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100%
75%
50
51
52
55
56
11.2%
1.0%
54
53
18.2%
12.7%
57
58
59
www.andexcharts.com
60
61
62
63
9.1%
2.0%
64
10.0%
65
6.8%
66
67
3.4%
4.5%
68
69
70
71
73
72
6.8%
75
74
10.4%
9.4%
76
77
78
79
80
81
7.3%
7.6%
82
83
17.5%
84
85
16.0%
12.2%
86
87
13.7%
11.9%
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
11.6%
97
98
99
00
01
02
6.4%
03
04
4.0%
5.6%
05
3.2%
06
07
7.8%
3.1%
08
09
10
11
50%
50%
25%
25%
0%
(25%)
0%
Calendar Year Returns (incl the Moderate Portfolio)
(25%)
ST. LAURENT
DIEFENBAKER
TRUMAN
EISENHOWER
PEARSON
JOHNSON
KENNEDY
TRUDEAU
$100,000
Highest
Return
FORD
Lowest
Return
Negative
Periods
Highest
Return
Lowest
Return
Negative
Periods
Highest
Return
Lowest
Return
29.7%
19.5%
29.6%
2.0%
1.3%
1.0%
21.1%
15% Bonds
5% Cash
0.0%
DJIA 2,000
DJIA 3,000
DJIA 5,000
17.3%
27.8%
0.4%
0.0%
2.3%
18.6%
20%
11.0%
$55,242
10.8%
$40,578
Nortel high
$124.5034.2% of TSE 300
10.3%
IBM PC
introduced
$3,405 U.S.
9.8%
Canadas population
34,349,200
population
(over 65) 13.9%
$11,640
10%
10%
11.6%
48.6%
10.6%
22.0%
1.6%
0.0%
3.3%
16.0%
0.0%
8.0%
$8,473
7.5%
60%
5 year GIC
National Energy 17.5%
Program
Canadian Stocks
Bonds
Cash
life expectancy
$2,984
Enron
M-66.5 yrs
F-71.0 yrs
Bre-X
1st class
stamp 4
5 year mortgage
21.5%
Canadas first TV broadcast
1st class
stamp
59 +GST
average family
income $82,325
M-17.2 yrs
F-20.6 yrs
$982
3.8%
population
(over 65) 7.8%
life expectancy
of a 65 yr old
GST starts
average family
income $12,716
3 Yr
5 Yr
10 Yr
20 Yr
30 Yr
Since
Jan 1, 50
Risk
Worst
5 Yrs
24.4
18.6
18.4
20.9
7.0
2.9
1.4
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.0
5.7
3.2
1.9
1.8
8.0
11.5
5.8
7.8
9.4
10.6
8.9
10.2
8.9
13.6
10.9
11.0
10.3
24.8
19.6
17.6
17.1
14.1
5.9
7.5
1.9
16.9
13.4
8.1
2.2
2.7
5.2
3.0
3.9
5.5
4.0
4.7
6.3
8.8
8.4
8.7
10.2
10.2
10.5
10.8
9.8
8.0
13.0
10.3
7.5
2.0
0.4
1.6
7.0
2.0
0.9
3.1
7.5
2.2
0.8
1.3
7.1
2.6
2.0
1.8
8.2
2.9
2.4
2.0
9.9
4.5
3.9
1.8
11.8
6.9
6.3
3.0
7.5
6.9
5.7
3.8
9.8
3.4
4.0
1.0
2.6
0.9
Chrysler bailout
Growth of $100
birth of
Parti Qubcois
$100
$145.31
Arab oil embargo
$850
$482
$195
$4.11
$104
$12.60
$711
22.75%
$38.34
$297
$509
$500
$284
Government of Canada
Long Term Bond Yield
$14.23
10%
$31.70
$10.40
$40.65
$17.50
$37.22
$10.82
$1,213
$1,011
$77.05
$725
$713
$561
$50.51
$30.28
$253
$81.03
$1,553
$1,421
$113.39
$91.48
$64.78
BP oil spill
2.4%
2.6%
10%
5%
7.6%
6.2%
2.1%
0%
2.1%
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
a limit of $2,500
$4,000
$5,500
$7,500
$11,500
$12,500
5%
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
$14,500
RRSP
RRSP
$19,000 $20,000
RRSP
RRSP
RRSP
$21,000
$22,000 $22,450
7.1%
3.4%
6.2%
5.3%
12.7%
$1.00
$0.90
minimum wage
$1.00/hr
$0.80
minimum wage
$2.90/hr
$0.70
6.7%
11.6%
6.7%
0%
$1.00
$0.90
$0.80
$1.0852 Nov 6
Up 75% since Jan 18 02 low
2%
7.4%
8.7%
10%
5%
0%
15%
10%
Prime Rate
5%
0%
5.7%
Canada hosts
Winter Olympics
average family
income $38,059
govt of Canada
20 yr bond 17.75%
life expectancy
WorldCom
Korean War
6.9%
GM files
for bankruptcy
M-78.3 yrs
F-83.0 yrs
$5,962
9/11 attacks
0%
(2%)
$30,706
Japan earthquake
and tsunami
8.1%
15%
$56,959
Conservative
20%
$60,150
Lehman Brothers
files for bankruptcy
O&Y bankruptcy
Canadas first
gold coin,
the Maple Leaf,
goes on sale
0.0%
20%
$10,000
S&P/TSX
drops 840.93 points in a
single day most in 8 years
24.2%
13.6%
10.9%
20%
50.8%
$248,768
Wall Street
Reform Act
DJIA 11,723
Asian currency crisis
TSE 300
closes above 1,000
9.7%
S&P/TSX
7,567 (down 50%)
U.S.
