Jess de la Herrn Andreas Putz Perspective Customer Value Management The Path to Proftable Growth in Telecom Booz & Company Contact Information Amsterdam Steven Pattheeuws Senior Executive Advisor +31-62-279-1964 steven.pattheeuws@booz.com Beirut Bahjat El-Darwiche Partner +961-1-985-655 bahjat.eldarwiche@booz.com Dubai Karim Sabbagh Senior Partner +971-4-390-0260 karim.sabbagh@booz.com Houston Kenny Kurtzman Senior Partner +1-713-650-4175 kenny.kurtzman@booz.com Madrid Jos Arias Partner +34-91-411-5121 jose.arias@booz.com Jos Antonio Tortosa Partner +34-91-563-7693 joseantonio.tortosa@booz.com Jess de la Herrn Principal +34-91-411-8624 Jesus.delaherran@booz.com Melbourne Simon Gillies Partner +61-3-9221-1903 simon.gillies@booz.com Milan Luigi Pugliese Managing Partner +39-02-72-50-9303 luigi.pugliese@booz.com Moscow Steffen Leistner Partner +7-985-368-7888 steffen.leistner@booz.com Mumbai Ashish Sharma Principal +91-98-9997-8128 ashish.sharma2@booz.com Munich Martin Reitenspiess Partner +49-89-54525-522 martin.reitenspiess@booz.com New York Christopher Vollmer Partner +1-212-551-6794 christopher.vollmer@booz.com Paris Pierre Pladeau Partner +33-1-44-34-3074 pierre.peladeau@booz.com Tokyo Toshiya Imai Partner +81-3-6757-8600 toshiya.imai@booz.com Vienna Andreas Putz Principal +43-664-5152-908 andreas.putz@booz.com Also contributing to this Perspective was Booz & Company partner Jos Arias. 1 Booz & Company EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As the telecommunications industry becomes even more competitive, operators are struggling to fnd paths to proftable growth. Markets are saturated, new subscribers are getting more expensive to acquire, and current subscribers are apt to leave (churn out) in their search for a better deal. In this business environment, operators need to stop depending solely on metrics such as gross adds and market share to measure growth. Instead, they need to develop a capability we call customer value management (CVM) a holistic way of evaluating individual subscribers in terms of their overall proftability, now and in the future. This capability covers subscribers at every stage of their relationship with their operator, and should be considered by mobile, fxed, and integrated telecom companies. Relying on a combination of tactics, including customer payback period, budget rebalancing, tailored customer rewards, and cross- and up-selling campaigns, CVM has the potential to boost EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) as much as 5 percentage points among certain customer segments, which is no small amount for operators determined to boost earnings. 2 Booz & Company Most telecom operators in devel- oped economies around the world continue to struggle to maintain proftability. Their markets are almost entirely saturated, especially in mobile telephony, where intense competition has led to penetration rates as high as 150 percent. As a result, average revenue per user (ARPU) is declining, and churn is on the rise. Yet the need for capital investments remains high, and the cost of acquiring and retaining customers keeps increasing. Thus, few operators are increasing their customer base, and fewer still have been able to boost the proftability of the customers they do have. Spending the money to replace customers churning out of the base only results in lower ARPU overall and thus further delays the time it takes to recapture the cost of acquiring them. Clearly, the industrys long- standing orientation toward boosting market share, increasing the number of subscribers, and thus focusing on gross adds is no longer working. If operators want to keep growing profts, they will have to focus not just on market share but on the value of each and every customer in their current base. To do so, they will need to take a page from online retailers, which have already signifcantly advanced what we call customer value management, or CVM. CVM techniques help companies analyze which customers are the most valuable, and why. Indeed, this approach will soon become a key capability in a world where the potential customer base simply isnt getting any bigger. COMPETITIVE PRESSURES If operators want to keep growing profts, they will have to focus not just on market share but on the value of each and every customer in their current base. 3 Booz & Company Most telecom operators have already set up business intelligence (BI) units and analytical teams. Their goal is to leverage the large sets of operational and customer data at their disposal in order to derive reports and recommendations on traditional measures, such as gross adds, while ensuring that legal requirements for data security and privacy are met. Most BI initiatives, however, have not succeeded in analyzing the mountains of data at the level of depth and breadth required, or at the speed required, to help in extracting the maximum value from customers. CVM, on the other hand, is a methodology that looks at customers from a holistic point of view, weaving together technology and business processes to develop a complete view of every individual customer. Thus, CVM is designed to address the major activities that bear on the revenue and profitability potential of telecom customers: (1) the effort to acquire new customers, (2) the challenge of retaining them, and (3) the various means of increasing their value. At the same time, the program should operate sequentially. That is, when the level of saturation increases in a particular market, shrinking the potential for adding new customers, operators should switch to an emphasis on the A VALUE ORIENTATION 4 Booz & Company second and third elementsand the resources in terms of both people and money devoted to each element should be shifted accordingly. The financial impact of each of the three areas will vary depending on the current state of the operators CVM effort and the nature of the operators business, whether fixed-line, mobile, or both (see Exhibit 1). Source: Booz & Company analysis Exhibit 1 CVM Improvement Areas and Trigger Points Turnover 2012 Existing Customer Base Changes