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INTRODUCTION
Study population
The Cohort of Swedish Men was initiated in the autumn of
1997, when all men who were aged 4579 y and resided in the
rebro counties of central Sweden received
Vastmanland and O
a questionnaire that included 350 items concerning diet and
other lifestyle factors. Of the 48,850 men (49% of the source
population) who returned a completed questionnaire, we excluded those with an erroneous or a missing national identification number and those with implausible values for total energy
intake (ie, 3 SDs from the loge-transformed mean energy intake). We further excluded men with a history of stroke, coronary heart disease, or cancer at baseline because these diseases
might have caused a change in diet. After these exclusions,
40,291 men remained for analysis. The study was approved by
the Regional Ethical Review Board at the Karolinska Institutet
(Stockholm, Sweden).
Baseline data collection
Information on education, body weight, height, smoking status
and history, physical activity, aspirin use, history of diabetes and
hypertension, family history of myocardial infarction before age
60 y, alcohol consumption, and diet was obtained in 1997 by
1
Am J Clin Nutr 2011;94:41721. Printed in USA. 2011 American Society for Nutrition
417
ABSTRACT
Background: Red and processed meat consumption has been implicated in several diseases. However, data on meat consumption in
relation to stroke incidence are sparse.
Objective: Our objective was to examine the associations of red
meat and processed meat consumption with stroke incidence in
men.
Design: We prospectively followed 40,291 men aged 4579 y who
had no history of cardiovascular disease or cancer at baseline. Meat
consumption was assessed with a self-administered questionnaire in
1997.
Results: During a mean follow-up of 10.1 y, 2409 incident cases of
stroke (1849 cerebral infarctions, 350 hemorrhagic strokes, and 210
unspecified strokes) were identified from the Swedish Hospital Discharge Registry. Consumption of processed meat, but not of fresh
red meat, was positively associated with risk of stroke. The multivariable relative risks (RRs) of total stroke for the highest compared
with the lowest quintiles of consumption were 1.23 (95% CI: 1.07,
1.40; P for trend = 0.004) for processed meat and 1.07 (95% CI:
0.93, 1.24; P for trend = 0.77) for fresh red meat. Processed meat
consumption was also positively associated with risk of cerebral
infarction in a comparison of the highest with the lowest quintile
(RR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.38; P for trend = 0.03).
Conclusion: The findings from this prospective cohort of men indicate that processed meat consumption is positively associated with
risk of stroke. The Cohort of Swedish Men is registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT01127711.
Am J Clin Nutr 2011;94:41721.
418
LARSSON ET AL
RESULTS
Diet was assessed with a 96-item food-frequency questionnaire. Participants were asked to indicate how often, on average,
they had consumed various foods over the past year, with 8
predefined frequency categories ranging from never to 3 times/d.
We grouped meat into total red meat, fresh red meat, and processed meat. Fresh red meat consumption was calculated by using
the frequency of consumption and age-specific portion size information of all types of fresh and minced pork, beef, and veal.
Processed meats included sausages, hot dogs, salami, ham, processed meat cuts, liver pate, and blood sausage. Total red meat
was the sum of fresh red meat and processed meat. The foodfrequency questionnaire has been validated for nutrients (14), but
not for food items, in 248 Swedish men aged 4074 y; the mean
Spearman correlation coefficients between estimates from the
dietary questionnaire and the mean of fourteen 24-h recall interviews were 0.65 for macronutrients and 0.62 for micronutrients
(14). The age-specific portion sizes (based on two 1-wk weighted
dietary records) for fresh red meat ranged from 97 to 147 g per
serving. For processed meat, the age-specific portion sizes ranged
from 15 to 24 g (liver pate) to 133150 g (blood sausage).
2039, or 40 pack-years; or current ,20, 2039, or 40 packyears), education (less than high school, high school, or university), BMI (,20, 2024.9, 2529.9, or 30), total physical activity (quartiles), diabetes (yes or no), history of hypertension (yes
or no), aspirin use (yes or no), family history of myocardial infarction before 60 y of age (yes or no), and intakes of total energy
(in kcal/d, as a continuous variable) and quartiles of alcohol, fish,
fruit, and vegetables. In an additional multivariable model, we
further adjusted for intakes of whole grains and dairy foods.
