School of Engineering, University of Nairobi Dulo S.O E-mail: sodulo@uonbi.ac.ke Precipitation Formation Rainfall measurement and analysis Department of Civil Engineering School of Engineering, University of Nairobi Precipitation The common forms of precipitations: Drizzle/Mist: water droplets of diameters less than 0.5 mm. Snow: ice crystals combining to form flakes with average specific gravity of about 0.1. Sleet: rain water drops falling through air at or below freezing temperatures, turned to frozen rain drops. Hail: precipitation in the form of ice balls of diameter more than about 8 mm. Precipitation cont. Rain: Is precipitation in the form of water drops of size larger than 0.5 mm to 6mm The rainfall is classified in to Light rain if intensity is trace to 2.5 mm/h Moderate if intensity is 2.5 mm/hr to 7.5 mm/hr Heavy rain above 7.5 mm/hr Precipitation Formation The 3 main mechanisms of air mass lifting are Frontal Lifting: warm air mass rises to pass over cooler air by frontal passage. Orographic Lifting: an air mass rises to pass over a mountain range. Convective Lifting: air is drawn upwards by convective action. The formation of precipitation requires the lifting of an air mass in the atmosphere so that it cools and some of its moisture condenses. The Formation of Precipitation Water droplets in clouds are formed by nucleation of vapor on aerosols, then go through many condensation- evaporation cycles as they circulate in the cloud, until they aggregate into large enough drops to fall through the cloud base. Introduction. Snow: Snow is formed from ice crystal masses, which usually combine to form flakes Hail (violent thunderstorm) precipitation in the form of small balls or lumps usually consisting of concentric layers of clear ice and compact snow. Hail varies from 0.5 to 5 cm in diameter and can be damaging crops and small buildings. Precipitation variation Mean annual precipitation Seasonal Precipitation variation Normal monthly distribution of precipitation Precipitation Variety of Precipitation Mean annual precipitation of the world in mm. (1977) Precipitation Variation of Precipitation Precipitation varies in Space Time According to The general pattern of atmospheric circulation Local factors The average over a number of years of observations of a weather variable is called its normal value. 2.3. Measurement of Rainfall Rainfall and other forms of precipitation are measured in terms of depth, the values being expressed in millimeters. One millimeter of precipitation represents the quantity of water needed to cover the land with a 1mm layer of water, taking into account that nothing is lost through drainage, evaporation or absorption. Instrument used to collect and measure the precipitation is called raingauge. Rainfall Measurement Rainfall gauges (WMO standard types) Can be Storage type Recording type Dines Tilting Syphon Tipping bucket gauge Rainfall measurement Precipitation gauge 1 - pole 2 - collector 3 - support- galvanized metal sheet 4 funnel 5 - steel ring 1. Non recording gauge 2. Recording gauge / graphic raingauge The instrument (Tilting syphon) records the graphical variation of the fallen precipitation, the total fallen quantity in a certain time interval and the intensity of the rainfall (mm/hour). It allows continuous measurement of the rainfall. The graphic rain gauge 1-receiver 2-floater 3-syphon 4-recording needle 5-drum with diagram 6-clock mechanism 3. Tele-rain gauge with tipping buckets The tele-rain gauge is used to transmit measurements of precipitation through electric or radio signals. The sensor device consists of a system with two tipping buckets, which fill alternatively with water from the collecting funnel, establishing the electric contact. The number of tipping is proportional to the quantity of precipitation hp Tipping bucket rain gauge 1 - collecting funnel 2 - tipping buckets 3 - electric signal 4 - evacuation Rainfall Measurement Tipping bucket rain gauge 4. Radar measurement of rainfall The meteorological radar is the powerful instrument for measuring the area extent, location and movement of rainstorm. The amount of rainfall overlarge area can be determined through the radar with a good degree of accuracy The radar emits a regular succession of pulse of electromagnetic radiation in a narrow beam so that when the raindrops intercept a radar