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The Heavy Duty Company has just purchased a large machine for a new production process. The
machine is powered by a motor that occasionally breaks down and requires a major overhaul.
Therefore, the manufacturer of the machines also provides a second standby motor. The two
motors are rotated in use, with each one remaining in the machines until it is removed for an
overhaul and replaced by the other one.
Given the planned usage of the machine, its manufacturer has provided the company with
information about the durability of the motors (the number of days of usage until a breakdown
occurs). This information is shown in the first two columns of Table 1. The first column lists the
number of days the current machines has been in use. For each of these days, the second column
then given the probability that breakdown will occur on that day. Since these probabilities are 0
expect for days 4, 5, and 6, the breakdown always occurs on the fourth, fifth, or sixth day.
Table 1: The Probability Distribution of Breakdowns for Heavy Dutys Motors, and the
Corresponding Random Numbers.
Day
Probability of
a breakdown
Corresponding
Random
Numbers
1,2,3
4
5
6
7 or more
0
0.25
0.5
0.25
0
0.0000 to 0.2499
0.2500 to 0.7499
0.7500 to 0.9999
Fortunately, the time required to overhaul a motor never exceeds three days, so a replacement
motor is always ready when a breakdown occurs. When this happens, the remainder of the day
(plus overtime if needed) is used to remove the failed motor and install the replacement motor,
so the machine then is ready to begin operation again at the beginning of the next day. The
average costs incurred during each replacement cycle (the time from when a replacement of a
motor begins until just before another replacement is needed) are summarized below:
Cost of a Replacement Cycle That Begins with a
Breakdown
Replace a motor
$ 2,000
Lost production during replacement
$ 5,000
Overhaul a motor
$ 4,000
Total
$ 11,000