Churn & Retention Gross Adds Turnover 2011 Turnover - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for devices - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Activation of options Trigger Points Upside Downside - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for device replacement - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Commitment logic - Rotational churn - Tariff migration logic and migration fee - Cross- and up-selling - Activation and deactivation - Provision of credits - Top-up frequency - Terms & conditions - Service fee adjustment - Collections - Subscriber acquisition costs - Number of new customers - Value - Subscriber retention costs - Number of lost customers - Value - Positive and negative transactions - Number of retained customers - Value 11.0 million = Subheads or highlighted text in Subheads Guidelines: alkdflka = Plain text / Body copy in Content Bullet points as dashes with tab position 32.8% = numbers in Data (Black) 30.1% = just white text on 100 % color TABLE HEADINGS A4 format: - width for 3 columns: 169 mm = 6.654 in - width for 2 columns: 111 mm = 4.37 in Letter format: - width for 3 columns: 167,64 mm = 6.6 in - width for 2 columns: 110,35 mm = 4.343 in Lines: 0,5 pt Lines for legend: 0,5 pt dotted, black Note: Please always delete all unused colors, after creating the exhibit, otherwise InDesign will import the spot colors of this Illustrator file. These colors cant be deleted in InDesign. Thanks. Approved Colors, Tints and Patterns: Market Segment Electronic Components Electronic Products Software & IT Services Network Operations Intermediation Media & Content Line Weights: 0,5 pt 0,75 pt 1 pt Arrows: Line Textures: solid dashed dotted Description Here, revenues derive from companies producing the silicon parts, cabling, and other individual components that are then assembled by electronic products players to create a final product. Revenues come from assembling hardware products, including telecommunications equipment, computers and peripherals, mobile handsets, and other consumer electronics. Revenues come from developing enterprise and consumer software and applications, and from providing telecom and IT services. This segment is made up of companies that derive revenue by providing access to fixed and mobile voice and data networks, and from operating cable and satellite TV broadcasting networks. Revenues stem from Internet players that intermediate between people, information, services, and merchants, including revenues generated from online advertising. Revenues come from direct-to-consumer retail such as newsstand and DVD sales), subscriptions, and advertising. Examples of Industry Players with Primary Focus in Segment Hon Hai (Foxconn), Intel, Panasonic Alcatel-Lucent, Apple, Ericsson, Lenovo, Nokia, Sony Infosys, Microsoft, NTT Data, Oracle, SAP AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefnica, Verizon, Vodafone AOL, eBay, Google, IAC/InterActiveCorp, Yahoo News Corp., Thomson Reuters, Time Warner, Viacom, Walt Disney REVENUE VS. ENTERPRISE VALUE (FY 11 VS. 31/12/2011 ENTERPRISE VALUE) EV/Revenues Ratio 1.1 0.7 35% 43% 10% 14% 32% 18% 15% 12% 7% Electronic Components Player Revenues 2% Enterprise Value 8% 5% Network Operations Intermediation 100% Media & Content Software & IT Services Electronic Products 1.9 1.6 3.8 1.6 TMT REVENUES BY MARKET SEGMENT (BILLIONS OF US$) +8.1% +11% -3% +8% Media & Content Intermediation Network Operations Software & IT Services Electronic Products Electronic Components FY11 5,851 364 (6.2%) 122 (2.1%) 1,904 (32.5%) 997 (17.0%) 1,429 (24.4%) 1,035 (17.7%) FY10 5,411 318 100 1,740 935 1,285 1,033 FY09 4,873 308 85 1,638 891 1,142 808 FY08 5,031 322 84 1,621 859 1,295 850 FY07 4,664 285 75 1,515 762 1,198 830 CAGR 0711 5.8% Absolute Difference 1,187 205 79 5.7% 6.3% 4.5% 389 5.9% 47 13.1% 235 6.9% 232 Growth 1011 8.1% 0.2% 14.4% 9.4% 22.6% 6.7% 11.2%
5 Booz & Company * This EBITDA improvement was achieved within three years. Source: Booz & Company analysis Exhibit 2 Improvement in EBIDTA as a Result of Selected CVM Programs Turnover 2012 Existing Customer Base Changes Churn & Retention Gross Adds Turnover 2011 Turnover - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for devices - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Activation of options Trigger Points Upside Downside - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for device replacement - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Commitment logic - Rotational churn - Tariff migration logic and migration fee - Cross- and up-selling - Activation and deactivation - Provision of credits - Top-up frequency - Terms & conditions - Service fee adjustment - Collections - Subscriber acquisition costs - Number of new customers - Value - Subscriber retention costs - Number of lost customers - Value - Positive and negative transactions - Number of retained customers - Value 3.1 4.8 3.0 3.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 EBITDA Improvement (percentage points) 3% 5% Latin American Mobile Operator (ARPU Increase) European Fixed/Mobile Operator (Retention Cost) European Operator CVM Mobile European Fixed/Mobile Operator Cross- and Up-Selling Only 4.9* European Operator CVM Mobile 11.0 million = Subheads or highlighted text in Subheads Guidelines: alkdflka = Plain text / Body copy in Content Bullet points as dashes with tab position 32.8% = numbers in Data (Black) 30.1% = just white text on 100 % color TABLE HEADINGS A4 format: - width for 3 columns: 169 mm = 6.654 in - width for 2 columns: 111 mm = 4.37 in Letter format: - width for 3 columns: 167,64 mm = 6.6 in - width for 2 columns: 110,35 mm = 4.343 in Lines: 0,5 pt Lines for legend: 0,5 pt dotted, black Note: Please always delete all unused colors, after creating the exhibit, otherwise InDesign will import the spot colors of this Illustrator file. These colors cant be deleted in InDesign. Thanks. Approved Colors, Tints and Patterns: Market Segment Electronic Components Electronic Products Software & IT Services Network Operations Intermediation Media & Content Line Weights: 