beam, its intensity can easily be known. Raingauge Network Since the catching area of the raingauge is very small as compared to the areal extent of the storm, to get representative picture of a storm over a catchment the number of raingauges should be as large as possible, i.e. the catchment area per gauge should be small. There are several factors to be considered to restrict the number of gauge: Like economic considerations to a large extent Topographic & accessibility to some extent. Minimum Raingauge Network Density (WMO) Ten percent of raingauge stations should be equipped with self-recording gauges to know the intensities of rainfall. ARIAL RAINFALL DETERMINATION Raingauges rainfall represent only point sampling of the areal distribution of a storm The important rainfall for hydrological analysis is a rainfall over an area, such as over the catchment To convert the point rainfall values at various stations to in to average value over a catchment, the following methods are used: arithmetic mean the method of the Thiessen polygons the isohyets method Mean Precipitation over an area When the area is physically and climatically homogenous and the required accuracy is small, the average rainfall ( ) for a basin can be obtained as the arithmetic mean of the h i values recorded at various stations. Applicable rarely for practical purpose This method is suitable if the rain gauge stations are uniformly distributed over the entire area and the rainfall variation in the area is not large. Arithmetic Mean Method N i i n i P N N P P P P P 1 2 1 1 ..... ..... P The method of Thiessen polygons consists of attributing to each station an influence zone in which it is considered that the rainfall is equivalent to that of the station. The influence zones are represented by convex polygons. These polygons are obtained using the mediators of the segments which link each station to the closest neighbouring stations Method of Thiessen polygons Arial Rainfall Thiessen Polygon Method The catchment is plotted to scale. The gauging stations are then inserted on the plot. The lines joining adjacent stations are then bisected by perpendiculars. Each stations is then surrounded by a polygon. Thiessen polygons Thiessen polygons A 1 A 2 A 3 A 4 A 5 A 6 A 7 A 8 P 1 P 2 P 3 P 4 P 5 P 6 P 7 P 8 m m m A A A A P A P A P P ..... ..... 2 1 2 2 1 1 M i i i total i M i i A A P A A P P 1 1 Thiessen polygons Generally for M station The ratio is called the Thiessen coefficient (weightage factor) of station i A A i Arial Rainfall Thiessen Polygon Method The method is better than the arithmetic mean method since it assigns some weightage to all rain gauge on area basis. The rain gauge stations outside the catchment can also be used effectively. Once the weightage factors (thiessen coefficient)for all the rain gauge stations are computed, the calculation of the average rainfall depth P is relatively easy for given network of stations. Arial Rainfall - Isohyetal Method The catchment is plotted to scale The gauging stations are then inserted on the plot Points of equal rainfall are joined to form the isohyets Since this method considers actual spatial variation of rainfall, it is considered as the best method for computing average depth of rainfall. Arial Rainfall - Isohyetal Method An isohyet is a contour of equal rainfall. Knowing the depths of rainfall at each rain gage station of an area, assuming linear variation of rainfall between any two adjacent stations, one can draw a smooth curve passing through all points indicating the same value of rainfall. The area between two adjacent isohyets is measured with the help of a planimeter. Average depth of rainfall, P ] [ ] [ 1 values isohyte adjacent two pptof mean X isohyets adjacent two between Area A P An isohyet is a line joining points of equal rainfall magnitude. Isohyetal Method F B E A C D 12 9.2 4.0 7.0 7.2 9.1 10. 0 10. 0 12 8 8 6 6 4 4 a 1 a 1 a 2 a 3 a 4 a 5 2.6 Rainfall interpretation Mass Curve of Rainfall Mass curve of rainfall 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Time, hour a c c u m u l a t e d
p r e c i p i t a t i o n ,
m m 1 st storm, 16 mm 2 nd storm, 1 6 mm IDF . Hyetograph - is a plot of the accumulated precipitation against time, plotted in chronological order Hyetograph of a storm 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0 8 8 16 16 24 24 32 32 40 40 48 Time, hours I n t e n s i t y ,
