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A proper, unadulterated gold standard is necessary for the economy to coordinate the actions of millions of productive people. Today, people are suffering as the 40-year-old irredeemable paper money system is becoming unstable and approaches total collapse. A proper gold standard is not only the keystone of a strong economy, it is also the keystone to a strong democracy.
A proper, unadulterated gold standard is necessary for the economy to coordinate the actions of millions of productive people. Today, people are suffering as the 40-year-old irredeemable paper money system is becoming unstable and approaches total collapse. A proper gold standard is not only the keystone of a strong economy, it is also the keystone to a strong democracy.
A proper, unadulterated gold standard is necessary for the economy to coordinate the actions of millions of productive people. Today, people are suffering as the 40-year-old irredeemable paper money system is becoming unstable and approaches total collapse. A proper gold standard is not only the keystone of a strong economy, it is also the keystone to a strong democracy.
The Gold Standard The Journal of The Gold Standard Institute Editor Philip Barton Regular contributors Rudy Fritsch Keith Weiner Louis Boulanger Occasional contributors Publius Sandeep Jaitly Publius Jason Keys Michael Moore Thomas Allen
The Gold Standard Institute The purpose of the Institute is to promote an unadulterated Gold Standard http://www.goldstandardinstitute.net/ Patron Professor A. E. Fekete President Philip Barton President Europe Thomas Bachheimer President USA Keith Weiner Senior Research Fellow Sandeep Jaitly Feedback and subscribe: pb@monetarymetals.org Membership Levels Annual !75 per year Lifetime !2,500 Gold Member !25,000 Gold Knight !250,000 _______________________________________ Contents _______________________________________ Presidency USA.... 1 Editorial.... 2 News & Open Letter to Ben Bernanke. 3 Something Better Than Gold?.. 6 Erroneous Thoughts on Gold.... 8 Fractionalization Under Real Bills... 8 Gold Standard Murders Bernanke 9 Floating Exchange Rates. 12 How to Return Part 2 13
FOR RELEASE APRIL 15, 2012
Keith Weiner Will Head The Gold Standard Institute USA
Vienna, AUSTRIA and Scottsdale, AZ USA (April 15, 2012)The Gold Standard Institute is pleased to announce that Keith Weiner will be establishing The Gold Standard Institute USA to promote the gold standard in this large and important market. The Gold Standard Institute USA will work closely with The Gold Standard Institute in Vienna to further develop the high-quality journal The Gold Standard, a large international mailing list, and papers and quick-sheets explaining how a proper gold standard works. Further details will be announced soon. A proper, unadulterated gold standard is not only necessary for the economy to coordinate the actions of millions of productive people, but it is the keystone. Today, people are suffering as the 40-year- old irredeemable paper money system is becoming unstable and approaches total collapse. The burden of debt is rising as the rate of interest falls, unemployment is rising, infrastructure is failing due to lack of capital to maintain it, and at the same time the productive class is being replaced by the speculator class and the government-crony class. I am excited to work with The Gold Standard Institute, which is the only organization that is defining and promoting a real gold standard. I think that there are millions of Americans who would be interested and it is now my job to bring them the knowledge and the tools to promote the gold standard in the US, said Keith Weiner. We have been fortunate to have Keith Weiner as a friend and ally for several years, and we are very pleased that he has agreed to take up the task in the USA. Keith is a successful entrepreneur who understands both urgency and scalability, and the demands and work involved in promoting the gold standard, said Philip Barton, founder and President of The Gold Standard Institute. About The Gold Standard Institute http://www.goldstandardinstitute.net The Gold Standard Institute, founded in 2009, exists to disseminate the virtues of the gold standard widely and to establish gold as the basis of money. With the financial system heading towards collapse, and with gold forgotten and misunderstood, this is the most important mission in the world. The Institute publishes a monthly journal with gold-related news and articles about gold and money. The Institute is composed of people from all walks of life who cherish The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2 the ideals of liberty, prosperity and peace and who understand that sound money is a necessary component to achieve this. About Keith Weiner Keith Weiner has been a technology entrepreneur. He was the founder of DiamondWare, a VoIP software company, which he sold to Nortel in 2008. Keith is an adherent of Ayn Rand's philosophy of Objectivism, and a student at the New Austrian School of economics, working on his PhD under Professor Antal Fekete, with a focus on monetary science. Keith is now a trader and market analyst in precious metals and commodities. Now that central planning has failed, he would like the world to return to a proper gold standard and laissez-faire capitalism. For more information, contact:
The Gold Standard Institute Europe www.goldstandardinstitute.org Thomas Bachheimer +43-676-3348-124 bachheimer@yahoo.de
The Gold Standard Institute USA Keith Weiner 602-478-9275 weiner.keith@gmail.com ___________________________________________ Editorial ___________________________________________ April in Munich Your humble editor-in-chief has just returned from the fourth full session of The New Austrian School of Economics, held for the last ten days in Munich, Bavaria. Aside from another brilliant, enlightening performance by our patron Professor Antal E. Fekete, the highlight of session four was a to be announced talk. This talk was given by yours truly; an acceptance speech I was asked to deliver in honor of a Masters Degree in New Austrian Economics bestowed upon me by Professor Fekete. I must add that this honorary degree is a signal honor; there will certainly be other NASE degrees awarded to deserving students, including PhD degrees but there will only ever be one first degree handed out! As my dear wife Ilona points out; Congratulations for your degree, this is I think the culmination of years of hard work, dedication. I cannot deny her statement. I have not only studied Austrian economics, studied all of Professor Feketes work, but have attended and recorded all the live sessions delivered by the Professor, including the early Gold Standard University Live sessions, as well as later sessions delivered under TGSI and the NASE. After the acceptance speech, I went on to deliver a talk about the re-emergence of Gold and Real Bills, in particular the re-emergence of Real Bill funded, Gold- backed international transactions. See my article coming up in the next issue of the Journal but also see my current article, The Gold Standard Murders Bernanke. Incidentally, the full DVD set of this NASE event will be available at a steep discount to all TGSI members as soon as I finish the work of rendering videos of the twenty individual classes to DVDs Other important issues came to light while we were busy in Munich; The Canadian penny has been officially demonetized! I have long predicted this move; it was simply a matter of when. As the purchasing power of fiat money depreciates ever more quickly, it becomes crystal clear that Gold must return into general circulation, along with its sidekick Silver. If this does not happen soon, Western civilization will continue its accelerating decline, the world economy will be decimated through ongoing capital destruction, and subsequent recovery will become ever more difficult. If the penny is gone, how long before the nickel follows suit? And the Dollar? Already the melt value of the US five cent coin the nickel- exceeds its face value. One other extremely important and highly encouraging fact has also come to light; TGSI members have worked hard to bring into existence a brand new Gold denominated life insurance policy. This policy is being backed by an internationally known insurance company based in Lichtenstein. The policy will accept premium payments in paper currency, use the currency to buy physical gold, and pay out benefits in physical Gold. This is a major advance in the transition from paper to Gold and will do much to bring Gold into the hands of the general public. Under an honest Gold Coin standard, Gold needs to be well distributed, freely circulating, and not locked up gathering dust in CB vaults. Contact TGSI for more information regarding this new policy. The next step in the return to Gold is the introduction of Gold bonds bonds that will also help to sop up the false liquidity of paper, and channel real wealth into real money Gold and Silver- where it belongs. Most interestingly, TGSI members are presently working hard promoting Gold Bond issues. In the meantime, heed the sage advice of TGSI member and author Mr. Darryl Schoon; Buy Gold Buy Silver Have Faith. Rudy J. Fritsch, Ma.