Tests for linear trends across quintiles were conducted by
modeling red meat consumption as a continuous variable in the
model with the median value of each quintile. We conducted
analyses stratified by a history of hypertension (yes or no) to
assess possible effect modification by this variable. Tests for
interaction were performed by using the log-likelihood ratio test.
The statistical analyses were performed by using SAS version 9.1
(SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC). All P values were 2-sided, and P
values 0.05 were considered significant. We had 80% power to
detect an RR of 1.2 and 100% power to detect an RR of 1.3
for the highest compared with the lowest quintile (a = 0.05).
419
2
3
P value2
56.6 6 8.2
16.0
26.9
25.9 6 3.3
41.8 6 4.9
6.6
21.7
34.2
14.8
,0.001
,0.001
0.36
,0.001
0.56
0.11
0.59
,0.001
0.64
3199
11.8
33.9
27.4
10.5
0.4
1.7
3.1
4.5
6.0
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
746
8.9
7.1
3.8
1.9
0.4
1.1
1.5
2.4
3.1
Q1
Processed meat
P value2
Q5
,0.001
,0.001
0.25
0.21
,0.001
0.21
0.007
0.006
0.48
Q1
Q5
P value2
Hypertension and diabetes may be intermediates of the association between red meat consumption and stroke. When we
removed history of hypertension and diabetes variables from the
multivariable model, the RRs of total stroke in a comparison of
the highest with the lowest quintile of consumption were 1.06
(95% CI: 0.92, 1.23) for fresh red meat and 1.26 (95% CI: 1.10,
TABLE 2
Relative risks (95% CIs) of total stroke and stroke subtypes by total red meat consumption in 40,291 men in the cohort of
Swedish men, 199820081
Red meat consumption (g/d)
Total stroke
Person-years
No. of cases
Age-adjusted
Multivariable3
Cerebral infarction
No. of cases
Age-adjusted
Multivariable3
Hemorrhagic stroke
No. of cases
Age-adjusted
Multivariable3
1
,62.5
62.588.3
88.4110.3
110.4136.1
136.2
P for trend2
80,842
644
1.00
1.00
79,858
554
1.03 (0.92, 1.15)
1.06 (0.94, 1.19)
82,414
466
1.03 (0.91, 1.16)
1.08 (0.95, 1.22)
82,086
361
0.96 (0.84, 1.10)
1.02 (0.89, 1.17)
82,441
384
1.10 (0.97, 1.25)
1.15 (1.00, 1.33)
0.33
0.10
515
1.00
1.00
420
0.97 (0.85, 1.11)
1.01 (0.88, 1.15)
357
0.99 (0.87, 1.14)
1.04 (0.90, 1.20)
279
0.94 (0.81, 1.09)
1.00 (0.85, 1.17)
278
1.01 (0.87, 1.17)
1.06 (0.90, 1.25)
0.91
0.53
75
1.00
1.00
89
1.36 (1.00, 1.84)
1.38 (1.01, 1.88)
56
0.99 (0.70, 1.39)
0.99 (0.69, 1.42)
56
1.09 (0.77, 1.55)
1.14 (0.79, 1.65)
74
1.52 (1.10, 2.12)
1.57 (1.09, 2.25)
0.06
0.06
Relative risks and 95% CIs were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards regression models.
The test for trend was calculated by using the median red meat consumption in each quintile as a continuous variable.
3
The multivariable model was adjusted for age, smoking status, pack-years of smoking, education, BMI, total physical
activity, histories of diabetes and hypertension, aspirin use, family history of myocardial infarction, and intakes of total
energy, alcohol, fish, fruit, and vegetables.