0,5 pt 0,75 pt 1 pt Arrows: Line Textures: solid dashed dotted Description Here, revenues derive from companies producing the silicon parts, cabling, and other individual components that are then assembled by electronic products players to create a final product. Revenues come from assembling hardware products, including telecommunications equipment, computers and peripherals, mobile handsets, and other consumer electronics. Revenues come from developing enterprise and consumer software and applications, and from providing telecom and IT services. This segment is made up of companies that derive revenue by providing access to fixed and mobile voice and data networks, and from operating cable and satellite TV broadcasting networks. Revenues stem from Internet players that intermediate between people, information, services, and merchants, including revenues generated from online advertising. Revenues come from direct-to-consumer retail such as newsstand and DVD sales), subscriptions, and advertising. Examples of Industry Players with Primary Focus in Segment Hon Hai (Foxconn), Intel, Panasonic Alcatel-Lucent, Apple, Ericsson, Lenovo, Nokia, Sony Infosys, Microsoft, NTT Data, Oracle, SAP AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefnica, Verizon, Vodafone AOL, eBay, Google, IAC/InterActiveCorp, Yahoo News Corp., Thomson Reuters, Time Warner, Viacom, Walt Disney REVENUE VS. ENTERPRISE VALUE (FY 11 VS. 31/12/2011 ENTERPRISE VALUE) EV/Revenues Ratio 1.1 0.7 35% 43% 10% 14% 32% 18% 15% 12% 7% Electronic Components Player Revenues 2% Enterprise Value 8% 5% Network Operations Intermediation 100% Media & Content Software & IT Services Electronic Products 1.9 1.6 3.8 1.6 TMT REVENUES BY MARKET SEGMENT (BILLIONS OF US$) +8.1% +11% -3% +8% Media & Content Intermediation Network Operations Software & IT Services Electronic Products Electronic Components FY11 5,851 364 (6.2%) 122 (2.1%) 1,904 (32.5%) 997 (17.0%) 1,429 (24.4%) 1,035 (17.7%) FY10 5,411 318 100 1,740 935 1,285 1,033 FY09 4,873 308 85 1,638 891 1,142 808 FY08 5,031 322 84 1,621 859 1,295 850 FY07 4,664 285 75 1,515 762 1,198 830 CAGR 0711 5.8% Absolute Difference 1,187 205 79 5.7% 6.3% 4.5% 389 5.9% 47 13.1% 235 6.9% 232 Growth 1011 8.1% 0.2% 14.4% 9.4% 22.6% 6.7% 11.2%
Any of these elements can be applied by mobile, fixed, or integrated operators, although the impact of each trigger will differ depending on the nature of the business. Deriving greater value by optimizing mobile subscriber acquisition costs (SAC) with a focus on the devices offered, for example, is far more complex than sorting out offers of a limited number of set-top boxes in the fixed-line business. Once a CVM program is imple- mented, it typically yields an improvement in EBITDA of at least 3 percentage points, and in some cases as much as 5 percentage points (see Exhibit 2). And as the exhibit makes clear, these results are for targeted CVM customer segments only. A holistic program addressing all the possible levers will likely yield significantly higher returns. 6 Booz & Company No matter which of the three target areas the CVM program is aimed at, development of the program should begin with a thorough response to several key questions regarding the number and nature of the customers to be considered as part of the project, and the value considerations driving the investment levels required to deliver the desired results. Customers: What selection mechanism should be used to qualify customers and customer segments for each campaign? How many customers and customer segments should be addressed by the programs initiatives and cam- paigns, and how often should they be tapped? How should the customers and customer segments to be excluded from various campaigns be deter- mined? Might certain customers whose loyalty is doubtful not yield suffcient payback? How do you distinguish between loyal and disloyal groups of customers? What causes different customers to become loyal or disloyal? Value: How much money should be invested in each trigger area per customer and segment in order to boost ARPU? How much money should be invested in each customer in order to yield a return within the custom- ers life cycle? How should the payback from multiple investments in the same customer be measured? Can the program determine whether the amounts invested in each customer support the overall objective, rather than simply lower- ing ARPU? How easily can customers lower their costs by manipulating service offers? Are there barriers in place to minimize such losses? THE INITIAL ANALYSIS Development of a CVM program should begin with a thorough response to several key questions regarding the number and nature of the customers to be considered as part of the project. 7 Booz & Company The goal of asking the initial ques- tions discussed above is to set the terms for the breadth and depth of the overall CVM program. The pro- grams benefts, however, will be a function of the analysis itself, as the following fve value levers make clear. Payback period: The time it takes to restore a customer to proftabil- ity given the subsidies provided for the devices he or she chooses, and the commissions paid to dealers to attract and retain customers, has a real effect on the bottom line. Thus, determining the appropriate length of time before payback begins is key. Results will vary, but in one case, the operator was able to save 15 percent of the cost of acquiring new subscribers by avoiding payback times longer than eight months. Even cutting off the long tail of payback periods beyond 12 months resulted in substantial savings (see Exhibit 3). FIVE LEVERS Turnover 2012 Existing Customer Base Changes Churn & Retention Gross Adds Turnover 2011 Turnover - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for devices - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Activation of options Trigger Points Upside Downside - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for device replacement - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Commitment logic - Rotational churn - Tariff migration logic and migration fee - Cross- and up-selling - Activation and deactivation - Provision of credits - Top-up frequency - Terms & conditions - Service fee adjustment - Collections - Subscriber acquisition costs - Number of new customers - Value - Subscriber retention costs - Number of lost customers - Value - Positive and negative transactions - Number of retained customers - Value 3.1 4.8 3.0 3.