- Editor in Chief The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 3 News From Europe Thomas Bachheimer, President of The Gold Standard Institute Europe, was interviewed by one of Germanys finest financial magazines Smart Investor a couple of weeks ago. The interview was headed Interview with Thomas Bachheimer of The Gold Standard Institute. The interviewer encouraged readers to send a copy of the interview to all decision- makers in politics and the economy. I have attached it for those who speak German. """ Last week a radio interview was aired with Herr Bachheimer on one of the main State stations in Austria. The Gold Standard Institute was mentioned five times. It was aired to a mainly elderly audience and got a lot of positive feedback. These are the people who remember the Weimar Republic stories from their parents. """ http://www.perthmintbullion.com/blog/blog/12-03- 26/Fake_Bars_-_The_Facts.aspx Tungsten adulterated gold bar """ http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en /page103855?oid=147852&sn=Detail and not only Turkey """ http://gata.org/node/11138 Court overturns order to slash Dutch pension fund's gold allocation regulator faces claim for losses. """ Keith Weiner New Austrian School of Economics The Gold Standard Institute
Benjamin Bernanke Chairman of the Federal Reserve Mar 25, 2012 Re: Open Letter to Discuss Your Misunderstandings About Gold
Dear Ben: You have publicly gone on record with some off-the- wall assertions about the gold standard. What made you think you could get away with it? Your best strategy would have been to ignore gold. Although I concede that with the endgame of the regime of irredeemable paper money near, you might not be able to pretend that people arent talking and thinking about gold. You cant win, Ben. In this letter I will address your claims and explain your errors so that the whole world can see them, even if you cannot. Before I get into your specious claims, I want to point out two of important facts. First, the gold standard exists when people are free to choose what they wish to use for money. Gold has won this market competition over thousands of years, but the key is that when people are not forced to use government-issued scrip they choose gold. And thats the shabby little secret of your irredeemable paper money, Ben. You have legal tender laws to force creditors to accept it, whether they would or not. Will you please let people be free? Second, central planning does not work. The Politburo in the since-collapsed Soviet Union did not know how many shoes to make of what sizes. And you dont know what rate of interest to set. Central planning has always led to the collapse of the specialization of labor and the economy with it, to the degree that it is attempted. The Federal Reserve, the central bank of the USA, is the central planner for money, credit, interest, and discount. Given the importance of money to every single aspect of the economy, it is no exaggeration to say that there is no such thing as a free market built on top of a centrally planned monetary system. In your speech at George Washington University, you made the following claims: 1. The gold standard hasn't really worked since the end of WWI. 2. To have a gold standard, you have to go dig up gold in South Africa and put it in a basement in New York. It's nonsensical. 3. The gold standard links the currencies of every country, causing policy in one country to transmit to another. So for example, if the U.K. fixes the number of pounds to an ounce of gold, and the U.S. fixes the number of dollars to an ounce of gold, then the pound and the U.S. dollar inadvertently become linked. 4. It creates deflation, as William Jennings Bryan noted. The meaning of the "cross of gold" speech: Because farmers had debts fixed in gold, loss of pricing power in commodities killed them. 5. The gold standard tends to cause interest rates to rise during downturns and interest rates to fall during good times, the exact opposite of what monetary policy should be doing. 6. The economy was far more volatile under the gold standard. 7. The only way the gold standard works is if people are convinced that the central bank ONLY cares about maintaining the gold The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 4 standard. The moment there's a hint of another priority (like falling unemployment) it all falls apart. 8. Gold standards leave central banks open to speculative runs, since they usually don't hold all the gold. 9. The gold standard is based on the "desire to maintain the value of the dollar"implying a "desire to have very low price stability. 10. The gold standard is based on an aversion to allowing the central bank to respond with monetary policy to booms and busts, and a desire not to give the central bank that power. 11. There's simply not enough gold 12. The commitment to the gold standard is that no matter how bad the economy gets, we're going to stick to the gold standard. 13. The gold standard was one of the main reasons the Great Depression was so bad and so long. Please forgive me if my takedown runs a little bit long. Ive found that it is much easier to commit a logical fallacy in a sound bite than it is to explain the full context. I will take your assertions in order.
1. The gold standard hasn't really worked since the end of WWI. This is true. Just prior to Christmas in 1913 (which is before the beginning of the war, by the way) the Federal Reserve Act was passed into law. Ever since, the Fed has taken for itself and been granted more and more power to try to centrally plan money and credit. You and your predecessors have been in power for a century, but this fact is in no way an argument against the gold standard.
2. To have a gold standard, you have to go dig up gold in South Africa and put it in a basement in New York. It's nonsensical. The fact is that for thousands of years, people have been digging gold up and putting it in basements. To call the behavior of so many people over so many years nonsense is arrogant. A free country has room for arrogant men, but no place for arrogant men to back their whims with a gun. From 1933 until 1975, one could be imprisoned for the crime of possessing gold. To this day, it is not legal for a creditor to demand payment in gold. If you are so confident that you are right and all good men should be happy that you print dollars at your discretion, can we agree on an experiment? Lets repeal the laws that force creditors to accept paper, and the laws that nullify gold clauses in contracts, and the taxes on the gains in gold, and the laws that force taxpayers to use dollars as their unit of account for bookkeeping purposes, and see what people choose when the gun is not compelling them. I will wager one ounce of good gold against a frayed old dollar bill that people will choose gold if you let them. Should I book my flight to Washington to pinky-shake on our bet?
