2013 October 7 Survey of Crimean Public Opinion, May 16-30, 2013

1
International Republican Institute

Baltic Surveys Ltd./The Gallup Organization
Rating Group Ukraine
with funding from the
United States Agency for International Development
Public Opinion Survey Residents of the
Autonomous Republic of Crimea
May 16 30, 2013
2
Methodology
The survey was conducted by the Baltic Surveys/Gallup on behalf of the International Republican Institute.
The fieldwork was carried out by Rating Group Ukraine. The fieldwork was done during May 1630, 2013,
through face-to-face in-home interviews with the respondents. The survey was conducted in the Autonomous
Republic of Crimea, including the capital and all major regional centers and the city of Sevastopol.

The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent Crimea residents older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote and is
representative of the general population by age, gender, education and religion.

The sample design was a multi-stage random sample:
-Stage one: Crimea is divided into official administrative regions. All regions of Crimea were
surveyed.
-Stage two: Settlements were selected - towns and villages. Towns were divided into subtypes
according to the size of population (large, medium, small). There were no more than 10-12
interviews in each village. This stage, among others, had the following tasks: to represent
the structure of urban settlements (based on the types of towns) and to represent each of the
regions. Towns were selected randomly. The settlement selection stage was implemented on
the basis of the town's population. Villages were selected randomly.
- Stage three: primary sampling units were described. The households were selected using
the random route method. The closest birthday rule was used for selection of the respondent.
The response rate was 61 percent.
The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.8 percent.
Some charts may not round to 100 percent due to rounding.

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine CRIMEA RESIDENTS SURVEY, May 2013
3
MOOD OF THE
AUTONOMOUS REPUBLIC
OF CRIMEA
4
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in the right direction or wrong
direction?
11
80
62
62
14
26
14
6
24
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Nov 2009
Oct 2011
May 2013
Right direction Wrong direction DK/NA
5
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Crimea are going in the right direction or wrong
direction?
61 17 22
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
May 2013
Right direction Wrong direction DK/NA
6
Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your
household changed?
1
1
4
3
15
23
39
52
30
39
21
41
15
9
1
3
2
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Nov 2009
Oct 2011
May 2013
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot DK/NA
7
In the next 12 months, how do you expect the economic situation in
Crimea to change?
1
1
8
5
16
29
31
46
24
30
15
27
11
5
11
23
18
0
0 20 40 60 80 100
Nov 2009
Oct 2011
May 2013
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot DK/NA
% % % % % %
8
Regardless of your passport, what do you consider yourself?
28
24
14
15
45
40 1
15
8
5
2 3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Oct 2011
May 2013
Crimean Ukrainian Russian Crimean-Tatar Other DK/NA
% % % % % % % % % % %
9
24
19
29
42
15
66
3
8
40
10
63
19
15
100
5
5
4
29
1
1
2
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ALL
RESPONDENTS
ETHNICITY
Ukrainian
Russian
Crimean Tatar
Other
Crimean Ukrainian Russian Crimean-Tatar Other DK/NA
24
19
10
37
16
36
23
12
15
11
21
14
16
13
14
18
40
55
56
36
31
31
50
41
15
3
5
10
33
17
5
23
5
11
7
2
3
3
7
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ALL RESPONDENTS
TYPE OF SETTLEMENT
Sevastopol
Simferopol
Other town
Rural area
REGIONS
East
South
West
Regardless of your passport, what do you consider yourself?
10
ISSUES
11
Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for
Crimea?
68
50
37
37
36
12
11
8
8
5
5
5
4
4
4
2
2
Unemployment
Control over price growth
Low industry production
Corruption within the state bodies
Social protection for poor
Relations with Russia
Government incompetence
Delay in salary/pension payments
Political instability
Crime
Rights to land ownership
Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Hryvnia devaluation
Russian language status
Interethnic relations
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
Other
12
Please tell me, which three of the following issues are the most important for
you personally?
65
59
38
21
18
16
12
8
7
7
6
6
6
6
2
2
10
1
Unemployment
Control over price growth
Social protection for poor
Corruption within the state bodies
Delay in salary/pension payments
Low industry production
Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Crime
Political instability
Government incompetence
Hryvnia devaluation
Russian language status
Russian Black Sea Navy presence
Other
DK/NA
13
Do you think it is acceptable or not if some groups of people use the following
methods of protests? How acceptable is each of these forms?

