss of human vitality... After all, families run and have always run without money, except as needed to deal with the outside world. Same with the extended family; work is done, responsibilities shared, but money never changes hands. Why does this kind of very human interaction have to be limited to families, or at best to small tribes; why cant the whole world run this way? Why not a world without money, with only the best interest of all as the driver? Why a profit driven, money based economy? Many attempts have been made in just such efforts; efforts to replace the money based economy with an economy based on altruism, on human understanding, on shared responsibilities... the classical Marxist cry from all according to their ability, to all according to their need. Indeed, communal living has been tried on many scales, many times, from small hippie communes to the great socialist experiments of Soviet Russia, of Communist China. The very same socialist experiment is now being tried in the formerly capitalist USA. All these attempts have failed dismally; more than dismally, have failed tragically and with lethal consequences for hundreds of millions of innocent human beings; in Stalins five year plans, Maos Cultural Revolution... and perhaps soon in the USAs ObamaCare as well. Why do these social experiments fail... and why does Humanity keep trying them, in spite of repeated tragic failures? Why these Utopian experiments fail is easy to see, if we but choose to look and see the truth; the idea that what works in a family or small tribe can be scaled up without limit is Utopian. It is a false belief, and a lethal belief. Sociologists have researched this very topic; money-free societies can exist, do exist, direct democracy can exist, does exist, in communities of up to about 250 people. Once this number is exceeded, the family based, altruism based system starts to break down. No rocket science or brain surgery is needed to see why; in a small group, everyone knows everyone else; knows who to trust, knows who is a good leader, knows who is a dead-beat... and the family connection brings forgiveness to relationships. As the group grows, it becomes harder to know whom to trust, whom to vote for... and much less forgiveness is given to strangers than to Aunt Mindy or Uncle Joe. The effort to scale up small scale communities to thousands, indeed millions, is doomed to fail. The hard reality is that a different system must be used to enable society at large to survive; if we dont know who is making a promise, if we dont know whether the promise maker can be trusted or not, the system itself must generate trust. Without trust, society breaks down and civilizations collapse. Fiat currency is always and everywhere a promise; we dont know, indeed cannot know if the promise maker is to be trusted. After all, Ben Bernanke is not our intimately known Uncle Joe... and Janet Yellen is not our Aunt Mindy. We cannot trust them, as we do not know them... we only know stories that are spread about them... stories that are mainly spin... i.e. mainly lies. We do not have an intimate knowledge of their personality, their mindset, their belief systems; we dont have a long term history of direct interaction with them. If we do trust them, we are being nave; and naivety generally leads to trouble... just as Utopian social experiments lead to trouble. No system based on trust can work, unless there are solid grounds for giving trust; either intimate knowledge of the players based on living in close proximity, as in an extended family, or a strong case of common interest. The interests of Central Bankers bear very little commonality with the interests of the average wage earner; and I suggest The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 7
very few people on this planet have lived as part of Bernankes or Yellens family... extended or otherwise. So we come to it; the Fiat system cannot be trusted, as the purveyors of the system cannot be trusted. The very idea of trusting a Fiat system is Utopian, and therefore lethal. Only a system that is inherently trustworthy, and is not dependent on the promises of either Bernanke or Yellen or of any other power seeker can possibly work. Only a system that is not under the control of and cannot be controlled by any special interest can be trusted. Of course, there is such a trustworthy system, a system not controlled by any special interest; its called the Unadulterated Gold Standard. Gold is not a promise, but a present good, a bird in the hand vs. a promise of two birds in the bush. Gold is the touchstone, the acid test of any promise ever made. Gold is the ultimate extinguisher of debt; that is Gold fulfills any economic promise made. A bond is a promise; and if redeemed in Gold, a promise that proves itself to be true. A Real Bill is a promise; and if redeemed in Gold, a promise that proves itself to be true. A bank note is a promise; and if redeemed in Gold, a promise that proves itself to be true. A promise that is redeemed in another promise is proven to be what? Proven to be nothing but a lie. Fiat currency is a lie, Fiat bank notes are lies, Fiat denominated bonds are lies... an economy based on Fiat is an economy based on lies. That is where we are today, living under a system based on lies... and the results are starting to show. Just as the lies of the Utopian socialist experiments in the USSR and China showed up... in the form of war, famine, death... so the results of living under a Fiat system of lies are starting to show up. Is war far away? Is famine far away? I suggest both are already upon us. Thousands are dying in wars at this very moment... hundreds of thousands have died in the last few years... and the death of millions is in sight. The push of a button by a power mad psychopath would ignite the conflagration. One