c m / h r Total depth = 10.6 cm Duration = 46 hr In many design problems related to watershed such as runoff disposal, erosion control, highway construction, culvert design, it is necessary to know the rainfall intensities of different durations and different return periods. The curve that shows the inter-dependency between i (cm/hr), D (hour) and T (year) is called IDF curve. The relation can be expressed in general form as: IDF . n x a D T k i i Intensity (cm/hr) D Duration (hours) K, x, a, n are constant for a given catchment IDF . Typical IDF Curve 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Duration, hr I n t e s i t y ,
c m / h r T = 25 years T = 50 years T = 100 years k = 6.93 x = 0.189 a = 0.5 n = 0.878 Preparation of Data Before using rainfall data, it is necessary to check the data for continuity and consistency Missing data may be due to damage or fault in rain gauge Record errors Given annual precipitation values P 1 , P 2 , P 3 , P m at neighboring M stations of station X 1, 2, 3 & m respectively The normal annual precipitation given by N 1 , N 2 , N 3 ,, N m , N i (including station X) To find the missing precipitation, P x , of station X Estimation of Missing Data m m x x N P N P N P M N P ... 2 2 1 1 Interpretation of Rainfall Data Estimating of Missing Data ) P .... P P ( M 1 P m 2 1 x ] N P .... N P N P [ M N P m m 2 2 1 1 x x m m 2 2 1 1 x P b .... P b P b a P 0 a i x i MN N b Rainfall data must be checked for continuity consistency before they are analyzed for any purpose. The missing annual precipitation, Px 1, 2, 3,.,M = neighbouring rainfall stations P 1 , P 2 , P 3 ,.,P m = annual rainfall values N 1 , N 2 , N 3 ,.,N m = average rainfall values Multiple Linear Regression x 1 2 3 m Interpretation of Rainfall Data Test for Consistency of Precipitation Data Changes in relevant conditions of a rain gauge -Gauge location -Exposure -Instrumentation -Observation techniques -Surroundings may cause a relative change in the rainfall catchment of the rain gauge. The consistency of the rainfall data needs to be examined. Test for record consistency Some of the common causes for inconsistency of record include: Shifting of a raingauge station to a new location, The neighborhood of the station undergoing a marked change. Let a group of 5 to 10 base stations in the neighbourhood of the problem station X Arrange the data of X stn rainfall and the average of the neighbouring stations in reverse chronological order (from recent to old record) Accumulate the precipitation of station X and the average values of the group base stations starting from the latest record. Test for consistency record (Double mass curve techniques) x P avg P Plot the against as shown on the next figure A decided break in the slope of the resulting plot is observed that indicates a change in precipitation regime of station X, i.e inconsistency. Therefore, is should be corrected by the factor shown on the next slide Test for consistency record (Double mass curve techniques) avg P x P Test for consistency record. a c x cx M M P P P cx corrected precipitation at any time period t 1 at stationX P x Original recorded precp. at time period t 1 at station X M c corrected slope of the double mass curve M a original slope of the mass curve Double Mass Curve Analysis 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Accumulated annual rainfall of neigbouring stns in 10^3 cm a c c u m u l a t e d
a n n u a l
r a i n f a l l
o f
X
s t n
i n
1 0 ^ 3
c m c a a c M M a c Assumption in the DMC It is apparent that the more homogeneous the base station records are, the more accurate will be the corrected values at station X. A change in slope is normally taken as significant only where it persists for more than five years. Long term Precipitation variation at Arba Minch 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Years A n n u a l
r a i n f a l l ,
m m Annual Precipitation average precipitation Rainfall Hyetograph ; cumulative Hyetograph The rainfall data in 5-minute increments from gage 1-Bee in the Austin storm. Computation of rainfall depth and intensity at a point =1.17-0.00 =1.67-0.02 =3.81-0.00 =4.17-0.02 =3.81-0.00 =8.22-0.02 =8.20/2 =0.76/(5/60) Computations of max rainfall depth and intensity give index of how severe a particular storm is, compared to other storms recorded at the same location, and they provide useful data for design of control structures. Rainfall Rainfall Hyetograph Cumulative Rainfall Hyetograph Time in minutes I n c r e m e n t a l
