Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
October 1, 2014
Market Outlook
Domestic Indices
Indices
Close
Change
Change%
26630.51
33.40
0.13
7964.80
5.90
0.07
7999.15
5.25
0.07
10173.26
10.79
0.11
9530.35
13.57
0.14
10681.46
13.79
0.13
Indices
Close
Change
17042.90
-28.32
Dow Jones
Nasdaq
4493.39
-12.46
6622.72
-23.88
FTSE
DAX
9474.30
51.39
0.00
Hang Seng
22932.98
Nikkei
16204.98
24.96
7967.50
-21.00
SGX Nifty
* Asian Market at 7:30 am.IST
Hang Seng Markets are closed today
Change%
-0.17
-0.28
-0.36
0.55
0.00
0.15
-0.26
Sensex: We said, "Strength above Friday required to open +ve options ... " Index traded volatile on RBI Policy. Above Friday after
the Policy, it failed to hold the gains later, and settled only 33 pts or 0.1% higher. Pharma/OG sectors moved +ve, but
Realty/Power stocks came under pressure. Initially +ve, A/D ratio settled even stevens.
The action formed a Long Legged Doji candle, with Open=Close indicating an indecisive end to the extremely volatile trade
around RBI Policy. Follow-up weakness and Close below the candle could be -ve. However, now into the Blue area again, watch
if action bases out and recovers over and above the initial weakness.
Exhibit 1: Sensex Daily Candlestick Chart
Global Indices
Market Breadth
40
106
Unchg
NSE
BSE
620
Decline
554
Advance
0
500
1532
1353
1000
1500
2000
Intraday
Range bound
Short Term
Range bound
Trend Reversal
Support
7925-7890
7700
Resistance
7980-8010
8200
20 Days EMA
8002
7196
7999.15
Targets :
7990/7970/Lower
Stop-loss :
8040.00
Page 2
Trend Scanner
Global Currencies
Spot
Positive Trends
Close
Prev.close
% Chg
Rupee (|)
61.758
61.528
-0.37
Scrip Name
Dollar Index
86.040
85.936
0.11
Euro
1.262
1.263
British Pound
1.619
Japanese Yen
Australian ($)
Swiss Franc
Candlestick Patterns
Close
% Change
10-day SMA
Delivery (%)
655.40
2.84
647.45
50.30
-0.12
Merck Ltd/India
850.45
2.51
832.88
54.34
1.621
-0.12
ITC Ltd
370.20
1.12
367.63
67.20
109.880
109.650
-0.21
314.15
3.54
304.32
50.97
0.869
0.875
-0.65
0.956
0.955
-0.09
8.51
8.51
US 10 Year
2.50
2.49
EURO 10 Year
0.95
0.96
GBP 10 Year
2.42
2.44
JPY 10 Year
0.52
0.53
Commodities
Close
Prev. Close
%Chg
1206.15
1208.15
-0.16
Copper
16.9428
16.9755
-0.19
95.08
94.67
0.48
Brent Crude
Scrip Name
FII
-485.9
DII
201.2
29-Sep-14
150.1
234.5
26-Sep-14
-1,133.6
1,335.3
25-Sep-14
-851.2
818.6
24-Sep-14
-793.7
-15.3
Scrip Name
Close
IOC
362.4
MT Educare
138.2
Scrip Name
Close
Coromandel
305.9
BHEL
200.5
BPCL
655.4
DLF
150.9
Sun Pharma
857.3
Close
% Change
10-day SMA
Delivery (%)
IDFC Ltd
137.25
-2.42
142.78
32.53
Piercing Line
200.45
-3.51
214.21
37.59
ITC
370.2
Oversold Stocks
Scrip Name
LTP
Scrip Name
Scrip Name
Berger Paint
379.5
Aurobindo Pharma
Institutional Activity
Cash Segment (| Cr)
30-Sep-14
ZEE Entertainment
US Dollar
Gold
Bullish Engulfing
Negative Trends
India 10 year
LTP
Stochastic
969.5
95.7
LTP
Stochastic
Mcleod Russel
291.95
16
Reliance Infra.
