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Future of the Mexican Defense Industry - Market

Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts
to 2019






Summary
The Future of the Mexican Defense Industry Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019
published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast
Mexican Defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of
industry leading companies, and key news.
Key Findings
The Mexican annual defense budget, valued at US$6.9 billion in 2014, is expected to grow at an estimated CAGR of
12.93% over the forecast period, to reach US$11.6 billion in 2019
The countrys growing defense expenditure is reflected in the ongoing modernization drive to replace its aging military
hardware, especially the aircraft fleet
Key opportunities for equipment suppliers are expected in areas such as transport aircraft and helicopters, UAVs, naval
vessels, surveillance equipment, and special operation helicopters
The defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase at an average of 0.57% over the forecast period
from an average of 0.48% in the historic period
Mexican homeland security (HLS) expenditure stands at US$5.7 billion in 2014 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of
9.92% over the forecast period, to reach US$8.8 billion in 2019

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Defense-Industry-Market-Attractiveness-Competitive-Landscape-and-
Forecasts
Published: Sep 2014 No. Of Pages: 115 Pages
PDF: $1250 Site Licence: $2500 Enterprise Wide Licence: $3750

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Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Mexican defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five
years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges
faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:
Mexican defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Mexican defense industry during 2015
2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of
the countrys spending patterns and modernization patterns
Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a
breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced
by the defense market participants within the country
Porters Five Forces analysis of the Mexican defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the
bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to
entry
Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years
Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Mexican defense industry. It
provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial
analysis
Reasons To Buy
This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the
Mexican defense industry market trends for the coming five years
The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to
generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the
expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products,
alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total
competitive landscape of the sector
A deep qualitative analysis of the Mexican defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five
Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts




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Table Of Content
1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12.93% during 2015-2019
3.1.2. The governments fight against drug trafficking to drive defense expenditure in the forecast period
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to reach 0.63% by 2019
3.1.4. Per capita defense expenditure forecast to increase over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure anticipated to increase during 2015-2019
3.2.2. Mexicos capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22.15% during the forecast period
3.2.3. The army accounts for the majority of the defense budget
3.2.4. Budget allocation for the army higher than the navy and the air force
3.2.5. Air Force to cumulatively spend US$5.6 billion during 2015-2019
3.2.6. Naval defense budget projected to grow at an estimated CAGR of 11.72%
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.92% during 2015-2019
3.3.2. Revenue expenditure is expected to increase in the forecast period
3.3.3. Organized crime and money laundering to drive the HLS market
3.3.4. Mexico considered at some risk of terrorist attack
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Mexicos defense budget expected to increase over the forecast period
3.4.2. Mexicos military expenditure is limited compared to countries with the largest defense expenditures
3.4.3. Mexico allocates a low percentage of GDP to defense
3.4.4. Mexico suffers some risk level of terrorist activity
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Military Helicopters
3.5.2. Police Modernization
3.5.3. Training Aircraft
3.5.4. Biometric Systems
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities drives the countrys defense imports

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4.1.2. The US a major arms supplier to Mexico during 2009-2013
4.1.3. Aircraft to dominate the Mexican defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Mexico does not export arms due to an underdeveloped domestic arms industry
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: medium
5.1.3. Barriers to entry: low
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Mexico has not disclosed any offset obligations
6.1.2. Mexico allows 100% FDI in defense industry
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign OEMs prefer direct selling to enter the market
6.2.2. Military collaborations provides good market entry opportunities
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency impedes the growth of Mexicos defense industry
6.3.2. Lack of domestic defense technological know-how acts as a deterrent to market entry
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Productos Mendoza: overview
7.2.2. Productos Mendoza: products
7.2.3. Aviabaltika de Mexico Company: overview
7.2.4. Aviabaltika de Mexico Company: products and services
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.6. Lending Rate
8.2.7. Real Interest Rate
8.2.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

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8.2.9. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.10. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.12. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.13. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.15. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.16. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.17. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.18. International reserves, including gold
8.2.19. Mexican External Debt
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.8. Petroleum Consumption
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
8.8. Technology
8.8.1. Fixed Broadband Internet Subscribers
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer


List Of Tables
Table 1: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 2: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 3: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2010-2014
Table 4: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2015-2019

