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a case study of the 2007 German health reform, this article draws on Kingdons
approach of streams and follows two main objectives: first, to understand the extent
to which the German health reform was actually influenced by the Dutch model and,
second, in theoretical terms, to inform inductively on how ideas from abroad enter
government agendas. The results show that the streams of problem recognition and
policy proposals have not been predominantly influenced by the cross-border transfer of ideas from the Netherlands to Germany. The Dutch experience was taken into
consideration only after a policy window opened by a shift in politics in the third,
the political, stream: the change of government in 2005. In many respects, the way
Germany learned from the Netherlands in this case sharply contrasts with an image
of solving policy problems by either lesson drawing or transnational deliberation.
Instead, the process was dominated by problem solving in the sphere of politics, that
is, finding a way to prove the grand coalition was capable of acting.
At the beginning of this decade, Moran (2000: 135) pointed out that general welfare state literature and health care literature were often semidetached, with literature on health care policy being immersed . . . in its
A preliminary version of this article was presented at the conference Explaining Healthcare
System Change, December 45, 2008, in Bremen. We would like to thank all participants of
the conference, in particular Thomas Gerlinger and Mirella Cacace, as well as the two anonymous referees of the journal for their very helpful comments.
Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law, Vol. 35, No. 4, August 2010
DOI 10.1215/03616878-2010-016 2010 by Duke University Press
own specialist controversies. Nevertheless, there is a tradition of important studies using the theoretical frameworks of comparative welfare state
research applied to health care system reforms. Their theoretical focus is
on institutional veto points (e.g., Immergut 1991), path dependence (e.g.,
Giaimo and Manow 1997, 1999; Wilsford 1994; several contributors in
this issue), institutional drift (Hacker 2004), or the importance of organized interests and actor constellations in shaping health reforms (e.g.,
Rosewitz and Webber 1990; Dhler and Hassenteufel 1995; Hassenteufel
1996; Bandelow and Hassenteufel 2006). Even the ideational turn of comparative welfare state research has now reached some strands of health
care research, and there is growing interest in studying policy transfer,
learning, and policy diffusion in the health care field (e.g., Klein 1997;
Brown 1998; Freeman 1999, 2000; Braun and Gilardi 2006; Braun et al.
2007; Greener 2002; Marmor, Freeman, and Okma 2005; Hassenteufel
and Palier 2007; Schmid and Gtze 2009; Bland 2010). However, studies
that carefully link theory with empirical results are still quite rare. The
same is true of studies on the cross-border transfer or diffusion of ideas.
Because of new means of communication and growing economic interdependence, it has become more likely that countries are influenced by each
others experience; however, we still have limited knowledge of the precise
mechanisms of cross-border influence. In addition, the theoretically most
sophisticated analyses in comparative health policy still tend to ignore (if
not implicitly deny) the cross-national exchange of information and ideas
in health policy (Marmor, Freeman, and Okma 2005: 343). What is more,
many studies on policy transfer or diffusionnot only in the health care
fieldsuffer from severe methodological problems. Dobbin, Simmons,
and Garrett (2007: 463) in their seminal review article of diffusion theoristsconstructivists, coercion theorists, competition theorists, or learning
scholarsconclude that perhaps the most frustrating empirical tendency
across these studies is that champions of each theory often take simple
evidence of diffusion to be adequate to prove their particular theory. Thus
evidence of parallel institutional development is, for example, not sufficient
proof for policy learning. To test theories of policy learning, we would
at least need evidence that the supposed model and its functioning were
known to the government presumably engaged in policy learning. Furthermore, if our assumption was that cross-border diffusion was driven by a
learning mechanism where deliberative problem solving was the primary
rationale for action, we would need further empirical evidence for the presence of this interaction, for example, from expert interviews.
This article seeks to address our still-limited knowledge of the cross-
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 541
border
transfer of ideas in health policy through a case study on the German health reform of 2007. There are two questions we would like to
answer: First, to what extent was the 2007 reform influenced by the model
of the Netherlands? And, second, what can we learn from this case about
potential mechanisms for the entry of ideas from abroad into government
agendas? To date, scholars have analyzed the Dutch reform of 2006 as a
potential model for Germany or the United States (e.g., Gre, Manouguian,
and Wasem 2006; Agasi 2008; van de Ven and Schut 2008; Rosenau and
Lako 2008; Okma 2008). The latest German reform is studied either
by estimating its effects and failures (e.g., Gerlinger, Mosebacher, and
Schmucker 2007; Gpffarth et al. 2007) or by analyzing its emergence
from the perspectives of different national actors involved in the reform
process (Schroeder and Paquet 2009). The question of the extent to which
this reform was inspired by a cross-border transfer of ideas from the Netherlands has, however, not yet been studied in depth.