589.5
19.83
148
16.3
Uflex
Colgate
HDFC Bank
1746.5
874
Marico
309.9
Titan Company
408.5
Wabag
1690
Page 3
658.20
Action :
Targets :
665.50/671/Higher
Stop-loss :
652.10
50 days EMA
Page 4
629.15
Action :
Targets :
632.70/636/Higher
Stop-loss :
620.90
Page 5
137.75
Action :
Targets :
136/134.70/Lower
Stop-loss :
140.70
MACD giving sell signal moving below signal line in daily chart
Page 6
Nifty
Lupin
PowerGrid
Product
Future
Future
Future
Strategy
Sell
Buy
Buy
Recommended Price
In range of 8015-8020
In range of 1398-1401.00
In range of 138.70-139.30
Targets
7985/7965/1420/1432/+
142/143.50/+
SL
8035.00
1389.00
137.50
Gain/Loss %*
32.50
0.45
-1.07
Comment
Target 1 achieved
Closed at 1405.90
Stoploss triggered
* Return Opportunity
Nifty Points gained for the day: 32.5 points
NOTE: The follow-up and performance review table of the strategies indicates the profit opportunity that was available in the strategies. Individual profits may vary,
depending upon the entry and exit price and stop losses
Page 7
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
26630.51
26642.45
26549.95
26457.45
26827.45
26876.9
26926.35
+ve
NIFTY
7964.80
7969.00
7942.25
7915.45
8022.50
8036.80
8051.05
+ve
ACC
1399.55
1376.55
1368.70
1360.80
1408.00
1423.75
1439.45
-ve
470.70
464.15
460.50
456.85
472.15
476.15
480.15
-ve
-ve
ADANI ENTER.
ADANI POWER
ADITYA BIRLA
ALLAHABAD BANK
ANDHRA BANK
APOLLO HOSPITALS
43.40
42.70
42.30
41.90
43.65
44.10
44.60
1620.50
1596.50
1587.50
1578.50
1629.10
1645.40
1661.75
-ve
99.35
97.50
96.55
95.55
100.00
101.25
102.50
-ve
65.15
64.05
63.55
63.05
65.45
66.15
66.85
1120.70
1118.80
1108.80
1098.80
1138.80
1145.45
1152.10
+ve
+ve
APOLLO TYRES
203.75
202.00
198.10
194.25
209.75
210.75
211.75
ARVIND
296.90
291.25
288.85
286.45
298.15
301.60
305.00
41.15
40.80
40.45
39.95
41.50
41.85
42.40
ASHOK LEYLAND
-ve
-ve
Neutral
ASIAN PAINTS
629.55
629.90
625.80
621.75
638.05
640.70
643.40
+ve
AUROBINDO PHARMA
968.25
966.70
958.15
949.65
983.80
1001.90
1020.05
+ve
BAJAJ AUTO
2351.60
2343.30
2327.95
2312.60
2373.95
2388.95
2403.90
+ve
BOB
902.30
901.30
896.70
892.10
910.50
915.80
921.10
+ve
BOI
232.00
227.05
223.95
220.85
233.50
236.75
239.95
1324.55
1323.70
1318.70
1313.70
1333.70
1349.85
1366.00
BATA INDIA
-ve
+ve
BHARAT FORGE
823.30
811.50
803.45
795.40
826.70
834.35
841.95
-ve
BPCL
655.40
652.05
644.85
637.60
666.55
672.40
678.30
+ve
+ve
BHARTI AIRTEL
405.20
405.15
403.15
401.15
409.10
410.95
412.75
BIOCON
498.20
491.70
487.60
483.50
499.85
503.90
508.00
-ve
CAIRNS INDIA
311.85
311.20
309.25
307.30
315.10
316.60
318.05
+ve
CANARA BANK
350.90
348.50
345.25
341.80
355.00
358.25
361.70
Neutral
CENTURY TEXT.
544.00
541.60
537.50
533.90
549.75
553.80
557.40
Neutral
CESC
750.05
738.10
731.35
724.55
751.50
758.20
764.90
58.30
58.30
57.90
57.50
59.15
59.90
60.70
+ve
CIPLA
626.80
624.85
621.25
617.70
632.00
635.30
638.60
+ve
COAL INDIA
341.35
336.65
334.90
333.15
342.30
345.10
347.90
1742.55
1732.75
1712.65
1692.55
1772.95
1786.90
1800.85
CROMPTON GREAVES
201.10
201.10
198.15
195.20
206.95
208.45
209.90
+ve
DABUR INDIA
222.15
222.45
221.05
219.65
225.25
227.65
230.00
+ve
53.85
53.50
53.20
52.80
54.10
54.40
54.85
CHAMBAL FERT.
COLGATE PALM.
DISH TV
-ve
-ve
+ve
Neutral
Page 8
SCRIP
DIVI'S LAB.