third of the world population is already hungry; and not just in the so called underdeveloped nations. In the UK thousands of retirees are facing a choice; freeze or starve. These poor innocents cannot afford both food and fuel. In the meantime, the power mad psychopath running the US government is busy shutting down power plants, pushing energy costs to the sky. How many American retirees already face the same choice; freeze or starve? Why Humanity keeps trying Utopian experiments is a conundrum; the special interests, the power seekers, the parasites spread reams of propaganda promoting their Fiat system; the very heart of the big lie... but why do people swallow the lie? Is it as simple as Santayanas famous those who fail to learn the lessons of history are doomed to repeat them... or is it more than that? Why do we fail to see the truth? Do we fear to see the truth? The truth will set you free. Do right and fear not. Rudy J. Fritsch Editor in Chief The National Debt Cannot Be Paid Off Last year, the Arizona legislature passed SB1439. This was a bill to recognize gold and silver as money in the state of Arizona. It was vetoed by Governor Brewer. Recently, SB1096 was introduced to try again this year and address some of the criticism from the governor and others. Arizona again has an opportunity to take a leadership position. There is a worldwide trend towards using gold as money. The driver is obvious: excessive debt. Government spending is out of control and, while most say they want spending cuts, people oppose cuts that impact them. Among those who get government money, theres practically an unspoken, unbreakable pact to keep the money coming. But when I say that the national debt cannot be paid off, its not a political forecast; its a statement on the flawed nature of the dollar. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #38 15 February 2014 8
Astute observers call the dollar a fiat currency. Fiat means force. Its true that were forced to use the dollar (e.g. by taxes on gold) but the dollar is also irredeemable. Theres no way to cash it in. The dollar is credit that is never repaid. Todays dollar is a dishonored promise. This was not always true. Before 1933, the dollar represented an obligation to pay 1/20 ounce of gold. People could deposit gold and get paper notes in receipt. Those notes circulated, and any bearer could redeem them for gold. Back then, $20 was not the gold price. It was the legal rate at which gold was deposited and redeemed. In 1971, President Nixon changed the monetary system with the stroke of his pen, making the Fed no longer obligated to redeem dollars for gold. The consequences of using debt as if it were money were soon clear. Rising debt became a more serious problem than rising prices. To understand debt, credit and the importance of redemption, consider Joe borrowing sugar from neighbor Sue. To pay Sue back, Joe goes to the store, buys sugar and hands it to Sue. Not only is Sue repaid; the debt goes out of existenceit is extinguished. Borrowing money used to be like borrowing sugar. The repayment of debt in gold- backed dollars settled the loan and wiped the debt clean. Not anymore, since Nixon detached the dollar from gold. By making people pay with paper-only dollars, each debt is transferred, not cleared. Suppose Sue owed Joe $1,000, then hands Joe ten $100 bills. Sue gets out of the debt loop. But now the Fed owes Joe the $1,000. What does Joe do? He deposits his cash in a bank. Now the bank owes Joe money, while the Fed owes the bank. What does the bank do? It buys a Treasury bond. Now the Treasury owes the bank. And so on. By Nixons design, the system omits a crucial feature. The extinguisher of debt, gold, is not allowed to do its job. Debt can only be transferred from one party to another. Its like a lump being pushed around under a rug. With no means of final payment, that lump is never put in the trash. Debt is never extinguished. In fact, the debt must increase, because the interest is constantly accruing. Interest is added to the debt, as it cant be paid off either. Total debt must grow by at least the interest. Debt actually increases faster than that, because the government craves what now passes for growth. The rate of debt increase is proportional to the debt itself. It is not a fixed dollar amount, such as $100 billion a year. It is instead a percent of total debt. Mathematics has a term for this type of growth: an exponential function. Exponential growth is not sustainable, according to credible scientists. Mainstream economists ignore this fact in the hope that that somehow growth can outpace debt, one year a time. But exponentially rising debt is not sustainable because the capacity to service the debt is finite. Without a means of extinguishing debt, servicing is merely borrowing new money to pay off old debts. This is the equivalent of taking out a home equity loan to get money to pay the mortgage. The U.S. debt is putting us in danger of economic catastrophe. Like Greece, which found no more buyers for their bonds, the U.S. relies on selling new bonds to pay interest and principal when due. The difference is that the whole world bids on U.S. Treasury bonds, for now. But eventually, market participants will realize that the American debt cannot be paid off. Dr. Keith Weiner Dr. Keith Weiner is the president of the Gold Standard Institute USA, and CEO of Monetary Metals where he write on the basis and related topics. Keith is a leading authority in the areas of gold, money, and credit and has made important contributions to the development of trading techniques founded upon the analysis of bid-ask spreads. Keith is a sought after speaker and regularly writes on economics. He is an Objectivist, and has his PhD from the New Austrian School of Economics. He lives with his wife near Phoenix, Arizona.