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 EBITDA Improvement (percentage points) 3% 5% Latin American Mobile Operator (ARPU Increase) European Operator CVM Mobile European Fixed/Mobile Operator Cross- and Up-Selling Only 4.9* European Operator CVM Mobile Millions of * Payback (months) 5 10 15 20 25 Cutting off the payback period at eight months yields greater than 40 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Cutting off the payback period at 12 months yields greater than 20 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. 11.0 million = Subheads or highlighted text in Subheads Guidelines: alkdflka = Plain text / Body copy in Content Bullet points as dashes with tab position 32.8% = numbers in Data (Black) 30.1% = just white text on 100 % color TABLE HEADINGS A4 format: - width for 3 columns: 169 mm = 6.654 in - width for 2 columns: 111 mm = 4.37 in Letter format: - width for 3 columns: 167,64 mm = 6.6 in - width for 2 columns: 110,35 mm = 4.343 in Lines: 0,5 pt Lines for legend: 0,5 pt dotted, black Note: Please always delete all unused colors, after creating the exhibit, otherwise InDesign will import the spot colors of this Illustrator file. These colors cant be deleted in InDesign. Thanks. Approved Colors, Tints and Patterns: Market Segment Electronic Components Electronic Products Software & IT Services Network Operations Intermediation Media & Content Line Weights: 0,5 pt 0,75 pt 1 pt Arrows: Line Textures: solid dashed dotted Description Here, revenues derive from companies producing the silicon parts, cabling, and other individual components that are then assembled by electronic products players to create a final product. Revenues come from assembling hardware products, including telecommunications equipment, computers and peripherals, mobile handsets, and other consumer electronics. Revenues come from developing enterprise and consumer software and applications, and from providing telecom and IT services. This segment is made up of companies that derive revenue by providing access to fixed and mobile voice and data networks, and from operating cable and satellite TV broadcasting networks. Revenues stem from Internet players that intermediate between people, information, services, and merchants, including revenues generated from online advertising. Revenues come from direct-to-consumer retail such as newsstand and DVD sales), subscriptions, and advertising. Examples of Industry Players with Primary Focus in Segment Hon Hai (Foxconn), Intel, Panasonic Alcatel-Lucent, Apple, Ericsson, Lenovo, Nokia, Sony Infosys, Microsoft, NTT Data, Oracle, SAP AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefnica, Verizon, Vodafone AOL, eBay, Google, IAC/InterActiveCorp, Yahoo News Corp., Thomson Reuters, Time Warner, Viacom, Walt Disney REVENUE VS. ENTERPRISE VALUE (FY 11 VS. 31/12/2011 ENTERPRISE VALUE) EV/Revenues Ratio 1.1 0.7 35% 43% 10% 14% 32% 18% 15% 12% 7% Electronic Components Player Revenues 2% Enterprise Value 8% 5% Network Operations Intermediation 100% Media & Content Software & IT Services Electronic Products 1.9 1.6 3.8 1.6 TMT REVENUES BY MARKET SEGMENT (BILLIONS OF US$) +8.1% +11% -3% +8% Media & Content Intermediation Network Operations Software & IT Services Electronic Products Electronic Components FY11 5,851 364 (6.2%) 122 (2.1%) 1,904 (32.5%) 997 (17.0%) 1,429 (24.4%) 1,035 (17.7%) FY10 5,411 318 100 1,740 935 1,285 1,033 FY09 4,873 308 85 1,638 891 1,142 808 FY08 5,031 322 84 1,621 859 1,295 850 FY07 4,664 285 75 1,515 762 1,198 830 CAGR 0711 5.8% Absolute Difference 1,187 205 79 5.7% 6.3% 4.5% 389 5.9% 47 13.1% 235 6.9% 232 Growth 1011 8.1% 0.2% 14.4% 9.4% 22.6% 6.7% 11.2%
*Note: The actual amount of savings depends on the size of the operator and its budget for acquiring new subscribers. Source: Booz & Company analysis Exhibit 3 The Effect of Different Payback Periods on Proftability (An Example From One Company) 8 Booz & Company In order to ensure that they get the greatest return from this lever, operators need to regularly review the payback times of their custom- ers, and work both to shorten them and to rebalance new-customer cred- its and the subsidies they provide for devices. To do so, they need to regularly test the price elasticity of certain customers and customer seg- ments with regard to subsidies and credits. Dealer commissions, too, have an effect on payback, so they must be carefully set to ensure prof- itability. The process of managing the payback period must be strictly governed, and the necessary payback calculations must be included in the business case for every segment. Budget rebalancing: As noted earlier, as operators refocus their atten- tion from a concern with market share to a concentration on their existing customer base, they must rebalance their budgets accordingly. Too often, operators have made the strategic shift yet kept their high subscriber acquisition costs, and they have made little effort to spend similar sums on retaining existing customers. In highly competitive markets, the ARPU of new customers is usually lower than that of churners. This is because the cost of acquiring new customers is usually higher than the cost of retaining customers, and new customers typically have the latest, most competitive tariffs. So in these markets, where the churn rate is increasing and the rate of gross adds is declining, a rebalancing of the budget is required. We recommend testing customer reactions to various fees and subsidies by running pilots with small samples of customers in the most important segments. Tariff migration logic: When cus- tomers want to upgrade or down- grade their subscription plans, it has long been common practice for operators to allow them to migrate