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
1800.35
1797.05
1782.30
1767.55
1826.55
1846.90
1867.25
150.85
145.95
144.30
142.60
151.65
154.50
157.35
3229.60
3231.50
3221.80
3212.10
3250.90
3272.50
3294.15
EXIDE IND.
169.60
168.80
167.95
166.90
170.45
171.25
172.35
Neutral
FEDERAL BANK
125.85
125.85
124.60
123.40
128.35
129.05
129.80
+ve
FUTURE RETAIL
117.00
117.25
116.45
115.65
118.85
120.30
121.75
+ve
GAIL
449.45
443.65
438.85
434.10
450.15
453.40
456.65
5636.75
5597.00
5495.75
5394.50
5799.50
5852.00
5904.50
+ve
721.80
724.35
716.60
708.85
739.85
749.35
758.85
+ve
17.55
16.95
16.55
16.20
17.65
18.00
18.40
-ve
988.60
967.30
962.05
956.80
991.00
1002.85
1014.70
-ve
DLF
DR.REDDY'S LAB.
GLAXO SMITH.C.H.
GLENMARK PHARMA.
GMR INFRA.
GODREJ CONSUMER
GODREJ IND.
+ve
-ve
+ve
-ve
307.70
306.30
304.05
302.40
310.85
313.10
314.75
3548.40
3522.65
3507.15
3491.70
3554.60
3570.55
3586.55
AMBUJA CEMENT
213.70
211.95
210.70
209.45
213.80
214.75
215.65
-ve
HAVELL'S INDIA
264.85
264.55
262.65
260.75
268.35
269.85
271.30
+ve
1714.75
1714.85
1710.35
1705.85
1723.80
1730.60
1737.35
+ve
872.65
871.95
867.25
862.60
881.25
885.30
889.35
+ve
+ve
GRASIM
HCL TECH
HDFC BANK
HDFC
1055.25
1052.35
1044.15
1036.00
1068.70
1074.05
1079.45
HERO MOTO
2839.55
2798.35
2781.50
2764.65
2848.95
2874.25
2899.55
201.15
201.45
198.30
195.20
207.70
209.85
212.00
HEXAWARE TECH.
Neutral
-ve
-ve
+ve
HINDALCO
156.75
154.10
152.10
150.10
157.65
159.45
161.20
-ve
HIND. UNILEVER
746.00
743.00
740.05
735.70
748.90
751.85
756.25
Neutral
HPCL
482.15
479.60
473.45
467.25
491.95
496.30
500.60
+ve
HINDUSTAN ZINC
160.95
157.95
157.30
156.65
160.95
162.45
163.95
83.65
83.85
82.80
81.70
86.00
86.70
87.35
1433.55
1418.05
1411.30
1404.55
1438.25
1448.35
1458.45
-ve
60.85
59.60
58.95
58.30
61.20
62.00
62.80
-ve
HDIL
ICICI BANK
IDBI
-ve
+ve
IDEA CELLULAR
166.10
165.70
164.45
163.25
168.10
169.70
171.30
+ve
137.25
134.55
133.70
132.85
138.00
139.70
141.40
-ve
35.75
35.00
34.45
33.90
35.90
36.35
36.80
3439.15
3431.15
3414.20
3397.30
3465.00
3497.05
3529.15
INDUSIND BANK
621.55
618.30
615.05
611.25
624.75
627.95
631.80
Neutral
INDIA CEMENTS
112.55
111.80
110.60
109.45
114.20
115.40
116.55
Neutral
INDRAPRASTHA GAS
419.55
414.45
411.55
408.70
420.35
423.30
426.25
-ve
IFCI
ORACLE FIN.
-ve
+ve
Page 9
SCRIP
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
IOC
362.40
359.20
353.20
347.25
371.15
375.10
379.10
IOB
56.85
56.45
55.85
55.40
57.70
58.30
58.75
Neutral
IB REAL ESTATE
67.50
65.40
64.30
63.20
68.30
69.75
71.20
-ve
INFOSYS
+ve
3747.75
3727.60
3713.80
3693.60
3755.20
3769.00
3789.20
IRB INFRA.
231.10
227.35
225.45
223.50
231.45
233.50
235.55
Neutral
-ve
ITC
370.20
369.35
367.00
364.65
374.05
376.15
378.25
+ve
JAIPRAKASH ASS.
26.45
26.05
25.80
25.40
26.65
26.95
27.30
Neutral
J.P.POWER VENT.