The rather close institutional similarity of the German health (finance)
system after 2009 to the Dutch system (before 2006) is well known.1
Above all, the new health fund model (see also the third section, below)
was accompanied by the possibility of installing a small flat-rate premium
in Germany, which is markedly similar to the former system used in the
Netherlands prior to 2006. In addition, media reports both before and
during the reform process often referred to the Netherlands as a potential
model for Germany, and in the media some politicians, Germans as well
as Dutch (see the fourth section, below), also referred to Dutch inspiration
of the German reform. At first sight, it is tempting to conclude that this is
an example of nonspurious policy diffusion.2
Rather than stop at this point and take this occurrence as proof of policy diffusion or even policy learning, our article draws on this case for
a deeper understanding of which mechanisms and under which conditions ideas might cross borders and influence policy reforms. In particular,
we use the example of the 2007 German reform as a case in point for
cross-border policy transfer where transnational problem solving was not
the main rationale. A problem-solving model of policy transfer implies
that becoming aware of policy problems (e.g., by comparing ones own
1. The reform was adopted by the German parliament in March 2007. However, core elements such as the health fund were not implemented until 2009. The latest reform plans by the
Christian Democrat and Liberal government elected in 2009 are not part of this analysis.
2. According to Braun and Gilardi (2006: 305) spurious diffusion occurs if countries experience similar problem pressure andindependently of each otherreact with similar policy
measures. In contrast, nonspurious, or interdependent, diffusion is driven by the interdependence of actors.
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 543
between the Dutch and German health reform paths. The fourth section
analyzes the 2007 reform process in Germany by distinguishing between
the streams of problem definition, policy proposals, and politics. The fifth
section sums up our results, discusses their theoretical implications, and
identifies tasks for future research.
How Does an Ideas Time Come?:
Kingdons Approach of Policy Streams
and Policy Windows
In particular the application of the so-called Open Method of Coordination (OMC) to social policy issues in the European Union (EU), as
well as generally increasing transnational communication and processes
of economic globalization, has (re)intensified research interest on issues
such as policy learning, policy transfer, diffusion of ideas, framing, and
lesson drawing over the last decades. The diversity of studies is immense,
and even a brief overview would go beyond the scope of the present article.5 Definitions are not uniform and rather often not made explicit.6 The
interest of the analysis is on cross-national policy transfer in the sense
of Dolowitz and Marsh (2000: 5), understood as the process by which
knowledge about policies, administrative arrangements, institutions and
ideas in one political system (past or present) is used in the development
of policies, administrative arrangements, institutions and ideas in another
political system. As regards the notion of policy diffusion, although we
are aware of different emphases of the two literature strands (for an overview, see, e.g., Marsh and Sharman 2009, Holzinger and Knill 2005), like
Marsh and Sharman we argue that these strands are complementary. Both
aim to specify mechanisms capturing how and why a policy in country A
is transferred to country B. It is also important to specify which processes
are not regarded as policy transfer or policy diffusion in this article: this is
when countries experience similar problem pressure and introduce similar
policy measures, but independently of each other (what Braun and Gilardi
2006 called spurious diffusion; see note 2).
While policy transfer and diffusion are the more-encompassing con5. For more-recent studies on ideas and welfare state reform, see, for example, Taylor
Gooby
2005; on policy learning, Hall 1993; on lesson drawing, Rose 1991; on policy transfer,
Dolowitz and Marsh 1996, 2000; on diffusion, Holzinger and Knill 2005; on learning through
the OMC, Zeitlin 2005; and for applications to the field of health care, Freeman 1999, 2000,
and Greener 2002.
6. On differences and overlapping elements of these concepts, see, for example, Holzinger
and Knill 2005.
cepts, for the purpose of this article policy learning is conceived of as one
of several potential mechanisms of policy transfer and diffusion.7 In addition, policy learning may be understood as a mechanism of voluntary policy transfer (Dolowitz and Marsh 2000), as opposed to other mechanisms
based, for example, on (external) coercion or competition (Dolowitz and
Marsh 2000; see also Dobbin, Simmons, and Garrett 2007), which are not
central in this case. Learning across countries may be further distinguished
in the mechanisms of transnational problem solving (Holzinger and Knill
2005: 778779, with further references), on the one handa form of
rational learning driven by the joint development of common problem perceptions and solutions in elite networks or epistemic communitiesand,
on the other, lesson drawing (Rose 1991). The latter mechanism refers to
policy transfer in which governments in a voluntaristic process rationally
use experience from abroad to solve domestic problems.
