ECON1203 FINAL EXAM TOPICS OVERVIEW Blair Wang BIT12
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS GAMES & PROBABILITY
Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Frequency distributions and histograms Shapes of distributions Describing bivariate relations Central tendency (location) Dispersion (spread) Association Linear regression, incl. OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) Data collection, incl. random sampling Probability distributions incl. marginal, conditional, joint Independence defined as P(Y|X) = P(Y) Replacement when sampling Random variables Discrete prob. dist. Mathematical expectation Discrete probability dist. e.g. Binomial 4 requirements for Binomial (n trials, Bernoulli, outcomes assigned prob., independent trials) Meaning of iid. Continuous probability dist. e.g. uniform pdf f(x) and Cdf F(x) Normal dist. Normal approx. to the Binomial Estimators incl. properties INFERENCE FROM SAMPLES REGRESSION & CHI-SQUARED Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Sampling error as param. minus statistic SDOM (x-bar) CLT states SDOM~N() for n>30 regardless of underlying dist. Standard error (se) as sigma for SDOM CI, incl. rv nature and half-width formula (Z_alpha/2)*(/sqrt(n)) Introduction to confidence level as 1- alpha Hypothesis Testing Type I and II errors, incl. alpha and beta notation and conditional prob. notation P-values Power of test incl. twin x- bar dist's diagram Student's t dist. for (underlying != normal && n < 30), incl. v=df=n-1 Sampling dist. of sampling proportion P~N(p, pq/n) based on X~N(np, npq) Equation components incl. (in)dependent (explanatory) variables, disturbances/errors 7 assumptions of classical linear regression Engel curve (income- expenditure rel'ship) Variance decomposition SST=SSR+SSE (total = regression + error) and the derived R^2 SEE (se of estimate) as estimator for sigma in Lin. Reg. Inference and explanatory power Dummy variable to test Boolean condition Prediction in linear regression as Y = E(Y|X) + epsilon Theta transformation Interpretation of "partial regression coeffs" as ceteris-paribus marginal effect Multiple regression model incl. A8 "Linear" referring to coeffs, not variables Hypothesis testing - Excel reports coeff=0 Non-linear relationships e.g. "age and age^2" Adjusted R^2 which considers n and #variables used Good regression presentation reports SEE (se) instead of t-stat or P-value (Excel has all) Chi-squared dist. as hypothesis test for population sigma^2 Chi-squared for goodness of fit and contingency model, incl. df based on #cells, expanding % to n, and "multinomial" concept