Energy Efficiency Individual Assignment 2

Energy , Economical and Environment Impact of Implement Fuel Economy Standard for Car in Malaysia (from Year 201
21/12/2014
NG HAN PEI (KGY130024)

Table 1
Total number of car in Malaysia
Year
Number of Car
1987
1,356,678
1988
1,427,283
1989
1,534,166
1990
1,678,980
1991
1,824,679
1992
1,942,016
1993
2,088,300
1994
2,302,547
1995
2,553,574
1996
2,886,536
1997
3,271,304
1998
3,452,852
1999
3,787,047
2000
4,145,982
2001
4,557,992
2002
5,001,273
2003
5,426,026
2004
5,898,142
2005
6,473,261

Solution:
Total number of car in Malaysia
Year
Number of Car
2005
6,039,622
2006
6,564,739
2007
7,115,660
2008
7,692,385
2009
8,294,914
2010
8,923,247
2011
9,577,384
2012
10,257,325
2013
10,963,070
2014
11,694,619
2015
12,451,972
2016
13,235,129
2017
14,044,090
2018
14,878,855
2019
15,739,424
2020
16,625,797
Table 3

x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

x
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Table 2
Input data for potential fuel saving of cars
Description
Year standard enacted
Discount rate
Incremental cost (RM)
Life span (year)
Baseline Fuel Consumption (litre/year)
Current average fuel price (RM/litre)
Fuel economy standards (litre/year)
Annual efficeincy improvement
Shipment survival factor
Petrol CO2 Emission (kg/litre)

Total number of car in Malays

7,000,000
6,000,000

Number of Car

Subject :
Title :
Date:
Name :

5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
0

Predict total number of car in Malaysia from 2015 to 2020

Year
x
Number of Car
2015
28
12,451,972
2016
29
13,235,129
2017
30
14,044,090
2018
31
14,878,855
2019
32
15,739,424
2020
33
16,625,797

Table 4
The calculation results of energy savings
Year

Number of Car

Shipment

Applicable Stock

2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

28
29
30
31
32
33

12,832,845
13,616,012
14,424,984
15,259,760
16,120,341
17,006,725

6,796,975
7,347,896
7,924,621
8,527,150
9,155,483
9,809,620

6,796,975
14,144,871
22,069,492
30,596,642
39,752,125
49,561,745

Table 5
The calculation results of economical impact of the fuel economy standard
Year
Bill Saving (RM) Annualized Net saving (RM) Net saving (RM)
2015
3,180,984,300
2,116,474,341
-4,295,688,200
2016
5,676,478,181
3,776,856,244
-1,254,424,721
2017
7,384,893,413
4,913,553,776
1,152,178,997
2018
8,197,758,291
5,454,395,067
2,827,785,579
2019
7,999,717,635
5,322,628,316
3,669,174,176
2020
6,668,532,790
4,436,921,785
3,566,240,465
39,108,364,610
26,020,829,529
5,665,266,295
Table 6
The calculation results of the CO2 reduction
Year
CO2 reduction (ton)
2015
3,265,811
2016
5,827,851
2017
7,581,824
2018
8,416,365
2019
8,213,043
2020
6,846,360
40,151,254

CO2 reduction (ton)

9,000,000
8,000,000
7,000,000

Present Value (RM)

1,005,521,713
1,676,969,341
2,038,950,130
2,115,308,446
1,929,165,447
1,502,938,916
10,268,853,993

7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
2015

2016

2017

2018

Year

2019

2020

my Standard for Car in Malaysia (from Year 2015 - 2020)

data for potential fuel saving of cars

Values
2015
7%
1100
10
988
2.25
780
3%
100%
2.31

SSF =
UFSs =
TFI =
CRF =
IIC =

otal number of car in Malaysia

y = 12902x2 + 47743x + 1E+06
R = 0.9993

10

Year

15

20

6.2
208
21.05%
0.142
1100

Fuel saving (Litre)

Unit fuel
savings
208.00
178.36
148.72
119.08
89.44
59.80

Scaling Factor
1.0000
0.8575
0.7150
0.5725
0.4300
0.2875

Fuel saving (Litre)

4,000,000,000
3,500,000,000

1,413,770,800
2,522,879,192
3,282,174,850
3,643,448,129
3,555,430,060
2,963,792,351
17,381,495,382

3,000,000,000
2,500,000,000
2,000,000,000
1,500,000,000
1,000,000,000
500,000,000
0
2015

2016

Chart Title
10,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
6,000,000,000

RM

4,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
0
-2,000,000,000

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

-4,000,000,000
-6,000,000,000

Year
Bill Saving (RM)

Annualized Net saving (RM)

Net saving (RM)

Present Value (RM)

2020

Fuel saving (Litre)

2016

2017

2018

Year

2019

2020