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Accounting Shenanigans
CHAPTER 6
ACCOUNTING SHENANIGANS
Of all the industry groups, none is more prone to accounting obfuscation than financial
services. The primary reason underlying this fundamental truth is that all financial
services companies, from banks to insurance companies, must make numerous
assumptions about the future many more than the typical industrial company and
these assumptions are embedded into the companies financial statements. Put simply, a
modest change in assumptions can yield dramatically different financial results.
Some investors complain that financial companies can report whatever numbers they
want to report. While this is a bit of an exaggeration, this belief does contain a grain of
truth.
An insurance company, for example, must make assumptions regarding what proportion
of the policies it has underwritten will ultimately result in claims. If claims turn out to be
greater than originally anticipated, then earnings and shareholders equity from previous
periods were overstated and equity for the current period must be adjusted downward
accordingly. This is, unfortunately, a relatively routine occurrence in the insurance
industry.
In the same vein, a bank makes assumptions regarding what proportion of its loan
portfolio will ultimately be charged off, among other things. The relative degree of
conservatism thats built into this assumption is reflected in the size of the banks
provision (from an income statement perspective) relative to charge-offs, and the ALL
(from a balance sheet perspective) relative to nonperforming loans and total loans.
Skimping on the Loan Loss Reserve
An example best illustrates how some banks use the provision and ALL to manipulate
their financial position. In Exhibit 6A we have Bank A and Bank B. Both banks are
virtually identical with the exception of asset quality and the size of their respective
ALLs. As you can see, Bank A reported $6.8 million in net income for the period
presented, representing a 1.37% ROAA and a 19.54% ROAE. Bank B, on the other
hand, reported $6.6 million in net income, representing a 1.32% ROAA and an 18.86%
ROAE. Thus, on the surface of things, it appears that Bank A had a better year than
Bank B from a financial standpoint.
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Exhibit 6A
A Tale of Two Loan Loss Reserves
Summary Balance Sheet
Average Assets
Average Liabilities
Average Equity
Ending Gross Loans
Ending NPAs
Bank A
$
Bank A
$
500,000
465,000
35,000
350,000
5,000
Bank B
22,000
(600)
5,000
(15,000)
11,400
(4,560)
6,840
Bank B
$
Bank A
$
3,000
600
(1,000)
150
2,750
Bank A
0.79%
55.00%
1.37%
19.54%
500,000
465,000
35,000
350,000
1,750
22,000
(1,000)
5,000
(15,000)
11,000
(4,400)
6,600
Bank B
5,500
1,000
(600)
150
6,050
Bank B
1.73%
345.71%
1.32%
18.86%
Alas, nothing could be further from the truth. A more realistic viewpoint, in this
comparison, is revealed by analyzing the link between the ALL, provision for loan losses
and level of nonperforming assets for each bank. Bank A recorded a $0.6 million
provision during the period while Bank B recorded a $1.0 million provision. So, before
considering charge-offs and nonperforming loans, Bank B has clearly displayed a more
conservative posture during the period. Bank A charges off $1.0 million in loans during
the period while Bank B charges off just $0.6 million. Consequently, Bank B added
$0.55 million to its ALL for the period while Bank As ALL shrunk by $0.25 million.
The net effect of these accounting machinations is that Bank As ratio of ALL to Gross
Loans is 0.79% and its ratio of ALL to NPAs is 55% at the end of the period. In
comparison, Bank Bs ratio of ALL to Gross Loans is 1.73% and its ratio of ALL to
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NPAs is 346% at the end of the period. Clearly, Bank B is in a much stronger financial
position than Bank A despite the fact that Bank As reported earnings suggest that it
posted better financial results than Bank B. The point here is that in order to
properly measure comparative profitability one must pay very close attention to
the manner in which a bank builds its ALL relative to total loans and
nonperforming loans.
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Exhibit 6B
First Second Bancorp: Income Statement
Income Statement (in $000s)
In terest In co m e:
Interest on Fed Funds Sold
Interest on Investment Securities
Interest on Loans (incl. amortized loan fees)
Total Interest Income
2002
Reported
2002
A djusted
438
5,200
26,213
31,850
6,450
1,700
800
850
8,950
6,450
1,700
800
850
8,950
22,900
(1,200)
21,700
22,900
(1,800)
21,100
2,000
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
8,000
2,000
1,500
1,500
750
0
5,750
10,500
3,500
500
500
15,000
10,500
3,500
0
500
14,500
12,350
4,940
$ 7,410
Pre-Tax Income
Income Tax Provision
Net Income
14,700
5,880
8,820
Basic EPS
Fully -Diluted EPS
$
$
1.76
1.71
438
5,200
26,213
31,850
$
$
1.48
1.44
5,000
5,150
3,087
5,000
5,150
3,087
1.65%
23.45%
4.79%
4.40%
51.02%
2.71%
1.49%
1.38%
19.70%
4.79%
4.40%
50.61%
2.71%
1.07%
Profitability Ratios
Return on Average Assets
Return on Average Equity
Net Interest Margin
Interest Rate Spread
Efficiency Ratio
Operating Expense/Average Assets
Non-Interest Income/Average Assets
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looking for some additional income, it can increase the prepayment assumption on an
MBS purchased at a discount, thereby shortening its expected life and increasing the
portion of the discount booked as income in the current period.
Investing in a Risky Securities Portfolio
It is important to have a good understanding of the general composition of a banks
securities portfolio. While most depositories hold primarily short-dated Treasuries and
mortgage-backed securities in their investment portfolios, other institutions take a more
aggressive stance. Often, those banks that are more aggressive with their investments
eventually pay the piper in the form of higher charge-offs. Consequently, one should be
wary of bank investment portfolios that appear to have considerably higher yields than
those of its peers. Such higher yields may be an indicator of high risk in the securities
portfolio. Thus, while its difficult for a bank to actually manipulate earnings, per se,
through use of a high-yield investment portfolio, one should apply a higher discount rate
to cash flows associated with this higher level of risk.
Delaying Recognition of Bad Loans
As noted in Chapter 5, banks loan valuation and charge-off policies differ. Some banks
are conservative and are quick to classify questionable loans as non-performers and
charge off bad loans. Other banks are more aggressive perhaps optimistic is a
gentler description and slow on both counts. Thus, despite the fact that banks have
both independent auditors and regulatory examiners looking over their financial
statements and valuation policies, bank managements still have a fair amount of
flexibility where classification of problem loans is concerned.
From a financial statement perspective, conservative institutions with strong credit
cultures are quick to charge off loans and book the corresponding provisions. Such
actions result in lower current earnings and equity, but stronger earnings and higher
equity going forward, all else being equal. Conversely, aggressive institutions are slow to
charge off loans and book the corresponding provisions, which results in higher current
earnings and equity, but lower earnings and equity going forward, all else being equal.
Consequently, its a good idea to get a feel for the banks credit culture and whether
senior management is generally conservative or aggressive with respect to loan valuation
and charge-off policies. Unfortunately, this isnt always easy and may require studying
the banks history and how management has handled problem credits in the past.
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It is important to realize, however, that simply because a bank sells assets for a
gain, records a gain from a branch sale, or invests in a few high-yield securities
does not, in and of itself, imply that the bank is trying to pull the wool over the
analysts eyes. Many of these activities arise as the result of sound business decisions
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