3. The gold standard links the currencies of every country, causing policy in one country to transmit to another. So for example, if the U.K. fixes the number of pounds to an ounce of gold, and the U.S. fixes the number of dollars to an ounce of gold, then the pound and the U.S. dollar inadvertently become linked. Actually, Ben, you are describing the gold exchange standard that prevailed from the insane treaty at Bretton Woods until it collapsed in 1971 with Nixons default. The choice is not between price fixing vs. excluding gold altogether. The choice is between the freedom for people to choose gold vs. your smart and efficient central planning.
4. It creates deflation, as William Jennings Bryan noted. The meaning of the "cross of gold" speech: Because farmers had debts fixed in gold, loss of pricing power in commodities killed them. By the way, Ben, the Coinage Act of 1792 fixed the price of silver in terms of gold at (15:1). Like every instance of laws that attempt to interfere with the markets, this provision was an unmitigated disaster. Whichever metal is officially valued at less than its market value will be pulled out of circulation and sent elsewhere for its market price. Whichever metal is overvalued will be imported from every corner of the earth and come flooding into the country. In 1873, the government was ready to open the US Mint again. But when they wrote the list of which coins the Mint was authorized to coin, they somehow forgot to include the one ounce silver coin. Silver was demonetized. I am sure it had nothing to do with lust for power by the good men who ran the government, nor with any lobbying that might have occurred around that time. This was dubbed the Crime of 73. Demonetizing silver destroyed enormous amounts of capital, Ben. Just imagine that a farmer, to use your example, has been working hard and saving all his life. And then the government, in callous and cavalier fashion, passes a law that destroys the value of his savings. But this is the power you crave, isnt it? This is the power of central planning, to sit in an office in Washington, taking into account your whims, pet theories, and the desires of lobbyists and casually The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 5 dispose of the income and wealth of the people without their consent.
5. The gold standard tends to cause interest rates to rise during downturns and interest rates to fall during good times, the exact opposite of what monetary policy should be doing. You have pushed interest rates down to zero on the short end. This has achieved nothing good, and yet you are unwilling to consider that, just maybe, your pet theory is wrong? Good thing your pet theory is enforced on the rest of us at gunpoint, eh Ben? We should pause for a moment to reflect on the nature of downturns. The original promise of the central bank was that it would prevent downturns! As recently as the Great Moderation which abruptly ended in 2001, this myth was widely believed. But we see that downturns are not prevented by the central bank. Instead, much larger downturns (such as the one which began in 2008) are caused by the central bank. Let us look at the nature of these downturns. For a while, the bank encourages credit expansion by various means. The bond speculators (which did not exist under the gold standard) jump onto the bandwagon and the result is that interest rates have fallen for more than 30 years in a row. During this long period, as you can imagine, much counterfeit credit is created. By counterfeit credit, I mean where either the saver is unwilling to lend or even unknowing (such as anyone who deposits in a bank nowadays) or when the borrower lacks either the means or intent to repay (such as the government, or many bond issuers and banks). Sooner or later, the game is up. The borrower can no longer keep current on the interest payments. Not even by rolling the debt. As an aside, Ben, this is another dirty secret of the irredeemable currency: there is no way for any debt, ever, to be repaid; it only moves from one debtor to another and ultimately ends up at the Fed or the Treasury. So what you blithely call a downturn is the painful process of writing off bad loans. Capital has been destroyed, and everyone who made bad loans must write it off. You are correct that interest rates should rise as a result! Capital is far more scarce than people believed during the boom.
6. The economy was far more volatile under the gold standard. I dont think even you believe this, so I will not comment further except to note that the 1929 crash occurred under the tender ministrations and brilliant central planning of the Fed.
7. The only way the gold standard works is if people are convinced that the central bank ONLY cares about maintaining the gold standard. The moment there's a hint of another priority (like falling unemployment) it all falls apart. 8. Gold standards leave central banks open to speculative runs, since they usually don't hold all the gold. No, Ben. I will address these points together: a gold standard is when there is no central bank. What you are substituting in your confusion is if the Fed were to somehow try to centrally plan gold. But you know that doesnt work, so I need not spend time arguing against it. Speaking of unemployment, as you know, if the portion of the population who is deemed to be in the workforce hadnt been shrinking so much, the unemployment rate right now would be just below staggering. And this is despite (or perhaps because of) your central planning activities.
9. The gold standard is based on the "desire to maintain the value of the dollar"implying a "desire to have very low price stability. The gold standard is about many things. Speaking of the value of the dollar, you are aware, I am sure, that it has lost about 98% of its value in the 100 years since your organization began centrally planning. Under gold, prices do not remain constant. That kind of stasis is neither possible nor desirable. Prices, and more importantly changes in prices, signal to consumers and entrepreneurs what is scarce and what is in demand. No, what remains stable is the rate of interest. And it is this rate that is manifestly unstable under the Feds careful designs. As recently as 30 years ago, the rate on the 10-year US Treasury was almost 16%. Today it is 2.2%, having recently hit a low under 1.8% (and this rise of more than 22% in a short period of time is both staggering and revealing). Changes in the rate of interest cause enormous destruction to industry. A rising rate destroys businesses one by one as each looks at financing new capital projects, or replacement for worn plant. But at each higher interest rate, fewer and fewer capital projects make any sense. So factories shut down, and ever more workers join the unemployment line. Does this strike a note, Ben? Falling interest rates cause a more pernicious and subtle damage. Bond speculators make risk-free gains on their bonds. This money does not come out of thin air, however. Each bond issuer now has a higher present value of their liabilities. Good thing that FASB does not require them to mark The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 6 liabilities to market when the bond price rises, or else there would be a serious problem! Actually, there is a serious problem even if we all close our eyes and pretend otherwise. Is that a fair characterization, Ben: that the purpose of the Fed is to help everyone play make-believe? Under paper, neither prices nor interest rates have been stable. Have you taken a look at the chart for crude oil or most other commodities, Ben?
