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Industry insights
Food production in India has witnessed significant growth in recent years, making India
the second largest producer of food in the world next to China. A stable monsoon in the
past decade, which still meets more than 60% of irrigation requirement, has been a
major driving force behind increasing food production. The projected total food grain
production in India is expected to be around 261 million tonnes in FY14-15 in
comparison to estimated 259 million tonnes in the FY13-14 and 255 million in the
preceding year.1
Total food grain production (in millions tonnes)
259
0.8%
18.7%
261
218
2009-10
2013-14E
2014-15P
Availability of adequate, timely and assured irrigation for crops, low awareness among
farmers on newer farming and crop technologies, access to credit for farmers to buy
modern inputs for farming operations especially for the bottom 40% remain the major
causes of concern. India ranks seventh in term of overall food wastage and first in
wastage of cereals, pulses, fruits and vegetables. Agriculture produce to the tune of Rs.
50,000 Crore is wasted every year in the country.2
Annual cumulative wastage percentage in various commodities
0.8%
Milk
2.3%
2.9%
Meat
Fisheries
6.0%
6.0%
6.1%
Cereals
Oil Seeds
Pulses
18.0%
3.9%
Poultry
Fruits &
Vegetables
Food processing sector could play an important role in increasing farm gate prices,
reduce wastages, ensure value addition, and promote crop diversification. Realizing the
potential of the sector, the government of India has initiated many extensive reforms.
For promotion and development of the sector, FDI up to 100% is allowed. The
government has allocated a sum of Rs 5,990 Crore (US$ 1 billion) under various
schemes of the food processing industries during the 12th Five Year Plan. In addition,
the sector has attracted foreign direct investments (FDI) worth US$ 5,360.89 million
during the period April 2000January 2014.3
1
Despite continual effort of the government, processing activity still remains at a nascent
stage. Fresh or unpackaged foods dominate the food basket of most Indian consumers.
Level of processing across segments4,5
Segment
% processing
Comments
F&V
2.2%
Fisheries
26%
Poultry
6%
Meat
20%
Milk
35%
Impediments
Drivers
Nonetheless, increasing urbanization, income levels and education levels are driving a
gradual shift towards processed food. The following diagram lists leading drivers and
impediment to future of the industry.
The projected GDP of the food processing industry in India is around Rs. 1, 03,943
Crores in FY2015, 33% more than the size of industry in FY2012.6 The sector is
expected to expand further at a growth rate of 9% annually to reach Rs. 6, 00,000
Crores by 2030.7
Gross Domestic Production Food Processing Industry (in Rs. Crores)
103,943
52,161
2006-07
57,320
60,378
58,752
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
CII-McKinsey Report
67,508
2010-11
78,094
2011-12
2014-15P
Major segments in food processing industry include fruits and vegetables, dairy, grains,
meat and poultry, fish and consumer foods (includes packaged food, packaged drinking
water, alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages). Following table represents total
production of major food categories.
Food Production by Category in Lakh Tonnes
2,590
2,270
1,324
Food grain
Fruits and
vegetables
Milk
91
37
Fisheries
Broiler meat
Packaged food segment is primarily driven by urban population which account for more
than 78% of the total market. It is presently valued at US$ 39.7 billion and is expected to
reach US$ 65.41 billion by 2020. Other major food segments such as packaged drinking
water, confectionery, beverages etc., have been growing at double digit growth rate.
Governments continued effort in improving the overall food supply chain is expected to
open plethora of opportunities for companies in the agriculture value chain. The food
processing industry is expected to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of this process.
Nearly half of the business owners and unit heads believe that there would be a slight
improvement in the economy in the wake of the general elections, and the other 40%
of the respondents feel that the economic growth would remain same in comparison
to FY14
The survey shows that most of the respondents (~78%) are of the opinion that their
revenues will increase in the current fiscal year in comparison to last year. A similar
trend has been observed for the headcount and the profit margins
The respondents (~86%) point out that input costs have increased significantly. As a
result, input cost is seen as a major threat to company margin by around 54% of the
responding companies followed by marketing costs
Most of the respondents state that economy followed by quality measures would be
biggest bottlenecks in the growth of their companies
More than half of the respondents (~54%) state that the cost of raw material local
and imported is expensive and it directly affects the issue of rising input costs and
becomes a threat to the profit margins of the company
Around 50% of the respondents state that cost of quality control, certifications, and
marketing required for domestic and export market is reasonable
Around 56% of the respondents state that firms operating at national/state levels are
the biggest competitors for their business followed by the local firms operating in the
same state (~53%)
96% of respondents expect an increase in the revenue, while 86% say they would
recruit in the coming 12 months
To counter economic and input cost uncertainties and attain vertical growth target
and improved marketing (~38%) along with entering into new markets (~35%) are
key priorities of the companies in the coming 12 months
The companies also intend to focus on cost reduction (~31%) and new product
development (33%) and their capital expenditure plans are in line with these priority
areas with 56% planning to invest in new products and 42% in marketing and
advertisement
Around 79% of the respondents say that their capital spending plan will increase in
the next 12 months
More than 90% of the respondents are optimistic about the positive growth of the
industry next year
Performance of the economy is identified as a major issue hindering the growth of the
industry by an overwhelming 68% of the respondents
Around 76% of the respondents feel that the government should make effective
changes to the tax policies and simplify government procedures
From industry initiative perspective, business owners and unit heads say that
improving productivity at root level, with benchmarked industry quality measures
would improve the competitiveness and the business environment
Economic outlook
Nearly half of the business owners and unit heads believe that there would be a slight
improvement in the economy in FY2015. Around 40% of the respondents believe that
the economic condition will remain same in FY2015 as it was in FY2014. The survey
was conducted before the general election results were announced, and many at that
time were of the view that a regime change will expedite many of the impending bills,
which will boost economic growth.
