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The manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs, 4,300 jobs over the last year. Overall vacancy as of Q3 stood at 8.3%, returning 0. Percentage points (pp) to the 7.7% rate in Q2. Big-box retailers and manufacturers still executed the largest deals of Q3.
The manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs, 4,300 jobs over the last year. Overall vacancy as of Q3 stood at 8.3%, returning 0. Percentage points (pp) to the 7.7% rate in Q2. Big-box retailers and manufacturers still executed the largest deals of Q3.
The manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs, 4,300 jobs over the last year. Overall vacancy as of Q3 stood at 8.3%, returning 0. Percentage points (pp) to the 7.7% rate in Q2. Big-box retailers and manufacturers still executed the largest deals of Q3.
Baltimore, MD 21202 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge For more information, contact: Paula Munger, Managing Director +1 (703) 847 2785 paula.munger@cushwake.com The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2014 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved. 1
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Marylands unemployment rate stood at 6.4%, as of August 2014. Despite the growth in consumer confidence and the anticipated boost in sales over the next 12 months, the manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs, 4,300 jobs to be exact, over the last year. Job loss can be attributed to the lack of highly skilled workers coupled with the shift to automated manufacturing. NEW CONSTRUCTION PUSHES VACANCY The Baltimore industrial market continued its blistering run of positive absorption, which increased by 1.0 million square feet (msf) in the third quarter to 2.2 msf, year-to-date. Clorox Manufacturing, Co. and Sephora USA, Inc. occupied 1467 Perryman Road (945,720 square feet (sf)) and 531 Chelsea Road (655,000 sf), respectively. Overall vacancy as of Q3 stood at 8.3%. This returned 0.6 percentage points (pp) to the 7.7% rate in Q2. Although overall net absorption was in the black, vacancy climbed mainly due to the delivery of 2.7 msf, about 10% of which is vacant. LEASING VELOCITY HIGH AMIDST SHIFTING DEMAND In Q3, the Baltimore industrial market continued to see high levels of transactional volume as tenants in the 30,000 to 70,000-sf range dominated the demand for space. However, big-box retailers and manufacturers still executed the largest deals of Q3. IKEA Distribution Services, Inc. executed a lease at 1840 Clark Road totaling 184,000 sf. HVAC distributor, Carrier, executed the second largest deal totaling 180,000 sf at 7481 Coca Cola Drive while W.R. Grace & Co. inked a 151,189-sf deal at 6610 Cabot Drive. The 6.5% decline year-over-year, in total activity can be attributed to the shift in demand from big-box tenants to mid-size tenants. Year-to-date, tenants over 100,000 sf executed 2.4 msf in warehouse/distribution deals, down 18% from the same period last year. Mid-size tenant activity has ticked up 1.7% from the previous year totaling 1.2 msf, year-to-date. LACK OF PRODUCT DRIVES PRICING UPWARD The demand for Baltimore industrial product continues to outpace supply, compressing cap rates and pushing pricing on what little product becomes available. The third quarter witnessed more than $140 million in trades, the vast majority of which were Class B. TA Realty Associates was responsible for more than half of the quarters transactions dollars, with more than $73 million in acquisitions, totaling more than 1.0 msf, including DCT Industrials I-95 Portfolio sale, which included 532,000 sf in the Baltimore market. Industrial Property Trust was also active in Q3, acquiring four buildings totaling more than 550,000 sf for almost $37 million. The trust scooped up 8730 Greenwood Place from Atapco, Inc. for $9.9 million or $81 per square foot (psf).
OUTLOOK Over the next 12 months leasing activity is expected to hold steady. Asking rents will remain relatively flat, except in the mid-size pocket where landlords are already executing deals in the range of $6.00 psf. Occupancy growth will remain steady as tenants like Amazon.com, Inc. and B&E Storage take occupancy in Q4. Strong positive market fundamentals will continue to spur construction. A shift from build- to-suit projects to more speculative projects can be expected. STATS ON THE GO Q3 2013 Q3 2014
7.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 8.4% 8.6% $5.05 $5.10 $5.15 $5.20 $5.25 $5.30 $5.35 $5.40 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 p s f / y r OVERALL NET RENTAL RATE OVERALL VACANCY RATE 6 . 6 5 . 9 5 . 5 1 0 . 8 6 . 4 0 . 2 1 . 6 1 . 2 0 . 9 1 . 2 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3 14 m s f LEASING ACTIVITY USER SALES ACTIVITY Q3 2014 BALTIMORE, MD INDUSTRIAL SNAPSHOT
MARKETBEAT A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication
Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. 500 East Pratt Street, Suite 500 Baltimore, MD 21202 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge For more information, contact: Paula Munger, Managing Director +1 (703) 847 2785 paula.munger@cushwake.com The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2014 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved. 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS SIGNIFICANT Q3 2014 LEASE TRANSACTIONS SUBMARKET TENANT PROPERTY TYPE SQUARE FEET 1840 Clark Road, Havre De Grace Harford County IKEA Distribution Services, Inc. Warehouse/Distribution 184,000 7481 Coca Cola Drive, Hanover Howard County Carrier Warehouse/Distribution 180,000 6610 Cabot Drive, Glen Burnie Anne Arundel County W. R. Grace & Co. Warehouse/Distribution 151,189 SIGNIFICANT Q3 2014 SALE TRANSACTIONS SUBMARKET BUYER PURCHASE PRICE / $PSF SQUARE FEET 504 Advantage Way, Aberdeen Harford County SK Realty Management $31,000,000/$58 530,308 Portfolio Sale ** Howard County Industrial Property Trust $27,000,000/$63 429,100 Portfolio Sale Harford & Howard County TA Associates Realty $20,200,000/$58 347,245 SIGNIFICANT Q3 2014 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT COMPLETION DATE RENTABLE BUILDING AREA (% LEASED) 1467 Perryman Road, Aberdeen Harford County Clorox Manufacturing, Co. Q3 2014 945,720 (100%) 531 Chelsea Road, Perryman Harford County Sephora USA, Inc. Q3 2014 655,000 (100%) SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION SUBMARKET MAJOR TENANT COMPLETION DATE BUILDING SQUARE FEET (% LEASED) 2010 Broening Highway, Baltimore Baltimore City Amazon.com, Inc. Q4 2014 1,150,000 (100%) ** SALE NOT INCLUDED IN STATISTICS REPORTED POST CLOSE