In the analysis we seek to understand if a voluntary policy transfer from
the Netherlands to Germany has taken place in the 2007 health reform,
and if so, by which of the learning mechanisms and how interests and
ideas were linked in this process. The latter is why we decided to draw on
Kingdons approach. Kingdon moves beyond purely idea-based problemsolving models of agenda setting, and his framework has the potential
to capture the interplay of institutions, interests, and ideasinstead of
contrasting these perspectives (Bland 2005).
Kingdons (1984) concept emerged from a large-scale study on agenda
setting in U.S. federal policy making. The aim of his work was to explain
agenda setting. His main research interest was in the question of how do
issues get on public policy agendas, or how does an ideas time come?
Unlike us, he does not focus on the cross-national transfer of ideas. Thus
his approach is both broader and narrower, as he mainly analyzes problem
definition and agenda setting, while other stages of the policy cycle like
policy formulation, implementation, and evaluation are not central.
In his approach Kingdon develops a revised version of Cohen, March,
and Olsens (1972) garbage can model. Kingdon distinguishes three
so-called streams: problem recognition, policy proposals, and politics.
According to his theory, these streams work largely independent of each
other, but at certain critical points, they come together, and this is when
the greatest agenda change is most likely to happen (table 1).
In the stream of problem recognition, the central question is why gov7. However, learning may also take place without policy transfer. Actors can learn from
negative experiences of others and thus refrain from policy transfer.
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 545
Favorable Conditions
Crisis
Shift in system performance
Feasibility of proposal
Low cost of proposal
Mass public acceptance of proposal
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 547
health systems belong to the type social health insurance.8 The Dutch
ZFW (Ziekenfondswet) insurance was introduced by decree by the occupying power, Germany, during the Second World War, which accounts for
the similarity in its basic structure. This basic structure has been retained
to the present. During the last thirty years, both countries have been subject to almost constant reform. As opposed to other social insurance countries, like Austria or France (Leiber 2007; Hassenteufel and Palier 2007),
since the 1990s the Netherlands and Germany have followed a common
reform path based on regulated competition between insurance providers.9
When turning to the latest health reforms, the 2007 reform in Germany
was not as fundamental and far-reaching as the Dutch health reform in
2006 (for details, see also Leiber 2007). It can rather be characterized as
a process of layering (Streeck and Thelen 2005), adding new layers of
institutional elements (e.g., small income-independent flat-rate premiums
for the financing systems; additional tax financing; basic tariffs for private
insurance) without completely replacing the previous structure (financing
mainly by income-dependent contributions; private insurance as a substitute system to social insurance).10 Nevertheless, the German reform can
be seen as a reform step, bringing core structures of the two insurance
systems closer than ever before.
To structure our institutional comparison of the latest health reforms,
we adapted the grid to array structural changes in social security systems
introduced by Bonoli and Palier (2000; see also Palier and Martin 2008).
Our adjusted grid analyzes structural changes in three dimensions: access
to health insurance, financing, and delivery of health services.11 Table 2
shows the main institutional features of both the pre-and postreform situation in the Netherlands and Germany. We discuss similarities and dissimilarities between both countries for each feature displayed in the table.
