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L1 Version 3.2
Slide 1
DMAIC Steps
Step 0
Step 1
Step 2
Step 3
Step 4
Step 5
Step 6
Step 7
Step 8
Step 9
Step 10
Step 11
Step 12
I
C
DMAIC Road-Map
Introduction - MEASURE
A robust measurement system forms the basis of any Six Sigma project
Step 2 of DMAIC
Design of the measurement system
Step 3 of DMAIC
SIPOC
Tool
P
Process
Suppliers
Inputs
Process Boundary
Outputs
Customers
SIPOC
Baton Changes
Process 1
Process
Suppliers
Inputs
11
22
Outputs
Customers
55
Process Boundary
Process 2
Process
Suppliers
Inputs
11
22
55
Process Boundary
Outputs
Customers
Enables seeing that changes are not made in a vacuum and will carry through,
affecting the entire process down the line
Helps re-examine (if needed) the scope and charter of your project
The pain areas (identified at the time of project selection) must be within the
selected scope
Between the Start and End of the process, there should be logical flow of units
leading towards creating an output
Guard against analyzing the process at this stage, just map as-it-is
What is a Unit?
P
Process
Suppliers
Inputs
Process Boundary
Outputs
Customers
Examples
In a bug fix example , each bug that comes in can be considered as a Unit
2.3
Key Concepts
Recall that customers are better off telling you what they do not want
Defects are defined by customers (VOC table can be used here, however, focus here is
to collect project CTQs)
Defect is on a unit
A unit which has defects is called a Defective( Even one defect in a unit will make the unit defective)
What is a Specification?
LSL
Target
USL:
LSL:
Target:
USL
Specification example: Bug fix productivity should be at least 3 bugs / pw ( only LSL one sided spec).
Mean / Target
Upper
Specification Limit
High
Probability
of Failure
66807 Defects
Per Million
Opportunities
3 1s
Higher
Higherthese
this
numbers,
number,
Lower the
chance of
producing a
defect
3 1s
Much Lower
Probability
of Failure
6 2s
6 2s
3.4 Defects
Per Million
Opportunities
2.4
Dont come up with great solutions for problems that dont exist
Have you reached where you intended to? -- only data answers that question
If the solution costs more than the problem, its not worth it. A good data collection
should concentrate as much on measuring problems as it does on measuring solutions
Key Concepts
Improvement can only occur if we understand where we are & where to go, supported
by a measurement system that validates both situations
Examples
Data that can take a limited number of values (Pass / Fail, OK / Not OK, Win / Loss)
Examples
Examples
Productivity
Defect Density
Yield of a process
Height of a person
in the Histogram
90
95
100
115
120
125
130
Spread / Dispersion
It is a measure of the spread of any data set around its center
Shape
It is a measure of symmetry of any data set around its center
Mean
Mean is the arithmetic average of all data points in a data set
Y=
Y1 + Y2 + Y3 + . + Yn
n
Mode
Mode is the most frequently occurring data point in a data set
Median
Median is the middle data point of a data set arranged in an ascending / descending order
Average
Range
Range is the difference between the maximum & minimum data point
Variance = s2 =
( Y1 - Y )2 + ( Y2 Y )2 + . + ( Yn Y )2
Standard Deviation =
(n1)
s2
Importance of Spread
B
A
Mean of Curve A is more representative of its data set as compared to Curves B & C
Spread outside the specifications may result in defects; this information is not
provided by mean
Normal Distribution
Figure 3.01
Mean =100
Standard Deviation = 10
70
1 unit
of
standard
deviation
80
90
100
110
120
130
Higher frequency of values around the mean & lesser & lesser at values away from mean
Bell shaped
2 3
+
-3
-2
-1
+1
+2
+3
Instead of dealing with a family of normal distributions with varying means & standard
deviations, a standard normal curve standardizes all the distributions with a single curve
that has a mean of 0 & standard deviation of 1
- 1
+ 1
68.26%
- 2
+ 2
95.46%
- 3
- 4
99.73%
99.9937%
- 5
+ 3
+ 4
+ 5
99.99943%
- 6
99.999998%
+ 6
Concept of Z Value
Z=
Where
Y -
Y=
Z=
It is dimensionless
Example
Its found that time taken for resolution of customer complaints follow a normal distribution with
mean of 250 hours and standard deviation of 23 hrs. What is the probability that a complaint
resolution will take more than 300 hrs?
250
Z=
300 - 250
23
300
= 2.17
Thus, the probability that a complaint resolution may take between 0 & 300 hrs is 98.5%
& thus, chance of problem resolution taking more than 300 hrs is 1.5%
Example
For the same data, what is the probability that problem resolution will take between
216 & 273 hrs?