10. The gold standard is based on an aversion to allowing the central bank to respond with monetary policy to booms and busts, and a desire not to give the central bank that power. Here you are correct, Ben. You should not have that power. No one should have that power. A brilliant author by the name of JRR Tolkien wrote a story about power. Have you ever read The Lord of the Rings or seen the version Peter Jackson made into film?
11. There's simply not enough gold How much gold do you think there is, Ben? How much gold do you think a gold standard would need? You dont know either number, of course. This is just an old wives tale. Do you also wear copper bracelets to ward off the common cold, or is that vampires (I forget)?
12. The commitment to the gold standard is that no matter how bad the economy gets, we're going to stick to the gold standard. This is an interesting logical fallacy. You are lumping together commitment to gold with bad economy. This called begging the question. You are presuming what you ought to be asking.
13. The gold standard was one of the main reasons the Great Depression was so bad and so long. So you think that the disastrous adventure that combined both taxes and protectionism that led to a trade war and thence to collapsing trade had nothing to do with it? Or FDRs constant threats to change the rules of the game, thus rendering investments previously made worthless (theres that problem again)? What about the various other central planning interventions of both Hoover and the New Deal? Or how about the falling interest rate structure that I mentioned above? When the government outlawed the ownership of gold, that herded people into the next-best choice: US Treasurys. This caused the interest rate to fall. Have you ever stopped to think what this does to savers, such as the small farmer for whom you weep crocodile tears? Ben, I wrote a paper entitled Gold Bonds: Averting Financial Armageddon (http://keithweiner.posterous.com/gold-bonds-to- avert-financial-armageddon) because I am convinced that the regime of irredeemable paper money and hence the Fed is going to come to a sudden and catastrophic end. One way or the other, your power and the power of the Fed will be ended. I would prefer that it be ended without also ending western civilization, which is the course were headed on right now. You remember that bit earlier about capital being rare and precious? Your policies are helping accelerate an unprecedented destruction of capital. When the capital is gone (if not sooner) the game will be up. I would like to avoid plunging into a new Dark Age. Can we agree at least on this, Ben? Sincerely, Keith Keith Weiner 2012 (weiner (..dot..) keith (..at..) gmail (..dot..) com)
Something Better Than Gold? Publius In difficult and desperate cases, the boldest counsels are the safest. - Titus Livius, Ab Urbe Condita, Book XXV, Sec. 38
Muscles must be maintained through exercise, intellectual skills kept ready by rigorous practice. Sound wealth allocation decisions are no different. They too must be routinely revalidated that we might continue to confidently rely upon them. As the crisis evolves, we should constantly ask ourselves if another means of wealth protection exists to diversify our positions. For the exact nature of the endgame is maddeningly unpredictable. Over-reliance on a golden Maginot Line may leave us vulnerable to unorthodox moves by the enemies panzers. When managing wealth in a global financial hurricane, often, the best defense is a good offense. The old conservative rules of investing will ultimately apply once more, but not right now. To use another martial arts metaphor, we stand halfway across a high, narrow bridge with our antagonist directly in front of us. Retreat is impractical, and there is no way to go around the enemy. Facing the threat head on is the best way to overcome it and survive. Gold mining stocks appeal to many bullion owners, and other aggressive or complex trading strategies also attract peoples time, energy and capital. But for typical conservative readers of these The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 7 pages, owning anything except bullion comes with many qualifications and reservations. Is there something else that might be held for the short- to medium-term, in the service of purchasing power maximization? Something, perhaps, hiding in plain sight? Something requiring comparatively little ongoing management? Something often derided as an investment only a sucker would buy? Seven years ago, Professor Antal Fekete wrote a series of related essays including such titles as Is the Linkage Broken? and Tsunami in the Bond Market. They described the massive transfer of wealth he demonstrated to be already taking place because of the distortions to the monetary system, and how that transfer might accelerate. That is to say, without the anchor of gold to stabilize the interest rate structure, bond speculation becomes not only possible, but highly profitable. Profitable, and essentially risk free. Did these works contain a viable trading strategy? The Professor certainly did not promise it. In fact he explicitly noted he was not advocating the purchase of bonds by his readers. It was merely his calculated guess that bond prices could easily keep rising. So, what was the markets verdict since 2005? I will use round figures, leave out trading commissions, and simplify the example somewhat to illustrate the principles involved. If a 30-year zero- coupon bond was yielding 4.5% in 2005 and the same bond yields 3% today, what was an investors return? The price per $1,000 of face value for this bond in 2005 is found by 1,000 / (1.045^30) = $267 Today, that same bond would be valued at 1,000 / (1.03^23) = $507 This is an annual compounded return of 9.6% over the past seven years, before any leverage. Bond investors qualify for generous margin, and have other sources of credit available if margin interest rates are uncompetitive. Had this position been levered 4:1 at 6% interest, the annualized return becomes 17.4%, accrued borrowing costs included. Assuming the maximum available leverage for such trades is 20:1, there is relatively low risk of a margin call when levered 4:1. And, in any case, there is a limit to the amount of downside volatility governments and central banks will tolerate in the bond market. (By contrast, as we know, authorities have no problem with sharp declines in the gold or silver markets, whether natural or engineered.) Will interest rates continue falling? The question is closely tied to the health of the fiat dollar. But just as the distortions to the financial system are accelerating, so, too, is the rate of increase in bond prices. If most of that one-third decrease in interest rates happened during the latter part of the previous seven years, as the crisis took hold in earnest, then we can make some reasonable extrapolations. Were 30- year rates to lose one-third again from present levels, falling from 3% to 2% over, say, the next 2 years, the unlevered annualized return for the above trade would be 18%, with the 4:1 levered return being 48% per year. Higher than golds potential dollar return, over the next 24 months? Maybe. Safer? Absolutely not. At least, not in the sense a proper student of gold would use that word. A useful diversifying tool when added to a core holding of unlevered bullion? Quite possibly. Because we cannot predict how long the fiat dollar will last. It could be some time yet. And we cannot know whether some interim solution from authorities might not deprive gold owners of the metals full benefits, or at least delay those benefits substantially. Now, assuming one can successfully tap this free-flowing river of dislodged wealth, another question arises: is it moral to enrich oneself through the operation of todays corrupt monetary system? The short answer is yes. Provided a man is not committing any fraud or dishonesty, he cannot be faulted for making the most of circumstances into which he is thrust. Especially if he cannot single-handedly change those circumstances. But keep the bigger picture in mind. If you master todays controlled financial climate, consider donating to organizations such as the Gold Standard Institute. For, far better than a mere bag of gold, is the chance to live in a world free from the banking elites stealth taxation. To paraphrase Bob Landis, people who endured years of playing the wrong side of a rigged market make poor philanthropists. If it is possible to position oneself on the right side, without detracting from the cause of honest money, then Game On! Let the banks see there are still people who cannot be bought, but who might instead use new wealth to overthrow the tyrannical regime. Publius