at no cost to plans with higher monthly fees, while either prohibit- ing them from moving to plans with lower monthly fees or charging them for the change. This approach, how- ever, is simply not proftable. Our analysis shows that 50 percent of customers who upgraded at no cost actually generated less revenue than customers who didnt upgrade. If operators are to turn this situation around, they must assess each indi- vidual customers eligibility to move to a different plan, by simulating their ARPU under all the available plans. At the same time, they must ban all ARPU downgrades during a fxed contract period. Tailored customer rewards: Giving out credits and other rewards to entice customers to return or to stay is a common practice among opera- tors, and particularly among inde- pendent dealers. Clearly, it is critical to keep customers from receiving double and even multiple rewards, but doing so requires a holistic understanding of each customers past behavior and the implementa- tion of strict rules governing who can and cannot receive rewards, and under what circumstances. Dedicated campaigns must be imple- mented for each individual customer retention and win-back effort, which must include the rules determining when additional rewards are permit- ted. The IT systems controlling these campaigns must be able to track double rewards in order to iden- tify potential misusenot just by customers but by dealers and agents as well. Cross- and up-selling campaigns: Many operators approach the process of cross- and up-selling to existing customers by frst defn- ing a campaign and then selecting customers who appear to more or less ft it. If such campaigns are to 9 Booz & Company Source: Booz & Company analysis Exhibit 4 Cross-Selling and Up-Selling Campaigns Should Be Focused on the Customer, Not the Product or Device Turnover 2012 Existing Customer Base Changes Churn & Retention Gross Adds Turnover 2011 Turnover - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for devices - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Activation of options Trigger Points Upside Downside - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for device replacement - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Commitment logic - Rotational churn - Tariff migration logic and migration fee - Cross- and up-selling - Activation and deactivation - Provision of credits - Top-up frequency - Terms & conditions - Service fee adjustment - Collections - Subscriber acquisition costs - Number of new customers - Value - Subscriber retention costs - Number of lost customers - Value - Positive and negative transactions - Number of retained customers - Value 3.1 4.8 3.0 3.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 EBITDA Improvement (percentage points) 3% 5% Latin American Mobile Operator (ARPU Increase) European Operator CVM Mobile European Fixed/Mobile Operator Cross- and Up-Selling Only 4.9* European Operator CVM Mobile Millions of * Payback (months) 5 10 15 20 25 Cutting off the payback period at eight months yields greater than 40 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Cutting off the payback period at 12 months yields greater than 20 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Criterion: Which customers will buy offering with ARPU lift? CUSTOMERS CUSTOMERS "New School" Campaign Approach, Focused on Customers "Old School" Campaign Approach, Focused on Products and Devices PRODUCTS AND DEVICES Outbound & Inbound Calls SMS Point of Service E-Mail/Web Mailing CUSTOMERS Criterion: Which offering and channel best fits individual customers? Devices Outbound & Inbound Calls SMS E-Mail/Web Mailing Point of Service Device #1 Device #2 Device #3 11.0 million = Subheads or highlighted text in Subheads Guidelines: alkdflka = Plain text / Body copy in Content Bullet points as dashes with tab position 32.8% = numbers in Data (Black) 30.1% = just white text on 100 % color TABLE HEADINGS A4 format: - width for 3 columns: 169 mm = 6.654 in - width for 2 columns: 111 mm = 4.37 in Letter format: - width for 3 columns: 167,64 mm = 6.6 in - width for 2 columns: 110,35 mm = 4.343 in Lines: 0,5 pt Lines for legend: 0,5 pt dotted, black Note: Please always delete all unused colors, after creating the exhibit, otherwise InDesign will import the spot colors of this Illustrator file. These colors cant be deleted in InDesign. Thanks. Approved Colors, Tints and Patterns: Market Segment Electronic Components Electronic Products Software & IT Services Network Operations Intermediation Media & Content Line Weights: 0,5 pt 0,75 pt 1 pt Arrows: Line Textures: solid dashed dotted Description Here, revenues derive from companies producing the silicon parts, cabling, and other individual components that are then assembled by electronic products players to create a final product. Revenues come from assembling hardware products, including telecommunications equipment, computers and peripherals, mobile handsets, and other consumer electronics. Revenues come from developing enterprise and consumer software and applications, and from providing telecom and IT services. This segment is made up of companies that derive revenue by providing access to fixed and mobile voice and data networks, and from operating cable and satellite TV broadcasting networks. Revenues stem from Internet players that intermediate between people, information, services, and merchants, including revenues generated from online advertising. Revenues come from direct-to-consumer retail such as newsstand and DVD sales), subscriptions, and advertising. Examples of Industry Players with Primary Focus in Segment Hon Hai (Foxconn), Intel, Panasonic Alcatel-Lucent, Apple, Ericsson, Lenovo, Nokia, Sony Infosys, Microsoft, NTT Data, Oracle, SAP AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefnica, Verizon, Vodafone AOL, eBay, Google, IAC/InterActiveCorp, Yahoo News Corp., Thomson Reuters, Time Warner, Viacom, Walt Disney REVENUE VS. ENTERPRISE VALUE (FY 11 VS. 31/12/2011 ENTERPRISE VALUE) EV/Revenues Ratio 1.1 0.7 35% 43% 10% 14% 32% 18% 15% 12% 7% Electronic Components Player Revenues 2% Enterprise Value 8% 5% Network Operations Intermediation 100% Media & Content Software & IT Services Electronic Products 1.9 1.6 3.8 1.6 TMT REVENUES BY MARKET SEGMENT (BILLIONS OF US$) +8.1% +11% -3% +8% Media & Content Intermediation Network Operations Software & IT Services Electronic Products Electronic Components FY11 5,851 364 (6.2%) 122 (2.1%) 1,904 (32.5%) 997 (17.0%) 1,429 (24.4%) 1,035 (17.7%) FY10 5,411 318 100 1,740 935 1,285 1,033 FY09 4,873 308 85 1,638 891 1,142 808 FY08 5,031 322 84 1,621 859 1,295 850 FY07 4,664 285 75 1,515 762 1,198 830 CAGR 0711 5.8% Absolute Difference 1,187 205 79 5.7% 6.3% 4.5% 389 5.9% 47 13.1% 235 6.9% 232 Growth 1011 8.1% 0.2% 14.4% 9.4% 22.6% 6.7% 11.2%