Economy, one year from now
46%
50%
40%
39%
~46 of the respondents feel that there will
be slight improvement in the overall
economy of the country
30%
20%
11%
10%
2%
2%
0%
About the same
Significantly improved
Slightly improved
Slightly worse
Significantly worse
Around 56% of the respondents state that firms operating at national/state levels are
the biggest competitors for their business followed by the local firms operating in the
same state (~53%). Only 26% of the respondents view international companies as a
competition.
Revenue growth in last year
30%
26%
20%
20%
10%
15%
17%
15%
7%
0%
Decreased by 1-30%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
34%
30%
25%
20%
20%
10%
14%
5%
2%
0%
Decreased by 1-10%
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by more than 30%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
30%
22%
20%
16%
20%
10%
4%
4%
4%
0%
Decreased by 1-10%
Decreased by 10-20%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
54%
35%
40%
20%
10%
19%
17%
15%
4%
2%
0%
Input costs
Decreased sales volume
Inventory carrying costs
Regulatory Compliance
20%
10%
14%
4%
0%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by more than 30%
35%
33%
30%
17%
20%
11%
10%
4%
0%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by more than 30%
Cost of Items
Export marketing
Domestic marketing
Quality control
Land
Machinery
Power
Skilled labour
Technology
Imported raw materials
Raw materials
0%
Very economical
20%
40%
Economical
60%
Reasonable
80%
Expensive
100%
Very expensive
40%
30%
22%
20%
20%
16%
10%
4%
0%
Increase by 1-10%
Increase by 20-30%
No change
Increase by 10-20%
Increase by more than 30%
30%
Around
1/3rd
of
the
total
respondents stated that they expect
their company revenue to increase
by 10 to 20% in the next 12 months.
30%
18%
20%
14%
10%
5%
2%
0%
Decreased by 1-10%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
40%
35%
33%
31%
30%
17%
20%
10%
6%
2%
0%
Cost Reduction
Security of Supply
Pricing Strategy
No Planned Change
56%
38%
40%
42%
21%
20%
6%
17%
2%
0%
New Products or services
Expanding facilities
Geographic Expansion
Employee Salary and Training
Information Technology
Advertising and Marketing
Research & Development
20%
17%
10%
2%
10%
2%
0%
Decrease by 1-10%
Increase by 1-10%
Increase by 20-30%
No change
Decrease by 10-20%
Increase by 10-20%
Increase by more than 30%
12%
Cost of raw-material
53%
Power cost
11%
Complex and cumbersome taxation policy is highlighted as a major factor impacting the
overall business environment for the sector, which has deteriorated further in the past
5 years. As a result, around 76% of the respondents feel that the government should
make effective changes to the tax policies and simplify government procedures.
Despite deterioration in the availability of skilled labour and regulatory framework in
the past 5 years, the respondents are satisfied with these factors. There has also been
deterioration in the quality of power supply.
From industry initiative perspective, business owners and unit heads say that
improving productivity at root level, with benchmarked industry quality measures
would improve the business environment along with the competitiveness.
Industry/Sector Growth
60%
40%
40%
17%
20%
19%
15%
6%
4%
0%
Decreased by 1-10%
Increased by 10-20%
Increased by more than 30%
Increased by 1-10%
Increased by 20-30%
No change
60%
40%
20%
23%
20%
7%
9%
14%
0%
Changing consumer demand patterns
Declining
Improving
Imrovement / detoriation in the Factor
Overall economy
8
2.5
3 6
10
5
2.0
9
11
4
2
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Very Poor
Excellent
Taxation Policy
Electricity
Environmental Regulations
10
Training Facilities
Lobbying
Access to Capital
11
Supply Chain
Regulatory Framework
Quality Management
Different components of business environment in the industry were rated on a scale of 1 to 5. 1 being very poor and 5 being excellent.
Also the trend in these in last 5 years were rated from 1 to 3 (1 is declining, 2 is no change and 3 is increasing).