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Table 5: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,
2010-2014
Table 6: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,
2015-2019
Table 7: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure(US$), 2010-2014
Table 8: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure(US$), 2015-2019
Table 9: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Table 10: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Table 11: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 12: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 13: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (in MXN billion), 2010-2014
Table 14: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (in MXN billion), 2015-2019
Table 15: Mexican Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2010-2014
Table 16: Mexican Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2015-2019
Table 17: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 18: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 19: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (MXN Billion), 2010-2014
Table 20: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (MXN Billion), 2015-2019
Table 21: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 22: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 23: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (MXN Billion), 2010-2014
Table 24: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (MXN Billion), 2015-2019
Table 25: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Table 26: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Table 27: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (MXN Billion), 2010-2014
Table 28: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (MXN Billion), 2015-2019
Table 29: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Table 30: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Table 31: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (in MXN billion),2010-2014
Table 32: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (in MXN billion), 2015-2019
Table 33: Mexican Homeland Security Budget Split (%), 2010-2014
Table 34: Mexican Homeland Security Budget Split (%), 2015-2019
Table 35: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Table36: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 37: Productos Mendoza - Product Focus
Table 38: Aviabaltika de Mexico Company - Products and Services

List Of Figures
Figure 1: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 2: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 3: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2010-2014

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Figure 4: Mexican Defense Expenditure (in MXN billion), 2015-2019
Figure 5: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2010-
2014
Figure 6: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP, 2015-
2019
Figure 7: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure(US$), 2010-2014
Figure 8: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure(US$), 2015-2019
Figure 9: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010-2014
Figure 10: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015-2019
Figure 11: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion),2010-2014
Figure 12: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 13: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (in MXN billion), 2010-2014
Figure 14: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (in MXN billion), 2015-2019
Figure 15: Mexican Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2010-2014
Figure 16: Mexican Defense Budget Breakdown (%), 2015-2019
Figure 17: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 18: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 19: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (MXN Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 20: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Army (MXN Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 21: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 22: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 23: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (MXN Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 24: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Air Force (MXN Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 25: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 26: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (US$ Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 27: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (MXN Billion), 2010-2014
Figure 28: Mexican Defense Budget Allocation for the Navy (MXN Billion), 2015-2019
Figure 29: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010-2014
Figure 30: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015-2019
Figure 31: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (in MXN billion), 2010-2014
Figure 32: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (in MXN billion), 2015-2019
Figure 33: Mexican Homeland Security Budget Split (%), 2010-2014
Figure 34: Mexican Homeland Security Budget Split (%), 2015-2019
Figure 35: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014
Figure 36: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014
Figure 37: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2010-2014 vs. 2015-2019
Figure 38: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019
Figure 39: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014
Figure 40: Military Helicopter Market Size (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 41: Police Modernization Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 42: Training Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2014-2024
Figure 43: Biometric Systems Market Size (US$ Million), 2014-2024

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Figure 44: Mexican Defense Imports (TIV values) 2009-2013
Figure 45: Mexican Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009-2013
Figure 46: Mexican Defense Imports by Category (%),2009-2013
Figure 47: Industry Dynamics Porters Five Forces Analysis
Figure 48: Mexican Rural Population (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 49: Mexican Urban Population (In Millions), 2010-2019
Figure 50: Mexican Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 51: Mexican GDP Per Capita, 2005-2014
Figure 52: Mexican GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2010-2019
Figure 53: Mexican Consumer Price Index, 2008-2017
Figure 54: Mexican Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
Figure 55: Local Currency per Euro, 2008-2017
Figure 56: Lending Rate, 2003-2012
Figure 57: Real Interest Rate, 2003-2012
Figure 58: Mexican Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 59: Mexican Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2002-2011
Figure 60: Mexican Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 61: Mexican Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 62: Mexican Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 63: MexicanService Imports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 64: Mexican Service Exports as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 65: Mexican Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 66: Mexican Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 67: Mexican Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002-2011
Figure 68: Mexican International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002-2011
Figure 69: Mexican External Debt 2001-2010
Figure 70: Mexican Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
Figure 71: Mexican Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 72: Mexican Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 73: Mexican Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001-2010
Figure 74: Mexican Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
Figure 75: Mexican Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002-2011
Figure 76: Mexican Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 77: Mexican Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003-2012
Figure 78: Mexican Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2002-2011
Figure 79: Mexican Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 80: Mexican Patents Granted, 2003-2012
Figure 81: Mexican Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
Figure 82: Mexican Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2002-2011
Figure 83: Mexican Fixed Broadband Internet Subscribers (Thousands), 2002-2011


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