Institutional Feature
Pre-2006
Netherlands
Post-2006
Pre-2007
Post-2009
Germany
Access
Mandatory
Only in social
All insurers
Only in social
All insurers
acceptance health insurance health insurance
Mandatory insurance Only employees and
All inhabitants
Only employees
All inhabitants
self-employed below below income
income ceiling ceiling
Access to substitute
Basic contracts
No separate
No regulation to
Basic contracts
private health (premium determined regulation increase access (maximum premium
insurance by government) determined by
legislation)
Financing
Income-dependent
85% of expenditure
50% of expenditure 100% of expenditure 95100% of expenditure
contributions determined by determined by determined by determined by
government government individual health government
insurers
Risk adjustment
Health based (central
Health based
Demographic (no
Health based (central
fund) (central fund) central fund) fund)
Flat-rate premium
15% of expenditure
50% of expenditure None
05% of expenditure
determined by determined by determined by
individual health individual health individual health
insurers; insurers; insurers;
no transfers for tax-financed maximum amount
low-income transfers for for all individuals
individuals low-income
individuals
Dimension
Institutional Feature
Pre-2006
Netherlands
Post-2006
Pre-2007
Post-2009
Germany
Sources: Based on Gre and Manouguian 2007; Gre et al. 2008; Gre, Manouguian, and Wasem 2007; Manouguian, Gre, and Wasem 2006; Schut and
van de Ven 2005; van de Ven and Schut 2008
Note: GP = general practitioner
Financing
Taxes
3.6 billion in 2005
Flat-rate premiums 2.5 billion in 2006 Maximum of 14 billion
(continued) for children and in 2012
transfers for
low-income
individuals
Risk-rated premiums Only private insurers
No
Only private insurers Only private insurers
(normal contracts)
Delivery of
Collective contracting Hospitals and
Hospitals and
Hospitals
services specialists specialists
Selective
GPs
GPs, specialists,
Integrated care,
Integrated care, GPs, and
contracting and hospitals GPs specialists
Dimension
Table 2 (continued)
Access
There are several similarities in health care financing between both countries. Since the 2007 reform in Germany, in both countries a central fund
(health fund) distributes financial resources to health insurers. The health
fund in turn is financed by uniform income-dependent contributions of
enrollees and tax-financed payments by the central government.12 Addi12. Note that in Germany this is relevant for social health insurance only. Private health
insurers charge risk-rated premiums (Gre 2007).
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 551
In this section, we look at the German health reform of 2007 through the
analytic lens of the three streams. We analyze the extent to which the
Dutch model was involved in each stream. Then we explain how the three
streams were combined.
The Stream of Problem Recognition
Although the Health Insurance Competition Strengthening Act (GKVWettbewerbsstrkungsgesetz, or GKV-WSG) finally adopted by the parliament in February 2007 included elements not directly related to health
care financing (e.g., the development of a central umbrella organization
for sickness funds or an obligation to take out insurance), revenue-side
financial problems of the social health insurance were at the heart of the
reform discussions. Starting as early as the 1970s, the German health system had been subject to constant change, which above all aimed at cost
containment and stabilizing the GKV contribution rate. First, this policy
found expression primarily in cost-containment measures, the delisting
of specific services and amoderateincrease of out-of-pocket payments for private households. An expansion of this strategy, the revenueoriented expenditure policy, can be identified from the beginning of the
1990s. In addition, regulated competition between sickness funds and risk
adjustment were introduced in the 1992 Health Structure Act (Gesundheitsstrukturgesetz) (Gre 2006; Gtze, Cacace, and Rothgang 2008). If
the management and service provision structures (e.g., the contractual relationship between the insurance funds and service providers) had remained
largely untouched until then, they were subjected to important changes
by the 2000 GKV Health Reform Act (GKV-Gesundheitsreformgesetz)
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 553
Solidarity with low-income earners was to be sustained through tax subsidies. The degree of such compensation, however, differed substantially
between different concrete models. There were also different positions in
this camp, concerning whether the dual system of GKV-PKV should be
maintained.15 Some advocates of the Kopfpauschale, among them Rrup,
also declared to have found a consistent way to introduce more tax financing into the GKV by combining income-independent flat-rate premiums
with considerable tax subsidies for low-income earners.
The opposition between the two camps, with both scientists and political actors on either side, was so strong that in 2003, even the Rrup Commission, an expert commission on sustainable social security financing
(Rrup-Kommission 2003) initiated by the Schrder government and led
by Rrup,16 was unable to agree on a comprehensive common proposal of
future health care financing when presenting its results.
What is most important for the purpose of this article is that the whole
discussion was very much shaped by the specific German background.
Of course many of the actors involved, especially those in the ministry
administration (interview G 4) and those with scientific backgrounds, have
international academic backgrounds and are aware of what is happening
in other health systems. They know the important features of the Dutch
or, for example, also of the Swiss health system (the latter being based on
income-independent premiums). Indirectly, this may of course influence
how they perceive national problems. However, we still conclude that in
this stream and considering the way the main problems in German health
care financing were perceived, the Dutch experience was not central.
Compared with striking examples in other policy fields where international comparison virtually disrupted problem recognitionfor example,
the external shock suffered by Germany because of its bad performance in
the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Developments first Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) studyinternational
influence was not significant for problem definition in our case.
15. Generally, this is just a very rough characterization of the two camps, to highlight the
general differences and national orientation in problem perception. In the run-up to the elections in 2005, there was not one but many concrete propositions in each camp on how to institutionalize Brgerversicherung and Kopfpauschale (see also the section on policy proposals,
below).