R a i n f a l l
i n
m m
p e r
5
m i n u t e s Rainfall Hyetograph: Is a plot of rainfall depth or intensity as a function of time. Rainfall Depth (mm) 0.76 inch Rainfall Rainfall Hyetograph Cumulative Rainfall Hyetograph Time in minutes C u m u l a t i v e
R a i n f a l l
i n
i n c h e s Cumulative Rainfall Hyetograph /Rainfall Mass Curve: Is a plot of cumulative rainfall as a function of time. =6.22-3.15 =6.73-1.17 =8.22-0.02 Depth-Area-Duration Curve The technique of depth-area-duration analysis (DAD) determines primarily the maximum falls for different durations over a range of areas. The data required for a DAD analysis are shown in the following figure. To demonstrate the method, a storm lasting 24h is chosen and the isohyets of the total storm are drawn related to the measurements from 12 recording rain gauge stations. The accumulated rainfalls at each station for four 6-h periods are given in the table. To provide area weightings to the gauge values, Thiessen polygons are drawn around the rainfall stations over the isohytal pattern. Step-by-step procedures for drawing DAD curves First, the areal rainfall depths over the enclosing isohytal areas are determined for the total storm. The duration computations then proceed as in the following table, where the area enclosed (10km 2 ) by the 150mm isohyet is considered first. The areal rainfall over the 10km 2 for the whole storm is 155mm. The computations are continued by repeating the method for the areas enclosed by all the isohyets. Depth-Area-Duration (DAD)curve DAD curves are plots of accumulated average precipitation versus area for different durations of a storm period. Example 3 Arial Rainfall Station Observed rainfall within the area mm) P2 20 P3 30 P4 40 P5 50 Total 140 Average Rainfall=140/4=35 mm Arithmetic-Mean Method Rainfall Gauge Station Rainfall, Pi (cm) Area of Polygon, Ai (km 2 ) Weightage Factor (%), A i / A i x100 P i A i / A i Garissa 20.3 22 1.13 0.23 Narok 88.1 0 0 0 Kisumu 60.9 0 0 0 Voi 54.7 0 0 0 Mombasa 48.1 62 3.19 1.53 Kitui 45.6 373 19.19 8.75 Baringo 60 338 17.39 10.43 Eldoret 84 373 19.19 16.12 Limuru 93.2 286 14.71 13.71 Kericho 140.6 236 12.41 17.07 Nyeri 154 254 13.07 20.13 Total 1,944 100.01 87.97 Example 4 Arial Rainfall Thiessen Method Station Observed rainfall mm) Area (km 2 ) Weighted rainfall mm) P1 10 0.22 2.2 P2 20 4.02 80.4 P3 30 1.35 40.5 P4 40 1.60 64.0 P5 50 1.95 97.5 Total 9.14 284.6 Average Rainfall=284.6/9.14=31.1 mm A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 Example 5 Arial Rainfall Isohyets Area Enclosed km 2 ) Average Rainfall (mm) Rainfall Volume 0.88 5* 4.4 1.59 15 23.9 2.24 25 56.0 3.01 35 105.4 1.22 45 54.9 0.20 53* 10.6 Total 9.14 255.2 Average Rainfall=255.2/9.14=27.9 mm Isohyetal Method 20 10 30 40 50 Example 6 Arial Rainfall ] 0 . 154 6 . 140 2 . 93 0 . 84 0 . 60 6 . 45 1 . 48 7 . 54 9 . 60 1 . 88 3 . 20 [ 11 1 P cm 23 . 77 ) 5 . 849 ( 11 1 The average depth of annual rainfall precipitation as obtained at the rain gage stations for a specified area are as shown in figure. The values are in cm. Determine the average depth of annual precipitation using (1) The arithmetic mean method Example 7 Arial Rainfall Rainfall Guage Station Rainfall, Pi (cm) Area of Polygon, Ai (km 2 ) Weightage Factor (%), A i / A i x100 P i A i / A i 1 20.3 22 1.13 0.23 2 88.1 0 0 0 3 60.9 0 0 0 4 54.7 0 0 0 5 48.1 62 3.19 1.53 6 45.6 373 19.19 8.75 7 60.0 338 17.39 10.43 8 84.0 373 19.19 16.12 9 93.2 286 14.71 13.71 10 140.6 236 12.41 17.07 11 154.0 254 13.07 20.13 Total 1,944 100.01 87.97 cm 97 . 87 A A P n ecipitatio Pr Annual Average i i i (2) Thiessen Polygon Method Example 8 Arial Rainfall Isohyets (cm) Net Area, Ai (km 2 ) Average Precipitation, Pi (cm) P i A i <30 96 25 2,400 30-60 600 45 27,000 60-90 610 75 45,750 90-120 360 105 37,800 120-150 238 135 32,130 >150 40 160 6,400 Total 1,944 151,480 mm 92 . 