subprime
crisis
60% Bonds
20% Cash
30% Bonds
10% Cash
Moderate
30%
S&P/TSX
15,073
S&P/TSX
5,695 (down 50%)
10%
OBAMA
Conservative
25%
20%
CLINTON
Negative
Periods
25%
57.7%
HARPER
MARTIN
BUSH
10.7%
CHRETIEN
KC
BUSH
REAGAN
5%
10%
CARTER
Moderate
Aggressive
Aggressive
15%
MULRONEY
JT
Hypothetical Portfolios
TRUDEAU
CLARK
NIXON
$1,000
100%
75%
minimum wage
$6.85/hr
minimum wage
$10.25/hr
$0.6202 Jan 18
$0.70
2%
0%
50
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68
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98
99
Hypothetical value of $100 invested at the beginning of 1950. Assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Government bonds and Treasury bills are guaranteed by the full faith and credit of the Canadian government as to the timely payment of principal and interest, while stocks are not guaranteed and have been more volatile than the other asset classes. Furthermore, small stocks are more volatile
than large stocks and are subject to significant price fluctuations, business risks, and are thinly traded. International investments involve special risks such as fluctuations in currency, foreign taxation, economic and political risks, liquidity risks, and differences in accounting and financial standards. Canadian recessions are defined as two or more consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, while U.S. recession data is from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Gold prices are from London Bullion Market Association and represent the London P.M. daily closing prices per troy ounce.
Gold and oil prices quoted in U.S. dollars. Hypothetical portfolios were created for illustrative purposes only. They are neither a recommendation, nor actual portfolios. All income was reinvested and the portfolios were rebalanced every 12 months. Returns are compound annual returns, and risk is calculated as the standard deviation of calendar-year returns. The worst 5-year calculations are out of 679 rolling 60-month periods. Source: U.S. Small Stocksrepresented by the fifth capitalization quintile of stocks on the NYSE for 19501981 and the performance of the Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.
U.S. Micro Cap Portfolio thereafter; World Markets ex-U.S.Global Financial Data for 19501969 and Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World ex U.S. Index thereafter; U.S. Large Stocksrepresented by the Standard and Poors 90 index from 1950 through February 1957 and the S&P 500 index thereafter, which is an unmanaged group of securities and considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general; S&P/TSX CompositeCanadian Financial Markets Research Center for 19501955 and Standard and Poors/TSX Composite Index total return series thereafter, which
replaced the TSE300 Total Return Index on May 1, 2002; DEX Long Bond IndexPC-Bond, a business unit of TSX, Inc.; 5 Year Guaranteed Investment CertificatesBank of Canada; 90 Day Canada Treasury BillsBank of Canada; Consumer Price IndexStatistics Canada; Gross Domestic ProductBank of Canada for 19501992 and Statistics Canada thereafter (the second-quarter 2011 GDP value is an average analysts estimate); Canadian Dollar in U.S. DollarsBank of Canada; Prime RateBank of Canada; Government of Canada Long Term Bond YieldBank of Canada. A contraction is
defined by a time period when the stock market value declined from its peak by 20% or more. Expansion measures the recovery of the index from the bottom of a contraction to its previous peak and the subsequent performance of the index until it reaches the next peak level before another 20% decline. 2011 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
00
01
02
03
Recessions
CANADA
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
(2%)