yield higher returns, operators must defne a tailored offer for each indi- vidual customer, based on his or her individual affnities and value, that includes several options, perhaps from the frst to the third best. This approach can improve the success rate of such campaigns signifcantly (see Exhibit 4). In addition to ensuring that cam- paigns are individualized, sev- eral other key levers can further boost the proftability of existing customers: Alignment of channel activities: How many different touch points do you have with customers, and are they aligned with one another? Optimization of customer con- tacts: Are your contacts with cus- tomers as productive as possible, through every channel? Improvement of product portfo- lio: Are the products and services you offer customers suffciently appealing to attract and keep them? 10 Booz & Company The effort to launch and run a competitive CVM program requires a systematic approach that begins with building the proper analytical capabilities, and putting together a team with the necessary expertise and talent to ensure that it works. Adjustments to both business processes and IT systems will also be necessary as the operator shifts over to the new approach. Managing CVM successfully will require that the company budgeting and reporting are focused more on what drives value rather than on market-share numbers such as gross adds or average ARPU. Operators must also concentrate their measurement and reporting efforts on value drivers such as the value of each retained customer and the value lost when a customer churns away. Finally, the entire company must be converted to the new way of doing business, through training, a change management program, and appropriate incentives (see Exhibit 5). KEY CAPABILITIES Source: Booz & Company analysis Exhibit 5 Key Elements of a CVM Program Turnover 2012 Existing Customer Base Changes Churn & Retention Gross Adds Turnover 2011 Turnover - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for devices - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Activation of options Trigger Points Upside Downside - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for device replacement - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Commitment logic - Rotational churn - Tariff migration logic and migration fee - Cross- and up-selling - Activation and deactivation - Provision of credits - Top-up frequency - Terms & conditions - Service fee adjustment - Collections - Subscriber acquisition costs - Number of new customers - Value - Subscriber retention costs - Number of lost customers - Value - Positive and negative transactions - Number of retained customers - Value 3.1 4.8 3.0 3.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 EBITDA Improvement (percentage points) 3% 5% Latin American Mobile Operator (ARPU Increase) European Operator CVM Mobile European Fixed/Mobile Operator Cross- and Up-Selling Only 4.9* European Operator CVM Mobile Millions of * Payback (months) 5 10 15 20 25 Cutting off the payback period at eight months yields greater than 40 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Cutting off the payback period at 12 months yields greater than 20 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Criterion: Which customers will buy offering with ARPU lift? CUSTOMERS CUSTOMERS New School Customer-Focused Campaign Approach Old School Product-Focused Campaign Approach DEVICES Outbound & Inbound Calls SMS Point of Service E-Mail/Web Mailing CUSTOMER Criterion: Which offering and channel best fits individual customers? Devices Outbound & Inbound Calls SMS E-Mail/Web Mailing Point of Service Device #1 Device #2 Device #3 Systems Budgeting/ KPI Dashboard Behavioral Change CUSTOMER VALUE MANAGEMENT Training People & Know-How Incentive & Performance Management Data Analysis Capabilities 11.0 million = Subheads or highlighted text in Subheads Guidelines: alkdflka = Plain text / Body copy in Content Bullet points as dashes with tab position 32.8% = numbers in Data (Black) 30.1% = just white text on 100 % color TABLE HEADINGS A4 format: - width for 3 columns: 169 mm = 6.654 in - width for 2 columns: 111 mm = 4.37 in Letter format: - width for 3 columns: 167,64 mm = 6.6 in - width for 2 columns: 110,35 mm = 4.343 in Lines: 0,5 pt Lines for legend: 0,5 pt dotted, black Note: Please always delete all unused colors, after creating the exhibit, otherwise InDesign will import the spot colors of this Illustrator file. These colors cant be deleted in InDesign. Thanks. Approved Colors, Tints and Patterns: Market Segment Electronic Components Electronic Products Software & IT Services Network Operations Intermediation Media & Content Line Weights: 0,5 pt 0,75 pt 1 pt Arrows: Line Textures: solid dashed dotted Description Here, revenues derive from companies producing the silicon parts, cabling, and other individual components that are then assembled by electronic products players to create a final product. Revenues come from assembling hardware products, including telecommunications equipment, computers and peripherals, mobile handsets, and other consumer electronics. Revenues come from developing enterprise and consumer software and applications, and from providing telecom and IT services. This segment is made up of companies that derive revenue by providing access to fixed and mobile voice and data networks, and from