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COMP ANY NOT E

Au g u s t 1 4 , 2 0 1 4
Ignite Restaurant Group (IRG) Neutral
Rebalancing Act: Downgrading IRG Shares To Neutral
PRICE: US$8.13
Note: Price as of the close August 14,
2014.
TARGET: US$8.00
~9x FY15E ev/EBITDA of $39M (net debt
$125M and 26M s/o)
Nicole Miller Regan
Sr Research Analyst, Piper Jaffray & Co.
612 303-6637, nmr@pjc.com
Joshua C. Long, CFA
Research Analyst, Piper Jaffray & Co.
612 303-6928, joshua.c.long@pjc.com
Changes Previous Current
Rating Overweight Neutral
Price Tgt US$14.00 US$8.00
FY14E Rev (mil) US$845.3
FY15E Rev (mil) US$879.5 US$856.3
FY14E EPS US$(0.17) US$(0.18)
FY15E EPS US$0.26 US$(0.14)
52-Week High / Low US$17.50 / US$7.60
Shares Out (mil) 25.7
Market Cap. (mil) US$208.9
Avg Daily Vol (000) 89
Book Value/Share US$4.06
Net Cash Per Share NA
Debt to Total Capital 55%
Div (ann) NA
Fiscal Year End Dec
Price Performance - 1 Year
Aug-13 Oct-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Aug-14
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
USD
Source: Bloomberg
CONCLUSI ON
We continue to view the restaurant industry as investable, but are revisiting our thesis on
some of our covered companies today in an effort to re-align and rebalance expectations.
Specific to IRG shares, we are downgrading our rating to Neutral from Overweight
and lowering our target to $8 from $14. While we remain encouraged by the long-term
growth profile of the company's entire portfolio, we are discouraged by the softness in
the core Joe's Crab Shack business. This, along with inherent uncertainties in timing
related to the ongoing Macaroni Grill turnaround, delays our expectation for consistent
financial performance. Albeit positive, the Brick House comp performance is not enough
to overcome our more muted expectations at the larger Joe's brand and specifically as
it relates to operating margin recovery of the consolidated Ignite system. Our target
remains based on ~9x FY15E EV/EBITDA.

Rebalancing Act: We continue to view the restaurant industry as investable but


are revisiting our thesis on some of our covered companies in an effort to re-align
and rebalance expectations given the disparity of 2Q14 results and ensuing stock
reactions. Specific to IRG, we are downgrading our rating to Neutral from OW and
lowering our PT to $8 from $14. While we remain encouraged by the long-term
growth profile of IRG's entire portfolio, we are discouraged by the softness in the core
Joe's Crab Shack business as surprisingly announced late last week. This, along with
inherent uncertainties in timing related to the ongoing Macaroni Grill turnaround,
delays our expectation for consistent financial performance. Albeit positive, the Brick
House comp performance is not enough to overcome our more muted expectations,
specifically as it relates to operating mgn recovery of the broader restaurant portfolio.

Lowering forward estimates: We are largely maintaining our FY14 estimate, now a
penny lower due to increased interest expense. We are lowering our FY15 EPS est
to ($0.14) vs. $0.26 prior. Our FY15 ests reflect more muted top line assumptions,
with our system-wide comp of +0.4% as compared to +2.1% prior. Changes to
our FY15 bottom-line ests largely reflect a 0.5% operating margin vs. 1.9% prior as
the recent softness at Joe's paired with the inherent uncertainties of timing in the
Macaroni Grill turnaround leave us with limited visibility into a path to consistent
financial performance. Our model also reflects the interest associated with the new
credit facility, as announced yesterday.