The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 8 Erroneous Thoughts on Golds Role in the Financial System Sandeep Jaitly
When it comes to gold and it's role in the financial system, there is widespread confusion. We will try to address some of the mainstream erroneous thought here. This is the first in a series of short essays. As gold - and only gold - exists in vast multiples of annual production, it is the only suitable medium to carry accounts in. Whatever value gold is deemed to have, it would change the least at the margin (if it were going to) compared to any other substance. This is a direct consequence of existing in vast 'stock to flow.' The integrity of any accounts measured in a defined volume of gold would be compromised the least from any potential valuation flaws that could be associated with gold itself as a substance. This is an important point to grasp. 1. The amount of economic activity is restricted by the amount of gold. 'Social interaction' - that more lucid description of the state of human affairs than the term 'economic activity' - occurs first before all. Gold is merely the 'measure' of various aspects of that social interaction. To say that gold restricts economic action is akin to saying that a 3mm width nail will fit into a 1mm width hole if one redefines what a mm is at each stage. 2. The gold standard controlled the price level. This is a common but understandable mistake to make. Gold has its principle role as the medium through which the people express their opinion on the rate of interest. An interest rate that is too excessive sees gold flow into the bond market and a rate too low sees the opposite. A stable interest rate promotes stable prices for all kinds of goods, especially reproducible goods such as soft commodities. However, this aspect should be considered a consequence of stable interest rates, rather than using gold as the medium of exchange. 3. A stratospheric gold price rise will signal the end of the regime of fiat currencies. This is a seductive assumption to make, but probably wide of the mark. As has been previously mentioned, gold has its role in the stabilisation of interest rates. This role is still there for gold, but behind the scenes. Backwardation in the gold markets, when accompanied by a falling paper interest rate structure, shows that time preference is gaining ground. Paper interest rates can be brought down indefinitely, but gold interest rates cannot. There must always be a marginal lender of gold to drive gold interest rates lower. The occurrence of backwardation is a far more important signal than the escalation in the fiat price of gold. This is the first in a series of short essays examining common erroneous thought on gold's role in the financial system. Sandeep Jaitly http://www.feketeresearch.com/
The following is the final essay on Real Bills in a twelve-part series by Thomas Allen. Mr. Allen has been a backbone of The Gold Standard for its first twelve months and I would like to give him my sincere thanks for his contributions. I hope that The Gold Standard will again be graced and illuminated with his byline in the future. Philip Barton
Does Fractionalization Occur Under the Real Bills Doctrine? Thomas Allen
Under the real bills doctrine with sound decentralized banking, fractional reserve banking as such does not exist. Fractional reserve banking exists when a bank creates money out of nothing or allows multiple parties to use the same money simultaneously. The former occurs when banks add to the money supply by creating money out of nothing but computer data entries or the printing press. The latter occurs when banks lend demand deposits (current accounts or checking accounts) or use them as reserves for loans. Neither occurs under the real bills doctrine. Specie (gold or silver) or commercial money (real bills) backs all credit money (bank notes and checkbook money) that a bank creates (more correctly, converts). The specie and commercial money remains out of circulation. No one has use of it while the bank money representing that specie or commercial money is in circulation or available for use. Thus, if specie or commercial money maturing into specie backs all bank notes and demand deposits, fractional reserve banking as such does not exists. The following example illustrates that the real bills doctrine does not require fractionalization of gold. A retailer accepts a bill of exchange from a wholesaler for 100,000 dwt. (pennyweight) of gold. To pay his supplier, the wholesaler discounts the bill to his supplier for 98,000 dwt. of gold (assuming the quarterly market discount rate is 2 percent). In turn the supplier pays the manufacturer 98,000 dwt. with this bill. Then the manufacturer pays the 98,000 dwt. that he owes the raw material supplier with this bill. The The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 9 raw material supplier keeps the bill to maturity. Thus, the retailer pays the 100,000 dwt. due on the bill at maturity to the raw material supplier. Has gold been fractionalized? No. As this example shows, 294,000 dwt. of gold are moved, but only 100,000 dwt. of physical gold are moved, which is the final payment that extinguishes the bill. The bill of exchanged or commercial money has economized the movement of gold. It enables 100,000 dwt. of physical gold to do the work of 294,000 dwt. of gold, yet it has not fractionalized the gold. Now lets look at the same example, but with banks getting involved. Instead of the wholesaler using the bill to pay his supplier, he sells the bill to a bank. In return the bank buys the bill with bank money (bank notes or checkbook money). To simplify the example, the wholesaler has the bank to credit his checking account with 98,000 dwt. of gold. Has the bank created new money? No, it has converted commercial credit money (the bill of exchange) to bank credit money (checkbook money). Now, the wholesaler writes his supplier a check for 98,000 dwt. to pay his debt to the supplier. That is the wholesaler transfers 98,000 dwt. of gold to the supplier via the check. The supplier deposits the check in his checking account, and the bank credits the suppliers account with 98,000 dwt. of gold. Has this bank created money? No, it has not. The example continues with the supplier paying the manufacturer with a 98,000- dwt check, who deposits the check in his checking account. Again 98,000 dwt. of gold has been transferred via check; this time it is from the supplier to the manufacturer. In turn the manufacturer pays the raw material supplier with a 98,000-dwt check who likewise deposits the check. Has 392,000 dwt. of new money been created? No, the checks are merely transferring gold from one account to another. The retailer ends up covering all these checks with the 100,000 dwt. of gold that he pays the wholesalers bank when the bill matures. Again, the gold is not fractionalized. The intervening credit money enables a small amount of gold to do the work of a great deal of gold. In both examples, the need for gold to change hands has been reduced from four times to one: from the retailer to the raw material supplier in the first instance and to the bank in the second case. Fractionalization has not occurred. Has this process created any new money? If this process has created any money, the retailer has created it when he accepted the bill of exchange. If the wholesaler sells the bill of exchange to a bank, the bank does not create any new money. It merely converts commercial credit money (the bill of exchange) to bank credit money (bank notes and checkbook money). The bank has not created any new credit money. It has merely changed the form of the credit money. It has sliced the bill of exchange into small and more easily used pieces. Moreover, the real bills doctrine does not involve borrowing or lending as Professor Fekete has explained. As no lending is involved, banks are not lending demand deposits or using them as reserves for loans. Since banks are not creating money or lending money under the real bills doctrine, fractional reserve banking as such does not occur under the real bills doctrine. Thomas Allen