Z2
Z1
216
Z1 =
273 - 250
23
=1
250
273
Z2 =
216 - 250
= - 1.47
23
From Appendix 1:
Total area covered by Z1
Total area covered by Z2
Intercepted area between Z1 & Z2
= 0.841344740
= 1 - 0.929219087 = 0.0707
= 0.7705
Thus, probability that a problem resolution may take between 216 & 273 hrs is 77.05%
Its a data set in which spread of the data set around its mean is identical
Mean,
Mode,
Median
Mode
Mean
Mean
Median
Median
Measure Phase Step 2&3
Mode
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 32
LSL
Off Center
Large Spread
USL
LSL
Off Center
Small Spread
LSL
USL
On Center
Small Spread
USL
LSL
USL
Discrete data does not allow to understand the process variation. It does not tell you
how bad is bad
Class Exercise
Given below is the sample data on Customer complaint closure time in hrs.
Compute the Mean & Standard Deviation for each quarter.
Quarter 1
Quarter 2
Sample 1
Sample 2
Sample 3
Sample 4
Sample 5
Sample 6
Sample 7
Sample 8
Sample 9
Sample 10
204
202
205
196
198
190
196
205
200
199
145
150
140
165
134
130
170
132
145
164
Mean
199.5
147.5
Standard
Deviation
14
2.5
Opportunities for error in a process is the number of steps / tasks / actions in the
process, where there is a possibility of committing an error, that may result in a defect
OFEs are opportunities inside the process that can contribute to a defect
This is because data, on whether or not a defect is created, is discrete type (yes / no)
2.6
What is Baseline?
After the team has understood the unit & defect definition, it would need to analyze
the current performance level
Sampling plan for baselining attempts to define the data collection approach only
Introduction to Sampling
Tool
Population
Sampling
Sample
Table 1.60
Population
Sample
Definition
Collection of items
being considered
Portion of the
population chosen for
study
Parameter
Statistic
Population Size = N
Sample Size = n
Population Mean =
Sample Mean = Y
Population Standard
Deviation =
Sample Standard
Deviation = s
Characteri
stics
Types of Sampling
Random Sampling
or
Probability Sampling
All items in the population have an equal chance of being chosen in the sample
Example:
Non-random Sampling
or
Judgment Sampling
Personal knowledge & opinion are used to identify items for the sample
It is also used to decide upon how to take a random sample later
Example:
Fresh data should be collected to ensure that the latest process trend is studied
Historical data may have measurement errors which would be validated in next step of
DMAIC
In such cases, Champion & BB may review the project, address the discipline issues &
decide whether project needs to collect another sample or gets abandoned here
Business criteria to select a sample size include cost, time & effort
Statistical criteria include the accuracy of the sample representing the population
Higher the sample size, better the accuracy of the information about the population
parameters ( & )
Z1 with n = 25
Z2 with n = 16
Z3 with n = 4
()
n=
Z 1 ( / 2) *
Lets take the weight of fertilizer bags whose std packaging is 7 Kgs with a std
deviation of 3.78. Now if I want to take a sample of few bags & want their mean to be
within 2, i.e. 5 & 9, how many bags should I sample ?
3.78
Assume
0.05
n=
Z 97.5 * 3.78
2
From Appendix 1,
Z 97.5
1.96
[ (1.96 * 3.78) / 2 ] 2
14
That means 95% of the samples with size 14 will have its mean between 5 & 9
Z 97.5 = 1.96
1.96 *
n=
Extending the same logic, we can find out the sample size required while dealing with
discrete population
1.96
n=
Where
p ( 1 p)
MAIC
Step 3
Validate
Measurement System
for Y
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 50
Introduction - MEASURE
A robust measurement system forms the basis of any Six Sigma project
Step 2 of DMAIC
Design of the measurement system
Step 3 of DMAIC
Measurement system for Y indicates that this step deals with the accuracy of defect
measurement & must be completed before proceeding to establish the process baseline
Deliverables of Step 3
3.1
3.2
Analyze results
3.1
A country preacher was walking the back-road near a church. He became thirsty so
decided to stop at a little cottage and ask for something to drink. The lady of the house
invited him in and in addition to something to drink, she served him a bowl of soup by the
fire. There was a small pig running around the kitchen. The pig was constantly running up
to the visitor and giving him a great deal of attention. The visiting pastor commented that
he had never seen a pig this friendly. The housewife replied: "Ah, he's not that friendly.
Purpose of G R & R
A performance critical system was delivered and the customer complained that the performance
criteria is not met
This could again be due to how one measures performance and whether the
customer sees performance the same way
Not doing GR & R will cause you to tamper with the process when in fact
the process is fine but only measurement is the issue.