operating cable and satellite TV broadcasting networks. Revenues stem from Internet players that intermediate between people, information, services, and merchants, including revenues generated from online advertising. Revenues come from direct-to-consumer retail such as newsstand and DVD sales), subscriptions, and advertising. Examples of Industry Players with Primary Focus in Segment Hon Hai (Foxconn), Intel, Panasonic Alcatel-Lucent, Apple, Ericsson, Lenovo, Nokia, Sony Infosys, Microsoft, NTT Data, Oracle, SAP AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefnica, Verizon, Vodafone AOL, eBay, Google, IAC/InterActiveCorp, Yahoo News Corp., Thomson Reuters, Time Warner, Viacom, Walt Disney REVENUE VS. ENTERPRISE VALUE (FY 11 VS. 31/12/2011 ENTERPRISE VALUE) EV/Revenues Ratio 1.1 0.7 35% 43% 10% 14% 32% 18% 15% 12% 7% Electronic Components Player Revenues 2% Enterprise Value 8% 5% Network Operations Intermediation 100% Media & Content Software & IT Services Electronic Products 1.9 1.6 3.8 1.6 TMT REVENUES BY MARKET SEGMENT (BILLIONS OF US$) +8.1% +11% -3% +8% Media & Content Intermediation Network Operations Software & IT Services Electronic Products Electronic Components FY11 5,851 364 (6.2%) 122 (2.1%) 1,904 (32.5%) 997 (17.0%) 1,429 (24.4%) 1,035 (17.7%) FY10 5,411 318 100 1,740 935 1,285 1,033 FY09 4,873 308 85 1,638 891 1,142 808 FY08 5,031 322 84 1,621 859 1,295 850 FY07 4,664 285 75 1,515 762 1,198 830 CAGR 0711 5.8% Absolute Difference 1,187 205 79 5.7% 6.3% 4.5% 389 5.9% 47 13.1% 235 6.9% 232 Growth 1011 8.1% 0.2% 14.4% 9.4% 22.6% 6.7% 11.2%
11 Booz & Company When operators are implementing this core capability, our experience shows that a three-phase approach is most effcient (see Exhibit 6, page 12). Analysis: Before performing any analysis, it is critical to make sure that the applicable data is structured in such a way that it can be easily analyzed in all relevant dimensions. In conducting the analysis itself, the initial hypothesis and how the data will be cut must be defned, whether it be channel split, tariff breakdown, customer segmentation, or another form. Once these are defned, the system must be able to extract the necessary data from various sources, including the data warehouse, billing systems, and data marts, and then segregated in a data cube for fnal analysis and interpretation of the results. All of these steps are highly interdependent, and the entire process requires multiple iterations to ensure that the data is consistent, stable, and accurate. Pilots and implementation: Using the results of the analysis, the CVM team must defne the CVM improvement measures to be applied company-wide, all of which must be fully quantifed and understood in relation to the possible losses the CVM measures might generate. Pilot programs should be conducted in order to test hypotheses and readjust as necessary, before implementing the measures company-wide. These pilots should aim for quick wins to validate the system before implementing the full-fedged solution. Institutionalization: As soon as all the above elements are in place, three more steps should be taken. A training program must be set up to ensure that all those using the new system understand its goals and operating details, a change management program must be implemented in order to cement the cultural changes necessary, and an incentive program must be designed that matches incentives more closely to the value-driven goals of CVM. PROGRAM APPROACH 12 Booz & Company Source: Booz & Company analysis Exhibit 6 Creating a CVM Program: Three Stages Turnover 2012 Existing Customer Base Changes Churn & Retention Gross Adds Turnover 2011 Turnover - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for devices - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Activation of options Trigger Points Upside Downside - Tariffs and bundles - Subsidy and portfolio for device replacement - Dealer commission and incentives - One-time credits and monthly recurring charge reductions - Commitment logic - Rotational churn - Tariff migration logic and migration fee - Cross- and up-selling - Activation and deactivation - Provision of credits - Top-up frequency - Terms & conditions - Service fee adjustment - Collections - Subscriber acquisition costs - Number of new customers - Value - Subscriber retention costs - Number of lost customers - Value - Positive and negative transactions - Number of retained customers - Value 3.1 4.8 3.0 3.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 EBITDA Improvement (percentage points) 3% 5% Latin American Mobile Operator (ARPU Increase) European Operator CVM Mobile European Fixed/Mobile Operator Cross- and Up-Selling Only 4.9* European Operator CVM Mobile Millions of * Payback (months) 5 10 15 20 25 Cutting off the payback period at eight months yields greater than 40 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Cutting off the payback period at 12 months yields greater than 20 percent savings on subscriber acquisition costs. Criterion: Which customers will buy offering with ARPU lift? CUSTOMERS CUSTOMERS New School Customer-Focused Campaign Approach Old School Product-Focused Campaign Approach DEVICES Outbound & Inbound Calls SMS Point of Service E-Mail/Web Mailing CUSTOMER Criterion: Which offering and channel best fits individual customers? Devices Outbound & Inbound Calls SMS E-Mail/Web Mailing Point of Service Device #1 Device #2 Device #3 PHASE 1 - ANALYSIS PHASE 2 PILOTS & IMPLEMENTATION PHASE 3 INSTITUTIONALIZATION Systems Budgeting/ KPI Dashboard Behavioral Change CUSTOMER VALUE MANAGEMENT Training People & Know-How Incentive & Performance Management Data Analysis Capabilities Interpret analysis and define measures Test measures by pilots Implement 11.0 million = Subheads or highlighted text in Subheads Guidelines: alkdflka = Plain text / Body copy in Content Bullet points as dashes with tab position 32.8% = numbers in Data (Black) 30.1% = just white text on 100 % color TABLE HEADINGS A4 format: - width for 3 columns: 169 mm = 6.654 in - width for 2 columns: 111 mm = 4.37 in Letter format: - width for 3 