67
55
50
42
23
21
23
15
27
39
43
48
69
71
68
77
6
6
7
10
8
9
9
8
Collecting signatures for
petition, letter
Legal demonstrations
Legal strikes
Boycott
Demonstrations without
permission
Strikes without permission
Blocking of major roads
Occupation of buildings or
enterprises
Acceptable Not acceptable DK/NA
14
If Ukraine was able to enter only one international economic union, which entity
should it be with?
17 53 8 22
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
May 2013
The European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other DK/NA
% % % % % % % % % % %
15
How would you evaluate your attitude to the following entities?

68
14
13
10
6
26
70
61
77
68
5
15
23
12
24
1
1
3
1
2
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Russia
European Union
Turkey
Poland
USA
Warm Neutral Cold DK/NA
16
How would you evaluate current relations between Ukraine and Russia?
4
6
15
9
23
16
34
26
12
22
5
12 1
6
8
0 20 40 60 80 100
May 2013
Oct 2011
Friendly Good neighbor Quite warm Neutral Cold Tense Hostile DK/NA
% % % % % %
17
In your opinion, what should the status of Crimea be?
49
53
4
12
6
2
33
23
8
10
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Oct 2011
May 2013
Autonomy in Ukraine (as today) Crimean Tatar autonomy within Ukraine
Common oblast of Ukraine Crimea should be separated and given to Russia
DK/NA
17
% % % % % % % % % % %
18
Land ownership is a very important issue in Crimea. Many Crimean
Tartars believe they should be allocated land by the government to
compensate for the deportation. Do you agree or disagree with this opinion?
10
6
13
8
7
6
11
18
28
56
59
43
14
9
10
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Nov 2009
Oct 2011
May 2013
Stronlgy agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree DK/NA
18 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, Rating Group Ukraine CRIMEA RESIDENTS SURVEY, May 2013
19
Do you believe tension between Crimean Tatars and non-Tatar Crimean
residents has increased or decreased during the last 12 months?
6
5
9
8
44
40
29
35
12
12
0 20 40 60 80 100
Oct 2011
May 2013
Has increased Has decreased No changes There is no tension DK/NA
19
% % % % % %
20
How would you evaluate the level of Ukraines involvement into solution of
the Crimean Tatars problems?
Does not deal at all
13%
Fully sufficient
14%
DK/NA
29%
Rather insufficient
7%
Rather sufficient
37%
21
In your opinion, are ethnic Crimeans sufficiently represented in the Crimean
authority bodies?
Definitely yes
28%
Definitely no
2%
DK/NA
26%
Rather no
12%
Rather yes
32%
22
Are you going to take part in the elections of Kurultai* delegates of the
Crimean Tatar people?
Crimean Tatars, n=184
DK/NA
38%
Definitely no
2%
Definitely yes
28%
Rather no
3%
Rather yes
29%
*The Kurultai is a 250-person elected body that is responsible for serving as the elected advocacy body for the Crimean Tatar people.
23
In your opinion, has your nationality influenced your employment
prospects?
DK/NA
42%
Has influenced
positively
2%
Hasnt had any
influence
45%
Has influenced
negatively
11%
24
Who should be in charge of organizing memorial events dedicated to the
memory of genocide of the Crimean Tatar people?
DK/NA
36%
Other
3%
Mejlis* of the
Crimean Tatar people
36%
Authority bodies
18%
Opposition to the
Mejlis of the Crimean
Tatar people
7%
*The Mejlis is the central executive body of the Kurultai of Crimean Tatars, living in their homeland of Crimea, Ukraine.
25
There is a provision in Ukrainian legislation that requires a rayon council to address
an issue if it is raised in a citizen initiated public hearing. Are you aware of this
provision in the law or have you ever taken part in a public hearing?
1
1
4
14
10
14 59
15
22
23
67
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
May 2013
Oct 2011
Nov 2009
Yes, I have participated in a public hearing
Yes, I am aware of this provision but I have not participated in a public hearing