Gold Standard Murders Bernanke Rudy Fritsch
If you have not yet heard of Mr. Bernankes great blunder, you should before reading this article; see http://www.businessinsider.com/ben-bernanke- explains-why-well-never-see-another-gold-standard- 2012-3 The gloves are now off; Bernanke reveals that the emperor truly is naked. He exposes the abysmal ignorance of his Keynesian school. Either abysmal ignorance, or else Mr. Bernanke is spouting outright lies. There is not enough Gold; This is Gold myth Number One. In fact, Gold is the most abundant resource in the world if measured by its stock to flow ratio. There are at least 160,000 Tons of pure Gold known to exist above ground, while primary mine supply is about 2,000 Tons per year. This means that there are 80 years or more of Gold supply on hand, compared to a few weeks of stock for other commodities like crude oil or copper or grains. Why is there so much Gold around? Because Gold is money, Mr. Bernanke! People treasure and save money... not IOUs. Gold has positive value; it is not a debt note like a Dollar bill or Euro masquerading as money. Gold is not just a precious metal like Platinum. Platinum is NOT money, never was and never will be. Platinum has a stock to flow ratio no different from that of copper or lead. Gold is the monetary metal par excellence. Gold is the ultimate extinguisher of all debt. IOU notes like Dollars or Euros do not extinguish debt, merely shuffle debt around. Fiat currencies cannot extinguish debt; they ARE debt. Dollars and Euros appear as liabilities on the Central Banks balance The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 10 sheet. In stark contrast, Gold is nobodys liability Gold is a pure asset. It needs no backing as do bank notes. Bank notes today are backed by treasury bonds and treasury bonds are more IOUs, liabilities of the treasury. Gold is never a liability on anyones balance sheet. Any suggestion that there is not enough Gold is nonsense; and at best, suggests that Gold is undervalued in terms of the USD or the Euro. Do you know that the British Empire under the classical Gold Standard ran world trade on 150-200 Tons of Gold held in the vaults of the Bank of England? Do you know that the USA alone has 8,000 Tons of Gold in its vaults? Silly to say there is not enough Gold. The bottom line is that the quantity of Gold is not the problem; quality trumps quantity every time. Not convinced? Crude oil is the single largest trade item in the world today; about 80,000,000 barrels change hands every single day. At $100 per barrel, this amounts to about 8.5 Billion dollars per day. Gold at todays price of $1,650/oz. is $39,000,000 per Ton; so 215 Tons of Gold is enough to support all this trade if a daily netting out occurs, like in commodity markets. If a bit of modern computer technology is introduced, and netting out is done 3 times per day, only 72 Tons of Gold would be sufficient to support the enormous and vital international oil trade. The magic of this netting out is accomplished by multilateral circulation of Real Bills, as recognized by Adam Smith. Real Bills in circulation serve as the clearing mechanism of the Gold Standard, allowing a ton of Gold to do the work of a hundred tons. As long as trade nets out, as long as there are no trade imbalances, not an ounce of Gold has to move; Real Bills do all the work. Gold only moves if grievous trade imbalances are allowed to develop. Gold imposes desperately needed discipline on international trade. Does Mr. Bernanke understand any of this? Is he truly this ignorant of Gold Standard fundamentals or is he lying by rote? Gold is deflationary; Gold is dug out of the ground at real risk and expense, not borrowed into existence like fiat paper. More fiat paper borrowed into existence equals more debt period. Extinguishing any given quantity of fiat debt is impossible without the destruction of a corresponding quantity of fiat paper. What is borrowed into existence as debt must disappear on repayment of the debt. Gold never disappears unless it is forced into hiding, perhaps by fear of Government confiscation. There is never a true reduction of Gold stocks; how would Gold supply be reduced? Would people grind up their Gold, mix it with dirt, and stuff it back into the mines it came from? Please! Deflation under freely circulating Gold is impossible. In contrast, paper money can indeed deflate, or literally disappear; but before any deflation is possible, there must first come inflation. Paper money must be created before it can be destroyed not the other way around. If previously created credit money disappears, we experience deflation. This is pretty obvious, is it not Mr. Bernanke? Of course, Mr. Bernanke does not admit this, but blames all on Gold Throughout the history of the classical Gold Standard, countries repeatedly went off Gold, usually in wartime inflated like mad then went back on Gold. The so called business cycle, which in reality is a credit cycle, is caused by this very process; leave Gold, inflate, go back on Gold. As the inflationary paper disappears, blame Gold; but the cause of deflation is not to be found in the return to Gold the cause is to be found in going off Gold in the first place. Going off Gold sets the inflation/deflation cycle into motion. Prices do not remain stable on a long term basis; Prices are an essential market signal, and while wild short term price swings should be avoided as they indeed are under Gold long term steadily declining prices are marvelous. This is the very situation that prevailed under the classical Gold standard. Increasing productivity reflected in slowly, steadily dropping prices. By contrast, ongoing Central Bank fueled inflation punishes savers, pensioners, and all productive members of society. Gentle, steady deflation, or more exactly steadily increasing purchasing power is beneficial for all... except for banksters and politicians. The real benefit of Gold is not long term price stability but long term interest rate stability. Gold regulates interest rates admirably, so well that interest rate speculation under Gold is unprofitable. Speculation that is unprofitable does not come into existence who in their right mind would start up an inherently unprofitable business? The Great Depression was so long and so bad because of Gold; Government interference with natural market feedback mechanisms is what prolonged the Great Depression. The root cause of the Great Depression was Central Bank interference in the credit markets, made possible by the abandonment of the Gold Coin Standard and the Real Bills Doctrine of Adam Smith before WWI. The proximate cause of the Great Depression was the injection of excess credit into the economy through expansionary Central Bank The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 11 policy during the credit fueled boom of the roaring twenties. Under an Unadulterated Gold Standard the creation of excess credit is impossible. No depression, great or otherwise, is possible without fiduciary (promise based) bank notes in circulation. Fiduciary bank notes are backed not by Gold or by fully liquid Real Bills but are issued fraudulently against long term (Government) bonds... Government promises. In plain terms, cash obligations in the form of Federal Reserve Notes aka Dollar bills are backed not by liquid assets like Gold or Bills that mature into Gold