77 944 , 1 480 , 151 sin ba the for n ecipitatio Pr Annual Average (3) Isohyetal Method Example 9 Sta.1 Sta.3 Sta.2 Station 1 Station 2 Station 3 Station 1 Station 2 Station 3 Average 1 1,486.20 2,472.20 1,113.40 1,486.20 2,472.20 1,113.40 1,690.60 2 1,475.70 2,468.80 1,482.90 2,961.90 4,941.00 2,596.30 3,499.73 3 1,403.80 2,001.30 953.10 4,365.70 6,942.30 3,549.40 4,952.47 4 793.80 1,917.50 521.20 5,159.50 8,859.80 4,070.60 6,029.97 5 962.60 2,130.90 812.70 6,122.10 10,990.70 4,883.30 7,332.03 6 964.20 1,819.80 1,673.60 7,086.30 12,810.50 6,556.90 8,817.90 7 1,056.90 1,851.80 925.10 8,143.20 14,662.30 7,482.00 10,095.83 8 1,217.00 2,783.00 794.10 9,360.20 17,445.30 8,276.10 11,693.87 9 1,737.00 3,034.00 775.20 11,097.20 20,479.30 9,051.30 13,542.60 10 1,096.90 1,492.50 1,355.40 12,194.10 21,971.80 10,406.70 14,857.53 11 1,165.90 2,020.00 575.90 13,360.00 23,991.80 10,982.60 16,111.47 12 1,458.00 2,504.70 1,126.60 14,818.00 26,496.50 12,109.20 17,807.90 13 1,132.60 2,042.90 819.20 15,950.60 28,539.40 12,928.40 19,139.47 14 1,272.80 2,115.30 827.50 17,223.40 30,654.70 13,755.90 20,544.67 15 1,484.10 2,236.60 1,036.00 18,707.50 32,891.30 14,791.90 22,130.23 16 818.60 1,922.30 826.60 19,526.10 34,813.60 15,618.50 23,319.40 17 865.40 2,379.40 835.20 20,391.50 37,193.00 16,453.70 24,679.40 18 1,168.70 2,609.80 710.00 21,560.20 39,802.80 17,163.70 26,175.57 19 939.30 2,177.40 776.40 22,499.50 41,980.20 17,940.10 27,473.27 20 984.10 1,928.60 874.80 23,483.60 43,908.80 18,814.90 28,735.77 21 969.80 3,088.20 943.60 24,453.40 46,997.00 19,758.50 30,402.97 22 1,275.90 2,443.40 961.30 25,729.30 49,440.40 20,719.80 31,963.17 23 1,810.20 2,689.40 646.50 27,539.50 52,129.80 21,366.30 33,678.53 24 1,110.70 2,938.30 1,170.40 28,650.20 55,068.10 22,536.70 35,418.33 25 1,349.70 1,571.10 1,174.60 29,999.90 56,639.20 23,711.30 36,783.47 26 1,580.10 2,568.70 1,312.10 31,580.00 59,207.90 25,023.40 38,603.77 27 1,214.10 2,127.00 322.80 32,794.10 61,334.90 25,346.20 39,825.07 28 1,229.30 2,317.20 1,195.00 34,023.40 63,652.10 26,541.20 41,405.57 29 926.70 2,199.00 566.40 34,950.10 65,851.10 27,107.60 42,636.27 30 1,464.70 2,117.90 773.10 36,414.80 67,969.00 27,880.70 44,088.17 Annual Rainfall (mm/yr) No Cumulative Rainfall Annual Rainfall (mm/yr) Cumulative Annual Rainfall (mm/yr) Double Mass Curve 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Accumulative Annual Rainfal of 3 station Mean (mm) A c c u m u l a t i v e
A n n u a l
R a i n f a l l
o f
S t a t i o n 1
( m m ) Station 2 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Accumulative Annual Rainfal of 3 station Mean (mm) A c c u m u l a t i v e
A n n u a l
R a i n f a l l
o f
S t a t i o n 1
( m m ) Station 1 Example 9 The past response is to be related to the present conditions. 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Accumulative Annual Rainfal of 3 station Mean (mm) A c c u m u l a t i v e
A n n u a l
R a i n f a l l
o f
S t a t i o n 1
( m m ) Station 3 Double Mass Curve How it rains The surface is heated by the sun Air rises Air expands and cools Air condenses Water droplets grow to form raindrops Air can rise in different ways Relief rainfall Cyclonic or Fontal Rainfall Depressions are areas of low pressure formed when cold and warm air meet The warm air rises above the cold air to form a front There are two types of fronts depending on the way in which the air masses are moving. Cyclonic Rainfall: Fronts Warm fronts form where warm air moves towards cold air Cold fronts form where cold air moves towards warm air As air rises at fronts both are responsible for rain Convectional rainfall Common on hot summer days inland Hot air rises quickly and condenses to form cumulonimbus Water freezes at the top of the cloud forming hail Associated with lightning Fair Weather Fair weather is produced by high pressure High pressure forms anticyclones Air sinks and prevents the formation of rain clouds Anticyclones cause heat waves in summer and frosty/foggy mornings in winter Forecasting the Weather Modern forecasts use computers to simulate the likely weather based on careful observations from 100s of weather stations round the world Satellite images and radar give a better picture of the weather over a wide area A Satellite Image A Radar Image Cyclonic rainfall moving in from the west The brighter the colour, the heavier the rainfall Mountains intensify the rain such as over the Scottish Highlands Rainfall Measurement Rain gauge A rain gauge collects rain and measures it.
Land Equivalent Ratio, Growth, Yield and Yield Components Response of Mono-Cropped vs. Inter-Cropped Common Bean and Maize With and Without Compost Application