12.45
12.35
12.25
12.05
12.55
12.70
12.85
Neutral
Neutral
JAIN IRRIGATION
81.40
80.60
79.50
78.75
82.80
83.95
84.70
JINDAL ST&POW
172.80
169.45
166.90
164.30
173.75
175.90
178.05
-ve
70.70
69.45
67.85
66.30
70.95
71.70
72.45
-ve
JSW ENERGY
NSE JSW STEEL
1156.05
1117.35
1109.45
1101.50
1169.85
1196.10
1222.35
-ve
JUBILANT FOOD
1230.70
1212.85
1199.00
1185.20
1232.35
1242.10
1251.90
-ve
KARNATAKA BANK
113.00
111.00
110.25
109.45
113.55
114.80
116.10
KOTAK MAH.BANK
1013.10
1014.70
1009.10
1003.45
1025.95
1033.90
1041.80
+ve
L&T
1458.25
1451.75
1439.55
1429.85
1476.15
1488.35
1498.10
Neutral
325.50
324.35
320.95
317.55
331.10
332.70
334.30
NSE LUPIN
1395.65
1390.00
1384.75
1377.95
1400.50
1405.75
1412.60
M&M
1360.80
1342.90
1337.35
1331.80
1363.85
1374.30
1384.80
-ve
MARUTI SUZUKI
3062.85
3057.20
3041.15
3025.10
3089.30
3099.75
3110.20
+ve
UNITED SPIRITS
2402.80
2404.90
2385.40
2365.90
2443.85
2453.40
2463.00
+ve
290.70
291.20
288.40
285.55
296.80
298.30
299.75
+ve
LIC HOUSING
MCLEOD RUSSEL
M&M FIN.SERV.
-ve
+ve
Neutral
273.60
270.40
268.15
265.95
274.05
275.85
277.70
32681.95
32412.70
31909.85
31407.00
33418.45
33538.90
33659.30
277.55
273.15
271.00
268.85
278.50
281.20
283.90
-ve
19.45
19.25
19.10
18.95
19.55
19.65
19.80
-ve
NMDC
165.40
165.50
164.55
163.55
167.50
168.65
169.85
+ve
NSE NTPC
139.10
138.60
138.25
137.60
139.35
139.75
140.40
Neutral
ONGC
408.55
405.90
402.70
400.25
412.20
415.40
417.85
Neutral
OBC
229.65
223.55
221.30
219.05
231.35
235.25
239.15
-ve
PETRONET LNG
188.00
187.50
186.30
185.05
189.90
191.10
192.30
+ve
POWER FINANCE
234.60
230.25
227.50
224.75
235.15
237.60
240.05
-ve
POWER GRID
135.25
133.20
132.20
131.15
135.70
136.95
138.15
85.30
84.90
84.15
83.50
86.40
87.20
87.85
MRF
ADANI PORTS SEZ
NSE NHPC
POWER TRADING
-ve
+ve
-ve
Neutral
Page 10
SCRIP
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
PNB
887.30
882.05
876.95
870.45
892.25
897.35
903.85
RANBAXY
639.70
637.75
633.35
629.00
646.55
653.20
659.90
+ve
99.00
97.40
96.10
94.80
100.05
101.40
102.65
Neutral
REL. CAPITAL
455.35
447.10
443.25
439.45
457.20
462.25
467.30
-ve
RELIANCE INFRA.
585.45
570.95
566.85
562.75
585.45
592.70
599.95
-ve
RELIANCE
945.70
942.70
936.85
931.00
954.40
957.70
960.95
+ve
70.30
69.15
68.55
67.95
70.55
71.20
71.90
249.95
250.10
247.10
244.10
256.05
258.25
260.40
RCOM
RELIANCE POWER
REC
SAIL
Neutral
-ve
+ve
69.60
68.70
68.00
67.35
70.00
70.70
71.35
SESA GOA
272.50
272.55
269.30
266.05
279.10
280.50
281.95
SHRIRAM TRANS.
932.30
910.90
899.95
888.95
939.60
953.95
968.30
-ve
SIEMENS
827.15
827.60
817.00
806.45
848.75
856.45
864.20
+ve
SBI
-ve
+ve
2445.70
2432.60
2418.65
2405.65
2460.45
2474.35
2487.35
SUN PHARMA
857.25
853.85
846.85
839.85
867.80
876.10
884.40
+ve
SUN TV
338.15
336.90
334.60
332.25
341.55
344.50
347.40
+ve
SYNDICATE BANK
109.15
108.40
107.05
105.80
111.10
112.40
113.70
Neutral
TATA CHEMICALS
399.40
398.00
394.50
391.00
405.00
409.25
413.45
+ve
345.10
339.95
337.70
335.50
346.80
350.20
353.60
-ve
TATA MOTORS
502.15
496.75
494.75
492.75
503.95
507.55
511.15
-ve
83.05
82.15
81.75
81.35
83.35
83.95
84.50
159.35
158.35
157.15
156.25
160.75
161.95
162.85
TATA POWER
TATA GLOBAL BEV.