Restaurant industry remains investable: While we thematically believe the broader


restaurant space remains relevant and investable during the remainder of this
favorable cycle, we hold no expectation that all operators (and therefore stocks) within
the industry should benefit equally. Specific to IRG shares, we note that sitting on the
sidelines now could lead to meaningful missed upside should a recovery of both Joe's
Crab Shack and Macaroni Grill play out sooner than we currently expect.
RI SKS TO ACHI EVEMENT OF PRI CE TARGET
Risks include regional concentrations, crab commodity concentration at JCS, alcohol
sales concentration at BHTT and the inherent risks of recently acquiring RMG.
COMPANY DESCRI PTI ON
Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc. is the owner of a portfolio of casual-dining concepts,
including Joe's Crab Shack, Brick House Tavern+Tap, and Romano's Macaroni Grill.
YEAR
2013A
2014E
2015E
REVENUE (US$ m)
Mar Jun Sep Dec FY FY RM
118.2 228.1 227.6 186.9 760.8 0.3x
214.9A 229.8A 216.6 184.0 845.3 0.2x
215.3 233.0 220.5 187.5 856.3 0.2x
EARNINGS PER SHARE (US$)
Mar Jun Sep Dec FY FY P/E
0.11 0.04 (0.04) (0.16) (0.04) NM
0.01A 0.08A (0.01) (0.26) (0.18) NM
(0.01) 0.08 0.01 (0.22) (0.14) NM
Page 1 of 4 Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc.
Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware
that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decisions. This report should be read in conjunction with important disclosure
information, including an attestation under Regulation Analyst certification, found on pages 3 - 4 of this report or at the following
site: http://www.piperjaffray.com/researchdisclosures.
Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc.
Earnings Model 2013 Actual 2014 Estimate 2015 Estimate Fiscal Year Ended December
Fiscal Year Ended December 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14E 4Q14E 1Q15E 2Q15E 3Q15E 4Q15E 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
Revised 08/14/14 ($ millions) 03/30/13 06/30/13 09/30/13 12/31/13 03/30/14 06/30/14 09/30/14 12/31/14 03/30/15 06/30/15 09/30/15 12/31/15 52-wks 52-wks 52-wks 52-wks
Joe's Crab Shack (2.0%) +0.7% +3.3% +1.9% (6.0%) (4.7%) (5.0%) (5.0%) +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +2.2% +1.0% (5.2%) +0.0%
Brick House Tavern + Tap +3.9% +6.4% +4.0% +6.6% +10.0% +8.5% +8.0% +8.0% +4.0% +4.0% +4.0% +4.0% +3.2% +5.2% +8.6% +4.0%
Romano's Macaroni Grill na (7.4%) (2.7%) (9.0%) (4.1%) (2.6%) (8.0%) +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% +0.0% na (6.4%) (3.7%) +0.0%
System SSS: (1.4%) (2.5%) +0.7% (3.9%) (4.2%) (3.1%) (5.7%) (1.5%) +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +2.2% (1.8%) (3.4%) +0.4%
INCOME STATEMENT
Net Revenues 118.2 228.1 227.6 186.9 214.9 229.8 216.6 184.0 215.3 233.0 220.5 187.5 465.1 760.8 845.3 856.3
Cost of Sales 36.3 66.8 69.2 55.3 63.4 70.7 67.2 57.0 63.5 69.9 66.2 58.1 145.5 227.6 258.3 257.7
Labor 31.9 71.5 69.9 60.0 66.8 69.0 65.0 58.9 65.7 68.8 66.2 60.0 127.3 233.3 259.7 260.6
Occupancy 8.6 18.9 20.0 19.3 19.5 19.6 19.5 18.4 19.4 18.6 18.8 17.8 33.8 66.7 76.9 74.7
Other Operating Expenses 21.8 48.0 48.0 41.5 44.0 47.5 44.6 39.6 44.1 47.8 45.3 39.4 81.2 159.3 175.6 176.6
