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threats of IS to the region at large. But the immediate danger for Israel does
not seem to be significant. Most of the organization's presence in Syria is
currently centered in the country's northeast, the farthest area from the
Israeli border. Other jihadist groups pose a more immediate threat: IS's
advances have pushed other rebel groups, such as the al Qaeda-affiliate alNusra Front, toward the Israeli border. And Sinai-based jihadists have
encroached on Israel's border with Egypt, but they're mostly yesterday's
news. Today, the bogeyman du jour is the Islamic State. Israeli security
agencies are now apparently worried that a few dozen Israeli Arab citizens
might have traveled to Syria to help the rebels, but it remains to be seen
whether more than a couple actually joined IS.
Despite the growing concern, it should not come as a surprise that the
Netanyahu government has not yet taken any immediate steps against IS.
The government has only announced that the organization would be
considered illegal in Israel and the Palestinian territories, and decided to
focus intelligence-gathering on the group's activities in Syria and Lebanon.
But while IS might not present an imminent threat at home, Netanyahu has
been extremely eager to aid the Arab world in the battle against the group.
Last week, the prime minister confirmed media reports that Israel was
supplying intelligence to the new anti-IS international coalition. Jerusalem
no doubt has useful information to contribute: For decades, it focused on
acquiring first-rate intelligence about events in Syria, which it considered its
toughest enemy.
President Barack Obama thus may face a problem similar to the one George
H. W. Bush encountered before the 1991 Gulf War: Israeli participation risks
alienating critical members of the coalition, such as the Saudis (and in this
case, in a limited way, perhaps even Iran). For that reason, the United
States may seek to keep Israel's participation as low profile as possible.
The benefits Netanyahu receives by securing himself a place in Obama's
new coalition are equally clear: He is looking to position Israel at the
vanguard of the Western fight against terrorism, not as some archaic relic of
colonialist occupation, as Israel is sometimes described in European
circles.The prime minister regularly emphasizes thesimilarities between IS
and Hamas, portraying bothorganizations as part of the same continuum of
Islamist extremism. Hamas played into his hands by panicking and publicly
executing -- albeit by a simple shot to the head and not by beheading -about 20 Gaza residents it accused of being Israeli collaborators. The
images from Gaza and Syria, shown within 48 hours of each other, looked
strikingly similar; you could hardly separate one hooded executioner from
the other.
At the same time, Netanyahu finds it useful to encourage an Israeli political
debate regarding the possible threats in the region. The prime minister
wants "billions more" shekels for defense, locking him in a feud with
Finance Minister Yair Lapid, who wants to curtail the Israel Defense Forces'
financial expectations in order to avoid tax increases. If security threats are
seen as Israel's paramount concern, then Israelis would likely still consider
Netanyahu the right leader to deal with the situation -- and he could
continue focusing on defense, while blocking demands for major economic
changes.
The Islamic State, then, is essentially the proof of Netanyahu's argument
that danger is lurking everywhere for Israel. After all, who would have
guessed that an organization so large and brutal would appear out of
nowhere within such a short time? Netanyahu is convinced that this could
happen again -- and that, a bit like the case of Monty Python'sSpanish
Inquisition, nobody expects the Islamic State.
EPA/ARIEL SCHALIT / POOL
Posted by Thavam