within 91 days, but by long bonds. Bonds are illiquid because if there is a sudden demand for cash, selling bonds for cash causes bond prices to fall. Falling bond prices decimate the banks balance sheet as the asset side now holds bonds, not Gold or Bills. The inevitable collapse comes when confidence in the system is lost, and the short term borrowing offsetting long term obligations cannot be rolled over and the run on the banking system starts big time. Such a run is starting right now. Even Bernankes famous helicopters cannot drop Dollar bills fast enough to stop the run. Gold standards leave central banks open to speculative runs; As we saw above, bank runs are not possible under an Unadulterated Gold Standard. Indeed, there is no need or any use for a central bank under an honest Gold money standard. No wonder Mr. Bernanke is a mortal enemy of Gold. The central bank system was created to offset the evils of property rights invasion with regards to money. Specifically, laws were passed in the nineteenth century decreeing that once money is deposited in a bank, that money is no longer the property of the depositor, but becomes the property of the Bank. Central banks were also chartered at that time. Coincidence? Imagine taking your furniture to a warehouse for storage, and having the law deem that your furniture has suddenly become the property of the warehouse owner. The warehouse owner can legally do whatever he wants with your furniture; lease it out or sell it meanwhile leaving you as a common creditor of the warehouse company, with no rights to your money... er furniture. If the bank er warehouse goes bankrupt, you have no legal recourse to recovering your property... as it is no longer recognized as being your property. This is unconscionable, but is exactly what happens to your money today. Inevitably banks grab demand deposits and lend them out long term at great profit. This is why a lender of last resort is needed; to help banks in trouble when they cannot meet calls for depositors money. The depositors money is not available; it has been lent out long term. The answer to this problem is to let the true owners of money decide what they want done with their deposits. Do they want their money in a demand deposit that pays no interest, or in a term deposit that does but locks up their money for an agreed length of time? If loan maturities match deposit maturities, runs are impossible. Demand deposits remain available for immediate withdrawal and time deposits must stay with the bank until maturity. Even if ALL demand depositors were to ask for their money at the same time, the banks could deliver. Of course, in such an honest banking system banks would have to forego the illicit, dangerous, but profitable practice of borrowing short to lend long. Furthermore, Bernanke never talks about what happens when the lender of last resort is tapped out, as it is right now. Today not only central banks but government treasuries are bankrupt; see Greece, Portugal, and the sovereign debt crisis. Only tax payers are left to bail out the CBs and they cannot possibly do this, as the amount of debt in existence is impossible to repay, or even to hold steady. The debt tower keeps growing and the real economy supporting the tower is collapsing. The gold standard tends to cause interest rates to rise during downturns and interest rates to fall during good times; More mythology; in fact, Gold serves to maintain steady interest rates; rates so steady, that interest rate speculation did not exist under Gold. Such speculation was not profitable. Steady interest rates are most important to industry, pension funds, producers, etc. Along with the steady value of the Golden numeraire, or Golden unit of account, low and stable interest rates allow the real economy to thrive. Managerial attention is focused on running and improving the business, not on planning for inflation or deflation, and not on hedging or speculating on- interest rate swings and forex swings. Under Gold there is no forex; Gold is Gold in any language. Without forex, there can be no forex speculation. With interest rate speculation and forex speculation impossible, the only way to profits is the old fashioned way; one earns profits by serving ones customers better than ones competitors do. Mr. Bernanke does not (yet) seem to realize that he has a tiger by the tail; even Allen Greenspan, the Maestro, has admitted that in extremis, fiat has no place to go except to Gold. The process of remonetization of Gold is under way; Iran is already buying food for Gold as it has no choice but use Gold or go hungry; extremis indeed. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 12 The sweet irony of this is that Washington, the very epicenter of Dollar printing, is putting extreme pressure on Iran, literally forcing Iran to turn to Gold. As the trend toward Gold remonetization accelerates, as fiat paper collapse puts intolerable pressure on other countries as well, you can be sure that it is Bernanke who will be murdered by Gold not the other way around. Rudy J. Fritsch
Floating Exchange Rates: Unworkable and Dishonest April 5 by Keith Weiner
Milton Friedman was a proponent of so-called floating exchange rates between the various irredeemable paper currencies that he promoted as the proper monetary system. Many have noted that the currencies do not float; they sink at differing rates, sometimes one is sinking faster and then another. This article focuses on something else. Under gold, a nation or an individual cannot sustain a deficit forever. A deficit is when one consumes more than one produces. One has a negative cash flow, and eventually one runs out of money. The economy of a household or a national is therefore subject to disciplinesooner or later. Friedman asserted that floating exchange rates would impose the same kind of forces on a nation to balance its exports and imports. He claimed that if a nation ran a deficit, that this would cause its currency to fall in value relative to the other currencies. And this drop would tend to reverse the deficits as the country would find it expensive to import and buyers would find its goods cheap to import. Friedman was wrong. To see why, one must look at the concept known to economists as Terms of Trade. This phrase refers to the quantity of goods that can be purchased with the proceeds of the goods exported. For example, country X uses the xyz currency. It exports xyz1000 worth of goods and it can thereby pay for xyz1000 worth of imports. But what happens if the xyz drops relative to the currencys of Xs trading partners, because X is running a trade deficit? The country exports the same goods as before, but they are now worth less on the export market. So X can pay for fewer goods than before. Buying the same amount of goods will result in a larger deficit. At this point, one may be tempted to say Ahah, Friedman was right! But remember, we are not talking about a gold standard. We are talking about an irredeemable paper money system. Money is borrowed into existence. Looking at the trade deficit from the perspective of Terms of Trade, we see that trade deficits lead to budget deficits, which leads to a falling currency, which leads to increased trade deficits. It is not a negative feedback loop, which is self-limited and self-correcting. It is a positive feedback loop. There is no particular limit to this vicious cycle until the country in question accumulates so much debt that buyers refuse to come to its bond auctions. And this is not a correction or a reversal of the trend; it is the utter destruction of the currency and the wealth of the people who are forced to use it. And, of course, Friedman had to be aware that America was likely to be biggest trade deficit runner in the world. Its currency, the dollar, was (and is) the worlds reserve currency. That means that every central bank in the world held dollars as the asset, and pyramided credit in their own currencies on top of the dollars. What would happen if the dollar weakened because the US was importing real goods and exporting paper