2
Q5
Q1
Age (y)
63.2 6 9.83
Education, university (%)
18.4
Current smoker (%)
26.2
BMI (kg/m2)
25.7 6 3.3
Total physical activity (MET-h/d)
41.8 6 4.8
History of diabetes (%)
5.2
History of hypertension (%)
21.8
Aspirin use (%)
30.7
Family history of myocardial infarction (%)
13.6
Daily dietary intake
Energy (kcal)
2286 6 745
Alcohol (g)
9.0 6 8.4
Saturated fat (g)
33.7 6 9.4
Monounsaturated fat (g)
23.4 6 4.7
Polyunsaturated fat (g)
9.5 6 2.5
Fish (servings)
0.2 6 0.3
Fruit (servings)
1.4 6 1.2
Vegetables (servings)
2.2 6 1.7
Whole grains (servings)
4.2 6 2.6
5.3 6 3.1
Dairy foods (servings)
420
LARSSON ET AL
TABLE 3
Relative risks (95% CIs) of total stroke and stroke subtypes by quintile of fresh and processed meat consumption in
40,291 men in the cohort of Swedish men, 199820081
Quintile
1
33.550.4
50.567.1
67.283.1
.83.1
P for trend2
82,887
77,510
91,027
75,694
526
434
413
359
0.96 (0.85, 1.07) 0.97 (0.86, 1.10) 0.89 (0.79, 1.01) 1.06 (0.93, 1.20)
0.98 (0.87, 1.10) 0.99 (0.87, 1.12) 0.92 (0.81, 1.05) 1.07 (0.93, 1.24)
0.94
0.77
419
332
311
259
0.98 (0.86, 1.12) 0.95 (0.83, 1.09) 0.87 (0.76, 1.00) 0.99 (0.85, 1.15)
1.01 (0.88, 1.15) 0.99 (0.85, 1.14) 0.91 (0.78, 1.06) 1.02 (0.87, 1.20)
0.30
0.63
68
62
61
70
0.89 (0.65, 1.22) 0.96 (0.69, 1.33) 0.88 (0.63, 1.23) 1.32 (0.96, 1.83)
0.88 (0.64, 1.22) 0.93 (0.66, 1.31) 0.86 (0.61, 1.23) 1.27 (0.90, 1.80)
20.132.1
32.242.1
42.257.0
57.1
0.19
0.26
80,692
80,725
80,339
80,676
504
475
409
453
1.06 (0.94, 1.19) 1.13 (1.00, 1.28) 1.07 (0.94, 1.21) 1.20 (1.06, 1.35)
1.08 (0.95, 1.22) 1.17 (1.03, 1.33) 1.12 (0.98, 1.28) 1.23 (1.07, 1.40)
0.007
0.004
395
349
314
341
1.05 (0.91, 1.20) 1.06 (0.92, 1.21) 1.04 (0.90, 1.20) 1.14 (0.99, 1.32)
1.07 (0.93, 1.23) 1.09 (0.94, 1.26) 1.10 (0.94, 1.28) 1.18 (1.01, 1.38)
0.08
0.03
69
81
57
73
1.14 (0.82, 1.59) 1.47 (1.06, 2.02) 1.10 (0.78, 1.57) 1.40 (1.01, 1.95)
1.18 (0.84, 1.66) 1.53 (1.09, 2.13) 1.14 (0.79, 1.64) 1.39 (0.97, 1.99)
0.07
0.15
Relative risks and 95% CIs were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards regression models.
The test for trend was calculated by using the median red meat consumption in each quintile as a continuous variable.
3
The multivariable model was adjusted for age, smoking status, pack-years of smoking, education, BMI, total physical
activity, histories of diabetes and hypertension, aspirin use, family history of myocardial infarction, and intakes of total energy,
alcohol, fish, fruit, and vegetables. Fresh red meat and processed meat were included in the same multivariable model.
2
1.44) for processed meat. The associations of fresh red meat and
processed meat consumption (analyzed as continuous variables)
with risk of total stroke were not modified by history of hypertension (P interaction 0.92).
The results were slightly weaker when we adjusted red meat
consumption for total energy intake using the residual method
(15). For example, the multivariable RR of total stroke for the
highest compared with the lowest quintile of energy-adjusted
processed meat consumption was 1.17 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.33).
DISCUSSION
The authors responsibilities were as followsSCL and AW: study concept and design; AW: data collection; SCL: statistical analyses and manuscript
writing; and SCL, JV, and AW: interpretation of results and critical revision of
manuscript. None of the authors had a personal or financial conflict of interest.
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