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Simulation
Agenda
Success criteria
Marketing strategy
Snapshot of performance Marketing, Finance and Operations
perspective
Success criteria
Why we chose sales growth ?
Target Set
Sales growth of at
least 6-8% every year
Target achieved
Sales rose from 4.29
million AU in year 0 to
12.37 million AU in
year 5
An increase of ~ 165%
over 5 years.
On an average sales
have increased by a
CAGR of 21.53 %
Segmentation
Five Star hotel rooms (High end )
Three Star hotel rooms (Medium end)
Economic/Budget hotel rooms (Lower end)
Positioning
High quality hotel service provider (High quality acting as a
Point of Differentiation)
Key decisions
for next year
Quality spends
Promotional
spends
Pricing decision
keeping our
objectives in mind
Supporting
Decisions for
next year
Estimate
Sales/client
Estimate
additional
resources required
Financial analysis
to estimate cash
available
Estimate loan
requirements, if
any
Prepare
expected
results for
next year
Sales income
Net Profit
Cash available etc.
Reassess in case
of mismatch
The above decision making algorithm was followed with the help of a financial model.
27.8%
30%
24.8%
1000000
25%
15%
600000
10%
400000
5%
-1.6%
-5%
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Total Sales Income
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0%
0
Sales Growth
116
177
235
48
212
202
268
331
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
144
New
Clients
444
Existing
Clients
Year 5
20%
800000
200000
200
Accounting Units
1200000
400
35%
31.9%
28.1%
600
452
284
110
173
167
206
329
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
521
Year 4
206
New
Clients
737
Existing
Clients
Year 5
259
225
202
180
0
145
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
New
Clients
Existing
Clients
450000
406788
55
400000
53
51
51
40
50
50
350000
30
200000
35
150000 129881
30
100000
25
50000
20
36
32
Year 1
32
29
26
24
25
30
29
24
27
20
Year 1
33
40
250000
35
31
45
300000
37
35
47
Accounting Units
Net Profit
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Net Profit
Year 5
19
15
Year 1
Year 2
Return on Assets
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Return on Equity
Capacity Utilization
140
140
120
120
51
100
41
20
25
35
49
69
81
Year 2
Resource A
105
40
20
0
0
Year 1
99
60
32
30
106
80
35
60
94
103
91
122
108
80
40
100
120
Year 3
Year 4
Resource B
Year 5
Resource B
Decision
Level 1
Price
60
Level 2
45
Level 3
30
Level 1
20000
Level 2
16000
Level 3
15000
New
Resources
Quality
Improvement
25000
15000
Promotion
Loans Taken
Reason
Understandings based on
analysis
Despite spending 15000 AU
on promotion in level 3 no. of
new clients did not increase.
This indicates that level 3 is
a declining market.
No. of existing clients in level
1 and 2 decreased, despite
spending on quality
improvement. This indicates
that our quality is low in
comparison to
competitors.
Capacity utilization of level 1
was 120%. This indicates
shortage of resource A.
Decision
Level 1
60
Level 2
44
Price
Promotion
New
Resources
Quality
Improvement
Level 3
30
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
A
B
A
25000
18000
0
10
2
30000
12500
Loans Taken
80000
Reason
By observing prices of competitor and their
market shares, we understood level 1 and
level 3 were not majorly price sensitive
However, level 2 seemed to be price
sensitive. To test this we decreased price by
1 AU
Understandings based on
analysis
Price
Decision
Level 1
62
Level 2
42
Level 3
Loans
Taken
28
30000
25000
Level 1
Promotion Level 2
Level 3
New
Resources
Quality
Improvem
ent
Reason
5000
A
B
A
14
3
45000
20000
Understandings based on
analysis
Sales growth increased by
32% due to increase in sales of
level 1 and level 2
Market share increased in
level 2 reaffirming that it is
price sensitive
Quality spends were effective
in retaining a higher share
of existing clients but still
not the best among
competitors
Capacity utilization beat our
estimates and was slightly more
than 100 %. This confirmed that
there was increasing demand
for our services
Decision
Level 1
63
Level 2
41
Level 3
Level 1
Level 2
28
35000
40000
Promotion
Level 3
New
Resources
Quality
Improvem
ent
Loans
Taken
Reason
A
B
A
20
6
60000
30000
50000
Decision
Level 1
63
Level 2
42
Level 3
Price
Promotion
New
Resources
Quality
Improvem
ent
Loans
Taken
Level 1
Level 2
29
Reason
30000
30000
Level 3
A
B
A
12
10
75000
60000
50000
Understandings based on
analysis
Sales growth increased by
25% due to increase in sales
of level 1 and level 2. Level 2
sales increased significantly
by 34.7%
Market share increased in
level 2 to 23 %. New clients
were attracted by promotional
spends and high quality of
service
Capacity utilization met our
estimates. Both resource A
and B were optimally
utilized at 99%.
Demand/client was equal
to sales/client
Decision
Level 1
64
Level 2
42
Level 3
28
Level 1 45000
Level 2 45000
Promotion
Level 3
New
Resources
Quality
Improvement
A
B
5000
15
8
9000
0
A
B
75000
Loans Taken
Reason
We increased price in level 1 by 1 AU as we felt
higher price was justified due to higher quality
Promotional spends were increased further to
attract new clients based on quality of service at
reasonable prices
To test if the market in level 3 is cyclical we
made a promotional spend of 5000 AU in level 3
Acquired new resources to meet the expected
increase in demand from clients
Improved quality spends further to increase the
level of quality of our service and retain existing
clients. Objective was to be the best quality of
service in the industry
Based on our financial model we estimated cash
required for acquiring new resources could be
met from existing current assets
1527960
Total resource
cost
502000
Depreciation
2250095
Operating
Expenses
227500
Operating
Profit
573565
Financial
Expenses
Net Profit
Sales Growth
Net Profit
Margin
32800
540565
23.46 %
35.38 %
Thank you