columns: 167,64 mm = 6.6 in - width for 2 columns: 110,35 mm = 4.343 in Lines: 0,5 pt Lines for legend: 0,5 pt dotted, black Note: Please always delete all unused colors, after creating the exhibit, otherwise InDesign will import the spot colors of this Illustrator file. These colors cant be deleted in InDesign. Thanks. Approved Colors, Tints and Patterns: Market Segment Electronic Components Electronic Products Software & IT Services Network Operations Intermediation Media & Content Line Weights: 0,5 pt 0,75 pt 1 pt Arrows: Line Textures: solid dashed dotted Description Here, revenues derive from companies producing the silicon parts, cabling, and other individual components that are then assembled by electronic products players to create a final product. Revenues come from assembling hardware products, including telecommunications equipment, computers and peripherals, mobile handsets, and other consumer electronics. Revenues come from developing enterprise and consumer software and applications, and from providing telecom and IT services. This segment is made up of companies that derive revenue by providing access to fixed and mobile voice and data networks, and from operating cable and satellite TV broadcasting networks. Revenues stem from Internet players that intermediate between people, information, services, and merchants, including revenues generated from online advertising. Revenues come from direct-to-consumer retail such as newsstand and DVD sales), subscriptions, and advertising. Examples of Industry Players with Primary Focus in Segment Hon Hai (Foxconn), Intel, Panasonic Alcatel-Lucent, Apple, Ericsson, Lenovo, Nokia, Sony Infosys, Microsoft, NTT Data, Oracle, SAP AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Telefnica, Verizon, Vodafone AOL, eBay, Google, IAC/InterActiveCorp, Yahoo News Corp., Thomson Reuters, Time Warner, Viacom, Walt Disney REVENUE VS. ENTERPRISE VALUE (FY 11 VS. 31/12/2011 ENTERPRISE VALUE) EV/Revenues Ratio 1.1 0.7 35% 43% 10% 14% 32% 18% 15% 12% 7% Electronic Components Player Revenues 2% Enterprise Value 8% 5% Network Operations Intermediation 100% Media & Content Software & IT Services Electronic Products 1.9 1.6 3.8 1.6 TMT REVENUES BY MARKET SEGMENT (BILLIONS OF US$) +8.1% +11% -3% +8% Media & Content Intermediation Network Operations Software & IT Services Electronic Products Electronic Components FY11 5,851 364 (6.2%) 122 (2.1%) 1,904 (32.5%) 997 (17.0%) 1,429 (24.4%) 1,035 (17.7%) FY10 5,411 318 100 1,740 935 1,285 1,033 FY09 4,873 308 85 1,638 891 1,142 808 FY08 5,031 322 84 1,621 859 1,295 850 FY07 4,664 285 75 1,515 762 1,198 830 CAGR 0711 5.8% Absolute Difference 1,187 205 79 5.7% 6.3% 4.5% 389 5.9% 47 13.1% 235 6.9% 232 Growth 1011 8.1% 0.2% 14.4% 9.4% 22.6% 6.7% 11.2%
Define Hypotheses Develop Data Cube Define Data Request Iterations Extract Data Perform Analysis Transactional Systems Internal Reports Data Marts Data Warehouse 1 4 2 3 5 13 Booz & Company A complete CVM system has many advantages. It can provide an in-depth understanding of the behavior and needs of customers based on a carefully tailored analysis of each individual. This in turn enables operators to use clearly defned, executable value improvement levers that can deliver short-term, measurable results, and ultimately offer a way to consistently improve value and proftability under changing market circumstances. Given the increasing saturation of markets in the developed world, the rising pressure to retain existing customers, and the need to improve contributions to the bottom line, every operator should view CVM as more than a nice addition to their analytical skills. It can be a true competitive capability in the race to increase profts in the years ahead. CONCLUSION About the Authors Martin Reitenspiess is a partner with Booz & Company based in Munich. He specializes in strategy, marketing, and technology in the telecommunications industry. Jos Antonio Tortosa is a partner with Booz & Company based in Madrid. He specializes in strategy, sales, and marketing in the telecommunications industry. Jess de la Herrn is a principal with Booz & Company based in Madrid. He specializes in pricing and customer analytics in the telecommunications industry. Andreas Putz is a principal with Booz & Company based in Vienna. He specializes in customer value management, sales, and marketing in the telecommunications industry. Booz & Company is a leading global management consulting frm focused on serving and shaping the senior agenda of the worlds leading institutions. Our founder, Edwin Booz, launched the profession when he established the frst management consulting frm in Chicago in 1914. Today, we operate globally with more than 3,000 people in 58 offces around the world. We believe passionately that essential advantage lies within and that a few differentiating capabilities drive any organizations identity and success. We work with our clients to discover and build those capabilities that give them the right to win their chosen markets. We are a frm of practical strategists known for our functional expertise, industry foresight, and sleeves rolled up approach to working with our clients. To learn more about Booz & Company or to access its thought leadership, visit booz.com. Our award- winning management magazine, strategy+business, is available at strategy-business.com. The most recent list of our offces and affliates, with addresses and telephone numbers, can be found on our website, booz.com. Worldwide Offces Asia Beijing Delhi Hong Kong Mumbai Seoul Shanghai Taipei Tokyo Australia, New Zealand & Southeast Asia Bangkok Brisbane Canberra Jakarta Kuala Lumpur Melbourne Sydney Europe Amsterdam Berlin Copenhagen Dsseldorf Frankfurt Helsinki Istanbul London Madrid Milan Moscow Munich Paris Rome Stockholm Stuttgart Vienna Warsaw Zurich Middle East Abu Dhabi Beirut Cairo Doha Dubai Riyadh North America Atlanta Boston Chicago Cleveland Dallas DC Detroit Florham Park Houston Los Angeles Mexico City New York City Parsippany San Francisco South America Buenos Aires Rio de Janeiro Santiago So Paulo 2012 Booz & Company Inc.