16. The commission consisted of scientists as well as representatives of labor and industry.
Lauterbach was also a member of this commission.
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 555
17. However, for a comprehensive overview, see Gre, Pfaff, and Wagner 2005; for the main
party political conflict lines, see Bandelow and Schade 2009.
Richter had already developed these ideas before the election in 2005,
but at that time nobody was really interested in them (interview G 1).
Richter generally saw such a two-step model as a way to overcome the
contradictions of a policy based on not only lowering taxes but also offering income-independent flat-rate premiums (with rather extensive taxfinanced compensation for low-income earners).18
After the election the situation had changed. Richter now spread his
ideas by offering a compromise model. He also contributed to an October
8, 2005, proposal of the Scientific Advisory Board of the German Ministry of Finance, of which Richter is a member (see also Feldenkirchen
2006). This proposal took up his core idea of the health fund (here called
zentrale Inkassostelle [central collecting agency]; see Wissenschaftlicher
Beirat 2005) combined with income-independent flat-rate premiums. This
proposal explicitly promotes options for the future development of the
fund approach, either by extending the group of insured persons (toward
a Brgerversicherung) or by lowering the income-dependent contributions (toward a Kopfpauschalenmodell). Richter quite plausibly argued
that his concept was mainly inspired by the specific German reform context, namely, by organizing the transition toward a tax-financed health
system without contradicting the political aim of low-tax policies. As in
18. In particular, CDU and CSU were confronted with such a contradiction, as their health
concepts most likely required additional tax financing, while their tax policy aimed at lowering
tax rates.
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 557
It should be clear by now that the latest health reform process in Germany
was very much driven by the necessity of finding a compromise between the
divergent financial concepts of the grand coalition parties, which seemed
difficult to unite. This was the common opinion whenever actors involved
in the process were asked to describe their view of the process (see, e.g.,
Knieps 2007, interviews G 16). In Kingdons terms, a policy window
opened by a shift in politics in the third stream: the election of 2005 and
the change of government from red-green to a grand coalition. Although
the party political context had changed, there was continuity in the Ministry of Health administration. Although Ulla Schmidt lost the responsibility
for pension policy to Labour Minister Franz Mntefering, in the health
care field there was continuity of personnel, and she remained in office as
health minister. This may also be the reason why the ministry is considered
particularly influential in this reform process (Paquet 2009: 32).
This brings us to how the three streams joined in the case of the 2007
health reform in Germany and to a summary of the influence of the Dutch
model. The key driving force of the reform was in the stream of (national)
politics. The health reform was one of the most prestigious objects of
the grand coalition; it had to be successful to prove that the government
was capable of acting. Although, according to Kingdon, policy windows
can generally also be opened in the stream of problem definition (where
cross-border experiences may be even more influential), that was not the
case here. This policy window was the reason that policy entrepreneurs
like Wolfram Richter and researchers concerned with the Dutch health
fund model suddenly had an exceptional chance to bring their ideas forward. While before the elections these ideas had not made it to the politicians short lists, their potential character as a compromise altered this
situation.
It seems that Richter and the proposal of the scientific advisory board
of the finance ministry played the decisive role for the decision to base the
compromise on a health fund model (interviews G 2, 5, 6; see also Wasem
2009). Paquet (2009: 36) reports that Merkel herself is said to have drawn
Schmidts attention to the proposal of the scientific advisory board of the
Ministry of Finance. However, parallel to this, the proposal met preparatory work on a compromise in the health ministry that was based on the
Dutch experience. There was already an extensive and ongoing exchange
with Dutch colleagues at different levels before the 2005 elections, and
the ministry administration perceives itself as internationally oriented and
aware of what happens in other countries (interviews G 4, 5). At a rather
early stage after the election, agreement was reached between the health
ministry and the chancellery to found the compromise on a health fund
model. The ministry was well aware of the Dutch model pre- and post2006 and quickly understood that the health fund was a useful instrument
for achieving some of its aims. Among those aims was to combine the
GVK and PKV into one system, furthering the organizational reform of
the health insurance funds and their representation and bringing more
taxes into the system (interview G 5; see also Paquet 2009 for further
details).19 At the same time, the idea of a central contribution pool (Beitragspool) was not a new idea but had already been discussed by the min19. The argument concerning the taxes was that before convincing fiscal policy makers to
approve additional tax funding of the health system, the system needed to be more transparent
than it was under the previous risk-structure-adjustment scheme (interview G 5).
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 559
Leiber, Gre, and Manouguian Dutch Model for German Reform 561
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