Restaurant Profit 19.7 22.9 20.5 10.7 21.1 23.1 20.4 10.1 22.6 27.9 24.1 12.2 77.2 73.8 74.7 86.7
G&A 9.3 11.8 12.1 11.7 12.3 11.2 11.6 11.7 11.8 12.8 12.1 10.3 29.1 44.9 46.7 47.1
D&A 4.8 7.4 7.5 7.8 8.1 7.9 8.7 9.2 8.6 9.3 8.8 7.5 18.6 27.5 33.9 34.3
Pre-Opening Expenses 1.1 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.9 4.8 1.9 0.9
Impairment/Disposal or Other 0.2 0.2 1.4 - 0.3 0.3 - - - - - - 0.6 1.8 0.6 -
Operating Profit 4.3 2.1 (1.9) (9.6) 0.3 3.1 (0.5) (11.2) 1.9 5.5 2.9 (5.8) 25.1 (5.2) (8.4) 4.5
Interest Expense/(Income), net 0.4 (1.3) 1.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.4 8.1 1.9 8.0 9.8
Pre-Tax Income 3.9 3.3 (2.9) (11.4) (1.6) 1.3 (2.7) (13.4) (0.4) 2.9 0.5 (8.2) 17.0 (7.1) (16.4) (5.3)
Income Tax/(Benefit) 1.0 2.3 (2.0) (7.3) (2.0) (0.6) (2.5) (6.8) (0.1) 0.9 0.1 (2.5) 2.3 (6.0) (11.9) (1.6)
Operating Net Income 2.9 1.0 (0.9) (4.1) 0.3 2.0 (0.2) (6.7) (0.3) 2.1 0.3 (5.8) 14.7 (1.1) (4.6) (3.7)
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) (0.5) (3.4) (1.0) 0.3 (0.6) (0.2) - - - - - - (6.1) (4.6) (0.8) -
Reported Net Income 2.4 $ (2.4) $ (2.0) $ (4.4) $ (0.3) $ 1.8 $ (0.2) $ (6.7) $ (0.3) $ 2.1 $ 0.3 $ (5.8) $ 8.7 $ (5.7) $ (5.4) $ (3.7) $
Shares Outstanding 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.6 25.7 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.8 25.6 25.6 25.7 25.8
EBITDA 9.1 9.4 5.6 (1.8) 8.4 11.0 8.1 (2.0) 10.5 14.8 11.7 1.7 43.7 22.3 25.5 38.8
EPS--Operating 0.11 $ 0.04 $ (0.04) $ (0.16) $ 0.01 $ 0.08 $ (0.01) $ (0.26) $ (0.01) $ 0.08 $ 0.01 $ (0.22) $ 0.57 $ (0.04) $ (0.18) $ (0.14) $
EPS--Extraordinary (0.02) $ (0.13) $ (0.04) $ 0.01 $ (0.02) $ (0.01) $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ (0.24) $ (0.18) $ (0.03) $ - $
EPS--Reported 0.09 $ (0.10) $ (0.08) $ (0.17) $ (0.01) $ 0.07 $ (0.01) $ (0.26) $ (0.01) $ 0.08 $ 0.01 $ (0.22) $ 0.34 $ (0.25) $ (0.21) $ (0.14) $
MARGIN ANALYSIS
Net Revenues 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Cost of Sales 30.7% 29.3% 30.4% 29.6% 29.5% 30.8% 31.0% 31.0% 29.5% 30.0% 30.0% 31.0% 31.3% 29.9% 30.6% 30.1%
Labor 27.0% 31.3% 30.7% 32.1% 31.1% 30.0% 30.0% 32.0% 30.5% 29.5% 30.0% 32.0% 27.4% 30.7% 30.7% 30.4%
Occupancy 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.3% 9.1% 8.5% 9.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 8.5% 9.5% 7.3% 8.8% 9.1% 8.7%
Other Operating Expenses 18.4% 21.1% 21.1% 22.2% 20.5% 20.6% 20.6% 21.5% 20.5% 20.5% 20.5% 21.0% 17.5% 20.9% 20.8% 20.6%
Restaurant Profit 16.6% 10.1% 9.0% 5.7% 9.8% 10.0% 9.4% 5.5% 10.5% 12.0% 10.9% 6.5% 16.6% 9.7% 8.8% 10.1%
G&A 7.8% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 5.7% 4.9% 5.4% 6.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.5%
D&A 4.1% 3.2% 3.3% 4.2% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0%
Pre-Opening Expenses 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Impairment/Disposal or Other 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Operating Profit 3.6% 0.9% (0.8%) (5.1%) 0.1% 1.3% (0.2%) (6.1%) 0.9% 2.4% 1.3% (3.1%) 5.4% (0.7%) (1.0%) 0.5%
Interest Expense/(Income), net 0.3% (0.6%) 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1%
Pre-Tax Income 3.3% 1.5% (1.3%) (6.1%) (0.8%) 0.6% (1.2%) (7.3%) (0.2%) 1.3% 0.2% (4.4%) 3.7% (0.9%) (1.9%) (0.6%)