No, I am not aware of this provision and have not participated in a public hearing
DK/NA
25
% % % % % % % % % % %
26
POLITICS
27
If pre-term parliamentary elections were announced today, would you vote in such
elections?
Definitely yes
29%
Rather no
15%
Definitely no
23%
DK/NA
6%
Rather yes
27%
28
Would you participate in the presidential election, if it were to take place next
Sunday?
Definitely yes
33%
Rather no
22%
Definitely no
12%
DK/NA
9%
Rather yes
24%
29
In your opinion, has the situation in the following areas improved or worsened during
last two years?
76
61
56
54
51
49
47
44
44
42
41
40
34
33
26
24
16
16
15
20
31
38
36
38
36
38
42
40
36
45
43
44
43
56
54
63
59
73
3
3
5
8
4
13
12
11
4
18
11
6
18
19
15
19
17
12
5
1
5
1
2
7
2
3
3
12
4
3
10
4
5
3
3
4
13
7
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Prices
Healthcare
Housing and communal services
Employment
Agriculture
Economy of Ukraine
Fight against corruption
Stability of hryvnia
Social protection
Fight against criminality
Small and medium business
Government competence
Political stability
Salary/pension payments
Situation with languages
European integration of Ukraine
Worsened Stayed the same Improved DK/NA
30
MASS MEDIA
31
On average, how many times per week do you use Internet?
16
23
19
4
7
15
6
9
14
6
5
7
6
3
4
57
52
40
5
1
1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Nov 2009
Oct 2011
May 2013
Every day 5-6 times per week 3-4 times per week 1-2 times per week Less often Never DK/NA
% % % % % % % % % % %
32
SELF-PERCEIVED
SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATUS
33
What can you say about the financial status of your family?
5.5
7
19
23.5
27
26
48
39
28
19
21
18
2
3 1 4
5
1
2
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
May 2013
Oct 2011
Nov 2009
Need to save money for food
Enough money for food but it is necessary to save or borrow money for buying clothes and shoes
Enough money for food and necessary clothes and shoes. It is necessary to save or borrow money for such purchases as a
good suit, a mobile phone or a vacuum cleaner
Enough money for food, buying clothes, shoes and other purchases. It is necessary to save or borrow money for purchasing
more expensive things (such as a laundry machine or a refrigerator)
Enough money for food, buying clothes, shoes and expensive purchases. It is necessary to save or borrow money for
purchases like a car or an apartment
I can buy anything at any time
DK/NA
34
SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS
35
Gender
Male
45%
Female
55%
Age groups
50+
43%
18-29
23%
30-49
34%
36
Education
University, higher
29%
General secondary
21%
Primary
1%
Vocational secondary
41%
Non-complete
secondary
4%
Non-complete higher
4%
Membership in a political party or nongovernmental
organization
Member of a
nongovernmental
organization
1%
None
96%
Member of a party
3%
37
Attendance of religious service
Few times a week
3%
Once a week
7%
Once a month
10%
A few times per year
37%
Never
43%
Religion
Orthodox
58%
Muslim
15%
Atheist
2%
Other
2%
I believe in God but
don't belong to any
religion
10%
DK/NA
13%
38
Sector of employment
Private sector
37%
Don't work
50%
State sector
13%
Public non-government
sector
0.3%
Occupation
Student
7%
Housewife
8%
Unemployed
6%
Other
4%
Higher and medium
level executive
1%
Pensioner
25%
White collar
29%
Blue collar
16%
Farmer
4%
39
Language usually spoken at home
Russian and other
equally
3%
Ukrainian and Russian
equally
3%
Crimean Tatar
10%
Ukrainian
2%
Russian
82%
Ethnicity
Other
6%
Crimean Tatar
15%
Ukrainian
20%
Russian
59%
40
SETTLEMENT
Rural areas
31%
Other towns
38%
Sevastopol
16%
Simferopol
15%

2013 October 7 Survey of Crimean Public Opinion, May 16-30, 2013

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International Republican Institute

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