Neutral
-ve
Neutral
TCS
2736.60
2704.30
2679.25
2654.20
2738.55
2755.65
2772.80
-ve
TECH MAHINDRA
2489.70
2474.80
2464.15
2453.65
2496.15
2506.85
2517.35
Neutral
TATA STEEL
459.05
452.45
448.55
444.60
460.90
465.10
469.30
-ve
TITAN IND.
407.95
406.65
403.70
400.70
412.55
416.60
420.65
+ve
UCO BANK
79.75
78.40
77.65
76.95
80.10
81.00
81.85
-ve
2631.65
2605.10
2593.75
2582.40
2630.60
2643.35
2656.10
-ve
UBI
188.80
184.30
181.90
179.50
190.20
193.15
196.10
-ve
UNITED BREW.
712.25
711.85
709.85
707.85
715.85
723.40
731.00
+ve
UNITED PHOSPH.
340.05
338.15
335.40
332.15
343.55
346.25
349.50
Neutral
18.85
18.15
17.85
17.55
19.10
19.55
20.00
-ve
AXIS BANK
377.70
374.20
372.30
370.40
378.80
381.10
383.40
-ve
TATA COMM.
358.40
357.35
355.45
352.45
361.10
362.95
365.95
Neutral
VOLTAS
241.60
241.85
239.50
237.15
246.50
248.40
250.30
+ve
ULTRATECH CEMENT
UNITECH
Page 11
SCRIP
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
WIPRO
596.80
595.75
593.05
590.35
601.15
604.80
608.45
+ve
558.85
551.15
547.55
544.00
560.20
564.75
569.30
-ve
ZEE
314.15
312.35
308.60
304.90
319.85
321.65
323.45
+ve
NOTES:
Please execute the recommendation within the levels provided in the report
Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to keep strict stop loss as provided in the report
Avoid entering into the recommendation in the first 5 minutes of trade
If the recommendation opens near the target levels due to gap up/gap down opening, then the
recommendation is considered not initiated
The recommendations are valid only for the day and should be squared off by the end of the day
Only stocks in derivatives segment have been considered for daily trading
Medium to long-term prospects of a stock does not have any bearing on the daily view
It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical
research products.
Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment
Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation.
For example: The Daily Calls product carries 3 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate
equal amount to each recommendation
Page 12
Products
Allocations
Product wise
Max allocation
allocation
in 1 stock
Return Objective
Number of Calls
Frontline Stocks
Mid-cap stocks
Duration
Daily Calls
8%
2-3%
3-4 Stocks
0.50-1%
2-3%
Intraday
6%
3-5%
7-10 p.m
4-5%
7-10%
Opportunity based
Weekly Calls
8%
3-5%
1-2 Stocks
5-7%
7-10%
1 Week
Weekly Technical
8%
3-5%
1-2 Stocks
5-7%
7-10%
1 Week
Monthly Call
15%
5%
2-3 Stocks
7-10%
10-15%
1 Month
Monthly Technical
15%
2-4%
5-8 Stocks
7-10%
10-15%
1 Month
Techno Funda
15%
5-10%
1-2 Stocks
6 Months
Technical Breakout
15%
5-10%
1-2 Stocks
3-6 Months
Cash in Hand
10%
100%
Page 13
Candlesticks Glossary:
Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of
sentiment (trend) and, therefore, are important for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but
only an indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given to the placement of the pattern within
larger trend
Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or
downtrend. The market falls, and a black candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the
prior sessions black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for prices
Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on
the next sessions open but that session culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the
prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical support for prices
Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at
the top end of the sessions range. There should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during
declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of the Hammer in following session
Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real
body wraps around a white real body (classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance
level for prices for future reference
Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The
second sessions price opens over the prior sessions high (or above the prior sessions close). By the end of the second session,
it closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior sessions white body. Pattern suggests that market has a
poor chance of rising immediately
Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of
the session's range and a very long upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest
the trouble for prices overhead
Page 14
Pankaj Pandey
Head Research
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
Disclaimer
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Page 15