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Conference on
In Pursuit of Common Security: Peace, Mutual Trust
& Responsibility
In Beijing, Peoples Republic of China
June 20-22, 2014
South Asian Regional Cooperation & Security
By
Subramanian Swamy Ph.D. (Harvard)
Former Cabinet Minister of Commerce,
Law & Justice, Government of India
Chairman, BJP Committee for Strategic Action &
Member, BJP National Executive Committee
swamy39@gmail.com
swamy@post.harvard.edu
1. Introduction
Nine nations of South Asia, all with common borders with India, have a
shared culture and a long common history. South Asia nations constitute only 3
per cent of the worlds area, but houses 21 per cent of the global population.
South Asian nations also make an integrated condominium of common rivers,
mountain system, ocean and a conjoint ecological system. That is, South Asian
nations destiny is either to sink or swim together in the battle against poverty
and unemployment as well as in meeting the challenges of environment,
national security, and globalization. The regions factor endowment for
economic production is also more or less the same.
At the present juncture in global affairs, while the world over countries
are regrouped in mega-trade and political blocs, e.g., NAFTA, ASEAN,EU,
Shanghai Forum etc., South Asia despite having already in place since 1985 an
Institutional machinery called (South Asian Association for Regional
Cooperation), is an arena of conflict, distrust and mutual contradiction. India
more significantly, constituting 70% or more of SAARC area and population
seems to have a political conflicts with all its neighbours perhaps except with
Bhutan.
There is today, therefore, an urgent need for structuring a new paradigm
of regional cooperation in South Asia, with priority assigned to achieving mutual
peace and harmony and joint ventures in fields ranging from education, science
and technology, infrastructure, telecommunication to energy, Information
Technology, media freedom and national security. Thus, South Asia ought to,
recognizing its common legacy of factor endowments and experience of
Imperialism ought to tap full potential of the region especially in human
resources and the demographic dividend by joint ventures. That is why Prime
Minister Narendra Modis first visit abroad as PM, to Bhutan, signals a
realization in India.
2. SAARC Structure
South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) was
established at the First Summit in Dhaka on December 7-8, 1985. The last
Summit the 17th was held in Addu in Maldives in November, 2011. The18th
Summit is scheduled to be held in Nepal in November, 2014. SAARC members
are the eight nations of South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal,
India, Maldives, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, with Observer nations: USA, China, Iran,
EU, and Myanmar.
The SAARC Charter mandates that decisions, at all levels in the SAARC, are
only of multilateral issues and taken on the basis of unanimity for inclusion in
the Agenda.
SAARC has yet to develop into a conflict-mediating or conflictresolving institution both on multilateral and bilateral issues. It succeeded
however in evolving as a forum and a framework which does not have the
capacity to devise instruments and techniques for consultations on bilateral and
multilateral political and security problems.
operational, because internal enabling legislation has so far not yet been
enacted by two members, Pakistan and Bangladesh. Problems thus remain with
regard to implementation. Exchange of information intelligence and expertise
are amongst the areas identified for mutual cooperation. Regional cooperation
is also envisaged in preventive action to combat terrorism. A SAARC Terrorists
Offences Monitoring Desk (STOMD) has been established in Colombo to collate,
analyse and disseminate information about terrorist incidents, tactics and
methods.
The SAARC Convention: Narcotics Drug and Psychotropic
Substances (NDPS) was signed in November 1990 and came into force On
September 15, 1993 following ratification by all Member States. The Convention
seeks to reinforce and supplement at the regional level the provisions of
relevant international conventions and promote regional cooperation in both
law enforcement and demand reduction. The SAARC Drug Offences Monitoring
Desk has been established at Colombo to exchange information and intelligence
on drug offences. A MoU between SAARC and the United Nations International
Drug Control Programme (UNDCP) has been signed.
A Proposed Road Map
To overcome this impasse in SAARC, and to make it work, two preconditions have to obtain: (1) India has to go the extra mile to make SAARC
work and because India is 70 per cent of South Asia, land and other six have
borders only with India. (2) South Asian countries have to work on the common
values and shared perceptions of the people of the region, consciously
eschewing the essentially political differences. Transparency in action in
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
were a few leaders like Adenauer, de Gaulle, Schuma and de Gasperi who had a
vision of a peaceful development of the continent and dared to embark towards
this goal. But as the popular saying goes, It takes two to tango. With two of
the eight SAARC nations in possession of deliverable nuclear weapons, it is
imperative for the peaceful existence of SAARC nations to effectively bind
together and develop harmoniously.
Conclusion:
The failure to address adequately the question of secure, peaceful
and stable regional climate-free of tension and mistrust appears to be a major
impediment in realising meaningful co-operation among South Asian countries,
seriously hampering decision making and implementation of agreements with
respect to co-operative ventures in the core area of economic and commercial
co-operation.
The problem however of incorporating political questions into
SAARC consultations is that the South Asian countries, do not perceive as yet a
common threat that supersedes traditional bilateral perceptions. If in the 1950s,
if India had not tilted to the Soviet Union, a common South Asian perspective
would have emerged at least after the disastrous Soviet occupation of
Afghanistan in 1997.
A common foreign threat has successfully cemented other regional
groupings. South Asia would have been similarly united in a political purpose.
Today in SAARC, poverty and unemployment elimination cannot be sufficient
for cementing a common purpose for a vibrant SAARC.
There are thus five crucial issues before the SAARC nations today:
First, SAARC is off and on in a limbo ever since it got derailed by the
cancellation of the Summit that was scheduled for November, 1999 in
Kathmandu. This the first issue is: How to grapple with SAARCs uncertain
future and how to put it back on the rails again, and not permit in the future,
international political changes to affect the functioning of the SAARC.
Second, SAARC has to resolve whether the essential economic
cooperation in an increasingly globalized would economy, can be achieved
despite the continuing unresolved political conflicts. The issue is whether
political differences can be set aside, while a more harmonious environment be
created through healthy economic cooperation.
Third, can SAARC, as required in the Charter, insulate its
deliberations for long from contentious political questions of each member
country? For example, should a SAARC Summit be cancelled because of a
military coup? India by cancelling the SAARC Summit after a military coup in
Pakistan, had unwittingly and implicitly introduced politics into SAARC without
grappling with it. This has nearly destroyed the institution of SAARC. Hence,
would it not have been better, as the Pakistani Prime Minister had wanted in
the Colombo summit in 1998, to explicitly incorporate political discussions in
SAARC? The third issue thus is: whether SAARC is so fragile that it cannot
survive if political questions are raised.
Fourth, given that India is seventy per cent of SAARC geographically
and economically, and that the remaining SAARC nations have borders only
with India and not with each other, unlike in European Union, does India have
the special responsibility to go the extra mile to make SAARC work?
Fifth, given the WTO disciplines are to be enforced, does SAARC
need a level playing field regional agreement, modelled on GATT, and a
Regional Trade Organization (RTO) to enforce it?
In my view, the further evolution of SAARC and to grapple with
these five issues, will require the co-operation of China and USA in SAARC
deliberations, even in a sub-committee of SAARC. This is because several of
SAARC countries are unlikely to accept bilateral solution unless the Chinese and
the Americans are kept in the loop. At present China and USA are in on
Observers Group of the SAARC.