Income Tax/(Benefit) 24.9% 70.0% 67.9% 64.3% (120.5%) (48.9%) (91.7%) (50.4%) 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 13.4% 84.6% (72.1%) 30.0%
Operating Net Income 2.5% 0.4% (0.4%) (2.2%) 0.2% 0.9% (0.1%) (3.6%) (0.1%) 0.9% 0.2% (3.1%) 3.2% (0.1%) (0.5%) (0.4%)
EBITDA 7.7% 4.1% 2.5% -1.0% 3.9% 4.8% 3.8% (1.1%) 4.9% 6.4% 5.3% 0.9% 9.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.5%
YEAR-OVER-YEAR % CHANGE
Net Revenues 14.3% 90.3% 76.3% 65.9% 81.7% 0.8% (4.8%) (1.5%) 0.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 14.8% 63.6% 11.1% 1.3%
Operating Net Income 54.3% (86.4%) (110.1%) 4.3% 101.8% (1.2%) (7.0%) (4.7%) 0.3% 0.7% 1.5% (0.5%) 78.6% (107.5%) 317.0% (19.7%)
EPS--Operating 54.3% (86.4%) (110.1%) 4.2% 7.5% 0.7% (0.8%) (5.7%) 6.9% 20.7% 18.3% 20.4% 78.6% (107.5%) 314.9% (19.8%)
EBITDA 7.1% (41.1%) (67.7%) (195.3%) 32.4% (5.1%) (3.9%) (0.5%) (3.5%) 14.4% 4.6% (11.8%) 35.9% (48.9%) 14.2% 52.0%
Unit Growth: System 142.4% 139.2% 135.9% 136.1% 0.3% (2.0%) (1.8%) (1.2%) (0.6%) 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 6.3% 128.1% (1.1%) 0.3%
UNIT DATA
Joe's Crab Shack 132 135 137 136 136 136 138 138 138 138 138 138 135 142 144 144
Brick House 14 16 16 20 20 20 22 23 23 25 27 28 18 23 26 31
Romano's Macaroni Grill 186 186 184 179 177 174 171 170 170 169 167 166 - 179 170 166
Total Company-Owned Units 332 337 337 335 333 330 331 331 331 332 332 332 153 344 340 341
Franchised: RMG 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 - 5 5 5
Total Units 337 342 342 340 338 335 336 336 336 337 337 337 153 349 345 346
RLM ASSUMPTIONS (illustrative only)
Core Business (Joe's and Brick House) 16.6% 18.3% 19.4% 10.0% 16.0% 14.2% 12.0% 3.9% 15.0% 15.9% 13.3% 6.2% 16.6% 16.1% 11.5% 12.6%
Romano's Macaroni Grill na (3.7%) (7.9%) 1.0% 1.7% 3.0% 4.5% 7.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% na (3.5%) 4.2% 5.5%
Blended Restaurant-Level Margin 16.6% 10.0% 9.0% 5.7% 9.9% 10.0% 9.4% 5.5% 10.5% 12.0% 10.9% 6.5% 16.6% 10.1% 8.6% 9.9%
Core Business (Joe's and Brick House) 100% 62% 62% 53% 57% 62% 65% 55% 60% 64% 67% 57% 100% 69% 60% 62%
Romano's Macaroni Grill nm 38% 38% 47% 43% 38% 35% 45% 40% 36% 33% 43% nm 31% 40% 38%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Source: Company reports and Piper Jaffray & Co. estimates.
Current disclosure information for this company is located at: http://www.piperjaffray.com/researchdisclosures Nicole Miller Regan (612) 303-6637
Page 2 of 4 Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc.
COMP ANY NOT E
Au g u s t 1 4 , 2 0 1 4
IMPORTANT RESEARCH DISCLOSURES
Notes: The boxes on the Rating and Price Target History chart above indicate the date of the Research Note, the rating, and the price target. Each
box represents a date on which an analyst made a change to a rating or price target, except for the first box, which may only represent the first Note
written during the past three years.
Legend:
I: Initiating Coverage
R: Resuming Coverage
T: Transferring Coverage
D: Discontinuing Coverage
S: Suspending Coverage
OW: Overweight
N: Neutral
UW: Underweight
NA: Not Available
UR: Under Review
Distribution of Ratings/IB Services
Piper Jaffray
IB Serv./Past 12 Mos.
Rating Count Percent Count Percent
BUY [OW]
362 61.56 94 25.97
HOLD [N]
215 36.56 22 10.23
SELL [UW]
11 1.87 0 0.00