dollars? The US would simply import the same goods next year and export even more paper dollars to compensate for the drop in the dollar! Friedman would have also been aware of the economist Robert Triffin, who wrote in the early 1960s about a problem that became known as Triffins Dilemma. In essence, the issue is that the world needs to expand credit to grow and so has demand for more US dollars. But this can only occur if the US runs a perpetual trade deficit, which would weaken the US dollar. To the central banks that hold dollars as the reserve asset, this is deadly. Like any bank, a central bank has assets and liabilities. If a significant component of the assets are composed of US dollars, and the US dollar falls, the central banks balance sheet deteriorates. The liabilities side, of course, is the central banks own currency. So the asset is falling and the liability is not. This is a dangerous situation and unsustainable. And to blithely propose this as a system is to propose open theft. Why should any country agree to allow the US to dissipate its savings, defaulting on the US dollar obligations in slow motion, a few percent per year as Friedman proposed? The scheme of floating exchange rates of irredeemable paper currencies is therefore dishonest as well as unworkable. Today, some 40 years after the plunge into the worldwide regime of irredeemable paper currencies, its starting to matter. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 13
Keith Weiner has been a technology entrepreneur. He was the founder of DiamondWare, a VoIP software company, which he sold to Nortel in 2008. Keith is an adherent of Ayn Rand's philosophy of Objectivism, and a student at the New Austrian School of economics, working on his PhD under Professor Antal Fekete, with a focus on monetary science. Keith is now a trader and market analyst in precious metals and commodities. Now that central planning has failed, he would like the world to return to a proper gold standard and laissez-faire capitalism. As of today, 15 th April, 2012, Keith is the President of The Gold Standard Institute - USA.
A Gold Standard by Michael Moore Part 2 How to Return to a Gold Standard
It (the gold standard) maintains a stable currency and a stable value. If the Fed concentrated more on stable money rather than stable prices... They push up new money in stocks and in commodities and in houses, and then they have to come in to rescue the situation. They create the bubbles, then they come in and rescue it, and they do nothing more than try to do price fixing. Capitalism depends, and capital comes from savings, but there's no savings in this country, so this is all artificial. It creates the misdirection and the malinvestment and all the excessive debt, and it always has to have a correction. Since the Fed has been in existence, the dollar has lost about 97% of its value. You're supposed to encourage savings, but if something loses its value, why save dollars? There's no encouragement whatsoever Ron Paul A return to the gold standard is very much the flavour of the month not just with gold bugs but with some countries and even US states it seems. Whereas once upon a time the idea would have been pooh poohed, desperate times call for desperate measures and to many the return to a safe and stable gold standard now seems like a wonderful dream. But, given the turmoil, heavy debts, vested interest etc, how would one go about instituting a gold standard? In fact, it might not be so much a how as a who. Who is the most likely to want a gold standard? Perhaps not an international gold standard, but maybe a national gold standard for a country who does not want to be a party to the existing ever increasing debt crisis? As well as the economic issues there are also political issues to take into account so, why not have more gold standards? Many countries could each have their own currency pegged to their own gold standard. Agreements on trade would be very simple as (they) would be expressed in ounces of gold. E.g. Australia might say 2000 dollars buys one ounce of gold. The US might say the same about their currency (I would expect it to be more, but this is for the sake of demonstration) The UK might state that 1500 pounds buys one ounce of gold and you might need 160,000 Japanese yen to buy an ounce. Each country could peg their own currency against gold and so achieve economic stability for that country. Trade could thus be successfully conducted between nations as all would then be operating on the same page or platform if you will. This then would likely be easier to manage than setting one currency pegged to gold and then trying to adjust and or peg other currencies to that currency. It would immediately stop further debt from being incurred for that country as currency would not be printed unless it is back by gold. Governments would be keen therefore to buy gold in order to increase their currency. This will be only good news for gold mines and miners around the world keen to sell their gold. A stable price also will provide more predictability for miners and ensure a more stable operating basis for production. But as a stable currency, there would be no inflation and no deterioration of the currency as it would be backed by gold. In effect the currency would represent an amount of gold and it is the gold that has the value. The currency would simply be the receipt of ownership to the bearer that they own, while they have the transferable currency that established quantity of pure gold the currency represents. The question then becomes, What about the existing debt? Well first no further debt is being incurred so there is a stop on the interest rates. The debt would be effectively frozen at that point. No more credit on the credit card. Such activities as economizing on spending would assist to reduce the existing debt. As there is no inflation there is no incentive for companies to raise prices, no requirement for wages to rise, and production would increase. Increase a countries production and you increase their income. Increased income means more opportunity to repay the capital on debt and so reduce the interest and so leave more room in the spending to reduce the capital. Just as the debt was built on false money (paper money with no value) so it can be reduced with real money, i.e. gold back currency. The Gold Standard The Gold Standard Institute Issue #16 ! 15 April 2012 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 14 Of course it would take some time. But the direction of a nations economy and debt would have, at that point, been reversed and would start to stabilise out. It would not be easy and there would be a multitude of problems. A considerable amount of confusion and a lot of work on the detail, but moving through that in a disciplined way would ensure that a country could restore balance to its economy. It could be done. A gold standard provides stability to a nation and, indeed, would provide stability to the entire planet, when put into place. It will only take one county to start it and this is very likely to be China or one of the prominent Asian nations. China is now the worlds biggest producer of gold and is also importing as much as India and on track to be the biggest owner of gold on the planet. They seem determined to reduce their foreign debt, which is mostly in eroding US dollars, and increase their asset wealth through gold. It is probably only a matter of time until they decide to stabilise their currency and we may well see the first nation with a gold standard taking first place in the economic world The US, losing its place as leader in the economic world and losing the US dollar as the reserve currency of the world will in all likelihood have to follow suit to keep the value of their dollar from eroding further and losing the strategic trade value of their dollar. Other countries are looking at it and some, trading with gold and other currencies, are obviously preparing to drop the US dollar as the worlds reserve currency. The door will then be open for a new gold standard. Michael Moore