Obtain information about the type of measurement variation associated with the
measurement system
total
2 total =
- Calibration Study
- GRR Study
2 process + 2 measurement
Sources of Variation
Observed Process Variation
Actual
Process
Variation
Long-term
Process
Variation
Short-term
Process
Variation
Measurement
Variation
Variation
within a
Sample
Variation
due to
Operators
Variation
due to
Gage
Reproducibility
Accuracy
Repeatability
Stability
Linearity
Gage Repeatability
Gage Repeatability is the variation in measurements obtained when one operator uses
the same gage for measuring the identical characteristics of the same part
Repeatability
Gage Reproducibility
Operator 2
Operator 1
Reproducibility
Trial
Reading
#1
Difference leads to
Repeatability
Trial
Reading
#2
Operator
A
Operator
B
Operator
C
Measurement Resolution
Example Using a truck weighing scale for measuring the weight of a tea pack
Data Collection
Usually 3 operators
ANOVA Method
Measures operator & equipment variability separately with combined effect as well that better
defines causality
More effective when extreme values are present
ANOVA Method
ANOVA not only separates the equipment & operator variation, but also elaborates
on combined effect of operator & part
Tool
ANOVA uses the standard deviation instead of range, & hence gives a better
However, time, resource & cost constraints may need to be looked into
GRR Example
Part
Operator
Trial
Response
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
3
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
475
442
489
479
462
463
369
326
302
368
328
318
398
405
410
415
402
421
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 67
STAT > Quality Tools > Gage R&R Study (Crossed) > Options
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 68
ANOVA Method
Minitab
Source
Total Gage R&R
Repeatability
Reproducibility
Operator
Operator*Part
Part-To-Part
Total Variation
%Contribution
VarComp (of VarComp)
430.9
98.4
332.4
24.2
308.2
4329.4
4760.3
9.05
2.07
6.98
0.51
6.47
90.95
100.00
Source
StdDev
(SD)
20.7572
9.9219
18.2323
4.9216
17.5555
65.7981
68.9946
106.900
51.098
93.896
25.346
90.411
338.860
355.322
30.09
14.38
26.43
7.13
25.44
95.37
100.00
%Tolerance
(SV/Toler)
42.76
20.44
37.56
10.14
36.16
135.54
142.13
If Tolerance
value is input
(say 250 in
this case),
this column
will appear
ANOVA Method
Ga g e n a m e :
Da te o f s tu d y :
Re p o rte d b y :
To l e ran c e :
M is c :
Components of Variation
By Part
500
Percent
100
%Co n tri b u ti o n
%Stu d y Va r
400
50
300
0
Ga g e R&R
Re p e a t
Re p rod
Part
Pa rt-to -Pa rt
R Chart by Operator
40
By Operator
500
Sample Range
UCL =3 6 .3 0
30
20
400
10
R=1 1 .1 1
L CL =0
0
300
Operator
Operator*Part Interaction
Operator
500
1
2
UCL =4 2 4 .9
M e a n =4 0 4
L CL =3 8 3 .1
400
300
Average
Sample Mean
500
3
400
300
0
Part
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 70
Module Estimator
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
Trial
Effort
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
276
240
278
262
169
126
168
128
198
205
215
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 72
STAT > Quality Tools > Gage R&R Study (Crossed) > Options
L1 Version 3.2
Slide 73
%Contribution
VarComp (of VarComp)
434.2
65.9
368.3
213.6
154.7
3285.0
3719.1
11.67
1.77
9.90
5.74
4.16
88.33
100.00
Source
StdDev
(SD)
Study Var
(5.15*SD)
%Study Var
(%SV)
20.8367
8.1189
19.1898
14.6145
12.4365
57.3146
60.9846
107.309
41.812
98.828
75.265
64.048
295.170
314.071
34.17
13.31
31.47
23.96
20.39
93.98
100.00
Key Concepts
Number of distinct categories in the Minitab output illustrates the number of groups
within your process data that your measurement system can discern
A value of 4 or more denotes a good measurement system
Continuous Data
- acceptable
- acceptable
If none of the above criteria is met, do not proceed to the next step
Continuous Data
However, discretion may be needed depending upon application of the process / equipment
You should not proceed to next DMAIC step. Simplify process / explore root cause
Tool
Key Concepts
Operator Consistency
(Trial Match)
Mutual Consistency
(Operator Agreement)
Operator Efficiency
(True Match)
% of times an operator has both his observations matched with true value
Measurement Efficiency
(True Agreement)
% of times both operators are in complete sync with the true value
Class Exercise
Data is given on past matches played by Indian cricket team. Classify each match into LOST
or WON, as applicable to Indian team.
Once this is done, put the values in the GRR Discrete Data worksheet given &
compute all the six measurements.
Discrete Data
Discrete data measurement system has to be perfect because of sample size limitations
Measurements for operator consistency & efficiency should be targeted at minimum 90%
failing which team may want to discuss with Champion & Black Belt for proceeding further
Key Concepts
Once the GRR has been found to be reduced to acceptable level, project team can
start collecting data
Using this data to arrive the Sigma multiple of the process shall be discussed in
Analyze phase
Tollgate - Measure
Quiz
Quiz!!!!!!!!!
MEASURE Q1
c) Identifying bottlenecks
MEASURE Q2
b) Supplier
c) Shop floor
d) Specifications
MEASURE Q3
A unit is
a) Where we observe defects
d) a & b
MEASURE Q4
d) Any number is OK
MEASURE Q5
Quality
a) Goes up as defects come down
MEASURE Q6
b) Spread
c) OFE
d) Shape