Note: Distribution of Ratings/IB Services shows the number of companies currently in each rating category from which Piper Jaffray and its affiliates
received compensation for investment banking services within the past 12 months. FINRA rules require disclosure of which ratings most closely
correspond with "buy," "hold," and "sell" recommendations. Piper Jaffray ratings are not the equivalent of buy, hold or sell, but instead represent
recommended relative weightings. Nevertheless, Overweight corresponds most closely with buy, Neutral with hold and Underweight with sell. See
Stock Rating definitions below.
Analyst Certification Nicole Miller Regan, Sr Research Analyst
Analyst Certification Joshua C. Long, CFA, Research Analyst
The views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company and the subject security. In addition, no part of
my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this report.
Page 3 of 4 Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc.
COMP ANY NOT E
Au g u s t 1 4 , 2 0 1 4
Research Disclosures
Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc. at the time this research report was published. Piper Jaffray will
buy and sell Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc. securities on a principal basis.
Within the past 3 years Piper Jaffray participated in a public offering of, or acted as a dealer manager for, Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc. securities.
Piper Jaffray research analysts receive compensation that is based, in part, on overall firm revenues, which include investment banking revenues.
Rating Definitions
Stock Ratings: Piper Jaffray ratings are indicators of expected total return (price appreciation plus dividend) within the next 12 months. At times
analysts may specify a different investment horizon or may include additional investment time horizons for specific stocks. Stock performance
is measured relative to the group of stocks covered by each analyst. Lists of the stocks covered by each are available at www.piperjaffray.com/
researchdisclosures. Stock ratings and/or stock coverage may be suspended from time to time in the event that there is no active analyst opinion
or analyst coverage, but the opinion or coverage is expected to resume. Research reports and ratings should not be relied upon as individual
investment advice. As always, an investors decision to buy or sell a security must depend on individual circumstances, including existing holdings,
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information about a particular stock to clients or internal trading desks reflecting different opinions than those expressed by the research
analyst. In addition, Piper Jaffray technical research products are based on different methodologies and may contradict the opinions contained
in fundamental research reports.

Overweight (OW): Anticipated to outperform relative to the median of the group of stocks covered by the analyst.

Neutral (N): Anticipated to perform in line relative to the median of the group of stocks covered by the analyst.

Underweight (UW): Anticipated to underperform relative to the median of the group of stocks covered by the analyst.
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Page 4 of 4 Ignite Restaurant Group, Inc.

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